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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Feb 20.
Published in final edited form as: Nat Rev Neurosci. 2018 Nov;19(11):687–700. doi: 10.1038/s41583-018-0067-3

Imaging the evolution and pathophysiology of Alzheimer disease

William Jagust 1,2
PMCID: PMC7032048  NIHMSID: NIHMS1555549  PMID: 30266970

Abstract

Technologies for imaging the pathophysiology of Alzheimer disease (AD) now permit studies of the relationships between the two major proteins deposited in this disease — amyloid-β (Aβ) and tau — and their effects on measures of neurodegeneration and cognition in humans. Deposition of Aβ in the medial parietal cortex appears to be the first stage in the development of AD, although tau aggregates in the medial temporal lobe (MTL) precede Aβ deposition in cognitively healthy older people. Whether aggregation of tau in the MTL is the first stage in AD or a fairly benign phenomenon that may be transformed and spread in the presence of Aβ is a major unresolved question. Despite a strong link between Aβ and tau, the relationship between Aβ and neurodegeneration is weak; rather, it is tau that is associated with brain atrophy and hypometabolism, which, in turn, are related to cognition. Although there is support for an interaction between Aβ and tau resulting in neurodegeneration that leads to dementia, the unknown nature of this interaction, the strikingly different patterns of brain Aβ and tau deposition and the appearance of neurodegeneration in the absence of Aβ and tau are challenges to this model that ultimately must be explained.


Multimodal imaging technologies have transformed research on human ageing and dementia by enabling the investigation of complex interrelated mechanisms that underlie the development of Alzheimer disease (AD). The two aggregated proteins implicated in the pathogenesis of AD — amyloid-β (Aβ) and tau — can be visualized with positron emission tomography (PET), and the proposed downstream consequence of neurodegeneration can be examined with structural MRI, functional MRI and glucose metabolism PET. Studies of cognitively healthy older people and those with cognitive impairment or dementia have partially elucidated these pathophysiological processes in an approach that could be a model for the investigation of many degenerative neurological diseases.

Aβ plaques.

Also termed neuritic or senile plaques, Aβ plaques are one of the pathological hallmarks of AD and are composed of aggregates of the Aβ protein that are found at postmortem examination of the brain.

AD is a slowly evolving disorder that usually manifests clinically with initial amnesia characterized by the inability to form new memories, reflecting dysfunction of the medial temporal lobe (MTL) episodic memory system1,2. In its late stages, AD is characterized by dementia and is associated with widespread Aβ plaques and tau aggregates as neurofibrillary tangles3,4. As plaque and neurofibrillary tangle pathology are often found in the brains of cognitively healthy older people, it is generally accepted that the biological processes underlying AD are present for decades before symptom expression5,6. Thus, imaging can potentially explain the evolution of AD from normal ageing, through the stage of mild cognitive impairment (MCI), to dementia. Such studies have driven a widely applied model of biomarker change, proposing a sequential series of empirically verifiable events7. This model places Aβ deposition at the start of this process, reflecting the amyloid cascade hypothesis of AD8. A major goal of this Review is to examine the imaging evidence collected to date in an effort to see how well these data conform to this model and how deviations from the model may, or may not, be accommodated. It is important to recognize that each imaging modality has been available for a different length of time; this is crucial because approaches that have been used for years fail to account for variables that have become measurable more recently. Similarly, studies with extensive longitudinal observations across multiple modalities are limited; therefore, many studies are cross-sectional or have used short periods of longitudinal observation across different age ranges in a ‘cohort-sequential’ design.

Neurofibrillary tangles.

The other major pathological hallmark of AD, they are composed of aggregated forms of hyperphosphorylated tau protein as intraneuronal paired helical filaments.

This Review examines how imaging has developed and tested models of the pathophysiology of AD in an effort to delineate disease mechanisms (the most widely applied imaging modalities are explained in Box 1). First, I discuss the aggregate data from AD and normal cognitive ageing to define the relationships between Aβ and tau, neurodegeneration and cognition, followed by an exploration of how different forms of AD and ageing can, or cannot, be used as interchangeable models. Then, I review the proposed underlying mechanisms that may drive pathological events. Last, I examine the data with regard to how well they conform to an amyloid-based model of sequential alterations underlying AD pathogenesis.

Box 1 |. Neuroimaging techniques.

Amyloid-PET

There are a number of positron emission tomography (Pet) radiopharmaceuticals that are available for imaging amyloid-β in the brain. On the basis of high sensitivity and specificity for the postmortem detection of amyloid plaques, three of these compounds have been approved by the US Food and Drug Administration203205. The compounds all bind to aggregated fibrillar forms of amyloid-β and thus do not visualize soluble oligomeric forms of this peptide, which may be the most pathogenic. Amyloid-PET imaging has been available since approximately 2004; therefore, longitudinal human data from such imaging are increasingly available. Because amyloid-PET imaging predates tau-PET imaging by about 10 years, many amyloid imaging studies have failed to account for the possible effects of tau on neurodegeneration and cognition.

Tau-PET

The imaging agents for tau-PET have been available for only a few years. However, the development of tau-PET ligands is a very active research area, and at least five such ligands have been tested in humans. Tau occurs in six isoforms, labelled according to the number of microtubule-binding repeat sequences expressed; tau aggregates found in Alzheimer disease (AD) are a mixture of three-repeat (3R) and four-repeat (4R) isoforms. Current tau ligands label this 3R/4R mixture, and there are limited data indicating binding to other types of aggregates206. No large studies comparing Pet ligand binding with autopsy measures of tau are available, and although the former is actively being incorporated into many clinical studies, longitudinal data on changes in tau accumulation from this approach are still limited.

FDG-PET

Among the first PET techniques developed, this approach uses the glucose analogue 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) to map brain glucose metabolism. FDG-PET has been used for decades to characterize metabolic deficits in AD, which are widely assumed to reflect loss of synaptic function in view of the energy budget of neurons. However, glucose metabolism is not specific to neurons; therefore, metabolic alterations can also reflect glial cell function, including their role in inflammation. Metabolic measurements show regional brain reductions in ageing and dementia but do not necessarily reveal anything specific about the underlying neurobiology; these metabolic alterations seem to reflect a fairly nonspecific neurodegeneration process.

Structural MRI

Structural MRI has a major advantage of contrast sensitivity that permits separation of brain tissue types, permitting accurate measurement of brain volumes. Structural measures that have proved most useful include measures of grey matter volume and cortical thickness, which can be evaluated at both a regional and global level. Similar to measures of glucose metabolism, regional tissue atrophy does not detect a single biological process but rather reflects the local impact of neurodegeneration that could result from many different possible mechanisms.

Functional MRI

This technique makes use of changes in the magnetic resonance signal that reflect tissue perfusion. The most common use of functional MRI in the ageing and dementia field is to examine brain networks. These networks are defined by examining the synchrony of the functional MRI signal across different brain regions; regions that show synchronous signal fluctuations are inferred to be part of the same network. Alterations in these measures of connectivity are interpreted as indicative of disruption or dysfunction of such networks and can be seen as reductions or increases in network connectivity. These networks also provide models to explain how pathology spreads through the brain.

Alzheimer disease

Individuals with AD can be differentiated into three widely accepted subgroups on the basis of their characteristic clinical phenotypes and genetic risks: those with autosomal dominant inheritance (autosomal dominant AD (ADAD)); those with early age at onset, generally before age 65 (early-onset AD (EOAD)); and those with typical late-onset AD (LOAD). Although EOAD and LOAD are associated with genetic risks, LOAD is probably a polygenic disorder (in contrast to the monogenic nature of ADAD) and is considered to be sporadic, whereas EOAD may be associated with recessive inheritance9,10. Each of these disorders provides a different window into the pathogenesis of AD. LOAD is by far the most common form of AD, representing a slowly progressive process beginning with amnesia in older people, and it is often pathologically complex, with plaque and tangle pathology accompanied by cerebrovascular disease and other protein aggregates such as α-synuclein and TAR DNA-binding protein 43 (TDP43) aggregates11,12. By contrast, EOAD is more likely to represent a relatively ‘pure’ plaque and tangle pathological process; furthermore, EOAD can present with strikingly focal neurobehavioural phenotypes reflecting dysfunction of specific neural systems. ADAD is also generally early in onset but is distinguished from EOAD by autosomal dominant inheritance, with mutations in the amyloid precursor protein (APP), presenilin 1 (PS1; also known as PSEN1) or PS2 (also known as PSEN2) genes13. Because the age at symptom onset is similar across generations14, studies of asymptomatic mutation carriers allow for the estimation of the timing of biochemical, structural and functional abnormalities before symptoms occur.

Mild cognitive impairment.

(MCI). An intermediate stage between normal cognition and dementia; individuals with MCI usually experience amnesia and are at increased risk of developing AD.

Despite their differences, ADAD, EOAD and LOAD share a number of common features. The distribution of Aβ deposition throughout the brain is similar, affecting large confluent areas of association cortex overlapping with a set of brain regions active at rest. This network, known as the default-mode network (DMN), comprises the medial frontal and parietal cortex and the lateral temporal and parietal cortex15 (Fig. 1). Other intrinsic connectivity networks also show substantial Aβ deposits16 and, in general, Aβ seems to accumulate in parts of the association cortex that show high structural and functional connectivity, characterized as ‘hubs’ or a ‘rich club’17,18. All forms of AD also show a pattern of tau accumulation that differs from that of Aβ accumulation (discussed below), as well as a typical pattern of glucose hypometabolism that predominates in the temporal and parietal cortices and brain atrophy in these same regions along with the MTL (Fig. 2). The similarities and differences between the patterns of Aβ deposition, tau deposition, brain atrophy and hypometabolism hold important and poorly understood clues about the aetiology of AD.

Fig. 1 |. Patterns of brain amyloid-β deposition.

Fig. 1 |

a | Brain map of amyloid-β (Aβ) accumulation, showing marked increases in Aβ (yellow denotes highest levels), as measured with the positron emission tomography (PET) tracer 18F-florbetapir in 191 amyloid-positive individuals without dementia compared with 218 amyloid-negative individuals. The brain regions susceptible to Aβ accumulation comprise large areas of the medial and lateral association cortex. b | Superimposition of the distribution of Aβ (in blue), as detected by 11C-Pittsburgh compound B- (PIB), onto the spatial location of the default mode network (DMN; in yellow) in the brains of cognitively healthy older people. The red brain regions reflect the spatial overlap between the DMN and Aβ accumulation. c | Brain map of Aβ accumulation in a group of 59 individuals without dementia who were defined as ‘early accumulators’ on the basis of evidence of abnormal cerebrospinal fluid levels of Aβ but normal 18F-florbetapir PET scans. The statistical maps show the areas of earliest accumulation of Aβ (yellow reflects areas of highest Aβ accumulation). Parts a and c are adapted from reF.77, Springer Nature Limited, CC By 4.0. Part b is adapted with permission from reF.96, Mormino, E. C. et al. Relationships between β-amyloid and functional connectivity in different components of the default mode network in aging. Cereb. Cortex (2011) 21(10), 2399–2407, by permission of Oxford University Press.

Fig. 2 |. Patterns of brain atrophy and glucose hypometabolism in Alzheimer disease.

Fig. 2 |

The maps were constructed by contrasting 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission topography (FDG-PET) and MRI measures of cortical thickness for 50 individuals with Alzheimer disease (AD) and 39 cognitively healthy individuals from the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative. a | The map shows glucose hypometabolism in AD in the bilateral temporal and inferior parietal cortex, parts of the frontal cortex and the precuneus. b | Cortical thinning in AD occurs in comparable but somewhat smaller brain regions. Yellow regions indicate the areas of greatest hypometabolism or atrophy. Figure is adapted with permission from reF.207, republished with permission of Society for Neuroscience, from Alzheimer’s disease neurodegenerative biomarkers are associated with decreased cognitive function but not β-amyloid in cognitively normal older individuals, Wirth, M. et al., 33 (2013), permission conveyed through Copyright Clearance Center, Inc.

Autosomal dominant AD.

Because the longitudinal course of ADAD is so predictable, multiple investigators have used it as a model to investigate disease pathophysiology1922. There is strong evidence from PET data in ADAD that brain Aβ deposition begins at least 15 years before expected disease onset21,22. Brain glucose metabolism declines later than the onset of Aβ deposition but still occurs at least 10 years before symptom onset, at about the same time that brain atrophy also appears23,24. Resting-state measures of functional connectivity show decreased connectivity of posterior nodes of the DMN about 12 years before symptoms25. The earliest stages of Aβ accumulation in ADAD sometimes show an unusual pattern affecting the striatum26,27. Longitudinal data show that initial Aβ deposition occurs in both the striatum and precuneus, and hypometabolism and atrophy also occur first in the precuneus28. By contrast, a recent report found that tau accumulated in the parahippocampal gyrus 6 years before expected symptom onset in cognitively unimpaired individuals carrying an AD-associated PS1 mutation and that more extensive tau accumulation in the MTL and the neocortex was more likely to occur later in the disease process in association with symptoms29. Hypometabolism and atrophy generally follow Aβ, but they are not in lockstep; for example, in the MTL, atrophy develops in the absence of Aβ deposition and hypometabolism, whereas the striatum, which often shows extensive Aβ deposition, does not show marked hypometabolism or atrophy until relatively late disease stages.

Amyloid cascade hypothesis.

A dominant hypothesis in the AD research field proposing that Aβ generation is the inciting event that leads to subsequent downstream processes of tau deposition and neurodegeneration, eventuating in dementia.

These data suggest that the first cortical abnormality in ADAD is Aβ deposition in the medial parietal lobe and that striatal Aβ accumulation is an equally early subcortical event. Aβ deposition appears to be followed by tau aggregation in the MTL. The spatiotemporal relationships between the timing and patterns of accumulation of these two proteins raise a profound question about the pathophysiology of AD, which is echoed in data from other aspects of the disorder.

Default-mode network.

(DMN). A canonical resting-state network of the brain that is active when individuals are not engaged in attending to or responding to external stimuli.

Early-onset AD.

Individuals with EOAD may present with striking neurobehavioural phenotypes reflecting damage to language systems30, visual systems31 or frontal-executive systems32. The focality and system-specific neurobehavioural features do not reflect regional accentuation of Aβ, but they do show strong correspondence to the pattern of glucose hypometabolism and atrophy3336. Individuals with EOAD also show more severe temporoparietal hypometabolism than people with LOAD37,38, although the amount and pattern of Aβ deposition does not differ between these groups39. In contrast to imaging data for Aβ, the spatial pattern of tau distribution seen with PET imaging shows high correspondence with multiple disease features, reflecting symptom focality, greater severity with earlier onset and overlap with patterns of atrophy and glucose hypometabolism36,4044. Thus, both the behavioural and neurodegenerative aspects of EOAD are explained better by the distribution and burden of tau than those of Aβ.

Hubs.

Brain regions (or nodes) that have many connections to other brain regions and serve as areas of convergence of information from multiple processing streams.

Late-onset AD.

As might be predicted from the EOAD data, individuals with LOAD show widespread deposition of Aβ that is weakly related to the severity of dementia symptoms4547. Glucose hypometabolism reflects the temporoparietal regional predilection seen in patients with EOAD, although to a lesser extent, and the observed cortical atrophy largely recapitulates the hypometabolism in a pattern that has been referred to as an ‘AD signature’48,49 (Fig. 2). The evolution of brain atrophy from MCI to AD parallels the pattern of tau deposition from the medial temporal to lateral temporal and parietal cortices50. Deficits in cognition are better explained by changes in glucose metabolism and atrophy than by the deposition of Aβ5155. Studies examining the relationships between Aβ and both glucose metabolism and atrophy have discovered associations ranging from absent to moderately strong47,5660. Initial reports that AD is associated with DMN dysfunction61 have been widely confirmed and expanded, with evidence that Aβ alters connectivity in many large-scale brain networks62.

Rich club.

A group of brain regions (or nodes) that are highly connected to one another and that show a high degree of hub-like connectivity to many other brain regions.

Although the majority of available tau-PET imaging data are cross-sectional, they appear to be consistent with a pattern indicating a hierarchical evolution of tau deposition spreading from the MTL to the inferolateral temporal lobe and then to the medial and lateral parietal lobes in a distribution that largely recapitulates Braak neuropathological staging63 (Fig. 3); elevated tau is associated with both more Aβ deposition and worse cognitive function6468. The topography of tau deposition in AD overlaps with brain regions that are particularly susceptible to atrophy and correlates with cortical thickness in these regions69; however, although the spatial distribution of tau appears to overlap with a number of intrinsic connectivity networks, it lacks the specificity for a single network and does not preferentially appear to involve the DMN70,71. Thus, the topography of tau accumulation overlaps with Aβ deposition but is not identical. Similar to the situation in EOAD, in LOAD, tau accumulation overlaps in topography and correlates with glucose hypometabolism — a relationship strengthened in the presence of Aβ72.

Fig. 3 |. Tau deposition in ageing and Alzheimer disease.

Fig. 3 |

Using the positron emission topography (PET) radiotracer 18F-AV1451 (flortaucipir), a group of 216 individuals, including young and old cognitively healthy individuals and those with mild cognitive impairment and Alzheimer disease (AD), were staged with an adaptation of the Braak and Braak criteria63. Individuals were assigned to Braak stages I/II, III/IV or V/VI using PET imaging data as previously described101. a | The images show the contrast in tracer retention between those categorized as Braak stages I/II and those as stage 0, indicating that tau aggregation (yellow and red) begins in the medial temporal lobes. b | A contrast between stage III/IV and stage I/II indicates that subsequent progression of tau pathology is associated with tau aggregation in the inferolateral temporal and medial parietal lobes. c | A contrast between stage V/VI and III/IV indicates that the late stages of AD are characterized by widespread tau deposition (red). d | A map of all voxels in the brain over a threshold of 1.4 standard uptake value ratio (SUVR) units reveals the global distribution of tau in healthy individuals and those with advanced AD. L , left; R , right. Figure is adapted with permission from reF.208, Elsevier.

Braak neuropathological staging.

A widely adopted method of classification of tau pathology based on cross-sectional autopsy data that proposes a progression of tau neurofibrillary pathology from the MTL (Braak stages I/II) through a limbic stage (III/IV) to a diffuse neocortical stage (V/VI).

Normal ageing

Amyloid-β in the ageing brain.

Many cognitively healthy older people show substantial brain Aβ deposition that is similar in location and amount to that seen in AD. In such individuals, brain Aβ levels increase with age, with an overall rate of amyloid positivity of about 30% by age 80 (reF.73). Among these cognitively healthy older people, rates of amyloid positivity double in those carrying the apolipoprotein E (APOE) gene ε4 allele (APOE4)74, the major genetic risk factor for LOAD75. Similar to ADAD, in ageing, the earliest regions of Aβ deposition include the medial frontal and parietal cortices76,77 (Fig. 1). Although the extensive Aβ deposition seen in cognitively healthy older people appears to conflict with the amyloid cascade hypothesis, it is consistent with the weak or absent relationships seen between Aβ deposition and dementia symptoms in people with manifest AD.

Apolipoprotein E.

(APOE). A polymorphic gene with three alleles; the APOE ε4 allele is a risk factor for LOAD.

There are, however, weak relationships between Aβ deposition and cognition in ageing. The findings from many cross-sectional studies are inconsistent, but meta-analyses show a small reduction in cognitive function with more Aβ78,79. Longitudinal studies are more likely to show decline over time, but this decline is also quite small or even undetectable until about 4 years, when clinically relevant change may appear; this is probably for this reason that studies following participants for shorter periods have not found change80,81. Longitudinal cognitive decline is faster in those carrying APOE4 and in those with more Aβ deposition82,83.

Although cross-sectional data are conflicting, longitudinal data indicate small effects of Aβ deposition on brain atrophy in normal ageing8487. The evidence that Aβ deposition reduces glucose metabolism in ageing is also mixed, probably because it is a small effect88, and it is complicated by the effects of the APOE4 genotype on metabolism, which are probably independent of those of Aβ89,90. Importantly, there is no relationship between the amount of Aβ deposition and the degree of hypometabolism in the same brain region91, raising the question as to whether an intermediary drives the association between Aβ deposition and metabolism. As described below, tau is again the likely candidate for this mediator. There are also reports that both healthy people and those with MCI show increased glucose metabolism with Aβ deposition that could reflect compensation as increased neural activity in response to Aβ-related brain injury or neural activity driving Aβ deposition9294.

Aβ disrupts connectivity in the DMN, as well as other large-scale resting-state networks, and has been associated with loss of connectivity95 along with connec tivity increases in anterior components of the DMN96; one possibility is that connectivity patterns evolve over the course of the disease, first diminishing posteriorly and then increasing frontally97. Aβ deposition is also associated with changes in brain activation in the DMN and other components of the memory system during memory-encoding tasks, with evidence for increased activation, decreased activation and reduced deactivation98100.

Tau in the ageing brain.

The deposition of tau in cognitively healthy older people revealed with imaging follows the staging pattern revealed through autopsy studies63, with the ubiquitous appearance of tau in the MTL (generally the entorhinal cortex typical of Braak stages I/II) and the frequent finding of tau in the inferolateral temporal cortex, consistent with Braak stages III/IV65,66,101. Postmortem data suggesting that tau pathology makes its earliest appearance in the locus coeruleus raise important questions about the onset of age-related tauopathy, but these questions cannot be answered by current PET imaging approaches102. Higher and more widespread tau accumulation is associated with Aβ deposition in cognitively healthy older individuals; even in people who are nominally amyloid negative, longitudinally increasing Aβ levels predict more tau deposition103,104. High levels of tau in widespread neocortical regions may not be compatible with normal cognition, but there is some evidence that some tau accumulation does occur in such regions with normal ageing, generally considered typical of Braak V/VI stages, usually in those with evidence of brain Aβ deposition but also to some extent in those without such deposition105. Longitudinal studies also indicate faster rates of accumulation in amyloid-positive than in amyloid-negative cognitively healthy people even in neocortical brain regions; the fastest rates are seen in cognitively impaired, amyloid-positive individuals106. The spatial relationships between Aβ and tau deposition are discordant; that is, more Aβ deposition, regardless of its location, is associated with greater accumulation of tau in the inferolateral temporal lobes107,108.

Suspected non-Alzheimer pathophysiology.

(SNAP). A descriptive term for evidence of neurodegeneration in the absence of biomarker evidence of Aβ.

In cognitively healthy older individuals, more tau deposition in the MTL is related to worse episodic memory performance and MTL atrophy over time109, and whole-brain measures of tau are related to temporoparietal atrophy both cross-sectionally and over time110. Similarly, tau accumulation in the entorhinal cortex is associated with a reduction in metabolism in the temporal lobe, and the tau accumulation in the inferior temporal lobe and MTL is associated with an AD-like pattern of hypometabolism when it is accompanied by Aβ deposition111,112. Tau accumulation also appears to result in loss of functional connectivity113 and increased neural activity during memory encoding114.

Primary age-related tauopathy.

(PART). An autopsy finding reflecting neurofibrillary tau pathology in the absence of Aβ pathology; fairly common in older people and with an unknown relationship to AD.

Neurodegeneration in the ageing brain.

Long before the advent of amyloid and tau imaging, brain atrophy and reductions in metabolism were identified as major aspects of brain ageing. There is some debate about the brain regions maximally affected by ageing-related atrophy, but both frontal and temporal lobes appear particularly susceptible to atrophy115,116. Glucose metabolism also declines with ageing in patterns similar to atrophy, but these PET measurements may be confounded by atrophy117. Most importantly, although LOAD most often occurs on a background of ageing, the patterns of atrophy and hypometabolism associated with AD are relatively distinct from those seen in ageing, and evidence of these AD-typical patterns confers an increased risk of cognitive decline over time in healthy older people118121. More recent studies demonstrate that both hypometabolism and brain atrophy can occur independent of Aβ deposition122124. This neurodegeneration in the absence of detectable Aβ has been referred to as suspected non-Alzheimer pathophysiology (SNAP)125. Although individuals with evidence of neurodegeneration but without Aβ deposition show risk of cognitive decline over time, the risk of such decline is higher in individuals with Aβ deposition and neurodegeneration125,126. The relationship between ‘amyloid-negative’ neurodegeneration and tau accumulation is currently unclear. Tau pathology in the absence of detectable Aβ is a well-known neuropathological entity that has been termed primary age-related tauopathy (PART)127. However, there is currently no evidence to suggest that neurodegeneration in the absence of Aβ is fully explained by PART128,129.

AD and ageing

As LOAD evolves in the setting of normal ageing, it is generally assumed that changes in the levels of Aβ, tau and neurodegeneration in cognitively healthy older people reflect the evolution of AD. However, because of the relative paucity of longitudinal data for changes in Aβ and tau deposition in the ageing brain, our knowledge of the risk of AD as informed by any biomarker or group of biomarkers is still imperfect. For example, it is certain that many cognitively unimpaired people with evidence of brain Aβ deposition will not live to express symptoms130. Nevertheless, measurement of aggregated proteins combined with longitudinal cognitive assessment provides both a useful model and a set of powerful tools to test ideas about the development of AD. In this regard, existing data suggest that the presence of Aβ increases the likelihood of subsequent cognitive decline in healthy older individuals80, although the lack of prospective data limits inferences about the role of tau in driving cognitive impairment. There is also a legitimate question as to how the less common forms of EOAD and ADAD are related to LOAD and normal ageing, from which they differ in many respects. It is useful in this situation to ask whether the imaging aspects of these three different forms of AD share commonalities and how they are related to pathological features seen in the ageing brain (TABLE 1).

Table 1 |.

Comparison of molecular and neurodegenerative pathologies in ageing and different Alzheimer disease syndromes

Pathology AD subtype or ageing
ADAD EOAD LOAD Ageing
Aβ pathology Initial Aβ deposits form in the striatum and medial parietal lobe ~20 years before symptom onset22,28
  • No data on the evolution of EOAD from asymptomatic stages

  • In affected patients, Aβ deposition is found diffusely throughout the association cortex, with poor correlation with symptoms35

  • Because LOAD occurs on a background of ageing, Aβ pathology is likely to begin in the medial parietal and frontal cortex

  • In symptomatic AD, Aβ is found throughout the association cortex, with weak correlation with symptoms47

  • Initial Aβ deposits form in the medial parietal and frontal cortex77

  • Aβ is found throughout the association cortex in ~30% of individuals with normal cognition73

Tau pathology
  • Limited data, but some indication that tau pathology is seen presymptomatically in the MTL but outside the MTL only when symptomatic29

  • Highest levels of tau accumulation found in those with the highest levels of Aβ deposition29

  • No data on the evolution of EOAD from asymptomatic stages

  • In those with frank dementia, tau pathology is found throughout the association cortex, especially the parietotemporal cortex, and shows strong correlation with symptoms36

  • The timing and location of the onset of tau pathology is uncertain, but it may evolve from MTL tau pathology in ageing

  • In symptomatic patients, tau pathology is generally found in the inferolateral temporal and parietal cortex, similar to Braak stage III and above, and it correlates with symptoms65,66

  • MTL tau pathology is common, being found in 80% of individuals aged 70 or older208

  • Tau pathology is found outside the MTL in varying amounts in 20–30% of healthy older people and is increased with Aβ129,208

Atrophy
  • Atrophy begins in the medial parietal lobe (precuneus) ~13 years before symptom onset23,28

  • Subsequent involvement predominates in the temporal and parietal cortex23,28

The timing of atrophy onset is unknown, but the spatial location of atrophy is highly associated with tau deposition and symptoms36,40 Typical ‘AD-signature’ pattern is frequently identified: atrophy predominates in the temporal and parietal cortex, including the MTL and medial parietal lobes48,49
  • Generalized atrophy with frontotemporal predominance is a general feature of ageing115,116

  • Aβ deposition is associated with greater atrophy, particularly in the temporal and parietal lobes84

  • Tau deposition appears more strongly associated with atrophy than is Aβ, especially in the temporal and parietal lobes110

  • It is likely that greater atrophy is associated with poorer cognition124

Hypometabolism Hypometabolism begins in the medial parietal lobe (precuneus) ~18 years before symptom onset and spreads to the lateral parietal cortex23,28
  • The onset of hypometabolism is unknown but can be detected at the MCI stage131

  • The spatial location of hypometabolism is highly correlated with tau deposition and symptoms36

Similar to atrophy pattern, hypometabolism predominates in the temporoparietal cortex, particularly in the medial parietal lobe and MTL51
  • Hypometabolism is seen in ageing with some frontal predominance but no distinctive pattern117

  • Aβ deposition has small and inconsistent effects on metabolism88,91

  • Tau accumulation is associated with hypometabolism in an AD-like pattern and with poorer memory111,112

Aβ, amyloid-β; AD, Alzheimer disease; ADAD, autosomal dominant AD; EOAD, early-onset AD; LOAD, late-onset AD; MCI, mild cognitive impairment; MTL , medial temporal lobe.

There are important differences between ADAD and LOAD in terms of where pathologies, as determined by imaging, arise in the brain and how they are related to one another (TABLE 1). The early deposition of Aβ in the striatum is a striking feature of ADAD. However, both ADAD and LOAD are characterized by early onset of Aβ deposition in the medial parietal lobe, which is also the most susceptible site of hypometabolism and atrophy in both conditions28. The data on where tau deposition occurs in ADAD are limited, but they suggest that this process is similar to that in LOAD29. There are limited data on the earliest stages and presymptomatic evolution of EOAD for comparison with LOAD; however, focal neurodegeneration reflecting specific EOAD syndromes is detectable at the MCI stage131. In both EOAD and LOAD, there are strong relationships between tau deposition, neurodegeneration and cognition. Because LOAD arises in the setting of ageing, therefore almost invariably with MTL tau pathology, and usually presents with amnesia, it is reasonable to assume that MTL tau pathology is a substrate for the development of AD. The limited information about the evolution of EOAD makes it difficult to draw parallels with the evolution of LOAD; furthermore, the syndromic heterogeneity of EOAD phenotypes (language, visuospatial and executive dysfunction) is a barrier to defining a unitary theory of how the disorder develops. One possibility is that tau deposits early in brain regions that are uniquely susceptible in the EOAD syndromes (for example, in the left hemisphere in patients with early aphasia). Another possibility, based on evidence that all EOAD syndromes share functional disruption of the posterior DMN132, is that EOAD invariably arises from DMN pathology, which is also disrupted in LOAD; thus, EOAD and LOAD may in fact share a common network susceptibility. Why a common pathology affects the memory system in LOAD but other neural systems in EOAD is unknown.

In summary, ADAD, LOAD and EOAD all show similar distributions of Aβ and neurodegeneration (with the exception of Aβ deposition in the striatum in ADAD); however, the importance of tau in relation to neurodegeneration and symptoms has been established only in LOAD and EOAD. Major gaps in our knowledge concern how EOAD evolves over time, where and how tau deposits in ADAD and the relative importance of Aβ and tau pathologies in the transition from normal ageing to AD. Although it is unknown whether these three conditions reflect the same disease or a common response to different aetiologies, investigations with imaging approaches have revealed commonalities that support the likelihood of shared mechanisms, and each disorder opens a different window into AD pathogenesis.

Mechanisms and drivers of pathology

There is increasing information available on biological mechanisms that are associated with the protein aggregation and neurodegeneration of ageing and AD, particularly for both genetic and environmental factors in the aetiology of AD. However, the development of AD is complex, and many important aspects have not been explored or have been only touched upon using imaging approaches. For example, pathological studies have indicated that synapse loss is a major feature of AD133,134, but imaging of synapses has only recently been accomplished135. Similarly, changes in cholinergic function have received some attention with PET imaging but have largely been assumed to reflect secondary processes136. Although this Review focuses on Aβ and tau, we also know that other proteins such as α-synuclein and TDP43 aggregate in the brains of older people and those with dementia. The roles of these proteins have not yet been investigated during life because in vivo techniques for imaging them are not available; development of such new approaches is a high priority in the imaging field. Finally, because amyloid imaging was available years before the recent advent of tau imaging, disease mechanisms associated with tau are fairly unexplored, and most data reflect associations with Aβ.

Neural activity.

Preclinical data indicate that neural activity induces the extracellular release of Aβ through exocytosis137139; indeed, manipulation of neural activity affects the regional localization of amyloid plaques in transgenic mouse models140. Neural activity can also lead to the extracellular release of tau141, enhancing its propagation and facilitating transcellular transfer142. These findings have different implications for the development of Aβ and tau pathologies.

Although the spatial overlap between the distribution of Aβ deposition and the DMN in particular is often cited, in reality, Aβ is found in regions where multiple networks converge and demonstrate hub-like qualities16,17,143 (Fig. 4). These regions demonstrate high degrees of connectivity with other brain regions, a characteristic that is energetically demanding144. Furthermore, the brain regions that are the most metabolically active in youth and that maintain this activity through adulthood show the greatest deposition of Aβ in ageing94. Reports showing that increased metabolism is associated with more Aβ are also consistent with a primary role for metabolism in driving Aβ deposition92,93. Brain regions showing Aβ deposition also demonstrate alterations in gene expression profiles for gene sets associated with mitochondrial respiration145. Higher metabolic activity could also be driven by uses of glucose in biosynthetic and non-oxidative pathways because maps of aerobic glycolysis correspond to the distribution of Aβ in the brain146.

Fig. 4 |. Relationships between canonical resting-state networks and amyloid-β deposition.

Fig. 4 |

Brain maps show the topography of resting-state networks, defined using an independent component analysis with dual regression in a group of 92 cognitively healthy older individuals also imaged for brain amyloid-β (Aβ) with 11C-Pittsburgh compound B (PIB). Blue regions highlight where global brain Aβ deposition (part a) is associated with changes in resting network activity (either increases or decreases) or where local, or regional (part b), Aβ deposition is associated with network activity alterations. These regions are prominent in the default mode network (DMN) but are not isolated to this network: they occur in areas where networks converge that are also associated with high between-network and within-network connectivity. The affected regions are also similar to those affected by atrophy and hypometabolism (Fig. 2). The colours indicate the location of the networks. DAN, dorsal attention network; FPCN, frontoparietal control network; SN, salience network. Figure is reproduced with permission from reF.143, Elman, J. A. et al. Effects of beta-amyloid on resting state functional connectivity within and between networks reflect known patterns of regional vulnerability. Cereb. Cortex (2016) 26(2), 695–707 , by permission of Oxford University Press.

In addition to basal metabolism, Aβ deposition is associated with increased neural activity evoked by memory encoding in task-positive regions98 and reduced deactivation in task-negative regions99. Higher activation during memory encoding at baseline predicts greater subsequent deposition of Aβ over the next 4 years147. Most recently, cross-sectional data indicate associations between greater activation during memory encoding and more tau deposition in the MTL, where both tau and activation may help drive atrophy and cognitive decline114. Low levels of MTL tau pathology are associated with increased functional connectivity in cognitively healthy amyloid-positive individuals, whereas high levels of tau are associated with decreased connectivity, a finding that could explain the evolution of connectivity alterations during the progression of disease148. Administration of the anti-epileptic drug levetiracetam to individuals with MCI reduced this presumably excess activation and improved memory performance149. Taken together, these data support a role for increased neural activity in initiating and sustaining Aβ accumulation.

Networks as facilitators of pathological spread.

Patterns of brain atrophy in different neurodegenerative disorders correspond to distinct intrinsic connectivity networks, suggesting that specific neural systems are differentially vulnerable in these diseases150,151. The spatial relationships between canonical functional networks and neurodegenerative pathology converge with the preclinical data supporting the trans-synaptic spread and aggregation of proteins152. Network models using graph theoretical frameworks support the idea that neurodegeneration proceeds through epicentres and that strength of connectivity to these epicentres predicts the regional localization of atrophy153. Within EOAD subgroups, for example, patterns of regional atrophy parallel distinct networks in healthy individuals corresponding to language and visuospatial systems that converge in a common node in the posterior DMN–precuneus132. These networks also overlap with the syndrome-specific regional deposition of tau in EOAD. Evidence for the Aβ-facilitated spread of tau from the entorhinal cortex to the posterior cingulate via the cingulum bundle in humans is also an example of how a specific neural system, in this case one subserving memory, can be affected by a pathological protein154. Thus, large-scale networks appear to underlie patterns of tau and neurodegenerative pathology.

Network disruption may also play an aetiological role in disease pathology. In this model, the early failure of network components that are marked by reduced connectivity (the posterior DMN) is followed by increased connectivity in anterior components of the DMN; this increased connectivity, whether compensatory or not, drives further disease pathology97. Indeed, two studies have reported that cognitively healthy carriers of the APOE4 allele show signs of network dysfunction before amyloid deposition155,156, which is consistent with the idea that network failure itself may be a driving force behind Aβ aggregation. In this respect, this idea echoes theories related to regional metabolism-based vulnerability and neural activity.

Apolipoprotein E.

The APOE polymorphism affects the risk of AD in all its syndromic forms10. Carriage of the APOE4 allele results in increased brain Aβ deposition in normal ageing, as well as deposition at earlier ages74. Investigations of the effect of APOE4 on Aβ accumulation rates have been inconsistent157,158. Recent longitudinal data suggest that the APOE4 leads to faster accumulation of Aβ early in the pathophysiology of the disease in those who are nominally amyloid negative159, but there is also evidence that although APOE4 carriers deposit Aβ early (in their 50s in some brain regions), those with higher baseline levels of Aβ deposit Aβ more rapidly160. These data are consistent with preclinical data that APOE4 is crucial in seeding Aβ aggregation161. Other preclinical data indicate that the APOE4 allele promotes pathological tau accumulation and tau-related neurodegeneration162. These findings could explain how APOE is related to Aβ in producing cognitive decline82,163 and perhaps even how APOE4 could drive particular imaging phenotypes with accentuated MTL atrophy164. Similarly, these relationships could also be explained by presumably lifelong and Aβ-independent effects of APOE4 on brain structure, function and metabolism89,155,165.

Cerebrovascular disease.

There is extensive evidence that cerebrovascular disease can play an important role in the development of dementia symptoms, but its relationship to molecular processes is complex. Neuropathological studies have been instrumental in noting that dementia, especially in older people, frequently involves cerebral infarction in addition to plaque and tangle pathology; the additive nature of the association suggests that vascular insults lower the threshold for the expression of dementia symptoms but do not affect the protein aggregates themselves12,166. MRI is the most useful imaging tool for the investigation of cerebrovascular disease in vivo and has been used to quantify cerebral infarction, changes in white matter (denoted as white matter hyperintensities on T2 images) and microhaemorrhages. Not surprisingly, MRI evidence of cerebrovascular pathology is related to diminished cognitive function167,168. However, there is limited evidence for a link between Aβ and imaging measurements of vascular pathology, the exception being that individuals with cerebral amyloid angiopathy appear to have more white matter hyperintensities169. The prevailing imaging evidence supports a role whereby cerebrovascular brain injury and Aβ pathology are independent factors that combine to increase the likelihood of dementia170172.

Relationships between cerebrovascular risk factors and Aβ are more complex. Several studies have shown associations between cardiovascular risk factors and brain Aβ deposition in cognitively healthy older people. These factors include elevated blood pressure, body mass index, smoking, hypercholesterolemia and diabetes in isolation and in various combinations173176. Some of these factors have also been found to be associated with neurodegeneration but not Aβ deposition177, with some evidence for an association between vascular health and entorhinal cortical tau deposition seen on PET178. There is also extensive evidence that vascular risk factors, even in midlife, are associated with later-life brain atrophy, which in turn is associated with cognitive decline179,180.

Together, the findings support a role for cerebrovascular disease in leading to dementia. This role likely occurs because cerebrovascular disease results in tissue loss and changes in white matter that lower the threshold for cognitive dysfunction related to other pathological processes such as protein aggregation. However, there are also interesting associations between vascular risk and both Aβ deposition and brain atrophy that link vascular disease to molecular mechanisms associated with AD. These relationships require further study.

Environmental factors and lifestyle.

A wide range of lifestyle and environmental factors that are associated with many health outcomes are also associated with effects on the AD pathophysiological process. Importantly, there are extensive data linking resilience to AD pathology to lifestyle factors, invoking a process of cognitive reserve in compensating for AD pathology181. Although reserve and resilience are crucial concepts in understanding why individuals with similar amounts of disease pathology will express different levels of cognitive dysfunction, this section reviews evidence for effects on the pathological process itself.

Engagement in both cognitive and physical activity has been found to reduce brain Aβ levels. Cognitively healthy individuals who indicate greater levels of both past and current physical activity show lower levels of brain Aβ, an effect that is strongest in APOE4 carriers182,183. Evidence exists for a similar effect regarding cognitive activity, with individuals — particularly those carrying APOE4 — indicating higher lifelong cognitive engagement showing a reduction in brain Aβ levels184186. Although these effects of both physical and cognitive activity converge with epidemiological associations with dementia risk, the mechanisms underlying a direct effect of these factors on Aβ are unclear.

There is a growing body of evidence that altered sleep contributes to pathological changes in AD. Cognitively healthy individuals reporting less or poorer sleep quality demonstrate increased brain Aβ deposition with PET imaging187,188; the early appearance of this association suggests it is not an epiphenomenon of late-stage dementia. Polysomnography shows that these associations are frequency specific in their relationship to slow-wave activity <1 Hz and topographically-specific, being associated with Aβ deposition in the medial prefrontal cortex, a site generating slow-wave activity189. These associations may reflect either a failure to adequately clear Aβ through the glymphatic system during sleep190 or higher levels of exposure to neural activity and oxidative stress. The observations that decreased sleep may reduce Aβ clearance and that increased medial prefrontal cortical Aβ may drive diminished slow-wave activity suggest the possibility of a vicious cycle in the relationship between sleep and Aβ.

Cognitive reserve.

A hypothetical construct proposing differences in individual susceptibility to account for why people with similar levels of disease pathology show different levels of cognitive ability.

Neuroinflammation.

Extensive data from basic cellular neuroscience and human genetics implicate inflammation as a key event in the pathogenesis of AD191193. Investigation of neuroinflammation is amenable to in vivo study using various PET ligands that principally target the peripheral benzodiazepine receptor (PBR) by binding to the translocator protein (TSPO) on the outer mitochondrial membrane. PBR–TSPO imaging is useful because of increased expression of the TSPO protein in activated immune cells of the CNS, particularly micro-glia. Current TSPO ligands suffer from several shortcomings but nevertheless have been utilized in studies exploring the presence and time course of neuroinflammation in conjunction with other biomarkers of AD. The data obtained from such studies have been reasonably consistent in showing evidence of neuroinflammation in patients with AD but have been more inconsistent in showing relationships between neuroinflammation and other biomarkers and clinical syndromes, including MCI194196. These studies have therefore been unable to explain the precise role of inflammation in the pathophysiology of AD and particularly the temporal relationship between inflammation, protein aggregates and cerebrovascular disease. Although it seems likely that PET imaging across the AD spectrum may ultimately help to reveal the role of neuroinflammation in the disorder, more definitive studies will probably require a new generation of PET ligands.

Does a model fit the data?

Is Aβ the start of a cascade of events leading to tau deposition, neurodegeneration and, eventually, dementia7? Do the relationships between Aβ, tau deposition, neurodegeneration and cognition support a multistage pathophysiological chain of events (Fig. 5)?

Fig. 5 |. Proposed relationships between pathological protein accumulation, neurodegeneration and drivers of the Alzheimer disease process.

Fig. 5 |

The initial stages of Alzheimer disease (AD) development reflect relationships between cortical amyloid-β (Aβ; red) and tau (blue) in the medial temporal lobe (MTL) (1). This process appears to begin with Aβ deposition in the cortex but could have a bidirectional nature as accumulation of MTL tau, which may or may not reflect AD, usually precedes cortical Aβ in cognitively healthy older people. The relationship between these two proteins is associated with spread of tau out of the MTL into the medial parietal, lateral parietal and temporal cortices (2). This tau spread is associated with neurodegeneration (dark blue) in a similar topography to tau deposition (3), which in turn is related to cognitive decline and, eventually , dementia (4). Drivers of Aβ include various processes and factors. Disturbed or diminished sleep, increased neural activity , reduced physical and cognitive activity , cerebrovascular disease, old age, the apolipoprotein E gene ε4 allele (APOE4) and other proteinopathies have been linked to Aβ deposition. Some of these associations have not been described for tau pathology , but this could reflect the relative novelty of in vivo tau imaging. Old age, APOE4 and other proteinopathies appear to be associated with tau deposition in the MTL. Neurodegeneration is also associated with these factors and with cerebrovascular disease. Increased age, APOE4, other proteinopathies and cerebrovascular disease may also affect neurodegeneration independent of their effects on tau or Aβ. TDP43, TAR DNA-binding protein 43.

Spatiotemporal associations and the beginning of AD.

Strong relationships between tau deposition, neurodegeneration and cognition are apparent in asymptomatic older people and in those with LOAD and EOAD. These data support an important role for tau in driving adverse events, but what is the role of Aβ in this process? The relationships between Aβ and both neurodegeneration and cognition are weak, but the relationships between Aβ and tau offer an explanation. There are strong cross-sectional and longitudinal associations between Aβ and tau, especially in the observation that very low, but rising Aβ levels are associated with tau deposition over years103,104. Aβ deposition facilitates the accumulation of tau in the posterior cingulate cortex via connections through the cingulum bundle154. Facilitation of tau spread into the medial parietal cortex by Aβ would explain why this region seems to be selectively vulnerable to hypometabolism and atrophy and defines relationships between Aβ and tau in this process. Associations between tau accumulation and both cortical atrophy and hypometabolism also seem more malignant in the presence of Aβ69,72,111,112. The observation that the rate of Aβ accumulation appears to slow as it reaches higher levels104,197,198 suggests that neurodegeneration and cognitive decline could eventually become uncoupled from Aβ levels but still be dependent on tau.

Thus, there is a compelling story that Aβ facilitates both the spread and pathogenicity of tau throughout the brain, which then drives neurodegeneration and dementia. This story seems to place Aβ at the start of a pathological cascade. However, in cognitively healthy older people, MTL tau accumulation precedes diffuse neocortical Aβ deposition. Does Aβ deposition result in the spread of this tau, or could this tau in the MTL drive neocortical Aβ buildup?

The findings in ADAD strongly implicate medial parietal cortical Aβ deposition as the primary measurable biochemical event in the development of AD28, which is supported by data from cognitively healthy older people76,77. Although MTL tau deposition may be an earlier event, Aβ deposition seems to increase MTL tau levels in cognitively healthy older people109 and in ADAD29. Thus, although it is appealing to consider age-related MTL tau accumulation as a substrate for Aβ-facilitated tau spread, the corollary of this event in EOAD is unknown, and it will be crucial to develop a better understanding of how tau deposition evolves in this form of AD. It is important to remember in this setting that PET can detect only aggregated fibrillar forms of Aβ; therefore, soluble or intracellular forms could play a role in this early tau deposition. At this time, a major unresolved question is how tau and Aβ interact — this is poorly understood from both the human imaging and molecular and cellular perspectives. Does isolated MTL tau accumulation represent a non-AD pathology (that is, PART) that may be exacerbated by Aβ build-up, or is it in fact the beginning of AD that in some way leads to Aβ deposition199? The data from ADAD indicate that Aβ pathology leads to tau deposition, but the situation in other forms of AD and ageing is unresolved. It is also possible that the relationships between these two molecules differ at different diseases stages, such that Aβ could initiate a transformation in tau, which then affects Aβ aggregation.

Spatiotemporal discrepancies.

The poorly understood relationships between Aβ and tau are reflected in the discordance between localization of these two proteins and their presumed downstream consequences. In normal ageing and all forms of AD, Aβ is diffusely present in the prefrontal cortex, but this region shows fairly little tau pathology, atrophy and hypometabolism; conversely, in ageing and LOAD, tau accumulation and atrophy are prominent in the MTL, a brain region with little Aβ200. Comparisons between EOAD and LOAD are particularly puzzling because, although both disorders show a generalized pattern of Aβ distribution, tau seems to accumulate preferentially in the memory system in ageing and LOAD but predominates in a number of other neural systems in EOAD. Even within EOAD, different syndromes have different distributions of tau despite similar distributions of Aβ. One possibility is that Aβ and tau accumulation develop independently and subsequently interact. It is also possible that Aβ effects occur at the synapse and, through an unknown process of retrograde signalling, alter tau residing in the soma, a hypothesis consistent with the spatially remote correlations between the two proteins108. The effects of Aβ may also be entirely related to soluble or intracellular forms undetectable by PET but lead to tau aggregation in specific patterns. Longitudinal studies of these pathological processes may help explain these confusing relationships.

Another important discrepancy is SNAP, which by definition is not related to Aβ and does not appear to be explained by tau. Cerebrovascular disease and other proteinopathies such as that associated with TDP43 could be drivers of brain atrophy in this situation11,179 so that multiple pathological processes may converge on neuro-degeneration. There is also evidence that different proteins may interact to induce aggregation; for example, α-synuclein may induce tau aggregation201. Furthermore, just as Aβ could remotely affect tau aggregation, pathological proteins in the MTL (including tau) can produce medial parietal hypometabolism in an AD-like pattern112,202. Neurodegeneration is not likely to reflect a single amyloid-dependent or tau-dependent process but rather involves multiple pathophysiological pathways that will eventually need to be incorporated into our understanding of AD pathogenesis.

Conclusions

In this Review, I have attempted to unify the sometimes conflicting and confusing data relating protein deposition to what have been termed ‘downstream’ processes in AD. Most of the conflicting data do not seem to contradict an underlying sequential model for this disease (Fig. 5), but they do raise gaps in our knowledge and indicate the likely importance of additional non-amyloid or tau-related disease pathways. Molecular mechanisms for many of these events are either poorly understood or entirely missing. The lack of large longitudinal data sets — with all of these processes measured over time — limits causal inferences, although these crucial data will probably begin to appear over the next few years. Associational studies also raise the possibility that unmeasured variables could play important or causal roles in driving the pathological processes we can measure. Most models of complex diseases are incorrect, and the current model of AD pathogenesis is probably no exception; the question is whether it provides reasonable therapeutic targets. Because the most persuasive test of causal association requires experimental intervention, the best experiment will be the removal of one or more of these putatively inciting proteins with the subsequent amelioration of neurodegeneration and cognitive decline. This experiment would be a positive clinical trial of an Aβ or tau-modifying therapy — something that the entire field awaits with anticipation and hope.

Acknowledgements

Research described in this article was supported in part by US National Institutes of Health grants AG034570, AG045611 and AG019724. The author is indebted to R. La Joie, S. Landau, A. Maass and G. Rabinovici for their thoughtful comments.

Footnotes

Competing interests

The author serves as a consultant to BioClinica, Novartis and Genentech.

Publisher’s note

Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.

Reviewer information

Nature Reviews Neuroscience thanks K. Josephs, P. Matthews and M. Rossor for their contribution to the peer review of this work.

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