Abstract
Background
Psychological factors are associated with an increased risk of developing ischemic heart disease (IHD). Women more often report psychological factors, and sex and gender differences are present in IHD. In this meta‐analysis we examine the risks of psychological factors for IHD incidence in women and men. We hypothesize that a broad range of psychological factors are related to a higher risk for incident IHD, with a higher risk for women.
Methods and Results
PubMed, EMBASE, and PsycINFO were searched for studies assessing the risk between psychological factors and incident IHD. Psychological factors included depression, anxiety or panic disorder, social support, hostility, anger, personality (type D), type A behavior pattern, posttraumatic stress disorder, and psychological distress. In the primary analyses, 62 studies (77 separate reports) that included 2 145 679 women and 3 119 879 men and reported confounder‐adjusted hazard ratios or relative risks were included. Pooled effect confounder‐adjusted estimates from random‐effects models showed that psychological factors (all combined) were associated with incident IHD in women (hazard ratio: 1.22; 95% CI, 1.14–1.30) and men (hazard ratio: 1.25; 95% CI, 1.19–1.31). No sex and gender differences were found for these pooled effect estimates (P=0.547).
Conclusions
Psychological factors are associated with incident IHD in both women and men, but no significant differences were observed between women and men. IHD is predominantly being studied as obstructive coronary artery disease, which is more prevalent in men. Data are needed on psychological predictors and other manifestations of IHD such as coronary microvascular disease, which is more common in women.
Keywords: gender, incidence, ischemic heart disease, meta‐analysis, psychology and behavior, sex
Subject Categories: Meta Analysis, Mortality/Survival, Mental Health, Women, Chronic Ischemic Heart Disease
Clinical Perspective
What Is New?
This meta‐analysis is the first assessing the association between psychological factors and incident ischemic heart disease (IHD) outcomes, stratified for women and men.
Psychological factors were associated with a significantly increased risk of developing IHD in both women (22%) and men (25%).
What Are the Clinical Implications?
Healthcare professionals should recognize and acknowledge the importance of psychological factors in developing IHD in women and men.
IHD is predominantly being studied as obstructive coronary artery disease, which is more prevalent in men than in women.
Data are needed on psychological predictors of other manifestations of IHD such as coronary microvascular disease, which is more common in women.
Introduction
Cardiovascular disease is the most important cause of death globally and has obvious sex and gender (S&G) differences.1 In 2015, 17.7 million people died from a cardiovascular disease event, of which an estimated 7.4 million were due to ischemic heart disease (IHD).2 The prevalence of IHD is higher in men than in women (7.4% and 5.3% respectively, in US adults), and IHD mortality is up to 5 times higher in men than in women.3, 4 Women develop IHD 10 years later than men on average, with risks increasing after menopause.1 IHD comprises all cardiac conditions with an ischemic origin (ie, both obstructive coronary artery disease [CAD] and coronary microvascular disease). The term IHD is particularly relevant for cardiac diagnosis in women because women present more often than men with signs and symptoms of IHD in the absence of obstructive coronary arteries.5 The combination of nonobstructive CAD and vasomotor disorders dominates in women at middle age and is often underestimated or not included in clinical studies.5, 6 Whereas men more often experience the classic symptoms of chest pain with radiation to the back and arms, women more often present with “atypical” symptoms such as shortness of breath, chest pain at rest, nausea, and back or jaw pain than men, and these symptoms are not readily recognized as diagnostic for IHD.2
Several risk factors have been related to the development of IHD (incidence). Behavioral risk factors for IHD incidence are smoking, an unhealthy diet, physical inactivity, and harmful use of alcohol.2 Negative psychological factors are being acknowledged by the European Society of Cardiology as important cardiac risk factors related to adverse IHD incidence and prognosis.7 Psychological factors comprise a number of concepts including depression, anxiety or panic disorder, (di)stress, loneliness or perceived social isolation, hostility, posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD), and personality (type D).7, 8
The prevalence of some psychological factors differs by S&G in the general population. Depression is more common in women than in men (prevalence >7.5% and >5.5%, respectively, for those aged 55–74 years).9 The same holds for anxiety disorders (4.6% versus 2.6%, respectively, at the global level).9 Given that IHD manifests differently in women and men, psychological factors could affect the progression of IHD differently for women and men.1, 7 To date, some meta‐analyses have investigated the relationship between psychological factors and the incidence of IHD events. Tully et al examined a meta‐analysis showing an increased risk for panic disorder with incident CAD; however, no S&G‐stratified results were reported.10 Low and colleagues performed a literature review of studies examining S&G differences for psychological factors with incident IHD and showed that depression; stress at home or in a relationship; and, to a lesser extent, anxiety predict IHD risk in women; however, they did not perform a structured meta‐analysis.11 The individual patient data meta‐analysis of Doyle et al examined a significant sex×depression interaction for outcomes, with men showing worse cardiac prognosis than women, but focused on post‐MI patients only, of which men are more prevalent.12
In this systematic review and meta‐analysis, we aim to assess S&G‐stratified risks of negative psychological factors for the development of IHD. We hypothesize that both women and men with psychological factors have an increased risk of developing IHD, with a more pronounced risk in women than men. As a secondary aim, we investigate diversity and confounding associated factors related to the S&G‐stratified risk of psychological factors for IHD incidence.
Methods
The protocol for this systematic review and meta‐analysis, including a second systematic review and meta‐analysis regarding adverse outcomes (prognosis) in S&G‐stratified IHD populations, has been registered in the PROSPERO international prospective register of systematic reviews (registration number CRD42017067087). This meta‐analysis was developed following the key steps and recommendations of the American Heart Association.13 The data, analytic methods, and study materials have been made available to other researchers for purposes of reproducing the results or replicating the procedure.14
Search Strategy
Two authors (V.S. and P.M.) conducted the literature search using PubMed, EMBASE, and PsycINFO. The search terms used in each database were composed in cooperation with the authors (V.S., P.L., W.K., A.M., and P.M.) and a medical librarian with experience in electronic literature searching. Furthermore, to increase the yield of relevant studies, a hand search was performed by 1 reviewer (V.S.) who examined reference lists of relevant systematic reviews and meta‐analyses. Our first search was limited to English studies and a publication period between January 1, 2000, and April 17, 2017. To ensure that as many studies as possible were included in our analyses, a second search was performed on January 17, 2018, until that date. This search included a second hand search by another reviewer (P.M.). A complete overview of the performed searches, including search terms, can be found in Table S1.
Psychological Factors
Psychological factors included in this review were derived from the “core questions for the assessment of psychological risk factors in clinical practice” of the 2016 European guidelines on cardiovascular disease prevention.7 Search terms were developed for depression; anxiety and panic disorder; social isolation, social support, and loneliness; hostility; anger; personality (type D); type A behavior pattern; PTSD; and psychological distress. Psychological distress was defined as general distress, psychosocial stress, psychological stress, or a combination of similar psychological factors.
Eligibility Criteria
Only prospective cohort studies for incident IHD were eligible in this meta‐analysis. Study participants had to develop incident fatal or nonfatal IHD after a follow‐up period. Each included study had to investigate ≥1 of the psychological prognostic factors, measured with a self‐reported questionnaire or diagnosed by clinical interview.
We excluded case–control studies, cross‐sectional studies, retrospective studies, reviews and meta‐analyses, letters to the editors, and dissertation findings (irrelevant study design). Studies were also excluded if they focused exclusively on acute stress‐induced cardiac events or if the end point involved predominantly cardiovascular diseases such as heart failure, arrhythmias, and peripheral vascular disease or when data were not separately presented for IHD. Furthermore, we excluded studies with self‐reported IHD incidence. At last, studies were excluded if the psychological factor was not a variable of interest (eg, neighborhood psychological factors, work‐related psychological factors, annoyance from noise, early life events, bereavement or loss of significant other), and other mental disorders (eg, schizophrenia and attention deficit hyperactivity disorder).
Study Selection Process
Two reviewers (V.S. and P.M.) independently performed the screening process. In the first step, titles and abstracts were screened and studies were included or excluded based on the established criteria. Title and abstract screening was performed using the Covidence platform. In the second step, studies that passed the first round were included or excluded based on full‐text screening. If publications were based on the same sample and reported results on the same predictors and outcomes, then we chose to include the study that reported results of dichotomized over continuous psychological factors, included the largest sample size and/or longest follow‐up time. Disagreements were discussed for consensus, and if no consensus was reached, a third reviewer (A.M. or W.K.) was consulted.
Data Extraction
After completion of the screening, data were extracted by one reviewer (V.S., P.M., or B.v.G.) and verified by a second reviewer (V.S., P.M., or B.v.G.) based on a customized standardized data extraction form. The following data were extracted: study identification (authors, global continent, year of publication, study period, type of study design), study characteristics (number and percentage of male and female participants, mean age of sample, mean follow‐up duration, number and percentage of European descent or white participants, number of participants free of IHD), psychological factors (psychological factors, measurement methods, prevalence [reported in the study or calculated based on data present]), adjustment for covariates (including the categories demographic; lifestyle; cardiac risk factors, history, and disease severity; diabetes mellitus–related; somatic comorbidity; psychological comorbidity; medication and cardiac treatment; study‐specific [see Table S2 for details]), and outcomes (IHD‐related outcomes, number of events, statistical effect sizes for women and men [both adjusted and unadjusted] with corresponding 95% CIs). Furthermore, we reported whether a study included only women, only men, or both.
Authors of studies that included both women and men but did not further stratify for S&G were contacted by email to provide us with S&G‐stratified data. The longest follow‐up moment was used in case multiple follow‐up moments were reported in 1 study. We chose to extract both unadjusted effect sizes and effect sizes adjusted for the most complete set of confounders. If >1 measure of the same psychological factor was included, we chose to include the measurement used most often in other included studies with the same psychological factor. Moreover, if a psychological factor was divided in >2 categories, the most detrimental score of a factor was chosen to represent the effect. For example, when both high and medium perceived stress were examined in a study and investigated with the same questionnaire, we chose the high perceived stress (compared with low perceived stress) category to represent the effect of the psychological factor.15 If >1 outcome was reported in a study, the outcome comprising the most cardiac events was chosen to be included in our primary analyses.
Statistical Analysis
Hazard ratios (HRs) and relative risks were considered equivalent and were used as the primary effect sizes of this meta‐analysis. Authors were contacted when no effect size estimate or only odds ratios were reported and these effects could not be calculated based on other statistics reported in the study (eg, numbers of men and of women with or without the psychological factor and with or without the outcome). When studies did not report S&G‐stratified effect sizes but did report S&G‐stratified 2×2 tables, the frequencies in these tables were used to calculate relative risks and 95% CIs.16 Primary analyses were based on effect sizes adjusted for confounders. When studies reported fully adjusted models as well as minimally adjusted models (eg, for age only), the latter were considered as unadjusted.
To reduce bias due to heterogeneity between studies and to examine whether the relationship between psychological factors and IHD differed between specific groups, a priori planned subgroup analyses were performed in several studies. These analyses were done when ≥2 studies in each subgroup could be included. Analyses were based on follow‐up duration (<11 and ≥11 years), global continent of study performance, number of analyzed people (<5000, ≥5000), mean age of the study participants at baseline (<60, 60–65, and >65 years), percentage of European descent or white study participants (<50%, ≥50%), type of measurement (clinical diagnosis, questionnaire), unadjusted raw score versus minimally adjusted (eg, age only), baseline free of IHD or not, publication year (<2010, ≥2010), S&G‐stratified results reported in the study versus received from the authors, IHD outcome divided into other relevant outcomes reported in the study (cardiac mortality, IHD, myocardial infarction [MI]), sample (community, high risk [eg, diabetes mellitus, hypercholesterolemia, hypertension], military, menopausal), and whether adjustment for lifestyle factors was done (yes versus no). The cutoffs were calculated by using the median of included studies (eg, for age, number of analyzed people, and follow‐up duration). The Bonferroni–Holm procedure was used to correct for multiple testing.17 The pooled effect estimates reflect the risk of developing IHD in the presence versus absence of exposure to the psychological risk factor under consideration.
Heterogeneity was assessed with the Cochran Q statistic18 and the Higgins I2 index.19 An I2 value of 25% means that a small degree of inconsistency or statistical heterogeneity exists. An I2 value of 50% implies a moderate degree, and 75% implies a large degree.20 We chose random‐effects models for the pooled analyses because we assume that our included studies are a random sample from the population of possible studies on this topic. Moreover, we assume that the moderator variables examined in our meta‐analysis are not exhaustive and thus that unexplained heterogeneity remains in the present meta‐analysis. We aim to accommodate this residual by using a random‐effects model. Sensitivity and additional meta‐analyses were performed to assess studies using unadjusted data, continuous data, and odds ratios. It has been argued recently that meeting the assumption of homogeneity is not necessary when using fixed‐effects models, indicating that the presence of heterogeneity does not preclude using fixed‐effects models to estimate overall effects in meta‐analyses.21 Consequently, we additionally fit fixed‐effects models to our primary data. Possible publication bias was investigated using funnel plots, Egger tests,22 and the Duval and Tweedie trim‐and‐fill method.23 Comprehensive Meta‐Analysis v2.0 (Biostat) was used to perform all analyses.
Results
Study Selection
The search resulted in 12 330 studies of which 668 were eligible after title–abstract screening, and 132 were eligible after full‐text screening (Figure 1). The most common reasons for exclusion of studies were overlap with another study from the same author and/or cohort (n=128), irrelevant study design (n=94), outcome other than IHD (n=72), and predictor falling outside selection criteria (n=51). Another 157 studies were relevant for our systematic review and meta‐analysis regarding adverse outcomes in cardiac populations (prognosis) and thus were not included in this meta‐analysis.
Figure 1.

Flow chart of study selection. IHD indicates ischemic heart disease; S&G, sex and gender.
In total, 55 studies (42%) did not stratify for S&G, 11 (8%) studies reported for women only, 29 (22%) included only men, and 37 (28%) reported S&G‐stratified results. One study reported S&G‐stratified results for only 1 of 3 relevant psychological factors, and the authors were contacted.24 Three authors of studies included after the second hand search could not be contacted because of time constraints. After contacting the 52 authors who did not report S&G‐stratified results, we received the results of 21 (41%) nonstratified studies, 13 (26%) authors did not respond, and 18 (35%) were unable or unwilling to perform S&G‐stratified analyses. The 34 studies without S&G‐stratified data were excluded from our meta‐analyses. In total, 98 studies were included comprising 160 separate reports of psychological factors and/or IHD outcomes. In the primary analysis, we excluded 66 reports of unadjusted results, 17 reports with possibly multiple overlapping IHD outcomes, 14 reports with continuous data, and/or 2 reports reporting odds ratios only. One report was also excluded because no CI was reported for the primary effect size and this interval could not be determined based on other reported statistics.25 After exclusion, 62 studies (comprising 77 separate reports) were left and eligible for our primary analyses. These 62 studies provide data from at least 2 145 679 women and 3 119 879 men, with at least 654 345 incident IHD events.
Study Characteristics
Table 1 presents the baseline characteristics of the 77 reports included in our primary analysis.15, 24, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84, 85
Table 1.
Characteristics of Studies Included in Our Primary Analyses
| First Author (Year)a | Global Continent | Analyzed (n) | Baseline IHD Free | Age, y | S&G | % W | % European Descent | Q or D | Outcome | Adj. for Lifestyle | S&G in Study |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anger | |||||||||||
| Boyle (2006)28 4 | North America | 2105 | Yes | 46.7 | M | 0 | 94 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Chang (2002)29 | North America | 1055 | Yes | 26.4 | M | 0 | 98 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Eng (2003)30 | North America | 23 522 | Yes | 61.9 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Haukkala (2010)24 | Europe | 7368 | Yes | 46.9 | WM | 53 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Kubzansky (2006)31 3 | North America | 1306 | Yes | 61.0 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Player (2007)32 1 | North America | 2334 | Yes | NR | WM | 52 | 80 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Stürmer (2006)33 2 | Europe | 3892 | Yes | 53.4 | WM | 52 | NR | Q | MI | Yes | No |
| Anxiety | |||||||||||
| Albert (2005)26 | North America | 72 359 | Yes | 54.4 | W | 100 | NR | Q | MI | Yes | Yes |
| Berge (2016)27 | Europe | 7052 | Yes | 43.1 | WM | 48 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Boyle (2006)28 2 | North America | 2105 | Yes | 46.7 | M | 0 | 94 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Carriere (2013)36 | Europe | 1708 | No | NR | WM | 59 | NR | D | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Denollet (2009)39 | Europe | 5073 | Yes | 50.4 | W | 100 | 100 | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Gustad (2014)40 2 | Europe | 57 953 | Yes | 47.7 | WM | 54 | NR | Q | MI | Yes | No |
| Janszky (2010)41 2 | Europe | 49 321 | Yes | NR | M | 0 | NR | D | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Kubzansky (2006)31 2 | North America | 1306 | Yes | 61.0 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Mathur (2016)42 2 | Europe | 524 952 | Yes | 35.9 | WM | 47 | 42 | D | MI | Yes | No |
| Nefs (2015)43 2 | Europe | 961 | Yes | 67.0 | WM | 53 | 98 | Q | CVD | No | No |
| Phillips (2009)44 2 | North America | 4256 | NR | 39.1 | M | 0 | 82 | D | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Ringbäck (2005)45 | Europe | 34 511 | NR | 42.6 | WM | 50 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Smoller (2007)46 | North America | 3243 | No | 65.9 | W | 100 | 73 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Stewart (2016)47 | North America | 2041 | Yes | 68.5 | WM | 73 | 42 | Q | MI | Yes | No |
| Depression | |||||||||||
| Ahto (2007)34 | Europe | 660 | Yes | 71.4 | WM | 57 | NR | Q | CM | No | Yes |
| Boyle (2006)28 3 | North America | 2105 | Yes | 46.7 | M | 0 | 94 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Brunner (2014)35 | Europe | 5717 | Yes | 61.0 | WM | 29 | 93 | Q | CM/MI | No | No |
| Chi (2014)37 | Asia | 13 209 | Yes | NR | WM | 63 | NR | D | MI | No | Yes |
| Clouse (2003)38 | North America | 76 | Yes | 41.3 | W | 100 | 58 | D | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Cohen (2001)48 | North America | 5564 | Yes | 53.2 | WM | 36 | 34 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Daskalopoulou (2016)49 | Europe | 1 233 937 | Yes | 47.3 | WM | 49 | NR | D | MI | Yes | Yes |
| Ferketich (2000)50 | North America | 7903 | Yes | 54.5 | WM | 63 | 86 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Gale (2014)51 | Europe | 1 107 524 | Yes | 18.3 | M | 0 | NR | D | IHD | No | Yes |
| Gasse (2014)52 | Europe | 4 545 327 | Yes | NR | WM | NR | NR | D | IHD | No | Yes |
| Gump (2005)53 | North America | 11 216 | Yes | 46.4 | M | 0 | 90 | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Gustad (2014)40 1 | Europe | 57 953 | Yes | 47.7 | WM | 54 | NR | Q | MI | Yes | No |
| Haukkala (2009)54 | Europe | 7674 | Yes | 47.7 | WM | 52 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Hiles (2015)55 | Oceania | 1692 | Yes | 65.2 | WM | 53 | NR | Q | CVD | NR | No |
| Hiltunen (2014)56 | Europe | 508 | NR | 80.2 | WM | 73 | NR | Q | CM | No | No |
| Huang (2013)57 | Asia | 39 685 | Yes | NR | WM | 63 | NR | D | IHD | Yes | No |
| Janszky (2010)41 1 | Europe | 49 321 | Yes | NR | M | 0 | NR | D | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Kamphuis (2006)58 | Europe | 799 | Yes | 76.3 | M | 0 | NR | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Kendler (2009)59 | Europe | 27 517 | Yes | 57.3 | WM | 53 | NR | Q | IHD | No | Yes |
| Khambaty (2016)60 | North America | 26 144 | Yes | 48.0 | WM | 3 | 38 | D | MI | Yes | No |
| Klabbers (2009)61 1 | Europe | 2374 | Yes | 41.9 | WM | 51 | NR | Q | IHD | No | Yes |
| Kubzansky (2006)31 1 | North America | 1306 | Yes | 61.0 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Liu (2016)62 | Asia | 486 541 | Yes | 51.0 | WM | 59 | NR | D | IHD | Yes | No |
| Majed (2012)63 | Europe | 9601 | Yes | 54.9 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Mallon (2002)64 | Europe | 1870 | No | 56.0 | WM | 52 | NR | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Mathur (2016)42 1 | Europe | 524 952 | Yes | 35.9 | WM | 47 | 42 | D | MI | Yes | No |
| Mejía‐Lancheros (2014)65 | Europe | 7263 | Yes | 67.0 | WM | 58 | NR | D | CVD | Yes | Yes |
| Nefs (2015)43 1 | Europe | 961 | Yes | 67.0 | WM | 53 | 98 | Q | CVD | No | No |
| Phillips (2009)44 1 | North America | 4256 | NR | 39.1 | M | 0 | 82 | D | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Shah (2011)66 | North America | 7641 | Yes | 28.1 | WM | 54 | 29 | D | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Stürmer (2006)33 1 | Europe | 3892 | Yes | 53.4 | WM | 52 | NR | Q | MI | Yes | No |
| Sun (2013)67 | Asia | 62 839 | NR | NR | WM | 66 | NR | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Sundquist (2005)68 | Europe | NR | NR | NR | WM | NR | NR | D | IHD | No | Yes |
| Surtees (2008)69 | Europe | 19 649 | Yes | NR | WM | 58 | NR | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Wassertheil‐Smoller (2004)70 | North America | 73 098 | Yes | NR | W | 100 | 83 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Whang (2009)71 | North America | 63 469 | Yes | 58.4 | W | 100 | NR | Q | MI | Yes | Yes |
| Yasuda (2002)72 | Asia | 817 | Yes | 72.0 | WM | 61 | NR | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Distress | |||||||||||
| Gustad (2014)40 3 | Europe | 57 953 | Yes | 47.7 | WM | 54 | NR | Q | MI | Yes | No |
| Kubzansky (2006)31 4 | North America | 1306 | Yes | 61.0 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Macleod (2002)15 | Europe | 5606 | No | 48.0 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Nicholson (2005)76 | Europe | 5075 | Yes | 49.2 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Nielsen (2008)77 | Europe | 12 128 | No | 56.5 | WM | 55 | NR | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Ohlin (2004)78 | Europe | 13 280 | Yes | 45.2 | WM | 20 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Player (2007)32 2 | North America | 2334 | Yes | NR | WM | 52 | 80 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Rasul (2005)80 | Europe | 6575 | Yes | 54.5 | WM | 55 | NR | Q | IHD | No | Yes |
| Rasul (2007)79 | Europe | 1864 | Yes | 57.4 | M | 0 | NR | Q | MI | Yes | Yes |
| Hostility | |||||||||||
| Boyle (2006)28 1 | North America | 2105 | Yes | 46.7 | M | 0 | 94 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Klabbers (2009)61 2 | Europe | 2374 | Yes | 41.9 | WM | 51 | NR | Q | IHD | No | Yes |
| Tindle (2009)81 | North America | 97 253 | Yes | NR | W | 100 | 92 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| PTSD | |||||||||||
| Boscarino (2008)73 | North America | 4328 | Yes | 38.0 | M | 0 | 82 | D | CM | Yes | Yes |
| Jordan (2013)75 | North America | 46 346 | Yes | 41.1 | WM | 40 | 56 | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Low social support | |||||||||||
| De Vogli (2007)74 | Europe | 8499 | Yes | 44.3 | WM | 32 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | No |
| Ikeda (2008)82 | Asia | 44 152 | Yes | 53.6 | WM | 52 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Kuper (2006)83 | Europe | 48 066 | Yes | 40.3 | W | 100 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Rosengren (2004)85 | Europe | 741 | Yes | 50.0 | M | 0 | NR | Q | IHD | Yes | Yes |
| Type A behavior | |||||||||||
| Lohse (2017)84 | Europe | 9921 | NR | 43.6 | WM | 51 | NR | Q | CM | Yes | Yes |
Adj. indicates adjusted; CM, cardiac mortality; CVD, cardiovascular disease; D, diagnosis; IHD, ischemic heart disease; M, men; MI, myocardial infarction; NR, not reported; PTSD, posttraumatic stress disorder; Q, questionnaire; S&G, sex and gender; W, women; WM, women and men.
Numbers (1, 2, 3, etc) after the reference indicate the separate study reports of the study.
In total, 8 (10%) studies reported results for women only, 23 (30%) reported for men only, and 46 (60%) reported separate results for both women and men. Two studies did not report the number of included women and men. Across the 62 studies, on average, women comprised 41% of the study sample (median: 52%; range: 0–100%). The mean age of the study participants was 51.3 years (median: 49.6 years; range: 18.3–80.2 years). The mean follow‐up duration was 11.8 years (median: 10.4 years; range: 2–37 years). Baseline sampling was conducted until 2008. Depression (48%) was the most examined psychological factor, followed by anxiety and panic disorder (18%). In 75% of the studies, a questionnaire was used to measure the psychological factor. On average, 17% (median: 15%; range: 0–48%) of the study participants were scoring high on a psychological factor, based either on the cutoff of the questionnaire score or on a diagnosis by a clinical interview.
On average, 8% (median: 5%; range: 0–35%) of these participants developed IHD after follow‐up compared with an average of 6% (median: 3%; range: 0–30%) in the group without the psychological factor. IHD outcomes were most commonly measured by (national) registries, medical records, clinical diagnoses, and death certificates. In addition, 83% of the included reports adjusted for factors related to lifestyle.
Psychological Factors and Incident IHD
Random‐effects models showed that psychological factors were associated overall with an increased risk of incident IHD in both women (HR: 1.22; 95% CI, 1.14–1.30),* and men (HR: 1.25; 95% CI, 1.19–1.31)† (Figures 2 and 3) in adjusted models. The difference in the effect sizes for psychological factors predicting IHD incidence for women and men was not significant (P=0.547). Of 53 reports of which data for women were available, 19 (36%) showed a statistically significant positive relation between psychological factors and incident IHD. For the 67 reports with data stratifiable for men, this number was 28 (42%). With respect to women, significant results were found for anxiety (HR: 1.29; 95% CI, 1.03–1.60), depression (HR: 1.24; 95% CI, 1.15–1.33), and distress (HR: 1.31; 95% CI, 1.08–1.58). For men, significant results were found on anger (HR: 1.27; 95% CI, 1.05–1.53), anxiety (HR: 1.42; 95% CI, 1.19–1.69), depression (HR: 1.23; 95% CI, 1.16–1.31), distress (HR: 1.35; 95% CI, 1.15–1.59), and hostility (HR: 1.17; 95% CI, 1.03–1.34) with incident IHD. Regarding the separate psychological factors, no significant differences in the risk for incident IHD were found between women and men (based on the P values resulting from the test on the interaction between gender and psychological factor on IHD, reported in the last column of Table 2). Pooled HRs could not be calculated for type A behavior pattern, type D personality, and PTSD (for women only) because <2 studies per psychological factor were available. A moderate to large degree of heterogeneity was found in reports focusing on both women (Q[52]=146.46, P<0.001, I2=64.54%) and men (Q[66]=165.22, P<0.001, I2=60.05%).
Figure 2.

Forest plot showing individual and overall effect size estimates with 95% CIs for psychological factors and incident IHD in women (adjusted findings). Includes reports from the following studies: ‡ HR indicates hazard ratio; PTSD, posttraumatic stress disorder; Q, Cochran Q statistic.
Figure 3.

Forest plot showing individual and overall effect size estimates with 95% CIs for psychological factors and incident IHD in men (adjusted findings). Includes reports from the following studies: § HR indicates hazard ratio; PTSD, posttraumatic stress disorder; Q, Cochran Q statistic.
Table 2.
S&G‐Stratified Analyses of HRs and Relative Risks for Incident IHD Associated With Psychological Factors: Adjusted Findings
| Variable | Women | Men | P between | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | HR (95% CI) | P HR | Q | P het | I2, % | n | HR (95% CI) | P HR | Q | P het | I2, % | ||
| Anger | 3 | 1.29 (0.49–3.43) | 0.610 | 3.44 | 0.179 | 41.9 | 7 | 1.27 (1.05–1.53) | 0.012 | 10.3 | 0.114 | 41.6 | 0.974 |
| Anxiety | 10 | 1.29 (1.03–1.60) | 0.024 | 31.2 | <0.001 | 71.2 | 9 | 1.42 (1.19–1.69) | 0.001 | 27.9 | 0.001 | 71.3 | 0.491 |
| Depression | 28 | 1.24 (1.15–1.33) | <0.001 | 84.3 | <0.001 | 68.0 | 34 | 1.23 (1.16–1.31) | <0.001 | 94.4 | <0.001 | 65.0 | 0.898 |
| Distress | 5 | 1.31 (1.08–1.58) | 0.005 | 3.21 | 0.524 | 0 | 9 | 1.35 (1.15–1.59) | <0.001 | 18.4 | 0.018 | 56.6 | 0.798 |
| Hostility | 2 | 1.52 (0.59–3.91) | 0.385 | 4.21 | 0.040 | 76.2 | 2 | 1.17 (1.03–1.34) | 0.019 | 0.52 | 0.470 | 0 | 0.595 |
| PTSD | 1 | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | 2 | 1.37 (0.91–2.06) | 0.133 | 1.46 | 0.228 | 31.3 | ··· |
| Low social support | 3 | 0.89 (0.61–1.31) | 0.555 | 3.57 | 0.167 | 44.0 | 3 | 1.21 (0.92–1.60) | 0.178 | 3.46 | 0.177 | 42.2 | 0.192 |
| Type A behavior | 1 | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | 1 | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· |
| Type D personality | 0 | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | 0 | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· |
| Psychological combined | 53 | 1.22 (1.14–1.30) | <0.001 | 146.6 | <0.001 | 64.5 | 67 | 1.25 (1.19–1.31) | <0.001 | 165.2 | <0.001 | 60.1 | 0.547 |
HR indicates hazard ratio; IHD, ischemic heart disease; P between, P value between groups (women and men); P het, P value for heterogeneity; PTSD, posttraumatic stress disorder; Q, Cochran Q statistic; S&G, sex and gender.
Subgroup Analyses
We performed subgroup analyses of follow‐up duration, global continent, number of people analyzed, mean age, percentage of European descent or white people, type of measurement, adjustment for lifestyle, baseline free of IHD, S&G‐stratified results in the study, publication year, and IHD outcome (Table 3). For women, no significant subgroup differences were found. After the Bonferroni–Holm correction, for men, a significantly higher pooled HR was found in reports with a shorter follow‐up duration (<11 years; HR: 1.35; 95% CI, 1.24–1.48) compared with a longer follow‐up duration (>11 years; HR: 1.16; 95% CI, 1.11–1.21; P=0.002). Moderate to high heterogeneity was observed in most subgroups.
Table 3.
S&G‐Stratified Analyses of HRs and Relative Risks for Incident IHD Associated With Psychological Factors by Subgroup: Adjusted Findings
| Variable | Women | Men | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| n | HR (95% CI) | Q | P het | I2, % | P between | n | HR (95% CI) | Q | P het | I2, % | P between | |
| Follow‐up, y | 0.521 | 0.002 | ||||||||||
| <11 | 32 | 1.22 (1.12–1.32) | 55.0 | <0.001 | 55.0 | 34 | 1.35 (1.24–1.48) | 72.8 | <0.001 | 55.0 | ||
| ≥11 | 17 | 1.17 (1.06–1.28) | 44.3 | <0.001 | 63.9 | 29 | 1.16 (1.11–1.21) | 43.4 | 0.032 | 35.5 | ||
| Global continent | 0.496 | 0.118 | ||||||||||
| Europe | 32 | 1.24 (1.15–1.34) | 81.4 | <0.001 | 61.9 | 38 | 1.20 (1.13–1.27) | 102.6 | <0.001 | 63.9 | ||
| North America | 14 | 1.29 (1.10–1.52) | 47.1 | <0.001 | 72.4 | 22 | 1.33 (1.22–1.45) | 46.6 | 0.001 | 54.9 | ||
| Asia | 6 | 1.13 (0.99–1.29) | 8.48 | 0.132 | 41.0 | 6 | 1.32 (1.16–1.50) | 6.81 | 0.235 | 26.6 | ||
| Oceania | 1 | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | 1 | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ||
| No. of people analyzed | 0.057 | 0.025 | ||||||||||
| <5000 | 16 | 1.48 (1.17–1.86) | 31.6 | 0.007 | 52.6 | 28 | 1.35 (1.23–1.48) | 72.8 | <0.001 | 62.9 | ||
| ≥5000 | 36 | 1.17 (1.10–1.24) | 71.5 | <0.001 | 51.0 | 38 | 1.20 (1.14–1.26) | 62.5 | 0.006 | 40.8 | ||
| Age, y | 0.770 | 0.062 | ||||||||||
| <60 | 32 | 1.26 (1.14–1.39) | 66.7 | <0.001 | 53.5 | 43 | 1.19 (1.14–1.24) | 49.5 | 0.199 | 15.2 | ||
| 60–65 | 2 | 1.77 (0.69–4.49) | 0.07 | 0.789 | 0 | 7 | 1.74 (1.20–2.51) | 24.0 | <0.001 | 75.0 | ||
| >65 | 8 | 1.24 (0.97–1.58) | 19.4 | 0.007 | 63.8 | 7 | 1.09 (0.96–1.25) | 6.69 | 0.351 | 10.3 | ||
| European descent | 0.960 | 0.756 | ||||||||||
| <50% | 6 | 1.39 (1.09–1.77) | 12.0 | 0.035 | 58.3 | 6 | 1.18 (1.02–1.36) | 7.48 | 0.187 | 33.2 | ||
| ≥50% | 12 | 1.40 (1.13–1.74) | 29.9 | 0.002 | 63.3 | 15 | 1.21 (1.15–1.27) | 14.6 | 0.406 | 4.14 | ||
| Type of measurement | 0.650 | 0.676 | ||||||||||
| Questionnaire | 40 | 1.20 (1.11–1.30) | 78.7 | <0.001 | 50.4 | 50 | 1.23 (1.19–1.33) | 109.1 | <0.001 | 55.1 | ||
| Diagnosis by a clinical interview | 13 | 1.24 (1.11–1.38) | 53.2 | <0.001 | 77.4 | 17 | 1.23 (1.14–1.34) | 48.6 | <0.001 | 67.1 | ||
| Adjusted for lifestyle | 0.954 | 0.373 | ||||||||||
| No | 12 | 1.23 (1.10–1.36) | 51.5 | <0.001 | 78.6 | 12 | 1.20 (1.09–1.32) | 57.3 | <0.001 | 80.8 | ||
| Yes | 40 | 1.23 (1.13–1.34) | 92.1 | <0.001 | 57.7 | 54 | 1.27 (1.20–1.34) | 103.2 | <0.001 | 48.7 | ||
| Baseline free of IHD | 0.158 | 0.958 | ||||||||||
| No | 3 | 1.90 (0.99–3.66) | 6.33 | 0.042 | 68.4 | 3 | 1.25 (0.86–1.80) | 4.70 | 0.095 | 57.5 | ||
| Yes | 44 | 1.19 (1.12–1.26) | 87.5 | <0.001 | 50.9 | 56 | 1.23 (1.18–1.29) | 116.1 | <0.001 | 52.6 | ||
| S&G‐stratified results in study | 0.209 | 0.347 | ||||||||||
| No | 17 | 1.28 (1.19–1.39) | 9.60 | 0.887 | 0 | 16 | 1.20 (1.11–1.31) | 18.1 | 0.258 | 17.0 | ||
| Yes | 36 | 1.20 (1.11–1.29) | 130.8 | <0.001 | 73.3 | 51 | 1.26 (1.20–1.33) | 147.0 | <0.001 | 66.0 | ||
| Publication year | 0.814 | 0.066 | ||||||||||
| <2010 | 28 | 1.23 (1.11–1.38) | 111.7 | <0.001 | 75.8 | 40 | 1.30 (1.21–1.39) | 124.8 | <0.001 | 68.7 | ||
| ≥2010 | 25 | 1.22 (1.14–1.30) | 34.9 | 0.070 | 31.2 | 27 | 1.19 (1.12–1.27) | 39.1 | 0.05 | 33.6 | ||
| IHD outcomea | 0.482 | 0.186 | ||||||||||
| CM | 19 | 1.34 (1.14–1.57) | 134.1 | <0.001 | 86.6 | 24 | 1.37 (1.19–1.57) | 112.8 | <0.001 | 79.6 | ||
| IHD | 29 | 1.24 (1.13–1.37) | 91.6 | <0.001 | 69.4 | 40 | 1.28 (1.21–1.35) | 94.9 | <0.001 | 58.9 | ||
| MI | 18 | 1.20 (1.10–1.31) | 38.2 | 0.002 | 55.5 | 23 | 1.19 (1.09–1.30) | 42.2 | 0.006 | 47.9 | ||
| Sample | 0.838 | |||||||||||
| Community | 40 | 1.22 (1.14–1.30) | 110.5 | <0.001 | 64.7 | 50 | 1.25 (1.18–1.33) | 146.6 | <0.001 | 66.6 | 0.605 | |
| High risk | 9 | 1.34 (0.88–2.05) | 16.1 | 0.040 | 50.4 | 8 | 1.26 (1.13–1.39) | 6.86 | 0.443 | 0 | ||
| Military sample | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | 9 | 1.20 (1.13–1.28) | 10.2 | 0.249 | 21.8 | ||
| Menopausal | 4 | 1.29 (0.99–1.68) | 14.7 | 0.002 | 79.6 | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ··· | ||
CM indicates cardiac mortality; HR, hazard ratio; IHD, ischemic heart disease; MI, myocardial infarction; P between, P value between groups; P het, P value for heterogeneity; Q, Cochran Q statistic; S&G, sex and gender.
Includes additional reports from the following studies:‖
Sensitivity Analyses and Additional Analyses for Separate Psychological Factors
Table S3 shows the characteristics of included studies in sensitivity and additional analyses. Three of our initially included reports could not be analyzed because of missing CIs52 and an asymmetric CI.86 Unadjusted analyses of psychological factors and incident IHD including 54 separate reports focusing on women and 78 reports on men resulted in pooled HRs of 1.39 (95% CI, 1.29–1.50) and 1.39 (95% CI, 1.32–1.47), respectively (Table S4). No significant between‐group S&G differences for the risk of combined psychological factors for IHD incidence were found (P=0.996).
In unadjusted studies reporting on women, significant effects were found for anxiety (HR: 1.45; 95% CI, 1.20–1.75), depression (HR: 1.46; 95% CI, 1.32–1.61), and distress (HR: 1.33; 95% CI, 1.14–1.55) on IHD incidence. With respect to men, significant positive effects were found for each individual psychological factor. The largest unadjusted association was found between anxiety and IHD (HR: 1.68; 95% CI, 1.38–2.03) in men. Because of a limited amount of studies for type A behavior, type D personality, and hostility (for women only), no analyses could be performed on these factors. However, although the pattern of psychological IHD risk factors is different, no significant differences between women and men were found for the risk of individual psychological factors on IHD incidence (Table S4).
In addition to the aforementioned random‐effects models, we also examined the data using fixed‐effects models. Fixed‐effects analyses of the primary data revealed similar results and showed that psychological factors were associated overall with an increased risk of incident IHD in both women (HR: 1.17; 95% CI, 1.14–1.20) and men (HR: 1.18; 95% CI, 1.16–1.21; Table S5). The difference in the effect sizes for psychological factors predicting IHD incidence between women and men was not significant (P=0.505).
In unadjusted reports in women, no significant differences between subgroups were found (Table S6). Subgroup analyses on unadjusted findings for men showed that inclusion of <5000 participants results in a higher pooled HR for psychological factors predicting IHD incidence than including >5000 participants (HR: 1.57 [95% CI, 1.44–1.72] and 1.28 [95% CI, 1.20–1.37], respectively; P<0.001; Table S6). Furthermore, a larger pooled HR was found when S&G‐stratified results were reported in the study (HR: 1.47; 95% CI, 1.37–1.57) in comparison with reports that did not stratify (HR: 1.21; 95% CI, 1.13–1.29; P<0.001). Table S7 shows additional analyses on continuous data and HRs, relative risks, and odds ratios separated for both unadjusted and adjusted data. Regarding analyses of unadjusted data, significant effects of psychological factors on incident IHD outcomes were found, for both women and men. Analyses of continuous adjusted data did not show significant results for women but showed a small but significant effect for men.
Publication Bias
Figures 4 (women) and 5 (men) show funnel plots of all studies included in our primary meta‐analysis using adjusted findings. A funnel plot points at publication bias if the studies in the meta‐analysis (white dots) are not distributed symmetrically within the white funnel. Visual inspection of both funnel plots suggests the presence of publication bias. This asymmetry is corroborated by significant Egger tests, for studies focusing on women (P=0.04) and men (P<0.001). The Duval and Tweedie trim‐and‐fill method estimates the number of studies that have to be imputed to make the funnel plot symmetric. This method resulted in 9 imputed studies for women and 14 for men. After correcting the effect size estimate based on these imputated studies, the effects decreased both for women (HR: 1.18; 95% CI, 1.10–1.27) and men (HR: 1.20; 95% CI, 1.14–1.26) yet remained statistically significant. Last, Rosenthal's “fail‐safe N” estimates the number of potentially missing studies (with smaller effects) that would be needed to bring the P value of the overall effect size estimate in this meta‐analysis to P>0.05.87 This would require 1498 studies for women and 3688 studies for men. To summarize, although the funnel plots and Egger test suggest the presence of publication bias, both the trim‐and‐fill and fail‐safe N methods support the robustness of the overall effect‐size estimates in this meta‐analysis.
Figure 4.

Funnel plot of studies focusing on women (white dots) and studies imputed according to the trim and fill method (black dots). The pooled hazard ratio (HR) of included studies (HR: 1.22; 95% CI, 1.14–1.30) decreases after imputing studies (HR: 1.18; 95% CI, 1.10–1.26).
Figure 5.

Funnel plot of studies focusing on men (white dots) and studies imputed according to the trim and fill method (black dots). The pooled hazard ratio (HR) of included studies (HR: 1.25; 95% CI, 1.19–1.31) decreases after imputing studies (HR: 1.20; 95% CI, 1.14–1.26).
Discussion
General Findings
This meta‐analysis is the first to assess the association between psychological factors and incident IHD outcomes, stratified for women and men. The results showed a significant association between psychological factors and the development of IHD for women, with a 22% increase in risk based on 53 confounder‐adjusted reports. For men, 67 pooled adjusted reports showed a 25% increase in the risk of psychological factors for IHD incidence. However, against our expectations, no significant differences in the risk of psychological factors for IHD incidence were found between women and men. Separate analyses for women showed statistically significant effects of the psychological factors anxiety, depression, and distress, but not for anger, hostility, and low social support. For men, significant effects were found on the psychological factors anger, anxiety, depression, distress, and hostility on incident IHD. PTSD and low social support were not significantly associated with incident IHD outcomes. No significant subgroup differences were found in studies reporting on women. For men, subgroup analyses showed a larger effect in studies with a shorter follow‐up time.
(No) Differences Between Women and Men
There are several explanations for why the associations of psychological factors with IHD did not differ between women and men. First, studies included in our meta‐analyses assessed IHD outcomes including mainly obstructive CAD, which is a classic disease pattern dominated by male patients.88 Female patients more often suffer from nonobstructive CAD6 including functional CAD (spasm and vascular dysfunction) and coronary microvascular disease.89 Because we did not find any cohort studies including these outcomes, only women with obstructive CAD were included, which may have affected our findings. Women are currently underrepresented in studies assessing the association between psychological factors and incident IHD. A recent study, however, found that vascular responses to mental stress were more present in younger women than in men after a recent MI, presumably related to vasomotor disorders.90 In total, 30% of our included studies reported results in men only, compared with 10% in women only. Including a broader range of IHD, more representative of the female pattern, may change the effect between women and men.
Second, the age of the participants might play an important role. The mean age of the study participants was on average 51.3 years at baseline. In studies reporting in women only, 66% of the participants were <55 years. Because women on average develop IHD 10 years later than men, with increasing risks after menopause,1 it is possible that including older women would increase the effect of psychological factors and IHD. However, subgroup analyses showed no significant differences between age categories.
Third, as a consequence of several societal and psychological factors, men are less likely to seek treatment for emotional problems and depressive symptoms.91 Although men less often report psychological problems than women,91 questionnaires use the same cutoffs for women and men; this means that men with psychological problems might be underrepresented in the included studies. Averaged across studies reporting on men, 14% of the included men were defined as having the psychological factor. In studies reporting on women only, this number was 22%. Moreover, because 75% of the reports measured psychological factors assessed with a questionnaire, symptoms of psychological factors rather than a clinical diagnosis were included; that approach may have influenced our results. By choosing the most detrimental subgroup as possible, we tried to prevent this problem. However, subgroup analyses showed no significant difference between questionnaires and diagnoses by clinicians.
Fourth, nonsignificant differences between men and women could be explained by insufficient power. For example, for hostility and low social support, the effect sizes for women and men appear to be different, but the statistical tests for differences showed nonsignificant findings. These effect size estimates are based on only 4 reports for hostility and 6 reports for low social support, which may represent insufficient power to detect statistical differences between women and men. However, no significant differences between men and women were observed for depression and anxiety. The effect size estimates and CIs were almost identical, and these estimates were based on a higher number of reports. Based on these results, it is unlikely that insufficient power is an explanation for the nonsignificant differences in depression and anxiety, but it may be the case for hostility and social support.
Comparison With Other Meta‐Analyses
The results of our meta‐analysis are partly consistent with those of other meta‐analyses that assessed the association between depression and incident IHD,92, 93 panic disorder and IHD,10 and perceived stress and IHD.94 Wu and Kling showed a confounder‐adjusted pooled HR of 1.22 (95% CI, 1.13–1.32) on the association between depression and MI and coronary death, based on 19 studies.92 This result overlaps with the increased risk we found for both women and men. In their S&G‐stratified subgroup analyses of depression and incident MI, Gan et al found an HR of 1.27 (95% CI, 1.17–1.39) in reports on women and 1.19 (95% CI, 0.96–1.49) in reports on men.93 Their pooled risk estimates for men are slightly lower than our S&G‐results. This difference may be explained by the fact that their S&G‐stratified subgroup analyses comprised only incident MI as outcome, instead of the broader range of IHD events in our meta‐analysis. In our subgroup analyses, the association including only the outcome MI also showed a smaller risk estimate in comparison with the outcomes of cardiac mortality only and IHD. Results of the meta‐regression of Tully et al showed an increased risk of 49% on incident IHD in people with panic disorder, panic symptoms, and anxiety neurosis.10 The lower risk we found on anxiety and IHD in both women and men was mainly based on symptoms of anxiety, whereas Tully et al included mostly people with panic disorder and/or panic symptoms in their meta‐analysis, which might explain the different pooled effect estimates. Richardson et al examined in their meta‐analysis the adjusted association between high perceived stress and incident IHD and found an increased risk of 27%.94 Our pooled HRs of distress in women (1.31; 95% CI, 1.08–1.58) and men (1.35; 95% CI, 1.15–1.59) are slightly higher. Because Richardson et al included all types of stress including work stress and posttraumatic stress and excluded symptoms of psychological disorders, a different definition of distress was used, which might explain the difference in effect estimates.
Strengths and Limitations
The strength of this meta‐analysis includes our search in several databases and additional reference searches, followed by a screening process and data extraction performed by at least 2 reviewers, which resulted in a high number of eligible multivariate‐adjusted studies comprising a total sample size of at least 2 145 679 women and 3 119 879 men. Moreover, contacting 52 authors of studies that did not report S&G‐stratified data increased the number of included studies in our meta‐analysis. We identified all studies included in previous meta‐analyses. Studies reporting unadjusted results, continuous data, and/or odds ratios were separately analyzed. We excluded studies with self‐reported IHD as outcomes because this might lead to an overestimation of IHD events.95
This meta‐analysis also has limitations. First, moderate to large heterogeneity was found between included studies, which means that the pooled effect sizes must be interpreted with caution. We performed subgroup analyses to reduce heterogeneity, but moderate to high heterogeneity remained. Second, we found indications of publication bias, which means that the true associations between psychological factors and incident IHD might actually be smaller than those found in our meta‐analysis. However, the pooled HR remained significant after imputing studies with the Duval and Tweedie trim‐and‐fill method. Third, we included the most detrimental score of psychological factors when results of both medium and high strengths were reported. When including medium instead of high perceived stress, our results would probably show lower effect sizes.
Implications for Future Research and Clinical Practice
Several recommendations can be made based on the findings of our meta‐analysis. First, cohort studies focusing on psychological factors and nonobstructive IHD outcomes should be developed. We could include only studies examining obstructive IHD outcomes; therefore, women were underrepresented and underinvestigated in our meta‐analysis. Moreover, it has been recently shown that feminine gender roles and personality traits (anxiety) importantly affect outcomes after MI.96 These should be studied more often to provide tailored prevention advice to all patients after an MI.
Second, because today's cardiologists focus more on differences between women and men, it is advisable to report S&G‐stratified results in studies. The fact that we did not find S&G differences might be explained by the underinclusion of women, which might be related to a power problem in our meta‐analysis. Moreover, our unadjusted subgroup analyses for men showed a 26% higher risk of psychological factors and incident IHD when S&G‐stratified results were reported in a study, in comparison with S&G results that we received after contacting the author of a non‐S&G study. The asymmetric funnel plots and the results of the Egger test also suggest publication bias, although our results remained significant after imputing studies.
Third, none of our included studies were conducted in Africa and South America, and only a few in Asia and Oceania, which means non‐Western countries and cultures are underrepresented and our results should not be generalized to non‐Western countries. Only 26 of 76 reports (34%) reported the number of European descent or white people, of which 20 included >50% European descent or white people, indicating underrepresentation of non–European descent or white people. More studies should be conducted in non‐Western countries and include people of non‐European descent.
Fourth, most of our included studies investigated the association between depression or anxiety and incident IHD. Because only a few studies focused on anger, distress, hostility, PTSD, low social support, type A behavior, and type D personality, our results should be interpreted with caution. More research into these psychological factors is needed to strengthen the association between these factors and incident IHD outcomes in women and men.
Conclusion
This meta‐analysis of prospective cohort studies shows that psychological factors are associated with an increased and comparable risk for incident IHD in both women and men.
Sources of Funding
This work was supported by ZonMw and the Dutch Heart Foundation (de Hartstichting) “Gender and Health” program to Dr Mommersteeg (grant number #849100001).
Disclosures
None.
Supporting information
Table S1. Search Terms
Table S2. Covariate Adjustment: Main Categories and Covariates
Table S3. Characteristics of Studies Included in Unadjusted, Sensitivity, and Additional Analyses
Table S4. Unadjusted Hazard Ratios and Relative Risk of Sex‐ and Gender‐Stratified Analyses of Psychological Factors for Incident Ischemic Heart Disease
Table S5. Sex‐ and Gender‐Stratified Analyses of Hazard Ratios and Relative Risk for Incident Ischemic Heart Disease Associated With Psychological Factors: Adjusted Findings Using a Fixed‐Effects Model
Table S6. Unadjusted Hazard Ratios and Relative Risk of Sex‐ and Gender‐Stratified Analyses of Subgroups of Psychological Factors for Incident Ischemic Heart Disease
Table S7. Sex‐ and Gender‐Stratified Analyses for Psychological Factors Associated With Incident Ischemic Heart Disease by Subgroup: Unadjusted and Adjusted Findings of Different Effect Sizes
Acknowledgments
We thank Gemma Indemans (Radboud University, Nijmegen) for her support on the search strategy. We also thank all contacted authors who responded, and who provided us with the S&G‐stratified results of their studies.
(J Am Heart Assoc. 2019;8:e010859 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.118.010859.)
Notes
*References 24, 26, 27, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 42, 43, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 52, 54, 55, 56, 57, 59, 60, 61, 62, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 74, 75, 77, 78, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84.
†References 15, 24, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 37, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 47, 48, 49, 50, 51, 52, 53, 54, 55, 56, 57, 58, 59, 60, 61, 62, 63, 64, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 72, 73, 74, 75, 76, 77, 78, 79, 80, 82, 84, 85.
‡References 24, 26, 27, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 42, 43, 45, 46, 47, 48, 49, 50, 52, 54, 55, 56, 57, 59, 60, 61, 62, 65, 66, 67, 68, 69, 70, 71, 72, 74, 75, 77, 78, 80, 81, 82, 83, 84.
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Table S1. Search Terms
Table S2. Covariate Adjustment: Main Categories and Covariates
Table S3. Characteristics of Studies Included in Unadjusted, Sensitivity, and Additional Analyses
Table S4. Unadjusted Hazard Ratios and Relative Risk of Sex‐ and Gender‐Stratified Analyses of Psychological Factors for Incident Ischemic Heart Disease
Table S5. Sex‐ and Gender‐Stratified Analyses of Hazard Ratios and Relative Risk for Incident Ischemic Heart Disease Associated With Psychological Factors: Adjusted Findings Using a Fixed‐Effects Model
Table S6. Unadjusted Hazard Ratios and Relative Risk of Sex‐ and Gender‐Stratified Analyses of Subgroups of Psychological Factors for Incident Ischemic Heart Disease
Table S7. Sex‐ and Gender‐Stratified Analyses for Psychological Factors Associated With Incident Ischemic Heart Disease by Subgroup: Unadjusted and Adjusted Findings of Different Effect Sizes
