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Bulletin of the World Health Organization logoLink to Bulletin of the World Health Organization
. 2019 Apr 30;97(7):502–512. doi: 10.2471/BLT.18.224303

Trends of caesarean delivery from 2008 to 2017, Mexico

Évolution des accouchements par césarienne entre 2008 et 2017 au Mexique

Tendencias de los partos por cesárea de 2008 a 2017, México

اتجاهات الولادة القيصرية من عام 2008 إلى عام 2017، المكسيك

墨西哥 2008 年至 2017 年剖腹产分娩趋势

Тенденции в использовании кесарева сечения в Мексике в период с 2008 по 2017 год

Tarsicio Uribe-Leitz a,, Alejandra Barrero-Castillero b, Arturo Cervantes-Trejo c, Jose Manuel Santos d, Alberto de la Rosa-Rabago c, Stuart R Lipsitz a, Maria Antonia Basavilvazo-Rodriguez e, Neel Shah f, Rose L Molina f
PMCID: PMC6593338  PMID: 31258219

Abstract

Caesarean delivery rates in Mexico are among the highest in the world. Given heightened public and professional awareness of this problem and the updated 2014 national guidelines to reduce the frequency of caesarean delivery, we analysed trends in caesarean delivery by type of facility in Mexico from 2008 to 2017. We obtained birth-certificate data from the Mexican General Directorate for Health Information and grouped the total number of vaginal and caesarean deliveries into five categories of facility: health-ministry hospitals; private hospitals; government employment-based insurance hospitals; military hospitals; and other facilities. Delivery rates were calculated for each category nationally and for each state. On average, 2 114 630 (95% confidence interval, CI: 2 061 487–2 167 773) live births occurred nationally each year between 2008 and 2017. Of these births, 53.5% (1 130 570; 95% CI: 1 108 068–1 153 072) were vaginal deliveries, and 45.3% (957 105; 95% CI: 922 936–991 274) were caesarean deliveries, with little variation over time. During the study period, the number of live births increased by 4.4% (from 1 978 380 to 2 064 507). The vaginal delivery rate decreased from 54.8% (1 083 331/1 978 380) to 52.9% (1 091 958/2 064 507), giving a relative percentage decrease in the rate of 3.5%. The caesarean delivery rate increased from 43.9% (869 018/1 978 380) to 45.5% (940 206/2 064 507), giving a relative percentage increase in the rate of 3.7%. The biggest change in delivery rates was in private-sector hospitals. Since 2014, rates of caesarean delivery have fallen slightly in all sectors, but they remain high at 45.5%. Policies with appropriate interventions are needed to reduce the caesarean delivery rate in Mexico, particularly in private-sector hospitals.

Introduction

Caesarean delivery is a vital procedure to reduce maternal and neonatal mortality.1 However, in some middle- and high-income settings, caesarean deliveries have increased sharply.1 Although no clear optimal rate has been established as a threshold, a caesarean delivery rate of up to 19 per 100 live births is associated with the lowest rates of maternal and neonatal mortality at a population level.2

Caesarean delivery rates in Mexico, a country with the second largest economy in Latin America3 and with a population of nearly 120 million4, are among the highest in the world. For example, the national rate of caesarean delivery in first-time mothers was 48.7% (292 445/600 124) in 2014, with higher rates in private facilities than non-private facilities, regardless of type of insurance coverage.5These rates are of concern because high rates of caesarean delivery can result in harmful consequences for both the mother and baby.6,7 The government8,9 and the public9 have been aware of this problem since the early 2000s. More recently, two newspaper articles10,11 described several cases of unnecessary caesarean delivery, those performed without medical indication,12,13 and subsequent morbidity. These cases indicate that Mexico has a high burden of harmful overtreatment during childbirth.

The health ministry reported a considerable increase in unnecessary caesarean deliveries in the public and private sectors in 20029 and provided guidelines for indications to perform caesarean deliveries and strategies to reduce their frequency.9 In 2014, the ministry published updated guidelines to further reduce caesarean deliveries.14 In the same year, the Mexican Social Security Institute (IMMS), a government affiliated employment-based insurance network, also published clinical practice guidelines to reduce the frequency of caesarean deliveries.8 The clinical practice guidelines were widely disseminated and endorsed by other government-affiliated employment-based insurance networks (Institute for Social Security and Services for State Workers, and PEMEX – Mexican Petroleum), the health ministry, military sectors, and academia. Mexico’s national policy on caesarean delivery was again updated in 2016.15

Given the heightened public and professional awareness of the high rate of caesarean delivery and the 2014 updated national guidelines to reduce the frequency of caesarean deliveries,8,14 we analysed the trends in caesarean delivery in health-care facilities in Mexico from 2008 to 2017 to assess their impact on caesarean delivery.

Methods

Study design and data source

We conducted an ecological analysis of data from publicly available birth certificates from the General Directorate for Health Information of the Mexican health ministry for the period 2008 to 2017.16 This data set includes all annual live births with a birth certificate in Mexico and provides demographic and clinical information on both mothers and their newborns.

Variables

We extracted data on the following variables for each of the 32 Mexican states and overall: total live births; mode of delivery (vaginal delivery, caesarean delivery, forceps-assisted vaginal delivery; complicated delivery such as vaginal breech delivery, other modes of delivery and unspecified mode of delivery); and the organizations funding the facility where delivery occurred. The health-care facilities were the health ministry; the Mexican Social Security Institute (IMSS), a tax-funded government institution that provides employment-based insurance and health services to its beneficiaries and retirees; IMSS-Oportunidades, a government programme that extends social and health services to rural and urban, marginalized and indigenous populations; the Institute for Social Security and Services for State Workers, which provides health-care coverage for government employees; PEMEX, which provides health-care coverage for its employees, retirees and their families; the Office for National Defence, which provides health-care coverage for its employees, retirees and family members of individuals affiliated with Mexico’s army and air force; the Office for the Navy which provides health-care coverage for its employees, retirees and family members of individuals affiliated with the Mexican Navy; and other public and private facilities, roadside delivery (on the way to a health-care facility), home delivery, other, and unspecified.

The outcome variables were the total number of vaginal, caesarean and other deliveries, which were categorized into five types of facility: (i) health-ministry hospitals, (ii) private hospitals, (iii) government employment-based insurance hospitals (Social Security Institute, IMSS-Oportunidades, Institute for Social Security and Services for State Workers, and PEMEX), (iv) military hospitals (Office for National Defence and Office for the Navy), and (v) other facilities. Delivery rates were calculated for each category of health facility and overall, nationally and by state. We calculated the difference in the rates of vaginal and caesarean delivery between 2008 and 2017 and present this relative change in rate as a percentage of the 2008 rate.

Statistical analysis

We performed multivariable logistic regression with the year as a continuous covariate to test for trends and determine if there were statistically significant differences (P < 0.05) between rates of caesarean delivery within each type of facility over time, using the health-ministry facilities as the reference category. Statistical analyses were performed using SAS 9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary, United States of America).

Findings

National and state

There were on average 2 114 630 (95% confidence interval, CI: 2 061 487–2 167 773) live births a year nationally between 2008 and 2017, of which 1 130 570 (95% CI: 1 108 068–1 153 072) were vaginal deliveries and 957 105 (95% CI: 922 936–991 274) were caesarean deliveries. National rates for vaginal and caesarean delivery were 53.5% and 45.3%, respectively, with little variation over time (Fig. 1). The number of overall live births increased by 4.4% (from 1 978 380 to 2 064 507) during this 10-year period. The rate of vaginal delivery decreased by 1.9 percentage points (from 54.8% [1 083 331/1 978 380] to 52.9% [1 091 958/2 064 507]; Table 1), giving a relative percentage decrease in the vaginal delivery rate of 3.5%. The rate of caesarean delivery increased by 1.6 percentage points (from 43.9% [869 018/1978380] to 45.5% [940 206/2 064 507]), giving a relative percentage increase in the caesarean delivery rate of 3.7% (Table 1).

Fig. 1.

Rates of caesarean delivery by sector, Mexico, 2008–2017

Note: The values are percentages of total live births per year.

Fig. 1

Table 1. Live births by mode of delivery, Mexico, 2008–2017.

Year No. of total live births Vaginal deliveries, no. (%) Caesarean deliveries, no. (%) Other deliveries, no. (%)a
2008 1 978 380 1 083 331 (54.8) 869 018 (43.9) 26 031 (3.0)
2009 2 058 708 1 119 422 (54.4) 913 545 (44.4) 25 741 (2.8)
2010 2 073 111 1 120 123 (54.0) 928 299 (44.8) 24 689 (2.7)
2011 2 167 060 1 163 844 (53.7) 978 144 (45.1) 25 072 (2.6)
2012 2 206 692 1 177 244 (53.3) 1 005 897 (45.6) 23 551 (2.3)
2013 2 195 073 1 156 978 (52.7) 1 014 517 (46.2) 23 578 (2.3)
2014 2 177 319 1 140 835 (52.4) 1 014 336 (46.6) 22 148 (2.2)
2015 2 145 199 1 146 219 (53.4) 966 607 (45.1) 32 373 (3.3)
2016 2 080 253 1 105 745 (53.2) 940 479 (45.2) 34 029 (3.6)
2017 2 064 507 1 091 958 (52.9) 940 206 (45.5) 32 343 (3.4)

a Other deliveries are forceps, complicated deliveries, other and unspecified.

Data for 2008 show substantial variation in the overall rates of caesarean delivery by state, ranging from 31% in Nayarit, San Luis Potosi and Zacatecas to 51% in Nuevo Leon (Fig. 2). In the private sector, the variation was even greater than the overall rates, ranging from 56% in Chihuahua to 83% in Nuevo Leon (Fig. 3). In 2017, overall rates of caesarean delivery varied considerably by state, ranging from 31% in Chiapas to 53% in Nuevo Leon (Fig. 2). Again, in the private sector, the variation was even greater, ranging from 61% in San Luis Potosi to 92% in Tamaulipas (Fig. 3). Fig. 4 and Fig. 5 show the rates of caesarean delivery in health-ministry and employment-based insurance hospitals, respectively, in 2008 and 2017.

Fig. 2.

Rates of caesarean delivery, by state, Mexico, 2008 and 2017

Note: The values are percentages of total live births per year.

Fig. 2

Fig. 3.

Rates of caesarean delivery in private facilities by state, Mexico, 2008 and 2017

Note: The values are percentages of total live births per year.

Fig. 3

Fig. 4.

Rates of caesarean delivery, in health-ministry facilities by state, Mexico, 2008 and 2017

Note: The values are percentages of total live births per year.

Fig. 4

Fig. 5.

Rates of caesarean delivery in employment-based insurance facilities by state, Mexico, 2008 and 2017

Note: The values are percentages of total live births per year.

Fig. 5

The rates of vaginal and caesarean delivery by state are shown in Table 2. In most states (25 out of 32), the rate of caesarean delivery increased from 2008 to 2017, but seven states showed lower caesarean delivery rates. This decrease was particularly noteworthy in Colima (49% to 40%) and Campeche (45% to 37%; Fig. 2).

Table 2. Live births by state and mode of delivery, Mexico, 2008 and 2017.

State No. of total live births
Vaginal deliveries, no. (%)
Caesarean deliveries, no. (%)
Other deliveries, no. (%)a
2008 2017 2008 2017 2008 2017 2008 2017
Aguascalientes 26 741 29 045 13 428 (50.2) 14 816 (51.0) 12 645 (47.3) 13 932 (48.0) 668 (2.5) 297 (1.0)
Baja California 46 713 53 086 26 522 (56.8) 29 334 (55.3) 19 772 (42.3) 23 495 (44.3) 419 (0.9) 257 (0.5)
Baja California Sur 11 180 11 891 5 893 (52.7) 5 757 (48.4) 5 182 (46.4) 6 010 (50.5) 105 (0.9) 124 (1.0)
Campeche 13 369 14 098 7 317 (54.7) 8 738 (62.0) 5 996 (44.9) 5 283 (37.5) 56 (0.4) 77 (0.5)
Chiapas 64 167 90 897 43 119 (67.2) 60 312 (66.4) 20 798 (32.4) 28 263 (31.1) 250 (0.4) 2322 (2.6)
Chihuahua 54 167 61 534 34 125 (63.0) 37 287 (60.6) 19 516 (36.0) 23 165 (37.6) 526 (1.0) 1082 (1.8)
Ciudad de México 142 110 132 363 73 778 (51.9) 65 025 (49.1) 66 274 (46.6) 64 932 (49.1) 2058 (1.4) 2406 (1.8)
Coahuila 55 121 57 274 30 959 (56.2) 31 809 (55.5) 23 294 (42.3) 24 482 (42.7) 868 (1.6) 983 (1.7)
Colima 12 731 12 676 6 460 (50.7) 7 522 (59.3) 6 217 (48.8) 5 058 (39.9) 54 (0.4) 96 (0.8)
Durango 29 036 32 538 18 420 (63.4) 19 723 (60.6) 10 354 (35.7) 12 495 (38.4) 262 (0.9) 320 (1.0)
Guanajuato 117 299 116 367 61 760 (52.7) 56 489 (48.5) 53 515 (45.6) 57 479 (49.4) 2024 (1.7) 2399 (2.1)
Guerrero 45 070 60 081 28 310 (62.8) 39 827 (66.3) 16 636 (36.9) 19 646 (32.7) 124 (0.3) 608 (1.0)
Hidalgo 47 702 46 773 25 131 (52.7) 24 281 (51.9) 22 459 (47.1) 21 782 (46.6) 112 (0.2) 710 (1.5)
Jalisco 134 579 140 725 68 160 (50.6) 69 351 (49.3) 64 075 (47.6) 67 948 (48.3) 2344 (1.7) 3426 (2.4)
México 290 337 258 101 158 385 (54.6) 136 791 (53.0) 130 463 (44.9) 119 844 (46.4) 1489 (0.5) 1466 (0.6)
Michoacán 82 883 86 942 45 784 (55.2) 44 873 (51.6) 36 548 (44.1) 41 930 (48.2) 551 (0.7) 139 (0.2)
Morelos 31 860 31 550 16 565 (52.0) 15 741 (49.9) 15 234 (47.8) 15 277 (48.4) 61 (0.2) 532 (1.7)
Nayarit 18 969 17 979 12 920 (68.1) 10 895 (60.6) 5 969 (31.5) 6 892 (38.3) 80 (0.4) 192 (1.1)
Nuevo León 76 278 92 642 27 919 (36.6) 36 027 (38.9) 39 261 (51.5) 49 234 (53.1) 9098 (11.9) 7381 (8.0)
Oaxaca 41 869 69 747 27 071 (64.7) 39 204 (56.2) 14 680 (35.1) 29 890 (42.9) 118 (0.3) 653 (0.9)
Puebla 111 821 125 336 58 248 (52.1) 60 757 (48.5) 53 387 (47.7) 63 798 (50.9) 186 (0.2) 781 (0.6)
Querétaro 40 195 41 233 20 760 (51.6) 21 273 (51.6) 18 970 (47.2) 19 488 (47.3) 465 (1.2) 472 (1.1)
Quintana Roo 23 576 27 915 13 722 (58.2) 16 037 (57.4) 9 715 (41.2) 11 317 (40.5) 139 (0.6) 561 (2.0)
San Luis Potosí 49 125 48 007 33 108 (67.4) 30 665 (63.9) 15 101 (30.7) 16 397 (34.2) 916 (1.9) 945 (2.0)
Sinaloa 50 858 50 872 25 761 (50.7) 24 237 (47.6) 24 943 (49.0) 26 502 (52.1) 154 (0.3) 133 (0.3)
Sonora 49 327 44 958 27 848 (56.5) 23 685 (52.7) 21 269 (43.1) 20 963 (46.6) 210 (0.4) 310 (0.7)
Tabasco 50 247 47 877 28 381 (56.5) 26 354 (55.0) 21 441 (42.7) 21 274 (44.4) 425 (0.8) 249 (0.5)
Tamaulipas 68 054 57 602 34 065 (50.1) 26 487 (46.0) 32 787 (48.2) 30 192 (52.4) 1202 (1.8) 923 (1.6)
Tlaxcala 23 208 23 896 12 681 (54.6) 11 559 (48.4) 10 480 (45.2) 12 007 (50.2) 47 (0.2) 330 (1.4)
Veracruz 106 621 114 921 60 279 (56.5) 59 263 (51.) 45 969 (43.1) 54 405 (47.3) 373 (0.3) 1253 (1.1)
Yucatán 35 070 35 573 17 591 (50.2) 18 182 (51.1) 17 274 (49.3) 17 076 (48.0) 205 (0.6) 315 (0.9)
Zacatecas 28 097 30 004 18 861 (67.1) 19 654 (65.5) 8 794 (31.3) 9 750 (32.5) 442 (1.6) 600 (2.0)

a Other deliveries are forceps, problematic deliveries, other and unspecified.

Health-ministry facilities

In health-ministry facilities, there were 1 006 514 (95% CI: 968 497–1 044 531) deliveries a year on average between 2008 and 2017, of which 660 235 (95% CI: 637 926–682 544) were vaginal deliveries and 335 771 (95% CI: 318 784–352 759) were caesarean deliveries. In the public sector, 65.6% of births were vaginal delivery and 33.4% were caesarean delivery, with little variation over time (Fig. 1). The number of live births in health-ministry facilities increased by 7.0% (from 891 023 to 953 825) during the 10-year period. The rate of vaginal delivery decreased by 0.7 percentage points (from 66.6% to 65.9%; Table 3), giving a relative percentage decrease in the vaginal delivery rate of 1.0%. The caesarean delivery rate increased by 0.8 percentage points (from 32.2% to 33.0%; Table 3) giving a relative percentage increase in the caesarean delivery rate of 2.7%. Caesarean delivery in health-ministry facilities has gradually decreased since 2014, from 34.9% to 33.0% in 2017 (Table 3).

Table 3. Mode of delivery by facility, Mexico, 2008–2017.

Year No. of total live births Vaginal deliveries, no. (%) Caesarean deliveries, no. (%) Other deliveries, no. (%)a
Health-ministry facilities
2008 891 023 593 563 (66.6) 286 540 (32.2) 10 920 (1.2)
2009 988 826 655 255 (66.3) 322 576 (32.6) 10 995 (1.1)
2010 1 018 289 673 967 (66.2) 333 062 (32.7) 11 260 (1.1)
2011 1 051 779 695 015 (66.1) 345 762 (32.9) 11 002 (1.0)
2012 1 060 571 695 124 (65.5) 355 007 (33.5) 10 440 (1.0)
2013 1 044 013 674 955 (64.7) 359 225 (34.4) 9 833 (0.9)
2014 1 045 159 670 942 (64.2) 364 984 (34.9) 9 233 (0.9)
2015 1 027 982 670 380 (65.2) 346 761 (33.7) 10 841 (1.1)
2016 983 672 644 115 (65.5) 328 642 (33.4) 10 915 (1.1)
2017 953 825 629 035 (65.9) 315 153 (33.0) 9 637 (1.0)
Private facilities
2008 420 866 114 193 (27.1) 304 432 (72.3) 2241 (0.5)
2009 409 083 104 571 (25.6) 302 707 (74.0) 1805 (0.4)
2010 414 353 99 743 (24.1) 313 140 (75.6) 1470 (0.4)
2011 424 570 91 604 (21.6) 331 369 (78.0) 1597 (0.4)
2012 446 416 94 028 (21.1) 350 947 (78.6) 1441 (0.3)
2013 442 888 90 630 (20.5) 350 879 (79.2) 1379 (0.3)
2014 439 936 85 546 (19.4) 352 994 (80.2) 1396 (0.3)
2015 444 782 87 404 (19.7) 351 880 (79.1) 5498 (1.2)
2016 456 419 87 611 (19.2) 361 136 (79.1) 7672 (1.7)
2017 463 826 85 288 (18.4) 370 049 (79.8) 8489 (1.8)
Employment-based insurance facilities
2008 551 250 292 964 (53.1) 246 417 (44.7) 11 869 (2.2)
2009 552 502 282 027 (51.0) 258 359 (46.8) 12 116 (2.2)
2010 534 147 272 279 (51.0) 250 800 (47.0) 11 068 (2.1)
2011 579 401 300 690 (51.9) 267 248 (46.1) 11 463 (2.0)
2012 592 562 314 097 (53.0) 267 779 (45.2) 10 686 (1.8)
2013 601 196 318 228 (52.9) 271 818 (45.2) 11 150 (1.9)
2014 591 372 315 742 (53.4) 265 250 (44.9) 10 380 (1.8)
2015 577 528 325 062 (56.3) 238 219 (41.2) 14 247 (2.5)
2016 558 101 317 081 (56.8) 227 148 (40.7) 13 872 (2.5)
2017 566 966 322 772 (56.9) 231 458 (40.8) 12 736 (2.2)
Military facilities
2008 13 924 8170 (58.7) 5687 (40.8) 67 (0.5)
2009 13 072 7426 (56.8) 5616 (43.0) 30 (0.2)
2010 12 911 7307 (56.6) 5571 (43.1) 33 (0.3)
2011 13 317 7764 (58.3) 5492 (41.2) 61 (0.5)
2012 13 878 7988 (57.6) 5840 (42.1) 50 (0.4)
2013 13 677 7922 (57.9) 5700 (41.7) 55 (0.4)
2014 13 363 7611 (57.0) 5706 (42.7) 46 (0.3)
2015 12 359 7398 (59.9) 4849 (39.2) 112 (0.9)
2016 11 618 7247 (62.4) 4221 (36.3) 150 (1.3)
2017
10 628
6383 (60.1)
4168 (39.2)
77 (0.7)
Other facilities
2008
101 317
74 441 (73.5)
25 942 (25.6)
934 (0.9)
2009 95 225 70 143 (73.7) 24 287 (25.5) 795 (0.8)
2010 93 411 66 827 (71.5) 25 726 (27.5) 858 (0.9)
2011 97 993 68 771 (70.2) 28 273 (28.9) 949 (1.0)
2012 93 265 66 007 (70.8) 26 324 (28.2) 934 (1.0)
2013 93 299 65 243 (69.9) 26 895 (28.8) 1161 (1.2)
2014 87 489 60 994 (69.7) 25 402 (29.0) 1093 (1.2)
2015 82 548 55 975 (67.8) 24 898 (30.2) 1675 (2.0)
2016 70 443 49 691 (70.5) 19 332 (27.4) 1420 (2.0)
2017 69 262 48 480 (70.0) 19 378 (28.0) 1404 (2.0)

a Other deliveries are forceps, problematic deliveries, other and unspecified.

Private facilities

In the private sector, there were 436 314 (95% CI: 423 272–449 356) deliveries a year on average between 2008 and 2017, of which 94 062 (95% CI: 87 312–100 812) were vaginal deliveries, and 338 953 (95% CI: 321 531–356 376) were caesarean deliveries. In private facilities, 21.6% of births were vaginal delivery and 77.7% were caesarean delivery, with little variation over time (Fig. 1). The number of live births increased by 10.2% (from 420 866 to 463 826) during the 10-year period. The rate of vaginal delivery decreased by 8.7 percentage points (from 27.1% to 18.4%; Table 3), giving a relative percentage decrease in the rate of vaginal delivery of 32.2%. The caesarean delivery rate increased by 7.5 percentage points (from 72.3% to 79.8%; Table 3) giving a relative percentage decrease in the caesarean delivery rate of 10.3%. The change in the rate of caesarean delivery over this 10-year period in the private sector was statistically significant compared with the change in rate in the public sector (P < 0.001). The rate of caesarean delivery in private facilities was 80.2% in 2014 and showed a slight decrease in 2015 and 2016 to 79.1%, but the rate increased again in 2017 to 79.8%.

Employment insurance facilities

In government employment-based insurance facilities, there were 570 503 (95% CI: 555 094–585 911) live births a year on average between 2008 and 2017, of which 306 094 (95% CI: 293 061–319 127) were vaginal deliveries, and 252 450 (95% CI: 240 889–264 010) were caesarean deliveries. In these facilities, 53.7% of live births were vaginal delivery and 44.3% were caesarean delivery, with little variation over time (Fig. 1). The number of live births increased by 2.9% (from 551 250 to 566 966) during the 10-year period. The rate of vaginal delivery increased by 3.8 percentage points (from 53.1% to 56.9%; Table 3), giving a relative percentage decrease in the vaginal delivery rate of 7.1%. The rate of caesarean delivery decreased by 3.9 percentage points (from 44.7% to 40.8%; Table 3), giving a relative percentage decrease in the caesarean delivery rate of 8.7%.

The change in the rate of caesarean delivery over this 10-year period in government employment-based insurance facilities was statistically significant compared with the change in rate in the public sector (P < 0.001).

Caesarean delivery rates in government employment-based insurance facilities decreased from 44.9% in 2014, when the clinical practice guidelines were published, to 41.2% in 2015 and thereafter plateaued.

In a subanalysis of facilities of the Mexican Social Security Institute, caesarean delivery decreased gradually from 46.2% (210 864/456 826) in 2008 to 42.5% (183 700/431 775) in 2015, with a subsequent decrease to 41.9% (177 965/424 454) in 2017 (Fig. 6). The rate of vaginal delivery increased from 51.4% (234 659/456 826) to 55.6% (235 827/424 454) between 2008 and 2017, a difference of 4.2 percentage points, giving a relative percentage increase in the vaginal delivery rate of 8.2%. The caesarean delivery rate decreased from 46.2% (210 864/456 826) to 41.9% (177 965/424 454), a difference of 4.3 percentage points, giving a relative percentage decrease in the caesarean delivery rate of 9.2%. After the introduction of the clinical practice guidelines in 2014, caesarean delivery rates decreased from 46.0% (206 787/449 059) in 2014 to 41.9% (177 965/424 454) in 2017.

Fig. 6.

Rates of caesarean and vaginal delivery in facilities of the Social Security Institute, Mexico, 2008–2017

Notes: The values are percentages of total live births per year. The Social Security Institute is financed by employment-based insurance.

Fig. 6

Military facilities

In military facilities, there were 12 875 (95% CI: 12 116–13 633) deliveries a year on average between 2008 and 2017, of which 7522 (95% CI: 7159–7884) were vaginal deliveries and 5285 (95% CI: 4831–5739) were caesarean deliveries. In military facilities, 58.4% of births were vaginal delivery and 41.0% were caesarean delivery, with little variation over time (Fig. 1). The number of live births in military facilities decreased by 23.7% (from 13 924 to 10 628) during the 10-year period. The rate of vaginal delivery increased by 1.4 percentage points (from 58.7% to 60.1%; Table 3) giving a relative percentage increase in the rate of vaginal delivery of 2.4%. The rate of caesarean delivery decreased by 1.6 percentage points (from 40.8% to 39.2%; Table 3), giving a relative percentage increase in the rate of caesarean delivery of 4.0%. There was no statistically significant difference in the change in rate of caesarean delivery in military facilities over this 10-year period compared with the change in rate in the public sector (P = 0.28).

More recently, military facilities showed a decrease in rates of caesarean delivery, from 42.7% in 2014 to 36.3% in 2016, but they rose again in 2017 to 39.2%.

Other facilities

In other facilities, there were 88 425 (95% CI: 80 509–96 341) deliveries a year on average between 2008 and 2017, of which 62 657 (95% CI: 56 420–68 894) were vaginal deliveries, and 24 646 (95% CI: 22 505–26 787) were caesarean deliveries. In other facilities, the rate of vaginal delivery was 70.9% and the rate of caesarean delivery was 27.9%, with little variation over time (Fig. 1). There was a 31.6% decrease (from 101 317 to 69 262) in the total number of live births during this 10-year period. The rate of vaginal delivery decreased by 3.5 percentage points (from 73.5% to 70.0%; Table 3), giving a relative percentage decrease in the rate of vaginal delivery of 4.7%. The rate of caesarean delivery increased by 2.4 percentage points (from 25.6% to 28.0%; Table 3), giving a relative percentage increase in caesarean delivery of 9.3%. There was no statistically significant difference in the change in the rate of caesarean delivery in other facilities over this 10-year period compared with the change in rate in the public sector (P = 0.39).

Discussion

Caesarean delivery rates are still alarmingly high in Mexico and increased between 2008 and 2017, with the biggest increase in private hospitals. These trends were statistically significant in the private and the employment-based insurance facilities compared with health-ministry facilities. However, in 2015 and 2016, after the 2014 clinical practice guidelines were published, rates of caesarean delivery decreased slightly in all types of facility, although they rose again in 2017 in all but health-ministry facilities. These findings illustrate the difficulty in implementing and sustaining change across a mulitsectoral health-care system.

The 2014 clinical practice guidelines of the Social Security Institute aimed to reduce the number of unnecessary caesarean deliveries.8 Our subanalysis of trends in caesarean deliveries in Social Security Institute facilities showed an overall decrease in the rate of caesarean delivery during the 10-year period, with the greatest decrease after the introduction of the clinical practice guidelines. The Social Security Institute monitored the effect of the guidelines through an electronic verification registry score system which assigns points (1, 0, not available) for each recommendation followed. Recommendations are categorized as: strategies to reduce caesarean deliveries, diagnostic tests, labour management, and technical criteria for referral. For example, adherence to the clinical guidelines was 60% in one hospital using the score system of the Social Security Institute (personal communication, Dr Maria Antonia Basavilvazo-Rodriguez, 2019), which is well below the goal.

Lack of compliance with the recommendations on caesarean delivery could be associated with factors at different levels: the health system and facilities, health professionals, and patients and their communities. Regarding health system and facility factors, the health-care infrastructure varies widely by sector and state, including in human resources, labour rooms and quality committees to evaluate caesarean deliveries. Health professionals may resist following updated clinical guidelines because of habit and perverse financial incentives (e.g. they get paid more for caesarean deliveries than vaginal deliveries). For women and the community, health professionals need to provide clear and accurate information about the benefits of vaginal delivery, including the options for pain control, and for caesarean delivery when clinically indicated. Reinforcing the dissemination and implementation of the clinical guidelines and regulating financial incentives are both needed to ensure health professionals follow the national policy on caesarean delivery.

Nationally, one could argue that the national policy had a positive effect because caesarean delivery rates showed a slight, but promising decrease in 2015. Unfortunately, after 2015, the overall rates have gradually increased, but have not reached the 2014 level. States showed variation in caesarean delivery rates; states with more resources had higher overall caesarean delivery rates than those with fewer resources, on average. In all states, the lowest caesarean delivery rates were in health-ministry hospitals (except Oaxaca in 2017 where the lowest rate was in government employment-based insurance facilities) and the highest rates were in private facilities in both 2008 and 2017. States where caesarean delivery decreased or increased considerably over the 10-year period should be further investigated to identify strategies that work and do not work so that successful interventions can be tailored and applied in other states.

The large difference between caesarean delivery rates in the private sector compared with other sectors is a cause for concern. Factors that may explain this difference include perverse economic incentives which exist at all levels of the health-care system: at the health system level (i.e. insurance coverage for caesarean delivery only), facility level (i.e. for-profit hospitals),17 and the physician level (i.e. induced demand for caesarean delivery,18 increased income through higher reimbursement for caesarean delivery than vaginal delivery). In addition, patients’ perceptions and preferences (e.g. fear of pain during delivery)19 can affect caesarean delivery rates. In fact, while policies on caesarean delivery provide useful guidance aimed at reducing the number of unnecessary caesarean deliveries based on clinical evidence, the technical guideline also highlights two points of concern: that some insurance policies only cover caesarean delivery and not vaginal delivery, and that women are requesting caesarean delivery rather than vaginal delivery to avoid pain, the slow progression of labour and perceived harm to their newborns with vaginal delivery.

The policies and guidelines are unlikely to reverse the trend in caesarean delivery unless they are part of a multilevel, multistakeholder approach that has continuing support.8 A multipronged approach tailored to the local context that includes clinical and non-clinical health-care interventions has been proposed as a means to optimize the use of caesarean delivery.12 For example, a mandatory second opinion before a caesarean delivery can be performed has been proposed.20 Some suggested non-clinical interventions that are relevant to Mexico include: sharing appropriate evidence-based information on caesarean and vaginal delivery with women and their communities; creating financial arrangements that do not reward caesarean delivery and penalize vaginal delivery; and strengthening systems to provide trained staff and adequate pain relief in childbirth care.12,21

While higher socioeconomic status has been associated with an increase in caesarean delivery,22,23 vulnerable populations, such as indigenous groups, are also at risk of unnecessary caesarean delivery and should be monitored when assessing the effect of policies on caesarean delivery.23 Unfortunately, vulnerable populations who had access to health care through Mexico’s universal health-care insurance, Seguro Popular, might again be at risk, given current attempts to abolish it.24 Reversal of imperfect yet successful programmes such as Seguro Popular is likely to negatively affect efforts to reduce caesarean delivery in the public sector. If these programmes are reduced or abolished, the effect on maternal and neonatal health care, including on caesarean delivery, will require close monitoring and further research.

Mexico has a robust data collection system with several publicly-available data sets. However, improvements could be made in capturing relevant indicators of maternal and neonatal health, creating a system for quality assurance of data, and standardizing the definitions and classification of variables. Indications for caesarean delivery are poorly documented in both public and private sectors, which could be improved through audits and feedback.13 In addition, linking data sets, using unique record identifiers that protect the identity of individuals, is important, so that the clinical effects of high rates of caesarean delivery can be monitored over time, such as, hysterectomy during caesarean because of abnormal placentation.

Our study has two main limitations. First, we used publicly available data from birth certificates and births that occurred without a birth certificate were not included. Second, the analysis is based on live births and important information on maternal outcomes from stillbirths and abortions is not captured. Despite these limitations, the data set covers about 98% of Mexico’s population.25

Conclusion

Reducing caesarean delivery rates in Mexico will require more than public awareness, guidelines and policies. First, an improved data collection and quality assurance system is necessary to better understand the consequences of high caesarean delivery rates over time. Second, increased oversight and regulation of private insurance companies is needed to reverse the perverse economic incentives that contribute to a very high caesarean delivery rate in the private sector. Finally, the medical and public health community must take an active role in educating the next generation of obstetricians and gynaecologists, the public and the insurance industry on the well documented benefits of vaginal delivery for both women and their newborns. Multilevel interventions, such as those available to improve quality of care for member countries of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development,26 are urgently needed to safely reduce the high rate of caesarean delivery in Mexico, particularly in private-sector hospitals.

Competing interests:

None declared.

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