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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2019 Jul 25.
Published in final edited form as: Remote Sens Environ. 2017;191:328–341. doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2016.12.026

Thematic accuracy assessment of the 2011 National Land Cover Database (NLCD)

James Wickham a, Stephen V Stehman b, Leila Gass c, Jon A Dewitz d, Daniel G Sorenson e, Brian J Granneman f, Richard V Poss g,1, Lori A Baer g
PMCID: PMC6657805  NIHMSID: NIHMS983224  PMID: 31346298

Abstract

Accuracy assessment is a standard protocol of National Land Cover Database (NLCD) mapping. Here we report agreement statistics between map and reference labels for NLCD 2011, which includes land cover for ca. 2001, ca. 2006, and ca. 2011. The two main objectives were assessment of agreement between map and reference labels for the three, single-date NLCD land cover products at Level II and Level I of the classification hierarchy, and agreement for 17 land cover change reporting themes based on Level I classes (e.g., forest loss; forest gain; forest, no change) for three change periods (2001–2006, 2006–2011, and 2001–2011). The single-date overall accuracies were 82%, 83%, and 83% at Level II and 88%, 89%, and 89% at Level I for 2011, 2006, and 2001, respectively. Many class-specific user's accuracies met or exceeded a previously established nominal accuracy benchmark of 85%. Overall accuracies for 2006 and 2001 land cover components of NLCD 2011 were approximately 4% higher (at Level II and Level I) than the overall accuracies for the same components of NLCD 2006. The high Level I overall, user's, and producer's accuracies for the single-date eras in NLCD 2011 did not translate into high class-specific user's and producer's accuracies for many of the 17 change reporting themes. User's accuracies were high for the no change reporting themes, commonly exceeding 85%, but were typically much lower for the reporting themes that represented change. Only forest loss, forest gain, and urban gain had user's accuracies that exceeded 70%. Lower user's accuracies for the other change reporting themes may be attributable to the difficulty in determining the context of grass (e.g., open urban, grassland, agriculture) and between the components of the forest-shrubland-grassland gradient at either the mapping phase, reference label assignment phase, or both. NLCD 2011 user's accuracies for forest loss, forest gain, and urban gain compare favorably with results from other land cover change accuracy assessments.

Keywords: Forest disturbance, Land-cover change accuracy, MRLC, Stratified sampling, Urbanization

1. Introduction

The National Land Cover Database (NLCD), sponsored by the MultiResolution Land Characteristics (MRLC) Consortium (http://www.mrlc.gov), is a well-established and widely used source of information on land cover (Wickham et al., 2014). The most recent release of the product, NLCD 2011 (Homer et al., 2015), includes 16 land cover classes (http://www.mrlc.gov/nlcd11_leg.php) and related information for three eras (2001, 2006, 2011) at the native 30 m × 30 m pixel size of Landsat Thematic Mapper. One objective of the NLCD project is to provide land cover monitoring data that can be used to assess land cover change and trends, and the release of NLCD 2011 is the first realization of the database that can be used to assess change over multiple time intervals (Homer et al., 2015).

Accuracy assessment is one of the protocols of the NLCD program. Continuing this protocol of documenting accuracy of NLCD products, the two main objectives of this assessment are: 1) assess the accuracy of the single-date land cover maps produced for each NLCD era (2001, 2006, 2011) at Level II and I classification hierarchies, and 2) assess the accuracy of land cover change across the three NLCD change periods (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011). The focus on the accuracy of change across the three NLCD time periods is consistent with the format used to report NLCD 2006 land cover thematic accuracy (Wickham et al., 2013). NLCD 2006 (Fry et al., 2011) was the first NLCD database to incorporate land cover change. This accuracy assessment was undertaken to document product quality, inform production of future NLCD products, and support monitoring, modeling, and assessments that use NLCD 2011 land cover data.

The continuing development of the NLCD database results in new versions of previously released land cover products. The NLCD 2011 database includes version 1 of the year 2011, version 2 of the year 2006 and version 3 of the year 2001. Thus, the NLCD 2011 accuracy assessment reported in this paper evaluates version 3 of year 2001, version 2 of year 2006 and version 1 of year 2011. Users of NLCD 2001 (Homer et al., 2007) and NLCD 2006 (Fry et al., 2011) products should refer to their associated accuracy assessments when using those products. The accuracy assessment of NLCD 2001, which includes version 1 of NLCD 2001, is reported in Wickham et al. (2010), and the accuracy assessment of NLCD 2006, which includes version 2 of year 2001 and version 1 of year 2006, is reported in Wickham et al. (2013). NLCD 1992 (Vogelmann et al., 2001) is not considered part of the NLCD time series because of substantial methodological differences from later NLCD versions (Homer et al., 2004). The NLCD 1992 accuracy assessments are reported in Stehman et al. (2003) and Wickham et al. (2004).

In addition to the three eras of land cover, the NLCD database also includes percentage urban impervious cover for 2001, 2006, and 2011 (Xian et al., 2011), and forest canopydensity for 2001 and 2011 (Coulston et al., 2012, Homer et al., 2007). The number of accuracy assessment objectives increases with the continued growth and development of the NLCD database, and all of these objectives cannot be accommodated with the limited NLCD resources (Stehman et al., 2008). We focus here on accuracy of land cover and land cover change among the three NLCD eras because it was considered the highest priority among MRLC participants. Accuracy of urban impervious cover and forest canopy density are not addressed in this assessment.

2. Methods

2.1. Sampling design

Accuracy assessment methods were based on the sampling design, response design, and analysis components developed by Stehman and Czaplewski (1998). We implemented a stratified random sampling design to accommodate the dual objectives of individual era (i.e., single date) assessments at Level II and Level I (Table 1) and temporal change assessments at Level I for multiple change periods. The continental United States was first divided into east and west regions to create two geographic strata (Fig. 1). This regional stratification was used because previous NLCD accuracy assessments have shown geographic variations in accuracies in which class-specific accuracies tend to be higher when the class was dominant regionally (Stehman et al., 2003, Wickham et al., 2004, Wickham et al., 2010, Wickham et al., 2013). Thirty-eight (38) strata were sampled within each region, with 16 of these strata corresponding to mapped no change over all three dates for the 16 Level II classes. The other 22 strata were defined based on mapped change over the three dates (Table 2). The 22 change strata prioritized shifts among forest, shrubland, grassland and urban among the 504 possible change combinations of eight Level I classes for three dates (excluding Level I no change classes). The 38 strata accounted for all pixels in the NLCD 2011 map area thereby satisfying one condition of a probability sampling design which is that each pixel in the population must have a non-zero inclusion probability (Stehman, 2001). Accuracy estimates for the temporal component of NLCD 2011 were produced for 17 reporting themes that were based on the eight Level I classes (Table 3). These reporting themes are same as those used in the NLCD 2006 accuracy assessment (Wickham et al., 2013) facilitating comparison of accuracy of NLCD 2011 with NLCD 2006.

Table 1.

National Land Cover Database (NLCD) land cover legend for Level II of the classification hierarchy and (class codes). Level I classes are based on the tens digit of the class code, e.g., classes 11 and 12 combine to form class = 10 (water). See http://www.mrlc.gov/nlcd11_leg.php for a complete description of NLCD classes.

Class (code) Description
Water (11) Open water, with generally < 25% vegetation or soil cover
Perennial ice/snow (12) > 25% permanent ice or snow
Developed, open space (21) Dominated by vegetation; impervious cover (IC) ≤ 20%
Developed, low intensity (22) Mixture of vegetation and IC (20% < IC ≤ 49%)
Developed, medium intensity (23) Mixture of vegetation and IC (50% < IC ≤ 79%)
Developed, high intensity (24) Mixture of vegetation and IC (IC ≥ 80%)
Barren (31) Bedrock, desert pavement, etc.; vegetation < 15 cover
Deciduous forest (41) Trees > 20% cover of which > 75% shed foliage seasonally
Evergreen forest (42) Trees > 20% cover of which > 75% maintain foliage year round
Mixed forest (43) Trees > 20% cover; neither deciduous or evergreen > 75% cover
Shrubland (52) Woody species < 5 m and > 20% cover
Grassland (71) Herbaceous cover ≥ 80%; no management (e.g., tilling) evident
Pasture (81) Herbaceous cover > 20% for livestock, seed, or hay crops
Cultivated crops (82) Herbaceous or woody cover ≥ 20% (e.g., corn, orchards)
Woody wetlands (90) Woody cover > 20% on periodically saturated soil
Herbaceous wetland (95) Herbaceous cover > 80% on periodically saturated soil

graphic file with name nihms-983224-f0001.jpg

NLCD 2011 accuracy assessment sample pixel locations and regional strata. The east-west regional strata were based on the mapping regions developed for NLCD 2001, version 1 (Homer and Gallant, 2001).

Table 2.

Sample strata within each of the two geographic strata. Strata 1 through 16 are class-specific “no change” strata based on the Level II classes and strata 17 through 37 are change strata based on the Level I classes. The “catchall” stratum includes all other three-date Level I land cover class combinations. Numbers in parentheses are total sample size across both geographic strata.

Strata (2001–2006–2011) Strata (continued)
1) Water–water–water (165) 20) Forest–forest–urban (150)
2) Ice–ice–ice (25) 21) Forest–grassland–grassland (80)
3) Open urban (OU)–OU–OU (260) 22) Forest–forest–grassland (180)
4) Low density urban (LDU)–LDU–LDU (200) 23) Shrubland–forest–forest (80)
5) Medium density urban (MDU)–MDU–MDU (180) 24) Shrubland–shrubland–forest (165)
6) High density urban (HDU)–HDU–HDU (165) 25) Shrubland–grassland–grassland (80)
7) Barren–barren–barren (225) 26) Shrubland–shrubland–grassland (165)
8) Deciduous forest (DF)–DF–DF (550) 27) Shrubland–urban–urban (80)
9) Evergreen forest (EF)–EF–EF (565) 28) Shrubland–shrubland–urban (150)
10) Mixed forest (MF)–MF–MF (220) 29) Grassland–shrubland–shrubland (80)
11) Shrubland–shrubland–shrubland (615) 30) Grassland–grassland–shrubland (165)
12) Grassland–grassland–grassland (490) 31) Grassland–urban–urban (80)
13) Pasture–pasture–pasture (475) 32) Grassland–grassland–urban (150)
14) Crop–crop–crop (660) 33) Agriculture–urban–urban (80)
15) Woody wetland (WW)–WW–WW (265) 34) Agriculture–agriculture–urban (150)
16) Emergent wetland (EM)–EM–EM (180) 35) Forest–shrubland–grassland (80)
17) Forest–shrubland–shrubland (80) 36) Grassland–grassland–agriculture (150)
18) Forest–forest–shrubland (180) 37) Grassland–forest–forest (80)
19) Forest–urban–urban (80) 38) Catchall (275)

Table 3.

Reporting themes for accuracy results.

Reporting themes Description
1) Water loss From water to any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
2) Water gain To water from any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
3) Urban gain To urban from any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
4) Forest loss From forest to any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
5) Forest gain To forest from any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
6) Shrubland loss From shrubland to any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
7) Shrubland gain To shrubland from any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
8) Grassland loss From grassland to any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
9) Grassland gain To grassland from any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
10) Agriculture loss From agriculture to any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
11) Agriculture gain To agriculture from any other class (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011)
12) Water-no change Water across all three NLCD eras
13) Urban-no change Urban across all three NLCD eras
14) Forest-no change Forest across all three NLCD eras
15) Shrubland-no change Shrubland across all three NLCD eras
16) Grassland-no change Grassland across all three NLCD eras
17) Agriculture-no change Agriculture across all three NLCD eras

Previous NLCD accuracy assessments used 10 geographic strata (regions), but only two regions were defined for this assessment because limited resources reduced the total sample size to 8000 from 15,000 sample pixels used in the NLCD 2001 (Wickham et al., 2010) and NLCD 2006 (Wickham et al., 2013) accuracy assessments. The eastern U.S. region received 3900 sample pixels and the western U.S. region received 4100 sample pixels. There were no sample pixels of the NLCD perennial ice and snow class in the eastern region.

2.2. Response design

The main elements of the response design were: 1) blind interpretation; 2) reliance on Google Earth™ time series imagery to determine the reference labels; 3) reliance on the pixel as the spatial support unit of the assessment (Stehman and Wickham, 2011); 4) assignment of primary and alternate reference labels, and; 5) specific rules for coding primary and alternate reference labels across Level II and Level I classification hierarchies. Collection of reference labels was accomplished by four persons at the U.S. Geological Survey. Before assigning reference labels to the actual sample pixels, interpreters completed training and orientation to promote consistency among interpreters and gain experience in collection of reference labels for some of the common land cover trends in the NLCD maps (Mann and Rothley, 2006). Landsat path/rows in the vicinity of Jacksonville, Florida and Denver, Colorado were used for training and orientation. Following training and orientation, reference label collection was initiated with 200 sample pixels that were interpreted collectively by all four interpreters to further enhance consistency among interpreters (Mann and Rothley, 2006), and following completion of the interpretation of these sample pixels, each person was assigned an additional 1950 sample pixels that they interpreted individually. Weekly web-enabled conference calls were conducted during the collection of reference labels to further ensure consistent interpretation.

Reference labels were collected by the interpreters without knowledge of the map classification (response design element 1). Each interpreter was provided three vector Keyhole Markup language Zipped (KMZ) files of the sample pixels for overlay on Google Earth™ imagery. The vector files were point and polygon expressions of the sample pixels, and a vector file of the 3-×-3 pixel window surrounding the sample pixel. The 3-×-3 pixel window file was supplied to add context; it is appropriate to survey the surrounding landscape to determine the most appropriate labels for a sample pixel (Stehman and Czaplewski, 1998). The vector files were overlaid on the Google Earth™ time series imagery to assist the interpreters in obtaining the reference label for the sample pixel (response design element 2). The interpreters also had Landsat imagery acquisition dates for the NLCD classifications to guide selection of the most appropriate Google Earth™ date to use when determining the reference label. The goal of reference label assignment was to identify the most appropriate land cover labels that corresponded to the ground condition for the sample pixel (Stehman and Wickham, 2011) (response design element 3).

The interpreters collected primary and alternate reference labels at Level II and Level I of the NLCD classification hierarchy for each sample pixel while keeping in mind the NLCD mapping protocols. The primary label was that deemed most correct and the alternate label was considered a very likely alternative (response design element 4). An alternate label was not assigned if, in the interpreter's judgment, the primary class was the only possible class. In aggregate for the three dates sampled, no alternate label was assigned for 42% of the sample pixels at Level II and 65% of the sample pixels at Level I. Use of primary and alternate labels was consistent with all previous NLCD accuracy assessments (Stehman et al., 2003, Wickham et al., 2004, Wickham et al., 2010, Wickham et al., 2013), and can be considered a special case of the linguistic scale, fuzzy membership analysis (Stehman et al., 2003, p. 513) reported in Gopal and Woodcock (1994). The main protocol for collection of reference data was for each interpreter to examine the time series of Google Earth™ imagery and determine the primary and alternate reference label sets at Level I for all three eras. The interpreters then used the Level I reference labels to assign the Level II reference labels (i.e., the Level II label had to be one of the subclasses within the Level I hierarchy).

Reference labels were assigned using the conceptual model of NLCD mapping protocols (response design element 5), rather than from the perspective of the land cover evident on Google Earth™ imagery (Comber et al., 2005). The numerous forest fires that have occurred in the western United States over the past decade provide a good example of the difference between reference label assignments from the perspective of NLCD mapping protocols versus the perspective of the land cover evident on Google Earth™ imagery. Many of these areas impacted by forest fire are comprised of standing dead trees, and thus from the Google Earth™ perspective there would be a tendency to label sample pixels in such areas as forest since trees are still present and ecological succession is likely to follow. The NLCD protocol was to map areas that changed from forest to burned forest as forest to shrubland so the reference label assignment protocol implemented would label such a case as forest in 2006 and shrubland in 2011. Reference label assignment accounted for such protocols and was conducted by interpreters who also participated in production of the NLCD maps.

2.3. Analysis

The analysis component employed general estimation theory of probability sampling (cf. Särndal et al., 1992). The sample-based estimates incorporate the known inclusion probabilities of the stratified random design (Stehman, 2001, Stehman and Czaplewski, 1998) although special case estimation formulas are used that do not show the inclusion probabilities explicitly. Overall accuracy was estimated as

o^=(1N)Σh=1HNhPh^ (1)

where pĥ is the sample proportion of pixels correctly classified in stratum h, N is the total number of pixels in the region, Nh is the population size of stratum h, and the summation is over all H strata (H = 38 for a regional estimate and H = 76 for a national estimate). Overall accuracy was estimated for the individual, single-date land cover products (2001, 2006, 2011) and the change between them at Level I for the three time intervals (2001–2006, 2006–2011, 2001–2011). User's and producer's accuracies were estimated as a ratio R = Y/X, where Y is the population total of yu where,

yu={1ifpixelusatisfiesconditionA0ifpixeludoesnotsatisfyconditonA (2)

and X is the population total of xu, where

xu={1ifpixelusatisfiesconditionB0ifpixeludoesnotsatisfyconditonB (3)

For example, to estimate user's accuracy for the Level I class forest (e.g., Table 1, Table 2), condition A would be that the map and reference labels were both forest, and condition B would be that the map label was forest. The ratio Y/X would then be the parameter defining user's accuracy, which is the total number of pixels in the region for which both the map and reference labels were forest divided by the number of pixels in the region mapped as forest. To estimate producer's accuracy of forest, condition A would remain the same, but condition B would be that the reference label was forest. The combined ratio estimator (Cochran, 1977, Section 6.11) for user's or producer's accuracy is then

R^=Y^X^=ΣHh=1NhyhΣHh=1Nhxh (4)

where xh is the sample mean of xu in stratum h (i.e., Table 2) and yh is the sample mean of yu in stratum h. We report accuracy estimates for agreement based on the map label matching the primary reference label and also for agreement based on the map matching the primary reference label or an alternate reference label. For assessments of change accuracy, as many as three alternate reference conditions were possible. For example, when assessing the 2001 to 2006 NLCD change, the alternate reference labels included the alternate 2001 Level 1 class with the 2006 alternate Level 1 class, the primary 2001 Level I class with the alternate 2006 Level I class, and the alternate 2001 class with the primary 2006 class. These three comparisons were in addition to the comparison using the primary 2001 Level I class and the primary 2006 Level I class to determine the reference class of change.

The estimated variance of the combined ratio estimator is

V^(R^)=(1x2^)[h=1HNh2(1nh(Nh)(syh2+R2^sxh2)nh] (5)

where nh is the sample size in stratum h, syh2 and sxh2 are the sample variances of yu and xu for stratum h and sxyh is the sample covariance for yu and xu for stratum h. Sample data from several strata may contribute to the accuracy estimators for a targeted class (Table 2) because the strata do not always directly correspond to a target class. Estimation of user's accuracy for shrubland loss during 2001 to 2006, for example, would include sample pixels from strata 23 through 28 in Table 2. The values of yu, yh, and syh2 equal zero (0) for a stratum in which no sample pixels satisfy condition A (the condition defining the numerator of R^), and, similarly, the values of xu, xh1, and sxh2 equal zero (0) for a stratum in which no pixels satisfy condition B (the condition defining the denominator of R^). Estimates were computed using version 9.3 of SAS (Statistical Analysis Software, SAS, Inc., Cary, North Carolina, USA).

We used a nominal benchmark of 85% as a quality threshold for interpreting agreement between map and reference data (Anderson et al., 1976). We recognize that this benchmark has been used uncritically as a heuristic, and its use may not be appropriate in all contexts (Foody, 2006). Nevertheless, we feel that it serves as a useful guide for evaluation of the quality of the temporal NLCD maps.

3. Results

3.1. Accuracy of single-date maps

Unless otherwise stated, the results presented are based on the definition of agreement as a match between the map label and either the primary or alternate reference label. At Level II of the classification hierarchy, land cover overall accuracies of the NLCD 2011 individual date products were 82% for 2011 (Table 4) and 83% for both 2006 and 2001 (Table 5, Table 6). High user's accuracies (≥ 85%) were realized for water (11), high intensity developed (24), deciduous forest (41), evergreen forest (42), shrubland (52), and cropland (82) when agreement was defined as a match between the map and the primary or alternate reference label. There was a regional dichotomy in Level II overall accuracy. Level II overall accuracies for 2011 were approximately 10% higher in the western sampling region than the eastern sampling region, primarily from much higher agreement in the western region for shrubland and grassland as well as the urban classes (Table 7, Table 8). A similar east versus west difference in overall accuracy was observed for 2001 and 2006 (tables not included).

Table 4.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2011 for the continental United States at Level II of the classification hierarchy. Agreement was defined as a match between the primary and map reference labels. Cell entries represent percent of area, and 0.0000 denotes a non-zero value < 0.00005. Sample size is reported in the column and row labeled n. Producer's Accuracy (Prod), User's accuracy (User) and the standard errors (in parentheses) are rounded to the nearest whole number. The labels Auser and Aprod are the User's and Producer's accuracies with agreement defined as a match between the map and either the primary or alternate reference labels. OA1 is overall accuracy for agreement defined as a match between the map and primary reference labels, and OA2 is overall accuracy for agreement defined as a match between the map and either the primary or alternate reference labels. OA1 = 65.8 (± 0.7%) and OA2 = 82% (± 0.5%).

Map ↓ Reference
11 12 21 22 23 24 31 41 42 43 52 71 81 82 90 95 Total User Auser n
11 1.5683 0.0118 0.0197 0.0118 0.0041 0.0164 0.0079 0.0086 0.0125 0.0517 0.0486 1.7573 89 (2) 92 (2) 189
12 0.0037 0.0096 0.0052 0.0185 20 (8) 36 (10) 25
21 0.0003 1.2173 0.5815 0.0839 0.0006 0.2898 0.1927 0.0162 0.1259 0.1612 0.3301 0.3187 0.0306 0.0000 3.3486 36 (3) 57 (3) 593
22 0.0042 0.4068 0.6818 0.3293 0.0057 0.0147 0.0162 0.0003 0.0059 0.0144 0.0261 0.0266 0.0106 1.5379 44 (4) 69 (3) 517
23 0.0005 0.0422 0.1259 0.3335 0.1522 0.0095 0.0039 0.0041 0.0002 0.0004 0.6743 50 (3) 79 (3) 403
24 0.0015 0.0158 0.0074 0.0264 0.1935 0.0062 0.0000 0.0000 0.0026 0.2536 76 (3) 83 (3) 245
31 0.0531 0.0235 0.0039 0.5486 0.0101 0.0132 0.2476 0.2876 0.0047 0.0072 0.0186 0.0101 1.2282 45 (4) 60 (4) 244
41 0.0234 0.2823 0.0662 0.0098 8.5249 0.7939 0.6794 0.3239 0.0666 0.0467 0.1827 0.2065 0.0336 11.2397 76 (2) 84 (2) 615
42 0.0129 0.1248 0.0265 0.4159 9.1446 0.4223 1.4967 0.2346 0.0258 0.0144 0.0818 0.0005 12.0008 76 (2) 88 (1) 862
43 0.0344 0.0049 0.5624 0.6890 0.5980 0.0840 0.0230 0.0115 0.0786 2.0857 29 (3) 59 (3) 235
52 0.0501 0.3275 0.0501 0.1182 0.6593 1.2929 0.0759 15.4971 3.1980 0.2947 0.0848 0.0184 0.0237 22.1405 69 (2) 88 (1) 1224
71 0.0388 0.2628 0.0872 0.0341 0.1034 0.3007 0.3088 0.0471 3.5890 7.9595 1.7034 0.6057 0.0198 0.0586 15.1190 53 (2) 81 (1) 1022
81 0.0168 0.4083 0.0774 0.0168 0.4668 0.0813 0.0168 0.1587 0.3044 3.8932 1.3442 0.0335 0.0894 6.9075 56 (2) 72 (2) 514
82 0.0518 0.4177 0.0477 0.0238 0.0244 0.0005 0.3402 0.0477 0.0238 0.1540 0.2983 1.6167 12.9050 0.0569 0.1104 16.1189 80 (2) 88 (1) 823
90 0.0748 0.0334 0.0202 0.0202 0.7819 0.4925 0.0404 0.1654 0.0686 0.0132 0.0328 2.1472 0.1128 4.0035 54 (3) 70 (3) 283
95 0.0436 0.0172 0.0044 0.0573 0.0132 0.1000 0.0725 0.0615 0.0131 0.2576 0.6560 1.2963 51 (4) 60 (4) 206
Total 1.9401 0.0037 3.6258 1.8004 0.8532 0.3881 0.8457 12.4457 13.0741 1.9198 21.9563 13.4139 8.0301 15.5480 3.0010 1.1542 100.0000
Prod 81 (4) 100 (0) 34 (3) 38 (3) 39 (4) 50 (5) 65 (7) 68 (1) 70 (1) 31 (3) 71 (1) 59 (2) 48 (2) 83 (1) 72 (3) 57 (5)
Aprod 84 (3) 100 (0) 60 (3) 56 (4) 65 (5) 72 (5) 81 (6) 81 (1) 79 (1) 65 (4) 89 (1) 87 (1) 68 (2) 88 (1) 86 (2) 71 (4)
n 227 5 601 393 345 284 143 820 1130 158 1198 857 585 876 221 157 8000

Table 5.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2006 for the continental United States at Level II of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 66.5 (± 0.7%) and OA2 = 82.8% (± 0.5%).

Map ↓ Reference
11 12 21 22 23 24 31 41 42 43 52 71 81 82 90 95 Total User Auser n
11 1.5277 0.0118 0.0079 0.0118 0.0120 0.0235 0.0079 0.0082 0.0125 0.0079 0.0471 0.0448 1.7231 89 (3) 92 (2) 181
12 0.0037 0.0096 0.0052 0.0185 20 (8) 36 (10) 25
21 0.0041 1.2006 0.5789 0.0895 0.0003 0.0006 0.2796 0.1251 0.0155 0.1949 0.1699 0.3384 0.3278 0.0305 3.3556 36 (3) 57 (3) 388
22 0.4360 0.6462 0.3121 0.0023 0.0145 0.0157 0.0002 0.0053 0.0140 0.0213 0.0257 0.0102 1.5034 43 (4) 69 (3) 317
23 0.0005 0.0403 0.1369 0.3012 0.1462 0.0086 0.0040 0.0011 0.0002 0.6289 48 (4) 79 (3) 263
24 0.0015 0.0122 0.0067 0.0248 0.1806 0.0060 0.0026 0.2343 77 (3) 83 (3) 188
31 0.0456 0.0148 0.0039 0.5558 0.0147 0.0163 0.2492 0.2863 0.0047 0.0031 0.0179 0.0109 1.2231 45 (4) 61 (4) 243
41 0.0280 0.2183 0.0678 0.0003 0.0000 0.0100 8.5900 0.7357 0.7079 0.4289 0.0696 0.0757 0.1855 0.2065 0.0361 11.3603 76 (2) 85 (2) 730
42 0.0159 0.1429 0.0003 0.0001 0.0046 0.4298 9.3704 0.4211 1.4512 0.2828 0.0258 0.0129 0.0798 0.0005 12.2390 77 (2) 88 (1) 1026
43 0.0231 0.0050 0.5736 0.7184 0.6112 0.0962 0.0264 0.0115 0.0930 2.1584 28 (3) 59 (3) 271
52 0.0521 0.3374 0.0523 0.0005 0.0003 0.1231 0.6006 1.0155 0.0594 15.8257 3.7683 0.2582 0.0981 0.0204 0.0237 22.2354 71 (2) 89 (1) 1305
71 0.2733 0.0881 0.0345 0.0002 0.1024 0.3060 0.2505 0.0454 3.5237 7.9991 1.6719 0.6071 0.0127 0.0566 14.9714 53 (2) 82 (2) 1231
81 0.0168 0.4119 0.0623 0.0009 0.0004 0.4509 0.0813 0.1710 0.3233 3.9544 1.3265 0.0335 0.0894 6.9237 57 (2) 72 (2) 551
82 0.0766 0.3977 0.0499 0.0247 0.0251 0.0046 0.3349 0.0238 0.0004 0.1340 0.3160 1.6868 12.8945 0.0569 0.0980 16.1238 80 (2) 88 (1) 792
90 0.0748 0.0330 0.0248 0.0202 0.8105 0.4392 0.0404 0.1890 0.0888 0.0132 0.0328 2.1682 0.1128 4.0477 54 (3) 70 (3) 294
95 0.0401 0.0132 0.0044 0.0573 0.0132 0.0747 0.0740 0.0574 0.0131 0.2457 0.6606 1.2537 53 (4) 63 (4) 195
Total 1.8835 0.0037 3.5664 1.7209 0.8088 0.3760 0.8561 12.4911 12.7906 1.9023 22.3518 13.4319 8.1353 15.5350 3.0122 1.1436 100.0000
Prod 81 (3) 100 (0) 34 (3) 38 (3) 37 (4) 49 (5) 65 (7) 69 (1) 73 (1) 32 (3) 71 (1) 60 (2) 49 (2) 83 (1) 72 (3) 58 (5)
Aprod 86 (3) 100 (0) 61 (3) 56 (4) 64 (5) 72 (8) 82 (6) 81 (1) 83 (1) 68 (4) 89 (1) 87 (1) 69 (2) 88 (1) 87 (2) 73 (4)
n 215 5 601 322 251 214 140 874 1184 169 1257 859 651 874 223 161 8000

Table 6.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2001 for the continental United States at Level II of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 67.0 (± 0.7%) and OA2 = 83.2% (± 0.5%).

Map ↓ Reference
11 12 21 22 23 24 31 41 42 43 52 71 81 82 90 95 Total User Auser n
11 1.5695 0.0235 0.0079 0.0118 0.0281 0.0079 0.0079 0.0079 0.0629 0.0368 1.7644 89 (2) 93 (2) 191
12 0.0037 0.0096 0.0052 0.0185 20 (8) 36 (10) 25
21 0.0040 1.1770 0.5573 0.0869 0.2912 0.1533 0.0152 0.1543 0.1645 0.3696 0.3353 0.0304 3.3389 35 (3) 56 (3) 280
22 0.4356 0.6149 0.2836 0.0106 0.0143 0.0243 0.0086 0.0171 0.0227 0.0186 0.0100 1.4602 42 (4) 68 (4) 210
23 0.0344 0.1126 0.2687 0.1372 0.0073 0.0039 0.0039 0.5680 47 (4) 80 (3) 180
24 0.0015 0.0060 0.0076 0.0230 0.1593 0.0060 0.2032 78 (3) 85 (3) 165
31 0.0431 0.0248 0.0039 0.5334 0.0055 0.0117 0.0008 0.2455 0.2791 0.0047 0.0031 0.0179 0.0109 1.1843 45 (4) 62 (4) 234
41 0.0280 0.1950 0.0704 0.0012 0.0009 0.0098 8.7266 0.7001 0.7314 0.3748 0.1476 0.0778 0.1784 0.2086 0.0357 11.4860 76 (2) 86 (1) 780
42 0.0159 0.1117 0.0005 0.0000 0.4178 9.7589 0.4258 1.4730 0.1347 0.0257 0.0149 0.0818 12.4606 78 (2) 89 (1) 1127
43 0.0230 0.0051 0.6063 0.7658 0.5838 0.1284 0.0051 0.0115 0.0930 2.2221 26 (3) 59 (3) 305
52 0.0480 0.3117 0.0522 0.0005 0.0003 0.0784 0.6050 0.9260 0.0691 15.8047 3.7531 0.2577 0.0851 0.0219 0.0322 22.0459 72 (2) 90 (1) 1365
71 0.0002 0.2513 0.0547 0.0002 0.0003 0.1075 0.2915 0.2615 0.0458 3.4782 8.0118 1.6267 0.6366 0.0122 0.0537 14.8322 54 (2) 82 (2) 1228
81 0.0168 0.4025 0.0619 0.0018 0.4571 0.1073 0.1837 0.3610 3.9603 1.3570 0.0335 0.0853 7.0281 56 (2) 72 (2) 604
82 0.0477 0.3920 0.0502 0.0267 0.0004 0.0046 0.3362 0.0238 0.0004 0.0785 0.2731 1.7563 12.9468 0.0477 0.1056 16.0899 81 (2) 89 (1) 818
90 0.0665 0.0336 0.0248 0.0202 0.8301 0.4708 0.0450 0.1302 0.0727 0.0132 0.0384 2.1816 0.1002 4.0281 54 (3) 71 (3) 288
95 0.0435 0.0132 0.0044 0.0573 0.0132 0.0425 0.0876 0.0699 0.0044 0.2490 0.6855 1.2706 54 (4) 64 (4) 200
Total 1.8845 0.0037 3.4352 1.6240 0.7128 0.3089 0.7870 12.6806 13.1924 1.9172 22.1104 13.3206 8.2078 15.6185 3.0404 1.1558 100.0000
Prod 83 (3) 100 (0) 34 (3) 38 (3) 38 (4) 52 (4) 68 (7) 69 (1) 74 (1) 31 (3) 72 (1) 60 (2) 48 (2) 83 (1) 72 (3) 59 (5)
Aprod 87 (3) 100 (0) 57 (4) 67 (4) 67 (5) 80 (4) 82 (1) 82 (1) 83 (1) 68 (4) 89 (1) 87 (1) 69 (2) 88 (1) 87 (2) 73 (4)
n 217 5 444 256 181 179 127 965 1352 190 1203 857 708 930 227 159 8000

Table 7.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2011 for the eastern United States at Level II of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 63.0 (± 0.9%) and OA2 = 76.2% (± 0.8%).

Map ↓ Reference
11 12 21 22 23 24 31 41 42 43 52 71 81 82 90 95 Total User Auser n
11 2.3453 0.0291 0.0291 0.0291 0.0405 0.0114 0.0114 0.1278 0.1101 2.7339 86 (3) 89 (3) 100
12
21 0.0004 1.6773 1.0680 0.1569 0.6172 0.3791 0.0400 0.0395 0.0083 0.5698 0.5677 0.0757 0.0001 5.2000 32 (4) 55 (4) 318
22 0.0098 0.6978 1.2671 0.5285 0.0092 0.0254 0.0281 0.0002 0.0011 0.0007 0.0527 0.0330 0.0261 2.6797 47 (5) 70 (4) 261
23 0.0010 0.0783 0.1913 0.4359 0.2656 0.0040 0.0096 0.0098 0.0004 0.0009 0.9969 44 (5) 76 (4) 181
24 0.0037 0.0316 0.0112 0.0336 0.3093 0.0154 0.0001 0.0001 0.4050 76 (4) 81 (4) 131
31 0.0479 0.0268 0.0097 0.1016 0.0249 0.0116 0.0210 0.0365 0.0116 0.0077 0.0039 0.0039 0.3070 33 (7) 43 (7) 110
41 0.0578 0.6987 0.1156 19.3560 1.5040 1.5607 0.3168 0.1156 0.1156 0.4274 0.4624 0.0578 24.7884 78 (2) 87 (2) 469
42 0.0318 0.3086 0.8952 6.0005 0.9794 0.3382 0.0993 0.0637 0.0356 0.2023 8.9547 67 (3) 84 (2) 417
43 0.0852 1.1749 1.2954 1.4304 0.0751 0.0568 0.0284 0.1704 4.3165 33 (4) 64 (4) 159
52 0.0074 0.3247 0.0276 0.7548 1.2341 0.1849 0.6731 0.3189 0.2216 0.0755 0.0454 0.0581 3.9260 17 (2) 28 (3) 399
71 0.2273 0.0483 0.0006 0.0024 0.4884 0.3147 0.0305 0.3525 0.5944 0.7097 0.2939 0.0469 0.0311 3.1408 19 (2) 39 (4) 346
81 0.0415 0.8822 0.1659 0.0415 1.0784 0.1244 0.0415 0.1776 0.1358 7.3222 2.3354 0.0829 0.0829 12.5122 59 (3) 75 (3) 325
82 0.1180 0.4834 0.1180 0.0590 0.7199 0.1180 0.0590 0.1885 0.0595 1.6042 15.3558 0.1408 0.0704 19.0945 80 (2) 86 (2) 396
90 0.1098 0.0500 0.0500 0.0500 1.7608 1.1224 0.1000 0.2613 0.0500 0.0500 5.0581 0.1711 8.8334 57 (4) 74 (3) 183
95 0.0549 0.0316 1.088 0.0218 0.1496 0.0294 0.0653 0.0114 0.5279 1.1102 2.1109 53 (5) 61 (5) 105
Total 2.8294 5.6326 3.1019 1.2646 0.6132 0.1903 27.0575 12.1360 4.4263 2.5950 1.5052 10.7763 19.2056 6.9445 1.7218 100.0000
Prod 83 (4) 30 (3) 41 (4) 35 (5) 50 (5) 53 (15) 72 (2) 49 (2) 32 (4) 26 (4) 40 (6) 68 (3) 80 (2) 73 (3) 64 (6)
Aprod 87 (4) 54 (4) 59 (5) 61 (6) 75 (7) 60 (14) 82 (1) 62 (2) 65 (4) 48 (5) 65 (6) 79 (2) 86 (2) 87 (2) 76 (6)
n 115 355 227 142 137 50 649 641 144 234 165 327 457 179 78 3900

Table 8.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2011 for the western United States at Level II of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 67.8 (± 1.0%); OA2 = 86.0% (± 0.7%).

Map ↓ Reference
11 12 21 22 23 24 31 41 42 43 52 71 81 82 90 95 Total User Auser n
11 1.0413 0.0133 0.0068 0.0133 0.0133 0.0068 1.0950 95 (2) 86 (2) 89
12 0.0062 0.0161 0.0087 0.0310 20 (8) 36 (10) 25
21 0.0003 0.9054 0.2515 0.0343 0.0009 0.0678 0.0662 0.1845 0.2649 0.1674 0.1499 2.0931 43 (4) 61 (4) 275
22 0.0004 0.2095 0.2849 0.1942 0.0033 0.0074 0.0081 0.0003 0.0091 0.0237 0.0004 0.0223 0.7636 37 (5) 67 (4) 256
23 0.0002 0.0177 0.0816 0.2674 0.0754 0.0132 0.0002 0.4555 59 (5) 84 (3) 222
24 0.0051 0.0048 0.0216 0.1150 0.0044 0.1509 76 (5) 87 (4) 114
31 0.0567 0.0212 0.8517 0.0143 0.4012 0.4579 0.0068 0.0287 0.0143 1.8528 46 (4) 62 (4) 134
41 0.0327 0.0164 1.1801 0.3123 0.0819 0.3287 0.0334 0.0167 0.0329 0.0172 2.0521 58 (4) 68 (4) 146
42 0.0002 0.0445 0.0909 11.2767 0.0445 2.2824 0.3264 0.0002 0.0008 14.0644 80 (2) 89 (1) 445
43 0.0082 0.1471 0.2778 0.0334 0.0889 0.0002 0.0163 0.5728 6 (3) 33 (6) 76
52 0.0791 0.3294 0.0654 0.1984 0.5945 1.3327 0.0020 25.5495 6.3586 0.3442 0.0911 0.0004 34.9452 73 (2) 93 (1) 825
71 0.0651 0.2869 0.1136 0.0568 0.1720 0.1734 0.3048 0.0583 5.7838 12.9538 2.3772 0.8172 0.0015 0.0773 23.2416 56 (2) 85 (2) 676
81 0.0869 0.0174 0.0521 0.0521 0.1459 0.4188 1.5679 0.6720 0.0937 3.1608 50 (2) 65 (4) 189
82 0.0068 0.3732 0.0410 0.0009 0.0828 0.1306 0.4602 1.6251 11.2430 0.1374 14.1010 80 (2) 89 (2) 427
90 0.0512 0.0222 0.1182 0.0654 0.1004 0.0812 0.0222 0.0211 0.1732 0.0733 0.7282 24 (4) 37 (5) 100
95 0.0360 0.0074 0.0074 0.0233 0.0074 0.0633 0.1017 0.0589 0.0143 0.0743 0.3480 0.7439 47 (5) 58 (5) 101
Total 1.3370 0.0062 2.2649 0.9178 0.5742 0.2355 1.2902 2.5371 13.7103 0.2201 35.0856 21.4893 6.1679 13.0677 0.3268 0.7693 100.0000
Prod 78 (6) 100 (0) 40 (5) 31 (5) 47 (6) 49 (10) 66 (8) 47 (5) 82 (2) 15 (8) 73 (1) 60 (2) 25 (3) 86 (2) 53 (8) 45 (7)
Aprod 81 (6) 100 (0) 71 (5) 50 (7) 73 (9) 67 (14) 83 (7) 70 (5) 89 (2) 63 (14) 90 (1) 88 (1) 48 (4) 90 (2) 72 (7) 63 (7)
n 112 5 246 166 203 147 93 171 489 14 964 692 258 419 42 79 4100

Overall accuracies increased from 6% to 9% across all NLCD eras when land cover classes were aggregated from Level II to Level I, depending on the definition of agreement (Table 9, Table 10, Table 11). Level I overall accuracies were about 9% higher than the Level II overall accuracies when the definition of agreement was restricted to a match between the map label and the primary reference label only. High user's accuracies (≥ 85%) were realized for water (10), forest (40), shrubland (50), and agriculture (80) across all NLCD eras. Overall accuracy was approximately 6% higher in the east than in the west when agreement was defined as a match between the map label and primary reference label only (Table 12, Table 13).

Table 9.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2011 for the continental United States at Level I of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 74.5% (± 0.6%) and OA2 = 88.0 (± 0.4%).

Map ↓ Reference
10 20 30 40 50 70 80 90 Total User Auser n
10 1.5720 0.0432 0.0137 0.0164 0.0079 0.0052 0.0171 0.1002 1.7757 89 (2) 91 (2) 214
20 0.0065 4.2506 0.0304 0.5230 0.1319 0.1756 0.6999 0.0412 5.8143 72 (2) 84 (2) 1758
30 0.0531 0.0274 0.5486 0.0233 0.2476 0.2876 0.0119 0.0287 1.2282 45 (4) 60 (4) 244
40 0.0362 0.5392 0.0098 21.8308 1.9046 0.3243 0.2810 0.4008 25.3262 86 (1) 94 (1) 1712
50 0.0501 0.3776 0.1182 2.0280 15.4971 3.9180 0.3795 0.0420 22.4105 69 (2) 88 (1) 1224
70 0.0388 0.3481 0.1034 0.6566 3.5890 7.9595 2.3091 0.0785 15.1190 53 (2) 81 (2) 1022
80 0.0685 0.9993 0.0173 0.9767 0.3127 0.6027 19.7591 0.2901 23.0263 86 (1) 92 (1) 1337
90 0.1185 0.0910 0.0044 1.3853 0.2564 0.1411 0.1205 3.1736 5.2998 60 (3) 75 (2) 489
Total 1.9438 6.6675 0.8457 27.4396 21.9563 13.4138 23.5781 4.1552 100.0000
Prod 81 (3) 63 (2) 65 (7) 80 (1) 71 (1) 59 (2) 76 (2) 76 (2)
Aprod 86 (3) 80 (2) 81 (6) 88 (1) 90 (1) 88 (1) 91 (2) 91 (2)
n 232 1623 143 2108 1198 857 1461 378 8000

Table 10.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2006 for the continental United States at Level I of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 75.2% (± 0.6%) and OA2 = 89.0 (± 0.4%).

Map ↓ Reference
10 20 30 40 50 70 80 90 Total User Auser n
10 1.5314 0.0315 0.0216 0.0235 0.0079 0.0133 0.0205 0.0918 1.7415 88 (2) 92 (2) 206
20 0.0061 4.1046 0.0296 0.4411 0.2003 0.1839 0.7158 0.0407 5.7222 72 (2) 83 (2) 1156
30 0.0456 0.0187 0.5558 0.0309 0.2492 0.2863 0.0078 0.0287 1.2231 45 (4) 61 (4) 243
40 0.0438 0.4578 0.0146 22.1591 1.9763 0.3788 0.3113 0.4159 25.7576 86 (1) 95 (1) 2027
50 0.0521 0.3904 0.1231 1.6755 15.8257 3.7683 0.3562 0.0441 22.2354 71 (2) 89 (1) 1305
70 0.3961 0.1024 0.6019 3.5237 7.9991 2.2790 0.0693 14.9714 53 (2) 82 (2) 1231
80 0.0933 0.9728 0.0046 0.8914 0.3050 0.6393 19.8632 0.2778 23.0474 86 (1) 93 (1) 1343
90 0.1149 0.0912 0.0044 1.3606 0.2636 0.1628 0.1164 3.1874 5.3013 60 (3) 76 (2) 489
Total 1.8872 6.4631 0.8561 27.1840 22.3518 13.4319 23.6703 4.1557 100.0000
Prod 81 (3) 64 (2) 65 (7) 82 (1) 71 (1) 60 (2) 84 (1) 77 (2)
Aprod 87 (3) 81 (2) 82 (6) 90 (1) 90 (1) 87 (1) 90 (1) 92 (1)
n 220 1388 140 2227 1257 859 1525 384 8000

Table 11.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2001 for the continental United States at Level I of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 75.8 (± 0.6%) and OA2 = 89.3% (± 0.4%).

Map ↓ Reference
10 20 30 40 50 70 80 90 Total User Auser n
10 1.5732 0.0315 0.0214 0.0281 0.0079 0.0131 0.0079 0.0997 1.7829 88 (2) 92 (2) 216
20 0.0054 3.9146 0.0276 0.4879 0.1628 0.1816 0.7500 0.0404 5.5703 70 (2) 82 (2) 835
30 0.0431 0.0287 0.5334 0.0179 0.2455 0.2791 0.0078 0.0287 1.1843 45 (4) 62 (2) 234
40 0.0438 0.4077 0.0098 22.7164 1.9762 0.2875 0.3083 0.4191 26.1687 87 (1) 95 (1) 2212
50 0.0480 0.3647 0.0784 1.6001 15.8047 3.7531 0.3428 0.0541 22.0459 72 (2) 90 (1) 1365
70 0.0002 0.3065 0.1075 0.5988 3.4782 8.0118 2.2633 0.0659 14.8322 54 (2) 82 (2) 1228
80 0.0644 0.9355 0.0046 0.9248 0.2622 0.6341 20.0202 0.2721 23.1180 87 (1) 93 (1) 1422
90 0.1100 0.0918 0.0044 1.4163 0.1727 0.1603 0.1259 3.2163 5.2978 61 (3) 77 (2) 488
Total 1.8882 6.0809 0.7874 27.7904 22.1104 13.3206 23.8263 4.1963 100.0000
Prod 83 (3) 64 (2) 68 (7) 82 (1) 72 (1) 60 (2) 84 (1) 77 (2)
Aprod 89 (3) 83 (2) 86 (6) 89 (1) 91 (1) 88 (1) 91 (1) 91 (2)
n 222 1060 127 2507 1203 857 1638 386 8000

Table 12.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2011 for the eastern United States at Level I of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 78.2 (± 0.8%); OA2 = 87.0% (± 0.6%).

Map ↓ Reference
10 20 30 40 50 70 80 90 Total User Auser n
10 2.3453 0.0873 0.0405 0.0228 0.2379 86 (3) 89 (3) 100
20 0.0149 6.7616 0.0448 1.0841 0.0410 0.0091 1.2241 0.1019 9.2816 73 (3) 85 (2) 891
30 0.0479 0.0365 0.1016 0.0365 0.0210 0.0365 0.0193 0.0077 0.3070 33 (6) 43 (7) 110
40 0.0896 1.2081 34.1965 0.7301 0.2717 0.6707 0.8929 38.0596 90 (1) 96 (1) 1045
50 0.0074 0.3523 2.1738 0.6731 0.3189 0.2970 0.1035 3.9260 17 (2) 28 (3) 399
70 0.2763 0.0024 0.8336 0.3525 0.5944 1.0036 0.0780 3.1408 19 (3) 39 (4) 346
80 0.1595 1.7085 0.0415 2.1411 0.3661 0.1953 26.6177 0.3770 31.6068 84 (1) 92 (1) 721
90 0.1647 0.1815 3.1138 0.4109 0.0794 0.1267 6.8673 10.9443 63 (3) 78 (3) 288
Total 2.8294 10.6122 0.1903 43.6198 2.5920 1.5052 29.9819 8.6663 100.0000
Prod 83 (4) 64 (3) 53 (15) 78 (1) 26 (4) 40 (6) 89 (1) 79 (3)
Aprod 88 (4) 80 (2) 63 (15) 91 (1) 48 (5) 67 (6) 93 (1) 93 (2)
n 115 861 50 1434 234 165 784 257 3900

Table 13.

Agreement between map and reference labels for NLCD 2011 for the western United States at Level I of the classification hierarchy. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 72.1 (± 1.0%); OA2 = 89.2% (± 0.6%).

Map ↓ Reference
10 20 30 40 50 70 80 90 Total User Auser n
10 1.0475 0.0133 0.0230 0.0133 0.0087 0.0133 0.0068 1.1260 93 (2) 95 (2) 114
20 0.0009 2.4724 0.0206 0.1426 0.1936 0.2886 0.3445 3.4631 71 (3) 81 (3) 867
30 0.0567 0.0212 0.8517 0.0143 0.4012 0.4579 0.0068 0.0430 1.8528 46 (4) 62 (4) 134
40 0.0856 0.0164 13.4445 2.7010 0.3599 0.0168 0.0672 16.6914 81 (2) 92 (1) 667
50 0.0791 0.3947 0.1984 1.9292 25.5495 6.3586 0.4354 0.0004 34.9542 73 (2) 92 (1) 825
70 0.0651 0.4573 0.1720 0.5366 5.7838 12.9538 3.1943 0.0788 23.2416 56 (2) 85 (2) 676
80 0.0068 0.5184 0.0008 0.1871 0.2765 0.8789 15.1081 0.2312 17.2078 88 (1) 93 (1) 616
90 0.0871 0.0296 0.0074 0.2132 0.1667 0.1829 0.1163 0.6688 1.4721 45 (3) 62 (3) 201
Total 1.3432 3.9925 1.2902 16.4675 35.0856 21.4893 19.2355 1.0961 100.0000
Prod 78 (6) 62 (4) 66 (8) 82 (2) 73 (1) 60 (2) 79 (2) 61 (6)
Aprod 82 (6) 79 (4) 83 (7) 91 (1) 92 (1) 89 (1) 87 (2) 81 (5)
n 117 762 93 674 964 692 677 4100

Map homogeneity and the definition of agreement had substantial impacts on overall accuracy. Constraining agreement to a match between the map and primary reference label reduced overall accuracies from 9% to 15% relative to overall accuracy based on agreement defined as a match based on either the primary or alternate reference label (Table 14). The magnitude of the change in accuracy depended on the NLCD era, level of classification hierarchy, and sampling region. The impact of map homogeneity, defined here as like-classified pixels (Level I) for a sample pixel's eight immediate neighbors, was similar to the impact of agreement definition. Depending on the NLCD era, level of classification hierarchy, sampling regions, and agreement definition, overall accuracy improved by 4–13% when only the subset of sample pixels with like-classified neighbors was considered.

Table 14.

Overall accuracies for each NLCD era by agreement definition, sampling region, and map homogeneity. The label Pri represents agreement based on a match between the map and primary reference labels and PriAlt represents agreement based on a match between the map and either the primary or alternate reference labels. Homogeneous subset had 1811 and 2185 sample pixels in east and west, respectively.

Year CONUS EAST WEST
Pri PriAlt Pri PriAlt Pri PriAlt
Level 2
2011 66 82 63 76 68 86
2006 67 83 64 77 69 87
2001 67 83 64 78 69 87
Level 1
2011 75 88 78 87 72 89
2006 75 89 79 88 73 90
2001 76 89 80 89 73 90
Homogeneous subset
Level 2
2011 75 89 74 85 76 91
2006 75 89 74 85 76 92
2001 75 89 74 86 76 91
Level 1
2011 84 94 91 95 80 94
2006 84 95 91 95 80 94
2001 85 95 91 96 80 94

3.2. Accuracy of change

Overall accuracies for a binary change versus no change classification exceeded 95% for all three change periods (Table 15, Table 16, Table 17). User's and producer's accuracies for no change were > 95% in all cases, but accuracy of change was lower. User's accuracy of change was approximately 55% for all change periods when agreement was defined as a match with only the primary reference change labels, and increased to approximately 82% when agreement also allowed a match with one of the alternate reference change labels. Producer's accuracies were typically lower than user's accuracies, indicating high change omission error. Producer's accuracies of change were 24.4%–30.3% for agreement defined as a match with the primary change reference label only, and increased to approximately 44.6%–47.2% when agreement also allowed a match with the alternate reference change labels. Overall accuracies for binary change classification tended to be higher by 0.8%–2.5% in the western sampling region than the eastern sampling region because of higher accuracies for the no change class (Table 18, Table 19, Table 20, Table 21, Table 22, Table 23). User's accuracies for binary change tended to be higher in the eastern sampling region when the definition of agreement was defined as a match between the map label and primary reference label only, but were essentially equivalent when the alternate reference label was included in the definition of agreement. Producer's accuracies tended to be distinctly higher (> 10%) in the eastern sampling region than the west regardless of agreement definition.

Table 15.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2001–2011 for the continental United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 95.2% (± 0.3%) and OA2 = 97.8% (± 0.2%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total User Auser n
Map NoChange 93.704 3.505 97.209 96.4 (0.3) 98.3 (0.2) 5339
Change 1.269 1.521 2.791 54.5 (1.4) 82.0 (1.7) 2661
Total 94.973 5.026
Prod 98.7 (0.04) 30.3 (1.8)
Aprod 99.0 (0.04) 47.2 (2.7)
n 6326 1674

Table 16.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2006–2011 for the continental United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 96.6% (± 0.2%) and OA2 = 98.8% (± 0.2%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total User Auser n
Map NoChange 95.692 2.629 98.321 99.0 (0.2) 97.3 (0.2) 6213
Change 0.728 0.951 1.679 56.7 (1.8) 82.6 (1.3) 1787
Total 96.420 3.580
Prod 99.2 (0.03) 26.6 (1.9)
Aprod 99.4 (0.03) 47.2 (3.4)
n 6885 1115

Table 17.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2001–2006 for the continental United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 96.6% (± 0.2%) and OA2 = 98.2% (± 0.15%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total User Auser n
Map NoChange 95.728 2.673 98.401 97.3 (0.2) 99.1 (0.2) 6961
Change 0.734 0.864 1.598 54.1 (2.0) 82.9 (1.7) 1039
Total 96.462 3.537
Prod 99.2 (0.03) 24.4 (1.8)
Aprod 99.4 (0.03) 44.6 (3.1)
n 6945 1055

Table 18.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2001–2011 for the eastern United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 93.7% (0.4%) and OA2 = 97.1% (0.3%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total Users Auser
Map NoChange 91.255 4.472 95.727 95.3 (0.4) 97.8 (0.3)
Change 1.784 2.488 4.272 58.2 (1.9) 81.7 (1.5)
Total 93.039 6.960
Prod 98.1 (0.1) 35.7 (2.2)
AProd 99.2 (0.1) 62.5 (3.2)

Table 19.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2001–2011 for the western United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 96.2% (0.4%) and OA2 = 98.3% (0.3%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total Users Auser
Map NoChange 95.365 2.850 98.215 97.1 (0.4) 98.6 (0.3)
Change 0.920 0.866 1.786 48.5 (2.0) 82.3 (1.8)
Total 96.285 3.716
Prod 99.0 (0.1) 23.3 (2.5)
AProd 99.7 (0.03) 51.3 (4.8)

Table 20.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2006–2011 for the eastern United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 95.4% (0.4%) and OA2 = 98.3% (0.2%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total Users Auser
Map NoChange 93.710 3.448 97.158 96.5 (0.4) 98.8 (0.2)
Change 1.143 1.700 2.843 59.8 (2.3) 82.5 (1.7)
Total 94.853 5.148
Prod 98.8 (0.1) 33.0 (2.4)
AProd 99.5 (0.04) 65.9 (4.2)

Table 21.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2006–2011 for the western United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 97.5% (0.3%) and OA2 = 99.1% (0.2%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total Users Auser
Map NoChange 97.037 2.073 99.110 97.9 (0.3) 99.2 (0.2)
Change 0.446 0.444 0.890 49.9 (2.8) 82.7 (2.0)
Total 97.483 2.517
Prod 99.5 (0.1) 17.7 (2.4)
AProd 99.8 (0.02) 49.1 (6.4)

Table 22.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2001–2006 for the eastern United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 95.3% (0.4%) and OA2 = 98.3% (0.2%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total Users Auser
Map NoChange 93.852 3.847 97.699 96.1 (0.4) 98.6 (0.2)
Change 0.866 1.435 2.301 62.4 (2.6) 83.6 (2.2)
Total 94.718 5.282
Prod 99.1 (0.1) 27.2 (2.1)
AProd 99.6 (0.1) 59.2 (4.1)

Table 23.

Agreement between map and reference labels for binary change versus no change for 2001–2006 for the western United States. See Table 4 for explanation of contents. OA1 = 97.5% (0.3%) and OA2 = 99.2% (0.2%).

Reference
NoChange Change Total Users Auser
Map NoChange 97.000 1.877 98.877 98.1 (0.3) 99.4 (0.2)
Change 0.645 0.478 1.123 42.5 (3.0) 81.9 (2.6)
Total 97.645 2.355
Prod 99.3 (0.1) 20.3 (2.8)
AProd 99.8 (0.02) 59.9 (6.5)

Consistent with the agreement statistics reported for the binary change and no change classification, agreement for the change reporting themes was generally poor (Table 24). Only the user's accuracies for forest loss was consistently near 80% for the three NLCD change periods. Urban gain user's accuracy approached 80% for the 2001–2011 and 2001–2006 change periods, but dropped to 68% for the 2006–2011 change period. Forest gain user's accuracies were between 71% and 74% for all three NLCD change periods. User's accuracies for most of the remaining reporting themes ranged from 50% to 70% with agriculture gain and water gain being exceptions with user's accuracies below 50%. Producer's accuracies for the change reporting themes were commonly below 50%. There was some regional differentiation in the user's accuracies for forest loss and forest gain (Table 25, Table 26), with higher user's accuracies for forest loss in the western sampling region and higher user's accuracies for forest gain in the eastern sampling region.

Table 24.

User's and Producer's accuracies (%) for reporting themes for the continental United States. Standard errors are in parentheses. The symbol Δ = change. Agreement is defined as a match between the map labels and either the primary or alternate reference labels.

Theme User's accuracy Producer's accuracy
2001–2011 2006–2011 2001–2006 2001–2011 2006–2011 2001–2006
Water loss 65 (11) 45 (17) 86 (8) 60 (13) 29 (17) 63 (11)
Water gain 61 (12) 87 (8) 36 (15) 32 (11) 42 (12) 19 (10)
Urban gain 79 (2) 68 (3) 78 (3) 30 (4) 23 (5) 28 (5)
Forest loss 82 (2) 79 (2) 80 (3) 51 (3) 54 (5) 37 (3)
Forest gain 74 (3) 72 (4) 71 (5) 22 (2) 19 (3) 21 (3)
Shrub loss 58 (3) 59 (4) 60 (5) 20 (2) 16 (2) 17 (2)
Shrub gain 62 (2) 64 (3) 63 (4) 35 (3) 30 (3) 23 (3)
Grass loss 54 (4) 61 (4) 57 (5) 20 (3) 21 (3) 18 (3)
Grass gain 59 (3) 67 (3) 72 (4) 33 (4) 33 (5) 29 (4)
Ag loss 55 (5) 66 (7) 49 (6) 26 (5) 26 (7) 27 (6)
Ag gain 38 (7) 47 (9) 33 (9) 24 (7) 25 (10) 25 (9)
Water no Δ 89 (2) 90 (2) 90 (2) 82 (3) 82 (3) 83 (3)
Urban no Δ 82 (2) 83 (2) 82 (2) 68 (2) 67 (2) 68 (2)
Forest no Δ 93 (1) 93 (1) 94 (1) 82 (1) 82 (1) 83 (1)
Shrub no Δ 88 (1) 88 (1) 89 (1) 77 (1) 77 (1) 77 (1)
Grass no Δ 82 (2) 81 (2) 82 (2) 72 (2) 71 (2) 72 (2)
Ag no Δ 92 (1) 92 (1) 93 (1) 85 (1) 85 (1) 85 (1)

Table 25.

User's and Producer's accuracies (%) and standard errors (in parentheses) for the eastern United States. All values are rounded to the nearest integer. The symbol Δ = change. Agreement is defined as a match between the map labels and either the primary or alternate reference labels.

Theme User's accuracy Producer's accuracy
2001–2011 2006–2011 2001–2006 2001–2011 2006–2011 2001–2006
Water loss 63 (17) 67 (27) 80 (18) 58 (22) 41 (27) 80 (18)
Water gain 60 (16) 67 (19) 25 (22) 49 (18) 99 (1) 12 (11)
Urban gain 78 (3) 68 (4) 77 (4) 32 (5) 20 (6) 39 (7)
Forest loss 80 (2) 76 (3) 81 (3) 54 (4) 59 (5) 36 (4)
Forest gain 75 (4) 73 (4) 73 (6) 26 (3) 23 (3) 23 (3)
Shrub loss 55 (4) 59 (4) 62 (6) 21 (3) 17 (3) 16 (2)
Shrub gain 56 (3) 60 (4) 69 (5) 35 (4) 36 (4) 20 (3)
Grass loss 54 (5) 62 (5) 56 (6) 24 (4) 29 (5) 19 (4)
Grass gain 52 (4) 61 (5) 71 (5) 46 (6) 45 (6) 38 (5)
Ag loss 58 (6) 65 (9) 49 (8) 27 (6) 23 (9) 26 (7)
Ag gain 33 (13) 39 (18) 29 (17) 18 (9) 21 (13) 15 (11)
Water no Δ 88 (3) 89 (3) 91 (3) 83 (4) 82 (4) 84 (4)
Urban no Δ 84 (2) 85 (2) 84 (2) 69 (2) 69 (2) 69 (2)
Forest no Δ 95 (1) 95 (1) 95 (1) 81 (1) 81 (1) 82 (1)
Shrub no Δ 10 (3) 13 (3) 26 (4) 29 (9) 27 (6) 45 (6)
Grass no Δ 32 (5) 32 (4) 32 (5) 68 (8) 66 (7) 66 (8)
Ag no Δ 92 (1) 92 (1) 92 (1) 90 (1) 90 (1) 90 (1)

Table 26.

User's and Producer's accuracies (%) and standard errors (in parentheses) for the western United States. All values are rounded to the nearest integer. The symbol Δ = change. Agreement is defined as a match between the map labels and either the primary or alternate reference labels.

Theme User's accuracy Producer's accuracy
2001–2011 2006–2011 2001–2006 2001–2011 2006–2011 2001–2006
Water loss 67 (14) 33 (19) 88 (8) 61 (17) 22 (19) 59 (12)
Water gain 63 (17) 100 (0) 43 (19) 22 (12) 34 (12) 25 (17)
Urban gain 81 (2) 67 (5) 78 (4) 27 (7) 31 (13) 18 (5)
Forest loss 87 (2) 86 (3) 78 (5) 47 (7) 46 (9) 39 (8)
Forest gain 71 (5) 59 (18) 54 (7) 7 (2) 4 (2) 10 (4)
Shrub loss 62 (4) 57 (6) 58 (6) 19 (4) 13 (3) 18 (4)
Shrub gain 71 (4) 73 (5) 57 (6) 35 (6) 23 (5) 27 (6)
Grass loss 54 (5) 59 (5) 57 (7) 17 (4) 13 (3) 16 (5)
Grass gain 68 (4) 76 (3) 74 (5) 26 (5) 25 (5) 21 (4)
Ag loss 48 (9) 66 (11) 49 (11) 24 (7) 30 (12) 32 (12)
Ag gain 40 (8) 51 (9) 35 (10) 27 (10) 27 (15) 31 (13)
Water no Δ 92 (3) 92 (3) 90 (3) 81 (5) 81 (5) 81 (5)
Urban no Δ 79 (3) 80 (3) 79 (3) 66 (4) 64 (4) 66 (4)
Forest no Δ 90 (2) 91 (1) 92 (1) 85 (2) 85 (2) 85 (2)
Shrub no Δ 91 (1) 92 (1) 93 (1) 77 (1) 78 (1) 78 (1)
Grass no Δ 85 (2) 85 (2) 85 (2) 72 (2) 71 (2) 72 (2)
Ag no Δ 93 (1) 93 (1) 93 (1) 80 (2) 80 (2) 80 (2)

In contrast to the change reporting themes, the no change reporting themes had higher agreement (Table 24). User's accuracies for all three NLCD time periods were > 85% for four of the six no change reporting themes, and > 80% for all no change reporting themes. Producer's accuracies for the six no change reporting themes exceeded 70% except urban. There was a stark regional difference in the user's and producer's accuracies for the shrubland no change and grassland no change reporting themes between east and west regions (Table 25, Table 26). User's accuracies for shrubland no change and grassland no change exceeded 85% in the western region, but were 30% or less in the eastern region. Similarly, producer's accuracies for shrubland no change were about 60% higher in the west region than the east region, and producer's accuracies for grassland no change were approximately 10% higher in the west region than the east region. Conversely, user's accuracies for urban and forest no change tended to be approximately 5% higher in the east region than the west region.

4. Discussion

4.1. Comparison of NLCD 2011 accuracy assessment methods with “good practice” recommendations

The sampling design, response design, and analysis protocols implemented in the NLCD 2011 closely match the “good practice” recommendations for accuracy assessment described by Olofsson et al. (2014). Throughout the entirety of the NLCD program dating back to the accuracy assessment of NLCD 1992, probability sampling designs have been the basis for applying rigorous design-based inference (Stehman, 2000) to serve as the scientific foundation of the accuracy estimates and standard errors (Stehman et al., 2003, Wickham et al., 2004, Wickham et al., 2010, Wickham et al., 2013). The NLCD 2011 assessment continued to meet this “good practice” recommendation as we implemented a stratified random sampling design for collecting reference data. Our sampling design also followed the “good practice” recommendations of stratifying by map class to reduce standard errors of accuracy estimates for the rare change types as well as rare land-cover classes, stratifying by subregions (east and west) to reduce standard errors of sub-region specific estimates, and implementing a simple random selection protocol within each stratum to allow unbiased estimation of variance of the accuracy estimates. Because cluster sampling would not have yielded substantial cost savings, we did not use clusters in the sampling design. Previous NLCD assessments did use clusters because at the time these assessments were implemented there were substantial savings in using clusters, as for example in the NLCD 1992 assessment (Stehman et al., 2003, Wickham et al., 2004) when hard-copy aerial photographs were used to determine the reference class.

Our analysis protocol follows the “good practice” recommendations (Olofsson et al., 2014, Sec. 6.4) nearly verbatim. Error matrices are reported in terms of proportion of area, we estimate user's and producer's accuracies for each class, the estimators are unbiased, we quantify variability by reporting standard errors, we use design-based inference, and we assess the impact of reference data uncertainty by reporting results for two definitions of agreement (i.e., with and without a match to the alternate reference labels). The primary difference from the “good practice” recommendations is that we do not emphasize in our reporting the area estimates based on the reference classification. The primary objectives of the NLCD 2011 assessment focus on documenting the accuracy of the single-date and change products to inform users of NLCD 2011 data in their applications. While the error matrices we report include the estimated percent of area of each class (based on the reference classification), it is not a primary intent of the NLCD program to produce these area estimates.

The response design protocol also follows the “good practice” guidelines very closely. The reference data provided the required temporal representation consistent with the change period of the map, we assigned each pixel a primary and secondary (if warranted) reference label to account for uncertainty in the labeling protocol, and the response design included several procedures to ensure interpreter consistency. The one “good practice” suggestion we did not include was that we did not collect interpreter confidence ratings for each pixel. We had collected confidence ratings in previous NLCD assessments but found that interpreters had difficulty being consistent when assigning these confidence ratings. Analyses showed that interpreter confidence was not as strongly associated with classification error as features such as the complexity of the landscape surrounding the sample pixel (Wickham et al., 2010) so we decided not to burden the interpreters with this extra requirement of a confidence rating.

4.2. Accuracy of NLCD 2011 land cover

The approximate 83% overall accuracies of the single-date maps for all NLCD eras at the 16-class (Level II) hierarchical level approached the nominal 85% quality benchmark, and 6 of the 16 classes (water, high density urban, deciduous forest, evergreen forest, and shrubland) had user's accuracies that met or exceeded the nominal benchmark. At the 8-class (Level I) hierarchical level, overall accuracies for all NLCD eras were 88% or higher, exceeding the nominal 85% quality benchmark, and high user's accuracies (≥ 85%) were realized for water, urban, forest, shrubland, and agriculture.

Ranging from 33% to 93% across the three change eras, the emergent pattern across the three change eras was high user's accuracies for no change reporting themes, urban gain, and forest loss and gain. The remaining change reporting themes had lower user's accuracies. A partial explanation for the lack of uniformly high user's accuracies for reporting themes representing change is evident in the error matrices. Approximately 14% of the Level I disagreement is attributable to map-reference mismatches between forest (class 40) and shrubland (class 50), shrubland and grassland (class 70), and grassland and agriculture (class 80). Disagreement among these classes suggests that determination of the most appropriate class label at “interfaces” across the forest-shrubland-grassland gradient is difficult, and, likewise, determination of the of the context of grassland-dominated areas (grassland, agriculture, open urban (class 21)) is difficult at the mapping phase, reference label assignment phase, or both. Less disagreement among these classes likely would have led to improved agreement across the loss and gain reporting themes. A portion of the disagreement among these classes is also likely attributable to the inherent ambiguity in class definitions (Lunetta et al., 2001, Mann and Rothley, 2006).

Several researchers and previous NLCD accuracy assessments have shown that map accuracy tends to improve in areas that are homogeneously classified (Löw et al., 2015, Smith et al., 2002, Smith et al., 2003, van Oort et al., 2004, Wickham et al., 2010, Wickham et al., 2013, Yu et al., 2008). In other words, map-reference agreement tends to be more likely when neighboring pixels have the same map label as the sample pixel. The positive relationship between map homogeneity and agreement reported in previous assessments was also found in this assessment. The relationship between map homogeneity and agreement suggests that user's and producer's accuracies for the 11 loss and gain reporting themes are probably higher for larger, more homogeneous areas of change and lower for smaller areas of change (e.g., single, isolated pixels) than reported in Table 14.

4.3. Comparison of NLCD 2011 and NLCD 2006 accuracies

The agreement statistics reported here for year 2006, year 2001, and the 2001–2006 change reporting themes can be compared to their counterparts from the NLCD 2006 accuracy assessment (Wickham et al., 2013). The Level II and Level I overall accuracies for the single-date assessments for 2006 and 2001 reported here (about 82% and 88%, respectively) were approximately 4% greater than their counterparts for the assessment of the NLCD 2006 product. The improvements in NLCD 2011 overall accuracies were modest but significant since the standard errors for all overall accuracies reported here and in the NLCD 2006 assessment were < 1%. The improved overall accuracies for both hierarchical levels of NLCD 2011 are primarily attributable to improved user's accuracies for low density urban (class 22), medium density urban (class 23), woody wetland (90), and emergent wetland (95). User's accuracies for the two urban classes and two wetland classes were approximately 10% and 30% higher, respectively, for the NLCD 2011 product than for NLCD 2006 product. User's accuracies for perennial snow and ice (class 12), mixed forest (43) and pasture (class 81) were higher in the NLCD 2006 product than the NLCD 2011 product, but the lower user's accuracies for these classes in the NLCD 2011 product did not affect NLCD 2011 Level II or Level I overall accuracies, which were higher than their NLCD 2006 counterparts. Among both the static and dynamic 2001–2006 change reporting themes, the NLCD 2011 product had higher user's accuracies for urban gain (NLCD 2011: 78% ± 3%; NLCD 2006: 72% ± 1%), urban—no change (NLCD 2011: 82% ± 2%; NLCD 2006: 73% ± 2%), shrubland—no change (NLCD 2011: 89% ± 1%; NLCD 2006: 85% ± 2%), and grassland—no change (NLCD 2011: 82% ± 2%; NLCD 2006: 75% ± 3%). User's accuracies for most of the other change reporting themes were statistically equivalent, and statistical equivalence may have been partly attributable to higher standard errors for NLCD 2011 in some cases. For example, user's accuracy for the 2001–2006 water loss theme was 86% ± 8% for the NLCD 2011 product and 80% ± 2% for the NLCD 2006 product. The approximate 50% reduction in the number of sample pixels for NLCD 2011 accuracy assessment compared to the NLCD 2006 accuracy assessment contributed to the higher standard errors. The change reporting themes of shrubland gain and agriculture loss and gain were other examples of statistical equivalence that may have been attributable to high standard errors for the NLCD 2011 accuracy assessment. The user's accuracy for change in the binary change-no change reported here (82.9% ± 1.7%; Table 17) was about equivalent to its counterpart in the NLCD 2006 assessment (84.5% ± 0.6%).

4.4. Comparison of NLCD 2011 to other land cover change efforts

More recently there has been an emphasis on accuracy assessment of land cover changebecause of the wide ranging impacts of land cover change on biodiversity, carbon dynamics, water quality, and other aspects of environmental condition. The user's and producer's accuracies reported here for forest loss, forest gain, and urban gain compare favorably with recent land cover change accuracy assessments. On average, our continental forest gain and forest loss user's accuracies were 30% to 35% higher than forest gain and forest loss user's accuracies for the temperate forest biome reported by Feng et al. (2016, p. 80), and approximately 23% higher than those reported for temperate forests by Potapov et al. (2011, p. 557). The producer's accuracies reported for forest loss and forest gain by Feng et al. (2016) were 6%–9% higher than NLCD 2011, and forest loss producer's accuracy reported by Potapov et al. (2011) was approximately 13% higher than NLCD 2011. Yuan et al. (2005)reported a user's accuracy of 66% across all types of change in metropolitan Minneapolis, Minnesota (USA), which is about 10% lower than our urban gain user's accuracies for 2001–2006 and 2001–2011 change periods. The NLCD 2011 products of year 2001 (version 3), 2006 (version 2) and NLCD 2011 (version 1), when used in tandem, appear to provide accurate data for determining where urbanization has occurred, where forests have changed, and where land cover has not changed.

Acknowledgements

U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, through its Office of Research and Development, partly funded and managed the research described here. The article has been reviewed by the USEPA's Office of Research and Development and approved for publication. Approval does not signify that the contents reflect the views of the USEPA. S. Stehman's participation was underwritten by contract G12AC20221 between SUNY-ESF and USGS.

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