Abstract
Objective:
To evaluate the association between alcohol use routinely reported during outpatient mental healthcare visits and short-term risk of subsequent suicide attempt.
Methods:
Using a longitudinal retrospective-cohort design, electronic health records identified adult outpatient visits to a mental health provider (1/1/2010–6/30/2015) at Kaiser Permanente Washington with a documented Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Consumption [AUDIT-C]. Suicide attempts within 90 days of AUDIT-C documentation were defined using death certificate cause-of-death and diagnosis codes (non-lethal). Visit-level analyses used generalized estimating equations to account for correlation between multiple AUDIT-Cs for individuals. Separate models evaluated the association between (1) level of consumption and (2) frequency of heavy drinking episodes and suicide attempts, adjusted for visit year, demographics, depressive symptom, and suicidal ideation.
Results:
Of 59,382 patient visits, 0.62% (N=371) were followed by a suicide attempt within 90 days. Patients reporting high-level alcohol use were 1.77 times (95% CI, 1.22–2.57) more likely to attempt suicide than those reporting low-level use. Patients reporting daily or almost daily heavy drinking episodes were 2.33 times (95% CI, 1.38–3.93) more likely to attempt suicide than those reporting none.
Conclusions and Relevance:
The AUDIT-C is a valuable tool for assessing patterns of patient-reported alcohol use associated with subsequent suicide attempt.
Keywords: Suicide prevention, mental health, AUDIT-C, alcohol use disorder
1. INTRODUCTION
Suicide is the 10th leading cause of death in the U.S. [1], and alcohol use is an important risk factor for suicide attempt. About a quarter of suicide deaths are directly attributable to alcohol [2], which is often used at the time of suicide attempts (both non-lethal and deaths) [3–11]. Alcohol use disorders are strongly associated with suicidal behavior [12–16], especially among people with serious mental illnesses [17–19]. However, prior research on this topic also has limited applicability to suicide prevention in clinical settings because the data were collected retrospectively from coroner reports [9, 20, 21] or self-reported from suicide attempt survivors [5–7, 10, 22, 23]. Such data cannot be used to identify patients at high risk of suicide prior to an attempt.
In response to recommendations from the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force [USPSTF] [24] and initiatives focused on integrating behavioral health in primary care [25], healthcare systems are increasingly implementing population-based screening for unhealthy alcohol use. Screening tools like the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test-Consumption [AUDIT-C] assess patterns of alcohol use, such as average consumption and frequency of heavy drinking episodes, that are associated with increased risk for adverse outcomes [26–29]. Prior cross-sectional research among Veterans has identified associations between alcohol consumption reported via AUDIT-C and both suicidal ideation and past attempts [30–32]. It remains unknown, however, whether routine use of screening instruments like the AUDIT-C, can identify patients at higher risk of subsequent suicide attempt [33]. Healthcare settings may also enable opportunities for suicide prevention, because research demonstrates approximately half of individuals who die by suicide visit their healthcare provider in the month prior to suicide death [34, 35]. This may be particularly relevant to mental health providers who often see a population of patients at higher suicide risk than the general population [35, 36].
No prior research has examined the short-term risk of suicide attempt associated with patterns of alcohol use measured using routine alcohol screening in a general population of patients receiving outpatient mental healthcare. Therefore, we evaluated the associations between patterns of alcohol use reported via AUDIT-C at an outpatient mental health visit and risk of documented suicide attempt over the following 90 days.
2. METHODS
2.1. Data Source
The study utilized de-identified electronic health record (EHR), insurance claims, health system enrollment, and state death certificate data from Kaiser Permanente [KP] Washington, a large regional healthcare system serving approximately 700,000 patients. These data included patient sociodemographic information, inpatient and outpatient visit diagnoses [37], as well as the 3-item AUDIT-C [29, 38] routinely used at KP Washington since 2010. The AUDIT-C has been extensively validated as a screen for the spectrum of alcohol use disorders in diverse adult patient populations (age 18+) [28, 29, 38–48]. The KP Washington Institutional Review Board approved this analysis.
2.2. Study Population & Analytic Sample
The analytic sample included all adult patients who: 1) received care from a KP Washington mental health provider between 1/1/2010 and 6/30/2015, 2) had a documented AUDIT-C, and 3) were enrolled for at least 90 days after completing the AUDIT-C (i.e., did not disenroll or die from causes other than suicide) (Figure 1). When patients had multiple recorded AUDIT-Cs, we further limited our sample to only visits with AUDIT-Cs recorded at least 9 months apart, starting with the first observed AUDIT-C. We did this to be consistent with the prior-year timeframe of the AUDIT-C, while maximizing our sample of patient visits, as well as to approximate annual screening practices in large heath systems, like the Veterans Health Administration [VA] and KP Washington, where patient appointments are often not exactly one year apart [26, 49]. Sensitivity analyses (described below) explored the impact of this study design on results.
Figure 1:
Adult Outpatient Mental Health Visits with AUDIT-C Documentation and Outcome Data Availability in the Following 90-days During the Study Period
2.3. Measures
Two patterns of alcohol use were derived from the AUDIT-C based on extensive prior research [50–57]. First, levels of alcohol consumption were measured categorically based on gender-specific AUDIT-C cut-points of the total score (0–12) of the three items—nondrinking: score 0; low-level: score 1–2 or 1–3 (women, men); moderate-level: score 3–7 or 4–7 (women, men), and high-level: score 8–12 (both women and men) [58]. Second, frequency of heavy drinking episodes was measured categorically based on responses to the third AUDIT-C question, which asks how often patients consume six or more drinks on one occasion, with response options: “never,” “less than monthly,” monthly,” “weekly,” and “daily or almost daily” [53, 56].
Our primary outcome—suicide attempts—within 90 days of the index visit were ascertained from state death certificate cause-of-death codes and EHR diagnostic codes. Suicide deaths and non-fatal attempts were combined due to the small number of deaths. We selected 90 days to operationalize the definition of “short-term risk” to maximize the likelihood of observing a suicide attempt soon after a healthcare visit based on prior research [34, 59]. Following common recommendations [60, 61], all deaths with an ICD-10 cause-of-death code of intentional self-harm (X60–X84) or injury/poisoning with undetermined intent (Y10–Y34) were considered probable suicide deaths. Similarly, based on prior research at KP Washington [62], all non-fatal attempts were identified using ICD-9 cause-of-injury codes for intentional self-harm (E950–E958) or undetermined intent (E980–E989). Cause-of-death and cause-of-injury codes of undetermined intent were included, based on a prior chart review study, to increase the probability of ascertaining probable suicide attempts [59].
Covariates included demographic characteristics measured via chart documentation, specifically age (continuous), sex (male/female), and race/ethnicity (white, black, Asian, Hispanic, other, unknown), to control for demographic characteristics known to be differentially associated with alcohol use and suicide attempt [33, 63]. Additionally, we measured depression severity and suicidal ideation—both of which are known to be associated with suicide attempt [59, 64, 65]—using the nine item Patient Health Questionnaire [PHQ-9] [66–68] reported at the same index visit as the AUDIT-C. The PHQ-8 (responses to the first eight questions) is a valid diagnostic and severity measure for depressive disorders in population-based studies [69] and was used as a categorical measure of depressive symptom severity—minimal or no depressive symptoms: score 0–4; mild symptoms: score 5–9; moderate symptoms: score 10–14; moderately severe symptoms: score 15–19; and severe symptoms: score 20–24 [69, 70]. Suicidal ideation was measured categorically using responses to the ninth PHQ-9 question, which asks about “thoughts that you would be better off dead, or of hurting yourself” in the prior two weeks and results in the following responses: “not at all,” “several days,” “more than half the days” and “nearly every day” [64, 65]. Finally, history of mental health and medical comorbidity was measured using ICD-9 diagnostic codes documented in the 0–365 days prior to alcohol screening. Diagnoses for depression, anxiety, or serious mental illness (bipolar, schizophrenia, other psychosis or personality disorders), and suicide attempts were used to control for history of mental health comorbidity. The Charlson comorbidity index, a disease-specific summary measure commonly used in health services research [37, 71], was used to control for history of medical comorbidity associated with mortality. Additionally, an alcohol use disorder diagnosis indicator documented in the 0–365 days prior to screening was used for descriptive purposes but was not considered a potential confounder due to strong correlation with AUDIT-C assessment [39].
2.4. Statistical Analysis
Patient-level descriptive analyses using data from the first visit in study period were conducted to describe patient characteristics and compare the sample to the overall patient population receiving mental healthcare during the study period. Visit-level analyses were conducted to understand the association between patterns of alcohol use measured using the AUDIT-C and subsequent short-term risk of suicide. Specifically, we fit generalized estimating equations [GEE] to evaluate the association between: (1) level of alcohol consumption and (2) frequency of heavy drinking and suicide attempt within the subsequent 90 days [72, 73]. GEE models were used to account for correlation resulting from including multiple visits for individual patients. Four models were fit for each predictor (8 total models); all included an indicator for visit year to account for changes in AUDIT-C administration practices over time and then added covariates in blocks to evaluate how the association between alcohol use and risk changed as we adjusted for more covariates. The first model (Model A) was only adjusted for visit year. The second (Model B) was additionally adjusted for demographic risk factors, to inform clinical care in the scenario when additional information about depression symptom severity and medical history are not available to clinicians at the time of AUDIT-C assessment. The third model (Model C), considered our primary model, was additionally adjusted for depressive symptom severity and frequency of suicidal ideation. This model was considered primary because it best replicates routinely recommended mental healthcare, including assessment of both depression severity and suicidal ideation [68, 74]. The fourth model (Model D) was further adjusted for additional mental health comorbidity and physical comorbidity to replicate the scenario when mental health and medical history are known by providers at the time of alcohol screening. Low-level drinking (not nondrinking) was used as the reference group in models assessing consumption levels because the past-year timeframe of the AUDIT-C does not distinguish lifetime abstinence from ceasing drinking due to alcohol-related problems or illness [75], and prior research has demonstrated a non-linear relationship between levels of alcohol use and mental health [76] and mortality [77, 78]. In models assessing frequency of heavy drinking episodes, report of “never” having a past-year heavy drinking episode was used as the reference group. In all models, standard errors were calculated using the robust sandwich estimator with an independence working correlation structure.
Sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the impact of assumptions related to including repeated visits for the same person in the analyses and the timing between multiple recorded AUDIT-Cs. Specifically, we repeated all analyses restricted to the first AUDIT-C recorded for each individual during our study years, because prior research had demonstrated answering questions about drinking may alter subsequent self-reported behavior [79]. Secondly, we used all patient visits with AUDIT-Cs available at least 90 days apart (rather than 9 months apart), to maximize the number of index visits observed with a 90-day follow-up window to observe suicide attempt outcomes. All analyses were performed using Stata/MP 15.1 [80].
3. RESULTS
3.1. Patient Characteristics
Our patient sample included 44,106 individuals, and majority were women (63.7%), and white race/ethnicity (77.9%). Based on data from the first visit, the mean age of the sample was 43.3 years (range 18–90, SD=16.7), and the majority had a past-year depressive disorder (71.0%) and/or anxiety disorder (58.4%) (Table 1). At the time of initial visits, most patients reported low-level (38.6%) or moderate-level (34.5%) alcohol consumption and no heavy drinking (65.1%) in the past year (Figure 2). Patients reporting high-level alcohol use were more likely to be male, younger, to report moderate to severe depressive symptoms, to indicate some frequency of thoughts about self-harm on the PHQ-9 ninth question, and to have past-year diagnoses for depression, suicide attempt and/or alcohol use disorder (Table 1). Similar patterns were seen across heavy drinking frequency (Supplement Table S1). Demographic and clinical characteristics among patients eligible for the study were similar to those in the overall patient population who received care from a mental health provider without a documented AUDIT-C (Supplement Table S2).
Table 1:
Characteristics of Adult Mental Health Patients Assessed for Unhealthy Alcohol Use (N=44106), Across Levels of Reported Alcohol Consumption
Level of Alcohol Use Based on Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test Consumption (AUDIT-C) Scores | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Sample N=44106 | Nondrinking (Score 0) N=9762 | Low-Level Alcohol use (Score 1–2 Women, Score 1–3 Men) N=17038 | Medium-Level Alcohol use (Score 3–7 Women, Score 4–7 Men) N=15200 | High-Level Alcohol use (Score 8–12) N=2106 | ||||||
Age (Mean, SD) | 43.3 | (16.7) | 48.0 | (18.3) | 44.0 | (16.1) | 40.1 | (15.6) | 38.8 | (14.2) |
Male (N, %) | 16028 | (36.3%) | 3358 | (34.4%) | 6406 | (37.6%) | 5051 | (33.2%) | 1213 | (57.6%) |
Race/Ethnicity (N, %) | ||||||||||
White, non-Hispanic | 34367 | (77.9%) | 7339 | (75.2%) | 13272 | (77.9%) | 12134 | (79.8%) | 1622 | (77.0%) |
Black, non-Hispanic | 1983 | (4.5%) | 499 | (5.1%) | 760 | (4.5%) | 609 | (4.0%) | 115 | (5.5%) |
Asian | 1965 | (4.5%) | 591 | (6.1%) | 766 | (4.5%) | 548 | (3.6%) | 60 | (2.8%) |
Hispanic | 1503 | (3.4%) | 333 | (3.4%) | 603 | (3.5%) | 494 | (3.3%) | 73 | (3.5%) |
Other | 2689 | (6.1%) | 643 | (6.6%) | 1025 | (6.0%) | 880 | (5.8%) | 141 | (6.7%) |
Unknown | 1599 | (3.6%) | 357 | (3.7%) | 612 | (3.6%) | 535 | (3.5%) | 95 | (4.5%) |
*Level of Depressive Symptoms (PHQ-8) (N, %) | ||||||||||
Minimal or None (Score 0–4) | 8373 | (19.0%) | 1841 | (18.9%) | 3510 | (20.6%) | 2813 | (18.5%) | 209 | (9.9%) |
Mild (Score 5–9) | 11075 | (25.1%) | 2192 | (22.5%) | 4473 | (26.3%) | 4008 | (26.4%) | 402 | (19.1%) |
Moderate (Score 10–14) | 10324 | (23.4%) | 2188 | (22.4%) | 3914 | (23.0%) | 3707 | (24.4%) | 515 | (24.5%) |
Moderately Severe (Score 15–19) | 8400 | (19.0%) | 1946 | (19.9%) | 3044 | (17.9%) | 2881 | (19.0%) | 529 | (25.1%) |
Severe (Score 20–24) | 5290 | (12.0%) | 1366 | (14.0%) | 1886 | (11.1%) | 1621 | (10.7%) | 417 | (19.8%) |
*Frequency of Self-Harm Thoughts (PHQ-9 Q9) (N, %) | ||||||||||
Not at all (Score 0) | 32220 | (73.1%) | 6930 | (71.0%) | 12811 | (75.2%) | 11257 | (74.1%) | 1222 | (58.0%) |
Several days (Score 1) | 7033 | (15.9%) | 1543 | (15.8%) | 2555 | 15.0%) | 2436 | (16.0%) | 499 | (23.7%) |
More than half (Score 2) | 2348 | (5.3%) | 560 | (5.7%) | 814 | (4.8%) | 791 | (5.2%) | 183 | (8.7%) |
Nearly every day (Score 3) | 1821 | (4.1%) | 494 | (5.1%) | 629 | (3.7%) | 535 | (3.5%) | 163 | (7.7%) |
Mental Health Diagnoses, Prior Year (N, %) | ||||||||||
Anxiety disorder | 25766 | (58.4%) | 5876 | (60.2%) | 9793 | (57.5%) | 8834 | (58.1%) | 1263 | (60.0%) |
Depressive disorder | 31294 | (71.0%) | 6918 | (70.9%) | 11946 | (70.1%) | 10785 | (71.0%) | 1645 | (78.1%) |
†Serious mental illness diagnosis | 6202 | (14.1%) | 2008 | (20.6%) | 2353 | (13.8%) | 1569 | (10.3%) | 272 | (12.9%) |
Prior suicide attempt | 530 | (1.2%) | 136 | (1.4%) | 164 | (1.0%) | 171 | (1.1%) | 59 | (2.8%) |
‡Charlson Score | 0.5 | (1.2) | 0.8 | (1.5) | 0.5 | (1.2) | 0.3 | (0.8) | 0.3 | (0.9) |
Alcohol Use Disorder Diagnosis | 1709 | (3.9%) | 189 | (1.9%) | 182 | (1.1%) | 592 | (3.9%) | 746 | (35.4%) |
Time-varying information defined at the time of the first outpatient mental health visit during the study period.
Recorded via self-report on the PHQ-9 about the prior two weeks during same visit as AUDIT-C; PHQ8 score missing for 644 individuals & PHQ-9 Q9 missing for 684 individuals, so columns for these variable do not total 100% across alcohol consumption categories.
Diagnosis of bipolar, schizophrenia, other psychosis or personality disorders.
Missing for 2467 individuals without ambulatory or inpatient encounters in which to observe comorbidities during 365 days prior to the first visit.
Figure 2:
Patterns of Patient-Reported Alcohol Use Via AUDIT-C Among Adult Patients Receiving Outpatient Mental Healthcare
3.2. Association Between Patterns of Alcohol Use and Risk of Suicide Attempt
Among all patient visits included in the primary analysis (n=59,382), 371 (0.62%) had a documented suicide attempt (352 non-fatal, 19 deaths) within 90 days (Table 2). Results of all GEE models are presented in Table 2 and described below, with a focus on results from our primary models (Model C).
Table 2:
Counts of suicide attempts observed within 90-days following the index visits with a documented AUDIT-C and PHQ-9 (Primary Model C)
Visits N=59,382 | Suicide Attempts N=371 | ||
---|---|---|---|
Alcohol Consumption Level† | Count | N | % |
Nondrinking | 11632 | 78 | 0.67% |
Low-Level | 25442 | 142 | 0.56% |
Moderate-Level | 19873 | 113 | 0.57% |
High-Level | 2435 | 38 | 1.56% |
Heavy Episodic Drinking Frequency†† | Count | N | % |
Never | 40572 | 222 | 0.55% |
Less than monthly | 12343 | 80 | 0.65% |
Monthly or More | 6790 | 69 | 1.02% |
AUDIT-C: Nondrinker=score 0; Low-Level= Score 1–2 Women, 1–3 Men; Moderate-Level=Score 3–7 Women, 4–7 Men; High -Level=Score 8–12 Women & Men
AUDIT-C Question 3: Never=Score 0, Less than monthly=Score 1, Monthly or More=Score 2–4
Levels of Alcohol Consumption
Levels of alcohol consumption were associated with documentation of a suicide attempt in Models A-C but not D (Results of Global Wald tests, Model A: p<0.0001, Model B: p<0.0001, Model C: p=0.0075, Model D: p= 0.0835). In the primary model (Model C), risk of suicide attempt was increased for those reporting high-level alcohol use (OR 1.77, 95% CI, 1.22–2.57), relative to those reporting low-level alcohol use, but did not differ for those with moderate-level (OR: 0.93, 95% CI 0.72–1.17) or no alcohol use (OR 1.12, 95% CI 0.84–1.49; Model C, Table 2). Results of the other models (Model A, B and D) were similar, though the risk of suicide attempt associated with high-level consumption was stronger in the analyses unadjusted (Model A) and adjusted for demographic characteristics only (Model B) and attenuated when restricted to patients with known prior-year mental health and medical comorbidity (Model D).
Frequency of Heavy Drinking Episodes
Frequency of heavy drinking episodes was also associated with documentation of a suicide attempt in Models A-C but not D (Results of Global Wald tests: Model A: p<0.0001, Model B: p<0.0001, Model C: p=0.0236, Model D: p=0.4430). In the primary model (Model C), risk of suicide attempt was increased for those reporting heavy drinking episodes “daily/almost daily” (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.38–3.93) relative d to those reporting none. No differences in risk were observed for those reporting heavy drinking episodes “weekly” (OR 1.21, 95% CI, 0.78–1.89) “monthly” (OR 1.09, 95% CI 0.73–1.89) or “less than monthly” (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.72–1.23) relative to those reporting none. In unadjusted analyses, all levels of heavy drinking frequency of monthly or more were significantly associated with risk of suicide attempt; a frequency of more than monthly remained significant in analyses adjusted for demographic characteristics (Model B); and no level of heavy drinking frequency was significant in the model restricted to patients with known prior year mental health and medical comorbidity (Model D).
Sensitivity Analyses
Both sets of sensitivity analyses (Supplement Tables S3, S4) were similar to main analyses, except that increased risk of suicide attempt among those reporting “daily/almost daily” heavy drinking episodes compared to those reporting none remained significant in Model D, both in the analysis restricted to the first for each patient (OR, 1.96; 95% CI, 1.06–3.62) and in the analysis including all visits for the same person at least 90 days apart (OR, 1.86; 95% CI, 1.08–3.21).
4. DISCUSSION
This large study of adult patients who completed an AUDIT-C during visits with a mental health provider found high levels of self-reported alcohol use documented in the EHR were associated with higher short-term risk of documented suicide attempt. These findings remained significant even after adjustment for multiple factors that predict suicide risk and may also be associated with alcohol use. After adjusting for demographics, depressive symptoms and suicidal ideation, patients reporting high-level alcohol use were 1.77 times more likely to attempt suicide within 90 days than those reporting low-level use. Similarly, patients reporting daily/almost daily heavy drinking episodes were 2.33 times more likely to attempt suicide within 90 days than those reporting no heavy drinking episodes. These results suggest the AUDIT-C is a valuable tool for identifying risk of suicidal behavior, even after assessing depressive symptoms with the PHQ-9, recommended for routine depression monitoring [68] and detection of suicidal ideation [74].
The present study builds on, and extends, prior research studying alcohol use and suicide attempts. The longitudinal design and use of EHR and death certificate data reduce biases present in previous case-control studies [11] or studies that rely on self-reported suicide attempt. This is also the first study to investigate the utility of using the AUDIT-C collected as part of mental healthcare to identify prospective risk of suicide attempt. Moreover, findings from the present study have direct applicability to clinical settings where the AUDIT-C is used routinely, including in the VA [26], the nation’s largest healthcare system, responsible for providing care to a population at high risk of suicide [81, 82].
This study has several limitations. First, the study sample included patients seeking mental healthcare, who had a high rate of suicide attempts and deaths; additional research is needed to extend findings in other settings. Second, KP Washington provides comprehensive care for a population of insured patients; these findings should be confirmed in settings where medical history may be limited. Third, the AUDIT-C asks about alcohol use in the year prior to assessment, which may not accurately capture current alcohol use, particularly because drinking patterns can vary substantially over time [83]. Fourth, reliance on EHR documentation could have resulted in some suicide attempts being missed or misclassified (e.g. for individuals who did not seek care following a suicide attempt). Fifth, PHQ-9 and prior-year diagnoses information were not available on everyone in our sample. We used complete case analyses and no strong differences were observed between those included and excluded from our analyses, but unobserved differences may remain. Lastly, due to small numbers, we did not examine suicide death separately from suicide attempt. Future research in larger populations should consider these outcomes separately, as research has demonstrated that alcohol intoxication may be differentially associated with more lethal suicide methods, particularly firearms [21].
Despite these limitations, this study provides a valuable addition to the literature on alcohol use and suicide risk and findings may be used to augment existing suicide prevention interventions. For example, the Zero Suicide framework, which supports systematic identification of patients at risk of suicide [84] may be enhanced by encouraging healthcare organizations to integrate screening practices for high risk patterns of alcohol use into existing practices used to identify patients with depressive symptoms and suicidal ideation. Alcohol screening information could also be integrated into more complex risk prediction algorithms being developed to identify and intervene with patients at high risk of suicide [62, 85], like the VA where these algorithms are now being deployed to identify veterans at high-risk of suicide and engage them in appropriate care pathways [86]. Moreover, offering patients identified at risk of suicide evidence-based treatment options for unhealthy alcohol use / alcohol use disorders (e.g., repeated brief interventions, pharmacotherapy, psychotherapy) [87–90] may be beneficial for patients reporting high-level alcohol consumption and frequent heavy drinking.
Conclusions
In this large population of adults receiving mental healthcare, high-level alcohol use and heavy drinking more than monthly were associated with significantly increased risk of suicide attempt within 90 days. Findings suggest the AUDIT-C can serve as a screening measure that might enhance healthcare organization practices to systematically identity suicide risk. Future research should examine the effects of integrating routine alcohol use screening and follow-up care for positive screening into care pathways designed to provide high-quality care for patients at-risk of suicide, which some have argued is often a “missed opportunity” in suicide prevention [91].
Supplementary Material
Table 3:
Estimated Risk of Suicide Attempt by Reported Level of Alcohol Consumption and Frequency of Heavy Episodic Drinking, within 90 Days of AUDIT-C Assessments at Least 9 Months Apart
A: *Unadjusted Model | B: †Additionally Adjusted for Demographics | C: ‡Additionally Adjusted for Depressive Symptoms and Thoughts of Self-harm | D: Additionally Adjusted for ‡‡Mental Health Diagnoses and Medical Comorbidity | |||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
N visits=60,273 (44106 patients) | N visits=60,273 (44106 patients) | N visits=59,382 (43537 patients) | N visits=56,731 (41644 patients) | |||||||||
OR | 95% CI | p-value | OR | 95% CI | p-value | OR | 95% CI | p-value | OR | 95% CI | p-value | |
1: Level of Alcohol Consumption** | ||||||||||||
Nondrinking | 1.25 | (0.94–1.65) | 0.118 | 1.32 | (1.00–1.74) | 0.054 | 1.12 | (0.84–1.49) | 0.430 | 1.02 | (0.76–1.37) | 0.908 |
Low-level | ref | ref | ref | Ref | ||||||||
Moderate-level | 1.03 | (0.80–1.32) | 0.837 | 0.95 | (0.74–1.22) | 0.677 | 0.93 | (0.72–1.19) | 0.556 | 0.96 | (0.74–1.26) | 0.786 |
High-level | 2.87 | (2.00–4.12) | <0.001 | 2.59 | (1.80–3.74) | <0.001 | 1.77 | (1.22–2.57) | 0.002 | 1.61 | (1.08–2.40) | 0.018 |
2: Frequency of Heavy Episodic Drinking | ||||||||||||
Never | ref | ref | ref | ref | ||||||||
Less Than Monthly | 1.20 | (0.93–1.55) | 0.171 | 0.98 | (0.75–1.28) | 0.879 | 0.94 | (0.72–1.23) | 0.670 | 0.98 | (0.74–1.30) | 0.892 |
Monthly | 1.47 | (1.00–2.16) | 0.049 | 1.16 | (0.78–1.71) | 0.47 | 1.09 | (0.73–1.61) | 0.681 | 1.18 | (0.78–1.78) | 0.446 |
Weekly | 1.92 | (1.25–2.97) | 0.003 | 1.58 | (1.02–2.46) | 0.042 | 1.21 | (0.78–1.89) | 0.392 | 1.23 | (0.77–1.99) | 0.389 |
Daily or Almost Daily | 3.88 | (2.32–6.49) | <0.001 | 3.62 | (2.16–6.07) | <0.001 | 2.33 | (1.38–3.93) | 0.002 | 1.63 | (0.90–2.96) | 0.108 |
OR=odds ratio
All analyses adjusted for assessment year
Adjusted for gender, age, race/ethnicity (including unknown category)
Additionally adjusted for depressive symptoms (PHQ-8 score) & suicidal ideation measured (PHQ-9 ninth question)
Additionally adjusted for mental health diagnoses recorded in the past year, including depressive disorders, anxiety disorders, serious mental illness (bipolar, schizophrenia, other psychosis or personality disorders), suicide attempt, as well as Charlson comorbidity index score
AUDIT-C: Nondrinking=score 0; Low-Level= Score 1–2 Women, 1–3 Men; Moderate-Level=Score 3–7 Women, 4–7 Men; High -Level=Score 8–12 Women & Men
Acknowledgements:
This study was supported by the Kaiser Permanente Washington Health Research Institute, Seattle WA, the National Institute of Mental Health (U19 MH092201), the National Institute on Alcohol Abuse and Alcoholism (K01AA023859) and the United States Department of Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development (HSR&D) Program Development Fund Career Development Award (CDA #12-276).
Footnotes
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