Abstract
Purpose
Myopia is an increasingly prevalent condition globally. A greater understanding of contemporaneous, early life factors associated with myopia risk is urgently required, particularly in younger onset myopia as this correlates with higher severity and increased complications in adult life.
Methods
Analysis of a subset of the longitudinal, UK-based Twins Early Development Study (n=1991) recruited at birth between 1994-1996. Subjective refraction was obtained from the twin’s optometrists; mean age 16.3 years (SD 1.7). Myopia was defined as mean spherical equivalent ≤-0.75 diopters. A life-course epidemiology approach was used to appropriately weight candidate myopia risk factors during critical periods of eye growth. Adjusted odds ratios (OR) for myopia were estimated using multivariable logistic regression models at each life stage, together with variance explained (r2) and AUROC statistic of predictive models.
Results
Factors significantly associated with myopia included level of maternal education (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.11-1.59), fertility treatment (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.43-0.92), summer birth (OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.28-2.90), and hours spent playing computer games (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.06). The total variance explained by this model was 4.4% (p<0.001) and the AUROC was 0.68 (95% CI 0.64-0.72). Consistent associations were observed with socioeconomic status, educational attainment, reading enjoyment and cognitive variables, particularly verbal cognition, at multiple points over the life course.
Conclusions
This study identifies known and novel associations with myopia during childhood development; associated factors identified in early life reflect sociological and lifestyle trends such as rates of maternal education, fertility treatment, early schooling, and computer games.
Keywords: Epidemiology, Optics and Refraction, Child health (paediatrics), Genetics
Myopia, or near sightedness, occurs when there is axial elongation of the eye in childhood resulting in a focused image forming in front of the retinal plane. This requires refractive correction but continues to place an individual at an increased risk of potentially sight threatening diseases 1. The prevalence of myopia is has increased worldwide, most dramatically in urban Asia 2. There is increasing interest in strategies to reduce the development and progression of myopia during childhood.
Before the age of two years there is rapid eye growth 3, correlating with the reduction of the typical hyperopia of infancy (emmetropisation). Scleral remodelling allows axial growth of the eye to near-adult size by the age of 10 4. Early visual experience is highly influential in eye growth and refractive development 5. Future myopic status can be predicted by refraction in childhood 6, whilst early onset myopia is associated with higher myopia in adulthood and a greater risk of ocular complications.
Although genetic inheritance is a key determinant of myopia 7, genetic factors alone cannot explain the rising prevalence. Given the rapid ocular growth in early life, this study analysed various candidate myopia risk factors using a life-course epidemiology approach. This enables appreciation for risk accumulation over childhood development, identification of processes operating across different life stages, and consideration of exposures during critical periods of development and ocular growth.
Materials and Methods
Study population
The Twins Early Development Study (TEDS) is a longitudinal, twin birth cohort, studied using multivariate quantitative and molecular genetic methods with a specific focus on neurodevelopment, cognition, behaviour and education. Twins born between 1994 to 1996 from England and Wales were recruited and despite some attrition the sample remains representative of the UK population for this generation 8. For this TEDS myopia study a subset of 2625 families was selected, prioritising twins with genotype data and actively participating. Exclusions included severe medical problems and families who were not contactable. The King’s College London ethics committee has provided ethical approval for the TEDS myopia study, and the research adheres to the tenets of the Declaration of Helsinki.
Study variables
Postal questionnaires were sent to the families in the TEDS myopia study and informed consent to contact the twins’ optician for a recent refraction was sought from both the parents and twins. A response rate of 51.7% from potential families (n=1359) was obtained; this comprised of 2715 twin participants. Non-responders and responders were similar in terms of ethnicity, gender, zygosity, age and parental employment. Among responders there was a higher level of school achievement - 90% of responders achieved higher grades (A* to C) in secondary school compared to 84% in non-responders. Questionnaires were posted to the optometrists of the 2,283 twin participants who had undergone an eye test and provided consent. Non-cycloplegic, subjective refractive error measurements were obtained for 1991 individuals. Spherical equivalent (SE) was calculated using the standard formula (SE = sphere + (cylinder/2)) and the mean of the two eyes considered. Myopia was defined as SE ≤-0.75 diopters (D) with low myopia ≤-0.75 to >-3D, moderate myopia ≤-3 to >-6D, and high myopia ≤-6D.
The twins, parents and school-teachers have completed extensive questionnaires over early life, in addition to web-based testing and home assessments. We examined potential myopia risk factors at ages 2, 3, 4, 7, 8, 10, 12, 14 and 16. Particular attention was placed on cognitive, behavioural and educational variables, together with extracurricular interests, namely time outside and near-work activities. Photoperiod was calculated by downloading “civil twilight” hours in 1995 from a public repository 9.
Statistical analysis
Candidate myopia risk factors were evaluated using a life-course approach with five life stages: preconception; prenatal, perinatal and postnatal; pre-school (≤ 4 years); childhood (≤ 11 years); adolescence (≤ 18 years). Univariable and multivariable logistic regression models for risk of adolescent myopia (≤ -0.75D vs. > -0.75D) at each life stage were constructed, with clustering to adjust for family relatedness. In the scenario of multiple classes of dependent variables a test for trend was used to compare odds ratios. At each life stage the multivariable model incorporated adjustment for age at refraction, sex and factors significantly associated with myopia at any earlier life stage (p<0.05 in the multivariable model). At the adolescence life stage, myopic status was restricted to those who underwent an eye examination after the age of fourteen to avoid assessment of candidate risk factors subsequent to refractive error measurement. The linear variance explained (r2) and area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) statistic of the final logistic predictive model was calculated, with adjustment for multiple testing using Bonferroni correction and cross-validation. Analysis was performed using Stata v13.1 (Stata Corp., College Station, TX).
Results
Spherical equivalent (SE) was calculated on 1991 twin participants with a median age at refraction of 16.7 years (range 5.7 to 18.8 years, standard deviation (SD) 1.75, 92% aged 14 - 18 years). The mean SE was -0.35D (SD 1.80). The mean age at which myopic glasses were first worn was 11.0 years (SD 3.8). Amblyopia was reported in 5.4% and 4.3% had a documented squint. Overall 25.9% of the cohort was myopic (95% confidence interval (CI) 24.0 - 27.8).
Preconception
Maternal and paternal highest educational level (scale of 1-8 from no qualification to postgraduate qualification) achieved were significantly associated with myopia in the twins [Table 1] - myopia odds ratio (OR) 1.59 (95% CI 1.00–2.51) with a university-educated father and 2.15 (95% CI 1.09–4.25) with a mother who achieved likewise. In multivariable analyses only maternal educational attainment remained significant (OR 1.31, 95% CI 1.16–1.55). Parental educational levels were correlated (r=0.43, p<0.01) but sensitivity analyses did not affect results. In univariable analyses there was a significant trend for increased myopia with a ‘stay-at-home’ father (OR 1.91) and increasing social class defined by the father’s occupation (OR 1.14).
Table 1. Preconception factors and Prenatal, perinatal and postnatal factors.
Potential risk factor | Myopia (≥ -0.75D) | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unadjusted model | Adjusted model | |||||
n | OR (95% CI)1 | p value | OR (95% CI)2 (n=1776) |
p value / p trend |
||
Preconception Factors | ||||||
Maternal education | 1991 | 1.32 (1.16 - 1.50) | <0.001* | 1.31 (1.11 - 1.55) | 0.001* | |
- No qualification | 94 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
- Secondary school exams aged 16 (GCSEs) | 913 | 1.27 (0.65 - 2.49) | 1.29 (0.54 - 3.14) | |||
- Secondary school exams aged 18 (A Levels) / Vocational certificate or diploma |
448 | 2.14 (1.08 - 4.27) | 2.40 (0.97 - 5.95) 2.08 (0.84 - 5.18) |
0.025* | ||
- University degree | 536 | 2.15 (1.09 - 4.25) | <0.001* | |||
Paternal education | 1991 | 1.15 (1.02 - 1.30) | 0.026* | 0.99 (0.83 - 1.17) | 0.883 | |
- No qualification | 169 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
- Secondary school exams aged 16 (GCSEs) | 674 | 1.22 (0.76 - 1.95) | 1.08 (0.62 - 1.90) | |||
- Secondary school exams aged 18 (A Levels) / Vocational certificate or diploma |
480 | 1.22 (0.75 - 1.98) | 0.87 (0.48 - 1.58) 1.08 (0.58 - 1.98) |
0.920 | ||
- University degree | 668 | 1.59 (1.00 - 2.51) | 0.008* | |||
Maternal job | 1978 | |||||
- Working | 959 | 1.00 | ||||
- Staying at home with children | 844 | 0.93 (0.72 - 1.20) | ||||
- Not working | 175 | 0.88 (0.57 - 1.36) | 0.411 | |||
Paternal job | 1888 | collinearity | ||||
- Working | 1801 | 1.00 | ||||
- Staying at home with children | 28 | 1.91 (0.70 - 5.23) | ||||
- Not working | 59 | 1.63 (0.88- 3.01) | 0.028* | |||
Higher maternal socioeconomic status based on employment | 945 | 1.13 (0.95 - 1.34) | 0.162 | |||
Higher paternal socioeconomic status based on employment | 1781 | 1.14 (1.04 - 1.26) | 0.005* | 1.06 (0.94 - 1.18) | 0.362 | |
Prenatal, perinatal and postnatal factors | ||||||
Smoking during pregnancy (cigarettes/day) | 1965 | 0.87 (0.66 – 1.17) | 0.380 | |||
Alcohol during pregnancy (units/week) | 1931 | 0.98 (0.81 – 1.18) | 0.834 | |||
Age of mother (years) | 1964 | 1.01 (0.98 – 1.03) | 0.610 | |||
Fertility treatment | 1982 | |||||
- No | 1442 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
- Yes | 540 | 0.71 (0.54 – 0.94)* | 0.017* | 0.75 (0.57 – 1.00) | 0.047* | |
Gestational age at birth (weeks) | 1952 | 0.98 (0.93 – 1.02) | 0.349 | |||
Ethnic group of twin | 1989 | |||||
- White British | 1904 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
- Other | 85 | 1.85 (1.11 – 3.09)* | 0.018* | 1.52 (0.90 – 2.58) | 0.120 | |
Gender | 1991 | |||||
- Female | 1156 | 1.00 | ||||
- Male | 835 | 0.88 (0.70 -1.11) | 0.273 | |||
Birth-weight (adjusted for gestational age and gender, grams) | 1953 | 1.00 (1.00 -1.00) | 0.962 | |||
Length at birth (adjusted for gestational age and gender, centimetres) | 989 | 1.01 (0.97 – 1.06) | 0.593 | |||
Photoperiod at birth (increasing daylight hours) | 1991 | 1.07 (0.96 – 1.19) | 0.237 | |||
- 1 | 611 | 1.00 | ||||
- 2 | 475 | 0.91 (0.65 – 1.27) | ||||
- 3 | 450 | 1.03 (0.74 – 1.44) | ||||
- 4 | 455 | 1.21 (0.87 – 1.68) | 0.149 | |||
Season (by Academic term) of birth | 1991 | 1.18 (1.02 – 1.37) | 0.024* | 1.22 (1.05 – 1.43) | 0.011* | |
- Autumn (September to December) | 772 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |||
- Spring (January to April) | 625 | 1.19 (0.89 – 1.58) | 1.08 (0.80 – 1.46) | |||
- Summer (May to August) | 594 | 1.40 (1.05 – 1.89) | 0.006* | 1.50 (1.11 – 2.05) | 0.007* | |
Breastfed (y/n) | 1944 | 1.04 (0.80 – 1.35) | 0.784 | |||
Regular sleeping pattern (y/n) | 1945 | 0.95 (0.82 – 1.10) | 0.478 | |||
Length of stay in special care baby unit after birth (days) | 736 | 1.00 (0.98 – 1.01) | 0.572 | |||
Length of stay in hospital after birth (days) | 1932 | 1.00 (0.99 – 1.01) | 0.993 |
Adjusted for family relatedness
Adjusted for age at refraction, sex, family relatedness and significant factors in univariable analyses.
Significance thresholds: * = p-value <0.05, † = p-value <0.10. Abbreviations: OR = odds ratio, CI = confidence interval, GCSEs = General Certificate of Secondary Education (secondary school exams taken at the age of 16 in the UK), A Levels = advanced level (secondary school higher exams taken at the age of 18+ in the UK. Highly correlated variables not included in multivariable model as collinearity exclusion.
Prenatal, perinatal & postnatal
Fertility treatment was significantly associated with reduced odds of myopia in multivariable analysis (0.75, 95% CI 0.57–1.0) [Table 1]. Fertility treatment was moderately correlated with maternal age (r=0.30, p<0.01), minimally correlated with maternal education (r=0.05, p<0.01), and inversely correlated with both gestational age (-0.04, p<0.01) and birth-weight (-0.04, p<0.01). When adjusted for all of these correlates, the association between fertility treatment and myopia strengthened (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.41-0.98). We explored the association between seasons of birth defined by academic terms and detected a significant increase in risk across successive terms in multivariable analysis - those born in the ‘summer term’ had the highest odds of myopia (OR 1.50, 95% 1.11–2.05). There was no significant association with photoperiod or mediation by birth-weight. Those of non-white British ethnicity had nearly double the odds of myopia (OR 1.85, 95% 1.11–3.09) in univariable analysis; ethnicity subclassification was not possible, although numbers of non-white ethnicity were small (n=85). We did not replicate the association between myopia and maternal smoking 10.
Pre-school
A large number of potential risk factors at this life stage were explored given this is a critical period for eye growth but only eyesight problems at age three were significantly associated (adjusted OR 0.23, 95% CI 0.09-0.6) [Supplementary File 1]. This probably reflects children with significant hyperopia, who are unlikely to become myopic - their mean SE in adolescence was +1.96D.
Childhood
Significant associations for increased odds of adolescent myopia were current maternal qualifications (OR 1.10) and a non-working father (OR 2.01) at the age of seven [Supplementary File 2]. Verbal cognitive ability (aged ten) was associated with myopia (OR 1.29, 95% 1.08-1.55), as was composite cognitive ability (g) (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.01-1.47). None of the factors were significant in the multivariable model.
Adolescence
Myopia in late adolescence was associated with verbal cognition at age twelve (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.06-1.40) and age fourteen (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.07). At age sixteen, myopia was associated with composite ‘g’ (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.12-1.49), verbal (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03-1.10), and non-verbal cognition (OR 1.04, 95% CI 1.01-1.08). No cognitive variable was significant in the multivariable model [Table 2]. Hours spent on computer games per week were significantly associated in multivariable analyses (OR 1.06, 95% CI 1.02-1.10). Hours spent reading showed a trend towards increased odds of myopia whilst reading enjoyment rating was significant in univariable analysis (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.04-1.26). Number of higher grades (OR 1.05, 95% CI 1.00-1.10) and ‘total points’ (OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.01) achieved in examinations undertaken at age sixteen were associated in univariable analyses.
Table 2. Adolescence factors.
Potential risk factor | Myopia (≤ -0.75D) | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Unadjusted model | Adjusted model | ||||
n | OR (95% CI)1 | P value | OR (95% CI)2(n=449) | p value / p trend | |
Age 12 Cognitive ability (g) (standardised scale) | 1489 | 1.11 (0.96 - 1.27) | 0.148 | ||
Age 12 Verbal cognitive ability (standardised scale) | 1512 | 1.22 (1.06 - 1.40) | 0.005* | 0.72 (0.48 - 1.08) | 0.112 |
Age 12 Non-verbal cognitive ability (standardised scale) | 1489 | 0.98 (0.86 - 1.12) | 0.756 | ||
Age 12 Conners inattention scale (0 - 27) | 1259 | 1.01 (0.98 - 1.03) | 0.664 | ||
Age 14 Physical sports (hours/week) | 1147 | 0.98 (0.95 - 1.01) | 0.175 | ||
Age 14 Computer games (hours/week) | 1086 | 1.02 (1.00 - 1.04) | 0.015* | 1.06 (1.02 - 1.10) | 0.003* |
Age 14 Watching TV (hours/week) | 1126 | 1.00 (0.99 - 1.02) | 0.749 | ||
Age 14 Outside with friends (hours/week) | 1049 | 1.00 (0.97 - 1.02) | 0.824 | ||
Age 14 Reading (hours/week) | 1060 | 1.01 (0.99 -1.04) | 0.206 | ||
Age 14 Reading (increasing rating of enjoyment 1 - 6) | 1206 | 1.14 (1.04 - 1.26) | 0.006* | 1.21 (0.97 - 1.51) | 0.091† |
Age 14 English teacher assessment (scale 1-8) | 1039 | 1.08 (0.92 - 1.26) | 0.342 | ||
Age 14 Maths teacher assessment (scale 1-8) | 1047 | 1.10 (0.95 - 1.26) | 0.196 | ||
Age 14 Science teacher assessment NC (scale 1-8) | 1040 | 1.07 (0.91 - 1.25) | 0.422 | ||
Age 14 Cognitive ability (g) (standardised scale) | 882 | 1.16 (0.97 - 1.38) | 0.097† | ||
Age 14 Ravens web test (non-verbal) (standardised scale) | 895 | 1.02 (0.97 - 1.06) | 0.448 | ||
Age 14 Vocabulary web test (scale 0 - 53) | 1055 | 1.04 (1.01 - 1.07) | 0.023* | 1.02 (0.95 - 1.08) | 0.619 |
Age 16 Household income category (0 - 12, both parents) | 1040 | 1.04 (0.97 - 1.10) | 0.269 | ||
Age 16 Father highest qualification level (scale 1-8) | 1133 | 1.02 (0.99 - 1.04) | 0.273 | ||
Age 16 Father socioeconomic level (scale 1-9) | 1011 | 1.06 (0.99 - 1.14) | 0.090† | ||
Age 16 Mother highest qualification level (scale 1-8) | 1220 | 1.10(1.02 - 1.18) | 0.012* | 0.80 (0.63 - 1.01) | 0.058† |
Age 16 Mother socioeconomic level (scale 1-9) | 1050 | 1.07 (0.99 - 1.16) | 0.071† | ||
Age 16 No. of GCSEs passes at grades A* to C | 1747 | 1.05 (1.00 -1.10) | 0.045* | collinearity | |
Age 16 Total point score for GCSEs | 1747 | 1.01 (1.00 - 1.01) | 0.002* | 1.01 (0.99 - 1.02) | 0.427 |
Age 16 Cognitive ability (g) (standardised scale) | 1067 | 1.30 (1.12 - 1.49) | <0.001* | 1.23 (0.92 - 1.64) | 0.155 |
Age 16 Ravens web test (non-verbal, scale 0-30) | 1094 | 1.04 (1.01 - 1.08) | 0.018* | collinearity | |
Age 16 Mill Hill vocabulary web test (scale 0 -33) | 1155 | 1.06 (1.03 -1.10) | <0.001* | collinearity | |
Age 16 Height (centimetres) | 980 | 0.98 (0.96 - 0.99) | 0.010* | 0.97 (0.94 - 1.01) | 0.176 |
Age 16 Weight (kilograms) | 980 | 0.99 (0.98 - 1.01) | 0.275 |
Adjusted for family relatedness
Adjusted for age at refraction, sex, family relatedness, significant factors in univariable analyses & factors significant in adjusted analyses at any earlier life stages.
Significance thresholds: * = p-value <0.05, † = p-value <0.10. Abbreviations: OR = odds ratio, CI = confidence interval, GCSEs = General Certificate of Secondary Education (secondary school exams taken at the age of 16 in the UK). Highly correlated variables not included in multivariable model as collinearity exclusion.
Significant factors in multivariable analysis at each life stage were combined into one single model in 1077 individuals, with adjustment for age and sex [Figure 1]. The following factors remained significant: maternal education (OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.11-1.59), fertility treatment (OR 0.63, 95% CI 0.43 - 0.92), summer birth (1.93, 95% CI 1.28 - 2.90), and hours spent playing computer games (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.06). Using a linear fit model with the continuous trait of SE the total variance explained was 4.4% (p<0.001), with a baseline model of age and sex contributing 1.6%. The AUROC was 0.68 (95% CI 0.64 - 0.72) [Figure 2]. A k-fold cross validation produced a comparable AUROC of 0.67 (95% CI 0.63 - 0.70).
Discussion
We attempted to address the question of what early life factors in modern-day childhood contribute to myopia and identified maternal education, playing computer games and a summer birth to be associated with increased odds, whilst fertility treatment appeared protective. Suggestive associations across childhood were found with higher socioeconomic status and cognitive scores (akin to intelligence), in particular verbal cognition. In addition to novel findings, we confirm the findings of a previous life course study (1958 British Birth Cohort 10) that factors in early childhood influence ocular growth trajectories.
We replicate a consistent association between maternal education and myopia in her offspring 11. This probably reflects several (mutually inclusive) influences including parenting style, socioeconomic status, wealth, educational encouragement, and potentially shared genetic factors. Notably in a life course analysis, under the assumption that certain traits remain stable, the same association is tested repeatedly at multiple life stages providing a more robust estimate. Therefore the association between maternal education and myopia, which was replicated at multiple stages, has a greater credibility.
Fertility treatment was inversely associated with myopia - a novel finding that requires replication. Contrary to expectation that women undergoing fertility treatment have more myopia risk factors (higher educational status and subsequently older; higher socioeconomic status and therefore able to afford treatment), we observed a 25-30% reduction in myopia odds, despite adjustment for possible confounders. This could, in part, be related to the fact that infants born following fertility treatment tend to have a lower birth-weight and shorter gestation 12 and have, in some but not all studies, developmental delay and reduced cognitive scores 13. A further potential factor that requires greater research is the potential effect of DNA methylation variation in children conceived by fertility treatment, a link which has explored in other phenotypes 14.
In the UK children start school in the September of the academic year in which they turn five years. Therefore, those born in the summer could be almost a whole calendar year younger than those born in autumn. In this study children entering the educational system at a younger age (born in the summer months) had the highest odds of myopia. Previous studies of Finnish, Israeli, British, and American populations also identified increased myopia with summer births, with several studies attributing this to increased natural light exposure during the postnatal period 9. We find no association with light levels at birth and propose the association may be attributable to early exposure to the educational system. Season of birth has long-lasting associations with educational outcomes 15 16, and axial elongation accelerates on starting school 17. The importance of age of school entry presents an interesting topic for further research with potential implications for public health policy.
Hours spent playing computer games in early adolescence increased the odds of being myopic. The twins answered this question around 2008 (predating hand-held tablets) when most computer consoles were played indoors on television screens (eg. PlayStation2® and X-Box®). This association has previously been reported when included in a total of ‘near-work hours’ 18, whilst time spent gaming was identified to be different between myopes and emmetropes when measured after myopia onset but not before 19. We did not replicate the protective effects of time outdoors 20, but this variable was not carefully measured in this cohort. We found an association with reading enjoyment in univariable analyses. The ‘liking’ of reading has previously shown to be correlated with myopia 21. We suggest this trait and the association with computer games may not simply reflect time spent on near-work activity, but something in the broader behaviour of those children, as others have suggested 22, or less time outdoors.
Intelligence and educational achievement are established myopia risk factors 21 23. Over the life-course verbal cognition, and overall cognitive ability were associated with myopia. Generally associations were not statistically significant at early ages, possibly reflecting the difficulty in measuring these parameters in young children, and not retained in multivariable models, perhaps due to their correlation with maternal education. However there is a clear trend in association over childhood [Figure 3], with verbal cognition showing a higher level of association than non-verbal.
The age of myopia onset (11 years), as defined by the start of glasses wear, was comparable to similar cohorts 24, and notably younger than historical UK studies 10. A life-course multivariable risk factor model explained ~4% of refractive error variance. This is comparable to previous estimates of 2-12%18 23. Predictive models have been tested in longitudinal studies 6 25 26, with AUC statistics between 0.82 - 0.93. The AUROC in our study was 0.68, despite a lack of data on ocular biometry and parental myopia as used in other studies.
Although the TEDS study remains population representative 8, the subsample invited, together with the 52% response rate, means those in the myopia study may not be. Higher educational status of responders may confer higher myopia prevalence. Missing data may affect power to detect associations - numerous potential determinants of myopia were explored and refractive error was only available on a subset. The myopia study was not initiated at the start of TEDS, therefore questionnaires were not designed to target myopia risk factors. As the oldest participants were 18 years, misclassification of adult myopic status may have occurred; however, this methodology is likely to have captured all of the more highly myopic individuals, who are of most clinical interest. Subjective, non-cycloplegic refractions by practicing optometrists were used. At age 14-18 the subjects were old enough for subjective refraction with techniques to avoid excessive diagnosis of myopia. In adult epidemiological studies this method introduces minimal bias; in younger populations it has been found that whilst there is a large degree of inaccuracy in children <10 years, in older teenagers inaccuracy is less, particularly with subjective rather than autorefraction 27. In order to reduce over-classification of myopia we used a definition of ≤-0.75D (as opposed to ≤-0.5D, commonly used in paediatric studies). Finally, these analyses identify associations but do not imply a causal direction; correlations between various early life factors and myopia could be mediated by a latent factor, such as genetics.
In conclusion this study of a contemporaneous, birth cohort highlights maternal education, early schooling, and hours playing computer games as key predictors of myopia as a child enters adulthood. Fertility treatment appeared to reduce myopia risk. Socioeconomic factors, educational attainment, and cognitive variables were related to myopia at multiple points over the life-course. Given the rise in myopia prevalence, likely due to changing environmental pressures in childhood, further studies of this and other cohorts are warranted, in conjunction with genetic data, to continue efforts to produce predictive models that can ascertain who should be targeted for treatments to reduce the future burden of this condition.
Supplementary Material
Synopsis/Precis.
A UK twin cohort examining risk factors for myopia across childhood development identified higher maternal education, younger age starting school, and longer hours computer gaming as associated with myopia, whilst fertility treatment was inversely associated.
Acknowledgments
We gratefully acknowledge the on-going contribution of the participants in the Twins Early Development Study (TEDS) and their families. TEDS is supported by a program grant to Robert Plomin from the UK Medical Research Council [G0901245; previously G0500079], with additional support from the US National Institutes of Health [HD044454 and HD059215]. RP is supported by a Medical Research Council Research Professorship award [G19/2] and a European Research Council Advanced Investigator award [295366]. KMW is supported by a UK Medical Research Council Clinical Research Training Fellowship.
Financial Support
The sponsor or funding organization has no role in the design or conduct of this research. Full details of the funding for each study are described in the acknowledgements.
Footnotes
Competing Interests
No conflicting relationship exists for any author.
Contributorship Statement
KW designed and performed the research, performed data analysis and wrote the paper; EK, EY & PH assisted with data analysis and writing the paper; RP assisted with research design, data analysis and paper preparation; CH assisted with research design, data analysis and writing the paper
References
- 1.Flitcroft DI. The complex interactions of retinal, optical and environmental factors in myopia aetiology. Progress in retinal and eye research. 2012;31(6):622–60. doi: 10.1016/j.preteyeres.2012.06.004. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Dolgin E. The myopia boom. Nature. 2015;519(7543):276–8. doi: 10.1038/519276a. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.Larsen JS. The sagittal growth of the eye. IV. Ultrasonic measurement of the axial length of the eye from birth to puberty. Acta Ophthalmol (Copenh) 1971;49(6):873–86. doi: 10.1111/j.1755-3768.1971.tb05939.x. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4.Harper AR, Summers JA. The dynamic sclera: extracellular matrix remodeling in normal ocular growth and myopia development. Exp Eye Res. 2015;133:100–11. doi: 10.1016/j.exer.2014.07.015. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Stone RA, Lin T, Desai D, et al. Photoperiod, early post-natal eye growth, and visual deprivation. Vision Res. 1995;35(9):1195–202. doi: 10.1016/0042-6989(94)00232-b. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6.Zadnik K, Sinnott LT, Cotter SA, et al. Prediction of Juvenile-Onset Myopia. JAMA Ophthalmol. 2015;133(6):683–9. doi: 10.1001/jamaophthalmol.2015.0471. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7.Hammond CJ, Snieder H, Gilbert CE, et al. Genes and environment in refractive error: the twin eye study. Investigative Ophthalmology and Visual Science. 2001;42(6):1232–36. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8.Haworth CMA, Davis OSP, Plomin R. Twins Early Development Study (TEDS): A Genetically Sensitive Investigation of Cognitive and Behavioral Development From Childhood to Young Adulthood. Twin Research and Human Genetics. 2013;16(1):117–25. doi: 10.1017/thg.2012.91. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9.McMahon G, Zayats T, Chen YP, et al. Season of birth, daylight hours at birth, and high myopia. Ophthalmology. 2009;116(3):468–73. doi: 10.1016/j.ophtha.2008.10.004. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10.Rahi JS, Cumberland PM, Peckham CS. Myopia over the lifecourse: prevalence and early life influences in the 1958 British birth cohort. Ophthalmology. 2011;118(5):797–804. doi: 10.1016/j.ophtha.2010.09.025. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11.Chua SY, Ikram MK, Tan CS, et al. Relative Contribution of Risk Factors for Early-Onset Myopia in Young Asian Children. Investigative ophthalmology & visual science. 2015;56(13):8101–7. doi: 10.1167/iovs.15-16577. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12.Ombelet W, Martens G, De Sutter P, et al. Perinatal outcome of 12,021 singleton and 3108 twin births after non-IVF-assisted reproduction: a cohort study. Human reproduction. 2006;21(4):1025–32. doi: 10.1093/humrep/dei419. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.Hart R, Norman RJ. The longer-term health outcomes for children born as a result of IVF treatment. Part II--Mental health and development outcomes. Human reproduction update. 2013;19(3):244–50. doi: 10.1093/humupd/dmt002. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14.Lazaraviciute G, Kauser M, Bhattacharya S, et al. A systematic review and meta-analysis of DNA methylation levels and imprinting disorders in children conceived by IVF/ICSI compared with children conceived spontaneously. Human reproduction update. 2014;20(6):840–52. doi: 10.1093/humupd/dmu033. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15.Crawford C, Dearden L, Meghir C. When You Are Born Matters: The Impact of Date of Birth on Child Cognitive Outcomes in England. 2007 CEE Discussion Paper No.93. [Google Scholar]
- 16.Ponzo M, Scoppa V. The long-lasting effects of school entry age: Evidence from Italian students. Journal of Policy Modeling. 2014;36(3):578–99. [Google Scholar]
- 17.Hyman L, Gwiazda J, Hussein M, et al. Relationship of age, sex, and ethnicity with myopia progression and axial elongation in the correction of myopia evaluation trial. Archives of ophthalmology. 2005;123(7):977–87. doi: 10.1001/archopht.123.7.977. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18.Mutti DO, Mitchell GL, Moeschberger ML, et al. Parental myopia, near work, school achievement, and children's refractive error. Investigative ophthalmology & visual science. 2002;43(12):3633–40. [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.Jones-Jordan LA, Mitchell GL, Cotter SA, et al. Visual activity before and after the onset of juvenile myopia. Investigative ophthalmology & visual science. 2011;52(3):1841–50. doi: 10.1167/iovs.09-4997. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20.Rose KA, Morgan IG, Ip J, et al. Outdoor activity reduces the prevalence of myopia in children. Ophthalmology. 2008;115(8):1279–85. doi: 10.1016/j.ophtha.2007.12.019. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 21.Williams C, Miller LL, Gazzard G, et al. A comparison of measures of reading and intelligence as risk factors for the development of myopia in a UK cohort of children. The British journal of ophthalmology. 2008;92(8):1117–21. doi: 10.1136/bjo.2007.128256. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 22.van de Berg R, Dirani M, Chen CY, et al. Myopia and personality: the genes in myopia (GEM) personality study. Investigative ophthalmology & visual science. 2008;49(3):882–6. doi: 10.1167/iovs.07-0930. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23.Saw SM, Tan SB, Fung D, et al. IQ and the association with myopia in children. Investigative ophthalmology & visual science. 2004;45(9):2943–8. doi: 10.1167/iovs.03-1296. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24.Parssinen O, Kauppinen M, Viljanen A. The progression of myopia from its onset at age 8-12 to adulthood and the influence of heredity and external factors on myopic progression. A 23-year follow-up study. Acta ophthalmologica. 2014;92(8):730–9. doi: 10.1111/aos.12387. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25.Zhang M, Gazzard G, Fu Z, et al. Validating the accuracy of a model to predict the onset of myopia in children. Investigative ophthalmology & visual science. 2011;52(8):5836–41. doi: 10.1167/iovs.10-5592. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 26.French AN, Morgan IG, Mitchell P, et al. Risk factors for incident myopia in Australian schoolchildren: the Sydney adolescent vascular and eye study. Ophthalmology. 2013;120(10):2100–8. doi: 10.1016/j.ophtha.2013.02.035. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 27.Hashemi H, Khabazkhoob M, Asharlous A, et al. Cycloplegic autorefraction versus subjective refraction: the Tehran Eye Study. The British journal of ophthalmology. 2016;100(8):1122–7. doi: 10.1136/bjophthalmol-2015-307871. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.