We reviewed with interest Zhao's letter regarding our article exploring the approach of calculating the effective reproduction number (Reff) [1]. We entirely agree with Zhao et al. that it is essential to calculate the Reff by using the next generation matrix (NGM) approach. Actually, we also commonly used the NGM approach to calculate the reproduction number of other infectious diseases [2].
We did not provide the complex equation of Reff from the NGM approach instead of a simplified equation in our study [1], because in Xiamen City, the values of f, daily br and daily dr were 0.0003 (0.03%), 2.46 × 10−5 and 1.24 × 10−5, respectively, which were much lower than those of ω (1/5), γ (1/14) and γ’ (1/21), respectively. We also calculated the values of Reff by using the simplified equation we used and the two equations provided by Zhao et al., and we found that they were almost the same (Fig. 1).
Fig. 1.
The values of Reff calculated by three equations in Xiamen City, 2014–2018.
Therefore, we agree to use an accurate approach to estimate the transmissibility of an infectious disease. However, a simplified equation would be easier to be performed by the primary public health department than a complex one.
References
- 1.Huang Z et al. (2019) Seasonality of the transmissibility of hand, foot and mouth disease: a modelling study in Xiamen City, China. Epidemiology and Infection 147, e327. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2.Cui J-A et al. (2020) Global dynamics of an epidemiological model with acute and chronic HCV infections. Applied Mathematics Letters 103, 106203. [Google Scholar]