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Scientific Reports logoLink to Scientific Reports
. 2019 Dec 9;9:18610. doi: 10.1038/s41598-019-54575-3

Diagnostic performance of hematological discrimination indices to discriminate between βeta thalassemia trait and iron deficiency anemia and using cluster analysis: Introducing two new indices tested in Iranian population

Mina Jahangiri 1,2, Fakher Rahim 3,4,, Amal Saki Malehi 1,3
PMCID: PMC6901548  PMID: 31819078

Abstract

Although the discrimination between β-thalassemia trait (βTT) and Iron deficiency anemia (IDA) is important clinically, but it is challenging and normally difficult; so if a patient with IDA is diagnosed as βTT, then it is deprived of iron therapy. This study purpose was to evaluate the 26 different discriminating indices diagnostic function in patients with microcytic anemia by using accuracy measures, and also recommending two distinct new discriminating indices as well. In this study, 907 patients were enrolled with the ages over 18-year-old with either βTT or IDA. Twenty-six discrimination indices diagnostic performance presented in earlier studies, and two new indices were introduced in this study (CRUISE index and index26) in order to evaluate the differential between βTT and IDA by using accuracy measures. 537 (59%) patients with βTT (299 (56%) women, and 238 (44%) men), and also 370 (41%) patients with IDA (293 (79%) women, and 77 (21%) men) were participated in this study for evaluating the 28 discrimination indices diagnostic performance. Two new introduced indices (CRUISE index and index26) have better performance than some discrimination indices. Indices with the amount of AUC higher than 0.8 had very appropriate diagnostic accuracy in discrimination between βTT and IDA, and also CRUISE index has good diagnostic accuracy, too. The present study was also the first cluster analysis application in order to identify the homogeneous subgroups of different indices with similar diagnostic function. In addition, new indices that offered in this study have presented a relatively closed diagnostic performance by using cluster analysis for the different indices described in earlier studies. Thus, we suggest the using of cluster analysis in order to determine differential indices with similar diagnostic performances.

Subject terms: Experimental models of disease, Experimental models of disease, Experimental models of disease, Outcomes research, Outcomes research

Introduction

β-thalassemia trait (βTT) and iron deficiency anemia (IDA) are amongst the most regularly reported microcytic anemia disorders1,2. IDA is prevalent in developing countries, hence βTT is predominant in regions like the Mediterranean, the Middle East, and the South East37. However the discrimination between βTT and IDA is important clinically, but it is challenging and normally difficult, because both of the disorders are sometimes clinically and experimentally in the similar conditions810. Thus, if a patient with IDA is identified as βTT, then he is deprived of iron therapy. Considering that βTT does not need treatment, but the diagnosis of a patient with βTT, and IDA may cause attendant risk of birth of thalassemia major child in the pre-marriage genetic counseling1113. To effectively differentiate between these two hematologic disorders, in addition to counting blood cells (CBC), also time-consuming, and cost-effective tests are essential. Because the definitive diagnosis between βTT and IDA is confirmed by performing blood tests in order to measure the HbA2, serum iron, serum ferritin, transferrin saturation, and total iron binding capacity (TIBC), and in fact these parameters are typically considered as the gold standards for discriminating between these two hematologic disorders9,1418.

Because of the discriminating between these two disorders importance, and cost-effective and time-consuming tests in order to differentiate them, several discriminating indicators have been proposed in large-scale research for the rapid and inexpensive differentiation between these two common hematologic disorders since 1973. These indices are founded on the blood parameters obtained from automated cell counters of blood that traditionally derived parameters of Hb (Hemoglobin), Mean Corpuscular Volume (MCV), Mean Corpuscular Hemoglobin (MCH), Red Blood Cell Distribution Width (RDW), Mean Corpuscular Hemoglobin Concentration (MCHC), and Red Blood Cell Count (RBC)1941. Several studies have studied these indices diagnostic accuracy, which presented different results, as well as none of these indicators showed a sensitivity and specificity of 100%3,6,17,32,40,4256. Therefore, this study purpose was to evaluate the diagnostic function of 26 different discriminating indices in patients with microcytic anemia, by using accuracy measures, and proposing two distinct new discriminating indices for differentiation between βTT and IDA, as well.

Material and Methods

Population evaluated to develop the new index

In this study, a total of 907 patients aged over 18 years old diagnosed with IDA or βTT were selected to develop new discriminating indices. Hematological parameters like Hb (Hemoglobin), Mean Corpuscular Volume (MCV), Mean Corpuscular Hemoglobin (MCH), Red Blood Cell Distribution Width (RDW), Mean Corpuscular Hemoglobin Concentration (MCHC), and Red Blood Cell count (RBC) were measured by using Sysmex kx-21 automated hematology analyzer.

Inclusion criteria

In the IDA group, patients had hemoglobin (Hb) levels less than 12 and 13 g/dL for women and men, respectively. Mean corpuscular hemoglobin (MCH) and Mean corpuscular volume (MCV) were below 80 fL and 27 pg for both sexes, respectively, and for men, ferritin of <28 ng/mL was considered as IDA. In the βTT group, patients had a MCV value below 80 fL. Patients with HbA2 levels of >3.5% were considered as βTT carriers.

Exclusion criteria

For the IDA group, patients who had mutations associated with αTT (3.7, 4.2, 20.5, MED, SEA, THAI, FIL, and Hph) were excluded so, individuals presenting the two diseases simultaneously were not selected. For the βTT group, patients with αTT confirmed by presence of mutations in molecular analysis were excluded. All patients with malignancies or inflammatory/infectious diseases diagnosed based on clinical data and personal information obtained from medical records were also excluded.

Ethical consideration

This study was approved and supported by Ethical committee affiliated by the Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences (AJUMS), Ahvaz, Iran. A written informed consent was obtained before the enrollment. All methods were performed in accordance with the relevant guidelines and the institution regulations.

Development of the new index

26 discrimination indices of diagnostic performance proposed in the literature, and 2 new indices introduced in this study (CRUISE index and index26) were considered for evaluation of differences between βTT and IDA using accuracy measures like sensitivity, specificity, false positive and negative rate, positive and negative predictive value, Youden’s index, accuracy, positive and negative likelihood ratio, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and area under the curve (AUC).

Sensitivity(TruePositiveRate)=TruePositive(TruePositive+FalseNegative)
Specificity(TrueNegativeRate)=TrueNegative(TrueNegative+FalsePositive)

FalseNegativeRate=(1Sensitivity)

FalsePositiveRate=(1Specificity)

PositivePredictiveValue(PPV)=TruePositive(TruePositive+FalsePositive)
NegativePredictiveValue(NPV)=TrueNegative(TrueNegative+FalseNegative)

YoudensIndex=Sensitivity+Specificity1

Accuracy=(TrueNegative+TruePositive)(TrueNegative+TruePositive+FalsePositive+FalseNegative)
PositiveLikelihoodRatio(LR+)=Sensitivity(1Specificity)
NegativeLikelihoodRatio(LR)=1SensitivitySpecificity
DiagnosticOddsRatio(DOR)=PositiveLikelihoodRatioNegativeLikelihoodRatio

If a discrimination index had sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, Youden’s index and accuracy near to 1, then this discrimination index has better differential performance. Discrimination index with likelihood ratio of greater than 10, negative likelihood ratio with lower than 0.1 and high diagnostic odds ratio has a good diagnostic performance in differentiation between βTT and IDA57. Also, receiver operating characteristic (ROC)58 curve analysis was used to calculate the AUC, and compare the amount of AUC of discrimination indices. AUC with higher value indicates an overall good performance measure for each discrimination index. A perfect diagnostic discrimination index has an AUC equal to 1. Relationship between the AUC with the diagnostic accuracy is defined as: 0.9 < AUC < 1: excellent, 0.8 < AUC < 0.9: very good, 0.7 < AUC < 0.8: good, 0.6 < AUC < 0.7: sufficient, 0.5 < AUC < 0.6: bad, AUC < 0.5: index not useful57.

Herein, 2 new discriminating indices (CRUISE index and index26) were proposed for differentiating between βTT and IDA. CRUISE index was created using CRUISE tree algorithm59,60, and important normalized variables were used for evaluating coefficients of hematological parameters in calculation of this index. Index26 was created by pooling all indices except the Janel (11 T) index. Index26 was computed similar to Janel (11 T) index41, but index26 was calculated by combination of 26 indices (all indices except Janel (11 T) index). Janel (11 T) index was calculated by combining some indices (England and Fraser, RBC, Mentzer, Shine and Lal, Srivastava, Green and King, RDW, RDWI, Ricerca, Ehsani, and Sirdah). Optimum cut off for index26 was calculated using Youden’s index (indeed, optimum cutoff has maximum Youden’s index).

Also cluster analysis was used in order to extract homogeneous groups of discrimination indices with a similar diagnostic performance, according to stated accuracy measures for determining the each discrimination index diagnostic performance.

Cluster analysis is a technique for extracting observations homogeneous subgroups in a data set containing n samples and P predictor variables. Different algorithms are recommended for cluster analysis and some of this algorithms are known as hierarchical algorithms like single-linkage, complete-linkage, average-linkage, Ward’s method, and k-means non-hierarchical algorithm61. In this study, we proposed the cluster analysis application by using accuracy measures as predictor variables and it can be an applicable idea for determining differential indices with a similar performances. In former studies, these indices were compared only in subjective way, according to the accuracy measures like sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive value, positive and negative likelihood ratio, accuracy, Youden’s index and AUC3,6,17,32,40,42,56. We used hierarchical algorithm (complete-linkage), and also the optimal number of indices subgroups with a similar performances was selected by using the package of NbClust in R software. This package includes 30 appropriate measures for determining the subgroups optimal number. We selected the optimal number according to the majority role.

Validation of the CRUISE Index and Index26

To validate the CRUISE index and index26, a cross-sectional study was performed in a referral center (Boghrat clinical center) in Tehran, Iran. A total of 6103 out-patients were screened among which 907 cases with anemia were included in this study. Classification of patients regarding having IDA or βTT was carried out according to the WHO diagnostic criteria62. Among 907 patients with anemia, 370 of them were eligible to have IDA and 537 of them were eligible to have βTT (Fig. 1).

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Design of study used for the validation of the CRUISE index and index26. Hb: hemoglobin; MCV: mean corpuscular volume; MCH: mean corpuscular hemoglobin; IDA: iron deficiency anemia; βTT: βeta thalassemia trait.

Statistical analysis

Descriptive statistics such as the mean, the standard deviation (SD), the median, and interquartile range (IQR) were calculated for hematological parameters and also age variable. Mann–Whitney U test was used in order to compare the differences between two groups parameters (βTT and IDA), because of these parameters distributions were non-normal. Normality of data was evaluated by using Shapiro-Wilk test. Sex variable was tested by chi-square test for both of the βTT and IDA groups.

Data were analyzed using a free statistical software named R version 5.3.0. Package epiR in R was used in order to calculate accuracy measures with their 95% exact confidence interval. ROC curve analysis was completed by using the package of pROC. Also, the package of OptimalCutpoints was used in order to calculate new discrimination indices cut off values by using Youden’s index. Determining the clusters optimal number, or homogeneous groups of diagnostic discrimination indices with similar performances was completed by using the package of NbClust. P < 0.05 was considered significant statistical difference.

Result

537 (59%) patients with βTT (299 (56%) women and 238 (44%) men), and 370 (41%) patients with IDA (293 (79%) women, and 77 (21%) men) were participated in this research in order to evaluate the diagnostic performance of 28 discrimination indices (two of them are new indices like CRUISE index, and index26). Chi-square test pointed out that there is significant statistical association between sex and the disease groups (χ2(1) = 53.41, P < 0.001). Hematological parameters and age variable descriptive statistics of the study groups (βTT and IDA) are displayed in Table 1. According to information indicated in this table, we can concluded that all variables except HCT and RDW variables present significant difference amongst the groups (P < 0.001).

Table 1.

Descriptive statistics of hematological parameters and age variable of study groups (IDA and βTT).

βTT (n = 537) IDA (n = 370) P-value
Mean ± SD Median (IQR) Mean ± SD Median (IQR)
Age 21.98 ± 16.37 20 (24) 28.86 ± 14.58 27 (22.75) <0.001
MCV 62.17 ± 4.14 62 (5.4) 71.87 ± 6.93 72.2 (9.73) <0.001
MCH 19.75 1.45 .196 (1.8) 21.85 ± 2.99 21.9 (4.2) <0.001
MCHC 31.71 ± 1.48 31.84 (1.43) 30.40 ± 3.04 30.3 (2.71) <0.001
Hb 11.20 ± 1.41 11 (1.16) 10.82 ± 2.43 10.45 (2.62) <0.001
HCT 35.39 ± 4.73 34.6 (5.15) 35.53 ± 6.71 34 (7.65) 0.182
RDW 15.88  ± 1.43 15.7 (1.7) 16.04 ± 2.31 15.7 (3.32) 0.94
RBC 5.69 ± 0.67 5.61 (0.93) 4.91 ± 0.69 4.83 (0.83) <0.001
HbA2 5.09 ± 0.74 5 (1.1) 2.43 ± 0.63 2.4 (0.83) <0.001
Serum Iron 85.05 ± 32.96 86 (47) 25.66 ± 8.21 25 (13) <0.001
TIBC 346.35 ± 47.02 345 (54) 480 ± 25.77 466 (40) <0.001
Serum Ferritin 55.44 ± 56.64 38.9 (53.9) 4.52 ± 1.85 4.3 (2.3) <0.001

Discrimination indices with their cut off are shown in Table 2. The number of true positive and negative, false positive and negative, and total number of correctly identified patients (true positive + true negative) are displayed in Table 3 for each discrimination index. Table 4 indicates sensitivity, specificity, false positive and negative rate, and positive and negative predictive values for 28 discrimination indices, and also in Table 5 the rank of these discrimination indices according to accuracy measures is shown.

Table 2.

Discrimination indices for differential between βTT (n = 537) and IDA (n = 370) in patients with microcytic anemia.

Discriminant Formula Reference Calculation Cut–off βTT Cut–off IDA
England and Fraser (E&F) 19 MCV − RBC − (5 HB) − 3.4 <0 >0
RBC 20 RBC >5 <5
Mentzer 21 MCV/RBC <13 >13
Srivastava 22 MCH/RBC <3.8 >3.8
Shine and Lal (S&L) 23 MCV × MCH × 0/01 <1530 >1530
Bessman 24 RDW <14 >14
Ricerca 25 RDW/RBC <4.4 >4.4
Green and King (G&K) 26 (MCV2 × RDW)/(100 HB) <65 >65
Das Gupta 27 1.89 RBC − 0.33 RDW − 3.28 >0 <0
Jayabose (RDWI) 28 (MCV × RDW)/RBC <220 >220
Telmissani – MCHD 29 MCH/MCV <0.34 >0.34
Telmissani – MDHL 29 (MCH × RBC)/MCV >1.75 <1.75
Huber– Herklotz 30 (MCH × RDW/10 RBC) + RDW <20 >20
Kerman I 31 (MCV × MCH)/RBC <300 300–400
Kerman II 31 (MCV × MCH × 10)/(RBC × MCHC) <85 85–105
Sirdah 32 MCV − RBC − (3 Hb) <27 >27
Ehsani 33 MCV − (10 RBC) <15 >15
Keikhaei 34 (HB × RDW × 100)/(RBC2 × MCHC) <21 >21
Nishad 35 0.615 MCV + 0.518 MCH + 0.446 RDW <59 >59
Wongprachum 36 (MCV × RDW/RBC) – 10 HB <104 >104
Sehgal 37 MCV2/RBC <972 >972
Pornprasert 38 MCHC <31 >31
Sirachainan 39 1.5 HB – 0.05 MCV >14 <14
Bordbar 40 |80−MCV| × |27−MCH| >44.76 <44.76
Matos and Carvalho (MC) 64 1.91 RBC + 0.44 MCHC >23.85 <23.85
Janel (11 T) 41 Combination of RBC, Mentzer, S&L, E&F, Srivastava, G&K, RDW, RDWI, Ricerca, Ehsani and Sirdah ≥8 <8
CRUISE MCHC + 0.603 RBC + 0.523 RDW ≥ 42.63 <42.63
Index26  Combination of all indices except Janel (11 T) index ≥ 16 <16

Table 3.

True positive and negative (TP and TN), false positive and negative (FP and FN) and total number of correctly identified patients (TP + TN) of each discrimination index for differential between βTT (n = 537) and IDA (n = 370) in patients with microcytic anemia.

Discriminant Formula TP FP FN TN (TP + TN)
England and Fraser (E&F) βTM 338 54 199 316 654
IDA 316 199 54 338
RBC βTM 464 137 73 223 687
IDA 223 73 137 464
Mentzer βTM 478 79 59 291 769
IDA 291 59 79 478
Srivastava βTM 402 71 135 299 701
IDA 299 135 71 402
Shine and Lal (S&L) βTM 537 305 0 65 842
IDA 65 0 305 537
Bessman βTM 34 74 503 296 330
IDA 296 503 74 34
Ricerca βTM 530 344 7 26 556
IDA 26 7 344 530
Green and King (G&K) βTM 465 79 72 291 756
IDA 291 72 79 465
Das Gupta βTM 512 236 25 134 646
IDA 134 25 236 512
Jayabose (RDWI) βTM 497 132 40 238 735
IDA 238 40 132 497
Telmissani – MCHD βTM 528 357 9 13 541
IDA 13 9 357 528
Telmissani – MDHL βTM 303 53 234 317 620
IDA 317 234 53 303
Huber – Herklotz βTM 121 52 416 318 439
IDA 318 416 52 121
Kerman I βTM 507 141 30 229 736
IDA 229 30 141 507
Kerman II βTM 476 66 61 304 780
IDA 304 61 66 476
Sirdah βTM 431 42 106 328 759
IDA 328 106 42 431
Ehsani βTM 478 69 59 301 779
IDA 301 59 69 478
Keikhaei βTM 476 101 61 269 745
IDA 269 61 101 476
Nishad βTM 458 85 79 285 743
IDA 285 79 85 458
Wongprachum βTM 472 113 65 257 729
IDA 257 65 113 472
Sehgal βTM 516 131 21 239 755
IDA 239 21 131 516
Pornprasert βTM 110 237 427 133 243
IDA 133 427 237 110
Sirachainan βTM 193 93 344 277 470
IDA 277 344 93 193
Bordbar βTM 522 165 15 205 727
IDA 205 15 165 522
Matos and Carvalho(MC) βTM 422 76 115 294 716
IDA 294 115 76 422
Janel (11T) βTM 423 38 114 332 755
IDA 332 114 38 423
CRUISE βTM 413 102 124 268 682
IDA 268 124 102 413
Index26 βTM 424 26 113 344 766
IDA 344 113 26 424

Table 4.

Sensitivity (TPR), specificity (TNR), false positive and negative rate (FNR and FPR), positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV) of each discrimination index for differential βTT (n = 537) from IDA (n = 370) in patients with microcytic anemia with their 95% exact confidence interval.

Discriminant Formula TPR (%) TNR (%) FNR (%) FPR (%) PPV (%) NPV (%)
England and Fraser (E&F) 62.94 (58.70–67.04) 85.41 (81.39–88.84) 37.06 (32.96–41.30) 14.59 (11.16–18.61) 86.22 (82.41–89.48) 61.36 (57–65.59)
RBC 86.41 (83.21–89.19) 61.94 (56.71–66.98) 13.59 (10.81–16.79) 38.06 (33.02–43.29) 77.20 (73.64–80.50) 75.34 (70.02–80.14)
Mentzer 89.01 (86.06–91.53) 78.65 (74.12–82.72) 10.99 (8.47–13.94) 21.35 (17.28–25.88) 85.82 (82.64–88.61) 83.14 (78.80–86.91)
Srivastava 74.86 (70.97–78.48) 80.81 (76.42–84.70) 25.14 (21.52–29.03) 19.19 (15.30–23.58) 84.99 (81.45–88.09) 68.89 (64.31–73.22)
Shine and Lal (S&L) 100 (99.32–100) 17.57 (13.83–21.84) 0 (0–0.68) 82.43 (78.16–86.17) 63.78 (60.43–67.03) 100 (94.48–100)
Bessman 6.33 (4.42–8.72) 80 (75.56–83.96) 93.67 (91.28–95.58) 20 (16.04–24.44) 31.48 (22.88–41.13) 37.05 (33.69–40.50)
Ricerca 98.70 (97.33–99.47) 7.03 (4.64–10.13) 1.30 (0.53–2.67) 92.97 (89.87–95.36) 60.64 (57.31–63.90) 78.79 (61.09–91.02)
Green and King (G&K) 86.59 (83.42–89.36) 78.65 (74.12–82.72) 13.41 (10.64–16.58) 21.35 (17.28–25.88) 85.48 (82.23–88.33) 80.17 (75.69–84.14)
Das Gupta 95.34 (93.20–96.96) 36.22 (31.31–41.34) 4.66 (3.04–6.8) 63.78 (58.66–68.69) 68.45 (64.98–71.77) 84.28 (77.67–89.56)
Jayabose (RDWI) 92.55 (89.99–94.63) 64.32 (59.21–69.21) 7.45 (5.37–10.01) 35.68 (30.79–40.79) 79.01 (75.62–82.13) 85.61 (80.93–89.52)
Telmissani–MCHD 98.32 (96.84–99.23) 3.51 (1.88–5.93) 1.68 (0.77–3.16) 96.49 (94.07–98.12) 59.66 (56.34–62.91) 59.09 (36.35–79.29)
Telmissani–MDHL 56.42 (52.11–60.67) 85.68 (81.69–89.08) 43.58 (39.33–47.89) 14.32 (10.92–18.31) 85.11 (80.98–88.65) 57.53 (53.28–61.70)
Huber– Herklotz 22.53 (19.07–26.31) 85.95 (81.98–89.32) 77.47 (73.69–80.93) 14.05 (10.68–18.02) 69.94 (62.52–76.67) 43.32 (39.70–47)
Kerman I 94.41 (92.12–96.20) 61.89 (56.73–66.86) 5.59 (3.8–7.88) 38.11 (33.14–43.27) 78.24 (74.86–81.36) 88.42 (83.88–92.05)
Kerman II 88.64 (85.65–91.20) 82.16 (77.87–85.93) 11.36 (8.80–14.35) 17.84 (14.07–22.13) 87.82 (84.77–90.46) 83.29 (79.06–86.97)
Sirdah 80.26 (76.64–83.55) 88.65 (84.97–91.70) 19.74 (16.45–23.36) 11.35 (8.30–15.03) 91.12 (88.19–93.53) 75.58 (71.25–79.55)
Ehsani 89.01 (86.06–91.53) 81.35 (77–85.19) 10.99 (8.47–13.94) 18.65 (14.81–23) 87.39 (84.31–90.05) 83.61 (79.37–87.28)
Keikhaei 88.64 (85.65–91.20) 72.70 (67.86–77.18) 11.36 (8.8–14.35) 27.30 (22.82–32.14) 82.50 (79.14–85.51) 81.52 (76.90–85.56)
Nishad 85.29 (82.01–88.18) 77.03 (72.40–81.22) 14.71 (11.82–17.99) 22.97 (18.78–27.60) 84.35 (81.01–87.30) 78.30 (73.70–82.42)
Wongprachum 87.90 (84.83–90.53) 69.46 (64.49–74.12) 12.10 (9.47–15.17) 30.54 (25.88–35.51) 80.68 (77.25–83.81) 79.81 (75.01–84.06)
Sehgal 96.09 (94.08–97.56) 64.59 (59.48–69.47) 3.91 (2.44–5.92) 35.41 (30.53–40.52) 79.75 (76.45–82.78) 91.92 (87.92–94.93)
Pornprasert 20.48 (17.15–24.15) 35.95 (31.05–41.07) 79.52 (75.85–82.85) 64.05 (58.93–68.95) 31.70 (26.84–36.88) 23.75 (20.28–27.50)
Sirachainan 35.94 (31.88–40.16) 74.86 (70.12–79.21) 64.06 (59.84–68.12) 25.14 (20.79–29.88) 67.48 (61.72–72.88) 44.61 (40.65–48.61)
Bordbar 97.21 (95.43–98.43) 55.40 (50.18–60.54) 2.79 (1.54–4.57) 44.59 (39.46–49.82) 75.98 (72.61–79.13) 93.18 (89–96.13)
Matos and Carvalho 78.58 (74.87–81.98) 79.46 (74.98–83.46) 21.42 (18.02–25.13) 20.54 (16.54–25.02) 84.74 (81.27–87.78) 71.88 (67.26–76.19)
Janel (11 T) 78.77 (75.07–82.16) 89.73 (86.18–92.63) 21.23 (17.84–24.93) 10.27 (7.37–13.82) 91.76 (88.86–94.10) 74.44 (70.13–78.43)
CRUISE 76.91 (73.11–80.41) 72.43 (67.58–76.93) 23.09 (19.59–26.89) 27.57 (23.07–32.42) 80.19 (76.49–83.55) 68.37 (63.51–72.95)
Index26 78.96 (75.26–82.33) 92.97 (89.87–95.36) 21.04 (17.67–24.74) 7.03 (4.64–10.13) 94.22 (91.65–96.19) 75.27 (71.05–79.16)

Table 5.

Ranking of diagnostic performance of discrimination indices for differential βTT (n = 537) from IDA (n = 370) in patients with microcytic anemia based on sensitivity (TPR), specificity (TNR), positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV), Youden’s index, accuracy, diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) and area under the curve (AUC) (lower rank shows better diagnostic performance).

Discriminant Formula TPR TNR PPV NPV Youden’s Index Accuracy DOR AUC
England and Fraser (E&F) 23 6 6 22 19 19 19 19
RBC 15 21 19 16 19 17 18 18
Mentzer 9.5 13 7 9 6 3 8 6
Srivastava 22 9 10 20 15 16 16 15
Shine and Lal (S&L) 1 26 24 1 22 22 22
Bessman 28 10 28 27 27 27 26 27
Ricerca 2 27 25 13 25 23 22 25
Green and King (G&K) 14 13 8 11 7 6 10 7
Das Gupta 6 24 22 6 21 20 17 21
Jayabose (RDWI) 8 20 17 5 13 12 11 13
Telmissani – MCHD 3 28 26 23 26 24 23 26
Telmissani – MDHL 24 5 9 24 20 21 21 20
Huber – Herklotz 26 4 21 26 24 26 24 24
Kerman I 7 22 18 4 14 11 9 14
Kerman II 11.5 7 4 8 2 1 4 2
Sirdah 17 3 3 15 4 5 6 4
Ehsani 9.5 8 5 7 3 2 5 3
Keikhaei 11.5 16 13 10 9 9 12 9
Nishad 16 14 12 14 8 10 13 8
Wongprachum 13 18 14 12 12 13 14 12
Sehgal 5 19 16 3 10 8 2 10
Pornprasert 27 25 27 28 28 28 27 28
Sirachainan 25 15 23 25 23 25 25 23
Bordba 4 23 20 2 16 14 3 16
Matos and Carvalho 20 11 11 19 11 15 15 11
Janel (11 T) 19 2 2 18 5 8 7 5
CRUISE 21 17 15 21 17 18 20 18
Index26 18 1 1 17 1 4 1 1

Table 4 represents that none of discrimination indices have 100% specificity and 100% positive predictive value. Also, none of indices except Shine and Lal (S&L) have 100% sensitivity and 100% negative predictive value, but this index has very high false positive rate. According to information indicated in the Table 4 and the Table 5, Shine and Lal (S&L) and Bessman point out the highest and lowest sensitivity (the lowest and highest false negative rate) in βTT diagnose, respectively, and index26 and Telmissani–MCHD index indicate the highest and lowest specificity (the lowest and highest false positive rate) in IDA diagnose, respectively. Also index26 and Bessman showed the highest and lowest positive predictive value, respectively, and Shine and Lal (S&L) and Pornprasert had highest and lowest negative predictive value (Table 4 and Table 5).

Table 5 and Table 6 presented that lowest Youden’s index is related to the Pornprasert, and the highest amount is related to the index26. Also, these tables show that KermanII and Pornprasert have the highest and lowest accuracy, respectively, and the highest DOR is belong to index26, and the lowest is belong to Pornprasert. Two new indices introduced earlier (CRUISE index and index26), have better performance than some of the discrimination indices, which were listed in Table 2 (Table 5). Due to the findings, none of indices have LR + > 10, and only KermanI index has LR − <0.1.

Table 6.

Youden’s index, accuracy, positive and negative likelihood ratio (LR+ and LR−) and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) of each discrimination index for differential βTT (n = 537) from IDA (n = 370) in patients with microcytic anemia with their 95% exact confidence interval.

Discriminant Formula Youden’s Index (%) Accuracy (%) LR + (%) LR − (%) DOR (%)
England and Fraser (E&F)

48.35

(40.09–55.88)

72.11

(69.06–75)

4.31

(3.34–5.56)

0.43

(0.39–0.49)

10.02

(7.092–13.93)

RBC

48.35

(39.92–56.17)

76.59

(73.68–79.32)

2.27

(1.98–2.60)

0.22

(0.17–0.28)

10.32

(7.47–14.33)

Mentzer

67.66

(60.17–74.25)

84.78

(82.28–87.06)

4.17

(3.42–5.08)

0.14

(0.11–0.18)

29.79

(20.67–43.09)

Srivastava

55.67

(47.39–63.17)

77.29

(74.42–79.98)

3.90

(3.15–4.84)

0.31

(0.27–0.36)

12.58

(9.07–17.34)

Shine and Lal (S&L)

17.57

(12.80–21.83)

66.37

(63.19–69.44)

1.21

(1.16–1.27)

0
Bessman

–13.67

(–20.02–7.31)

36.38

(33.25–39.61)

0.32

(0.22–0.46)

1.17

(1.11–1.24)

0.27

(0.18–0.42)

Ricerca

5.72

(1.97–9.60)

61.30

(58.04–64.48)

1.06

(1.03–1.09)

0.19

(0.08–0.42)

5.58

(2.46–13.33)

Green and King (G&K)

65.24

(57.53–72.08)

83.35

(80.76–85.72)

4.06

(3.33–4.95)

0.17

(0.14–0.21)

23.88

(16.74–33.80)

Das Gupta

31.56

(24.52–38.31)

71.22

(68.16–74.15)

1.49

(1.38–1.62)

0.13

(0.09–0.19)

11.46

(7.38–18.31)

Jayabose (RDWI)

56.87

(49.20–63.83)

81.04

(78.33–83.54)

2.59

(2.26–2.98)

0.12

(0.09–0.16)

21.58

(15.23–32.96)

Telmissani – MCHD

1.83

(–1.27–5.16)

59.65

(56.37–62.86)

1.02

(1.00–1.04)

0.48

(0.21–1.10)

2.13

(0.90–5.05)

Telmissani – MDHL

42.10

(33.80–49.75)

68.36

(65.22–71.37)

3.94

(3.04–5.11)

0.51

(0.46–0.56)

7.73

(5.53–10.85)

Huber – Herklotz

8.48

(1.05–15.63)

48.40

(45.10–51.71)

1.60

(1.19–2.16)

0.90

(0.85–0.96)

1.78

(1.25–2.54)

Kerman I

56.30

(48.85–63.06)

81.15

(78.45–83.64)

2.48

(2.17–2.83)

0.09

(0.06–0.13)

27.56

(17.97–41.94)

Kerman II

70.80

(63.52–77.13)

86.00

(83.57–88.19)

4.97

(3.98–6.20)

0.14

(0.11–0.18)

35.50

(24.66–52.38)

Sirdah

68.91

(61.61–75.24)

83.68

(81.11–86.03)

7.07

(5.30–9.43)

0.22

(0.19–0.27)

32.14

(21.60–46.67)

Ehsani

70.36

(63.06–76.72)

85.89

(83.45–88.09)

4.77

(3.85–5.92)

0.14

(0.11–0.17)

34.07

(24.26–51.49)

Keikhaei

61.34

(53.51–68.38)

82.14

(79.49–84.58)

3.25

(2.74–3.85)

0.16

(0.12–0.20)

20.31

(14.63–29.53)

Nishad

62.32

(54.40–69.39)

81.92

(79.26–84.37)

3.71

(3.07–4.49)

0.19

(0.15–0.24)

19.53

(13.83–27.31)

Wongprachum

57.36

(49.32–64.65)

80.38

(77.64–82.91)

2.88

(2.46–3.37)

0.17

(0.14–0.22)

16.94

(11.75–23.22)

Sehgal

60.68

(53.57–67.03)

83.24

(80.65–85.62)

2.71

(2.36–3.12)

0.06

(0.04–0.09)

45.17

(27.59–72.85)

Pornprasert

–43.57

(–51.80 – –34.78)

26.79

(23.93–29.80)

0.32

(0.27–0.38)

2.21

(1.92–2.55)

0.15

(0.11–0.20)

Sirachainan

10.80

(2–19.37)

51.82

(48.51–55.12)

1.43

(1.16–1.76)

0.86

(0.78–0.93)

1.66

(1.25–2.24)

Bordbar

52.61

(45.61–58.97)

80.15

(77.41–82.70)

2.18

(1.94–2.44)

0.05

(0.03–0.08)

43.60

(24.88–75.14)

Matos and Carvalho

58.04

(49.85–65.44)

78.94

(76.14–81.55)

3.83

(3.12–4.70)

0.27

(0.23–0.32)

14.20

(10.25–19.66)

Janel (11T)

68.50

(61.24–74.79)

83.24

(80.65–85.62)

7.67

(5.66–10.40)

0.24

(0.20–0.28)

31.96

(21.86–48.09)

CRUISE

49.34

(40.69–57.33)

75.08

(72.13–77.87)

2.79

(2.35–3.31)

0.32

(0.27–0.38)

8.72

(6.46–11.86)

Index26

71.93

(65.13–77.69)

84.67

(82.16–86.96)

11.24

(7.74–16.32)

0.23

(0.19–0.27)

48.87

(31.67–77.81)

Each discrimination index AUC is shown in Table 7. Also, Fig. 2 showed the ROC curves for discrimination formula with the amount of AUC higher than 0.8 (Kerman II, Ehsani, Sirdah, Janel (11 T), Mentzer, Green and King (G&K), Nishad, Keikhaei and Sehgal), and two new indices (CRUISE index and index26). Indices with the amount of AUC higher than 0.8 have very appropriate diagnostic accuracy in the discrimination between βTT and IDA, and also CRUISE index has good diagnostic accuracy. AUC of all indices except Telmissani–MCHD were statistically significant, in regard to the amount of AUC equal to 0.5 (P < 0.001) (Table 7), and AUC of Bessman and Pornprasert were significantly less than 0.5 (P < 0.001). As shown in Tables 5 and 7, the highest AUC is related to index26, and the lowest AUC is related to the Pornprasert index. Comparison between AUCs of discrimination formula (indices with AUC higher than 0.8), and two new indices are displayed in Table 8. There was a significant difference between AUC of CRUISE index and other indices, which the AUC of this index was significantly less than other indices (P < 0.001) (Table 8), but this index has higher AUC than the amount of other indices recorded in Table 2 (Table 7). Table 8 also represented that the AUC of index26 is significantly higher than Green and King (G&K), Keikhaei, Nishad, Sehgal, Janel (11 T) and CRUISE index (P < 0.05), but there is no significant difference between AUC of this index and other indices like Mentzer, Kerman II, Ehsani and Sirdah (P > 0.05).

Table 7.

Area under the curve (AUC) of each discrimination index for differential βTT (n = 537) from IDA (n = 370) in patients with microcytic anemia with their 95% confidence interval (SE: Standard Error, CI: Confidence Interval).

Discriminant Formula AUC SE 95% CI p–value
England and Fraser (E&F) 0.742 0.0139 0.714–0.769 <0.001
RBC 0.747 0.0146 0.718–0.775 <0.001
Mentzer 0.838 0.0126 0.814–0.863 <0.001
Srivastava 0.778 0.0139 0.751–0.806 <0.001
Shine and Lal (S&L) 0.588 0.0099 0.568–0.607 <0.001
Bessman 0.432 0.0117 0.409–0.455 <0.001
Ricerca 0.529 0.0071 0.515–0.542 <0.001
Green and King (G&K) 0.826 0.0130 0.801–0.852 <0.001
Das Gupta 0.658 0.0133 0.632–0.684 <0.001
Jayabose (RDWI) 0.784 0.0137 0.757–0.811 <0.001
Telmissani – MCHD 0.509 0.0055 0.498–0.520 0.0970
Telmissani – MDHL 0.711 0.0141 0.683–0.738 <0.001
Huber – Herklotz 0.542 0.0128 0.517–0.567 0.001
Kerman I 0.782 0.0136 0.755–0.808 <0.001
Kerman II 0.854 0.0121 0.830–0.878 <0.001
Sirdah 0.845 0.0119 0.821–0.868 <0.001
Ehsani 0.852 0.0122 0.828–0.876 <0.001
Keikhaei 0.807 0.0135 0.780–0.833 <0.001
Nishad 0.812 0.0134 0.785–0.838 <0.001
Wongprachum 0.787 0.0139 0.759–0.814 <0.001
Sehgal 0.803 0.0131 0.778–0.829 <0.001
Pornprasert 0.282 0.018 0.247–0.317 <0.001
Sirachainan 0.554 0.0153 0.524–0.584 0.0004
Bordbar 0.763 0.0134 0.737–0.789 <0.001
Matos and Carvalho 0.790 0.0138 0.763–0.817 <0.001
Janel (11T) 0.843 0.0119 0.819–0.866 <0.001
CRUISE 0.747 0.0148 0.718–0.776 <0.001
Index26 0.858 0.0111 0.836–0.879 <0.001

Figure 2.

Figure 2

Reciever operating characteristic curves of discrimination indices with area under curve (AUC) higher than 0.8 (discrimination indices such as: index26, Kerman II, Ehsani, Sirdah, Janel (11T), Mentzer, Green and King (G&K), Nishad, Keikhaei, Sehgal and CRUISE).

Table 8.

Comparison between area under the curve (AUC) values of discrimination indices with AUC higher than 0.8 for differential βTT (n = 537) from IDA (n = 370) in patients with microcytic anemia (AUCd = AUCrow – AUCcolumn, SE: Standard Error (AUCd)).

G&K Mentzer Kerman II Sirdah Ehsani Keikhaei Nishad Sehgal Janel (11 T) CRUISE
Mentzer AUCd = 0.012 SE = 0.0145 P = 0.404
Kerman II AUCd = 0.028 SE = 0.0156 P = 0.074 AUCd = 0.016 SE = 0.009 P = 0.0810
Sirdah AUCd = 0.018 SE = 0.0125 P = 0.142 AUCd = 0.006 SE = 0.0111 P = 0.575 AUCd = –0.009 SE = 0.0125 P = 0.450
Ehsani AUCd = 0.026 SE = 0.015 P = 0.089 AUCd = 0.013 SE = 0.0057 P = 0.017 AUCd = –0.002 SE = 0.0073 P = 0.763 AUCd = 0.007 SE = 0.0114 P = 0.524
Keikhaei AUCd = –0.019 SE = 0.0094 P = 0.039 AUCd = –0.0316 SE = 0.0136 P = 0.02 AUCd = –0.047 SE = 0.0146 P = 0.001 AUCd = –0.038 SE = 0.0134 P = 0.005 AUCd = –0.045 SE = 0.0142 P = 0.001
Nishad AUCd = –0.015 SE = 0.0183 P = 0.425 AUCd = –0.027 SE = 0.0141 P = 0.057 AUCd = –0.042 SE = 0.0119 P = 0.0004 AUCd = –0.033 SE = 0.0161 P = 0.0411 AUCd = –0.040 SE = 0.0131 P = 0.002 AUCd = 0.005 SE = 0.0181 P = 0.788
Sehgal AUCd = –0.023 SE = 0.017 P = 0.18 AUCd = –0.035 SE = 0.0116 P = 0.003 AUCd = –0.051 SE = 0.012 P < 0.001 AUCd = –0.041 SE = 0.0149 P = 0.006 AUCd = –0.048 SE = 0.0112 P < 0.001 AUCd = –0.003 SE = 0.0165 P = 0.841 AUCd = –0.008 SE = 0.0124 P = 0.51
Janel (11 T) AUCd = 0.0163 SE = 0.012 P = 0.176 AUCd = 0.004 SE = 0.0111 P = 0.707 AUCd = –0.011 SE = 0.0124 P = 0.355 AUCd = –0.002 SE = 0.0061 P = 0.738 AUCd = –0.009 SE = 0.0115 P = 0.416 AUCd = 0.036 SE = 0.0123 P = 0.004 AUCd = 0.031 SE = 0.0162 P = 0.057 AUCd = 0.039 SE = 0.0148 P = 0.008
CRUISE AUCd = –0.08 SE = 0.0166 P < 0.001 AUCd = –0.092 SE = 0.0184 P < 0.001 AUCd = –0.107 SE = 0.0186 P < 0.001 AUCd = –0.098 SE = 0.0167 P < 0.001 AUCd = –0.105 SE = 0.0185 P < 0.001 AUCd = –0.06 SE = 0.0178 P = 0.0008 AUCd = –0.065 SE = 0.0209 P = 0.0019 AUCd = –0.057 SE = 0.0191 P = 0.0029 AUCd = –0.096 SE = 0.0172 P < 0.001
Index26 AUCd = 0.033 SE = 0.0125 P = 0.0076 AUCd = 0.021 SE = 0.0112 P = 0.0566 AUCd = 0.006 SE = 0.0115 P = 0.6231 AUCd = 0.015 SE = 0.008 P = 0.0627 AUCd = 0.008 SE = 0.0107 P = 0.4625 AUCd = 0.053 SE = 0.0124 P < 0.001 AUCd = 0.048 SE = 0.0153 P = 0.0017 AUCd = 0.056 SE = 0.0143 P = 0.0001 AUCd = 0.017 SE = 0.006 P = 0.0044 AUCd = 0.113 SE = 0.0177 P < 0.001

Cluster analysis dendrogram (this plot represents steps in the cluster analysis) is presented in Fig. 3. Cluster analysis extracted three homogenous groups. First one of them includes discrimination indices like Pornprasert, Bessman, Huber –Herklotz, and Sirachainan. Second group includes Ricerca, Telmissani–MCHD, Shine and Lal (S&L), Das Gupta, and the third group includes discrimination indices like Bordbar, Sehgal, Jayabose, KermanI, RBC, Keikhaei, Wongprachum, Index26, Sirdah, Janel (11 T), Green and King (G&K), Nishad, Mentzer, KermanII, Ehsani, England and Fraser (E&F), Telmissani–MDHL, Srivastava, CRUISE. So two new introduced indices in this study have similar performances to indices of third homogenous group.

Figure 3.

Figure 3

Dendrogram from cluster analysis for extracting homogeneous groups of diagnostic discrimination indices with similar performance (each rectangles includes diagnostic discrimination indices with similar performance).

Discussion

βTT and IDA are known as common causes for microcytic anemia, and these two hematologic disorders typically have similar clinical and experimental conditions. The definitive diagnostic method for the βTT is based on the HbA2 increase17,18, and the principal methods for diagnosis of IDA based on the increase in TIBC, as same as a decrease in serum iron, serum ferritin, and transferrin saturation9.

The exact discrimination between these two hematologic disorders is very vital, because the correct treatment and its proper diagnosis through premarital genetic counseling, would prevent the attendant risk of thalassemia major child birth. Considering the importance of differentiating between βTT and IDA, several different indices have been proposed in large-scale researches; additionally, these indices showed different diagnostic performance, and none of these indices had definitive diagnosis in various studies.

It is possible to discriminate between βTT and IDA without using expensive tests with high performance index. We presented two new discriminating indices between these two common microcytic anemia, and also compared these two indicators performance with 26 different published indices. This study findings indicated that none of the discriminating indices provided 100% sensitivity and specificity. Consequently, the Shine and Lal index showed a sensitivity and a negative predictive value, but with respect to the AUC, it had a poor performance in the differentiation between the βTT and IDA. It is important to remember that this index has expressed as the best discriminating index for differentiation between βTT and IDA in former researches[9,50,63. Shen et al., reported that S & L index had a low AUC as same as this study55. In the present study, index26 had 100% specificity and complete positive predictive value. In addition, according to Youden’s index, DOR, and AUC, this index is a differential index with superior performance for differentiation between the βTT and IDA. Accuracy measure like Youden’s index, accuracy, DOR, and AUC take both sensitivity and specificity into consideration, so they can present the discrimination indices performance more accurately than other criteria. According to these criteria and also Table 6, index26 indicates better performance in comparison to the other discrimination indices.

Also, by comparing the AUCs of various discriminating indices, this test performance was better than the differential indices significantly, like Green and King, Keikhaei, Nishad, Sehgal and Janel (11 T). Considering the worth of index26 in this study, this index is still difficult to calculate, and we are developing a calculator-based approach on differential indices expressed in the results, and in the future works we will introduce this protocol, in order to solve this problem. By using this calculator, we can determine the accuracy and each indicator outcome easily and quickly. Thus, it can be concluded that the differential indices, including Mentzer, Kerman II, Ehsani, Sirdah, janel (11 T) and index26 are reliable indices for discrimination between the βTT and IDA. Another recommended index was CRUISE, which showed a good diagnostic performance, but its AUC was significantly lower compared to the other indices with the very appropriate diagnostic performance (AUC > 0.8). As a result, this index has a superior performance compared to some of before stated indices. Several studies proposed new discrimination indices by using discriminant analysis for differentiating between the βTT and IDA (these indices are Nishad, Matos and Carvalho, Sirachainan and Das Gupta)27,35,39,64,65. We used CRUISE tree algorithm for recommending a new discrimination index, because tree-based methods are non-parametric methods, and these methods have some advantages over the traditional statistical methods like discriminant analysis. Some of these advantages are known as following: without needing to determine assumptions about the functional form between outcome variable and predictor variables, useful for dealing with nonlinear relationships and high-order interactions, and robust to outliers and multicollinearity. In this study, CRUISE index showed a high AUC in comparison with the Sirachainan and Das Gupta indices.

Different studies are conducted in order to assess the differential indices diagnostic performance for discriminating between the βTT and IDA in different populations. Also, these studies indicated different results. We mention index with best diagnostic performance based on the highest AUC or Youden’s index here in some conducted studies in different populations.

Iranian population: Ghafouri et al. in 200646: Mentzer index, Rahim and Keikhaei in 200945: Shine and Lal index in patients < 10 years and RDW and RDWI index in patients with the age of 10 to 57 years old, Ehsani et al. in 200933: Mentzer index and Ehsani index, Ahmadi et al. in 200944: Shine and Lal index, Keikhaei in 201034: Keikhaei index, Sargolzaie and Miri-Moghaddam in 201453: Green and King index, Bordbar et al. in 201540: Bordbar index. Thailand population: Sirachainan et al. in 201439: Sirachainan index. Indian population: Tripathi et al. in 201566: Mentzer index, Piplani et al. in 201667: Mentzer index. Turkey population: Demir et al. in 200217: RBC index, Beyan et al. in 200748: RBC index, Vehapoglu et al. 201456: Mentzer index. Italy population: Ferrara et al. in 201068: England and Fraser index. Kuwait population: AlFadhli et al. in 200649: England and Fraser index. Sri Lanka population: Nishad et al. in 201235: Nishad index. Palestinian population: Sirdah et al. in 200732: Sirdah index. Brazilian population: Matos et al. in 201354: Green and King index. Chinese population: Shen et al. in 201055: Green and King index. France population: Janel et al. in 201141: 11 T, Green and King, RDWI and Sirdah index. Saudi Arabia population: Jameel et al. in 201769: RDWI index.

Conclusion and future directions

This cross-sectional study was conducted on Iranian patients diagnosed to have βTT and IDA. In this study, two new discriminating indices were proposed for differentiating between the βTT and IDA, and these indices presented a relatively similar diagnostic performance according to cluster analysis compared to different indices reported in the literature. Index26 indicated better performance in comparison with the other discriminating indices. This low-cost index can be useful for differentiating between the βTT and IDA, thus using this index, costs for health system can be minimized in regions with limited financial resources. Also, study results showed that data mining methods like tree-based classification models can be used in order to recommend new discriminating indices for differentiating between the βTT and IDA. CRUISE index was found to have a superior performance compared to some of discriminating indices. This study was also the first study in which cluster analysis was applied for identifying homogeneous subgroups of discriminating indices with similar diagnostic function. Accordingly, it is recommended to use cluster analysis for determining discriminating indices with similar diagnostic performance for future studies.

Acknowledgements

This work was financially supported by grant no. U-98111 from vice chancellor for Research Affairs of Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences.

Author contributions

F.R. and M.J. wrote the main manuscript text, and A.S.M. prepared figures and tables and revised the manuscript. All authors reviewed the manuscript.

Competing interests

The authors declare no competing interests.

Footnotes

Publisher’s note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

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