Abstract
Background and Objectives
Frailty disproportionately impacts older patients with gastrointestinal cancer, rendering them at increased risk for poor outcomes. A frailty index may aid in preoperative risk stratification. We hypothesized that high modified frailty index (mFI) scores are associated with adverse outcomes after tumor resection in older, gastrointestinal cancer patients.
Methods
Patients (60–90 years old) who underwent gastrointestinal tumor resection were identified in the 2005–2012 NSQIP Participant Use File. mFI was defined by 11 previously described, preoperative variables. Frailty was defined by an mFI score >0.27. The postoperative course was evaluated using univariate and multivariate analysis.
Results
41 455 patients (mean age 72.4 years, 47.4% female) were identified. The most prevalent form of cancer was colorectal (69.3%, n = 28 708) and 2.8% of patients were frail (n = 1,164). Frail patients were significantly more likely to have increased length of stay (11.7 vs 9.0 days), major complications (29.1% vs 17.9%), and 30-day mortality (5.6% vs 2.5%), (all P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis identified mFI as an independent predictor of major complications (OR 1.52, 95%CI 1.39–1.65, P < 0.001) and 30-day mortality (OR 1.48, 95%CI 1.24–1.75, P < 0.001).
Conclusions
mFI was associated with the incidence of postoperative complications and mortality in older surgical patients with gastrointestinal cancer.
Keywords: frailty, gastrointestinal cancer, modified frailty index, NSQIP, preoperative risk stratification
1 |. INTRODUCTION
The worldwide population is rapidly aging—a fact that presents several challenges for the delivery of healthcare. Advancing age is associated with an increase in the incidence of cancer, with individuals over the age of 65 accounting for approximately 53% of newly diagnosed cases and 70% of all cancer deaths.1,2 Surgical resection of a malignancy is an established curative treatment option for a variety of cancer types, and has the capacity to prolong lifespan and improve quality of life in others.3,4 However, frailty is highly prevalent among the elderly, and is characterized by a loss of physiological reserve, decreased ability to maintain homeostasis, and increased vulnerability to morbidity and mortality following surgery.1,5–7 To assess preoperative risk, surgeons currently use tumor characteristics, patient comorbidities, and their clinical judgment. However, such assessments have resulted in the undertreatment of older patients with cancer, as well as significant debilitation among some treated with surgery.8,9
A standardized, quantifiable measurement of frailty may inform clinicians of the patient’s ability to tolerate surgical resection, and thus may improve patient outcomes. With the aim of identifying high-risk surgical candidates, several preoperative risk prediction models have been proposed, such as the Physiological and Operative Scoring System for enumeration of Morbidity and mortality (POSSUM), Estimation of Physiologic Ability, and Surgical Stress Score (E-PASS), NSQIP risk calculator, and comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA).10–15 However, these models have several disadvantages, as they are complex, time-consuming, or inconsistent.16–21
Recently, the Canadian Study of Health and Aging (CSHA) created a less complex, standardized frailty index (FI) that was based on the accumulation of physiological deficits.22 This CSHA-FI assessed 70 potential deficits that are easily identifiable during patient encounters, and was defined as the proportion of potential deficits that are present in an individual to the potential deficits that were evaluated. Subsequently, a modified frailty index (mFI) was derived by matching the CSHA-FI to 11 variables collected by the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP).23 Since its creation, mFI has been found to be predictive of postoperative outcomes in several surgical populations, including those undergoing abdominal, vascular, and head and neck surgery.10,24–26 However, no studies have examined mFI in a large, national database in the context of high-risk elderly patients with gastrointestinal cancer. We hypothesized that a higher NSQIP mFI score is associated with adverse clinical outcomes after tumor resection in older, gastrointestinal cancer patients.
2 |. METHODS
Patient data were collected from the NSQIP participant use files from 2005 to 2012, under the data use agreement of the American College of Surgeons and with Institutional Review Board approval. All patients (60–90 years old) who underwent surgical resection of the liver and bile duct, colon, and rectum, pancreas, esophagus, and stomach were identified by Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) and International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) codes (Supplementary Appendix 1). Patients who were American Society of Anesthesiology (ASA) 5, diagnosed with preoperative sepsis, undergoing emergency surgery, or missing at least one of the 11 variables used to determine mFI were excluded. Patient demographics, preoperative variables, intraoperative variables, and clinical outcomes were reviewed. Weight loss was defined as >10% of body weight loss in the past 6 months. Obesity was defined as ≥30 kg/m2. Current smokers were defined as patients who smoked in the year prior to surgery.
mFI was defined by 11 preoperative variables within NSQIP, which were matched to the variables assessed by the CSHA-FI as previously described.23 Patients were assigned one point for each of the following variables: functional status (not independent); diabetes; chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or pneumonia; congestive heart failure; history of myocardial infarction; either prior percutaneous coronary intervention, previous coronary surgery, or history of angina; hypertension requiring medication; impaired sensorium; peripheral vascular disease or rest pain; history of either transient ischemic attack or cerebrovascular accident; or history of cerebrovascular accident with neurologic deficit. The total number of points assigned to a patient was divided by 11, resulting in a mFI score between 0.0 and 1.0. On this scale, a higher mFI implied increased frailty. A patient with a mFI score of >0.27 was defined as frail. This cut-off of 0.27 has been used in previously published work to differentiate between those who were frail and non-frail.10,27–30
Morbidity was defined by the Clavien-Dindo classification system, as previously described.31 Minor complications were defined as Clavien-Dindo class I/II, and included complications that did not require surgical, endoscopic, or radiological interventions. Major complications were defined as Clavien-Dindo class III/IV, and included complications that required surgical, endoscopic, or radiological interventions, and/or were life-threatening. Mortality was defined as death within 30 days of surgery.
Statistical analysis was performed using the SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC). Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the data for the study cohort. Continuous variables were summarized by the mean and standard deviation, while categorical variables were summarized by count and proportions, based on frailty score (mFI >0.27 vs mFI ≤0.27). Univariate analysis was used to evaluate the association between clinical variables and outcomes, which were reported with odds ratios and confidence intervals. Multivariate logical regression analysis was adjusted for age, gender, BMI, ASA, and albumin <3, and was reported as odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Statistical significance was defined by a P-value of <0.05.
3 |. RESULTS
41 455 patients met the eligibility criteria. The study cohort included 10.2% of patients with hepatic or biliary cancer (n = 4234), 13.1% of patients with pancreatic cancer (n = 5440), 69.3% of patients with colorectal cancer (n = 28 708), 2.3% of patients with esophageal cancer (n = 953), and 5.1% of patients with gastric cancer (n = 2120) (Table 1). The study population had a mean age of 72.4 (SD: 7.9) years and BMI of 27.6 (SD: 6.1) kg/m2, and was 47.4% female (Table 2).
TABLE 1.
Preoperative diagnoses
Preoperative diagnosis | N (% of study population) |
---|---|
Liver or biliary cancer | 4234 (10.2) |
Pancreatic cancer | 5440 (13.1) |
Colorectal cancer | 28,708 (69.3) |
Esophageal cancer | 953 (2.3) |
Gastric cancer | 2120 (5.1) |
TABLE 2.
Patient characteristics
Frailty index ≤0.27 (N = 37 252) | Frailty index >0.27 (N = 4203) | Overall (N = 41 455) | P-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age, years | 72.1 (7.9) | 74.8 (7.6) | 72.4 (7.9) | <0.0001 |
Female, no. (%) | 18 005 (48.4) | 1610 (38.3) | 19 615 (47.4) | <0.0001 |
Race, no. (%) | <0.0001 | |||
White | 20 431 (73.7) | 2307 (78.0) | 22 738 (74.2) | |
Black | 2469 (8.9) | 288 (9.7) | 2757 (9.0) | |
Other | 4804 (17.3) | 362 (12.2) | 5166 (16.8) | |
BMI, mean (SD) (kg/m2) | 27.5 (6.0) | 29.0 (6.6) | 27.6 (6.1) | <0.0001 |
Obesity, no. (%) | 10 127 (27.5) | 1578 (38.1) | 11 705 (28.6) | <0.0001 |
Weight loss, no. (%) | 3151 (8.5) | 383 (9.1) | 3534 (8.5) | 0.1501 |
ASA class | <0.0001 | |||
ASA 1–2, no. (%) | 13 621 (36.6) | 244 (5.8) | 13 865 (33.5) | |
ASA3 or ASA 4, no. (%) | 23 596 (63.4) | 3953 (94.2) | 27 549 (66.5) | |
Preoperative Serum Albumin (g/dL), no. (%) | 3.8 (0.6) | 3.6 (0.6) | 3.8 (0.6) | <0.0001 |
Current smoker, no. (%) | 4609 (12.4) | 592 (14.1) | 5201 (12.6) | 0.0015 |
Bleeding disorders, no. (%) | 1288 (3.5) | 487 (11.6.) | 1775 (4.3) | <0.0001 |
Chemotherapy ≤30 days before surgery, no. (%) | 1755 (4.7) | 99 (2.4) | 1854 (4.5) | <0.0001 |
Dyspnea | <0.0001 | |||
At rest, no. (%) | 241 (0.7) | 160 (3.8) | 401 (1.0) | |
Moderate exertion, no. (%) | 4071 (10.9) | 1118 (26.6) | 5189 (12.5) | |
Preoperative variables included in mFI | ||||
Functional status (totally or partially dependent), no. (%) | 889 (2.4) | 1062 (25.3) | 1951 (4.7) | <0.0001 |
Diabetes, no. (%) | 4305 (11.6) | 2548 (60.6) | 6853 (16.5) | <0.0001 |
COPD or pneumonia, no. (%) | 1651 (4.4) | 1184 (28.2) | 2835 (6.8) | <0.0001 |
CHF in 30 days before surgery, no. (%) | 109 (0.3) | 285 (6.8) | 394 (1.0) | <0.0001 |
MI 6 months prior to surgery, no. (%) | 58 (0.2) | 239 (5.7) | 297 (0.7) | <0.0001 |
Previous PCI, previous cardiac surgery, or history of angina, no. (%) | 3523 (9.5) | 2699 (64.2) | 6222 (15.0) | <0.0001 |
Hypertension, no. (%) | 23,011 (61.8) | 4077 (97.0) | 27 088 (65.3) | <0.0001 |
Impaired sensorium, no. (%) | 34 (0.1) | 50 (1.2) | 84 (0.2) | <0.0001 |
History of PVD, no. (%) | 227 (0.6) | 521 (12.4) | 748 (1.8) | <0.0001 |
History of TIA, no. (%) | 802 (2.2) | 721 (17.2) | 1523 (3.7) | <0.0001 |
CVA, no. (%) | 464 (1.2) | 706 (16.8) | 1170 (2.8) | <0.0001 |
Operative time (mins) | 207.1 (121.6) | 189.1 (115.1) | 205.3 (121.0) | <0.0001 |
Length of stay (days) | 9.0 (9.4) | 11.7 (10.6) | 9.4 (9.6) | <0.0001 |
Any complications, no. (%) | 9296 (25.0) | 1548 (36.8) | 10 844 (26.2) | <0.0001 |
Minor complications, no. (%) | 4047 (10.9) | 589 (14.0) | 4636 (11.2) | <0.0001 |
Major complications, no. (%) | 6668 (17.9) | 1223 (29.1) | 7891 (19.0) | <0.0001 |
30-day mortality, no. (%) | 915 (2.5) | 235 (5.6) | 1150 (2.8) | <0.0001 |
ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; BMI, Body Mass Index; CHF, congestive heart failure; CI, Confidence Interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CVA, cerebrovascular accident; mFI, modified Frailty Index; MI, myocardial infarction; OR, Odds ratio; PCI, percutaneous cardiac intervention; PVD, peripheral vascular disease; TIA, transient ischemic attack.
The mean mFI for the study population was 0.11. The mFI score with the highest proportion of patients was 0.09, which represented 41.5% of the study population (n = 17 193) (Fig. 1). Patients with high mFI (>0.27) accounted for 2.8% of the study population (n = 1164). Patients with high mFI were more likely to be male, obese, and ASA Class 3–4 (all P < 0.05). Patients with high mFI also were more likely to have bleeding disorders, dyspnea at rest, or with moderate exertion, and each of the preoperative variables used in the calculation of mFI (all P < 0.0001). In addition, patients with high mFI were less likely to have undergone chemotherapy within the 30-days prior to surgery (P < 0.0001).
FIGURE 1.
mFI Distribution and Outcomes. The distribution of mFI in the study population is shown. As the mFI score increased, the proportion of patients experiencing any complications, major complications, and 30-day mortality increased (all P > 0.0001)
In terms of the postoperative course, patients with high mFI were more likely to have increased length of stay (11.7 vs 9.0 days, P < 0.0001). Also, as mFI increased, the rate of any complications, major complications, and 30-day mortality increased (all P < 0.0001). In total, complications of all severities occurred in 26.2% of patients (n = 10,844), major complications occurred in 19.0% of patients (n = 7891), and mortality within 30 days of surgery occurred in 2.8% of patients (n = 1150). Of those patients with a mFI score >0.27, 36.8% developed a complication (n = 1548), 29.1% developed a major complication (n = 1223), and 5.6% died within 30-days of surgery (n = 235). Patients with mFI ≤0.27 were less likely to develop complications, as their rates of any complications, major complications, and 30-day mortality was 25.0% (n = 9296), 17.9% (n = 6668), and 2.5% (n = 915), respectively (all P < 0.0001).
Univariate analysis revealed that mFI was associated with major complications (OR 1.882, CI 1.752–2.022, P < 0.0001) and 30-day mortality (OR 2.352, CI 2.030–2.724, P < 0.0001), (Table 3). In addition, a 10-year increase in age, being male, race, obesity, weight loss, ASA of 3–4, smoking, functional status, transfer from a facility other than one’s home, operative time, and length of stay were associated with the development of a major complication (P < 0.05). A 10-year increase in age, being male, BMI, obesity, weight loss, ASA of 3–4, smoking, functional status, transfer from a facility other than one’s home, operative time, and length of stay were also associated with 30-day mortality (P < 0.05).
TABLE 3.
Univariate model of major complications and 30-day mortality
Major complication |
30-day mortality |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Outcome | OR | CI | P-value | OR | CI | P-value |
Age (10 yr increase) | 1.103 | 1.070–1.138 | <0.0001 | 1.647 | 1.529–1.774 | <0.0001 |
Gender (male vs female) | 1.362 | 1.296–1.432 | <0.0001 | 1.294 | 1.149–1.458 | <0.0001 |
Race | 0.0001 | 0.8127 | ||||
Black vs White | 1.146 | 1.039–1.264 | 0.0065 | 0.936 | 0.731–1.199 | 0.6023 |
Other vs White | 0.892 | 0.824–0.967 | 0.0053 | 0.958 | 0.795–1.155 | 0.6559 |
Obesity | 1.080 | 1.023–1.140 | 0.0054 | 0.822 | 0.717–0.942 | 0.0049 |
Weight loss | 1.530 | 1.413–1.657 | <0.0001 | 2.547 | 2.186–2.967 | <0.0001 |
ASA (3–4 vs 1–2) | 1.914 | 1.808–2.027 | <0.0001 | 4.398 | 3.639–5.316 | <0.0001 |
Albumin >3 g/dL | 0.470 | 0.433–0.509 | <0.0001 | 0.242 | 0.210–0.279 | 0.1001 |
Smoking | 1.312 | 1.223–1.407 | <0.0001 | 1.190 | 1.008–1.406 | 0.0404 |
mFI (mFI >0.27 vs ≤0.27) | 1.882 | 1.752–2.022 | <0.0001 | 2.352 | 2.030–2.724 | <0.0001 |
Functional status | <0.0001 | <0.0001 | ||||
Partially dependent vs independent | 2.108 | 1.901–2.337 | <0.0001 | 3.696 | 3.092–4.418 | <0.0001 |
Totally dependent vs independent | 2.980 | 2.222–3.996 | <0.0001 | 5.542 | 3.566–8.612 | <0.0001 |
Transferred from other facility vs home | 2.167 | 1.909–2.461 | <0.0001 | 3.415 | 2.741–4.255 | <0.0001 |
Operative time (10 min increase) | 1.029 | 1.027–1.031 | <0.0001 | 1.014 | 1.009–1.018 | <0.0001 |
Length of stay | 1.133 | 1.128–1.137 | <0.0001 | 1.020 | 1.014–1.026 | <0.0001 |
ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; BMI, Body Mass Index; CI, Confidence Interval; mFI, modified Frailty Index; OR, Odds ratio.
After adjusting for age, gender, BMI, ASA, and albumin level, multivariate analysis revealed that mFI was an independent predictor of major complications (OR 1.516, CI 1.393–1.649, P < 0.0001) and 30-day mortality (OR 1.477, CI 1.244–1.753, P < 0.0001), (Table 4). Additionally, a 10-year increase in age, being male, ASA of 3–4, and albumin >3 g/dL were independent predictors of the development of a major complication and 30-day mortality. An ASA of 3–4 was the most predictive of major complications (OR 1.680, CI 1.567–1.800, P < 0.0001) and of 30-day mortality (OR 2.870, CI 2.320–3.550, P < 0.0001). mFI was the second most predictive variable of major complications and 30-day mortality.
TABLE 4.
Multivariate model of major complications and 30-day mortality
Major complication |
30-day mortality |
|||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Outcome | OR | CI | P-value | OR | CI | P-value |
Age (10 yr increase) | 1.049 | 1.011–1.089 | 0.0110 | 1.425 | 1.306–1.554 | <0.0001 |
Gender (male vs female) | 1.345 | 1.269–1.426 | <0.0001 | 1.358 | 1.185–1.557 | <0.0001 |
Obesity | 1.068 | 1.002–1.138 | 0.0444 | 0.890 | 0.760–1.042 | 0.1481 |
ASA (3–4 vs 1–2) | 1.680 | 1.567–1.800 | <0.0001 | 2.870 | 2.320–3.550 | <0.0001 |
Albumin >3 g/dL | 0.514 | 0.473–0.558 | <0.0001 | 0.298 | 0.257–0.346 | <0.0001 |
mFI (mFI >0.27 vs ≤0.27) | 1.516 | 1.393–1.649 | <0.0001 | 1.477 | 1.244–1.753 | <0.0001 |
ASA, American Society of Anesthesiologists; BMI, Body Mass Index; CI, Confidence Interval; mFI, modified Frailty Index; OR, odds ratio.
4 |. DISCUSSION
There is an urgent gap in knowledge regarding how oncologists should assess an older patient’s risk for adverse outcomes following aggressive therapies.32–34 Frailty is increasingly being described in both the geriatric and oncologic literature, as a clinical syndrome that may provide insight into risk stratification.32–35 It has been estimated that frailty exists in approximately 11% of patients aged 65 or older, and in 43% of those aged 85 years or older.36,37 Among cancer patients, frailty has been found to be more prevalent. In a systematic review, Handforth et al reported that the median rate of frailty in cancer patients with a mean age of 72 or older was approximately 43%.38 Differentiating between those who are frail and non-frail in the older cancer patient population is critical, as aggressive cancer therapies can inflict significant stresses and result in poor outcomes.5–7 A frailty index that can predict postoperative outcomes may both reduce the undertreatment of the non-frail and the overtreatment of the frail, while improving clinical outcomes.8,9
To reduce the undertreatment of older cancer patients, surgeons, and medical oncologists should collaborate more frequently and use objective measurements in their evaluations of patients for surgery and medical therapies. Choti et al recently reported that medical oncologists are significantly less likely to refer patients with colorectal liver metastates for surgical consultation if the oncologist believed that the lesion was resectable only after chemotherapy or never resectable.39 However, medical oncologists often significantly underestimate the resectability of colorectal liver metastates and were found to agree with the surgeon’s assessment in only 37.7% of cases.39 These findings suggest that more collaboration between multi-displinary teams is necessary to reduce the undertreatment of older cancer patients. Additionally, in evaulating older patients for cancer therapy, the effects of comorbidities on postoperative outcomes are often overestimated. After adjusting for comorbidities, Schrag et al found that age was the strongest predictor of whether a patient received adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery for stage III colon cancer.40 Similiarly, Quipourt et al reported that colorectal cancer patients who were 75 years and older were significantly less likely to receive resection for cure and adjuvant chemotherapy than younger patients, even if they had few or no comorbidities.41 To reduce subjectivity in patient evaluations, a frailty index may assist multi-dispinary teams in risk stratification.
In assessing preoperative risk, the comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA) has been hailed as the “gold standard” in the identification of frailty in older patients, in the literature.32,42 However, the time required for its implementation has limited its use in busy clinics.32,42 In contrast, mFI can be quickly calculated from information gathered from a standard history and physical examination, and has been found to be predictive of postoperative outcomes, including after major abdominal surgery.10,24,25,43 Specifically, Louwers et al reported that increased mFI was associated with a significant increase in Clavien Class 4 complications and mortality in patients undergoing hepatectomy,24 while Obeid et al found that increased mFI scores were associated with Clavien Class 4 and 5 complications in patients undergoing colectomy.25 However, less data has been presented on the association between mFI and postoperative outcomes in cancer patients. Chappidi et al and Uppal et al recently reported that increased mFI scores were an independent predictor of Clavien Class 4 or 5 complications in cancer patients undergoing radical cystectomy and gynecological surgery, respectively.44,45 As the global population continues to age, a frailty index that can predict postoperative outcomes in older cancer patients is becoming increasingly urgent.
To our knowledge, the present study is the first to evaluate mFI in elderly surgical patients with gastrointestinal cancer in a large, national database. This study found that patients with high mFI were more likely to be male (61.7% vs 51.6%), obese (38.1% vs 27.5%), and ASA Class 3–4 (94.2% vs 63.4%). They also were more likely to have bleeding disorders (11.6% vs 3.5%), and each of the preoperative variables included in the calculation of mFI. The differences between groups for these characteristics were large, and may be useful in assessing patients for frailty. Given our large sample size, we were also aware of the risk of identifying patient characteristics and outcomes that were significantly significant, but not clinically significant.46,47 For example, we found small differences in age (mean difference: 2.7 years), preoperative serum albumin (mean difference: −0.2 g/dL), smoking status (14.1% vs 12.4%), and operative time (mean difference: −18.0 mins) between the frail and non-frail groups. While these characteristics were found to be statistically significant, these differences were too small to be clinically meaningful.
In terms of postoperative outcomes, patients with high mFI were more likely to have increased length of stay, complications, and mortality. Moreover, patients with incrementally higher frailty scores had increasing rates of postoperative complications and 30-day mortality. Additionally, after adjusting for age, gender, BMI, ASA, and albumin level, frailty was found to be an independent predictor of major complications and 30-day mortality. In this study, other variables were also found to be independent predictors of the development of a major complication and 30-day mortality, including a 10-year increase in age, being male, ASA of 3–4, and albumin >3 g/dL. Only ASA was found to be more predictive of major complications and 30-day mortality than frailty. The strength of ASA as a predictor of these outcomes may be due to the significant overlap of ASA Class 3–4 and high frailty. Specifically, there was a very low frequency of patients with high frailty score and ASA 1–2 (n = 244). Overall, the findings suggest that mFI may be a valuable tool, in combination with other “traditional” risk factors, in preoperative risk stratification in gastrointestinal cancer patients.
The current study has implications for gastrointestinal cancer patients. First, mFI provides an objective measurement of frailty that can be easily calculated from a standard history and physical examination. Unlike the CGA, this makes the integration of mFI feasible for preoperative risk stratification.32,42 Additionally, the identification of frail patients does not preclude them from receiving potentially lifesaving therapies. Rather, it provides an opportunity to improve a patient’s physiological reserve before undergoing an aggressive treatment. In fact, frailty and related factors, such as sarcopenia, malnutrition, and poor performance status, are potentially modifiable. Preoperative exercise and nutritional therapies may have the capacity to augment frailty, as such therapies have been found to increase functional walking capacity, improve postoperative recovery, or decrease length of stay in patients undergoing surgery for gastrointestinal malignancies.48–51 For these reasons, the incorporation of mFI into clinical decision-making may improve patient outcomes.
The present study also has several limitations. First, it was a retrospective study, and the utility of using mFI in clinical encounters would require that it be used as a prospective tool. Secondly, this study encompassed a wide range of procedures and included both open and laparoscopic approaches. Some procedures carry significantly more postoperative risks than others, which may have confounded the results. Additionally, clinical judgment may have created selection bias, as those perceived as having significant risk factors for adverse outcomes likely did not undergo surgery and thus were not included in this study. A third limitation is that this study could only evaluate the variables included in the NSQIP database. For this reason, all 70 of the variables used in the CSHA could not be studied. Finally, given our large sample size, small differences in patient characteristics were identified as statistically significant even though they were not clinically meaningful. Despite these limitations, we believe that mFI has the potential to provide valuable information on the postoperative course in clinical settings.
5 |. CONCLUSIONS
There is an urgent need for a frailty index that can be used for preoperative risk stratification in older cancer patients. This study demonstrated that high mFI scores were strongly associated with increased length of stay, postoperative complications, and 30-day mortality in surgical patients with gastrointestinal cancer. Moreover, mFI score was found to be an independent predictor of major complications and 30-day mortality. Future studies should focus on the prospective application of mFI and its use in decision-making in surgical oncology. mFI should also be studied as a potential tool for the identification of patients who may benefit from prehabilitation therapy prior to surgery. Such therapy may modify the frailty status of surgical candidates with gastrointestinal cancer and lead to improved postoperative outcomes.
Supplementary Material
Footnotes
CONFLICT OF INTERESTS
The authors have no conflicts of interest.
SUPPORTING INFORMATION
Additional Supporting Information may be found online in the supporting information tab for this article.
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