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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Jan 1.
Published in final edited form as: Int J Radiat Oncol Biol Phys. 2018 Aug 28;103(1):62–70. doi: 10.1016/j.ijrobp.2018.08.036

Timing of Lymphedema Following Treatment for Breast Cancer: When Are Patients Most At-Risk?

Susan G R McDuff 1,2, Amir I Mina 1, Cheryl L Brunelle 3, Laura Salama 1, Laura E G Warren 4, Mohamed Abouegylah 1, Meyha Swaroop 1, Melissa N Skolny 1, Maria Asdourian 1, Tessa Gillespie 1, Kayla Daniell 1, Hoda E Sayegh 1, George Naoum 1, Hui Zheng 5, Alphonse G Taghian 1
PMCID: PMC6524147  NIHMSID: NIHMS1513189  PMID: 30165125

Abstract

Purpose

To determine when the risk of lymphedema is highest following treatment for breast cancer and which factors influence the time-course of lymphedema development.

Patients and Methods

Between 2005–2017, 2,171 women (with 2,266 at-risk arms) who received surgery for unilateral or bilateral breast cancer at our institution were enrolled. Perometry was used to objectively assess limb volume preoperatively, and lymphedema was defined as ≥10% relative arm volume increase arising >3 months postoperatively. Multivariable regression was used to uncover risk factors associated with lymphedema, the Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate lymphedema incidence, and the semiannual hazard rate of lymphedema was calculated.

Results

With four years median follow-up, the overall estimated five-year cumulative incidence of lymphedema was 13.7%. Significant factors associated with lymphedema on multivariable analysis were high preoperative body mass index (BMI), axillary lymph node dissection (ALND), and regional lymph node radiation (RLNR). Those receiving ALND with RLNR experienced the highest 5-year rate of lymphedema (31.2%), followed by ALND without RLNR (24.6%), followed by sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) with RLNR (12.2%). Overall, the risk of lymphedema peaked between 12–30 months postoperatively; however, the time-course varied as a function of therapy received. Early-onset lymphedema (<12 months postoperatively) was associated with ALND (HR 4.75, p<0.0001) but not RLNR (HR 1.21, p=0.55). In contrast, late-onset lymphedema (>12 months postoperatively) was associated with RLNR (HR 3.86, p=0.0001), and to a lesser extent, ALND (HR 1.86, p=0.029). The lymphedema risk peaked between 6–12 months in the ALND-without-RLNR group, between 18–24 months in the ALND-with-RLNR group, and between 36–48 months in the SLNB-with-RLNR group.

Conclusion

The time-course for lymphedema development depends on breast cancer treatment received. ALND is associated with early-onset lymphedema, and RLNR is associated with late-onset lymphedema. These results can influence clinical practice to guide lymphedema surveillance strategies and patient education.

Summary

Breast cancer treatment-associated lymphedema is a potentially devastating complication but the time-course for developing lymphedema is unknown. We conducted a prospective study of 2,171 women to determine when patients are at greatest risk for lymphedema in the context of modern surgical and radiation techniques. We observed that the time-course of lymphedema development depends on therapy received: with early-onset lymphedema associated with axillary lymph node dissection and late-onset lymphedema more associated with regional lymph node radiation.

Introduction

Breast cancer treatment-related upper extremity lymphedema is a feared and potentially devastating complication with potential to impact emotional well-being and quality of life.1,2 Estimates of lymphedema incidence in prior studies have ranged widely (e.g., 6%−50% at any time following surgical treatment),37 and discrepancies in the reported incidence of lymphedema are likely related to variability in measurement techniques used (e.g., subjective patient self-reported assessments versus objective measurements), whether baseline arm measurements are obtained, and the length of follow-up.3,4,810 Previous studies have established that axillary lymph node dissection (ALND), regional lymph node irradiation (RLNR), higher pre-operative BMI, infection, and arm trauma increase the risk of developing lymphedema.3,9,11 However, the time-course for developing lymphedema is not well-established in the context of modern surgical and radiation techniques, and clarifying when patients are at-risk would allow for improved patient education and optimization of lymphedema surveillance strategies.

Therefore, we undertook a prospective study utilizing objective baseline and serial arm volume measurements to establish the time-course, incidence, and risk factors associated with lymphedema in a cohort of patients treated with modern surgical and radiation techniques for breast cancer. The purpose of this study was to assess the impact of both axillary surgery and radiation on the incidence and time-course of lymphedema.

Materials and Methods

Patient population and treatment

2,171 women who received surgery for unilateral or bilateral ductal-carcinoma-in-situ (DCIS) or invasive breast cancer were recruited from our institution between 2005–2017 to participate in the study. All women were recruited at the time of initial pre-surgical consultation in our multidisciplinary breast oncology clinic. All patients received surgery at our institution and had at least three months of postoperative follow-up. Patients with pre-existing lymphedema and prior breast surgery were excluded from the cohort. Treating each breast individually, there were 2,266 cases. This protocol underwent review and was approved by the Partners HealthCare Institutional Review Board (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT01521741).12

Surgery

Of the 2,266 breast cases, 1,232 underwent a lumpectomy (54.4%) and 1,034 underwent a mastectomy (45.6%). Regarding axillary lymph node management, 199 (8.8%) patients had no axillary surgery performed, 1520 (67.1%) received a SLNB, and 547 (24.1%) received ALND.

Radiation Treatment

Of the 2,266 breast cases, 1,444 (64%) received radiation. Of the patients who received radiation, 903 (62.5%) received local radiotherapy alone and 541 (37.5%) received local radiotherapy with RLNR. Local radiotherapy encompassed partial breast irradiation (PBI), whole-breast irradiation, or chest wall radiation alone. RLNR included patients who received supraclavicular-only radiation and those who also received axillary radiation through a posterior axillary boost. After 2008, levels I-III of the axilla and the supraclavicular nodes were contoured in the majority of cases in keeping with the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group atlas.13 The treating physician defined the lateral border of the supraclavicular field. Patients receiving whole breast radiation alone generally received 50–50.4 Gy in 25–28 fractions followed by a boost of 10Gy in 5 fractions, or a hypofractionated approach consisting of 42.4 Gy in 16 fractions followed by a boost of 10 Gy in 4 fractions. Patients requiring RLNR received a dose of 50–50.4 Gy in 1.8–2 Gy/fraction to the breast/chest-wall and regional lymph nodes. Until 2009, patients treated with PBI received a total dose of 32, 36, or 40 Gy in 4 Gy/fraction twice daily with three-dimensional conformal mixed photon/electron or photon-alone techniques on a dose-escalation clinical trial ( ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT00694577).14 Subsequently, PBI patients were treated with 36 Gy in 9 fractions twice daily or 40 Gy once daily for 10 fractions in 2 weeks.

Follow-up and measurement of lymphedema

Upon informed consent, a Perometer was used to measure preoperative/baseline arm volume at the time of initial consultation, and then serially at regular intervals during treatment and in the follow-up setting.15 An optoelectronic Perometer is a validated, reliable instrument for lymphedema measurement and uses infrared light beams to measure limb volume.12,1619 During treatment, arm volume was assessed after surgery, chemotherapy, and radiation (when given). In the follow-up setting, arm volume was assessed at regular 3 to 8-month intervals for the first 5 years post-operatively, and then annually thereafter (or at any time when a patient experienced new symptoms of concern).15

Lymphedema was defined as a relative increase in arm volume of 10% from baseline occurring greater than three months postoperatively (to avoid mistaking early-onset postoperative swelling for lymphedema).3,12,20 To quantify arm volume change for patients who received unilateral breast surgery, we used the validated relative volume change (RVC) equation which accounts for preoperative asymmetry between arms using the contralateral arm volume as a control as previously described.3,12 For patients who received bilateral breast surgery, and therefore did not have a contralateral control arm, we used the validated weight-adjusted volume change (WAC) method which utilizes changes in patient weight as a control as previously described.3,21

Statistical Methods

Given that prior studies have established the type of axillary surgery and RLNR as important factors for lymphedema development, we focused our analysis to five pre-determined clinically relevant cohorts of interest specified by type of axillary nodal sampling and radiation received. Notably, we chose to group patients who did not receive radiation and patients who received local RT (breast or chest-wall) together because it has been previously shown that local radiation without RLNR does not increase the risk of developing lymphedema.3 The 5 treatment groups comprised patients who received: 1) ALND with RLNR, 2) ALND without RLNR, 3) SLNB with RLNR, 4) SLNB without RLNR, and 5) no axillary surgery. An ANOVA of a mixed effects generalized linear model was used to compare clinical and treatment characteristics across groups.

The cumulative incidence of lymphedema stratified by therapy group was calculated via the Kaplan-Meier method.22 Cumulative incidence estimates of lymphedema were compared using the Cox Proportional Hazards model.23 Semiannual hazard rate of lymphedema was defined as the proportion of patients who developed lymphedema during a 6-month interval.24

Cox proportional hazard models with clusters by patient (to account for within-patient correlation in bilateral cases) were used to determine the risk factors associated with the development of lymphedema in our cohort. We used univariate analysis to identify independent predictors of lymphedema by use of the Cox proportional hazards method.23 Adjusted hazard ratios (AHR) with 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) and p-values were calculated. For multivariable regression, we included all the factors that were shown to be independent predictors of lymphedema (p<0.05) development on univariate analysis, with the exception of the number of lymph nodes removed as this measure was highly correlated with the type of axillary surgery.

We subsequently restricted our analysis to the subset of patients who developed lymphedema to identify risk factors predisposing patients to early-onset versus late-onset lymphedema. We separated the cohort of patients who developed lymphedema into “early-onset” (>3 and ≤12 months postoperatively) and “late-onset” (>12 months) groups and repeated the regression for each subset.

Statistical analyses were conducted using R version 3.3.2 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Auckland, New Zealand).

Results

Comparison clinical factors stratified by axillary surgery and radiation treatment groups

Table 1 illustrates the clinical and treatment characteristics of the entire cohort and the number of patients comprising the five treatment groups of interest: 1) ALND with RLNR (n=400, 17.7%), 2) ALND without RLNR (n=147, 6.5%), 3) SLNB with RLNR (n=138, 6.1%), 4) SLNB without RLNR (n=1,382, 60.9%), and 5) no axillary surgery (n=199, 8.8%). Table 2 illustrates the differences in the clinical and treatment characteristics by treatment group. Notably, a greater proportion of patients in the no axillary surgery group had a diagnosis of DCIS compared to the other groups (59% versus 5%, respectively). A greater proportion of patients who received ALND with RLNR received neoadjuvant chemotherapy compared to the other groups (43% versus 8%). A lower proportion of patients in the SLNB without RLNR and no axillary surgery groups received adjuvant chemotherapy compared to the other groups (23% versus 62%). A lower proportion of patients in the no axillary surgery group received hormonal therapy compared to the other groups (53% versus 75%). As expected, a greater number of lymph nodes were removed in the patients who received an ALND as compared to SLNB.

Table 1.

Clinical and treatment characteristics of the study cohort.

Clinical Factor No. of patients %

Age at diagnosis, years Median (range) 55.1 (24.4, 87.9)

BMI at diagnosis Median (range) 26.5 (16.5, 58.9)

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy
 Yes 305 13.9
 No 1872 86.1

 Adjuvant chemotherapy
 Yes 752 65.5
  No 1425 34.5

Hormonal therapy
 Yes 1575 72.3
 No 602 27.7

Clinical Factor No. of affected sides %

Tumor type
  DCIS 219 9.7
  IBC 2047 90.3

 Invasive tumor size, cm* Median (range) 1.2 (0.01, 16)

Breast surgery
 Lumpectomy Mastectomy 1232 54.4
 Mastectomy 1034 45.6
Axillary surgery
 None 199 8.8
 SLNB 1520 67.1
 ALND 547 24.1

Lymph node characteristics median (range)
 No. of LNs removed, SLNB 2 (1, 50)
  No. of LNs removed, ALND 16 (2, 64)
 No. of positive LNs, ALND 2 (0, 52)

Radiation therapy
 None 822 36.3
 Local only (no RLNR) 903 39.8
 Local only (no RLNR) 541 28.9

 Clinically Relevant Axillary Surgery and Radiation Groups

ALND with RLNR 400 17.7%
ALND without RT 147 6.5%
SLNB with RLNR 138 6.1%
SLNB without RT 1382 60.9%
No axillary surgery 199 8.8%

Abbreviations: No., number; BMI, body mass index; SLNB, sentinel lymph node biopsy; ALND, axillary lymph node dissection; RLNR, regional lymph node radiation; LN, lymph node; RT, radiation therapy; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ; IBC, invasive breast cancer

*

this does not include tumor size for patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy

Table 2.

Comparison of the clinical and treatment characteristics across treatment cohorts of interest.

Axillary Surgery and Radiation Cohorts F-statistic P-value

No Axillary Surgery SLNB without RLNR SLNB with RLNR ALND without RLNR ALND with RLNR

Clinical Factor No. of patients(%) No. of patients(%) No. of patients(%) No. of patients(%) No. of patients(%)

Age at diagnosis, years
 Median (range) 58.5 (34.1, 87) 56.8 (27, 87.9) 51.1 (24.4, 79.5) 50.4 (28.5, 83.6) 49.6 (24.8, 83.7) < 0.001

BMI at diagnosis
 Median (range) 27 (19, 47.2) 26.3 (17, 58.9) 25.1 (17.5, 47.5) 26.2 (17.9, 44.5) 26.9 (16.5, 58.4) 0.2592

Tumor type
 DCIS 118 97 0 1 3 < 0.001
 IBC 81 1285 138 146 397

Invasive tumor size, cm* Median (range)
 Median (range) 0.75 (0.05, 7) 1.1 (0.01, 10.5) 1.5 (0.15, 13) 1.5 (0.1, 16) 2 (0.01, 15) < 0.001

Lymph node characteristics median (range)
 No. LNs removed n/a 2 (1, 50) 2 (1, 18) 15 (2, 35) 17 (2, 64) < 0.001
 No. of positive LNs 0 (0, 3) 1 (0, 8) 1 (0, 13) 3 (0, 52)

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy
 Yes 28 47 32 37 172 < 0.001
 No 171 1335 106 110 228

Adjuvant chemotherapy
 Yes 14 345 90 88 250 < 0.001
 No 185 1037 48 59 150

Hormonal therapy
 Yes 106 1046 104 105 285 < 0.001
 No 93 336 34 42 115

Abbreviations: No., number; BMI, body mass index; SNB, sentinel lymph node biopsy; ALND, axillary lymph node dissection; RLNR, regional lymph node radiation; LN, lymph node; RT, radiation therapy; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ; IBC, invasive breast cancer

*

this does not include tumor size for patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy

or mean (range) where specified

Lymphedema Incidence and Hazard Rate

At a median follow-up of four years, the overall estimated two-year cumulative incidence of lymphedema in the cohort was 7.1% and the five-year cumulative incidence estimate was 13.7%. Figure 1 displays the cumulative incidence of lymphedema as a function of the five groups of interest. Specifically, the respective two- and five-year point estimates for lymphedema as shown in Figure 1 were 19.0% (95% CI: 15.3–23.6%) and 31.2% (95% CI: 26.0–37.2%) for patients in the ALND with RLNR group, 12.7% (95% CI: 8.1–19.7%) and 24.6% (95% CI: 17.2–34.5%) for patients in the ALND without RLNR group, 4.3% (95% CI: 1.8–10.0%) and 12.2% (95% CI: 6.5–22.3%) for patients in the SLNB with RLNR group, 3.7% (95% CI: 2.8–4.9%) and 8.3% (95% CI: 6.6–10.5%) for patients in the SLNB without RLNR group, and 4.1% (95% CI: 2.0–8.4%) and 9.4% (95% CI: 4.9–17.7%) for patients in the no axillary surgery group.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Cumulative incidence of lymphedema by axillary surgery and radiation groups. Abbreviations: ALND, axillary lymph node dissection; SLNB, sentinel lymph node biopsy; RLNR, regional lymph node radiation.

Patients in the ALND with RLNR group experienced the highest rates of lymphedema compared to the other four groups, including the next highest group of ALND without RLNR (HR 0.613, 95% CI: 0.403–0.935, p=0.023), followed by those in the SLNB with RLNR group (HR 0.285, 95% CI: 0.149–0.545, p=0.0002).

The hazard rate for development of lymphedema over time as a function of treatment group is shown in Figure 2. For the entire cohort, the hazard of lymphedema development is greatest between 12–30 months following surgery but depends on the therapy received. For patients who received ALND without RLNR, the hazard of lymphedema development was greatest in the first 6–12 months. For patients who received ALND with RLNR, the hazard rate peaked between 18–24 months and decreased significantly after 30 months. For patients who received SLNB with RLNR, the hazard rate peaked between 36–48 months and declined significantly thereafter.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Semiannual hazard rate for development of lymphedema for the entire cohort and by axillary surgery and radiation groups. Abbreviations: ALND, axillary lymph node dissection; SLNB, sentinel lymph node biopsy; RLNR, regional lymph node radiation.

Regression Analyses

The results of univariate and multivariate analyses of factors associated with lymphedema development are included in Table 3. On multivariate analysis, the following factors were significantly associated with increased risk of lymphedema: BMI ≥30 compared to BMI <30 (AHR 2.07, p <0.0001), ALND compared to SLNB (AHR 2.71, p<0.0001), and RLNR compared to local RT (AHR 2.1, p=0.0018).

Table 3.

Clinical and Treatment Factor Hazard Ratios for the Risk of Lymphedema

Clinical Factor Development of Lymphedema

Univariate Multivariate

No. of women No. of LymphED Adjusted HR (95% CI) P Adjusted HR (95% CI) P

Age at diagnosis, years
 ≥50 vs 1477 156 1.1 (0.83,1.45) 0.508 -- --
 <50 785 77

BMI at diagnosis
 ≥30 vs 532 83 1.99 (1.49,2.64) <0.0001 2.07 (1.56,2.74) <0.0001
 <30 1393 120

Tumor type
 DCIS vs 219 12 0.54(0.29,0.99) 0.0478 0.55 (0.24,1.25) 0.1512
 IBC 2047 221

Breast surgery
 Mastectomy vs 1034 89 0.55 (0.42,0.72) <0.0001 0.90 (0.53,1.53) 0.7014
 Lumpectomy 1232 144

Axillary surgery
 ALND vs 547 130 4.09 (3.1, 5.39) <0.0001 2.71 (1.78,4.11) <0.0001
 SLNB 1520 91

Radiation
 RLNR vs 541 112 3.59 (2.63,4.91) < 0.0001 2.1 (1.32,3.34) 0.0018
 No RLNR 903 61

Lymph nodes removed
 ≥3 vs 980 157 3.42 (2.4,4.88) <0.0001 -- --
 <3 1114 63

Chemotherapy
 Yes vs 1017 145 1.98 (1.52,2.58) <0.0001 0.67 (0.45,1.01) 0.0562
 No 1249 88

Hormonal therapy
 Yes vs 1646 173 1.02 (0.76,1.38) 0.8922 -- --
 No 620 60

Abbreviations: LymphED, lymphedema; No., number; BMI, body mass index; SLNB, sentinel lymph node biopsy; ALND, axillary lymph node dissection; RLNR, regional lymph node radiation; LN, lymph node; RT, radiation therapy; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ; IBC, invasive breast cancer

Early-Onset versus Late-Onset Lymphedema Regression Analyses

Table 4 displays the results of multivariable regression restricted to the subsets of patients developing “early-onset” versus “late-onset” lymphedema. As shown in Table 4, on multivariable regression, “early-onset” lymphedema was associated with higher BMI (AHR 2.24, p=0.0001) and ALND compared to SLNB (AHR 4.75, p<0.0001), whereas RLNR was not associated with lymphedema development for the “early-onset” cohort. In contrast, “late-onset” lymphedema was significantly associated with higher BMI (AHR 2.01, p=0.0005), RLNR (AHR 3.86, p=0.0001) and ALND compared with SLNB (AHR 1.86, p = 0.029).

Table 4.

Clinical and Treatment Factor Hazard Ratios for the Risk of Early-Onset (>3 and ≤ 12 months postoperatively) versus Late-Onset (>12 months postoperatively) Lymphedema

Clinical Factor Development of Lymphedema

Multivariate (Early) Multivariate (Late)

No. of women No. of Early LymphED No. of Late LymphED Adjusted HR (95% CI) P Adjusted HR (95% CI) P

Age at diagnosis, years
 ≥50 vs 1477 66 90 -- -- -- --
 <50 785 45 32

BMI at diagnosis
 ≥30 vs 532 42 41 2.24 (1.5,3.36) 0.0001 2.01 (1.35,2.98) 0.0005
 <30 1393 54 66

Tumor type
 DCIS vs 219 5 7 0.52 (0.16,1.71) 0.2814 0.56 (0.18,1.78) 0.3289
 IBC 2047 106 115

Breast surgery
 Mastectomy vs 1034 36 53 0.69 (0.43,1.1) 0.1143 0.88 (0.58,1.34) 0.554
 Lumpectomy 1232 75 69

Axillary surgery
 ALND vs 547 67 63 4.75 (2.56,8.82) <0.0001 1.86 (1.07,3.24) 0.0289
 SLNB 1520 38 53

Radiation
 RLNR vs 541 55 57 1.21 (0.65,2.27) 0.546 3.86 (2.01,7.43) 0.0001
 No RLNR 903 31 30

Lymph nodes removed
 ≥3 vs 980 80 77 -- -- -- --
 <3 1114 25 38

Chemotherapy
 Yes 1017 26 27 0.73 (0.4,1.33) 0.3061 0.7 (0.4,1.22) 0.2112
 No 1249 85 95

Hormonal therapy
 Yes vs 1646 82 91 -- -- -- --
 No 620 29 31

Abbreviations: LymphED, lymphedema; No., number; BMI, body mass index; SLNB, sentinel lymph node biopsy; ALND, axillary lymph node dissection; RLNR, regional lymph node radiation; LN, lymph node; RT, radiation therapy; DCIS, ductal carcinoma in situ; IBC, invasive breast cancer

Discussion

We conducted a large prospective cohort study of 2,171 women (with 2,266 at-risk arms) to investigate the time-course, incidence, and risk factors associated with lymphedema following individualized treatment for breast cancer. Patients in our cohort were treated with modern surgical and radiation techniques and were objectively screened for lymphedema using a Perometer and baseline arm volume measurements. In keeping with prior work, we have shown that ALND, RLNR, and preoperative BMI are associated with increased risk of lymphedema.3,9,25

Our study further describes the time-course for lymphedema development, and the extent to which the timing depends on therapy received. For the entire cohort, the risk of developing lymphedema is greatest within the first 3 years following surgery. Interestingly, we found that ALND, not RLNR, is associated with “early-onset” (≤12 months) lymphedema. In contrast, RLNR emerges as a significant risk factor for lymphedema development only for patients experiencing “late-onset” (>12 months) lymphedema. Although ALND is still a significant predictor for “late-onset” lymphedema, the HR is much smaller for ALND for “late-onset” compared to “early-onset” lymphedema (1.86 versus 4.75, respectively). The risk of lymphedema among patients who receive ALND-alone peaks within 6–12 months postoperatively. In contrast, the lymphedema risk for patients who receive ALND/RLNR is higher by 6 months compared to the ALND-alone group, and peaks between 18–24 months. Finally, the lymphedema risk for patients who receive SLNB/RLNR peaks between 36–48 months and is lower than the other two groups overall.

Several points require further discussion. First, although not the purpose of the study, we may speculate regarding why ALND and RLNR influence lymphedema relatively more at different times. Surgery results in direct trauma to the lymphatic system26 and consequently lymphedema associated with ALND may manifest early. It is important to note that this effect is not driven by patients who experienced early postoperative swelling; lymphedema was defined in this study as occurring greater than three months postoperatively to distinguish those who may experience transient swelling from those who would develop chronic lymphedema. In contrast, trauma to the lymphatics following radiation may be associated with radiation-induced fibrosis.27 This process is expected to be more protracted, with the effects of lymphatic fibrosis taking several years to fully manifest, and thus the effect of RLNR on lymphedema development manifests later.

Second, our findings are consistent with the rates of lymphedema reported in EORTC 10981–22023 AMAROS, a phase 3 trial randomizing patients with a positive SLNB to axillary radiation or completion ALND (combined ALND/RLNR therapy was given to patients with ≥4 positive nodes).28 In this study, lymphedema was assessed both clinically and by tape-measurement (defined by an increase ≥10% compared to baseline of the ipsilateral arm). 5-year clinical lymphedema rates in this study were 23% for patients undergoing ALND versus 11% for SLNB with RLNR (p < 0.0001), and these respective estimates for arm-circumference lymphedema were 13% and 6%.28 While utilization of a baseline measurement and an objective arm volume assessment were performed, measuring arm circumference with a tape-measure may be more prone to operator variability than Perometer measurements. Our findings, in conjunction with those of AMAROS, support choosing RLNR over completion ALND in appropriate patients given the similar oncologic control seen in AMAROS and the lower lymphedema risk for SLNB with RLNR compared to ALND observed in both studies.

Our observed rates are also consistent, although slightly higher, with those reported in NCIC-CTG MA.20 trial which randomized high-risk women following SLNB or ALND to receive whole breast irradiation with or without RLNR (10-year clinical rates of lymphedema of 8.4% versus 4.5%, respectively).29 Differences in lymphedema incidence seen in our study compared to MA.20 may be related to quantitative versus qualitative assessment tools and lack of a baseline arm assessment in MA.20, as prior reports have shown significant rates of misdiagnosis without baseline arm measurements.10 In MA.20, lymphedema was assessed by the clinician as grade 2 (moderate lymphedema requiring compression), or grade 3 (severe lymphedema limiting function), and a baseline arm volume assessment was not performed.

Third, our results can inform clinical practice in many ways. To start, our results can be used to counsel patients regarding their individual risk (with respect to specific surgery and radiation received) and time-course of lymphedema development. Furthermore, understanding the timing of lymphedema onset may be useful for risk stratification and to optimize lymphedema surveillance, especially as resource allocation may preclude intense lymphedema monitoring in all patients and clinical settings. In addition, these data may be used to guide future clinical trial design of interventions designed to prevent or mitigate lymphedema to focus these efforts on when patients are at greatest risk.

Fourth, there is an inconsistency with respect to adjuvant chemotherapy and lymphedema risk with some studies showing an association between adjuvant chemotherapy and increased risk of lymphedema,25,3033 while others have not.3437 In our study, chemotherapy use (either neoadjuvant or adjuvant) was associated with increased risk of lymphedema development on univariate analysis, but was not a significant predictor on multivariable analysis.

Our study has several strengths. First, we have investigated lymphedema with an objective arm volume measurement tool, including a baseline arm measurement. Second, our cohort is large, with sufficient follow-up period to accurately elucidate the time-course for development of lymphedema. Finally, we were able to define lymphedema rates for modern clinically relevant cohorts, and a particular strength is that we have a sufficiently large group of women who received RLNR after SLNB.

Our study has potential limitations. First, while prospective, our study was not randomized and there is the possibility that the differences we observed in the timing and incidence of lymphedema are driven by an unaccounted for clinical or pathologic factor. Indeed, patients in the SLNB without RLNR and no axillary surgery groups experienced a 1% semiannual rate of lymphedema for the first 3 years postoperatively, potentially due to breast surgery itself or unaccounted factors in our study (e.g., cellulitis, arm trauma, etc.). Another limitation is that our study does not address the impact of any interventions (e.g., physical therapy, sleeve, etc.) prescribed following lymphedema diagnosis. Additionally, we do not have sufficient follow-up to depict lymphedema beyond 5 years to understand the rates of lymphedema beyond 60 months, although our results indicate that the rate of lymphedema drops below 2% after 5 years for the entire cohort. Finally, all patients in this cohort received surgery at a single high-volume breast cancer institution and it is possible that our findings may not translate to all settings.

Despite these limitations, we have shown that the time-course for breast cancer treatment-related lymphedema is greatest between 12–30 months following therapy, but depends on therapy received. ALND is associated with early-onset lymphedema and RLNR is associated with late-onset lymphedema. These results can be incorporated into clinical practice to guide lymphedema surveillance strategies and patient education. Early identification, continuous monitoring, and intervention for lymphedema should be key components of breast cancer treatment.

Acknowledgement

Presented at the 58th Annual Meeting of the American Society for Radiation Oncology (ASTRO), Boston, MA, September 25–28, 2016. The study was supported by Award Number R01CA139118 (AGT), Award Number P50CA089393 (AGT) from the National Cancer Institute and the Adele McKinnon Research Fund for Breast Cancer-Related Lymphedema.

Footnotes

Conflict of Interest: The authors have no conflict of interests to disclose.

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