Skip to main content
BioData Mining logoLink to BioData Mining
. 2019 Aug 23;12:17. doi: 10.1186/s13040-019-0205-0

RNSCLC-PRSP software to predict the prognostic risk and survival in patients with resected T1-3N0–2 M0 non-small cell lung cancer

Yunkui Zhang 1,2, YaoChen Li 3, Rongsheng Zhang 2, Yujie Zhang 2, Haitao Ma 1,✉
PMCID: PMC6708148  PMID: 31462928

Abstract

Background

The clinical outcomes of patients with resected T1-3N0–2M0 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) with the same tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage are diverse. Although other prognostic factors and prognostic prediction tools have been reported in many published studies, a convenient, accurate and specific prognostic prediction software for clinicians has not been developed. The purpose of our research was to develop this type of software that can analyze subdivided T and N staging and additional factors to predict prognostic risk and the corresponding mean and median survival time and 1–5-year survival rates of patients with resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC.

Results

Using a Cox proportional hazard regression model, we determined the independent prognostic factors and obtained a prognostic index (PI) eq. PI = ∑βixi.

=0.379X1–0.403X2–0.267X51–0.167X61–0.298X62 + 0.460X71 + 0.617X72–0.344X81–0.105X91–0.243X92 + 0.305X101 + 0.508X102 + 0.754X103 + 0.143X111 + 0.170X112 + 0.434X113–0.327X122–0.247X123 + 0.517X133 + 0.340X134 + 0.457X143 + 0.419X144 + 0.407X145. Using the PI equation, we determined the PI value of every patient. According to the quantile of the PI value, patients were divided into three risk groups: low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups with significantly different survival rates. Meanwhile, we obtained the mean and median survival times and 1–5-year survival rates of the three groups. We developed the RNSCLC-PRSP software which is freely available on the web at http://www.rnsclcpps.com with all major browsers supported to determine the prognostic risk and associated survival of patients with resected T1-3N0–2 M0 non-small cell lung cancer.

Conclusions

After prognostic factor analysis, prognostic risk grouping and corresponding survival assessment, we developed a novel software program. It is practical and convenient for clinicians to evaluate the prognostic risk and corresponding survival of patients with resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC. Additionally, it has guiding significance for clinicians to make decisions about complementary treatment for patients.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s13040-019-0205-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Keywords: Resected non-small cell lung cancer, Prognostic risk prediction, Survival prediction, Prognostic index, Software

Background

Lung cancer is the first leading cause of cancer death among men and the second leading cause of cancer death for women worldwide [1]. At present, the eighth edition of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) staging system developed and validated by the International Association for the Staging of Lung Cancer (IASLC) project is considered to be the most significant prognostic predictor and the main guider of postoperative supplementary treatment [2]. The following factors were incorporated into the IASLC system: histological grade, gender, age, and performance status. No molecular prognostic factors are used in the clinic because of the lack of cross-validation, Even the new biomarker programmed cell death protein 1 ligand (PD-L1) is a predictive marker of good response to immunotherapy drugs but poor prognostic indicator of survival [3]. However, clinicians know that the outcomes are diverse among resected NSCLC patients with the same TNM stage and other similar clinical features. Some die early after surgical treatment, while some remain alive, even living longer than expected. Therefore, for clinicians, subgroups of T and N staging and other more clinicopathological features should be considered in prognostic risk and survival prediction.

Recently, there have been many studies on the prognostic factors for patients with resected NSCLC [4–7]. Prognostic factors can be divided into clinical factors, tumor-related factors and treatment-related factors. TNM stage, gender, age, number of examined regional lymph nodes (NELNs), number of positive regional lymph nodes (NPLNs), surgery type, histological grade, histology, and marital status have been reported to be prognostic factors for patients with resected NSCLC [8–22]. There have been few studies on T and N staging subgroups as prognostic factors. Meanwhile, some prognostic prediction tools, such as prognostic nomograms, scores, and survival models for patients with resected NSCLC, have been reported in many published studies [23–27]. Unfortunately, for clinicians who are busy in clinical work, it is inconvenient to use the TNM stage system and tools for which the results were inaccurate and vague. Therefore, we aimed to develop software that can conveniently, specifically, accurately predict the prognostic risk and survival of patients with T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC. In the process of building the model, T and N staging subgroups and other more clinical features were analyzed as prognostic factors.

Implementation

We collected information on patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, which provides cancer statistics for U.S. patients. In this study, 6886 patients were obtained. Eligibility criteria included the following: [1] histological diagnosis of NSCLC; [2] suffering from only single primary NSCLC in their lifetime and had NSCLC between 2004 and 2014; [3] received resection only; [4] had definitive surgical information; [5] survival time equal to or greater than one month; and [6] ≥20 years old. Moreover, the following criteria were used to exclude patients from the study: [1] M1 stage or without definitive information on M stage; [2] without definitive information on primary site, laterality or histological grade; [3] with T4>7 and without definitive information on tumor size; [4] with T4 Inv, T4 Ipsi Nod and without definitive information on tumor extension; [5] with N3 stage or without definitive information on N stage; [6] without definitive information on the number of examined and positive regional lymph nodes; [7] unknown marital status and race. Figure 1 shows the flow chart of the process used to screen patients according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. Clinicopathological characteristics and follow-up information were collected, as shown in Table 1, including gender, age, laterality, race, N stage, NELNs, NPLNs, surgery type, primary site, histological grade, histology, marital status, tumor extension, tumor size, survival months and status.

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

According to the inclusion and exclusion criteria, the flow chart of screening patients. a NSCLC: non-small cell lung cancer. b According to the eighth edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)/ Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) stage classification for NSCLC

Table 1.

The clinicopathological characteristics of patients with resected T1-3N0 − 2 M0 NSCLC

Characteristics Number of patients
All patients 6886 (100%)
Gender
 Male 3363 (48.8%)
 Female 3523 (51.2%)
Age
 ≤65 2964 (43.0%)
 > 65 3922 (57.0%)
Laterality
 Right 3958 (57.5%)
 Left 2928 (42.5%)
Race
 White 5770 (83.8%)
 Black 589 (8.6%)
 Others 527 (7.6%)
N stage a
 N0 4578 (66.5%)
 N1 1228 (17.8%)
 N2 1080 (15.7%)
NELNs
 N ≤ 6 2495 (36.2%)
 6<N ≤ 12 2272 (33.0%)
 N>12 2119 (30.8%)
NPLNs
 N = 0 4658 (67.6%)
 1 ≤ N ≤ 3 1623 (23.6%)
 N ≥ 4 605 (8.8%)
Surgery type
 SLET 599 (8.7%)
 LET 5748 (83.5%)
 PET 539 (7.8%)
Primary site
 UL 4125 (60.0%)
 ML 414 (6.0%)
 LL 2213 (32.1%)
 Others 134 (1.9%)
Histological grade
 I 816 (11.9%)
 II 3158 (45.9%)
 III 2766 (40.2%)
 IV 146 (2.0%)
Histology
 AC 3013 (43.8%)
 S 1629 (23.7%)
 ASC 206 (3.0%)
 BAA 220 (3.2%)
 Others 1818 (26.3%)
Marital status
 Single (never married) 801 (11.6%)
 Married 4115 (59.8%)
 Divorced 854 (12.4%)
 Widowed 1017 (14.8%)
 Others 99 (1.4%)
Tumor extension a
 T1a ss 729 (10.6%)
 T2 Visc PI 4078 (59.2%)
 T2 Centr 1366 (19.8%)
 T3 Inv 68 (1.0%)
 T3 Satell 645 (9.4%)
Tumor size a
 T1a ≤ 1(T ≤ 1) 193 (2.8%)
 T1b>1–2(1<T ≤ 2) 1573 (22.8%)
 T1c>2–3(2<T ≤ 3) 1932 (28.1%)
 T2a>3–4(3<T ≤ 4) 1449 (21.0%)
 T2b>4–5(4<T ≤ 5) 865 (12.6%)
 T3>5–7(5<T ≤ 7) 874 (12.7%)
Survival status
 Dead 2443 (35.5%)
 Alive 4443 (64.5%)

Abbreviations: NELNs Number of examined regional lymph nodes, NPLNs Number of positive regional lymph nodes, SLET sublobectomy, LET Lobectomy, PET Pneumonectomy, UL Upper lobe, ML Middle lobe, LL Lower lobe, I Well differentiated, II Moderately differentiated, III Poorly differentiated, IV Undifferentiated, AC Adenocarcinoma, S Squamous carcinoma, ASC Adenosquamous carcinoma, BAA Bronchioalveolar adenocarcinoma

a According to the eighth edition of the AJCC/UICC stage classification for NSCLC

First, In this data set, approximately 70% of patients were randomly assigned to the training set (resulting in 4821 patients), while the remaining patients comprised the test set (resulting in 2065 patients). The training set was used to build the model, and the test set was used to verify the model. Second, based on the training set, the Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to identify independent prognostic factors and their model coefficients. Third, we obtained a prognostic index (PI) equation, which is the value of each independent prognostic factor and the sum of the corresponding regression coefficient product. Fourth, according to the quantile of the PI value, patients were divided into three risk groups: the low-, intermediary-, and high-risk groups with significantly different survival rates according to Kaplan-Meier analysis and log-rank test. Meanwhile, we obtained the mean and median survival times and 1–5-year survival rates of the three risk groups. We used a test set to verify the model. Finally, we developed a software program named RNSCLC-PRSP to predict the prognostic risk and survival of patients with resected T1-3N0–2M0 non-small cell lung cancer by selecting their clinicopathological features. The software is freely available on the web at http://www.rnsclcpps.com with all major browsers supported. Clinicians register and log in and then they select the clinicopathological characteristics of patients, and the prognostic risk and survival outcome are predicted.

We used SPSS (version 16.0) software (Inc, Chicago, IL, USA) for all statistical calculations, and P<0.05 was considered to be significant. Meanwhile, the tree model analysis method was also used to rank the importance of each variable for prediction,

Results

Univariate analysis of prognostic factors

Variables codes and assignment methods of clinicopathological characteristics are provided in the Additional file 1: Table S1. After the univariate analysis, the result of which are presented in Table 2, gender, age, N stage, NELNs, NPLNs, surgery type, primary site, histological grade, histology, marital status, tumor extension, and tumor size were significant prognostic factors (P<0.05).

Table 2.

Univariate analysis of the Cox proportional hazard regression model of resected T1-3N0 − 2 M0 NSCLC

Factors Variates b SE RR 95%CI P
Gender X1 0.363 0.049 1.438 1.307~1.582 < 0.001
Age X2 −0.354 0.050 0.702 0.637~0.774 < 0.001
Laterality X3 − 0.009 0.049 0.991 0.900~1.091 0.858
Race (as dummy variables) X4
 Others 1.0
 White X41 0.159 0.102 1.172 0.961~1.430 0.118
 Black X42 0.172 0.130 1.188 0.920~1.532 0.186
N stage a (as dummy variables) X5
 N0 X50 −0.858 0.060 0.424 0.377~0.477 < 0.001
 N1 X51 −0.220 0.071 0.803 0.699~0.922 0.002
NELNs (as dummy variables) X6
 N ≤ 6 1.0
 6<N ≤ 12 X61 −0.121 0.058 0.886 0.790~0.993 0.038
 N>12 X62 −0.046 0.059 0.956 0.852~1.072 0.438
NPLNs (as dummy variables) X7
 N = 0 1.0
 1 ≤ N ≤ 3 X71 0.698 0.054 2.009 1.808~2.234 < 0.001
 N ≥ 4 X72 0.862 0.074 2.367 2.046~2.739 < 0.001
Surgery type (as dummy variables) X8
 SLET 1.0
 LET X81 −0.242 0.086 0.785 0.664~0.929 0.005
 PET X82 0.088 0.109 1.092 0.882~1.353 0.420
Primary site (as dummy variables) X9
 Others X90 −0.239 0.160 0.788 0.576~1.078 0.136
 UL X91 −0.114 0.052 0.892 0.806~0.987 0.028
 ML X92 −0.273 0.114 0.761 0.609~0.952 0.017
Histological grade (as dummy variables) X10
 I 1.0
 II X101 0.551 0.096 1.736 1.437~2.097 < 0.001
 III X102 0.834 0.095 2.301 1.909~2.775 < 0.001
 IV X103 0.998 0.161 2.712 1.977~3.722 < 0.001
Histology (as dummy variables) X11
 Others 1.0
 AC X111 0.197 0.063 1.217 1.076~1.377 0.002
 S X112 0.379 0.068 1.462 1.280~1.669 < 0.001
 ASC X113 0.588 0.134 1.801 1.385~2.342 < 0.001
 BAA X114 −0.304 0.156 0.738 0.543~1.002 0.051
Marital status (as dummy variables) X12
 Others X120 −0.057 0.216 0.945 0.618~1.444 0.793
 Single (never married) X121 −0.258 0.092 0.773 0.645~0.926 0.005
 Married X122 −0.286 0.066 0.751 0.660~0.855 < 0.001
 Divorced X123 −0.290 0.090 0.749 0.627~0.894 0.001
Tumor extensiona (as dummy variables) X13
 T1a ss 1.0
 T2 Visc PI X131 0.114 0.082 1.121 0.954~1.317 0.166
 T2 Centr X132 0.353 0.085 1.424 1.206~1.680 < 0.001
 T3 Inv X133 0.809 0.196 2.247 1.529~3.300 < 0.001
 T3 Satell X134 0.514 0.092 1.672 1.395~2.002 < 0.001
Tumor sizea (as dummy variables) X14
 T1a ≤ 1(T ≤ 1) 1.0
 T1b>1–2(1<T ≤ 2) X141 0.016 0.172 1.016 0.725~1.425 0.927
 T1c>2–3(2<T ≤ 3) X142 0.361 0.169 1.434 1.030~1.997 0.033
 T2a>3–4(3<T ≤ 4) X143 0.584 0.170 1.793 1.286~2.501 0.001
 T2b>4–5(4<T ≤ 5) X144 0.585 0.174 1.794 1.276~2.523 0.001
 T3>5–7(5<T ≤ 7) X145 0.664 0.174 1.943 1.382~2.732 < 0.001

Abbreviations: B Regression coefficient, SE Standard error, RR Relative risk, CI Confidence interval, NELNs Number of examined regional lymph nodes, NPLNs Number of positive regional lymph nodes, SLET Sublobectomy, LET Lobectomy, PET Pneumonectomy, UL Upper lobe, ML Middle lobe, LL Lower lobe, I Well differentiated, II Moderately differentiated, III Poorly differentiated, IV Undifferentiated, AC Adenocarcinoma, S Squamous carcinoma, ASC Adenosquamous carcinoma, BAA Bronchioalveolar adenocarcinoma

a According to the eighth edition AJCC/UICC stage classification for NSCLC.

Multivariate analysis of prognostic factors

By multivariate analysis of prognostic factors, the results of which are shown in Table 3, gender, age, N1 stage, NELNs (6<N ≤ 12, N>12), NPLN (1 ≤ N ≤ 3, N ≥ 4), lobectomy (LET), primary site (UL, ML), histological grade (II, III, IV), histology (AC, S, ASC), marital status (married, divorced), tumor extension (T3 Inv, T3 Satell), and tumor size (T2a>3–4(3<T ≤ 4), T2b>4–5(4<T ≤ 5), T3>5–7(5<T ≤ 7)) were identified as independent prognostic factors.

Table 3.

Multivariate analysis of the Cox proportional hazard regression model of resected T1-3N0 − 2 M0 NSCLC

Factors Variates b SE RR 95%CI P
Gender X1 0.379 0.053 1.460 1.317~1.620 < 0.001
Age X2 −0.403 0.054 0.668 0.601~0.743 < 0.001
N stage 0.001
 N0 X50 −0.372 0.195 0.689 0.470~1.010 0.056
 N1 X51 −0.267 0.075 0.766 0.661~0.886 < 0.001
NELNs < 0.001
 6<N ≤ 12 X61 −0.167 0.060 0.846 0.751~0.952 0.006
 N>12 X62 −0.298 0.064 0.742 0.655~0.841 < 0.001
NPLNs 0.003
 1 ≤ N ≤ 3 X71 0.460 0.197 1.583 1.077~2.328 0.019
 N ≥ 4 X72 0.617 0.203 1.854 1.245~2.762 0.002
Surgery type 0.001
 LET X81 −0.344 0.090 0.709 0.595~0.845 < 0.001
 PET X82 −0.245 0.127 0.783 0.611~1.003 0.053
Primary site 0.035
 Others X90 −0.308 0.172 0.735 0.525~1.029 0.073
 UL X91 −0.105 0.053 0.900 0.811~0.999 0.047
 ML X92 −0.243 0.116 0.784 0.625~0.983 0.035
Histological grade < 0.001
 II X101 0.305 0.100 1.356 1.114~1.651 0.002
 III X102 0.508 0.101 1.663 1.364~2.027 < 0.001
 IV X103 0.754 0.167 2.126 1.532~2.950 < 0.001
Histology 0.011
 AC X111 0.143 0.066 1.153 1.013~1.313 0.031
 S X112 0.170 0.073 1.186 1.028~1.368 0.019
 ASC X113 0.434 0.137 1.544 1.181~2.019 0.001
 BAA X114 −0.030 0.160 0.970 0.709~1.328 0.851
Marital status < 0.001
 Others X120 0.016 0.221 1.016 0.659~1.566 0.944
 Single (never married) X121 −0.133 0.098 0.875 0.723~1.060 0.172
 Married X122 −0.327 0.071 0.721 0.628~0.829 < 0.001
 Divorced X123 −0.247 0.094 0.781 0.650~0.938 0.008
Tumor extensiona < 0.001
 T2 Visc PI X131 −0.115 0.087 0.892 0.752~1.056 0.185
 T2 Centr X132 0.025 0.092 1.025 0.856~1.229 0.786
 T3 Inv X133 0.517 0.204 1.678 1.125~2.500 0.011
 T3 Satell X134 0.340 0.095 1.405 1.167~1.692 < 0.001
Tumor sizea < 0.001
 T1b>1–2(1<T ≤ 2) X141 0.025 0.174 1.025 0.729~1.442 0.886
 T1c>2–3(2<T ≤ 3) X142 0.260 0.171 1.297 1.927~1.815 0.129
 T2a>3–4(3<T ≤ 4) X143 0.457 0.174 1.580 1.122~2.223 0.009
 T2b>4–5(4<T ≤ 5) X144 0.419 0.179 1.520 1.069~2.161 0.020
 T3>5–7(5<T ≤ 7) X145 0.407 0.180 1.502 1.055~2.140 0.024

Abbreviations: b Regression coefficient, SE Standard error, RR Relative risk, CI Confidence interval, NELNs Number of examined regional lymph nodes, NPLNs Number of positive regional lymph nodes, LET Lobectomy, PET Pneumonectomy, UL Upper lobe, ML Middle lobe, II Moderately differentiated, III Poorly differentiated, IV Undifferentiated, AC Adenocarcinoma, S Squamous carcinoma, ASC Adenosquamous carcinoma, BAA Bronchioalveolar adenocarcinoma

a According to the eighth edition AJCC/UICC stage classification for NSCLC

The tree model analysis

The tree model analysis method was used to rank the importance of each variable for prediction. The results are shown in Table 4. The third column is standardized importance. The first 12 variables were selected into the model, which was consistent with the Cox regression results.

Table 4.

The importance of each variable for prediction

Variable Importance Standard importance
Tumor extension 0.045 100.0%
N stage 0.016 35.5%
NPLNs 0.015 33.1%
Histology 0.007 15.4%
Surgery type 0.007 14.9%
Age 0.005 11.5%
Gender 0.005 10.6%
Histological grade 0.004 9.8%
Primary site 0.002 4.9%
Marital status 0.002 3.6%
NELNs 0.001 2.8%
Tumor size 0.001 2.2%
Race 0.001 1.4%
Laterality 0.000 1.0%

Abbreviations: NPLNs Number of positive regional lymph nodes, NELNs Number of examined regional lymph nodes, CRT Classification regression tree

Method: CRT

Y: survival status

a According to the eighth edition AJCC/UICC stage classification for NSCLC

Prognostic risk model construction and software development

Using the Cox proportional hazard regression model, we obtained the PI equation, PI = ∑βixi.

=0.379X1–0.403X2–0.267X51–0.167X61–0.298X62 + 0.460X71 + 0.617X72–0.344X81–0.105X91–0.243X92 + 0.305X101 + 0.508X102 + 0.754X103 + 0.143X111 + 0.170X112 + 0.434X113–0.327X122–0.247X123 + 0.517X133 + 0.340X134 + 0.457X143 + 0.419X144 + 0.407X145. Using the PI equation, we obtained the PI value of every patient. As shown in Table 5, we obtained PI ranges for the training and test sets. According to the quantile of the PI value, we divided patients in the training and test sets into three risk groups. The three risk groups were divided based on the PI values as follow: 0~50%, 50~90%, and 90 + %. The quantiles are divided into low-, intermediary-, and high-risk groups. We obtained three risk groups and their corresponding mean and median survival times and 1–5-year survival rates of the training and test sets (Tables 6 and 7, respectively). Using K-M curves and log-rank tests, we found that, from the low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups, the survival rates of the training and test sets were worse stepwise (P<0.001) (Fig. 2). Through the test set verification, the model effect is good.

Table 5.

PI ranges of the training and test sets

PI-train PI-test
20% −0.37 −0.35
40% −0.03 − 0.05
50% 0.11 0.09
60% 0.26 0.23
80% 0.58 0.55
90% 0.79 0.78

Table 6.

(training-set) Three risk groups and their corresponding mean and median survival times and 1–5-year survival rates

Groups PI ranges Survival time (months) Survival rates (%)
Mean Median 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year
Low risk PI≤0.11 90.16 115.0 94.1 87.0 79.0 73.5 68.2
Intermediate risk 0.11<PI<0.79 63.86 47.0 83.9 69.3 58.9 49.1 43.8
High risk PI≥0.79 42.93 24.0 68.6 49.7 41.6 32.6 26.8

Table 7.

(test-set) Three risk groups and their corresponding mean and median survival times and 1–5-years survival rates

Groups PI ranges Survival time (months) Survival rates (%)
Mean Median 1 year 2 year 3 year 4 year 5 year
Low risk PI≤0.09 86.80 105.00 93.8 86.2 78.4 72.1 68.7
Intermediate risk 0.09<PI<0.78 63.09 51.00 84.5 69.9 60.0 51.2 45.9
High risk PI≥0.78 40.55 22.00 70.6 47.3 33.9 26.8 25.1

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Kaplan-Meier survival curve of PI ranges

We developed a software named RNSCLC-PRSP to predict the prognostic risk and survival of patients with resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC.

Discussion

We have invented a novel tool to predict the prognosis of patients with resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC. We determined the independent risk factors and obtained prognostic risk models and risk groups and their corresponding survival times. This paper highlights that comprehensive and further refined analysis that is capable with the incorporation of clinical pathological factors to predict prognosis of resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC.

To access the program, clinicians can enter the url http://www.rnsclcpps.com in a browse to reach the login screen of the software. At the bottom of interface is a brief introduction of the software and an explanation of the relevant abbreviations. Above the interface is the login box. New users can click the button of register on the login box to register. After successful registration, users can click the button to return to the login, enter the username and password, click the button to login and enter the software interface. The first line of interface is titled Prognostic risk and survival prediction software RNSCLC-PRSP for resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC (according to the eighth edition AJCC/UICC stage classification). Operational tips (notes) are located under the title, under the note is an explanation of the relevant abbreviations, and there are alternative options located under the abbreviations. According to the note and explanation of abbreviations, clinicians first need to determine the clinicopathological characteristics of patients. Taking a resected T1-3N0–2M0 (according to the eighth edition of AJCC/UICC stage classification) non-small cell lung cancer patient as an example, the clinicopathological characteristics of a representative patient were gender (man), age (≤65), N stage (N0), NELNs (N>12) ,NPLNs (N ≥ 4) ,surgery type (LET) ,primary site (UL) ,histological grade (III) ,histology (S) ,marital status (married) ,tumor extension (T3 Inv) ,tumor size (T2b>4–5(4<T ≤ 5)). For these clinicopathological characteristics, clinicians can choose the appropriate response for each factor. If there are no corresponding options, clinicians should choose none and then click the button to submit their entry, and the prognostic risk and survival prediction results will be shown on the next page. Here are the prognostic and prediction results for the representative patients: high-risk group, PI value is PI≥0.79, mean and median survival time are 42.93 and 24.0 months respectively, and the 1–5 year survival rates are 68.6, 49.7, 41.6, 32.6, 26.8% respectively.

The RNSCLC-PRSP software we have developed is based on the actual needs of clinicians predicting the prognosis of patients with resected NSCLC. Clinicians are very busy in clinical work; meanwhile, the prognosis of resected NSCLC patients is affected by many factors. There is no more time for clinicians to evaluate every factor to obtain a more accurate prognosis. We provide quantitative and relative analysis software, and clinicians can conveniently and swiftly get every patient’s prognostic risk and survival calculated accurately just by choosing some of the clinicopathological features. The RNSCLC-PRSP software would be gladly accepted by clinicians. At present, there have been no relative prognostic predictive software programs for resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC. Pilotto S et al. developed clinicopathological prognostic nomograms for resected squamous cell lung cancer, Based on clinicopathological factors including age, T descriptor (according to the seventh edition of the TNM classification), lymph node status, and grading in the model. Every patient was assigned a prognostic score [28]. Francesco Guerrera et al. designed a prognostic model predicting 5-year survival after surgical resection for stage I non-small cell lung cancer based on clinical, pathological and surgical covariates [25]. Compared to the above two tools, our software analysis includes more clinicopathological features and more detail for more patients with resected non-small cell lung cancer and our novel software is more convenient and practical for clinicians.

Although we have established predictive software using relative prognostic factors, we may need to analyze more clinicopathological factors to improve the software. Thus, further research will be conducted. The potential valuable prognostic prediction factors such as smoking status, performance status, comorbidity, molecular biological factors, biochemical and biomarker test results, lung function, tumor vascular or lymphatic invasion, surgical method (minimally invasive or open), and surgery margins, were not able to be determined or researched in more recent database. However, with the expansion of databases, further research will be carried out, and our software can be updated and improved to provide better service.

Conclusions

Using the SEER database and the Cox proportional hazard model, we identified the independent prognostic factors and corresponding PI value of patients with resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC. According to different PI ranges, three prognostic risk groups (the low-, intermediate-, high-risk groups) were determined, and their corresponding survival times were obtained. We developed the RNSCLC-PRSP software for clinicians to conveniently and practically predict the prognosis of patients with resected T1-3N0–2M0 NSCLC to guide further treatment. We have shown that the software we have developed opens a new predictive method in this field.

Availability and requirements

Project name: My bioinformatics project.

Project home page: http://www.rnsclcpps.com

Operating system(s): Platform independent.

Programming language: Java.

Other requirements: no.

License: no.

Any restrictions to use by non-academics: no.

Additional file

Additional file 1: (41.7KB, docx)

Table S1. Variable codes and assignment methods of Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis of resected T1-3N0-2 M0 NSCLC. (DOCX 22 kb)

Acknowledgments

We thank Rongsheng Zhang and Yujie Zhang, Shanxi Tumor Hospital, for collecting and assembling the data; and YaoChen Li, The central laboratory of Cancer Hospital of Shantou University Medical College, for data analysis and interpretation and revision of the manuscript; and the SEER program tumor registries for their efforts to create the SEER database.

Abbreviations

AC

Adenocarcinoma

AJCC

American Joint Committee on Cancer

ASC

Adenosquamous carcinoma

ATS

American Thoracic Society

B

Regression coefficient

BAA

Bronchioalveolar adenocarcinoma

CI

Confidence interval

DFS

Disease free survive

ERS

European Respiratory Society

I

Well differentiated

IASLC

International Association for the Study of Lung Cancer

II

Moderately differentiated

III

Poorly differentiated

IV

Undifferentiated

LET

Lobectomy

LL

Lower lobe

ML

Middle lobe

NELNs

Number of examined regional lymph nodes

NPLNs

Number of positive regional lymph nodes

NSCLC

Non-small cell lung cancer

OS

Overall survival

PD-L1

Programmed cell death protein 1 ligand

PET

Pneumonectomy

PI

Prognosis Index

RR

Relative risk

S

Squamous carcinoma

SE

Standard error

SEER

The Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results

SLET

Sublobectomy

TNM

Tumor Node Metastasis

UICC

Union for International Cancer Control

UL

Upper lobe

Authors’ contributions

Conception and design: YZ; HM. Collection and assembly of data: YZ; RZ; YZ. Data analysis and interpretation: YZ; YCL; HM. Writing, review, and/or revision of the manuscript: All authors. Final approval of manuscript: All authors. Accountable for all aspects of the work: All authors. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.

Funding

Not applicable.

Availability of data and materials

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.

Ethics approval and consent to participate

The ethics committee of the first affiliated hospital of Soochow University approved this study.

Consent for publication

We provide consent for publication.

Competing interests

The authors declare that they have no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s Note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Contributor Information

Yunkui Zhang, Email: zhangyunkui0308@163.com.

YaoChen Li, Email: yaochenli-2004@163.com.

Rongsheng Zhang, Email: zhangrongsheng6304@163.com.

Yujie Zhang, Email: zhangyujie19833@163.com.

Haitao Ma, Email: mahaitao7403@163.com.

References

  • 1.Torre LA, Siegel RL, Jemal A. Lung Cancer statistics. Adv Exp Med Biol. 2016;893:1–19. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-24223-1_1. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Goldstraw P, Chansky K, Crowley J, Rami-Porta R, Asamura H, Eberhardt WE, et al. The IASLC lung Cancer staging project: proposals for revision of the TNM stage groupings in the forthcoming (eighth) edition of the TNM classification for lung Cancer. J Thorac Oncol. 2016;11(1):39–51. doi: 10.1016/j.jtho.2015.09.009. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Woodard GA, Jones KD, Jablons DM. Lung Cancer staging and prognosis. Cancer Treat Res. 2016;170:47–75. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-40389-2_3. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4.Yu WS, Lee CY, Park SY, Suh JW, Narm KS, Kim DJ, et al. Prognostic factors for resected non-small cell lung cancer in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. J Surg Oncol. 2018;117(5):985–993. doi: 10.1002/jso.24989. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Cho S, Kim K, Jheon S. Characteristics and prognostic factors of node-negative non-small cell lung cancer larger than 5 cm. Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg. 2017;25(3):448–454. doi: 10.1093/icvts/ivx120. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 6.Berezowska S, Galvan JA, Langer R, Bubendorf L, Savic S, Gugger M, et al. Glycine decarboxylase and HIF-1alpha expression are negative prognostic factors in primary resected early-stage non-small cell lung cancer. Virchows Archiv Int J Pathol. 2017;470(3):323–330. doi: 10.1007/s00428-016-2057-z. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 7.Hsieh CP, Hsieh MJ, Wu CF, Fu JY, Liu YH, Wu YC, et al. Prognostic factors in non-small cell lung cancer patients who received neoadjuvant therapy and curative resection. J Thorac Dis. 2016;8(7):1477–1486. doi: 10.21037/jtd.2016.05.57. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 8.Yoshida Y, Murayama T, Sato Y, Suzuki Y, Saito H, Nomura Y. Gender differences in long-term survival after surgery for non-small cell lung Cancer. Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2016;64(6):507–514. doi: 10.1055/s-0035-1558995. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 9.Bugge A, Kongerud J, Brunborg C, Solberg S, Lund MB. Gender-specific survival after surgical resection for early stage non-small cell lung cancer. Acta Oncol. 2017;56(3):448–454. doi: 10.1080/0284186X.2016.1253862. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 10.Xia W, Wang A, Jin M, Mao Q, Xia W, Dong G, et al. Young age increases risk for lymph node positivity but decreases risk for non-small cell lung cancer death. Cancer Manag Res. 2018;10:41–48. doi: 10.2147/CMAR.S152017. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 11.Eguchi T, Bains S, Lee MC, Tan KS, Hristov B, Buitrago DH, et al. Impact of increasing age on cause-specific mortality and morbidity in patients with stage I non-small-cell lung Cancer: a competing risks analysis. J Clin Oncol. 2017;35(3):281–290. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2016.69.0834. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 12.Liang W, He J, Shen Y, Shen J, He Q, Zhang J, et al. Impact of examined lymph node count on precise staging and long-term survival of resected non-small-cell lung Cancer: a population study of the US SEER database and a Chinese multi-institutional registry. J Clin Oncol. 2017;35(11):1162–1170. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2016.67.5140. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 13.Ding N, Pang Z, Zhang X, Huang C, Yang Y, Liu Q, et al. Prognostic and predictive effects of positive lymph node number or ratio in NSCLC. Sci Rep. 2017;7(1):584. doi: 10.1038/s41598-017-00619-5. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Fukui T, Mori S, Yokoi K, Mitsudomi T. Significance of the number of positive lymph nodes in resected non-small cell lung Cancer. J Thorac Oncol. 2006;1(2):120–125. doi: 10.1097/01243894-200602000-00004. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 15.Sun F, Ma K, Yang X, Li M, Shi Y, Zhan C, et al. A nomogram to predict prognosis after surgery in early stage non-small cell lung cancer in elderly patients. Int J Surg. 2017;42:11–16. doi: 10.1016/j.ijsu.2017.04.024. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 16.Takahashi Y, Horio H, Hato T, Harada M, Matsutani N, Kawamura M. Predictors of post-recurrence survival in patients with non-small-cell lung cancer initially completely resected. Interact Cardiovasc Thorac Surg. 2015;21(1):14–20. doi: 10.1093/icvts/ivv085. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 17.Riquet M, Mordant P, Pricopi C, Legras A, Foucault C, Dujon A, et al. A review of 250 ten-year survivors after pneumonectomy for non-small-cell lung cancer. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 2014;45(5):876–881. doi: 10.1093/ejcts/ezt494. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 18.Lin CY, Wu YM, Hsieh MH, Wang CW, Wu CY, Chen YJ, et al. Prognostic implication of EGFR gene mutations and histological classification in patients with resected stage I lung adenocarcinoma. PLoS One. 2017;12(10):e0186567. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0186567. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 19.Wu Y, Ai Z, Xu G. Marital status and survival in patients with non-small cell lung cancer: an analysis of 70006 patients in the SEER database. Oncotarget. 2017;8:103518–103534. doi: 10.18632/oncotarget.21568. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 20.Bergman P, Brodin D, Lewensohn R, de Petris L. Validation of the 7th TNM classification for non-small cell lung cancer: a retrospective analysis on prognostic implications for operated node-negative cases. Acta Oncol. 2013;52(6):1189–1194. doi: 10.3109/0284186X.2012.742960. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 21.Jin Y, Chen M, Yu X. Comparison of the 7th and proposed 8th editions of the AJCC/UICC TNM staging system for non-small cell lung cancer undergoing radical surgery. Sci Rep. 2016;6(1):1–6. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
  • 22.Chen K, Chen H, Yang F, Sui X, Li X, Wang J. Validation of the eighth edition of the TNM staging system for lung Cancer in 2043 surgically treated patients with non-small-cell lung Cancer. Clin Lung Cancer. 2017;18(6):e457–ee66. doi: 10.1016/j.cllc.2017.04.001. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 23.Wu J, Zhou L, Huang L, Gu J, Li S, Liu B, et al. Nomogram integrating gene expression signatures with clinicopathological features to predict survival in operable NSCLC: a pooled analysis of 2164 patients. J Exp Clin Cancer Res. 2017;36(1):1–14. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]
  • 24.Lopez-Encuentra A, Lopez-Rios F, Conde E, Garcia-Lujan R, Suarez-Gauthier A, Manes N, et al. Composite anatomical-clinical-molecular prognostic model in non-small cell lung cancer. Eur Respir J. 2011;37(1):136–142. doi: 10.1183/09031936.00028610. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 25.Guerrera F, Errico L, Evangelista A, Filosso PL, Ruffini E, Lisi E, et al. Exploring stage I non-small-cell lung cancer: development of a prognostic model predicting 5-year survival after surgical resectiondagger. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg. 2015;47(6):1037–1043. doi: 10.1093/ejcts/ezu410. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 26.Birim O, Kappetein AP, Waleboer M, Puvimanasinghe JP, Eijkemans MJ, Steyerberg EW, et al. Long-term survival after non-small cell lung cancer surgery: development and validation of a prognostic model with a preoperative and postoperative mode. J Thorac Cardiovasc Surg. 2006;132(3):491–498. doi: 10.1016/j.jtcvs.2006.04.010. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 27.Tanvetyanon T, Finley DJ, Fabian T, Riquet M, Voltolini L, Kocaturk C, et al. Prognostic nomogram to predict survival after surgery for synchronous multiple lung cancers in multiple lobes. J Thorac Oncol. 2015;10(2):338–345. doi: 10.1097/JTO.0000000000000400. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 28.Pilotto S, Sperduti I, Leuzzi G, Chiappetta M, Mucilli F, Ratto GB, et al. Prognostic model for resected squamous cell lung Cancer: external multicenter validation and propensity score analysis exploring the impact of adjuvant and neoadjuvant treatment. J Thorac Oncol. 2018;13(4):568–575. doi: 10.1016/j.jtho.2017.12.003. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Additional file 1: (41.7KB, docx)

Table S1. Variable codes and assignment methods of Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis of resected T1-3N0-2 M0 NSCLC. (DOCX 22 kb)

Data Availability Statement

The datasets used and/or analyzed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.


Articles from BioData Mining are provided here courtesy of BMC

RESOURCES