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Published in final edited form as: J Radioanal Nucl Chem. 2019 Sep 4;322(2):263–269. doi: 10.1007/s10967-019-06724-1

Simple methods for calculating activity of a parent-progeny system

Cong Wei 1, Kelly Garnick 1, Thomas Scott 1, Anthony Wetherby 1
PMCID: PMC6980259  NIHMSID: NIHMS1057818  PMID: 31983798

Abstract

Based on the original work of Rutherford (Radio-activity, 1905) and Bateman (Proc Camb Philos Soc 15:423–427, 1910), the authors designed two schemes consisting of explicit equations as simple methods for accurately obtaining activity of 90Sr and 90Y before they reach secular equilibrium. Application of the methods to the 90Sr/90Y system where 90Sr and 90Y are not in equilibrium will substantially reduce the time needed for determining activity of 90Sr because neither sequential measurements of 90Sr or 90Y (up to about 2 weeks) nor waiting for 90Sr and 90Y to reach equilibrium (more than 3 weeks) will be needed. We also implemented the explicit equations for decay/ingrowth correction of progeny’s activity and applied them to the 95Zr/95Nb system. Using the equations, the authors corrected activity concentrations of 95Nb to a designated reference time from the activity concentrations measured from samples at different times, for instance, 2, 8, 15, and 29 days after a reference time. During those measurement times, 95Nb and 95Zr were not in equilibrium. The corrected 95Nb activity concentrations were within an accuracy of − 10%.

Keywords: 89,90Sr/90Y; 95Zr/95Nb; Ingrowth correction; Rapid analysis; Nuclear incident; Secular equilibrium

Introduction

For emergency response to a nuclear incident, the 90Sr/90Y system is especially important because 90Sr is one of the radionuclides of most concern due to its hazardous nature. The capability of providing accurate and rapid 90Sr analytical result will have a great impact on public health during a nuclear emergency response. Rutherford in 1905 presented differential equations to describe the decay of a system consisting of a parent and two successive progenies and deduced a solution to show how the three radioisotopes change with time [1]. In 1910, Bateman expanded the system for more successive progenies and provided a solution with broader applications [2]. There are also some other efforts in providing more general solutions to Bateman equations [3, 4] and algebraic expressions of the equations [5]. We designed schemes and rearranged Rutherford’s equations into explicit formulas which can be directly applied to calculate the 90Y ingrowth as part of a 90Sr/90Y parent-progeny system before it reaches secular equilibrium.

It was also found that correcting 95Nb activity from a measurement time to a reference time is not a straightforward practice [6] and equations for determining 95Nb activity were provided in the referenced article. The provided equations considered 95mNb in the system and involved more in-depth considerations of start and end of acquisition times while obtaining the integrated form of the Bateman equation to determine the 95Nb activity. Later, even more in-depth formulas were communicated for 95Zr and 95Nb chronometry of a nuclear event [7]. During participation in a recent inter-laboratory comparison organized by the US Federal Radiological Monitoring and Assessment Center (FRMAC), it occurred to us that it would benefit the radioanalytical community if explicit equations could be presented for accurately calculating activity considering decay/ingrowth for systems that are not in equilibrium. We implemented two explicit equations and applied the equations to the 95Zr/95Nb system: (1) using the measurement data of both 95Zr and 95Nb to demonstrate the method’s effectiveness and degree of accuracy; (2) assuming the initial progeny’s activity was zero and calculating the progeny’s activity using measured parent’s activities only. Comparison of results obtained from (1) and (2) can yield information for nuclear forensics.

Methods

Based on the original work of Rutherford [1] and Bateman [2], for a successive radioisotope decay system, a progeny’s activity can be expressed as follows:

A2(t)=A2(tref)eλ2(ttref)+λ2p1A1(tref)λ2λ1[eλ1(ttref)eλ2(ttref)] (1)

where A1(tref) is the activity of the parent at a reference time tref, A2(t) is the activity of the progeny at time t, λ1 is the decay constant of the parent, λ2 is the decay constant of progeny, and p1 is the branching ratio of the parent decaying to the progeny. In Rutherford’s solution, A2(tref) = 0 was assumed. If we establish a very clear connection between the data provided by an instrument’s analysis report and the inputs needed for calculating a progeny’s activity using the equations below based on Eq. (1), it will be easier for a radioanalytical analyst to accurately perform decay and ingrowth corrections for systems that have not reached secular equilibrium or in which the equilibrium does not exist. For this purpose, we define

tm0 Start of data acquisition, Δttm0tref.

The activity of the progeny at a reference time tref can be calculated by

A2(tref)={A2(tm0)[λ2p1A1(tref)λ2λ1(eλ1Δteλ2Δt)]}eλ2Δt (2)

where

A2(tm0)=λ21eλ2Δtmf0{Δtmf0A2λ2A1(tm0)λ2λ1×[(1eλ1Δtmf0)λ1(1eλ2Δtmf0)λ2]}, (3)

A2 is the uncorrected progeny’s activity at the beginning of data acquisition, not corrected for ingrowth during the measurement, and tmf is the end time of data acquisition, Δtmf0tmftm0. Specifically, A2 is the net counts divided by the acquisition time interval and the detector efficiency. For a pair of gamma-ray emitters, the net counts also need to be divided by the branching ratio of the peak energy. The above equation for calculating A2(tm0) is used to correct for the decay and ingrowth effect of a progeny during the data acquisition period. Some instrument software has implemented a built-in correction factor in A2 by performing A2/[(1eλ2(tmftm0))/λ2Δtmf0] for the data acquisition period and A2/eλΔt for the time interval between the start of data acqusition and reference time. Those built-in correction factors consider the progeny’s decay only, disregarding the feeding from parent. Therefore, when using Eq. (2), for the software that has the above built-in decay correction factors, the correction needs to be removed by multiplying A2 by (1eλ2(tmftm0))/λ2(tmftm0) and eλΔt to accurately account for decay/ingrowth. If a progeny’s activity change during the data acquisition is negligible (95Nb’s case), Eq. (2) with A2(tm0) ≈ A2 can be directly used for calculating the progeny’s activity, which is a very simple form for correcting decay and ingrowth effects. For instance, the error introduced to A95Nb(tref) because of not accounting decay/ingrowth during acquisition is only about 1% (A95Nbeλ95NbΔt=A95Nbe0.02(d1)×0.5(d)0.99A95Nb) for a 12 h acquisition time and about 0.1% for a 2 h acquisition time. However, Eq. (3) must be used for obtaining A2(tm0) if a progeny’s activity change during the data acquisition is not negligible. Equation (2) clearly shows that to accurately obtain the activity of a progeny at a reference time, the only needed inputs are: (1) the detected activity of progeny A2; (2) the detected activity of parent A1(tref) at the reference time tref; (3) the time interval Δt = tm0tref; (4) Δtmf0 = tmftm0; (5) the branching ratio p1; and (6) the decay constants of both isotopes, λ1 and λ2. The equation for calculating the A2(tref)’s uncertainty can be found in the supplementary materials.

For the cases when only the parent existed at an established time, e.g., the effective time of a nuclear event, t0, the activity of the immediate progeny can also be obtained using Eq. (2) with the inputs of only the parent’s activity A1(t0) and A1(tref) respectively. In this case, A2(t0) = 0 and

A2(tm0)=λ2p1A1(t0)λ2λ1[eλ1ΔtTeλ2ΔtT] (4)

where ΔtTtm0t0. Therefore, Eq. (2) becomes

A2(tref)=λ2p1λ2λ1eλ2Δt{A1(t0)[eλ1ΔtTeλ2ΔtT]A1(tref )[eλ1Δteλ2Δt]} (5)

Both A1(t0) and A1(tref) can be calculated from the parent activity A2(tm0) using A1(t0)=A1(tm0)eλ1ΔtT and A1(tref)=A1(tm0)eλ1Δt. Evaluation of A2(tref) obtained using Eqs. (2) and (5) may yield valuable nuclear forensics information. For instance, if A2(tref)Eq.(2) = A2(tref)Eq.(5), then the progeny did not exist at the beginning of the incident; if A2(tref)Eq.(2)A2(tref)Eq.(5), then the progeny existed at the beginning of the incident and the ratio A2(tref)Eq.(2)/A2(tref)Eq.(5), can be evaluated.

While activity was used as the measurand (unit = Bq) in Eqs. (1), (2), (3), (4), and (5), the equations and the following derived equations also hold true for activity concentration and can be directly used for calculating activity concentration (e.g., Bq/kg) should the unit be required for reporting purposes.

90Sr/90Y system

There has been substantial research conducted for 90Sr analysis [820]. One of the representative methods for obtaining 90Sr activity requires separating other elements, including yttrium, from strontium, then taking the difference of activity obtained using Cerenkov counting 89Sr/90Y and liquid scintillation counting (LSC) 89Sr/90Sr/90Y, and then sequential measurements for 90Sr determination considering the ingrowth of 90Y or measuring either 90Y or 90Sr when they reached secular equilibrium [2127]. Sequential measurements or waiting for equilibrium to be reached takes weeks and requires significantly more laboratory resources for obtaining reliable data, which will result in the delayed analytical results needed urgently during a nuclear emergency response. Below, we present two schemes with explixit equations that can be used for rapidly and accurately obtaining the 90Sr activity. First, we will evaluate the 90Y ingrowth effect on a 90Sr measurement.

90Y ingrowth effect on Sr-90 measurement

After strontium is separated from other elements, if 90Sr could be decoupled from 89Sr, then the remaining activity is actually the combined activity of 90Sr and 90Y. The combined activity can be obtained using Eq. (6):

A(tm0)Sr90/Y90=ASr90(tsep)eλ1Δt+λ2ASr90(tsep)λ2λ1[eλ1Δteλ2Δt] (6)

where Δt = tseptm0 is the time interval between the start of the measurement time, tm0, and the effective moment of 90Sr separation, tsep. Using Eq. (6), we obtain

A(tm0)Sr90/Y90ASr90(tm0)ASr90(tm0)100={λ2λ2λ1[1e(λ2λ1)Δt]}100 (7)

Equation (7) can be used to evaluate the 90Y ingrowth with time. For instance, one hour after strontium separation from other elements, there will be about 1% 90Y due to ingrowth, and after 12 h, there will be about 12% 90Y due to ingrowth. For accurately obtaining 90Sr activity before 90Sr/90Y secular equilibrium is reached, we designed the following two analytical schemes:

Scheme 1 Isolating Yttrium

To obtain the 90Sr activity in a sample, the sample needs to be homogenized and divided into two subsamples. The steps for isolation and measurement of the two subsamples are shown in Fig. 1 below:

Fig. 1.

Fig. 1

Steps for obtaining 90Sr activity using Isolating Yttrium scheme

Step 1 Separate yttrium from other elements in subsample 1 at tsep1 and count 90Y at tm1 with either a gas proportional counter or liquid scintillation counter.

Step 2 Separate yttrium from other elements in subsample 2 at tsep2 and count 90Y at tm2 with either a gas proportional counter or liquid scintillation counter.

At tsep2, the 90Y activity in subsample 2 came from two sources:

Source 1: The existing 90Y activity at tsep1:

A90Y(tsep1)A90Y(tsep1)eλ2Δt2 (8)

Source 2: The 90Y activity produced from ingrwoth:

A90Sr(tsep1)λ2A90Sr(tsep1)λ2λ1[eλ1Δt2eλ2Δt2] (9)

Adding the two sources together yields the 90Y activity at tsep2:

A90Y(tsep2)=A90Y(tsep1)eλ2Δt2+λ2A90Sr(tsep1)λ2λ1[eλ1Δt2eλ2Δt2] (10)

Rearranging Eq. (10), one can derive the following equation for calculating the 90Sr activity:

A90Sr(tsep1)=λ2λ1λ2[eλ1Δt2eλ2Δt2]{A90Y(tsep2)A90Y(tsep1)eλ2Δt2} (11)
A90Sr(tsep1)=λ2λ1λ2[eλ1Δt2eλ2Δt2]×{A90Y(tm2)eλ2Δt3A90Y(tm1)eλ2(Δt2Δt1)} (12)

where A90Y(tsep1)=A90Y(tm1)eλ2Δt1, A90Y(tsep2)=A90Y(tm2)eλ2Δt3, tsep1 ≡ Yttrium separation time of subsample 1, tm1 ≡ Start of 90Y data acquisition for subsample 1, tsep2 ≡ Yttrium separation time of subsample 2, tm2 ≡ Start of 90Ydata acquisition for subsample 2, Δt1tm1tsep1, Δt2tsep2tsep1, Δt3tm2tsep2, A90Y(tm1) is measured 90Y activity of subsample 1 at tm1, A90Y(tm2) is the measured 90Y activity of subsample 2 at tm2.

Scheme 2 (1) Isolating Strontium, (2) Isolating Yttrium

As shown in Fig. 2, the following steps are used for obtaining 90Sr activity from ingrowth of 90Y activity.

Fig. 2.

Fig. 2

Steps for obtaining 90Sr activity using Scheme 2

Step 1, separate strontium and retain the strontium portion.

Step 2, wait a certain time, e.g., a half day, separate yttrium from the retained strontium portion.

Step 3, count extracted yttrium with either gas proportional counter or liquid scintillation counter.

With this separation sequence, the detected 90Y activity will be only originated from ingrowth. Therefore, the activity can be expressed as follows:

AY90(tm)=AY90(tYsep)eλ2Δt2=λ2ASr90(tSrsep)λ2λ1[eλ1Δt1eλ2Δt1]eλ2Δt2

and

ASr90(tSrsep)=AY90(tm)λ2λ1λ2[eλ1Δt1eλ2Δt1]eλ2Δt2 (13)

Once ASr-90(tSr-sep) is obtained, using the Scheme 2 as an example, the 90Sr activity at a reference time is,:

ASr90(tref)=ASr90(tSrsep)eλ1Δt3=AY90(tm)λ2λ1λ2[eλ1Δt1eλ2Δt1]eλ2Δt2+λ1Δt3 (14)

where tSr-sep is the time when strontium is separated, tY-sep is the time when yttrium is separated, tm is the start of 90Y data acquisition, tref is a designated reference time of interest for 90Sr, Δt1 = tY-septSr-sep, Δt2 = tmtY-sep, Δt3 = tSr-septref, AY-90(tm) is the 90Y activity measured at tm, ASr-90(tSr-sep) is the 90Sr activity calculated at tSr-sep using Eq. (13), ASr-90(tref) is the 90Sr activity calculated at tref using Eq. (14).

We may use the Eqs. (13) or (14) to provide some guidance on the correlation of needed detection limit for 90Y, 90Y ingrowth time, and the time between yttrium separation and measurement to the 90Sr activity level of interest. Equation (12) can also be used for the same purpose.

Using schemes 1 and 2, we may accurately and rapidly obtain the activity of both 90Sr and 90Y. Therefore, if an additional portion of a sample is used for measuring the total activity of 89Sr/90Sr/90Y, Atotal(tm), at the same time as that for 90Sr and 90Y, then we may use the following equation ASr−89(tm) = Atotal(tm) – ASr−90(tm) – AY−90(tm) to obtain the activity of 89Sr.

95Zr/95Nb system

The decay scheme of 95Zr to 95Nb includes two decay routes:

  1. 95Zrbranching ratio :0.989295Nb and

  2. 95Zrbranching ratio :0.010895mNb and branching ratio :0.97595Nb.

In this article, we focus on route (1) because about 99% of the 95Nb activity is generated through this route. The same method can be used for ingrowth correction for 95Nb generated from 95mNb decay via route (2) using Eq. (15) if the activity concentration of 95mNb at a reference time was obtained. We may also note that the amount of 95Nb produced from route (2) is only about 1% of total 95Nb produced from the decay of 95Zr. Both Eq. (2) with A2(tm0) ≈ A2 and Eq. (5) were used for correcting various measured activity concentrations of 95Nb to a reference time. The following equation should be used if the 95mNb’s contribution to the 95Nb activity needs to be considered for a more accurate result required for metrology purpose:

ANb95(tref)={ANb95(tm0)[λ2p1AZr95(tref)λ2λ1(eλ1Δteλ2Δt)][λ2p2ANb95m(tref)λ2λ3(eλ3Δteλ2Δt)]}eλ2Δt (15)

where

λ1 is the decay constant of 95Zr, λ2 is the decay constant of 95Nb, λ3 is the decay constant of 95mNb, p1 = 0.9892 is the branching ratio of 95Zr to 95Nb, p2 = 0.975 is the the branching ratio of 95mNb to 95Nb, tref is a designated reference time, tm0 is the start of data acquisition, Δt = treftm0, ANb-95(tm0) is the measured 95Nb activity at tm0, and ANb-95m(tref) can be obtained using Eq. (2). The experimental descriptions, results and discussion for 95Zr/95Nb system are presented in the next section.

Experimental

The measurement data were obtained from a Macon soil sample (~ 800 g in a 500 mL wide mouth bottle) and an air filter sample provided by Eckert & Ziegler Analytics Inc. (EZA). “Macon soil” is the product name provided by the inter-laboratory comparison sample provider. These samples were custom-made for an inter-laboratory comparison and contained a mixture of fresh fission products with an approximate total activity of 37 kBq in the soil and 18.5 kBq in the air filter. The reference time was set at 22 days after the end of the irradiation period. Data were collected using two high purity germanium detectors (~ 67% relative efficiency) with a resolution of < 2 keV FWHM @1332 keV (60Co). The Lynx® multi channel analyzer (MCA) (Mirion technologies (Canberra), Inc.) was used for data acquisition and Canberra Genie 2000/Apex-Gamma™ was used for data processing. The amplifier gain was adjusted to obtain approximately 0.5 keV per channel energy calibration. Detector efficiency curves were created using laboratory sourceless calibration software (LabSOCS™) (Mirion technologies (Canberra), Inc.) utilizing the custom beaker template to create models matching the sample geometries. The weighted average activity was used for calculating the activity of the identified radioisotopes. The samples were counted as received for either 12 h (day 2 and 29) or 2 h (day 8 and 15).

Results and discussion

We used Eqs. (2) and (5) to obtain the activity concentration of 95Nb at a predetermined reference time with measured activity concentrations of 95Zr and 95Nb at the following days after the reference time: days 2, 8, 15, 29. The spectrometer software did not have the functionality for ingrowth correction. Therefore, measured activity concentrations of 95Nb needed to be corrected. Table 1 gives an example of data needed from an instrument analysis report and physical constants as inputs for using Eq. (2).

Table 1.

Inputs needed for decay/ingrowth correction using Eq. (2), sample: air filter

Δt=tm0tref (days) AZr−95(tref) (Bq/kg) ANb−95(tm) (Bq/kg) λZr−95 (day−1) λNb−95 (day−1) p1
29 1.29E+03 7.68E+02 ln(2)/64.032 ln(2)/34.991 0.9892

Table 2 shows an example of the decay-and ingrowth-corrected activity concentrations of 95Nb at the reference time from data collected at day 29 using Eqs. (2) and (5). The activity concentrations of 95Nb at the reference time obtained from data collected at days 2, 9, and 15 are submitted in a separate supplemental data file. Without knowing the correct way of correcting the progeny’s ingrowth, one would normally either assume that the system is at secular equilibrium state and calculate the progeny’s activity concentration using the simple exponential decay law with the parent’s decay constant or assume that the progeny simply follows the exponential decay law with its own decay constant. To illustrate the errors that would have been introduced if Eq. (2) or (5) was not used, we calculated 95Nb’s activity concentrations, also shown in Table 2, using ANb95(tref)=ANb95(tm)eλZr95(tmtref), i.e. assuming 95Zr and 95Nb were at secular equilibrium. Table 2 and the supplemental data indicated that Eqs. (2) and (5) yield much more accurate results compared to the results obtained by simply using the exponential decay law especially when the measurement time is farther away from the reference time. For the soil sample, using Eqs. (2) and (5), we were able to correct the activity concentration of 95Nb to a reference time within an accuracy of −10% compared to the 95Nb(tref) value provided by EZA. For the air filter sample, we were able to correct the activity concentration of 95Nb to a reference time within −3% accuracy comparing to the 95Nb(tref) value provided by EZA.

Table 2.

Ingrowth-corrected 95Nb activity concentration (Bq/kg) at a reference time using Eq. (2), Eq. (5), and without considering 95Nb ingrowth, Δt = tm0tref = 29 days. Sample: Macon soil, EZA value: 1.26E+03 Bq/kg; sample: air filter, EZA value: 5.2E+02 Bq/kg

Equation (2) Equation (5) A(tm)eλZr95Δt
ANb−95(tref) ± 1σ (Bq/kg) 1.2E+03 1.16E+03 2.4E+03
Sample: Macon soil ± 2E+02 ± 9E+01 ± 3E+02
ANb−95(tref) ± 1σ (Bq/kg) 5.2E+02 5.1E+02 1.1E+03
Sample: air filter ± 9E+01 ± 4E+01 ± 1.3E+02

Conclusions

Based on the data obtained from the 95Zr/95Nb system, we may conclude that the presented methods can be used for accurately calculating the activity of a parent-progeny system. As shown in Table 2, comparing the activity concentrations of 95Nb(tref) obtained using Eqs. (2) and (5) assuming 95Nb(t = 0) not present, one can conclude that 95Nb was not present at the irradiation day and it was produced only by the decay of 95Zr. Therefore, comparing the activity of the progeny at a reference time using Eqs. (2) and (5) will yield information on whether the progeny existed at the beginning of a nuclear event and the ratio of the progeny’s activity obtained using Eqs. (2) and (5) will yield useful information for nuclear forensics. The schemes and analytical solutions presented for a non-equilibrated 90Sr/90Y system will enable a radio-analytical laboratory to provide accurate 90Sr activity data and reduce the turnaround time from weeks to a few days for responding to a nuclear incident. The schemes 1 and 2 for rapidly obtaining 90Sr activity by separating and measuring 90Y are especially useful for removing 89Sr’s interference in 90Sr determinations.

Supplementary Material

Attachment 1
Attachment 2
Attachment 3

Acknowledgements

The authors wish to thank Brian Baker and Patrick Regan of FDA/ORA/WEAC for their support of this work. The authors also wish to thank the FRMAC organizers especially Phil Torretto for the inter-laboratory comparison study opportunity. In addition, the authors wish to acknowledge Larry Jassin at EZA for providing us with blank air filter samples before the exercise.

Footnotes

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this document are those of the authors and should not be interpreted as the official opinion or policy of the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, Department of Health and Human Services, or any other agency or component of the U.S. government. The mention of trade names, commercial products, or organizations is for clarification of the methods used and should not be interpreted as an endorsement of a product or manufacturer.

Electronic supplementary material The online version of this article (https://doi.org/10.1007/s10967-019-06724-1) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Publisher’s Note Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

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