Abstract
Purpose of review:
To summarize recent advances in our understanding of HIV adaptation to Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA)-associated immune pressures, and its relevance to HIV prevention and cure research.
Recent findings:
Recent research has confirmed that HLA is a major driver of individual- and population-level HIV evolution, that HIV strains are adapting to the immunogenetic profiles of the different human ethnic groups in which they circulate, and that HIV adaptation has substantial clinical and immunologic consequences. As such, adaptation represents a major challenge to HIV prevention and cure. At the same time, there are opportunities: Studies of HIV adaptation are revealing why certain HLA alleles are protective in some populations and not others; they are identifying immunogenic viral epitopes that harbor high mutational barriers to escape, and they may help illuminate novel, vaccine-relevant HIV epitopes in regions where circulating adaptation is extensive. Elucidation of HLA-driven adapted and nonadapted viral forms in different human populations and HIV subtypes also renders “personalized” immunogen selection, as a component of HIV cure strategies, conceptually feasible.
Summary:
Though adaptation represents a major challenge to HIV prevention and cure, achieving an in-depth understanding of this phenomenon can help move the design of such strategies forward.
Keywords: HIV, HLA, immune escape, adaptation, evolution, vaccine
Introduction
Human Leukocyte Antigen (HLA) class I-restricted CD8+ T-lymphocytes (CTL) play a critical role in HIV control: the initial T cell responses to the transmitted/founder virus help control acute-phase viremia to setpoint levels [1–3], and the expression of specific protective HLA alleles is firmly linked to slower HIV progression [4]. In the early 1990s however, the first reports of mutational HIV escape from HLA-restricted CTL pressures in individuals began to emerge [5]; subsequent studies confirmed that the earliest HIV escape variants emerge rapidly following infection [6–11] and continue to be selected thereafter [12,13] (Figure 1). Mechanisms were also elucidated: escape mutations allow HIV-infected cells to avoid CTL detection by disrupting intracellular epitope processing [14], abrogating epitope-HLA binding [12] and/or altering epitope-HLA interactions with the T-cell receptor [15,16]. It is now appreciated that CTL escape represents a major challenge for immune- and vaccine-mediated HIV control [17,18].
Identification of HLA-associated polymorphisms in HIV using statistical approaches
A significant advance in our understanding of the extent and locations of HLA-driven escape in HIV occurred in 2002, when Moore et al developed a statistical approach to identify these [19]. If escape is HLA-specific, they reasoned, then these pathways should be identifiable by analyzing large HIV sequence datasets annotated with HLA information: specifically, HIV amino acids that were overrepresented in individuals carrying a specific HLA allele (representing the HLA-adapted or inferred escaped form) and, conversely, HIV amino acids that were underrepresented in individuals carrying this allele (representing the HLA-nonadapted or inferred susceptible form) could be identified. This approach was unbiased to the location of CTL epitopes (in fact, it was later used to discover new ones [20]); in addition it corrected for multiple comparisons and addressed possible confounders including co-expressed HLA alleles and covarying HIV amino acids. Over 100 HLA-associated polymorphisms in HIV reverse transcriptase were identified, confirming that escape was reproducible and HLA-specific, and establishing that HLA extensively impacted HIV sequence diversity [19]. Moore et al also recognized that immunogenicity sometimes equated with benefit to the virus rather than the host and coined the broader term “HIV adaptation” (as opposed to escape mutation) to remain agnostic to mechanism and include the paradoxical situation in which the virus adapts to increase, rather than decrease, HLA-restricted recognition [19]. This phenomenon has since been described in more detail [21] and a potential mechanism described experimentally [22]. Later studies further refined the methodology. Critically, it was demonstrated that formal phylogenetic correction for the underlying evolutionary relationships between HIV sequences substantially reduced the number of spurious associations (both false-positive and false-negative) by controlling for viral founder effects [23,24], and more sophisticated approaches to address HLA co-expression and HIV codon covariation were also later developed [25–27]. Nevertheless, the original observation that HLA extensively impacted HIV sequence diversity [19] still held [25].
Phylogenetically-informed approaches have since been used to elucidate HLA-driven escape pathways in all major HIV subtypes including A [28], B [29–31] C [32,33], D [28] and Circulating Recombinant form (CRF)_01 (AE) [34,35], confirming that adaptation is widespread (e.g. >2100 HLA-associated polymorphisms have been mapped across HIV subtype B [29]) and that its specific mutational pathways are reproducible and HLA-specific. Over eighty percent of subtype B-infected, HLA-A*24:02-expressing persons, for example, will select Nef-Y135F [29], which confers partial escape from CTL responses to the overlapping Nef-RW8 and Nef-RF10 epitopes [36,37]. HLA-class II-associated HIV polymorphisms have also been mapped [38], indicating that selective pressure exerted by CD4+ T cells drive HIV evolution as well.
Quantifying HIV adaptation to HLA, and demonstrating clinical relevance
While these studies yielded comprehensive knowledge of HLA-driven escape pathways [25,26,29,33,39–42], most did not address their clinical relevance. While carriage of HLA alleles such as HLA-B*57:01 (e.g. [4,43–46]), CTL targeting of HIV proteins such as Gag [47–50] and other CD8+ T-cell properties such as variant cross-reactivity [51] were clearly linked to viral control, evidence that CTL escape led to loss of this control was limited. Well into the 2000s, evidence was still largely restricted to case-reports of viremia breakthrough following isolated escape events [12,52–54], though some exceptions exist (e.g. [55,56]). Clinical relevance was challenging to establish because a single escape event was unlikely to precipitate loss of viral control in most cases (an average of 3 HIV epitopes are targeted during acute infection [57], broadening to an average of 20 by the chronic phase [58]), and because immune responses are highly dynamic (variant-specific and/or cross-reactive CD8+ T-cells responses often emerge following escape [59,60], and escape within one epitope may create another nearby [61]).
Population-level analyses were performed to link overall escape burden with clinical prognosis, but early results were unconvincing (e.g. [62]), largely for two reasons. First, early algorithms treated all HLA-associated polymorphisms equally, even though their strengths of selection varied widely [29]. A more nuanced metric was thus needed. Secondly, inference of clinical impact from HIV/HLA genotypes alone had its limitations. Specifically, while the presence of escaped HIV in an individual harboring the restricting HLA supported a prior CTL response from which HIV had managed to escape (though transmitted escape cannot be ruled out), the presence of HLA-susceptible HIV could indicate two opposing scenarios. It could indicate a sustained CTL response from which HIV had not yet managed to escape (a protective scenario with respect to viremia control), or it could indicate an inability to target the epitope in the first place (a detrimental scenario). Analyses that integrated HIV/HLA genotypes with CTL response data were thus needed.
These limitations were only recently overcome as part of an international collaborative effort, which included the development of a nuanced metric to quantify the level of adaptation of a given HIV sequence to a given HLA allele, termed the “adaptation score” [63]. The metric employs a probabilistic model to compare what an HIV sequence would ‘look like’ if it were to evolve indefinitely in a host whose CTL response solely targeted HIV epitopes restricted by the HLA allele(s) in question, versus what it would be if the virus were to evolve indefinitely under no immune pressure. Researchers first validated the metric by demonstrating that transmitted HIV sequences initially harbored high adaptation to the donor’s HLA profile but thereafter displayed increasing adaptation to the recipient [63]. Elite controllers [64] also displayed significantly lower HIV adaptation than non-controllers, independent of protective HLA allele carriage, confirming that low autologous HIV adaptation is a correlate of control [63]. Importantly, researchers demonstrated that individuals carrying protective HLA alleles exhibited viral load benefits only if they harbored HLA-susceptible HIV, indicating that HLA-specific protective effects disappear with adaptation [63]. Furthermore, by incorporating CTL response data, researchers confirmed that the best viremia control occurred in individuals with broad anti-HIV CTL responses but low HIV adaptation [63], confirming that sustained CTL targeting of multiple epitopes is critical to HIV control, and providing strong evidence that escape from these responses has negative clinical consequences.
Clinical consequences of transmitted escape
Transmission of HLA-adapted HIV sequences should accelerate clinical progression, but this too had been challenging to demonstrate (Figure 2). It was known that escape mutations could be stably transmitted [65]; that recipients who shared HLA alleles with their donors tended to experience higher setpoint viremia [66]; that rapid progressors tended to harbor a higher mutational burden within optimal CTL epitopes [56]; it had even been specifically demonstrated that transmission of B*57:03-associated escape mutations to B*57:03-expressing recipients compromised HIV control [67]. But, it was not until the adaptation metric was developed that it was possible to broadly demonstrate that transmission of “pre-adapted” HIV had negative clinical consequences [63]. Furthermore, HLA adaptation provided an alternative mechanism to explain the longstanding observation that the pVL setpoint was to a certain extent “heritable” [68]: donor and recipient pVL correlated significantly only in transmission pairs sharing high HLA-B adaptation-similarity, suggesting that the “heritable” viral factor is, in part, HLA adaptation [63]. The reason why pre-adapted HIV transmission led to poorer prognosis was also intuitive: acute-phase immune responses to founder virus epitopes transmitted in their HLA-adapted form were limited, and those that did exist were largely dysfunctional, confirming that pre-adapted HIV sequences were less immunogenic than their nonadapted counterparts [56,63,69].
The full immunologic consequences of HIV preadaptation to HLA are best appreciated at the population level. Given that HIV sequences reproducibly adapt to the HLA alleles expressed by their hosts, HIV sequences circulating in a human population will harbor adaptations specific to the HLA alleles expressed in that population, at frequencies that roughly correlate with that of the restricting HLA (and will exceed the HLA frequency if reversion is sufficiently low) (Figure 3). This was first established by Kawashima et al, who showed, using linked HIV/HLA genotypes from nearly 3000 participants of 9 cohorts spanning 5 continents, that the prevalence of select escape mutations correlated with the frequency of the restricting HLA in the population [70]. The most striking example was the B*51-restricted I135X escape mutation in Reverse Transcriptase, which occurs at the C-terminus of the TI8 epitope, whose circulating prevalence correlated significantly with population B*51 prevalence. Indeed, Japan differs from nearly all other subtype B epidemics in that the consensus residue at RT-135 is not Isoleucine (I), but rather Threonine (T), presumably due to its selection by B*51 and the related allele B*52, which are expressed in more than 40% of Japanese individuals [71]. There is only one other subtype B epidemic where RT-I135T is consensus: Saskatchewan, Canada [72], where 80% of infected persons have Indigenous ancestry, and where B*51 represents the most common HLA-B allele in this population [73]. The A*24:02-associated Nef-Y135F escape mutation provides another example: whereas the global HIV subtype B consensus is tyrosine (Y), in Japan, where >60% of persons express A*24:02, the consensus is Phenylalanine (F), the A*24:02-associated escape variant [74].
This led Kawashima et al to postulate that “viral adaptation may dismantle the well-established HLA associations with control of HIV infection” [70], a prediction that has been borne out in some populations, in particular those where HLA diversity is limited and/or HIV seroprevalence is high. In Japan, HIV adaptation has occurred due to low population HLA diversity. More than 60% of Japanese persons express A*24:02 and >40% express B*51 or B*52, and escape mutations selected by these alleles (Nef-Y135F and RT-I135X respectively) represent the population consensus [70,74]. As a result, B*51’s protective allele status in Japan disappeared by 2001 [75], and accelerated clinical progression has been documented in A*24:02-expressing individuals inferred to have been transmitted Nef-Y135F-containing HIV [37]. In Botswana by contrast, HIV adaptation has occurred due to high HIV seroprevalence maintained over decades: here, HIV adaptation to multiple HLA alleles, including B*57/58:01, is significantly elevated compared to neighboring regions, and as a result B*57 and 58:01 are no longer protective [76]. Saskatchewan, Canada, provides an example where adaptation has occurred in a population with limited HLA diversity and high HIV seroprevalence: extensive HIV adaptation to HLA, and B*51 in particular [72] likely explain, at least in part, regional reports of rapid progression [77], in particular among HLA-B*51-expressing persons [78].
Elsewhere, adaptation is occurring more slowly. Surveys in North America have indicated that, while CTL escape mutation frequencies have approximately doubled during the past 30 years, their absolute magnitudes generally remain low, indicating that viral adaptation will not erode HLA-associated protective effects anytime soon [79,80]. The recent demonstration however that, regardless of location, “protective” HLA alleles are those to which circulating HIV sequences are not (yet) well adapted, confirms that the immunological landscape presented by HIV is dynamic [63]. For example, while B*57:03 and B*58:01 retain their protective status in South Africa, where circulating HIV adaptation to these alleles remains low, they have lost much of their protective status in Botswana and Zambia, where adaptation is higher [63].
Will HIV adaptation to HLA undermine efforts to develop a prophylactic vaccine?
Given HIV’s ongoing adaptation to HLA, are efforts to develop CTL-based vaccines becoming increasingly futile? Indeed, recent HIV epidemic models that simulated large-scale vaccination programmes indicated that population-level HIV adaptation would substantially undermine HIV vaccine efficacy, in terms of the number of new infections averted by vaccination [81]. Recent evidence from Japan however, where population-level HIV adaptation to HLA is extensive, suggests that hope nevertheless remains. Immunogenicity studies of the second-generation tHIVconsvX “conserved mosaic” T-cell vaccine, which comprises functionally conserved HIV regions that include CTL epitopes associated with viremia control, delivered as bivalent complementary mosaic immunogens (to maximize HIV diversity coverage), revealed significant correlations between response breadth/magnitude and favorable clinical profiles in chronically HIV subtype B-infected treatment-naive Japanese persons, in a cross-sectional analysis [82]. Furthermore, response fine-mapping uncovered more than 15 novel subdominant CD8+ T-cell epitopes within the immunogen in this population [50,83], where CD8+ T-cells specific to five of these epitopes cross-recognized diverse viral variants and suppressed HIV replication in vivo [50]. This, taken together with the recent results of the phase 1/2a APPROACH trial, which reported an 83% T-cell response rate to the mosaic HIV envelope/Gag/Pol immunogens delivered via an adenovirus serotype 26 vector [84], as well as the striking vaccine-mediated protection from Simian Immunodeficiency Virus infection in a rhesus monkey cytomegalovirus-vectored vaccine [85–87] mediated by non-canonical CD8+ T-cell responses [88,89], gives continued hope that vaccine-mediated stimulation of effective T-cell responses will be achievable despite population-level HIV adaptation to HLA. However, an important caveat may be to exclude epitopes from the immunogen that are known to induce T-cell responses associated with increased (rather than decreased or equivalent) viral loads in vivo [21,22].
Is HIV adaptation to HLA changing viral virulence?
Although escape mutations clearly advantage HIV in terms of immune evasion, some weaken the virus by compromising viral protein function and/or replication [8,9,13,90–92]. And, when these mutations are transmitted to individuals lacking the restricting HLA, the clinical effects are measurable. Individuals harboring HIV with low replication capacity display favorable clinical profiles [32,56,93–95]; transmission of HIV sequences containing fitness-costly escape mutations are linked to lower viral loads in the recipient [33,96,97]; and the presence of these mutations offset the negative clinical consequences of transmitted escape [69]. These observations have led some to hypothesize that adaptation may have a “silver lining”: specifically, that HIV adaptation to the most protective HLA alleles (which tend to drive the most fitness-costly escape mutations [98,99]) will gradually lower viral replication capacity at the population level, thereby driving down viral loads and reducing HIV virulence over time [76,100]. Comparative studies in Southern Africa [76], as well as Mexico and the Caribbean [100] support this notion, and a recent report from Uganda indicated that setpoint viral loads among newly-infected individuals declined by 0.4 log10 copies/mL from 1995 to 2012 (though this study did not investigate HLA adaptation as a possible cause) [101]. Studies in other regions however suggest that HIV virulence may be increasing [102,103]. Future analyses of virulence dynamics that explicitly incorporate HIV adaptation to HLA may therefore aid in resolving these conflicting - or perhaps region-specific - differences.
Can the study of HIV adaptation to HLA help inform the design of a preventive vaccine?
Ending the HIV pandemic will likely require an effective preventive HIV vaccine, and the best strategies will likely induce broadly-neutralizing antibodies as well as effective cellular responses across the range of HLA alleles expressed in the population. Three approaches are being pursued to achieve the latter. The first two are guided by HIV sequence information: these include “conserved element” strategies which aim to focus CTL responses against HIV regions with a high mutational barrier to escape [82,104–106], and “mosaic” (polyvalent) approaches which seek to maximize coverage of global HIV diversity, including common escape variants, with the goal of priming immune responses against the most diverse possible array of infecting strains [107,108]. A third strategy is guided by human immune response data, by identifying epitopes and/or viral regions associated with viral control for immunogen design [109,110]. These strategies are not mutually exclusive; the tHIVconsvX vaccine for example incorporates elements of all three [82].
Although the above strategies show promise, substantial gaps remain in our knowledge of which HIV epitopes/regions are immunogenic and protective (versus immunogenic and neutral or harmful), which harbor the highest mutational barriers to escape, and which HLA alleles mediate responses to these key regions, across different global populations and HIV subtypes. This information is essential if we wish to achieve effective vaccine-induced antiviral responses across a broad range of HIV epitopes in immunogenetically diverse human populations. Studies of HIV adaptation to HLA can narrow these knowledge gaps. In particular, integrated bioinformatics and mechanistic analyses of HLA-driven adaptation pathways across different populations and HIV subtypes can inform CTL-based immunogen selection for region-specific or universal HIV vaccines [28,30,31]. This is because HLA-associated polymorphisms mark viral sites under intense and reproducible in vivo immune pressure [29]; as such, their identification can reveal novel immunogenic viral regions, including epitopes targeted by understudied and/or population-specific HLA alleles [20,111–113]. Comparative analyses across distinct host populations harboring the same HIV subtype can illuminate the extent to which HIV immunogenic regions and escape pathways are universal versus population-specific [30,31,41], while analyses of HIV epidemics where multiple viral subtypes co-circulate can illuminate the extent to which HIV immunogenic regions are universal versus HIV subtype-specific [28]. Recently, both types of studies have been undertaken, yielding novel insights.
It is now clear, for example, that HIV adaptation pathways differ markedly around the globe. Even though the Japanese and North American HIV epidemics are predominantly subtype B, two-thirds of HLA-driven HIV adaptations in Japan are not observed in North America because the HLA distributions of these populations differ so markedly [30]. Effects can be highly region-specific: over 60% of HLA-associated polymorphisms identified in the unique and highly genetically admixed Mexican population are not observed in Canada/USA, despite HIV subtype B predominating throughout North America [31]. Effects are also HLA-specific: closely related HLA alleles, targeting the same CTL epitope, often drive distinct escape pathways [114]. HIV adaptation can also yield unanticipated insight into population immunity: for example, the overall strength of HLA-driven selection on HIV in Mexico was found to be significantly lower than that in Canada/USA, suggesting that antiviral immunity in Mexico may be weaker, and/or HIV escape pathways less consistent, than elsewhere [31]. If this phenomenon were to be observed in other epidemics, it could have implications for natural and vaccine-induced anti-HIV immunity in these regions.
HIV genetic context also matters [28,115]. This was originally described for a single HLA-restricted CTL epitope: B*57:03-mediated escape within KF11 (Gag codon 162–172) differed in subtypes B and C due to viral backbone-specific functional constraints [115]. Recently however the first comprehensive characterization of differential HLA-driven escape across HIV subtypes (in this case, A1 and D, which cocirculate in East Africa) was undertaken, revealing that one-third of HLA-associated polymorphisms were differentially selected between them, confirming that viral genetic context markedly influences adaptation [28]. Notably, researchers identified epitopes that were universally immunogenic but where the mutational barrier to escape was particularly high in one HIV subtype, thereby illuminating potentially useful vaccine immunogen(s) for that HIV subtype [28].
How else may HIV adaptation to HLA influence HIV prevention strategies?
Escape mutations rarely overlap with drug resistance sites, but some exceptions exist. RT-I135T/V/L (selected by B*51 and B*52 [39]) and RT-283I/L (selected by B*15 [39]) confer up to 3-fold reduced in vitro susceptibility to first-generation Non-Nucleoside Reverse Transcriptase Inhibitors (NNRTIs) [116], while RT-E138G/A/K, selected by B*18 [29,117] can mediate up to 7-fold decreased susceptibility to the second-generation NNRTI rilpivirine [117]. The latter was recently highlighted as an example of a natural immune-driven viral polymorphism that could compromise antiretroviral-based HIV prevention [118], otherwise known as Pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). Rilpivirine was initially favored as a potential PrEP agent as it was available in a long-acting form [119]. However, analysis of linked viral/HLA genotypes from nearly 8000 antiretroviral-naive individuals confirmed that RT-E138G/A/K prevalence varied markedly across the globe, with frequencies exceeding 10% in key epidemic regions (including Sub-Saharan Africa and Eastern Europe) where HLA-B*18 carriage was common [118]. These results underscored the potential for HIV adaptation to HLA to compromise PrEP efficacy in the very regions that need it most, leading researchers to recommend regional HIV polymorphism surveillance prior to PrEP rollout and call for enhanced collaboration across the immune and drug resistance fields.
Can the study of HIV adaptation to HLA inform cure strategies?
HIV cure will require the elimination of the latent HIV reservoir, a pool of long-lived, predominantly CD4+ T-cells that persistently harbor integrated proviral DNA despite suppressive antiretroviral therapy [120,121]. Seeding of HIV sequences into the reservoir begins shortly after infection and continues as long as viral replication remains uncontrolled [122–124]. And, these proviruses can persist for years thereafter [125,126], either in the original latent cell or clonal descendants thereof [127]. As such, the within-host latent HIV reservoir is genetically diverse [128–136] and contains immune escape mutations [137,138], features that represent barriers to cure. While vaccines being pursued for HIV prophylaxis may also be appropriate as therapeutic vaccines to achieve HIV reservoir reduction or elimination (and some are being evaluated in this context [139]), the design of “personalized” immunogens, for example by identifying epitopes within the reservoir that remain immunologically susceptible to autologous HLA-restricted CTL, are being considered [140,141]. The comprehensive elucidation of HLA-susceptible and adapted forms across human populations and HIV subtypes makes such “personalized” approaches increasingly feasible.
Conclusion
Recent international collaborative efforts have advanced our understanding of the clinical and immunologic consequences of HLA-driven HIV adaptation at the individual and population levels. And, because HIV adaptation continues to represent a major challenge to HIV prevention and eradication, its study continues to be relevant. Studies of HIV adaptation to HLA are revealing why certain HLA alleles are protective in some human populations and not others; they are identifying regions which are immunogenic, yet harbor high mutational barriers to escape in certain HIV subtypes, and they can help illuminate novel subdominant HIV epitopes in regions where circulating adaptation is extensive. Furthermore, the comprehensive elucidation of HLA-specific adapted and nonadapted HIV forms across a growing number of host populations and HIV subtypes renders the design of personalized vaccine immunogens conceptually feasible, and we predict that such strategies will soon be pursued as a component of HIV cure strategies.
Key Points.
Mutational pathways of HIV adaptation to HLA are increasingly being elucidated in different human populations and HIV subtypes, yielding information that can inform HIV prevention and cure strategies
Population-level HIV adaptation to HLA is indeed occurring, but at rates that differ markedly between epidemics and regions globally
Transmission of HIV “pre-adapted” to host HLA has significant clinical and immunologic consequences, but not to the point where these will fully undermine HIV vaccine development efforts
Enhanced and comprehensive understanding of HLA-associated escape pathways render “personalized” immunogen selection approaches to achieve HIV reservoir elimination conceptually feasible.
Acknowledgements
We thank the participants of HIV research studies worldwide.
Financial support and sponsorship
This work was supported in part by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (through project grant PJT-148621 to SAR, MJ, SM and ZLB and project grant PJT-159625) and the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases of the National Institutes of Health under award number UM1AI126617, with co-funding support from the National Institute on Drug Abuse, the National Institute of Mental Health, and the National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke (to SAR and ZLB) and by award P30 AI110527 (to SAM). ZLB is supported by a Scholar Award from the Michael Smith Foundation for Health Research (MSFHR).
This work was supported in part by funds from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) and other funding organizations, as detailed in the “Financial support and sponsorship” section at the end of the manuscript.
Footnotes
Conflicts of interest
The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare.
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