Abstract
In people with Type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality. Thus, as well as controlling glucose, reducing the risk of cardiovascular events is a key goal. The results of cardiovascular outcome trials have led to updates for many national and international guidelines. England, Wales and Northern Ireland remain exceptions, with the most recent update to the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) guidelines published in 2015. We reviewed current national and international guidelines and recommendations on the management of people with Type 2 diabetes. This article shares our consensus on clinical recommendations for the use of sodium‐glucose co‐transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT‐2is) and glucagon‐like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP‐1RAs) in people with Type 2 diabetes and established or at very high risk of cardiovascular disease in the UK. We also consider cost‐effectiveness for these therapies. We recommend considering each person's cardiovascular risk and using diabetes therapies with proven cardiovascular benefits when appropriate to improve long‐term outcomes and cost‐effectiveness.
What's new?
Following positive cardiovascular outcome trial results, many national and international guidelines on the management of people with Type 2 diabetes have been updated for those also at high risk of cardiovascular disease. However, not all countries have updated their guidelines, notably England, Wales and Northern Ireland.
This review shares a consensus on clinical recommendations for use of glucagon‐like peptide 1 receptor agonists and sodium–glucose co‐transporter 2 inhibitors in people with Type 2 diabetes.
Although some countries have not yet updated their guidelines, we recommend consideration of each person's cardiovascular risk when selecting their diabetes therapy, to improve long‐term outcomes and cost‐effectiveness.
What's new?
Following positive cardiovascular outcome trial results, many national and international guidelines on the management of people with Type 2 diabetes have been updated for those also at high risk of cardiovascular disease. However, not all countries have updated their guidelines, notably England, Wales and Northern Ireland.
This review shares a consensus on clinical recommendations for use of glucagon‐like peptide 1 receptor agonists and sodium–glucose co‐transporter 2 inhibitors in people with Type 2 diabetes.
Although some countries have not yet updated their guidelines, we recommend consideration of each person's cardiovascular risk when selecting their diabetes therapy, to improve long‐term outcomes and cost‐effectiveness.
Introduction
The prevalence of Type 2 diabetes is rising rapidly in the UK and across the world, in part due to the increasing prevalence of obesity and the ageing population 1, 2. In people with Type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease remains the leading cause of morbidity and mortality 3. Once cardiovascular disease is present in a person with Type 2 diabetes, the risk of all‐cause mortality is increased threefold and the risk of cardiovascular death is increased fivefold 4. Thus, in addition to controlling glucose, reducing the risk of cardiovascular events is a key goal in the management of people with Type 2 diabetes. Before the establishment of cardiovascular disease, treatment should aim to reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease developing; whereas, once it occurs, the goal needs to be limiting its progression and reducing the risk of further adverse cardiovascular events. Attaining good glycaemic control, by whatever means, is important within the first 5 years after diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes, and prior to the onset of micro‐ or macrovascular disease, because this decreases the risk of cardiovascular events 5. However, prior to 2008, no individual anti‐hyperglycaemic agent had demonstrated a benefit with regard to cardiovascular events beyond 5 years within a clinical trial setting 5.
As a result of safety concerns raised with the peroxisome proliferator‐activated receptor gamma agonist rosiglitazone 6, the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) published a Guidance for Industry document requiring evidence of the cardiovascular safety of new anti‐hyperglycaemic agents 7. Since then, data from several cardiovascular outcome trials of dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitors (DPP‐4is) 8, 9, 10, 11, sodium–glucose co‐transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT‐2is) 12, 13, 14, 15 and glucagon‐like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP‐1RAs) 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22 have been published (Table 1). To date, all these trials have met their primary endpoint of non‐inferiority compared with placebo with respect to the composite cardiovascular endpoint of cardiovascular mortality, non‐fatal myocardial infarction and stroke [3‐point major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE)] or 4‐point MACE, including hospitalization for unstable angina (Table 1). Trials of two SGLT‐2is (EMPA‐REG 15 with empagliflozin and CANVAS 12 with canagliflozin) and three GLP‐1RAs (LEADER 20 with liraglutide, HARMONY Outcomes 16 with albiglutide and REWIND 17 with dulaglutide) have demonstrated the superiority of these drugs compared with standard of care (including targeted glycaemic equipoise) for reducing the risk of MACE. Additionally, a post hoc analysis of the SUSTAIN 6 22 trial demonstrated the superiority of the GLP‐1RA semaglutide to placebo, and results from DECLARE‐TIMI 58 demonstrated that dapagliflozin was non‐inferior compared with placebo with regard to incidence of MACE, but significantly reduced rates of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure 24. In this review, we provide an overview of current national and international guidelines and recommendations for the management of people with Type 2 diabetes at high risk of cardiovascular disease, and share our consensus (from an endocrinology, cardiology and stroke perspective) on clinical recommendations and decision‐making for these people in the UK.
Table 1.
Cardiovascular outcome trials of anti‐hyperglycaemic agents
| Drug | Trial | Cardiovascularoutcome trial | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Number randomized | Treatment interventions | Primary endpoint | Primary outcome | ||
| DPP‐4is | |||||
| Alogliptin | EXAMINE 8 NCT00968708 | 5380 | 25, 12.5 or 6.25 mg OD (depending on eGFR) alogliptin vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Non‐inferiority demonstrated HR 0.96, 95% CI 1.16a |
| Linagliptin | CAROLINA 9 NCT01243424 | 6051 | Linagliptin 5 mg OD vs. glimepiride 1–4 mg OD | 4‐point MACE | (Trial ongoing) |
| CARMELINA 23 NCT01897532 | 6979 | Linagliptin OD vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Non‐inferiority demonstrated HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.17 | |
| Saxagliptin | SAVOR‐TIMI‐53 10 NCT01107886 | 16 492 | 5 mg OD (2.5 mg if eGFR < 50 ml/min) saxagliptin vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Non‐inferiority demonstrated HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.12 |
| Sitagliptin | TECOS 11 NCT00790205 | 14 671 | 100 mg OD (50 mg if eGFR ≥30 to >50 ml/min 1.73 m2) sitagliptin vs. placebo | 4‐point MACE | Non‐inferiority demonstrated HR 0.98, 95% CI 0.88 to 1.09 |
| Vildagliptin | No ongoing trial | n/a | n/a | n/a | n/a |
| SGLT‐2is | |||||
| Canagliflozin | CANVAS 12 NCT01032629 | 10 142 | 100 mg OD canagliflozin vs. 300 mg OD canagliflozin vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Superiority demonstrated HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.75 to 0.97 |
| CREDENCE 13 NCT02065791 | 4401 | 100 mg OD canagliflozin vs. placebo | Composite endpoint of end‐stage kidney disease, doubling serum creatinine, and renal or CV death | Superiority demonstrated HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.59 to 0.82 | |
| Dapagliflozin | DECLARE‐TIMI 58 14, 24 NCT01730534 | 17 160 | 10 mg OD dapagliflozin vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE; also CV death or hospitalisation for heart failure | Non‐inferiority demonstrated Upper boundary of the 95% CI <1.3; P < 0.001 (Superiority demonstrated for co‐primary endpoint of CV mortality and hospitalisations due to heart failure [HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.73 to 0.95]) |
| Ertugliflozin | VERTIS CV 25 NCT01986881 | 8246 | 5 mg OD ertugliflozin vs. 15 mg OD ertugliflozin vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | (Trial ongoing) |
| Empagliflozin | EMPA‐REG 15 NCT01131676 | 7028 | 10 or 25 mg empagliflozin OD vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Superiority demonstrated HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.74 to 0.99 |
| GLP‐1RAs | |||||
| Albiglutideb | HARMONY Outcomes 16 NCT01522651 | 9463 | 30–50 mg OW albiglutide vs. placebo | Composite endpoint of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction or stroke | Superiority demonstrated HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.90 |
| Dulaglutide | REWIND 26 NCT01394952 | 9901 | 1.5 mg OW dulaglutide vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Superiority demonstrated (press release) HR not reported |
| Exenatide | EXSCEL 18 NCT01144338 | 14 752 | 2 mg OW exenatide vs. placebo | Composite endpoint of cardiovascular death, non‐fatal myocardial infarction or non‐fatal stroke | Non‐inferiority demonstrated HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.83 to 1.00 |
| ITCA 650 | FREEDOM‐CVO 19 NCT01455857 | Not reported | 60 mcg/day ITCA 650 vs. placebo | 4‐point MACE | Non‐inferiority demonstrated (press release) HR not reported |
| Liraglutide | LEADER 20 NCT01179048 | 9340 | 1.8 mg liraglutide OD vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Superiority demonstrated HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.78 to 0.97 |
| Lixisenatide | ELIXA 21 NCT01147250 | 6068 | 10 μg (titrated up to 20 μg) OD lixisenatide vs. placebo | 4‐point MACE | Non‐inferiority demonstrated HR 1.02, 95% CI 0.89 to 1.17 |
| Semaglutide | SUSTAIN 6 (pre‐approval) 22 NCT01720446 | 3297 | (OW injection) 0.5 or 1.0 mg semaglutide vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Non‐inferiority demonstrated HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.95 (superiority demonstrated post hoc analysis) |
| PIONEER 6 (oral semaglutide) 27 NCT02692716 | 3183 | Oral semaglutide OD vs. placebo | 3‐point MACE | Non‐inferiority demonstrated (press release) HR 0.79 | |
Upper boundary of the one‐sided repeated confidence interval, at an alpha level of 0.01.
Albiglutide is not currently available in the UK.
BID, twice daily; CI, confidence interval; DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; HR, hazard ratio; MACE, major adverse cardiovascular events; OD, once daily; OW, once weekly; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitor.
Recent updates to diabetes treatment guidelines and recommendations
Since publication of EMPA‐REG 15, CANVAS 12, LEADER 20 and SUSTAIN 6 22, a number of national and international guidelines and recommendations for the management of Type 2 diabetes have been updated to include cardiovascular risk reduction as a key consideration, and specifically the use of anti‐hyperglycaemic agents that have demonstrated cardiovascular protection in those with Type 2 diabetes (Table S1). Indeed, some have explicitly named empagliflozin and liraglutide as appropriate choices for the management of people with Type 2 diabetes at high risk for cardiovascular disease 28, 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, 36, 37, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44, 45, 46, 47.
Recent updates to international guidelines and recommendations
Several major international guidelines and recommendations on the management of Type 2 diabetes specifically cite EMPA‐REG 15, CANVAS 12, LEADER 20 and SUSTAIN 6 22, and recommend a hierarchical approach to drug selection dependent on the strength of this evidence 3, 48, 49, 50. The updated joint American Diabetes Association (ADA) and European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD) consensus statement emphasizes a stratification of people based on the presence of pre‐existing atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease before considering which additional glucose‐lowering agent to add as dual therapy (following metformin failure) 51. In those with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, the ADA/EASD recommend the use of a SGLT‐2i (with a preference for empagliflozin) for those with a diagnosis of congestive cardiac failure or chronic kidney disease, or a GLP‐1RA (with a preference for liraglutide or semaglutide) for those with atherosclerotic disease, as these agents have been shown to reduce cardiovascular death and all‐cause mortality (except semaglutide) when added to standard care 51.
Diabetes treatment guidelines in the UK
In 2015, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE) of England (also followed in Wales and Northern Ireland) set up a ‘standing update committee for diabetes’ to enable faster updates of discrete areas of the guidelines when new and relevant data are published. Since then, a number of minor amendments have been made, including the addition of SGLT‐2is to the initial drug treatment section 52. However, as yet, no individual SGLT‐2i has been recommended, and there is no mention of reducing cardiovascular risk in the algorithm. Similarly, guidelines relating to GLP‐1RAs have not yet been updated, and they remain restricted to settings when triple oral therapy is not effective, not tolerated or contraindicated, and only if the person has a BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2 (adjusted accordingly for ethnic groups), cannot tolerate insulin or weight loss would benefit other significant obesity‐related comorbidities 52. Moreover, the algorithm has no mention of the use of GLP‐1RAs in people who cannot be treated with metformin.
Consensus treatment recommendations for people with Type 2 diabetes
Therapy choices based on efficacy
Lifestyle interventions are a key part of Type 2 diabetes management and should be considered concurrently with pharmacotherapy 52. Unless contraindicated, metformin remains the mainstay of first‐line drug therapy in all people with Type 2 diabetes. We then recommend assessing cardiovascular disease risk to guide further therapy (Fig. 1).
Figure 1.

Initial therapy selection. Order does not denote any specific preference. *Metformin to be continued unless no longer tolerated. †Individuals are considered a high risk if they have a history of cardiovascular disease or at least one risk factor (see Table S2 for further details). DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; eGFR, estimated glomerular filtration rate; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose co‐transporter‐2 inhibitor; SU, sulphonylurea; TZD, thiazolidinedione.
For those with established cardiovascular disease, use of empagliflozin, canagliflozin, liraglutide or semaglutide is recommended (based on recent cardiovascular outcome trials data and in keeping with updated national and international guidelines; Fig. 1). The specific drug choice may be further guided by the individual's cardiovascular history and comorbidities. Given their favourable results in reducing hospitalization for heart failure, empagliflozin and canagliflozin are a key consideration for those with heart failure, although the licences do not allow for initiation if eGFR is < 60 ml/min 1.73 m2 12, 15, 53, 54. Empagliflozin and canagliflozin should be discontinued when eGFR is persistently below 45 ml/ min 1.73 m2 53, 54.
Significant reductions in MACE were reported with canagliflozin 12 and empagliflozin 15, and a numerical reduction with dapagliflozin 24. However, notably, people with pre‐existing cardiovascular disease should be made aware of the increased risk of lower leg amputations associated with canagliflozin 12, 54, although no significant increase was seen in the CREDENCE study 13. A non‐significant increase in risk of stroke was reported with empagliflozin despite a reduction in blood pressure 15, and dapagliflozin should be discussed before treatment in people with a history of stroke 55.
Liraglutide or semaglutide are recommended for people with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease or stroke (or a cardiovascular risk factor and eGFR ≤ 45 ml/ min 1.73 m2; Fig. 1), although the use of semaglutide should be cautioned in those with active diabetic retinopathy, due to an increased risk of retinopathy events found in SUSTAIN 6 22, 56. In LEADER, there was no significant difference in the risk of diabetic retinopathy associated with liraglutide vs. placebo 20. If further treatment intensification is required to achieve glycaemic control, additional drugs (from another class) with proven cardiovascular safety are recommended, consistent with recent international recommendations 51. Of interest will be the full results from REWIND, available June 2019, which evaluated dulaglutide in people with Type 2 diabetes, 69% of whom did not have a prior cardiovascular event at baseline. In this event‐driven study, the press release stated that dulaglutide significantly reduced the risk of cardiovascular events 17. Careful consideration of these data (once published) will be required when considering future guidelines to determine whether there was an effect on primary prevention, or whether the result was driven by the events occurring predominantly in the 31% with prior cardiovascular disease 17.
For people without confirmed cardiovascular disease, cardiovascular risk factor modification is still important (including smoking cessation, hypertension management, and lipid‐lowering and anti‐platelet medication). The specific glucose‐lowering drug or drug combination choice is best guided by individual factors, including consideration of weight and risk of hypoglycaemia (Fig. 1). Unlike the results from EMPA‐REG for empagliflozin, the DECLARE‐TIMI 58 trial did not achieve a reduction in 3‐point MACE with dapagliflozin vs. placebo 24. This dapagliflozin trial, however, showed a significant reduction in the co‐primary outcome of cardiovascular mortality and hospitalizations due to heart failure, which were numerically similar in those with established disease and in the primary prevention population. Therefore, dapagliflozin may be considered for those without established cardiovascular disease but who are at high risk for heart failure with an eGFR ≥ 60 ml/min 1.73 m2.
Of note, the mean eGFR of participants in DECLARE‐TIMI 58 (85.2 ml/min 1.73 m2) 24, was higher than in EMPA‐REG (74.1 ml/min 1.73 m2) 15 and CANVAS (76.5 ml/min 1.73 m2) 12. This differential in renal function and the observed differences in cardiovascular and mortality outcomes raise important questions around the mechanism of action of these drugs, in terms of cardiovascular effects as well as their optimal therapeutic positioning.
Furthermore, the results of the CREDENCE study, which evaluated the renovascular outcomes associated with canagliflozin in people with Type 2 diabetes and chronic kidney disease, also require careful consideration. The study was discontinued early due to efficacy and outcome benefits in favour of canagliflozin, and future guidelines therefore need to take the trial results into consideration 13.
Therapy choices based on cost‐effectiveness analyses
Cost‐effectiveness analyses may be an additional consideration when choosing therapy. Assessments by NICE show that most SGLT‐2is and GLP‐1RAs are cost‐effective at reducing hyperglycaemia with incremental cost‐effectiveness ratios (ICERs) below the commonly accepted £20 000–30 000/quality‐adjusted life‐year (QALY) threshold (Table 2). An early analysis concluded that liraglutide 1.2 mg was cost‐effective but there was uncertainty regarding the 1.8 mg dose 61; however, this has been superseded by new analyses in health technology assessments conducted as part of the NICE Type 2 diabetes clinical guidelines published in 2015 (and updated in 2017) 52, which make positive recommendations for GLP‐1RAs as a drug class.
Table 2.
Cost‐effectiveness of all sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitors and glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonists assessed by National Institute for Health and Care Excellence
| Drug | Most likely cost‐effectiveness estimate (as an ICER) |
|---|---|
| SGLT‐2is | |
| Canagliflozin | The committee concluded that the minor differences in costs and QALYs between canagliflozin (100 and 300 mg) and its key comparators showed that canagliflozin was a cost‐effective use of NHS resources as dual therapy in combination with metformin, triple therapy in combination with metformin and either a sulphonylurea or a thiazolidinedione, and as an add‐on treatment to insulin 57. |
| Dapagliflozin |
|
| Ertugliflozin | ICER not yet available. |
| Empagliflozin | The committee concluded that the minor differences in costs and QALYs between empagliflozin (10 and 25 mg) and its key comparators showed that empagliflozin was a cost‐effective use of NHS resources as dual therapy in combination with metformin, triple therapy in combination with metformin and either a sulphonylurea or a thiazolidinedione, and as an add‐on treatment to insulin 59. |
| GLP‐1RAs | |
| Dulaglutide | ICER not yet available. |
| Exenatide | The committee noted that the ICERs presented in the manufacturer's submission were not specific to the place of weekly prolonged‐release exenatide in triple‐ and dual‐therapy regimens. The committee did, however, consider on the basis of the ICERs presented in the manufacturer's submission, that weekly prolonged‐release exenatide is likely to be cost‐effective when used in the same place in the treatment pathway as twice‐daily exenatide and liraglutide 1.2 mg were currently recommended 60. |
| Liraglutide |
|
| Lixisenatide | ICER not yet available. |
| Semaglutide | ICER not yet available. |
DPP‐4i, dipeptidyl peptidase‐4 inhibitor; DSU, decision support unit; GLP‐1RA, glucagon‐like peptide‐1 receptor agonist; ICER, incremental cost‐effectiveness ratio; NICE, UK National Institute for Health and Care Excellence; NHS, UK National Health Service; NG28, NICE guideline 28; QALY, quality‐adjusted life‐year; SGLT‐2i, sodium‐glucose cotransporter‐2 inhibitor.
Empagliflozin and canagliflozin have both demonstrated cost‐effectiveness vs. comparators in the UK 62, 63, 64. Several studies of liraglutide in the UK have also concluded cost‐effectiveness, despite increased acquisition cost, due to reduction in diabetes‐related complications 65, 66, 67. However, cost‐effectiveness analyses evaluate drugs as glucose‐lowering entities, and modelling is therefore based on traditional risk equations 68, 69, 70, 71, which do not capture potential cardiovascular benefits 72. Further analyses are now required to ensure that the additional benefit of reducing cardiovascular events is captured in cost‐effectiveness evaluations in people with Type 2 diabetes, based on results from the respective cardiovascular outcome trials, and to incorporate these into updated ICER estimates.
The accepted technique for evaluating potential additional benefits beyond glycaemic control is termed marginal‐effects analysis. This approach incorporates not just the traditional risk equation of improved glucose management, but also a fixed effect for reduction in cardiovascular events by implementing treatment strategies based around empagliflozin, canagliflozin, liraglutide or semaglutide in populations reflected by the study data. Evaluation of how the observed event rate reductions in the respective trials affect healthcare resources and hospital bed occupancy is also necessary. This may be a more comprehensive way of looking at how implementing the strategies of cardiovascular outcome trials, impact on the budget and healthcare system compares with the more typically employed number‐needed‐to‐treat analysis. These economic analyses will no doubt form the basis of future NICE technology appraisals and a guideline update. Meanwhile, we believe National Health Service (NHS) formularies should consider these international guidance updates to achieve earlier clinical and economic benefits or be rapidly responsive when NICE also evaluates these data. With an ever‐growing diabetes and cardiovascular disease population, it is important make these therapies available without delaying for NICE updates, where the data are compelling.
Conclusions
Many people with Type 2 diabetes also have, or are at high risk of, concomitant cardiovascular disease and control of cardiovascular events remains a key goal for managing outcomes. Given highly favourable results of cardiovascular outcome trials, many national and international guidelines and recommendations, including the consensus statement from the ADA and EASD, have been updated to include these results and therefore optimize treatment approaches. Although, in England, Wales and Northern Ireland, NICE postponed updating recommendations for SGLT‐2i and GLP‐1RA classes as some trials are still ongoing, the current evidence base of these agents has been evaluated by international guidelines groups recognizing their benefits. We therefore recommend evaluating individual's cardiovascular risk factors before escalating diabetes therapy and considering anti‐hyperglycaemics with proven cardiovascular benefit, to improve long‐term outcomes, and reduce unplanned health resource use additionally. Formularies wishing to reduce the burden of care of diabetes should consider these latest guidelines as soon as possible to enable clinicians to maximize diabetes treatment.
Funding sources
This article was funded by Novo Nordisk, which also had a role in reviewing the manuscript for medical accuracy.
Competing interests
SCB reported research grants (includes principal investigator, collaborator, or consultant and pending grants as well as grants already received) from Healthcare and Research Wales (Welsh Government) and Novo Nordisk; other research and infrastructure support from Healthcare and Research Wales (Welsh Government); honoraria from Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Lilly, Boehringer Ingelheim and Merck; ownership interest in Gycosmedia (diabetes online news service). AB has received fees from Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Pfizer, BMS, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Sanofi, Janssen, Otsuka, Takeda, Roche and Amgen for educational meetings, advisory boards and supporting clinical trial design, registry studies and health‐economic modeling. ME has received consulting and speaking honoraria from Boehringer Ingelheim, Napp, Novartis, Novo Nordisk and Takeda. IM had received speaking honoraria from AstraZeneca, Boehringer Ingelheim and Novo Nordisk. WDS has received research grants from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Novartis, Novo Nordisk and Takeda, and speaker and/or advisory board honoraria from AstraZeneca, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol‐Myers Squibb, Eli Lilly, Janssen, Merck, Mundi‐Pharma, Napp, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, Pfizer, Sanofi Aventis, Servier and Takeda.
Supporting information
Table S1. International and selected national guideline updates or recommendations since the publication of cardiovascular outcome trials.
Table S2. Definitions of high risk cardiovascular events according to trial.
Acknowledgements
Medical writing and submission support were provided by Melanie Francis, MSc, Izabel James, MBBS, and Helen Marshall, BA, of Watermeadow Medical, an Ashfield company, part of UDG Healthcare plc, funded by Novo Nordisk. WDS would like to acknowledge the support of the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Exeter Clinical Research Facility and the NIHR Biomedical Research Centre scheme. The views expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the UK National Health Service, the NIHR or the Department of Health. All authors conceived of the concept for the review and contributed equally to the first draft. Subsequent drafts were reviewed equally and approved by all authors.
Diabet. Med. 36: 1063–1071(2019)
References
- 1. Holman N, Young B, Gadsby R. Current prevalence of Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes in adults and children in the UK. Diabet Med 2015; 32: 1119–1120. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2. International Diabetes Federation . IDF Diabetes Atlas. Available at https://diabetesatlas.org/resources/2017-atlas.html Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 3. American Diabetes Association . 9. Cardiovascular Disease and Risk Management: Standards of Medical Care in Diabetes–2018. Diabetes Care 2018; 41(Suppl 1): S86–S104. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4. Beckman JA, Paneni F, Cosentino F, Creager MA. Diabetes and vascular disease: pathophysiology, clinical consequences, and medical therapy: part II. Eur Heart J 2013; 34: 2444–2452. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5. Turnbull FM, Abraira C, Anderson RJ, Byington RP, Chalmers JP, Duckworth WC et al Intensive glucose control and macrovascular outcomes in type 2 diabetes. Diabetologia 2009; 52: 2288–2298. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6. Nissen SE, Wolski K. Effect of rosiglitazone on the risk of myocardial infarction and death from cardiovascular causes. N Engl J Med 2007; 356: 2457–2471. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7. FDA . Guidance for Industry: Diabetes Mellitus — Evaluating Cardiovascular Risk in New Antidiabetic Therapies to Treat Type 2 Diabetes. Available at www.fda.gov/downloads/Drugs/GuidanceComplianceRegulatoryInformation/Guidances/ucm071627.pdf Last accessed 11 January 2017.
- 8. White WB, Cannon CP, Heller SR, Nissen SE, Bergenstal RM, Bakris GL et al Alogliptin after acute coronary syndrome in patients with type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2013; 369: 1327–1335. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9. Marx N, Rosenstock J, Kahn SE, Zinman B, Kastelein JJ, Lachin JM et al Design and baseline characteristics of the CARdiovascular Outcome Trial of LINAgliptin Versus Glimepiride in Type 2 Diabetes (CAROLINA®). Diab Vasc Dis Res 2015; 12: 164–174. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10. Scirica BM, Bhatt DL, Braunwald E, Steg PG, Davidson J, Hirshberg B et al Saxagliptin and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. N Engl J Med 2013; 369: 1317–1326. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11. Green JB, Bethel MA, Armstrong PW, Buse JB, Engel SS, Garg J et al Effect of Sitagliptin on cardiovascular outcomes in Type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2015; 373: 232–242. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12. Neal B, Perkovic V, Mahaffey KW, de Zeeuw D, Fulcher G, Erondu N et al Canagliflozin and cardiovascular and renal events in Type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2017; 377: 644–657. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13. Perkovic V, Jardine MJ, Neal B, Bompoint S, Heerspink HJL, Charytan DM et al; CREDENCE Trial Investigators . Canagliflozin and renal outcomes in Type 2 diabetes and nephropathy. N Engl J Med 2019; 380: 2295–2306. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14. Raz I, Mosenzon O, Bonaca MP, Cahn A, Kato ET, Silverman MG et al DECLARE‐TIMI 58: participants’ baseline characteristics. Diabetes Obes Metab 2018; 20: 1102–1110. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15. Zinman B, Wanner C, Lachin JM, Fitchett D, Bluhmki E, Hantel S et al Empagliflozin, cardiovascular outcomes, and mortality in Type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2015; 373: 2117–2128. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 16. Hernandez AF, Green JB, Janmohamed S, D'Agostino RB, Sr. , Granger CB, Harmony Jones NP et al Outcomes committees and investigators . Albiglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease (Harmony Outcomes): a double‐blind, randomised placebo‐controlled trial. Lancet 2018; 392: 1519–1529. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 17. Eli Lilly . REWIND Trial Demonstrates MACE Reduction By Trulicity – Quick Facts. 2018. Available at: https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/eli-lilly-rewind-trial-demonstrates-mace-reduction-by-trulicity-quick-facts-1027690457Last accessed 04 June 2019
- 18. Holman RR, Bethel MA, Mentz RJ, Thompson VP, Lokhnygina Y, Buse JB et al Effects of once‐weekly exenatide on cardiovascular outcomes in Type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2017; 377: 1228–1239. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19. Intarcia Therapeutics Inc . Intarcia Announces Successful Cardiovascular Safety Results in Phase 3 FREEDOM‐CVO Trial for ITCA 650, an Investigational Therapy for Type 2 Diabetes. 2016 Available at: https://www.intarcia.com/media/media-archive/press-releases/intarcia-announces-successful-cardiovascular-safety-results-in-p.html Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 20. Marso SP, Daniels GH, Brown‐Frandsen K, Kristensen P, Mann JF, Nauck MA et al Liraglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in Type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 311–322. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 21. Pfeffer MA, Claggett B, Diaz R, Dickstein K, Gerstein HC, Køber LV et al Lixisenatide in patients with Type 2 diabetes and acute coronary syndrome. N Engl J Med 2015; 373: 2247–2257. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 22. Marso SP, Bain SC, Consoli A, Eliaschewitz FG, Jodar E, Leiter LA et al Semaglutide and cardiovascular outcomes in patients with Type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2016; 375: 1834–1844. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23. McGuire DK, Alexander JH, Johansen OE, Perkovic V, Rosenstock J, Cooper ME et al Linagliptin effects on heart failure and related outcomes in individuals with Type 2 diabetes mellitus at high cardiovascular and renal risk in CARMELINA. Circulation 2019; 139: 351–361. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24. Wiviott SD, Raz I, Bonaca MP, Mosenzon O, Kato ET, Cahn A et al Dapagliflozin and cardiovascular outcomes in Type 2 diabetes. N Engl J Med 2019; 380: 1881–1882. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25. Cannon CP, McGuire DK, Pratley R, Dagogo‐Jack S, Mancuso J, Huyck S et al Design and baseline characteristics of the eValuation of ERTugliflozin effIcacy and Safety CardioVascular outcomes trial (VERTIS‐CV). Am Heart J 2018; 206: 11–23. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 26. Eli Lilly and Company. Trulicity (Dulaglutide) Demonstrates Superiority in Reduction of Cardiovascular Events for Broad Range of People With Type 2 Diabetes. 2008. Available at: https://investor.lilly.com/news-releases/news-release-details/trulicityr-dulaglutide-demonstrates-superiority-reduction Last accessed 04 June 2019
- 27. Eli Lilly and Company. Novo Nordisk . Oral Semaglutide Demonstrates a Favourable Cardiovascular Safety Profile and a Significant Reduction in Cardiovascular Death and All‐Cause Mortality in People with Type 2 Diabetes in the PIONEER 6 Trial. 2018. Available at:https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2018/11/23/1656109/0/en/Oral-semaglutide-demonstrates-favourable-cardiovascular-safety-profile-and-significant-reduction-in-cardiovascular-death-and-all-cause-mortality-in-people-with-type-2-diabetes-in-t.htmlLast accessed 04 June 2019
- 28. Bosnia Herzegovina Endocrinology Association Guidelines. Available at http://endo.ba/bih/images/SMJERNICE%20ZA%20TRETMAN%20DIABETES%20MELLITUSA_ENDO.pdf Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 29. Bulgarian Society of Endocrinology . Good Clinical Practice Guideline on Diabetes Mellitus 2016. Available at http://www.endo-bg.com Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 30. Croatian Association for Endocrinology and Diabetology. Available at http://www.hded.com.hr/files/smjernice-za-dm-hded.pdf Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 31. Czech Diabetes Society. Available at http://www.diab.cz/en/guidelines Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 32. Danish Health Authority . Pharmacological Glucose Lowering Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes. Available at https://www.sst.dk/da/rationel-farmakoterapi/rekommandationsliste/oversigt/endokrinologi/~/media/2DC92E02C4DF4C89AA9842889EE9E24B.ashx Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 33. Finnish Medical Society Duodecim. Available at https://www.kaypahoito.fi/hoi50056 Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 34. Hellenic Diabetes Federation. Available at http://www.elodi.org/ Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 35. Hungarian Diabetes Association. Available a http://www.diabet.hu/upload/diabetes/magazine/dh.2017.1.pdf?web_xml:id=2017 Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 36. Italian Society of Diabetes . Italian Guidelines for the Treatment of Diabetes Mellitus 2018. Available at http://www.siditalia.it/clinica/standard-di-cura-amd-sid Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 37. Latvian Diabetes Association. Available at http://www.diabets-asoc.lv Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 38. Norwegian Diabetes Association. Available at https://helsedirektoratet.no/retningslinjer/diabetes Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 39. Polish Diabetology Association. Available at https://cukrzyca.info.pl/ Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 40. Scottish Intercollegiate Guidelines Network. Available at https://www.sign.ac.uk/assets/sign116.pdf Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 41. Slovakian Diabetes Society. Available at http://www.diaslovakia.sk/ Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 42. Slovenian Endocrine Society. Available at http://endodiab.si/priporocila/smernice-za-vodenje-sladkorne-bolezni/ Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 43. Societe Francophone du Diabete. Available at https://www.sfdiabete.org/ Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 44. Society of Endocrinology and Metabolism of Turkey. Available at www.temd.org.tr Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 45. Spanish Society of Cardiology and Diabetic Nephropathy Group of the Spanish Society of Renal Diseases. Tratamiento de la DM2 en Prevencion Secundaria. 2017. Available at https://secardiologia.es/images/grupos-trabajo/diabetes/tratamiento-dm2-prevencion-secundaria.pdf Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 46. Swedish Diabetes Association. Available at http://www.diabetes.se Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 47. Swiss Society of Endocrinology and Diabetology. Available at http://www.sgedssed.ch/informationen-fuer-fachpersonen/richtlinien-guidelines/ Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 48. International Diabetes Federation . IDF Clinical Practice Recommendations for managing Type 2 Diabetes in Primary Care. Available at https://www.idf.org/e-library/guidelines.html Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 49. Niessner A, Tamargo J, Koller L, Saely CH, Schmidt TA, Savarese G et al Non‐insulin antidiabetic pharmacotherapy in patients with established cardiovascular disease: a position paper of the European Society of Cardiology Working Group on Cardiovascular Pharmacotherapy. Eur Heart J 2018; 39: 2274–2281. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 50. Schnell O, Standl E, Catrinoiu D, Genovese S, Lalic N, Skra J et al Report from the 2nd Cardiovascular Outcome Trial (CVOT) Summit of the Diabetes and Cardiovascular Disease (D&CVD) EASD Study Group. Cardiovasc Diabetol 2017; 16: 35. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 51. Davies MJ, D'Alessio DA, Fradkin J, Kernan WN, Mathieu C, Mingrone G et al Management of hyperglycemia in Type 2 diabetes, 2018. A Consensus Report by the American Diabetes Association (ADA) and the European Association for the Study of Diabetes (EASD). Diabetes Care 2018; 41: 2669–2701. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 52. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence . Type 2 Diabetes in Adults: Management. NG28. Available at https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ng28 Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 53. Boehringer Ingelheim . Empagliflozin (Jardiance) Summary of Product Characteristics. 2017. Available at: https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/documents/product-information/jardiance-epar-product-information_en.pdf Last accessed 04 June 2019
- 54. Janssen . Canagliflozin (Invokana) Summary of Product Characteristics. 2016. Available at: https://www.ema.europa.eu/en/documents/product-information/invokana-epar-product-information_en.pdf Last accessed 04 June 2019
- 55. AstraZeneca UK . Forxiga (Dapagliflozin) Patient Information Leaflet. Available at: https://www.medicines.org.uk/emc/product/2865/pil Last accessed 04 June 2019
- 56. Novo Nordisk . Semaglutide (Ozempic) Summary of Product Characteristics. 2018. Available at: https://www.medicines.org.uk/emc/product/9728/smpc Last accessed 04 June 2019
- 57. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence . Canagliflozin in Combination Therapy For Treating Type 2 Diabetes. Available at https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ta315/documents/diabetes-type-2-canagliflozin-fad-document2. Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 58. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence . Dapagliflozin in Combination Therapy for Treating Type 2 Diabetes. Available at https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ta288/documents/diabetes-type-2-dapagliflozin-final-appraisal-determination-document2 Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 59. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence . Empagliflozin in Combination Therapy for Treating Type 2 Diabetes. Available at https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ta336/documents/diabetes-type-2-empagliflozin-id641-final-appraisal-determination-document2 Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 60. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence . Exenatide Prolonged‐Release Suspension for Injection in Combination with Oral Antidiabetic Therapy for the Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes. Available at https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ta248/documents/diabetes-type-2-exenatide-prolonged-release-final-appraisal-determination-document2 Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 61. National Institute for Health and Care Excellence . Liraglutide for the Treatment of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus. Available at https://www.nice.org.uk/guidance/ta203/documents/diabetes-liraglutide-final-appraisal-determination3 Last accessed 04 June 2019.
- 62. Aguiar‐Ibanez R, Palencia R, Kandaswamy P, Li L. Cost‐effectiveness of empagliflozin (jardiance(r)) 10 mg and 25 mg administered as an add‐on to metformin compared to other sodium‐glucose co‐transporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2is) for patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in the UK. Value Health 2014; 17: A350–A351. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 63. Schroeder M, Johansen P, Thompson G, Willis M, Neslusan C. The cost‐effectiveness of canagliflozin (CANA) versus dapagliflozin (DAPA) in patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) with inadequate control on metformin (MET) monotherapy in the United Kingdom. Value Health 2014; 17: A344. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 64. Schroeder M, Johansen P, Willis M, Neslusan C. The cost‐effectiveness of canagliflozin (CANA) versus dapagliflozin (Dapa) 10 mg and empagliflozin (EMPA) 25 mg in patients with Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) as monotherapy in the United Kingdom. Value Health 2015; 18: A607. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 65. Barnett AH, Arnoldini S, Hunt B, Subramanian G, Hoxer CS. Switching from sitagliptin to liraglutide to manage patients with type 2 diabetes in the UK: a long‐term cost‐effectiveness analysis. Diabetes Obes Metab 2018; 20: 1921–1927. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 66. Hunt B, Vega‐Hernandez G, Valentine WJ, Kragh N. Evaluation of the long‐term cost‐effectiveness of liraglutide vs lixisenatide for treatment of type 2 diabetes mellitus in the UK setting. Diabetes Obes Metab 2017; 19: 842–849. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 67. Hunt B, Ye Q, Valentine WJ, Ashley D. Evaluating the long‐term cost‐effectiveness of daily administered GLP‐1 receptor agonists for the treatment of Type 2 diabetes in the United Kingdom. Diabetes Ther 2017; 8: 129–147. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 68. Hayes AJ, Leal J, Gray AM, Holman RR, Clarke PM. UKPDS outcomes model 2: a new version of a model to simulate lifetime health outcomes of patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus using data from the 30 year United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study: UKPDS 82. Diabetologia 2013; 56: 1925–1933. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 69. Palmer AJ, Roze S, Valentine WJ, Minshall ME, Foos V, Lurati FM et al The CORE Diabetes Model: projecting long‐term clinical outcomes, costs and costeffectiveness of interventions in diabetes mellitus (Types 1 and 2) to support clinical and reimbursement decision‐making. Curr Med Res Opin 2004; 20(Suppl. 1): S5–S26. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 70. Willis M, Johansen P, Nilsson A, Asseburg C. Validation of the economic and health outcomes model of Type 2 diabetes mellitus (ECHO‐T2DM). PharmacoEconomics 2017; 35: 375–396. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 71. Clarke PM, Gray AM, Briggs A, Farmer AJ, Fenn P, Stevens RJ et al A model to estimate the lifetime health outcomes of patients with type 2 diabetes: the United Kingdom Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Outcomes Model (UKPDS no. 68). Diabetologia 2004; 47: 1747–1759. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 72. Evans M, Johansen P, Vrazic H. Incorporating Cardioprotective Effects of Once‐Weekly Semaglutide in Estimates of Health Benefits for Patients with Type 2 Diabetes. Orlando, FL: American Diabetes Association, 2018. [Google Scholar]
Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Table S1. International and selected national guideline updates or recommendations since the publication of cardiovascular outcome trials.
Table S2. Definitions of high risk cardiovascular events according to trial.
