Table 4.
Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | July | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | Avg | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1-day a-head | MBE | -9.20 | 12.20 | -6.10 | -21.44 | 39.02 | -9.17 | 17.55 | 28.84 | 13.92 | 27.80 | 12.53 | -6.66 | 8.27 |
RMSE | 24.46 | 26.50 | 93.98 | 118.01 | 104.65 | 34.00 | 117.46 | 59.28 | 58.67 | 48.83 | 46.30 | 22.47 | 62.88 | |
MAE | 15.74 | 16.90 | 59.97 | 54.92 | 67.69 | 25.47 | 66.26 | 32.61 | 32.26 | 29.57 | 27.42 | 14.42 | 36.94 | |
2-day a-head | MBE | -23.13 | 20.25 | 17.72 | -16.06 | 16.36 | 2.54 | 21.19 | -30.02 | -9.04 | 7.45 | -1.92 | -20.11 | -1.23 |
RMSE | 55.12 | 40.27 | 91.04 | 90.73 | 120.04 | 31.16 | 112.95 | 92.01 | 56.75 | 16.12 | 40.69 | 49.91 | 66.4 | |
MAE | 28.14 | 26.01 | 61.28 | 41.92 | 73.50 | 21.91 | 60.48 | 50.53 | 35.16 | 9.84 | 27.31 | 25.43 | 38.46 | |
3-day a-head | MBE | -18.97 | 22.64 | 4.96 | -6.61 | -22.97 | 11.84 | 4.71 | -39.51 | -7.80 | 7.01 | 0.04 | -16.78 | -5.12 |
RMSE | 53.25 | 44.80 | 81.63 | 76.05 | 133.85 | 48.16 | 94.67 | 93.76 | 52.76 | 16.62 | 39.06 | 46.32 | 65.08 | |
MAE | 30.51 | 27.55 | 54.59 | 35.38 | 82.85 | 29.35 | 51.59 | 54.40 | 33.95 | 9.70 | 27.06 | 26.97 | 38.66 | |
4-day a-head | MBE | 0.95 | 28.55 | -3.89 | -0.21 | -0.80 | 21.73 | -25.55 | -30.40 | -1.51 | 11.51 | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.11 |
RMSE | 24.82 | 52.92 | 29.25 | 69.21 | 121.94 | 64.79 | 95.63 | 83.82 | 65.74 | 26.62 | 35.67 | 54.19 | 60.38 | |
MAE | 13.63 | 32.66 | 18.15 | 35.62 | 76.43 | 40.68 | 58.77 | 49.86 | 40.67 | 15.17 | 23.70 | 30.88 | 36.35 | |
5-day a-head | MBE | -38.45 | 34.55 | -4.58 | 8.42 | 6.19 | 20.91 | -23.42 | -23.43 | -4.44 | 20.56 | 2.20 | -34.45 | -3 |
RMSE | 104.26 | 64.72 | 27.13 | 68.60 | 118.39 | 67.24 | 88.75 | 87.07 | 62.89 | 39.20 | 49.76 | 93.80 | 72.65 | |
MAE | 60.31 | 41.01 | 16.54 | 39.29 | 75.72 | 43.25 | 55.04 | 53.90 | 40.18 | 22.65 | 32.81 | 54.21 | 44.58 | |
6-day a-head | MBE | -30.21 | 32.95 | -35.30 | 28.01 | 5.89 | 23.75 | -22.20 | -23.94 | -7.70 | 26.15 | -1.66 | -26.98 | -2.6 |
RMSE | 96.50 | 67.47 | 90.14 | 86.50 | 109.43 | 67.72 | 90.44 | 81.30 | 65.85 | 48.85 | 54.88 | 86.17 | 78.77 | |
MAE | 52.97 | 46.81 | 61.54 | 54.45 | 68.07 | 44.33 | 54.90 | 51.69 | 42.04 | 29.47 | 35.22 | 47.86 | 49.11 |