Abstract
Genomic prediction with imputed whole-genome sequencing (WGS) data is an attractive approach to improve predictive ability with low cost. However, high accuracy has not been realized using this method in livestock. In this study, we imputed 435 individuals from 600K single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) chip data to WGS data using different reference panels. We also investigated the prediction accuracy of genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) using imputed WGS data from different reference panels, linkage disequilibrium (LD)-based marker pruning, and pre-selected variants based on Genome-wide association society (GWAS) results. Results showed that the imputation accuracies from 600K to WGS data were 0.873 ± 0.038, 0.906 ± 0.036, and 0.979 ± 0.010 for the internal, external, and combined reference panels, respectively. In most traits of chickens, the prediction accuracy of imputed WGS data obtained from the internal reference panel was greater than or equal to that of the combined reference panel; the external reference panel had the lowest prediction accuracy. Compared with 600K chip data, GBLUP with imputed WGS data had only a small increase (1–3%) in prediction accuracy. Using only variants selected from imputed WGS data based on GWAS results resulted in almost no increase for most traits and even increased the bias of the regression coefficient. The impact of the degree of LD of selected and remaining variants on prediction accuracy was different. For average daily gain (ADG), residual feed intake (RFI), intestine length (IL), and body weight in 91 days (BW91), the accuracy of GBLUP increased as the degree of LD of selected variants decreased, but the opposite relationship occurred for the remaining variants. But for breast muscle weight (BMW) and average daily feed intake (ADFI), the accuracy of GBLUP increased as the degree of LD of selected variants increased, and the degree of LD of remaining variants had a small effect on prediction accuracy. Overall, the optimal imputation strategy to obtain WGS data for genomic prediction should consider the relationship between selected individuals and target population individuals to avoid heterogeneity of imputation. LD-based marker pruning can be used to improve the accuracy of genomic prediction using imputed WGS data.
Keywords: genomic prediction, imputed WGS data, LD-based marker pruning, GWAS, chickens
Introduction
Whole genomic prediction (WGP) has been widely implemented in animal and plant breeding programs and human disease risk prediction. Over the past decade, the application of WGP was mainly based on SNP chip data. The rapid development of high-throughput sequencing technology has made it possible to apply WGP with whole-genome sequencing (WGS) data. Compared with SNP chip data, WGS data include whole genomic variants as well as causal mutations. Thus, WGP combined with WGS data were expected to lead to higher predictive ability. This expectation was confirmed by related simulation studies (Meuwissen and Goddard, 2010; Iheshiulor et al., 2016). However, using imputed WGS data to perform WGP has not led to the expected higher accuracies of genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) or Bayesian methods in livestock. In cattle, van Binsbergen et al. (2015) found no benefit for genomic prediction using imputed WGS data compared with the HD chip data in a Holstein Friesian population. In addition, compared with the regular 54K chip data, imputed WGS data led to only a marginal increase in accuracy for nonreturn rate in heifers (NRH) and a decrease for stature and somatic cell score (SCS) in Brown Swiss cattle (Frischknecht et al., 2018). In pig, compared with 80K and 650K SNP chips, using imputed WGS data and BayesRC improved the prediction accuracies of loin muscle depth (LMD) and average daily gain (ADG); however, it resulted in decreased accuracy for ultrasound backfat depth (FAT) and average daily feed intake (ADFI) (Zhang et al., 2018). In chicken, there was little or no benefit using GBLUP with imputed WGS data compared with low-density or high-density (HD) chip data (Heidaritabar et al., 2016; Ni et al., 2017).
Many factors affect the prediction accuracy with imputed WGS data, such as the genetic architecture of traits, imputation errors, and linkage disequilibrium (LD). The genetic architecture of traits is the basis of genome prediction. If causal mutations all have low minor allele frequency (MAF), the accuracy of genomic prediction would be improved by up to 30% using sequence data (Druet et al., 2014). Thus, WGP with imputed WGS data is an attractive way to lead to higher predictive ability for low heritability traits. Imputed WGS data increases not only marker density to contain causative variants for traits but also imputation errors. Imputation errors decrease the accuracy of genomic predictions in the top segment and overestimate in the bottom segment, because imputation algorithms usually replace the missing haplotype with the most frequent haplotype observed in the reference panel (Pimentel et al., 2015). Selection of the imputation reference panel is very important for genomic prediction with imputed WGS data.
Currently, the imputation reference panels are always divided into three types: the internal reference panel, the external reference panel, and the combined reference panel. The combined reference panel has greater imputation accuracy, especially for low-frequency variants (Ye et al., 2018a). The imputed WGS data also include long-range LD within a breed, which may prevent the precise localization of quantitative trait nucleotides (QTN) (van Binsbergen et al., 2015). Moreover, most of these imputed variants were in imperfect LD with causative mutations. Therefore, it might be better to preselect fewer variants that are located closer to the QTN to improve the accuracy of genomic prediction (van den Berg et al., 2016).
Simulation studies have shown that only accurately preselected variants improve the accuracy of genomic prediction, due to including causative variants or a stronger LD with the causative mutations (Perez-Enciso et al., 2015; van den Berg et al., 2016). In multi-breeds, both reliability and accuracy were improved with selected sequence variants by GWAS (van den Berg et al., 2016; VanRaden et al., 2017; Teissier et al., 2018). However, in within-breed genomic prediction, selected sequence variants or weighting SNPs did not increase accuracy and even resulted in more bias (Veerkamp et al., 2016; Ni et al., 2017). Long-range LD within a breed may prevent the precise localization of QTN (van Binsbergen et al., 2015). Hence, it is necessary to carefully validate the degree of LD around significant variants for the implementation of WGP with imputed WGS data in within-breed genomic prediction.
In this study, we imputed 435 individuals from 600K chip data to WGS data using different reference panels and assessed the impact on the predictive ability of GBLUP. Then, we compared the prediction accuracy of GBLUP using different LD-based marker pruning and pre-selected variants based GWAS results. Additionally, these selected and remaining variants were pruned according to LD, and we explored the impact on prediction accuracy. These results of this study provide useful knowledge to obtain imputed WGS data and to execute genomic prediction within a livestock population.
Materials and Methods
Population and Phenotyping
The quality chicken population used in this study was derived from a yellow-feather dwarf broiler breed maintained for 25 generations by Wens Nanfang Poultry Breeding Co. Ltd. (Xinxing, P.R. China). This population included 1,600 birds (800 males and 800 females) and was the third batch of the 25th generation of this quality chicken population. These birds came from a mixture of full-sib and half-sib families from mating 30 males and 360 females of the 24th generation. After hatching, all birds were maintained in a closed building under controlled environmental conditions and provided with a standard diet until they were 4 weeks of age. The chickens were then randomly assigned to six pens by gender (three pens for males and three pens for females) for growth performance test from 5 to 13 weeks of age. They received food and water ad libitum during all stages. Finally, the birds were slaughtered at 91 days of age for carcass trait recording. For more details about this population, please refer to Xu et al. (2016) and Zhang et al. (2017).
Of these 1,600 birds, 1,338 were systematically phenotyped. During the growth performance test stage, body weights were recorded at 45, 49, 56, 63, 70, 77, 84, and 91 days of age (denoted as BW45, BW49, BW56, BW63, BW70, BW77, BW84, and BW91, respectively). The carcass weight (CW), eviscerated weight with giblets (EWG), eviscerated weight (EW), breast muscle weight (BMW), drumstick weight (DW), abdominal fat weight (AFW), abdominal fat percentage (AFP), gizzard weight (GW), and intestine length (IL) were measured at 91 days of age. Average daily gain (ADG) and feed conversion ratio (FCR) for each individual were calculated for the period from 45 to 84 days. The average daily feed intake (ADFI) and residual feed intake (RFI) were calculated with a previously reported formula (Xu et al., 2016): ADFI = b0 + b1 × MMBW + b2 × ADG + RFI, where b0 was the intercept, MMBW was mid-test body weight (MBW raised to the power of 0.75), and the MBW was the predicted body weight on day 21 of the test. b1 and b2 were the partial regression coefficients for MMBW and ADG, respectively, and RFI was the residual of the model. Detailed descriptive statistics for these 21 traits are in Table S1.
Genotyping and Quality Control
After being systematically phenotyped, a total of 450 birds were randomly selected for genotyping with the 600K Affymetrix® Axiom® HD genotyping array (Kranis et al., 2013). These birds were 15 male parents and 435 male offspring. The average sire family size was 13.5 with a range of 7 to 23 in 435 genotyped male offspring. The 600K genotyping array contained 580,961 SNP probes across 28 autosomes, two linkage groups (LGE64 and LGE22C19W28_E50C23), and two sex chromosomes. After converting genome coordinates to a chicken reference genome (galGal5), we extracted 28 autosomes and a sex chromosome (chrZ) for further analyses. To process samples, genotyped SNPs with minor allele frequency (MAF) smaller than 0.5%, genotyping call rate smaller than 97%, and Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium test p value smaller than 1 × 10−6 were removed, resulting in 547,020 SNPs.
Genotype Imputation and Quality Control
To check the effect of the different imputation reference panels on the predictive ability of imputed WGS data, the 600K chip data were imputed to WGS data with three reference panels (the internal, external, and combined reference panels). The internal reference panel was 24 key individuals of a yellow-feather dwarf broiler population. These 24 key individuals were selected from the 450 birds for re-sequencing by maximizing the expected genetic relationships (Ye et al., 2018b). The external reference panel was 311 birds with WGS data from diverse chicken breeds. They were downloaded from 10 BioProjects in ENA or NCBI. The BioProject numbers were PRJNA271711, PRJNA202483, PRJNA292383, PRJNA232548, PRJNA251505, PRJNA344300, PRJNA247952, PRJDB4092 (Ulfah et al., 2016), PRJNA241474, and PRJNA306389.
The combined reference panel was assembled using all individuals from the internal and external reference panels. Before pre-phasing, duplicate and monomorphic variants were excluded. In the target panel, we extracted overlapping sites between the 600K chip and reference panel and revised strand inconsistencies in A/T and C/G SNPs using conform-gt program (http://faculty.washington.edu/browning/conform-gt.html). Pre-phasing was executed in Beagle 4.1 with default analyses. All genotype imputations were also executed in Beagle 4.1 with default values (Browning and Browning, 2016). For all scenarios, we randomly masked 2% of SNPs from the target panel as the validation set before imputation, and then we calculated the correlation between the imputed genotypes and masked genotypes per individual. Detailed information about these reference panels is in our previous study (Ye et al., 2018a).
After we performed genotype imputation, we obtained three imputed WGS datasets from different reference panels. Quality control of the imputed WGS data was conducted using PLINK (Purcell et al., 2007) with the criteria of SNP call rate > 95%, individual call rate > 97%, MAF > 0.5%, and Hardy–Weinberg equilibrium p value > 1.0e−6. Finally, the remaining 435 individuals with SNPs obtained from combined (10,983,113), external (7,667,954), and internal reference panels (7,582,487) were used for further analysis.
Pre-Selection and Classification of Whole-Genome Sequence Variants
The top variants (SNPs) were selected from the imputed WGS data based on their p value from GWAS results, as estimated in the training dataset using mixed linear model-based association analysis (MLMA) by GCTA software (Yang et al., 2011). All sequence variants after quality control were tested for associations. The model was
(Eq. 1) |
where y is a vector of phenotypic values of all individuals; X and Z are incidence matrices relating the fixed effects (overall mean) and the additive genetic values to the phenotypic records; b is the vector of fixed effects including pen effect; g is a vector of the genomic breeding values of all individuals; a is the additive effect of the candidate variants to be tested for association; S is a vector of the variants’ genotype indicator variable coded as 0, 1, or 2; and e is the residual term, . Genomic breeding values were assumed to be distributed as , where G is the genomic relationship matrix calculated using 600K chip data, as follows (VanRaden, 2008):
(Eq. 2) |
where M is a matrix of centered genotypes, m is the number of markers, and p i is the minor allele frequency of SNPi
After GWAS analysis using imputed WGS data obtained from the internal reference panel, the p values from GWAS results were transformed with −log10, and variants were selected based on different p value cutoffs (from 2 to 5). The significant region of selected variants was defined as a region ± 50 kilobases (kb) from the physical location of an SNP. Then we extracted SNPs in significant regions from imputed WGS data using PLINK based on their corresponding genomic positions. After selection, the imputed WGS data were divided into selected variants and remaining variants.
Genomic prediction
Statistical Model
The breeding values of the 435 genotyped individuals were estimated with the standard GBLUP (VanRaden, 2008). The statistical model for the GBLUP approaches is
(Eq. 3) |
where y is a vector of phenotypic values; b is the vector of fixed effects including batch effect; g is a multivariate, normally distributed vector of additive genetic values for all individuals in the model; e is the residual term, ; and X and Z are incidence matrices relating to the fixed effects (overall mean) and the additive genetic values to the phenotypic records. We assumed that the additive genetic value is , where G is a realized relationship matrix built with all or a subset of imputed WGS data as in VanRaden (2008). In Eq. 3, variance components were estimated using the “REML” algorithm via LDAK software (Speed and Balding, 2019). Given the dispersion matrices and the variance components, predictions of genetic values were obtained by solving the mixed model equations.
Genomic Evaluation
In order to investigate the impact of the imputation reference panel, selected variants from GWAS results, and LD-based marker pruning on genomic prediction, four scenarios (denoted S1-S4) for genomic prediction were considered. Scenario 1 (S1) involved investigating the influence of the imputation reference panel on the predictive ability of imputed WGS data. We compared the predictive ability of 600K chip data and imputed WGS data from the internal reference panel, the external reference panel, and the combined reference panel. In scenario 2 (S2), the impact of LD-based marker pruning of chip data and imputed WGS data obtained from the internal reference panel on predictive ability was explored using GBLUP. Ten different R-squared cutoffs of LD (0.99, 0.9, 0.8, 0.7, 0.6, 0.5, 0.4, 0.3, 0.2, and 0.1) were set to prune markers of chip data and imputed WGS data. The summary of imputed WGS data before and after quality control is presented in Table S3.
Scenario 3 (S3) involved performing GBLUP with selected variants from different p value cutoffs (2–5) of GWAS results. In this scenario, the LD (R-squared > 0.99) was excluded for selection variants. The mean of selected variants from different p-value cutoffs of GWAS results is presented in Table S4.
Scenario 4 (S4) investigated the impact of the LD-based marker pruning of selected (or remaining) variants on genomic prediction. In this scenario, the variants of imputed WGS data were divided into selected and remaining variants using the p-value cutoffs [−log10(p) > 3] of GWAS results. Ten different R-squared cutoffs of LD (0.99, 0.9, 0.8, 0.7, 0.6, 0.5, 0.4, 0.3, 0.2, and 0.1) were set to prune remaining (or selected) variants. The number of selected or remaining variants with different R-squared cutoffs is presented in Table S5. Fixed R-squared of LD less than 0.1 was used to prune selected (or remaining) variants, and then the remaining (or selected) variants that were pruned with different LD-based marker pruning were merged. After a realized relationship matrix was built, only six traits were selected to perform GBLUP to improve computational efficiencies. These traits were ADG, IL, BMW, RFI, BW91, and ADFI. In this study, quality control of LD was conducted by PLINK in a 50-kb sliding window with 10 variants.
Predictive Ability Evaluation
We used 10 replicates of a five-fold random cross-validation to assess the predictive ability of the different approaches for all traits. The variance components were estimated within the training set. Phenotypes of the validation set were treated as unknowns, and genetic values were predicted based on Eq. 3. The Pearson correlation between the predicted genetic values and the observed phenotypes corrected for fixed effect were defined as the prediction ability. In addition, the regression of the predicted genetic values and the observed phenotypes corrected for fixed effect was also calculated to assess the unbiasedness of predictions.
Results
Imputation Accuracy of Different Reference Panels
The imputation accuracies of the internal reference panel (n = 24), the external reference panel (n = 311), and the combined reference panel (n = 335) from 600K chip data to WGS data per chromosome are shown in Figure 1 . Imputation accuracy was assessed by correlations between the imputed and masked true genotypes per individual. We found that the average imputation accuracy of the combined reference panel (0.979 ± 0.010) was higher than that of the external reference panel (0.906 ± 0.036) and the internal reference panel (0.873 ± 0.038). At the chromosome level, the imputation accuracy of the combined reference panel was higher than that of the other reference panels, except for chromosome 16, where the imputation accuracy of the external reference panel was the highest. Compared with the other two reference panels, the imputation accuracy of the external reference panel on chr24, chr25, and chr26 was clearly lower. In addition, the numbers of variants in the combined reference panel (36,840,795 SNPs) and the external reference panel (36,715,962 SNPs) were 3.56-fold larger than in the internal reference panel (10,337,198 SNPs) (Table S2).
Genomic Prediction With GBLUP Using Different Genotype Data
The prediction accuracy and regression coefficient of GBLUP of 21 traits in chicken using different genotype data are shown in Table 1 . These genotype data included 600K chip data and imputed WGS datasets. These imputed WGS datasets were imputed from internal, external, and combined reference panels. In general, using GBLUP with imputed WGS data led to a small increase (1–3%) in prediction accuracy over the 600K chip data, except for ADG, BW45, and BW70. Comparing the prediction accuracy of GBLUP using imputed WGS data obtained from different reference panel, the internal or combined reference panel has higher prediction accuracy than the external reference panel, except for FCR. For most traits in chicken, the prediction accuracies for imputed WGS datasets obtained from the internal reference panel were greater than or equal to those of the combined reference panel, except for GW. In addition, regression coefficients were similar for the 600K chip data and imputed WGS data. Most regression coefficient values were considerably closer to 1, except for DW, GW, BW56, and BW63.
Table 1.
Traits1 | 600K array2 | WGS (internal)3 | WGS (external)4 | WGS (combined)5 | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ADG | 0.34 (0.01) | 0.98 (0.05) | 0.33 (0.01) | 0.99 (0.06) | 0.33 (0.01) | 1.0 2(0.06) | 0.33 (0.01) | 0.99 (0.06) |
ADFI | 0.40 (0.01) | 1.01 (0.04) | 0.43 (0.01) | 1.00 (0.04) | 0.42 (0.01) | 1.02 (0.04) | 0.42 (0.01) | 1.0 0(0.04) |
RFI | 0.45 (0.01) | 1.03 (0.04) | 0.47 (0.01) | 1.03 (0.04) | 0.46 (0.01) | 1.03 (0.04) | 0.47 (0.01) | 1.03 (0.04) |
FCR | 0.26 (0.01) | 0.92 (0.06) | 0.26 (0.01) | 0.95 (0.06) | 0.27 (0.01) | 0.98 (0.06) | 0.26 (0.01) | 0.94 (0.06) |
CW | 0.30 (0.01) | 1.01 (0.06) | 0.31 (0.01) | 0.99 (0.06) | 0.29 (0.01) | 1.01 (0.06) | 0.30 (0.01) | 0.99 (0.06) |
EWG | 0.28 (0.01) | 0.97 (0.07) | 0.29 (0.01) | 0.99 (0.07) | 0.27 (0.01) | 1.00 (0.08) | 0.28 (0.01) | 0.99 (0.07) |
EW | 0.26 (0.01) | 0.96 (0.07) | 0.27 (0.02) | 1.00 (0.08) | 0.26 (0.02) | 1.00 (0.08) | 0.27 (0.02) | 1.00 (0.08) |
BMW | 0.26 (0.02) | 1.04 (0.09) | 0.27 (0.01) | 1.04 (0.08) | 0.25 (0.01) | 1.04 (0.08) | 0.27 (0.01) | 1.04 (0.08) |
DW | 0.20 (0.01) | 1.10 (0.14) | 0.22 (0.01) | 1.11 (0.14) | 0.20 (0.01) | 1.12 (0.14) | 0.21 (0.01) | 1.10 (0.12) |
AFW | 0.36 (0.01) | 1.04 (0.05) | 0.36 (0.01) | 1.02 (0.04) | 0.36 (0.01) | 1.04 (0.05) | 0.36 (0.01) | 1.02 (0.04) |
AFP | 0.32 (0.01) | 1.00 (0.04) | 0.33 (0.01) | 1.00 (0.04) | 0.32 (0.01) | 0.98 (0.04) | 0.33 (0.01) | 1.00 (0.04) |
GW | 0.23 (0.01) | 1.15 (0.10) | 0.23 (0.01) | 1.18 (0.10) | 0.23 (0.01) | 1.17 (0.10) | 0.24 (0.01) | 1.16 (0.10) |
IL | 0.24 (0.01) | 1.09 (0.07) | 0.25 (0.01) | 1.07 (0.07) | 0.24 (0.01) | 1.08 (0.07) | 0.25 (0.01) | 1.07 (0.07) |
BW45 | 0.28 (0.01) | 1.06 (0.07) | 0.27 (0.01) | 1.06 (0.07) | 0.25 (0.01) | 1.09 (0.08) | 0.27 (0.01) | 1.05 (0.07) |
BW49 | 0.27 (0.01) | 1.07 (0.06) | 0.29 (0.01) | 1.06 (0.05) | 0.26 (0.01) | 1.08 (0.06) | 0.28 (0.01) | 1.05 (0.05) |
BW56 | 0.29 (0.01) | 1.19 (0.09) | 0.30 (0.01) | 1.18 (0.08) | 0.27 (0.01) | 1.19 (0.09) | 0.30 (0.01) | 1.18 (0.08) |
BW63 | 0.26 (0.01) | 1.22 (0.10) | 0.26 (0.02) | 1.23 (0.11) | 0.24 (0.02) | 1.28 (0.12) | 0.26 (0.02) | 1.25 (0.11) |
BW70 | 0.26 (0.01) | 1.06 (0.07) | 0.25 (0.01) | 1.06 (0.07) | 0.24 (0.01) | 1.08 (0.07) | 0.25 (0.01) | 1.04 (0.07) |
BW77 | 0.29 (0.01) | 0.99 (0.06) | 0.30 (0.01) | 1.03 (0.07) | 0.29 (0.01) | 1.06 (0.07) | 0.29 (0.01) | 1.02 (0.07) |
BW84 | 0.32 (0.01) | 1.05 (0.05) | 0.33 (0.01) | 1.05 (0.05) | 0.31 (0.01) | 1.07 (0.06) | 0.32 (0.01) | 1.06 (0.05) |
BW91 | 0.30 (0.01) | 1.01 (0.05) | 0.31 (0.01) | 0.98 (0.04) | 0.30 (0.01) | 1.00 (0.05) | 0.31 (0.01) | 0.98 (0.04) |
1These traits were average daily gain (ADG), average daily feed intake (ADFI), residual feed intake (RFI), feed conversion ratio (FCR), carcass weight (CW), breast muscle weight (BMW), eviscerated weight with giblets (EWG), eviscerated weight (EW), drumstick weight (DW), abdominal fat weight (AFW), abdominal fat percentage (AFP), gizzard weight (GW), intestine length (IL), body weight in 45 days (BW45), body weight in 49 days (BW49), body weight in 56 days (BW56), body weight in 63 days (BW63), body weight in 70 days (BW70), body weight in 77 days (BW77), body weight in 84 days (BW84), and body weight in 91 days (BW91).
2600K array: the 600K Affymetrix® Axiom® HD genotyping array.
3WGS (internal): the imputed whole-genome sequencing data obtained from internal reference panel.
4WGS (external): the imputed whole-genome sequencing data obtained from external reference panel.
5WGS (combined): the imputed whole-genome sequencing data obtained from combined reference panel.
6: the Pearson correlation between the predicted genetic values (ĝ) and the observed phenotypes (p) corrected for fixed effect. Means and standard errors (in parentheses) of are shown in the table. Bold font was used to represent values that were higher than others.
7: regression of the predicted genetic values (ĝ) and the observed phenotypes (p) corrected for fixed effect. Means and standard errors (in parentheses) of regression coefficients are shown in the table.
Impact of Linkage Disequilibrium (LD)-Based Marker Pruning on Genomic Prediction
The prediction accuracies of GBLUP of 21 traits in chicken using both 600K chip data and imputed WGS data that had different LD-based markers pruning are shown in Figure 2 . In general, LD-based marker pruning increased prediction accuracies for 600K chip data (1–4%, except for BW45) and imputed WGS data (0.1–3.7%) compared with whole genotype data. For 600K chip data, the prediction accuracies of most traits using LD-based marker pruning (R-squared < 0.99) reached the highest level, and the prediction accuracies tended to decrease as the R-squared cutoff decreased. In contrast, the prediction accuracies of most traits using imputed WGS data were the highest when the R-squared cutoff (0.1) of LD was used to prune markers. The number of markers of imputed WGS data and 600K chip data with different R-squared cutoffs of LD is in Table S3.
Genomic Prediction With Selected Variants From GWAS Results
With the use of variants selected from imputed WGS data based on the p value of GWAS results to perform GBLUP, the prediction accuracies of 21 traits in chicken are shown in Figure 3 . Compared with the imputed WGS data, the best prediction accuracy of GBLUP with selected variants had almost no increase for most traits except for ADG, ADFI, BMW, FCR, and IL and even increased the bias for regression coefficients (Table S6). In addition, the prediction accuracy of GBLUP with selected variants was the highest when the cutoff of p value of GWAS results of more than 2 or 3 was used to select variants for genomic prediction.
Impact of the Linkage Disequilibrium (LD)-Based Marker Pruning of Selected or Remaining Variants on Genomic Prediction
With the use of the p-value cutoffs (−log10(p) > 3) of GWAS results, the imputed WGS data were divided into selected and remaining variants. R-squared of LD less than 0.1 was fixed to prune selected (or remaining) variants, and then the remaining (or selected) variants that were pruned with different R-squared cutoffs of LD (0.99, 0.9, 0.8, 0.7, 0.6, 0.5, 0.4, 0.3, 0.2, and 0.1) for GBLUP were merged. The prediction accuracies of GBLUP of six traits in chicken using different LD-based marker pruning of selected or remaining variants are shown in Figure 4 . In general, the LD-based marker pruning improved the prediction accuracy compared with WGS data without LD-based marker pruning. The impact of the degree of LD of selected and remaining variants on prediction accuracy was different. For some traits (ADG, RFI, IL, and BW91), the accuracy of GBLUP was increased as the degree of LD of selected variants decreased, but in contrast to remaining variants. However, in both BMW and ADFI, the accuracy of GBLUP was increased as the degree of LD of selected variants increased, and the degree of LD of remaining variants had a small effect on prediction accuracy. Additionally, the average number of selected and remaining variants was increased as the R-squared cutoffs increased (Table S5).
Discussion
Genomic prediction with imputed WGS data is an attractive approach to improve predictive ability with low cost. However, the expected higher accuracies of this method have not been realized in livestock. In the present study, we determined the impact of genotype imputation reference panels, LD-based marker pruning, and preselected variants on prediction accuracy. Overall, imputed WGS data obtained from the internal reference panel achieved higher predictive ability than did other reference panels. Preselecting variants from GWAS results and performing careful LD-based marker pruning would improve the prediction accuracy of imputed WGS data.
Genomic Prediction With Imputed Whole-Genome Sequence Data
The expectations for higher accuracies have not been realized using WGP with imputed WGS data in livestock. Our results showed that simply using WGS data resulted in a small increase (1–3%) in prediction accuracy and that, in some traits, it even resulted in lower accuracies than using 600K chip data. These results are in agreement with previous studies that showed a small or no added benefit of using WGS data for WGP (van Binsbergen et al., 2015; Heidaritabar et al., 2016; Ni et al., 2017). The effect of the causal markers could not be evaluated precisely because a large number of non-causal markers were in linkage disequilibrium with causal mutations (van Binsbergen et al., 2015). In a simulation study, increasing the numbers of SNPs from 54K to 500K without including the causative mutations only increased prediction accuracy by 1.6% (VanRaden et al., 2011). Additionally, GBLUP is an infinitesimal model that assumes all markers have the same contribution to the trait. If a trait had no major QTL, the accuracy of genomic prediction could not be improved with WGS data, unless a large reference population is used (Clark et al., 2011). Similar results were also found where if the allele frequency spectrum of the causative mutations followed a neutral distribution, the advantage of sequence data over SNP panels was small, whereas with the causal mutations with very low frequencies, this advantage was up to 30% (Druet et al., 2014).
Genotype Imputation
An obvious improvement in imputation accuracy was observed using a combined reference panel for genotype imputation ( Figure 1 ). Similar results were found in a previous study (Mitt et al., 2017; Ye et al., 2018a). Higher imputation accuracy was expected lead to higher prediction accuracy of WGP (Moghaddar et al., 2015). However, the expectations for higher predictive ability were not realized in this study. We found that WGP with imputed WGS data obtained from the internal reference panel achieved higher prediction accuracy than did the other two reference panels, although the average imputation accuracy was lowest ( Figure 1 , Table 1 ). This may be caused by similar imputation errors between related individuals and because some genetic relationships were captured in the WGP model (Weigel et al., 2010). It may also be due to an undesirable association between the reference panel and target population, resulting in worse prediction accuracy. For example, the prediction accuracy of imputed WGS data obtained from the external reference panel was the worst ( Table 1 ), due to the large number of undesirable associations between the external reference panel and target population. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the relationship between selected individuals and target population individuals to avoid heterogeneity of imputation, especially when using external population individuals to expand the genotype imputation reference panel size.
Selected Variants From Imputed Whole-Genome Sequence Data
Variants selected from imputed WGS data can be used to improve the accuracy of genomic prediction (Raymond et al., 2018; Teissier et al., 2018). In this study, the accuracy of genomic prediction with selected variants had almost no increase or only a small increase ( Figure 3 ). A higher −log10(p) threshold resulted in less selection variants (Table S4) and poor predictive ability ( Figure 3 ), likely because the GBLUP model had a greater tendency to overfit in the training set using only a few significant selection variants. The issue could be overcome by adding smaller numbers of selected sequence variants to low- or high-density chip data, consistent with previous studies (Brondum et al., 2015; VanRaden et al., 2017; Raymond et al., 2018). Additionally, it was difficult to detect causal variants based on GWAS due to the large number of variants, and the high LD between variants.
Linkage Disequilibrium (LD)-Based Marker Pruning
LD plays an important role in genomic selection (Meuwissen et al., 2001). In this study, results showed that stronger LD resulted in higher accuracy of genomic predictions when GBLUP was performed with 600K chip data ( Figure 2 ). A similar result was also found in a previous study (Calus et al., 2008). However, with the use of imputed WGS data, lower LD resulted in higher accuracy of genomic predictions ( Figure 2 ). A possible reason is that imputed WGS data include causal mutations and a large number of variants were in imperfect LD between causal mutations, which would reduce prediction reliability (de Los Campos et al., 2013). Furthermore, the impact of LD patterns was different in selection and remaining variants on genomic prediction ( Figure 4 ). This may be due to the different genetic architecture of traits. For these traits (ADG, RFI, IL, and BW91), the accuracy of GBLUP was increased as the degree of LD of selected variants decreased, but the opposite relationship occurred for remaining variants. This means that these selected variants included the causal mutations of traits and the accuracy of genomic prediction could be improved by reducing markers that were in imperfect LD between causal mutations. Additionally, SNPs used for genomic selection not only capture LD between SNP and QTL but capture family relationships among individuals as well (Habier et al., 2010). The stronger LD of remaining variants reflected the family relationships among individuals and had a large effect on the accuracy of genomic predictions (Wientjes et al., 2013). For BMW and ADFI, the accuracy of GBLUP increased as the degree of LD of selected variants increased, and the degree of LD of remaining variants had only a small effect on prediction accuracy ( Figure 4 ). It may be that only a small proportion of SNPs have a large effect on these traits. The stronger LD of selection variants seems likely to affect the major QTL for GBLUP and results in higher accuracy of genomic prediction (Zhang et al., 2014).
Data Availability
Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. This data can be found here: http://www.animalgenome.org/repository/pub/SCAU2016.0217/
The 600 K chip data of these 450 birds has been uploaded to the figshare repository (https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.8295299).
Ethics Statement
All animal care and handling procedures conformed to the Animal Care Committee of South China Agriculture University (Guangzhou, People’s Republic of China). Animals involved in this study were humanely sacrificed as necessary to ameliorate their suffering.
Author Contributions
SY, ZZ, and JL conceived the study, designed the project, and helped draft the manuscript. XZ provided the chicken dataset. SY and RZ analyzed the sequencing data and finished the genotype imputation. SY and NG performed genomic prediction and analyzed the accuracy. ZC, JT, XY, HZ, and ZC participated in the design and contributed to the drafting of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the manuscript.
Funding
This work was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (31772556), the earmarked fund for China Agriculture Research System (CARS-35, CARS-41), and the Special Program for Applied Research on Super Computation of the NSFC-Guangdong Joint Fund (the second phase) under Grant No. U1501501.
Conflict of Interest Statement
The authors declare that the research was conducted in the absence of any commercial or financial relationships that could be construed as a potential conflict of interest.
Supplementary Material
The Supplementary Material for this article can be found online at: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fgene.2019.00673/full#supplementary-material
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Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
Publicly available datasets were analyzed in this study. This data can be found here: http://www.animalgenome.org/repository/pub/SCAU2016.0217/
The 600 K chip data of these 450 birds has been uploaded to the figshare repository (https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.8295299).