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. 2019 Nov 1;5(10):e02692. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2019.e02692

Table 2.

CART model forecasting results.

Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun July Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Avg
1-day a-head MBE -14.49 32.23 0.94 -32.59 22.21 16.57 -12.21 17.23 70.92 37.01 11.65 -12.56 11.41
RMSE 51.79 117.69 97.35 121.56 123.02 62.51 114.84 73.58 136.76 111.81 59.93 45.63 93.04
MAE 29.77 76.22 59.58 73.15 76.57 43.06 68.26 46.29 77.57 69.93 28.71 25.74 56.24
2-day a-head MBE -16.81 31.38 17.63 -16.78 -12.09 18.34 22.71 -37.75 46.75 21.49 29.51 -15.13 7.44
RMSE 66.25 69.93 84.80 98.14 154.35 80.71 135.07 111.17 108.20 67.06 83.58 59.63 93.24
MAE 35.37 41.61 51.59 58.87 93.62 54.52 69.76 65.11 61.39 46.78 46.78 31.83 54.77
3-day a-head MBE -11.79 21.04 -5.54 5.72 -50.33 19.25 -1.16 -27.45 36.14 28.10 24.20 -10.61 2.3
RMSE 60.23 54.50 100.58 95.04 159.28 81.38 118.60 102.13 94.88 94.85 74.39 54.21 90.84
MAE 33.21 35.12 64.15 58.60 95.68 55.50 61.46 60.54 54.52 58.33 43.31 29.89 54.19
4-day a-head MBE 11.12 34.66 -13.36 9.08 -10.62 36.40 -2.96 -20.46 38.96 27.74 23.54 4.11 11.52
RMSE 67.51 93.00 72.30 106.36 139.89 81.88 99.97 96.83 100.84 109.14 71.32 75.90 92.91
MAE 40.83 59.97 45.73 65.59 81.36 56.77 59.97 58.56 58.56 67.37 43.06 45.42 56.93
5-day a-head MBE -21.96 41.89 -14.14 14.82 -31.67 24.71 2.33 -3.27 14.94 27.11 19.04 -19.76 4.5
RMSE 107.64 100.11 68.69 104.13 135.60 84.00 92.21 103.36 98.32 60.78 86.66 96.88 94.87
MAE 55.02 66.55 43.09 66.22 76.20 57.93 54.84 63.10 57.14 38.68 49.00 49.52 56.44
6-day a-head MBE -16.74 39.17 -46.56 17.75 -20.64 35.96 -4.91 -2.00 9.95 23.15 16.70 -15.06 3.06
RMSE 112.93 107.71 120.36 103.74 128.06 83.65 108.68 104.24 116.94 59.95 99.14 101.63 103.92
MAE 64.30 74.28 84.96 67.29 72.63 56.59 59.85 61.29 67.15 38.63 54.93 57.87 63.31