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editorial
. 2019 Dec 11;10:2042098619894147. doi: 10.1177/2042098619894147

Precision dosing to avoid adverse drug reactions

Thomas M Polasek 1,2,3,, Carl M J Kirkpatrick 4, Amin Rostami-Hodjegan 5,6
PMCID: PMC6909265  PMID: 31853362

Abstract

Adverse drug reactions (ADRs) have traditionally been managed by trial and error, adjusting drug and dose selection reactively following patient harm. With an improved understanding of ADRs, and the patient characteristics that increase susceptibility, precision medicine technologies enable a proactive approach to ADRs and support clinicians to change prescribing accordingly. This commentary revisits the famous pharmacology–toxicology continuum first postulated by Paracelsus 500 years ago and explains why precision dosing is needed to help avoid ADRs in modern clinical practice. Strategies on how to improve precision dosing are given, including more research to establish better precision dosing targets in the cases of greatest need, easier access to dosing instructions via e-prescribing, improved monitoring of patients with novel biomarkers of drug response, and further application of model-informed precision dosing.

Keywords: adverse drug reactions, medication safety, model-informed precision dosing, precision dosing, precision medicine

Introduction

Alle Dinge sind Gift, und nichts ist ohne Gift, allein die Dosis macht dass ein Ding kein Gift ist. This famous quote from the ‘Father of Toxicology’ is 500 years old and translates into English as, ‘All things are poison, and nothing is without poison, but the dose alone makes it so a thing is not a poison.’ (Paracelsus, 1493/1494–1541). With the rise of ‘precision medicine’, that is, the use of novel technologies such as genetic testing to individualize patient treatment,1 this simple principle is as important today as ever. In contrast to correct drug selection based on improved diagnostic certainty, the role of correct dose selection has received less attention in the debate on precision medicine.2 ‘Precision dosing’ has been defined recently as dose selection by a prescriber for an individual patient at a given time.3 The definition covers initial dose selection, which occurs following the decision to commence a particular drug, and ongoing dose selection, which occurs after assessment of the benefit: risk of continuing drug treatment. The drug, disease and patient characteristics that define the need for precision dosing have been described in detail.4 In principle, the greatest clinical benefit for precision dosing comes from patients taking narrow therapeutic index drugs who are intrinsically difficult to dose, such as those at the extremes of age. Health economic benefits are also gained by reducing the waste of high-cost drugs.5 This commentary describes eight reasons why precision dosing is needed to help avoid adverse drug reactions (ADRs) in modern clinical practice. Strategies are then given on how precision dosing can be improved.

Reasons why precision dosing is important to avoid ADRs

  • (1) Drugs are still a leading cause of patient harm. Despite the development of new drugs that resemble more closely ‘magic bullets’, and countless initiatives designed to improve medication safety,6 the problem of ADRs has increased rather than decreased in the new millennium. Indeed, harm from drugs now costs about US $42 billion per annum globally.7 Errors leading to ADRs can occur at any point in the medication management cycle, from medication history taking (e.g. previous medications, doses, durations of treatment, responses) to dose administration and the monitoring of response, but prescribing errors, including inappropriate dose selection, are potentially the most serious.8,9

  • (2) Most ADRs are a predictable extension of a drug’s pharmacology (Type A or ‘Augmented’ ADRs).10 As understood by Paracelsus, the pharmacology–toxicology continuum means that considering dose is essential when evaluating the benefit: risk of any drug therapy. Importantly, this balance is patient- and time-dependent. Unacceptable risk for one patient may not apply for another. For example, the risk of postsurgical respiratory depression with opioids in an old patient with chronic obstructive lung disease is much greater than for a young patient with no chronic medical conditions. Regarding time, a patient who previously tolerated a drug may become intolerant. Examples include; acute deterioration in health leading to poor drug clearance (e.g. acute kidney injury), new treatment regimens causing drug-drug interactions (e.g. added anticholinergic burden), and when patients change their mind about the acceptability of adverse effects (e.g. irretraceable nausea from chemotherapy in light of cancer progression).

  • (3) The pharmaceutical industry outwardly projects a ‘one-dose fits all’ culture for commercial reasons. This perceived devaluing of dosing options can filter through to prescribers. This most often leads clinicians to believe that ‘This dose is in the prescribing information (PI) so it must be effective and safe’. Poor vigilance in monitoring for potential ADRs is partly explained by underestimating the degree of between patient variability in drug responses at the approved dose. Introduction of the direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) is an example, where the initial promotion of easy dosing with no laboratory monitoring of response gave unrealistic expectations about low bleeding rates.11,12

  • (4) The primary evidence for dose comes from randomized controlled trials (RCTs). These studies have tight inclusion criteria to find supporting p-values for regulatory applications and marketing, so patients in RCTs often differ significantly from those in the real-world.13 Approved doses are therefore used routinely in patient types for which established efficacy and safety data are absent, such as at the extremes of age. That is, prescribers are literally in a dosing ‘black hole’.14 The foundation of modern medical training and practice is evidence-based medicine (EBM), defined as ‘the conscientious explicit and judicious use of current best evidence in making decision about the care of individual patients’.15 However, the caveat of EBM for drug therapy is that the evidence, at least in the initial stages of a drug’s life, is from industry-sponsored RCTs not designed usually to account for large between patient variability in drug exposure. A prime example is drug development in oncology, where early clinical studies based on the maximum tolerated dose (MTD) approach are geared to select one dose to move development forward into larger studies. Therefore, blind faith in EBM for drug therapy may act as a barrier to precision dosing and the treatment of patients dissimilar to those in RCTs.

  • (5) Patients are older, have more comorbidities, and are taking more drugs than ever before. Such patients are intrinsically more difficult to dose compared with the ‘average’ patient because of physiological, pathophysiological and extrinsic factors that significantly alter pharmacokinetics or pharmacodynamics. Examples include the frail elderly, the morbidly obese, patients with significant organ dysfunction and those with multiple chronic conditions who are on polypharmacy (often defined as taking more than five drugs).16 These are independent risk factors for ADRs and add to the challenge of modern clinical practice.17

  • (6) Clinical care has become increasingly fragmented. It is well recognized that medical specialties apply clinical practice guidelines in isolation causing unanticipated ADRs.18 This is particularly pertinent for older patients with multiple comorbidities who attend numerous specialty clinics in addition to their general practice. In these cases, doctors are often reluctant to question the prescribing of their colleagues out of professional courtesy. The hierarchical structure of medicine also means that junior doctors are less likely to question senior colleagues about drug-related problems caused by their prescribing. Since fragmented clinical care is expected to continue,1 it is harmful to assume that the drug dose has been evaluated in the context of the latest patient presentation.

  • (7) Clinical pharmacology education in medical schools and the number of doctors choosing clinical pharmacology as a specialist career has declined since the 1990s. One consequence of this is less opportunities for on-the-job learning by junior doctors on how to translate clinical pharmacology principles into practice, for example, dosing in renal impairment when no guidance is available in the PI or drug monograph. Doctors who are less familiar with the discipline may lack knowledge about the importance of dose and lack confidence to make changes beyond approved doses and their experience. This is a well-recognized barrier to precision dosing.19

  • (8) Clinical workflows are fast and precision dosing may take time for some patients, even with a team member dedicated to help, such as a clinical pharmacist. Drug-related problems are frequently ‘solved’ by ceasing the potential offender quickly and starting a new drug from the same (‘me-too’) or closely related therapeutic class. The opportunity for ‘fine-tuning’ and its potential clinical benefits are lost, replaced by a new therapeutic trial (n = 1) which can take time and may introduce different clinical problems. This happens frequently in patients with chronic mental health conditions, who often receive a merry-go-round of psychotropic drugs due to poor efficacy or ADRs.20

Strategies to improve precision dosing to avoid ADRs

Given that inappropriate dose can cause ADRs, strategies to improve precision dosing have considerable clinical and health economic potential. Above and beyond the standard suggestions of ‘more cross-disciplinary research’, ‘better education and training’, and ‘greater team-work in healthcare’,19 what else is needed to improve precision dosing?

  • (1) Establishing superior precision dosing ‘targets’. As described in the Introduction, precision dosing has the greatest benefit for patients taking narrow therapeutic index drugs that are difficult to dose. However, this covers many clinical cases, some of which still require further understanding of dose-exposure-response relationships and the factors that impact these relationships. For example, the best plasma concentration range of everolimus is currently unclear for infants <2 years of age who suffer seizures due to tuberous sclerosis complex.21 Establishing robust dose-, exposure- or biomarker-targets in the cases of greatest clinical need is an essential step to improve precision dosing. Sometimes, precision dosing targets are found in clinical development but their translation into clinical practice is poor. Sometimes, the basic research to find a dosing ‘sweet spot’ is still needed after a drug is marketed, particularly if the patient population changes, such as when a drug for adults is used off label in paediatrics. Once a dosing target is accepted, prospective studies of precision versus standard dosing are then possible to investigate whether any benefits of the extra effort are worthwhile.

  • (2) Easier access to precision dosing instructions via electronic prescribing (e-prescribing) modules that are now part of most electronic health records (EHRs). This is an example of where information is already available, yet better tools and a framework for broader implementation are required. For some drugs, the major patient characteristics known to influence exposure or response (age, weight, renal function, pharmacogenomics etc.) are identified during drug development and accounted for by having several approved doses. For example, the dose of apixaban to prevent emboli in patients with atrial fibrillation is reduced by half in patients who satisfy two of the following three criteria: weight <60 kg, age >80 years, and serum creatinine >133 µmol/L.22 Guidance may also be available on how to adjust doses based on patient characteristics that may impact benefit: risk but do not justify the extra work required for an alternative approved dose. Changing from paper-based prescribing to e-prescribing improves access to drug information sources with precision dosing instructions that are familiar to most prescribers, for example, PI and commercial or independent drug monographs. Electronic systems also have automated allergy and ADRs alerts, drug–drug interaction warnings, and dose range checking.3 Recent data suggest that e-prescribing decreases prescribing errors by 50% or more compared with paper-based systems.9 Importantly, prescribing software can effectively ‘deliver’ to the bedside or clinic specialized precision dosing initiatives, such as quantitative pharmacokinetic modelling and simulation (see point 4 below on model-informed precision dosing),23 tailored deprescribing schedules or bespoke institutional dosing protocols.24

  • (3) Initiatives that improve the monitoring of drug responses. Precision dosing using the empirical approach, that is, starting treatment and then adjusting dose according to a biomarker of response,3 can be improved relatively easily by superior patient monitoring and documentation. Interventions that help prescribers achieve this are many and varied, incorporating simple examples such as correct blood pressure measurement in triplicate for patients on antihypertensives, the recording of pain and sedation scores after opioid administration, and the questioning of patients about medication adherence. A standout example in this domain is when close collaboration occurs between doctors and clinical pharmacists at the point of care.25,26 Dedicated clinical pharmacy services dramatically improve the accuracy of medication histories in relation to ADRs, and give prescribers the detail necessary to make superior dosing decisions. Another example is the expected benefits to patient care that will result from the proliferation of novel molecular biomarkers of drug response. Prescribers will need to learn how these biomarkers can be useful for dose selection, for example, plasma factor Xa activity to identify patients on long-term DOACs who are at high risk of bleeding on the approved dose, thus warranting a lower dose.27

  • (4) Greater application of model-informed precision dosing (MIPD), which is biosimulation in health care to predict the best dose for an individual patient.28 The proof of concept for MIPD dates back to the 1970s with digoxin,29 but rapid advances in our understanding of drug action, made possible by affordable ‘-omics’ technologies (genomics, proteomic and metabolomics), in analytical capabilities from biological fluids, and in computer processing power, have accelerated MIPD to the point that broader clinical application is occurring.30 Recent examples of successes include the dosing of antibiotics in critically ill patients who are haemodynamically unstable,31 treatment of invasive fungal infections with voriconazole in immunocompromised patients,32 busulfan in paediatrics prior to haemopoetic stem cell transplantation,33 and targeted pharmacotherapy in haematology and oncology.34 Because MIPD considers how many covariants simultaneously determine exposure–response, including covariants that are novel and unfamiliar (e.g. estimates of drug metabolizing enzyme and transporter abundances),35 MIPD allows prescribers to be ‘pro-active’ in avoiding ADRs rather than ‘reactive’ using trial and error.

In conclusion, this commentary revisits the simple 16th century principle that all drugs are poisons dependent on dose. Reasons are given to emphasize why precision dosing to avoid ADRs is as important today as ever. Strategies to improve precision dosing include establishing better precision dosing targets, easier access to dosing instructions, improved monitoring of patient responses, and further application of MIPD. Precision dosing for each patient can help avoid ADRs, and should be part of routine prescribing rather than as an afterthought following patient harm.

Footnotes

Funding: The author(s) received no financial support for the research, authorship, and publication of this article.

Conflict of interest statement: TMP and ARH are employed by Certara, a company that develops and supplies modelling and simulation software and services to the pharmaceutical industry. CMJK has no conflicts of interest to declare.

ORCID iD: Thomas M. Polasek Inline graphic https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1008-5223

Contributor Information

Thomas M. Polasek, Certara, 100 Overlook Center, Suite 101, Princeton, NJ 08540 USA; Centre for Medicines Use and Safety, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia; Department of Clinical Pharmacology, Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide, Australia.

Carl M. J. Kirkpatrick, Centre for Medicines Use and Safety, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia

Amin Rostami-Hodjegan, Certara, Princeton, New Jersey, USA; Centre for Applied Pharmacokinetic Research, University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.

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