Summary
Background
The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) has divided patients with glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) into four subtypes based on mRNA expression microarray. The mesenchymal subtype, with a larger proportion, is considered a more lethal one. Clinical outcome prediction is required to better guide more personalized treatment for these patients.
Aims
The objective of this study was to identify a mRNA expression signature to improve outcome prediction for patients with mesenchymal GBM.
Results
For signature identification and validation, we downloaded mRNA expression microarray data from TCGA as training set and data from Rembrandt and GSE16011 as validation set. Cox regression and risk‐score analysis were used to develop the 4 signatures, which were function and prognosis associated as revealed by Gene Ontology (GO) analysis and Gene Set Variation Analysis (GSVA). Patients who had high‐risk scores according to the signatures had poor overall survival compared with patients who had low‐risk scores.
Conclusions
The signatures were identified as risk predictors that patients who had a high‐risk score tended to have unfavorable outcome, demonstrating their potential for personalizing cancer management.
Keywords: Biomarker, Glioblastoma, Mesenchymal, Prognosis, Risk score
Introduction
Glioma is the most common and lethal intracranial tumor. Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is the most malignant type of glioma, the median overall survival (OS) of which, even after decades of efforts in developing new therapies, is still roughly a year 1. That mainly due to the genetic heterogeneity of tumors. But with the current grading systems, problems such as the variability among observers, the ignorance to etiology, etc. will be obstacles. Thus, molecular classification‐based personalized medicine represents a promising avenue for the treatment of gliomas in the future.
The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) has divided GBM into four subtypes based on mRNA expression microarray 2: proneural, neural, classical, and mesenchymal, which are widely accepted nowadays. The mesenchymal subtype was defined by an expression profile associated with mesenchyme and angiogenesis and overexpression of the CHI3L1/YKL40 and MET genes, as well as astrocytic markers CD44 and MERTK and genes in the TNF superfamily and NFκB pathways. Of the four subtypes, mesenchymal GBM had a poor survival tendency compared with other subtypes 3. Although with poor prognosis, the mesenchymal GBM has not been stratified further. Therefore, in this study, we tried to identify signatures based on mRNA expression microarray, which could divide patients in three datasets into two groups with different prognosis. Two of the signatures could assemble to two separate biological process, transcription and adhesion, which are vital for tumor development, invasion, and metastasis.
Methods
Datasets
Whole‐genome mRNA expression microarray data were downloaded from TCGA database (http://cancergenome.nih.gov) as training set. The repository for Molecular Brain Neoplasia Data (REMBRANDT, http://caintegrator-info.nci.nih.gov/rembrandt) and GSE16011 data (http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/geo/query/acc.cgi?acc=GSE16011) were obtained as validation sets.
Statistical Analysis
For subtype annotation, we applied the previously published gene list and annotated the three datasets by prediction analysis of microarrays (PAM) in BRB Array Tools developed by Richard Simon & BRB‐ArrayTools Development Team. Of the 491 TCGA GBM samples, 159 samples were annotated as mesenchymal GBM. We then excluded samples without prognostic information or too short overall survival (OS) time (<30 days) which might due to other complications rather than GBM itself. The remaining 117 samples were used for signature identification. The other 91 and 67 mesenchymal samples in Rembrandt and GSE16011 were used as validation sets.
In next step, permutation tests were performed to identify genes that were associated significantly with OS. The permuted P‐value for each gene was corrected by multiple comparison correction using the Benjamini–Hochberg false discovery rate (FDR). The genes with corrected permutation P‐values < 0.01 were selected as the candidate genes. Here, 61 genes remained.
DAVID (http://david.abcc.ncifcrf.gov/) Gene Ontology (GO) analysis was performed for the 61 genes. Of the top four GO terms, 17 and eight genes were associated with transcription and adhesion, respectively. If we set the cutoff P‐value as < 0.001, five genes remained. The four sets of signatures were used for further analysis.
To assess the genes that were identified for survival prediction, a risk‐score formula for predicting survival was developed based on a linear combination of the gene expression level (expr) weighted by the regression coefficient derived from the univariate Cox regression analysis (β). The risk score for each patient was calculated as follows:
Patients with high‐risk scores were expected to have poor survival. According to the cutoff value (median risk score), patients in the training set were stratified into a high‐risk group and a low‐risk group. The same β was applied to the validation sets. For genes with multiple probes, we calculated the average expression value of them. The differences in OS between high‐risk patients and low‐risk patients were estimated using the Kaplan–Meier method and two‐sided log‐rank test.
For functional annotation, we also performed Gene Set Variation Analysis (GSVA) by GSVA package 4 of R. The gene lists of adhesion and transcription were from the GO terms GO:0016337, GO:0051091, and GO:0043433.
Results
Detection of Signature and its Association with Survival in the Training Set
In the 117 TCGA mesenchymal GBM samples, we used Cox regression to analyze each of mRNA expression microarray data in the training set and identified 61 genes that were associated significantly with OS (P < 0.01, Table 1). By applying GO analysis of the 61 genes, eight genes and 17 genes were associated with adhesion and transcription, which were the top four GO terms (Table 2). Meanwhile, five genes were associated with OS with even more strict P‐value (P < 0.001, Table 1, gene symbol in bold).
Table 1.
Sixty one genes associated significantly with OS
| Symbol | Hazard ratio | Parametric P‐value | Symbol | Hazard ratio | Parametric P‐value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KCNF1 | 1.488 | 8.57E−05 | KCNE4 | 1.264 | 0.006816 |
| ALCAM b | 0.647 | 0.000131 | RORAa | 1.296 | 0.007009 |
| LHX6 a | 0.467 | 0.000349 | VRK3 | 1.832 | 0.00705 |
| CST4 | 2.488 | 0.000483 | LZTS1a | 2.891 | 0.007299 |
| SPATA6 | 1.678 | 0.000582 | PDE4B | 1.25 | 0.007316 |
| MEOX2a | 1.198 | 0.001403 | C8orf44 | 0.381 | 0.007377 |
| AMIGO2b | 0.816 | 0.00145 | C1orf176 | 0.448 | 0.007418 |
| TNFAIP6b | 1.243 | 0.001489 | FXYD5 | 0.764 | 0.00753 |
| PCDHGC3b | 3.32 | 0.001654 | ZNF576a | 1.621 | 0.00754 |
| BCAP29 | 2.432 | 0.002113 | ZNF593a | 1.558 | 0.007646 |
| C13orf18 | 1.287 | 0.002315 | PDLIM1a | 0.797 | 0.007653 |
| LAMB4b | 4.07 | 0.002333 | C9orf53 | 4.454 | 0.00775 |
| SIGLEC9b | 2.234 | 0.002648 | RPS6KA5a | 0.652 | 0.007762 |
| ITPKC | 1.747 | 0.002694 | STK17A | 1.371 | 0.007899 |
| EFNA5 | 0.148 | 0.003008 | NPAS3a | 1.577 | 0.008039 |
| ATP1B1 | 0.781 | 0.003912 | MGST3 | 0.613 | 0.008215 |
| AMOT | 0.272 | 0.004074 | FOXO4a | 0.333 | 0.008251 |
| RGS6 | 2.288 | 0.004491 | GTF2A1a | 1.786 | 0.00879 |
| MYO1D | 0.707 | 0.004546 | AP4M1 | 1.619 | 0.008795 |
| BRF2a | 2.268 | 0.004803 | NANS | 0.616 | 0.008875 |
| FLJ21963 | 1.303 | 0.0049 | FKRP | 2.769 | 0.008972 |
| CHD3a | 0.471 | 0.005445 | FZD7 | 1.236 | 0.009044 |
| PLEKHA4 | 1.528 | 0.005584 | ALKBH4 | 2.142 | 0.009071 |
| HUS1 | 2.484 | 0.005645 | TPBGb | 0.846 | 0.009095 |
| PTPRKa, b | 0.705 | 0.005791 | FBXO7 | 0.595 | 0.009225 |
| AGTPBP1 | 0.636 | 0.005938 | MNX1a | 0.629 | 0.00963 |
| ARNTLa | 1.396 | 0.006122 | LFNG | 2.177 | 0.009761 |
| ZNF492a | 0.415 | 0.006151 | SLC4A4 | 1.233 | 0.009805 |
| SLC38A1 | 0.823 | 0.006728 | SEMA6D | 1.42 | 0.009949 |
| CDC42EP2 | 0.37 | 0.006729 | TMC6 | 0.593 | 0.009962 |
| C7orf26 | 2.049 | 0.006778 | – | – | – |
17 genes associated with transcription.
eight genes associated with adhesion. Gene symbol in bold, top five genes associated with overall survival (OS).
Table 2.
Top four GO terms of the 61 genes
| GO term | Biological process | Gene count | P‐value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GO:0007155 | Cell adhesion | 8 | 0.009962 |
| GO:0022610 | Biological adhesion | 8 | 0.010036 |
| GO:0045449 | Regulation of transcription | 17 | 0.011749 |
| GO:0006355 | Regulation of transcription, DNA‐dependent | 13 | 0.015799 |
GO, gene ontology.
We then applied the four gene groups—61, 17, eight, and five genes, respectively, to develop signatures using the risk‐score method. The signature risk score was calculated for each of the 117 patients in the training set and then was used to divide them into a high‐risk group and a low‐risk group based on the cutoff value (median risk score of each signature). We observed that patients in high‐risk group had shorter median OS than patients in low‐risk group. The survival differences risk score and patients' survival distribution were also shown in Figure 1 and Figure 2.
Figure 1.

These Kaplan–Meier estimates of overall survival in patients with glioblastoma multiforme constructed by the gene signatures. (A) 61 genes signature; (B) 17 genes signature; (C) 8 genes signature; (D) 5 genes signature. P‐values were indicated for the high‐risk and low‐risk groups stratified according to the median risk score in the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) data. H, high‐risk group; L, low‐risk group.
Figure 2.

Analysis of the four sets of signature risk score was illustrated for patients in the training set, including (Top) gene signature risk‐score distribution and (Bottom) patient survival duration. (A) 61‐gene signature; (B) 17‐gene signature; (C) eight‐gene signature; (D) five‐gene signature. The blue vertical lines in the middle of each graph represented the gene signature cutoff (median risk score), each dot represented a single patient.
Validation of the Prognostic Value of Gene Signatures in Validation Sets
For validation, we also downloaded whole‐genome mRNA expression profiling of glioma patients from Rembrandt and GSE16011 and did subtype annotation as described in Statistical Analysis. For the remaining 91 and 67 mesenchymal GBM patients in the two datasets, we then used the same risk‐score formulas obtained from the training set and got risk score for each individual in each respective situation. In each dataset, patients were divided into high‐risk group and low‐risk group according to the risk score, which was higher or lower than the cutoff. As the similar results were shown in Figure 3, the prognostic value of the signatures was validated in both of the datasets.
Figure 3.

Kaplan–Meier estimates of overall survival in patients with mesenchymal glioblastoma multiforme (GBMs) illustrated the risk‐score analysis using the four separate gene signatures. Except for the 17‐gene signature in GSE16011, which got marginal P‐value, patients could be divided into two groups with significantly different prognosis. H, high‐risk group; L, low‐risk group. Cutoff value, (A–C, G) median risk score; (D–F, H), patient proportion, 29:38, 59:32, 39:28, 42:25 (low‐risk vs. high‐risk).
Functional Annotation of the Two Groups with Different Risk Scores
As we found that the functions of the 61 genes, which were able to divide patients into two subgroups with different prognosis, were mainly associated with adhesion and transcription, we further performed GSVA with the risk score going from low to high. The gene lists of adhesion and transcription were from the GO terms GO:0016337, GO:0051091, and GO:0043433. Patients with higher risk score tended to have a lower expression of adhesion‐associated genes and a higher expression of transcription‐associated genes (Figure 4). That might be an explanation of the different prognosis of the two groups divided by risk score.
Figure 4.

Gene Set Variation Analysis of the Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) samples with risk score of 61‐gene signature. The risk score (upper panel) was calculated with the formula described above and ranked from left to right. Gene set enrichment scores (lower panel) of adhesion and transcription were analyzed by Gene Set Variation Analysis (GSVA) package of R. Patients with higher risk score tended to have a lower expression of adhesion‐associated genes and higher expression of transcription‐associated ones.
The Gene Function Interpretation of the Five Genes
The five genes, as described above, were KCNF1, ALCAM, LHX6, CST4, and SPATA6. With combined risk‐score analysis, they could divide patients into high‐ and low‐risk groups with significant prognosis.
KCNF1, voltage–gated potassium channel, subfamily F, member 1, was first isolated, characterized, and mapped in the year 1997 5. Voltage‐gated potassium channels represent the most complex class of voltage‐gated ion channels from both functional and structural standpoints. Their diverse functions in the nervous system include regulating neurotransmitter release, neuronal excitability, cell volume, and so on. This gene, which is intronless and expressed in all tissues tested, encodes a member of the potassium channel, voltage‐gated, and subfamily Lubec et al. 6 found that there was no statistically significant difference between the control and the Down Syndrome group by applying an array of 96 brain RNAs mainly consisting of channels and transporters to show their expressional levels in the two groups. Somatic mutation has also been found in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm by applying whole‐exome sequencing 7.
ALCAM, activated leukocyte cell adhesion molecule, also known as CD166, was first cloned, mapped, and characterized in the year 1995. It was found to implicate in cell adhesion and migration 8, 9. Carbotti et al. 10 also identified serum ALCAM as a potential biomarker of epithelial ovarian cancer in type II tumors. There are similar findings 11, 12, 13, 14 in other tumor types.
LHX6 encodes a protein which may function as a transcriptional regulator and may be involved in the control of differentiation and development of neural cells 15, 16. Zhang et al. 17 found some of the mechanisms of LHX6 involved in normal craniofacial and tooth development. It was also been found a tumor suppressor in human cervical cancer 18 and a methylation marker in head and neck carcinomas 19.
CST4, cystatin S, is a secreted protein, which is commonly found in saliva, tears, and seminal plasma. Secreted proteins are known to influence pathological interactions between metastatic cancer cells and the original site. Blanco MA found that high expression of CST4 was associated with bone metastasis by applying nonquantitative mass spectrometry 20. Wiech T also identified its association with esophageal adenocarcinoma by applying single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) microarrays 21.
SPATA6, a spermatogenesis associated gene, has rarely been reported. It was first identified in rat by Yamano et al. 22 in 2001. So far, we have known little about its association with cancer.
Discussion and Conclusion
Glioma is the most common type of intracranial tumor, about half of which is GBM, the most malignant one. Based on the current histopathologic classification system, there is a high rate of divergent diagnoses, inexact prognostic capabilities, and poor therapeutic predictive properties, which all reveal the urgent need for an objective, molecular‐based classification system.
Molecular classification of gliomas, especially GBM has developed rapidly these years. Several groups have reported their classification systems based on mRNA expression 2, 3, 23, 24, microRNA expression 25, or methylation 26, 27. Among them, there are more reports focused on mRNA expression classification systems, and the mesenchymal and proneural subtypes were identified consistently through the various datasets. Because of the molecular features of mesenchymal GBM I mentioned above, it had a poor survival tendency compared with other subtypes 3, which revealed the urgency for further stratification. In this study, we performed Cox regression and risk‐score analysis on three mRNA expression microarray data from patients in western countries and identified a series of gene signatures, which could divide patients into high‐ and low‐risk groups with different prognosis. And the prognostic value of the signatures was validated in additional datasets. Because of the potential differences from platforms, population, and so on, the marginal P‐value of 17‐gene signature in GSE16011 is acceptable.
By applying GO analysis of the first one, 61‐gene signature, obtained by setting the P‐value as < 0.01, we further selected another two sets of signatures based on their function. 17 and eight of the 61 genes are associated with transcription and adhesion, respectively. Those are vital roles for tumor development, invasion, and metastasis. We also performed GSVA with risk score going from low to high, where we found that patients with higher risk score tended to have a lower expression of adhesion‐associated genes and a higher expression of transcription‐associated genes. Therefore, we could infer that the reason for the divisibility of mesenchymal GBM patients is mainly the two biological processes.
It has been reported that E‐cadherin, for example, a key cell‐to‐cell adhesion molecule, involved the loss in carcinoma cells. By forming adherens junctions with adjacent epithelial cells, E‐cadherin helps to assemble epithelial cell sheets and maintains the quiescence of the cells within these sheets. Increased expression of E‐cadherin was well established as an antagonist of invasion and metastasis, whereas reduction of its expression was known to potentiate these phenotypes 28, 29. Expression of genes encoding other cell‐to‐cell adhesion molecules is demonstrably altered in some highly aggressive carcinomas, with those favoring cytostasis typically being downregulated. Let alone transcription‐associated genes, which could directly up‐ or low‐regulate oncogenes or tumor suppressors. Thus, that might be a good explanation for why patients with high ‐risk score (i.e., poor prognosis) had a low expression of adhesion‐associated genes and high expression of transcription‐associated ones.
In summary, by applying Cox regression and risk‐score analysis on mesenchymal GBM both in the training and validation data, we identified four sets of signatures, which could divide patients into subgroups with significantly different prognosis. Meanwhile, we found that patients in the separate group had different gene set variation, which might partially explain the prognosis difference. To our knowledge, this is the first study focusing on substratifications of current TCGA mRNA classification. Although the results are all obtained by bioinformatic analysis without in vivo or in vitro assays, which are needed in the future, the high concordance among the three datasets still revealed the significance and potential of the classification system for personalizing cancer management.
Conflict of Interest
The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by grants from National High Technology Research and Development Program (No. 2012AA02A508), International Science and Technology Cooperation Program (No. 2012DFA30470) and National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 81201993).
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