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Published in final edited form as: Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev. 2019 Dec 11;29(2):500–508. doi: 10.1158/1055-9965.EPI-19-0456

Phytoestrogens and Thyroid Cancer Risk: A Population-Based Case-Control Study in Connecticut

Qian Wang 1,2, Huang Huang 2, Nan Zhao 3, Xin Ni 4, Robert Udelsman 5, Yawei Zhang 2,6
PMCID: PMC7007342  NIHMSID: NIHMS1546224  PMID: 31826911

Abstract

Background

Very few previous studies have examined the relationship between thyroid cancer risk and intake of phytoestrogens (PEs); furthermore, these studies have reached inconsistent results.

Methods

We analyzed data from a population-based case-control study in Connecticut in 2010–2011 including 387 histologically-confirmed thyroid cancer cases and 433 population-based controls, with compound data available concerning specific PEs. Multivariate unconditional logistic regression models were used to estimate the associations between specific PEs and the risk of thyroid cancer, adjusting for potential confounders.

Results

An elevated risk of thyroid cancer was associated with moderate to high levels of coumestrol intake (OR = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.39–4.43 for 40–80 μg/day; OR = 2.41, 95% CI: 1.32–4.40 for 80–130 μg/day; and OR = 2.38, 95% CI: 1.26–4.50 for > 200 μg/day compared to < 40 μg/day), and the main elevation in risk appeared among microcarcinomas (≤ 1 cm). A decreased risk of papillary macrocarcinomas (> 1 cm; OR = 0.26, 95% CI: 0.08–0.85 for 1860–3110 μg/day compared to < 760 μg/day) was associated with moderate genistein intake among women.

Conclusions

Our study suggests that high coumestrol intake increases the risk of thyroid cancer, especially microcarcinomas, while moderate amounts of genistein intake appear to be protective for females with thyroid macrocarcinomas.

Impact

The study highlights the importance of distinguishing between microcarcinomas and macrocarcinomas in future research on the etiology of thyroid cancer.

Keywords: thyroid cancer, phytoestrogens, case-control study, tumor size, microcarcinomas

Introduction

Over the past few decades, the age-adjusted incidence rate of thyroid cancer has been rapidly increasing worldwide (1). Compared to all other cancer types, the age-adjusted incidence rate of thyroid cancer has increased the fastest, from 8.74/100,000 in women and 3.38/100,000 in men in 1994 to 21.43/100,000 in women and 7.371/100,000 in men in 2015 (https://seer.cancer.gov/archive/csr/1975_2015/). It is now the fifth most common cancer among women in the United States (2). While improvements in diagnostic technology such as fine needle aspiration with ultrasound guidance may be associated with increased detection of microcarcinomas (diameter ≤ 1 cm), the incidences of both smaller-size tumors and larger-size tumors are increasing (1,3,4). Furthermore, studies have shown that approximately fifty percent of the variability in thyroid cancer incidence rates in the United States could not be explained by the theory of “over-diagnosis” (5,6). Established risk factors for thyroid cancer include female gender, radiation exposure to the head and neck, high body mass index (BMI), history of benign thyroid diseases, and family history of thyroid cancer (710). It has been suggested that nutritional factors are associated with the development of thyroid cancer (11,12). However, research on the effects of consuming foods rich in phytoestrogens (PEs) has been controversial (7,8,1318).

PEs include isoflavonoids (genistein, daidzein, and glycitein), lignans, and coumestans (including coumestrol). Dietary PEs mostly come from beans, soy products, and foods with added soy protein or soy flour (19). Previous studies have indicated that PE-rich diets may be associated with a decreased risk of breast cancer and prostate cancer (12,2024). As endocrine-disrupting compounds (EDCs), PEs could also potentially affect thyroid cancer risk by affecting synthesis of thyroid hormones (TH), altering thyroid stimulating hormone (TSH) levels (25), and interacting with estrogen receptors (ERs) (24,2628).

After the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) declared that PEs have a protective effect against coronary heart disease in 1999, the sale of soy foods (only those marketed as soy products, not including foods with added soy flour and/or protein) expanded from $1 billion in 1996 to $4.5 billion in 2009 (12). Therefore, the possible influence of soy foods and their major component PEs on thyroid cancer risk warrants further investigation.

Methods

The study population has been described elsewhere (2934). In brief, cases were histologically-confirmed thyroid cancer patients (ICD-O-3: 8021, 8050, 8052, 8130, 8260, 8290, 8330–8332, 8335, 8340–8346, 8450, 8452, 8510) in Connecticut diagnosed between 2010 and 2011. Subjects eligible for the study were aged between 21 and 84 years at diagnosis, alive at the time of interview, and had no prior cancer diagnoses, except for non-melanoma skin cancer. Cases were identified through the Yale Cancer Center’s Rapid Case Ascertainment Shared Resource (RCA). A total of 701 eligible thyroid cancer cases were identified during the study period with 462 (65.9%) completing in-person interviews. Population-based controls with Connecticut addresses were recruited using a random digit dialing method based on both cell phone and landline numbers. A total of 498 subjects participated in the study, with a participation rate of 61.5%. Cases and controls were frequency matched by age (≤ 5 years apart). Distributions of age, gender, and race were similar between the participants and non-participants for both cases and controls.

All procedures were performed following a protocol approved by the Human Investigations Committee at Yale and the Connecticut Department of Public Health. Eligible participants were reached by letter and then by phone once approved by the hospitals and by each subject’s physician (for cancer cases), or following selection through random sampling (for the control population). After obtaining written consent, eligible participants were interviewed by trained interviewers and a food frequency questionnaire (FFQ) was administered to determine their diverse diets. The frequency and amount of consumption of previously-validated PE-rich food were captured (35). These include: soy-based foods (including tofu, soy burgers or soy meat-substitutes, soymilk, bean soup, and beans), foods with added soy flour (including doughnuts, sweet rolls, Danish, pop-tarts, white bread, pancakes, waffles and French toast), as well as foods with added soy protein (including canned tuna). Additionally, a standardized, structured questionnaire was used to obtain information on major known or suspected risk factors that might confound the association between PE-rich food intake and risk of thyroid cancer. Specific PE amounts were calculated by using Diet*Calc Analysis Software version 1.5.0, which generates nutrient estimates based on the FFQ. The six compounds examined represent two major PE types found in foods: the isoflavones: genistein, daidzein, biochanin A, formononetin, and glycitein; and the coumestan: coumestrol.

Unconditional logistic regression was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI). All cut-points of each PE subtype and of PE-rich food intake were based on the distribution among controls. We also restricted our analyses to papillary and well-differentiated thyroid cancer subtypes (the papillary and follicular subtypes were combined due to the small sample size of follicular carcinoma). In order to exam the effects of PEs on tumor size, analyses were conducted by dividing the cases into two groups according to the tumor size (microcarcinomas ≤ 1 cm, macrocarcinomas > 1 cm) among papillary carcinomas. We also analyzed thyroid cancer among women because the number of men was too small for a meaningful analysis.

After excluding participants who did not respond to the FFQ, 387 cases (83.8%) and 433 controls (86.9%) were included in the final analysis. Age, gender, race, family history of cancer of any kind, education, BMI, previous benign thyroid diseases, history of radiation exposure, previous alcohol consumption, smoking history, daily caloric intake, percentage of calories from fat, total carotenoid intake, vitamin C intake, vitamin E intake, and fiber intake were considered as potential confounding variables. Among female subjects, additional controlled confounders included age at menarche, use of oral contraceptives, age at first full-term pregnancy, menopausal status, and estrogen use. Decisions on which covariates to include in the final model were based on a greater than 10% change in the estimates. Tests for linear trends were calculated by using each individual PE variable as continuous variables in the multivariate unconditional logistic regression models. Statistical analyses for this study were performed using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC, USA). Results were considered statistically significant when 2-sided p-values were <0.05.

Results

As illustrated in Table 1, cases tended to be less educated and had a higher BMI when compared to controls. Cases were more likely to have prior benign thyroid diseases and less likely to consume alcohol. Cases were also more likely to be female compared to controls. Distributions of race, family history of cancer of any kind, smoking, previous radiation exposure, daily caloric intake, percentage of calories from fat, vitamin C intake, Vitamin E intake, and fiber intake were similar between cases and controls. The baseline characteristics of those who had available PE data were similar to the overall study population.

Table 1.

Selected characteristics among thyroid cancer cases and controls.

Cases (n=387)a
Controls (n=433)a
p-value
# % # %
Age (years) <0.01
 Mean (SD) 51.7 (12.3) 54.8 (12.5)
 <40 68 17.6 48 11.1
 40- 93 24.0 108 24.9
 50- 125 32.3 121 27.9
 60- 74 19.1 93 21.5
 ≥ 70 27 7.0 63 14.6
Gender <0.01
 Female 317 81.9 306 70.7
 Male 70 18.1 127 29.3
Race 0.51
 White 348 89.9 394 91.2
 Black 16 4.1 20 4.6
 Other 23 5.9 18 4.2
BMI (kg/m2) <0.01
 <25 126 32.6 176 40.7
 25–29.99 116 30.0 146 33.7
 ≥30 143 37.0 106 24.5
Education <0.01
 High school or less 107 27.7 73 16.9
 Some college 24 6.2 23 5.3
 College graduate or more 243 62.8 323 74.6
 Others 12 3.1 11 2.5
Family history of any cancer 0.33
 None 112 28.9 139 32.1
 Any cancer 275 71.1 294 67.9
Prior benign thyroid diseaseb <0.01
 Yes 227 58.7 14 3.2
 No 160 41.3 419 96.8
Previous radiation exposurec 0.63
 Yes 385 99.7 427 99.5
 No 1 0.3 2 0.5
Alcohol consumptiond <0.01
 Never 223 57.6 193 44.3
 Ever 163 42.1 238 55.2
Smokinge 0.54
 Never 270 70.0 293 68.0
 Ever 116 30.0 138 32.0
Daily caloric intake (kcal/day) 2399 ± 1823 2475 ± 966 0.45
% of calories from fat 36% ± 6% 35% ± 5% 0.12
Total carotenoid intake (mcg/day)f 7338 ± 9229 9098 ± 12750 0.03
Vitamin C intake (mg/day)f 305 ± 313 321 ± 273 0.45
Vitamin E intake (mg/day)f 45 ± 99 42 ± 87 0.67
Fiber intake (g/day) 24 ± 20 26 ± 13 0.24
a

Numbers may not sum to total due to missing data.

b

Benign thyroid diseases included hyperthyroidism, hypothyroidism, goiter, thyroid nodules, and thyroid adenoma.

c

Previous radiation exposure included previous diagnostic and therapeutic radiation exposure.

d

Ever alcohol consumption was defined as ever had more than 12 drinks of alcoholic beverages, such as beer, wine, or liquor. 1 drink beer = 1can or bottle; 1 drink wine = 14 oz. glass; 1 drunk liquor = 1 shot.

e

Ever smoking was defined as ever smoked a total of 100 cigarettes or more.

f

Both food sources and supplements.

Compared to those whose consumption of coumestrol was less than 40 μg/day (Table 2), individuals who consumed 40–80 μg/day (OR = 2.48, 95% CI: 1.39–4.43), 80–130 μg/day (OR = 2.41, 95% CI: 1.32–4.40), or > 200 μg/day (OR = 2.38, 95% CI: 1.26–4.50) experienced an increased risk of thyroid cancer, although the linear trend was not statistically significant (p for linear trend = 0.25). Other specific PEs, total isoflavones, and total PEs were not statistically significantly associated with thyroid cancer risk. Similar patterns were noticed for papillary and well-differentiated carcinomas. No significant associations between intake of soy-based foods, foods with added soy flour, and foods with added soy protein and thyroid cancer risk were observed (Supplementary Tables S1–5).

Table 2.

Risk of thyroid cancer associated with phytoestrogen intake among all cases and by histology subtypes.

Phytoestrogen Intake Controls (n=433) All cases (n=387) Papillary (n=328) Well differentiated (n=377)

# Cases ORa 95% CI Cases ORa 95% CI Cases ORa 95% CI
Genistein (μg/day)
 <760 88 81 1.00 - 70 1.00 - 78 1.00 -
 760–1260 85 66 0.93 (0.51, 1.68) 55 0.73 (0.39, 1.37) 66 0.95 (0.52, 1.72)
 1260–1860 86 74 1.06 (0.60, 1.88) 66 1.09 (0.61, 1.96) 73 1.10 (0.62, 1.94)
 1860–3110 87 83 0.97 (0.54, 1.71) 69 0.74 (0.40, 1.36) 80 0.93 (0.52, 1.67)
 >3110 87 83 1.21 (0.69, 2.12) 68 0.98 (0.54, 1.76) 80 1.18 (0.67, 2.07)
 P for linear trend 0.25 0.44 0.31
Daidzein (μg/day)
 < 530 88 73 1.00 - 62 1.00 - 70 1.00 -
 530–910 85 72 1.31 (0.72, 2.36) 62 1.08 (0.58, 2.01) 72 1.35 (0.74, 2.45)
 910–1310 86 76 1.30 (0.73, 2.32) 69 1.35 (0.75, 2.43) 75 1.34 (0.75, 2.40)
 1310–2240 87 86 1.26 (0.70, 2.24) 71 0.98 (0.53, 1.81) 82 1.20 (0.67, 2.16)
 >2240 87 80 1.35 (0.76, 2.39) 64 1.12 (0.61, 2.05) 78 1.35 (0.75, 2.41)
 P for linear trend 0.26 0.45 0.32
Biochanin A (μg/day)
 <30 108 136 1.00 - 105 1.00 - 126 1.00 -
 30–50 81 70 0.74 (0.43, 1.27) 63 0.78 (0.44, 1.37) 70 0.81 (0.47, 1.39)
 50–70 77 62 0.79 (0.45, 1.36) 53 0.84 (0.47, 1.50) 62 0.86 (0.49, 1.49)
 70–120 91 67 0.70 (0.41, 1.21) 61 0.83 (0.47, 1.47) 67 0.76 (0.44, 1.32)
 >120 76 52 0.60 (0.33, 1.08) 46 0.67 (0.36, 1.25) 52 0.64 (0.35, 1.15)
 P for linear trend 0.64 0.97 0.74
Formononetin (μg/day)
 0 93 101 1.00 - 82 1.00 - 96 1.00 -
 0–10 153 133 1.05 (0.64, 1.71) 118 1.21 (0.72, 2.02) 129 1.09 (0.66, 1.79)
 10–20 81 50 0.80 (0.44, 1.43) 39 0.87 (0.46, 1.63) 50 0.85 (0.47, 1.54)
 20–30 27 33 0.87 (0.39, 1.92) 30 1.11 (0.49, 2.51) 33 0.93 (0.42, 2.06)
 >30 79 70 0.98 (0.55, 1.73) 59 1.02 (0.56, 1.89) 69 1.00 (0.56, 1.79)
 P for linear trend 0.79 0.77 0.85
Glycitein (μg/day)
 <100 94 82 1.00 - 69 1.00 - 79 1.00 -
 100–170 81 69 1.34 (0.75, 2.39) 59 1.22 (0.66, 2.25) 69 1.40 (0.78, 2.50)
 170–260 89 78 1.21 (0.69, 2.14) 69 1.20 (0.67, 2.16) 77 1.24 (0.70, 2.20)
 260–430 86 76 1.07 (0.60, 1.92) 64 0.93 (0.50, 1.72) 73 1.05 (0.58, 1.89)
 >430 83 82 1.45 (0.83, 2.53) 67 1.26 (0.70, 2.28) 79 1.41 (0.80, 2.48)
 P for linear trend 0.26 0.45 0.33
Total Isoflavones (μg/day)
 <1410 88 81 1.00 - 69 1.00 - 78 1.00 -
 1410–2240 85 62 0.90 (0.50, 1.64) 53 0.71 (0.38, 1.34) 62 0.92 (0.50, 1.68)
 2240–3280 89 82 1.16 (0.66, 2.03) 74 1.21 (0.68, 2.14) 81 1.19 (0.68, 2.09)
 3280–5440 84 79 1.00 (0.56, 1.80) 65 0.76 (0.41, 1.42) 76 0.97 (0.54, 1.75)
 >5440 87 83 1.25 (0.72, 2.18) 67 1.01 (0.56, 1.83) 80 1.21 (0.69, 2.13)
 P for linear trend 0.25 0.44 0.31
Coumestrol (μg/day)
 <40 94 76 1.00 - 63 1.00 - 71 1.00 -
 40–80 85 117 2.48 (1.39, 4.43) 103 2.80 (1.51, 5.19) 115 2.53 (1.41, 4.57)
 80–130 88 74 2.41 (1.32, 4.40) 59 2.50 (1.31, 4.78) 73 2.49 (1.35, 4.59)
 130–200 88 54 1.45 (0.77, 2.73) 48 1.60 (0.82, 3.14) 54 1.53 (0.81, 2.91)
 >200 78 66 2.38 (1.26, 4.50) 55 2.56 (1.30, 5.06) 64 2.43 (1.27, 4.65)
 P for linear trend 0.25 0.18 0.26
Total Phytoestrogens (μg/day)
 <1510 87 81 1.00 - 69 1.00 - 78 1.00 -
 1510–2470 86 77 1.15 (0.64, 2.05) 67 0.97 (0.53, 1.77) 77 1.19 (0.66, 2.13)
 2470–3400 86 65 1.18 (0.67, 2.10) 57 1.21 (0.67, 2.19) 64 1.22 (0.68, 2.18)
 3400–5560 87 79 0.94 (0.52, 1.70) 66 0.74 (0.40, 1.39) 76 0.92 (0.50, 1.66)
 >5560 87 85 1.36 (0.78, 2.37) 69 1.13 (0.63, 2.04) 82 1.32 (0.75, 2.33)
 P for linear trend 0.25 0.44 0.31
a

Adjusted for age, gender, race, family history of any cancer, education, BMI, history of benign thyroid disease, and previous alcohol consumption.

After stratification by tumor size (Table 3), statistically significant associations with coumestrol intake were mainly observed for microcarcinomas (OR = 4.33, 95% CI: 1.86–10.07 for 40–80 μg/day; OR = 4.38, 95% CI: 1.79–10.71 for 80–130 μg/day; and OR = 3.11, 95% CI: 1.22–7.91 for >200 μg/day compared to <40 μg/day) (p for linear trend = 0.34). Individuals who consumed 40–80 μg/day also showed an increased risk of macrocarcinomas (OR = 2.31, 95% CI: 1.09–4.86).

Table 3.

Risk of thyroid cancer associated with phytoestrogen intake for thyroid cancer among papillary carcinomas by tumor size.

Phytoestrogen Intake Controls (n=433) Papillary carcinoma
≤ 1 cm (n=158)
> 1 cm (n=167)
Cases ORa 95% CI Cases ORa 95% CI
Genistein (μg/day)
 <760 88 37 1.00 - 31 1.00 -
 760–1260 85 25 0.54 (0.24, 1.24) 30 0.86 (0.39, 1.91)
 1260–1860 86 33 1.12 (0.55, 2.30) 33 1.06 (0.49, 2.29)
 1860–3110 87 34 0.61 (0.28, 1.33) 34 0.75 (0.34, 1.68)
 >3110 87 29 0.78 (0.36, 1.67) 39 1.19 (0.56, 2.53)
 P for linear trend 0.71 0.15
Daidzein (μg/day)
 < 530 88 32 1.00 - 28 1.00 -
 530–910 85 31 0.93 (0.42, 2.05) 31 1.07 (0.48, 2.42)
 910–1310 86 33 1.38 (0.66, 2.87) 36 1.39 (0.65, 3.00)
 1310–2240 87 35 0.84 (0.39, 1.82) 35 0.87 (0.39, 1.96)
 >2240 87 27 0.88 (0.40, 1.94) 37 1.34 (0.61, 2.92)
 P for linear trend 0.70 0.15
Biochanin A (μg/day)
 <30 108 49 1.00 - 55 1.00 -
 30–50 81 37 1.04 (0.51, 2.12) 26 0.67 (0.32, 1.41)
 50–70 77 25 0.90 (0.42, 1.92) 27 0.84 (0.40, 1.76)
 70–120 91 30 1.00 (0.49, 2.07) 31 0.65 (0.31, 1.37)
 >120 76 17 0.60 (0.25, 1.41) 28 0.68 (0.32, 1.49)
 P for linear trend 0.61 0.34
Formononetin (μg/day)
 0 93 41 1.00 - 41 1.00 -
 0–10 153 54 1.11 (0.57, 2.16) 63 1.13 (0.59, 2.16)
 10–20 81 22 0.89 (0.41, 1.97) 17 0.74 (0.32, 1.72)
 20–30 27 15 1.22 (0.44, 3.36) 14 0.96 (0.34, 2.72)
 >30 79 26 0.97 (0.45, 2.11) 32 1.05 (0.48, 2.28)
 P for linear trend 0.76 0.59
Glycitein (μg/day)
 <100 94 36 1.00 - 32 1.00 -
 100–170 81 31 1.34 (0.63, 2.87) 27 1.10 (0.48, 2.50)
 170–260 89 33 1.14 (0.54, 2.39) 36 1.30 (0.61, 2.74)
 260–430 86 33 0.92 (0.42, 2.00) 31 0.87 (0.38, 1.96)
 >430 83 25 1.01 (0.46, 2.20) 41 1.54 (0.73, 3.25)
 P for linear trend 0.69 0.15
Total Isoflavones (μg/day)
 <1410 88 36 1.00 - 31 1.00 -
 1410–2240 85 24 0.69 (0.31, 1.55) 29 0.64 (0.28, 1.45)
 2240–3280 89 37 1.25 (0.61, 2.57) 37 1.15 (0.54, 2.43)
 3280–5440 84 33 0.73 (0.33, 1.61) 31 0.65 (0.29, 1.48)
 >5440 87 28 0.86 (0.40, 1.87) 39 1.13 (0.53, 2.38)
 P for linear trend 0.70 0.15
Coumestrol (μg/day)
 <40 94 24 1.00 - 39 1.00 -
 40–80 85 56 4.33 (1.86, 10.07) 47 2.31 (1.09, 4.86)
 80–130 88 31 4.38 (1.79, 10.71) 27 1.46 (0.64, 3.30)
 130–200 88 23 2.29 (0.91, 5.78) 24 1.32 (0.57, 3.08)
 >200 78 24 3.11 (1.22, 7.91) 30 2.17 (0.94, 5.02)
 P for linear trend 0.34 0.50
Total Phytoestrogens (μg/day)
 <1510 87 36 1.00 - 31 1.00 -
 1510–2470 86 31 0.88 (0.40, 1.92) 36 1.09 (0.50, 2.37)
 2470–3400 86 30 1.32 (0.63, 2.76) 27 1.18 (0.54, 2.59)
 3400–5560 87 31 0.63 (0.28, 1.42) 34 0.72 (0.32, 1.65)
 >5560 87 30 1.00 (0.46, 2.15) 39 1.30 (0.61, 2.77)
 P for linear trend 0.71 0.15
a

Adjusted for age, gender, race, family history of any cancer, education, BMI, history of benign thyroid disease, and previous alcohol consumption.

When the analyses were restricted to females (Table 4), a statistically significant increase in risk was only seen among those who had a coumestrol intake of 40–80 μg/day (OR = 2.08, 95% CI: 1.01–4.29) compared with those who had an intake of less than 40 μg/day. Similar patterns were observed for well-differentiated and papillary thyroid cancers (Supplementary Table S6). After stratification by tumor size (Table 5), an increased risk of papillary microcarcinomas was observed among those with a coumestrol intake of 40–80 μg/day (OR = 2.94, 95% CI: 1.12–7.73) and a decreased risk of papillary thyroid cancers with tumor size > 1cm (OR = 0.26, 95% CI: 0.08–0.85) among those with a genistein intake of 1860–3110 μg/day.

Table 4.

Risk of thyroid cancer associated with phytoestrogen intake among female subjects.

Phytoestrogen Intake Controls (n=306)
Cases (n=317)
ORa 95% CI
# #
Genistein (μg/day)
 <760 64 71 1.00 -
 760–1260 62 55 0.59 (0.28, 1.23)
 1260–1860 66 63 0.95 (0.48, 1.90)
 1860–3110 55 65 0.88 (0.43, 1.81)
 >3110 59 63 0.82 (0.40, 1.68)
 P for linear trend 0.37
Daidzein (μg/day)
 < 530 65 64 1.00 -
 530–910 60 60 1.09 (0.53, 2.25)
 910–1310 64 62 1.36 (0.67, 2.77)
 1310–2240 58 71 1.16 (0.57, 2.35)
 >2240 59 60 1.03 (0.50, 2.12)
 P for linear trend 0.38
Biochanin A (μg/day)
 <30 86 123 1.00 -
 30–50 62 59 0.68 (0.34, 1.35)
 50–70 59 52 0.71 (0.35, 1.43)
 70–120 57 52 0.59 (0.29, 1.21)
 >120 42 31 0.56 (0.27, 1.28)
 P for linear trend 0.82
Formononetin (μg/day)
 0 61 82 1.00 -
 0–10 101 106 1.09 (0.57, 2.07)
 10–20 62 43 0.77 (0.37, 1.58)
 20–30 20 29 0.62 (0.22, 1.75)
 >30 62 57 0.82 (0.39, 1.72)
 P for linear trend 0.38
Glycitein (μg/day)
 <100 68 71 1.00 -
 100–170 62 60 0.89 (0.44, 1.79)
 170–260 66 66 1.17 (0.58, 2.35)
 260–430 52 60 0.96 (0.46, 2.01)
 >430 58 60 0.94 (0.46, 1.89)
 P for linear trend 0.42
Total Isoflavones (μg/day)
 <1410 65 70 1.00 -
 1410–2240 63 53 0.74 (0.36, 1.52)
 2240–3280 66 68 1.15 (0.57, 2.30)
 3280–5440 54 63 1.01 (0.49, 2.09)
 >5440 58 63 0.94 (0.46, 1.92)
 P for linear trend 0.37
Coumestrol (μg/day)
 <40 67 65 1.00 -
 40–80 62 104 2.08 (1.01, 4.29)
 80–130 60 59 1.56 (0.73, 3.35)
 130–200 68 48 1.35 (0.63, 2.88)
 >200 49 41 1.50 (0.64, 3.54)
 P for linear trend 0.94
Total Phytoestrogens (μg/day)
 <1510 63 69 1.00 -
 1510–2470 65 67 0.94 (0.47, 1.91)
 2470–3400 64 54 1.21 (0.59, 2.49)
 3400–5560 56 63 0.89 (0.42, 1.87)
 >5560 58 64 1.04 (0.51, 2.12)
 P for linear trend 0.37
a

Adjusted for age, race, family history of any cancer, education, BMI, history of benign thyroid disease, age at menarche, use of oral contraceptives, age at first full-term pregnancy, menopausal status, estrogen use and previous alcohol consumption.

Table 5.

Risk of thyroid cancer associated with phytoestrogen intake for thyroid cancer among papillary carcinomas by tumor size among female subjects.

Phytoestrogen Intake Controls (n=306) Papillary carcinoma
≤ 1 cm (n=142)
> 1 cm (n=126)
Cases ORa 95% CI Cases ORa 95% CI
Genistein (μg/day)
 <760 64 33 1.00 - 28 1.00 -
 760–1260 62 24 0.40 (0.15, 1.07) 23 0.34 (0.12, 0.98)
 1260–1860 66 32 1.19 (0.51, 2.75) 26 0.54 (0.19, 1.51)
 1860–3110 55 27 0.60 (0.24, 1.53) 25 0.26 (0.08, 0.85)
 >3110 59 26 0.48 (0.18, 1.26) 24 0.53 (0.19, 1.49)
 P for linear trend 0.60 0.31
Daidzein (μg/day)
 < 530 65 29 1.00 - 25 1.00 -
 530–910 60 29 0.77 (0.30, 1.97) 24 0.85 (0.30, 2.42)
 910–1310 64 31 1.80 (0.76, 4.27) 27 0.94 (0.33, 2.64)
 1310–2240 58 28 0.67 (0.26, 1.74) 27 0.42 (0.13, 1.33)
 >2240 59 25 0.63 (0.24, 1.69) 23 0.84 (0.29, 2.39)
 P for linear trend 0.60 0.31
Biochanin A (μg/day)
 <30 86 48 1.00 - 46 1.00 -
 30–50 62 35 0.77 (0.33, 1.83) 20 0.86 (0.32, 2.32)
 50–70 59 22 0.79 (0.32, 1.95) 22 0.81 (0.29, 2.25)
 70–120 57 27 0.79 (0.33, 1.89) 21 0.41 (0.14, 1.25)
 >120 42 10 0.38 (0.12, 1.18) 17 0.91 (0.30, 2.71)
 P for linear trend 0.59 0.63
Formononetin (μg/day)
 0 61 40 1.00 - 29 1.00 -
 0–10 101 49 1.28 (0.57, 2.86) 45 0.87 (0.34, 2.24)
 10–20 62 19 0.77 (0.30, 1.93) 15 0.74 (0.25, 2.19)
 20–30 20 13 0.86 (0.24, 3.04) 12 0.57 (0.13, 2.47)
 >30 62 21 0.59 (0.22, 1.59) 25 0.76 (0.26, 2.19)
 P for linear trend 0.26 0.50
Glycitein (μg/day)
 <100 68 32 1.00 - 28 1.00 -
 100–170 62 30 1.05 (0.43, 2.55) 23 0.56 (0.20, 1.60)
 170–260 66 31 1.31 (0.55, 3.11) 28 0.79 (0.29, 2.16)
 260–430 52 26 0.83 (0.32, 2.17) 23 0.44 (0.14, 1.40)
 >430 58 23 0.66 (0.25, 1.73) 24 0.68 (0.25, 1.88)
 P for linear trend 0.54 0.35
Total Isoflavones (μg/day)
 <1410 65 32 1.00 - 28 1.00 -
 1410–2240 63 23 0.62 (0.24, 1.62) 23 0.32 (0.11, 0.95)
 2240–3280 66 36 1.53 (0.66, 3.57) 27 0.66 (0.24, 1.83)
 3280–5440 54 25 0.75 (0.29, 1.92) 24 0.25 (0.07, 0.83)
 >5440 58 26 0.61 (0.23, 1.59) 24 0.56 (0.20, 1.58)
 P for linear trend 0.60 0.31
Coumestrol (μg/day)
 <40 67 22 1.00 - 32 1.00 -
 40–80 62 55 2.94 (1.12, 7.73) 38 2.16 (0.80, 5.86)
 80–130 60 29 2.55 (0.91, 7.14) 18 0.65 (0.19, 2.20)
 130–200 68 21 1.57 (0.56, 4.38) 22 1.28 (0.43, 3.79)
 >200 49 15 1.41 (0.44, 4.56) 16 1.02 (0.29, 3.68)
 P for linear trend 0.93 0.41
Total Phytoestrogens (μg/day)
 <1510 63 32 1.00 - 27 1.00 -
 1510–2470 65 30 0.85 (0.34, 2.13) 30 0.65 (0.24, 1.78)
 2470–3400 64 29 1.60 (0.66, 3.85) 19 0.72 (0.25, 2.12)
 3400–5560 56 24 0.64 (0.24, 1.70) 26 0.27 (0.08, 0.91)
 >5560 58 27 0.72 (0.28, 1.88) 24 0.69 (0.24, 1.97)
 P for linear trend 0.60 0.31
a

Adjusted for age, race, family history of any cancer, education, BMI, history of benign thyroid disease, age at menarche, use of oral contraceptives, age at first full-term pregnancy, menopausal status, estrogen use and previous alcohol consumption.

Discussion

This population-based case-control study suggests that an increased risk of thyroid cancer is associated with coumestrol consumption, which is the most estrogenic PE (22). The observed associations varied by tumor size (≤ 1 cm vs > 1 cm). Our study results also suggest that moderate genistein intake is associated with a decreased risk of thyroid cancer with larger tumor size among females.

There is only one previous study, by Horn-Ross et al. in San Francisco, that has investigated coumestrol intake and thyroid cancer risk (7). They did not find an association between coumestrol intake and thyroid cancer risk. The inconsistency could be due to the different cut-offs of coumestrol consumption. Their reference level was less than 81.3 μg/day, which contained both our reference (< 40 μg/day) and low exposure (40–80 μg/day) groups. When our analysis was performed applying the same cut-offs as the San Francisco study (<81.3, 81.4–123.1, 123.2–167.7, 167.8–270.4, ≥ 270.5 μg/day), we found no significant association between coumestrol intake and thyroid cancer risk, which is consistent with their findings. The paradoxical results could be due to the reference group in the Horn-Ross’ study incorporating that which was the exposure group (40–80 μg/day) in our study, which showed more than two-times the risk of thyroid cancer.

Coumestrol is the most estrogenic compound and has the highest receptor binding affinity to both ER-α and ER-β, followed by genistein (36). The proliferation of thyroid cancer cells is positively stimulated by ER-α agonists and inhibited by ER-β agonists (37) in particular ER-β1 (38,39). Moreover, in a prior experimental study including subjects with small well-differentiated thyroid cancers (average tumor size 9.4 mm), there was a greater expression of ER-α among tumor tissues than normal tissues (40). It has also been suggested that there are fewer ER-β1 receptors in smaller tumors (< 2 cm) compared to larger tumors (38). Therefore, it is possible that coumestrol increases microcarcinoma risk by agonizing over-expressed ER-α in smaller tumors, in addition to lessening the protective effect from ER-β, thus leading to microcarcinoma proliferation.

Notably, we did not observe a linear relationship between coumestrol intake and thyroid cancer risk. The possible explanations include: 1) some agents are carcinogenic at low-exposure levels, but their carcinogenic potential does not increase with higher exposure such as radiation to the thyroid (41); 2) a higher dose exposure could paradoxically be protective, as the mutagenic rate is overwhelmed by apoptosis; 3) the sample size in each category is insufficient to demonstrate small differences.

In addition, thyroid microcarcinomas have shown the fastest increase in incidence and approximately half of all newly-diagnosed thyroid cancers were microcarcinomas (4). An observational study of papillary microcarcinomas from Japan demonstrated that patients with papillary microcarcinomas that showed enlargement of 3 mm or more constituted 6.4% and 15.9% of patients at 5-year and 10-year follow-ups, respectively, and that the enlargement process was unrelated to patient background or clinical features (42). Thus, thyroid microcarcinoma appears to be a distinct entity with pathophysiological features that are distinct from macrocarcinomas.

The anticarcinogenic effect of genistein on thyroid cancer has been demonstrated by previous studies (24,43,44). Evidence has shown that genistein could function as an anticarcinogen due to its higher binding affinity to ER-β than to ER-α (36), thereby leading to a more anti-proliferative effect, inducing apoptosis and inhibiting angiogenesis (43,44). Although it has been suggested that increased TSH levels are associated with an increase in thyroid cancer risk by causing less differentiation and more malignant cell transformation (4547), multiple randomized controlled trials (RCTs) have consistently shown that genistein supplementation did not change TSH levels with various doses (25,4851), suggesting that the protective effect of genistein was not through a TSH pathway. The San Francisco study (7), though not statistically significant, showed a 30% thyroid cancer risk reduction in the highest genistein intake group (OR = 0.70; 95% CI 0.44–1.1). Among our female population, low to moderate genistein intake was associated with a 56% decrease in papillary thyroid cancer risk. When the analyses were stratified by tumor size, decreased risk was observed mainly among larger tumors. The amount of ER-α expression in macrocarcinomas is about 1.3 times the amount in microcarcinomas (52) while the binding capacity of genistein to ER-β is five to seven times higher than to ER-α (36). Therefore, it is possible that the binding capacity of ER-β overcomes the number of ER-α and thus leads to a greater anticarcinogenic effect on macrocarcinomas (40). Again, this suggests that microcarcinomas and macrocarcinomas possess different pathophysiologies.

Support for an association between total intake of isoflavones and thyroid cancer risk has been inconsistent (7,15,18). Two case-control studies have suggested that high isoflavone intake has a protective effect against thyroid cancer (7,15). One prospective cohort study (18) found no association, which is consistent with our findings. Previous RCTs have concluded that isoflavone soy protein supplements do not affect serum TSH levels (25,50,53). Therefore, it is unlikely that total isoflavone intake affects thyroid cancer risk by influencing TSH levels.

Historically, the major consumers of soy foods were Asian countries such as China, Korean and Japan (54). The estimated daily soy consumption was found to be higher in China, Korean and Japan (soy and soy foods: 23.5–135.4 g/day, 21.07 g/day, and 50.7–102.1 g/day, respectively; soy protein: 2.5–10.3 g/day, 7.4–8.5 g/day and 6–11.3 g/day, respectively) (55) than in the US with one previous study showing an average soy protein intake of 9.25 g/day, with higher consumption found among vegetarians (55,56). The concentrations of genistein and coumestrol measured in various foods differed by area and population (35,57,58). In general, the genistein mainly comes from soy-based foods (such as soybeans, soymilk, tofu, soy protein, and black bean sauce) and foods with added soy flour or protein (such as doughnuts, “power”-type bars, etc.). The main sources of coumestrol include sprouts (such as alfalfa sprouts, clover sprouts and mung bean sprouts), soy-based products (such as soybeans, soymilk and tofu) and foods with added soy flour or protein (such as canned tuna, doughnuts, pancakes and waffles). Overall, the level of genistein in the same food category is much higher than the level of coumestrol (35,57).

Previous observational studies have shown inconsistent results regarding the effects of soy-based food consumption on thyroid cancer risk, with some studies suggesting a protective effect (7,14,15) and other studies reporting no associations (8,13,18). Our study found no statistically significant relationship between soy-based food consumption and thyroid cancer risk. Studies that reported a protective effect were mainly conducted in Asian populations, (7,14,15) where soy food consumption was higher than in Western populations. This may suggest that soy-based food consumption, especially at a relatively higher amount, could be beneficial in the prevention of thyroid cancer, and genistein may play an important role in the anticarcinogenic process.

Our study, consistent with a study conducted in San Francisco, has shown no association between foods with added soy flour or protein and thyroid cancer risk (7). It has been suggested that there is a positive relationship between refined cereals and thyroid cancer (16,17). Though foods with added soy flour, such as doughnuts, pancakes, and waffles, have a relatively high genistein content, the potential anticarcinogenic effects of genistein may be cancelled out by their high sugar components, which can cause glycemic overload, elevated insulin and insulin-like growth factor level, and can subsequently promote tumor cell growth (16,59). It has been suggested that fresh fish consumption is a protective factor against thyroid cancer, but consumption of processed fish, such as canned tuna, has been linked to an increased risk of thyroid cancer (17,60). The proposed mechanism is that the additives in processed foods may affect iodine absorption and potentially cause iodine deficiency (60). Iodine deficiency is associated with increased thyroid cancer risk (61). Therefore, foods with added soy flour or protein, due to their mixed components and other possible carcinogenic factors, may promote tumor proliferation.

To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the effects of both specific phytoestrogenic compounds and soy-based foods on thyroid cancer risk by tumor size. Our study has several strengths. Firstly, Diet*Calc Analysis Software was adopted to estimate phytoestrogen compound levels. The accurate measurement of specific nutrients could decrease the possibility of exposure misclassification. Furthermore, carefully reviewed pathologic reports allowed for stratified analysis based on the pathological information.

However, the present study also has limitations. Dietary intake was self-reported and thus might lead to potential recall bias. Because the relationship between PE intake and thyroid cancer risk has not been well-established, potential recall bias is likely to be non-differential and result in an underestimation of the true association. Due to limited sample size, the study was unable to investigate the association between phytoestrogen intake and rare histologic subtypes, such as medullary and anaplastic thyroid cancer. The subgroup analyses, which were stratified by histology, gender, and tumor size, might yield unstable results. The FFQ in our study captured the vast majority of previously validated phytoestrogen-rich food; however, certain food items, mainly Asian-style bean products and sprouts, that contain high levels of genistein (such as Chinese black bean sauce, Natto (fermented Japanese beans), and soybean sprouts) and coumestrol (such as clover sprouts, soybean sprouts, alfalfa sprouts and mung bean sprouts) were not included (https://data.nal.usda.gov/dataset/usda-database-isoflavone-content-selected-foods-release-21-november-2015/resource/1de757af). Nevertheless, according to a Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) population survey (62), among the Connecticut respondents (with 88.6% being of white race), only 3.9% of them reported consuming alfalfa sprouts, 6.0% bean sprouts and 8.7% other sprouts, which included clover sprouts. The consumption was significantly lower than in Asian countries, where sprouts have been common foods since ancient times (63). Hence, the uncaptured phytoestrogen-rich food items were unlikely to make a significant contribution to our final results. Lastly, our study did not include lignans, the quantities of which were undetected or of trace amounts in most foods (35), which could potentially result in an underestimation of total phytoestrogen exposure.

Conclusion

This population-based case-control study supports the hypothesis that coumestrol is associated with an increased risk of thyroid cancer with small tumor size and that genistein is associated with a decreased risk of thyroid cancer with larger tumor size among females. The novel finding that risks varied by tumor size warrants further investigation.

Supplementary Material

1

Acknowledgements

Certain data used in this study was obtained from the Connecticut Tumor Registry located in the Connecticut Department of Public Health. The authors assume full responsibility for the analyses and interpretation of this data. The cooperation of the Connecticut hospitals, including Charlotte Hungerford Hospital, Bridgeport Hospital, Danbury Hospital, Hartford Hospital, Middlesex Hospital, Hospital of Central Connecticut, Yale/New Haven Hospital, St. Francis Hospital and Medical Center, St. Mary’s Hospital, Hospital of St. Raphael, St. Vincent’s Medical Center, Stamford Hospital, William W. Backus Hospital, Windham Hospital, Eastern Connecticut Health Network, Griffin Hospital, Bristol Hospital, Johnson Memorial Hospital, Greenwich Hospital, Lawrence and Memorial Hospital, New Milford Hospital, Norwalk Hospital, MidState Medical Center, John Dempsey Hospital, and Waterbury Hospital, in allowing patient access, is gratefully acknowledged. Rajni Mehta from the Yale Comprehensive Cancer Center’s RCA provided great help in both Institutional Review Board (IRB) approvals and field implementation of the study. Helen Sayward, Anna Florczak, and Renee Capasso from the Yale School of Public Health did exceptional work in study subject recruitment.

Source of funding:

1. American Cancer Society (ACS) grant RSGM-10-038-01-CCE, recipient: Yawei Zhang

2. National Institutes of Health (NIH) grant R01ES020361, recipient: Yawei Zhang

Abbreviations

BMI

Body Mass Index

CDC

Centers for Disease Control and Prevention

CI

Confidence Intervals

EDCs

Endocrine-Disrupting Compounds

E2

Estradiol

ERs

Estrogen Receptors

FFQ

Food Frequency Questionnaire

ICD

International Classification of Diseases

IRB

Institutional Review Board

OR

Odds Ratio

PEs

Phytoestrogens

RCA

Rapid Case Ascertainment

RCT

Randomized Controlled Trial

TRs

Thyroid Receptors

TSH

Thyroid Stimulating Hormone

Tg

Thyroglobulin

Footnotes

Conflicts of interest: There are no conflicts of interest in this paper.

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