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European Journal of Psychotraumatology logoLink to European Journal of Psychotraumatology
. 2020 Mar 9;11(1):1709709. doi: 10.1080/20008198.2019.1709709

Dropout from psychological therapies for post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in adults: systematic review and meta-analysis

El abandono de las terapias psicológicas para el trastorno de estrés postraumático (TEPT) en adultos: Una revisión sistemática y meta-análisis

成人创伤后应激障碍(PTSD)心理治疗的中途退出:系统综述和元分析

Catrin Lewis a,, Neil P Roberts a,b,c, Samuel Gibson a, Jonathan I Bisson a
PMCID: PMC7144189  PMID: 32284816

ABSTRACT

Background: Despite the established efficacy of psychological therapies for post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) there has been little systematic exploration of dropout rates.

Objective: To ascertain rates of dropout across different modalities of psychological therapy for PTSD and to explore potential sources of heterogeneity.

Method: A systematic review of dropout rates from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of psychological therapies was conducted. The pooled rate of dropout from psychological therapies was estimated and reasons for heterogeneity explored using meta-regression.

Results:: The pooled rate of dropout from RCTs of psychological therapies for PTSD was 16% (95% CI 14–18%). There was evidence of substantial heterogeneity across studies. We found evidence that psychological therapies with a trauma-focus were significantly associated with greater dropout. There was no evidence of greater dropout from therapies delivered in a group format; from studies that recruited participants from clinical services rather than via advertisements; that included only military personnel/veterans; that were limited to participants traumatized by sexual traumas; that included a higher proportion of female participants; or from studies with a lower proportion of participants who were university educated.

Conclusions: Dropout rates from recommended psychological therapies for PTSD are high and this appears to be particularly true of interventions with a trauma focus. There is a need to further explore the reasons for dropout and to look at ways of increasing treatment retention.

KEYWORDS: Post-traumatic stress disorder, trauma, psychological, therapy, dropout, review

1. Introduction

Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder (PTSD) is a debilitating psychiatric disorder with a lifetime prevalence of approximately 8% (Kessler, 2000). In addition to the requirement of exposure to a major traumatic event, the diagnostic criteria for PTSD specify the presence of symptoms including re-experiencing the traumatic event; avoiding reminders of the trauma; alterations in arousal and reactivity; and changes in cognition and mood (American Psychiatric Association, 2013).

Despite decades of research converging on support for the efficacy of psychological therapy for PTSD (Bisson, Roberts, Andrew, Cooper, & Lewis, 2013; Bradley, Greene, Russ, Dutra, & Westen, 2005; Jonas et al., 2013), we know remarkably little regarding dropout from these interventions (Foa et al., 2005; Resick, Nishith, Weaver, Astin, & Feuer, 2002; Schnurr et al., 2007; Schottenbauer, Glass, Arnkoff, Tendick, & Gray, 2008). Many psychological therapies have been applied to the treatment of PTSD and these have fundamentally different components and proposed active ingredients (Foa, Keane, Friedman, & Cohen, 2008; Schnyder et al., 2015). It follows that these variations may have some influence on differential rates of dropout. Despite this likelihood, there have been few attempts to systematically determine dropout rates from the psychological therapies commonly applied to the treatment of PTSD.

Among the evidence-based therapies for PTSD, a major distinction can be drawn between the therapies that focus on the traumatic event and those that aim to reduce traumatic stress symptoms without directly targeting the trauma memory or related thoughts, with the strongest evidence for the effect of those with a trauma-focus (Bisson et al., 2013; Bradley et al., 2005; Jonas et al., 2013). Trauma-focused Cognitive Behaviour Therapy (CBT) and Eye Movement Desensitization and Reprocessing (EMDR) are currently recommended as first-line interventions for PTSD (American Psychological Association, 2017; International Society of Traumatic Stress Studies (ISTSS), 2018; National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), 2018). These trauma-focused psychological therapies rely on confrontation of traumatic images, which can be difficult to tolerate and may result in the potential for greater dropout (Pitman et al., 1991; Tarrier et al., 1999a). Psychological therapies omitting a role for trauma-focused work may be more tolerable, potentially leading to better retention. However, there is evidence that the absence of a trauma-focus results in poorer outcomes (Bisson et al., 2013; Bradley et al., 2005; Jonas et al., 2013).

The issue of treatment tolerability and symptom exacerbation resulting from trauma-focused psychological therapies has been one of contention in the literature (Devilly & Foa, 2001; Hembree et al., 2003; Tarrier et al., 1999a). It is uncertain whether dropout rates vary as a function of treatment modality or whether those with a trauma-focus are associated with poorer retention. To date, a small number of meta-analyses have compared drop-out rates across different modalities of psychological therapy for PTSD (Bradley et al., 2005; Goetter et al., 2015; Hembree et al., 2003, Imel, Laska, Jakupcak, & Simpson, 2013). One of these studies reported no differences between therapies with and without exposure-work, however, the review is now dated and includes a far smaller number of studies than currently available (Hembree et al., 2003). Another review reported a trend towards greater dropout from exposure-based treatment, but did not analyse this statistically (Bradley et al., 2005). A more recent review reported that dropout was not associated with trauma-focus; however, studies comparing trauma-focused CBT to waitlist or usual care control groups were excluded, restricting the review to 42 studies (Imel et al., 2013). A more recent review found no difference in dropout rates from therapies that included exposure work in comparison to those that did not, but the review only included twenty studies of US military veterans (Goetter et al., 2015).

The aim of the current review was to ascertain rates of dropout across different modalities of psychological therapy and to determine whether some psychological therapies (especially those with a trauma-focus) were associated with higher rates of dropout than others. Since there is no agreed definition of dropout, we took the number of participants that had left the study at the point of post-treatment assessment as a proxy-indicator of dropout in order to allow the inclusion of data from a maximal number of studies. We also aimed to explore potential sources of heterogeneity among the included studies. Our overarching goal was to contribute to a refined understanding of dropout from psychological therapies for PTSD that will inform the development of treatment protocols that maximize retention.

2. Method

2.1. Selection criteria

Data on drop-out were extracted from studies that had been identified for a review of the efficacy of psychological therapies for adults with PTSD, which was undertaken as part of an update of the International Society for Traumatic Stress Studies (ISTSS) Treatment Guidelines (International Society of Traumatic Stress Studies (ISTSS), 2018). Both reviews had the same inclusion criteria. RCTs of any defined psychological therapy aimed at the reduction of PTSD-symptoms in comparison with a control group (e.g. usual care/waiting list); other psychological therapy; or psychosocial intervention (e.g. psychoeducation/relaxation training) were included. At least 70% of study participants were required to be diagnosed with PTSD with a duration of three months or more, according to DSM or ICD criteria determined by clinician diagnosis or an established diagnostic interview. This review considered studies of adults aged 18 or over, only. There were no restrictions based on symptom-severity or trauma-type. The diagnosis of PTSD was required to be primary and studies of comorbid PTSD and substance use disorder were excluded, but there were no other restrictions based on co-morbidity. Studies were only included if they reported data on the number of participants that had dropped out of the study by the point of post-treatment assessment. If multiple studies reported data on the same participants, dropout data were only included once. We also excluded RCTs of single-session interventions.

2.2. Search strategy

A search was conducted by the Cochrane Collaboration, which updated a previously published Cochrane review with the same inclusion criteria, which was published in 2013 (Bisson et al., 2013). The updated search aimed to identify all RCTs related to the prevention and treatment of PTSD, published from January 2008 to the 31 May 2018, using the search terms PTSD or posttrauma* or post-trauma* or ‘post trauma*’ or ‘combat disorder*’ or ‘stress disorder*’. The searches included results from PubMed, PsycINFO, Embase and the Cochrane database of randomized trials. This produced a group of papers related to the psychological treatment of PTSD in adults. We checked reference lists of the included studies. We searched the World Health Organization’s, and the US National Institutes of Health’s trials portals to identify additional unpublished or ongoing studies. We contacted experts in the field with the aim of identifying unpublished studies and studies that were in submission. A complementary search of the Published International Literature on Traumatic Stress (PILOTS) was also conducted.

2.3. Data extraction

Study characteristics and dropout data were extracted by two reviewers independently and in duplicate, using a form that had been pre-piloted. Since there is no agreed definition of dropout, taking the number of participants that had left the study at the point of post-treatment assessment allowed the inclusion of data from a maximal number of studies. Study authors were contacted to obtain missing data. Therapy classifications were agreed with the ISTSS treatment guidelines committee and posted on the ISTSS website to allow comment from the membership. Reasons for dropout and adverse events were not universally available or consistently reported by studies and it was not therefore possible to extract or meta-analyse these data.

2.4. Risk of bias assessment

All included studies were assessed for risk of bias at the study level, using Cochrane criteria (Higgins et al., 2011). This included: (1) sequence allocation for randomization (the methods used for randomly assigning participants to the treatment arms and the extent to which this was truly random); (2) allocation concealment (whether or not participants or personnel were able to foresee allocation to a specific group); (3) assessor blinding (whether the assessor was aware of group allocation); (4) incomplete outcome data (whether missing outcome data were handled appropriately); (5) selective outcome reporting (whether reported outcomes matched with those that were pre-specified); and (6) any other notable threats to validity (for example, premature termination of the study). Two researchers independently assessed each study and any conflicts were discussed with a third researcher with the aim of reaching a unanimous decision.

2.5. Data synthesis

Meta-analyses of proportion were conducted using the metaprop command in STATA version 13.1 (StataCorp, 2013). The metaprop command pools proportions and uses the score statistic and the exact binomial method to compute 95% confidence intervals (Thompson & Higgins, 2002). Data were pooled across all active psychological therapies. Sub-group analyses were also conducted to determine the dropout rate for each psychological therapy. A random effects model was chosen due to the heterogeneity across studies in terms of the inclusion and exclusion criteria of the studies; the populations from which the samples were drawn; the nature and duration of therapy; the predominant trauma type; and the mean age of participants.

Heterogeneity was assessed using both the I2 statistic (which indicates the proportion of the variance that is due to heterogeneity (Higgins & Green, 2011)) and visual inspection of the forest plots. To explore potential sources of heterogeneity, meta-regression was performed using the metareg function of STATA version 13.1 (StataCorp, 2013). Meta-regression assesses the association between study-level variables and the effect size (Thompson & Higgins, 2002). It was hypothesized that a number of study-level variables would result in higher rates of drop-out, these being: therapies having a trauma-focus (due to the possibility of these therapies being difficult for some participants to tolerate); therapies being delivered in a group-format (since drop out from group therapies has been found to be greater than from therapies delivered on an individual basis (Imel et al., 2013)); recruitment from clinical services rather than through advertisements (due to the likelihood of more severe symptoms and a possible tendency for these participants to be less motivated to engage in treatment); whether or not the participants were selected from military/veteran populations (due a greater likelihood of complex or severe PTSD); whether the trauma experienced by participants was sexual (due to the possibility of therapy being more difficult to tolerate); and the percentage of participants who were University educated (due to the possibility that more educated participants are better able to grasp the concepts involved in therapy). To explore the possibility of publication bias, we constructed a funnel plot using data on dropout from all active therapy groups.

3. Results

The original Cochrane review included 70 RCTs. The update search identified 5500 potentially eligible studies published since 2008. Abstracts were reviewed and full-text copies obtained for 203 potentially relevant studies. Forty-four new RCTs met inclusion criteria for the review and reported data on dropout at the point of post-treatment assessment. This resulted in a total of 115 RCTs of 7724 participants. Figure 1 presents a flow diagram for study selection.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Study flow diagram.

3.1. Study characteristics

Study characteristics are summarized in Table 1. Twenty-eight defined psychological therapies were evaluated. Eight of these were broadly categorized as CBT with a Trauma Focus (CBT-T) delivered on an individual basis: Brief Eclectic Psychotherapy (BEP); Cognitive Processing Therapy (CPT); Cognitive Therapy (CT); Narrative Exposure Therapy (NET); Prolonged Exposure (PE); Reconsolidation of Traumatic Memories (RTM); Virtual Reality Exposure Therapy (VRE) and CBT-T (not based on a specific model). Thirteen other therapies delivered to individuals were evaluated: EMDR; CBT without a Trauma Focus; Present Centred Therapy (PCT); Supportive Counselling; Written Exposure Therapy; Observed and Experiential Integration (OEI); Interpersonal Psychotherapy; Psychodynamic Psychotherapy; REM Desensitization; Emotional Freedom Technique (EFT); Dialogical Exposure Therapy (DET); Internet-based CBT; and Relaxation Training. There were six different types of group therapy: Group CBT-T; Group Present Centred Therapy (PCT); Group and Individual CBT-T; Group Stabilizing Treatment; Group Interpersonal Therapy; Group Supportive Counselling. There were also RCTs of couples CBT-T. There were six types of control group: psychoeducation; couples psychoeducation; internet-based psychoeducation; waitlist; treatment as usual; and minimal attention/symptom monitoring.

Table 1.

Characteristics of included studies.

Study N Country Intervention 1 Intervention 2 Intervention 3 Intervention 4 Population Trauma type % Female % Unemployed % University Educated
Acarturk et al. (2016) 98 Turkey/Syria EMDR WL     Refugees War/Persecution 74 Unknown 4
Adenauer et al. (2011) 34 Germany NET (CBT-T) WL     Refugees War/Persecution 44 Unknown Unknown
Ahmadi, Hazrati, Ahmadizadeh and Noohi (2015) 48 Iran EMDR REM Desensitization WL   Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 Unknown 33.3
Akbarian et al. (2015) 40 Iran Group CBT-T MC/RA     General Population Various 79 Unknown Unknown
Asukai, Saito, Tsuruta, Kishimoto and Nishikawa (2010) 24 Japan PE (CBT-T) TAU     General Population Various 88 Unknown Unknown
Beck, Coffey, Foy, Keane, & Blanchard (2009) 44 USA Group CBT-T MC/RA     General Population Road Traffic Accident 82 54 Unknown
Bichescu, Neuner, Schauer and Elbert (2007) 18 Romania NET (CBT-T) Psychoeducation     General Population Political detainment 94 0 72
Blanchard et al. (2003) 98 USA CBT-T SC WL   General Population Road Traffic Accident 73 Unknown Unknown
Bradshaw, McDonald, Grace, Detwiler and Austin (2014) 10 Canada OEI WL     General Population Various 70 0 Unknown
Brom, Kleber and Defares (1989) 83 Netherlands CBT-T Psychodynamic Therapy WL   General Population Various 79 49 Unknown
Bryant, Moulds, Guthrie, Dang and Nixon (2003) 58 Australia CBT-T SC     General Population Various 52 Unknown Unknown
(Bryant et al., 2011) 28 Thailand CBT-T SC     General Population Terrorism 96 84% Unknown
(Buhmann, Nordentoft, Ekstroem, Carlsson, & Mortensen, 2016) 138 Denmark CBT-T WL     Refugees Organized Violence 41 Unknown Unknown
(Butollo, Karl, König, & Rosner, 2016) 148 Germany CPT (CBT-T) DET     General Population Various 66 Unknown Unknown
(Capezzani et al., 2013) 21 Italy EMDR CBT-T     General Population Medical Diagnoses/Emergencies 90 Unknown Unknown
(Carletto et al., 2016) 50 Italy EMDR Relaxation Training     General Population Medical Diagnoses/Emergencies 81 Unknown Unknown
(Carlson, Chemtob, Rusnak, Hedlund, & Muraoka, 1998) 35 USA EMDR Relaxation Training TAU   Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 62 Unknown
(Castillo et al., 2016) 86 USA Group CBT-T WL     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 100 44 Unknown
(Chard, 2005) 71 USA CPT (CBT-T) WL     General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 Unknown Unknown
(Cloitre, Koenen, Cohen, & Han, 2002b) 58 USA CBT-T WL     General Population Child Abuse 100 24 52
(Cloitre et al., 2010) 71 USA CBT-T CBT without a trauma focus     General Population Child Abuse 100 31 Unknown
Cooper (1989) 16 USA EMDR Relaxation Therapy     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 Unknown Unknown
(Devilly, Spence, & Rapee, 1998) 35 Australia EMDR TAU     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 Unknown Unknown
(Devilly & Spence, 1999) 32 Australia EMDR CBT-T     General Population Various 100 Unknown Unknown
(Dorrepaal et al., 2012) 71 Netherlands Group Stabilizing Treatment TAU     General Population Child Abuse Unknown 83 Unknown
(Duffy, Gillespie, & Clark, 2007) 58 UK CT (CBT-T) WL     General Population Various 40 Unknown Unknown
(Dunne, Kenardy, & Sterling, 2012) 26 Australia CBT-T WL     General Population Road Traffic Accident 50 31 73
(Echeburua, Zubizarreta, & Sarasua, 1997) 20 Spain CBT-T Relaxation Training     General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 Unknown 20
(Ehlers, Clark, Hackmann, McManus, & Fennell, 2005) 28 UK CT (CBT-T) WL     General Population Various 50 25 35
(Ehlers et al., 2003) 57 UK CT (CBT-T) MC/RA     General Population Road Traffic Accident Unknown Unknown Unknown
(Ehlers et al., 2014) 91 UK CT (CBT-T) SC WL   General Population Various 58 23 26
(Falsetti, Resnick, & Davis, 2008) 60 USA Group CBT-T WL     General Population Various 100 Unknown Unknown
(Fecteau & Nicki, 1999) 20 Canada CBT-T WL     General Population Road Traffic Accident 70 Unknown Unknown
(Feske, 2008) 21 USA PE (CBT-T) TAU     General Population Various 100 29% 90%
(Foa, Rothbaum, Riggs, & Murdock, 1991) 45 USA PE (CBT-T) CBT without a trauma focus Supportive counselling WL General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 Unknown Unknown
(Foa et al., 1999) 66 USA PE (CBT-T) CBT without a trauma focus WL   General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 38 41
(Foa et al., 2005) 179 USA PE (CBT-T) WL     General Population Assault 100 17 34
(Foa et al., 2018) 256 USA Spaced PE (CBT-T) PCT MC/RA   Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 12 100 66
(Fonzo et al., 2017) 66 USA PE (CBT-T) WL     General Population Various 65 Unknown Unknown
(Forbes et al., 2012) 59 Australia CPT (CBT-T) TAU     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 4 36 Unknown
(Ford, Steinberg, & Zhang, 2011) 146 USA CBT without a trauma focus PCT WL   General Population Various 100 Unknown 22
(Ford, Chang, Levine, & Zhang, 2013) 80 USA Group CBT-T Group Supportive Counselling     Incarcerated Women Various 100 Unknown Unknown
(Galovski, Blain, Mott, Elwood, & Houle, 2012) 100 USA CPT (CBT-T) MC/RA     General Population Various 69 Unknown Unknown
(Gamito et al., 2010) 10 Portugal VRE (CBT-T) Control Exposure WL   Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 Unknown Unknown
(Gersons, Carlier, Lamberts, & Van der Kolk, 2000) 42 Netherlands BEP (CBT-T) WL     General Population Various Unknown Unknown Unknown
(Gray, Budden-Potts, & Bourke, 2017) 74 USA RTM (CBT-T) WL     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 Unknown Unknown
(Hensel-Dittmann et al., 2011) 28 Germany NET (CBT-T) CBT without a trauma focus     Asylum Seekers Organized Violence Unknown Unknown Unknown
(Hinton et al., 2005) 40 USA CBT-T WL     Refugees Genocide 60 Unknown Unknown
(Hinton, Hofmann, Rivera, Otto, & Pollack, 2011) 24 USA Group CBT-T WL     General Population Various 100 Unknown Unknown
(Hogberg et al., 2007) 24 Sweden EMDR WL     General Population Various 38 Unknown Unknown
(Hollifield, Sinclair-Lian, Warner, & Hammerschlag, 2007) 55 USA Group trauma-focused CBT WL     General Population Various 68 Unknown 40
(Ironson, Freund, Strauss, & Williams, 2002) 22 USA EMDR PE (CBT-T)     General Population Various 77 Unknown Unknown
(Ivarsson et al., 2014) 62 Sweden I-CBT WL     General Population Various 82 8 65
(Jacob, Neuner, Maedl, Schaal, & Elbert, 2014) 76 Rwanda NET (CBT-T) WL     Genocide Survivors Genocide 92 Unknown Unknown
(Jensen, 1994) 25 USA EMDR WL     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 68 Unknown
(Johnson, Zlotnick, & Perez, 2011) 70 USA CBT without a trauma focus TAU     General Population Domestic Abuse 100 73 7
(Johnson, Johnson, Perez, Palmieri, & Zlotnick, 2016) 60 USA CBT without a trauma focus TAU     General Population Domestic Abuse 100 77 5
(Karatzias et al., 2011) 46 UK EMDR EFT     General Population Various 57 37 47
(Keane, Fairbank, Caddell, & Zimering, 1989) 24 USA CBT-T WL     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 Unknown Unknown
(Krupnick et al., 2008) 48 USA Group IPT WL     General Population Various 100 80 13%
(Kubany, Hill, & Owens, 2003) 37 USA CBT-T WL     General Population Domestic Abuse 100 Unknown Unknown
(Kubany, Hill, & Owens, 2004) 107 USA CBT-T WL     General Population Domestic Abuse 100 Unknown Unknown
(Laugharne et al., 2016) 20 Australia EMDR PE (CBT-T)     General Population Various 70 Unknown Unknown
(Lee, Gavriel, Drummond, Richards, & Greenwald, 2002) 24 Australia CBT-T EMDR     General Population Various 46 Unknown Unknown
(Lewis et al., 2017) 42 UK I-CBT WL     General Population Various 57 19 62
Lindauer 24 Netherlands BEP WL     General Population Various 54 Unknown Unknown
Littleton (2016) (Littleton, Grills, Kline, Schoemann, & Dodd, 2016) 87 USA I-CBT I-Psychoeducation     General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 Unknown Unknown
(Litz, Engel, Bryant, & Papa, 2007) 45 USA I-CBT I-SC     Military Personnel/Veterans Terrorism/Military Trauma Unknown Unknown Unknown
(Marcus, Marquis, & Sakai, 1997) 67 USA EMDR TAU     General Population Various 79 Unknown Unknown
(Markowitz et al., 2015) 110 USA IPT PE (CBT-T) Relaxation Therapy   General Population Various 70 21 Unknown
(Marks, Lovell, Noshirvani, Livanou, & Thrasher, 1998) 87 UK PE (CBT-T) Cognitive Restructuring PE (CBT-T) (CBT-T)(CBT-T)and Cognitive Restructuring Relaxation without PE (CBT-T) (CBT-T)(CBT-T)or CR General Population Various 36 54 Unknown
(McDonagh et al., 2005) 74 USA PE (CBT-T) PCT WL   General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 17 Unknown
(McLay et al., 2011) 20 USA VRE (CBT-T) TAU     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 5 Unknown Unknown
(McLay et al., 2017) 81 USA VRE (CBT-T) Control Exposure Therapy     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 4 Unclear Unclear
(Monson et al., 2012) 20 USA Couples CBT-T WL     General Population Various 25 40 Unknown
(Monson et al., 2006) 60 USA CPT (CBT-T) WL     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 10 Unknown Unknown
(Morath et al., 2014) 38 Germany NET (CBT-T) WL     Refugees Organized Violoence 32 Unknown Unknown
(Mueser et al., 2008) 108 USA CBT-T TAU     General Population Various 79 Unknown Unknown
(Nacasch et al., 2011) 30 Israel PE (CBT-T) TAU     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma Unknown 63 Unknown
(Neuner et al., 2010) 32 Germany NET (CBT-T) TAU     Refugees Torture 31 Unknown Unknown
(Neuner et al., 2008) 277 Uganda NET (CBT-T) SC Monitoring   Refugees War/Persecution 51 49 Unknown
(Neuner, Schauer, Klaschik, Karunakara, & Elbert, 2004) 43 Uganda NET (CBT-T) SC Psychoeducation   Refugees War/Persecution 60 28 Unknown
(Nijdam, Gersons, Reitsma, de Jongh, & Olff, 2012) 140 Netherlands BEP (CBT-T) EMDR     General Population Various 56 Unknown 30
(Pacella et al., 2012) 66 USA PE (CBT-T) (CBT-T) MC/RA     General Population Medical Diagnoses/Emergencies 37 Unknown Unknown
(Paunovic, 2011) 29 Sweden CBT-T WL     General Population Various 63 74 11
(Peniston & Kulkosky, 1991) 29 USA CBT-T TAU     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma Unknown Unknown Unknown
(Power et al., 2002) 105 UK EMDR CBT-T WL   General Population Various 42 Unknown Unknown
(Rauch et al., 2015) 36 USA PE (CBT-T) (CBT-T) PCT     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 9 Unknown Unknown
(Ready, Gerardi, Backscheider, Mascaro, & Rothbaum, 2010) 11 USA VRE (CBT-T) PCT     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma Unknown Unknown Unknown
(Reger et al., 2016) 162 USA VRE (CBT-T) PE (CBT-T) WL   Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 4 Active duty 7
(Resick et al., 2015) 108 USA Group CBT-T Group PCT     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 8 0 8
(Resick et al., 2002) 171 USA CPT (CBT-T) (CBT-T) PE (CBT-T) Minimal Attention   General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 Unknown Unknown
(Resick et al., 2017) 268 USA CPT (CBT-T) (CBT-T) Group CBT-T     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 9 100 19
(Rothbaum, 1997) 18 USA EMDR WL     General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 19 43
(Rothbaum, Astin, & Marsteller, 2005) 60 USA PE (CBT-T) EMDR WL   General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 Unknown Unknown
(Sautter, Glynn, Cretu, Senturk, & Vaught, 2015) 57 USA Couples CBT without a trauma focus Couples Psychoeducation     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 1.75 12 75
(Scheck, Schaeffer, & Gillette, 1998) 60 USA EMDR SC     General Population Various 100 Unknown Unknown
(Schnurr et al., 2003) 360 USA Group CBT-T Group PCT     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 0 51 Unknown
(Schnurr et al., 2007) 284 USA PE (CBT-T) (CBT-T) Group PCT     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma 100 38 Unknown
(Schnyder, Müller, Maercker, & Wittmann, 2011) 30 Switzerland BEP (CBT-T) MC/RA     General Population Various 46.7 Unknown Unknown
Shemesh 60 USA CBT-T Psychoeducation     General Population Medical Diagnoses/Emergencies 33 Unknown Unknown
(Sloan, Marx, Bovin, Feinstein, & Gallagher, 2012) 46 USA WET WL     General Population Road Traffic Accident Unclear 78 41
(Sloan, Marx, Lee, & Resick, 2018) 126 USA WET CPT (CBT-T)     General Population Various 49 Unknown 13
(Spence et al., 2011) 42 Australia I-CBT WL     General Population Various 81 41 Not clear
(Stenmark, Catani, Neuner, Elbert, & Holen, 2013) 81 Norway NET (CBT-T) TAU     Refugees Various 31 Unknown 25
(Suris, Link-Malcolm, Chard, Ahn, & North, 2013) 86 USA CPT (CBT-T) PCT     Military Personnel/Veterans Sexual Assault or Rape 85 43 16
(Taylor et al., 2003) 60 USA PE (CBT-T) Relaxation Therapy EMDR   General Population Various 75 13 Unknown
(Tylee, Gray, Glatt, & Bourke, 2017) 30 USA RTM (CBT-T) WL     General Population Military Trauma 0 Unknown Unknown
(Vaughan et al., 1994) 36 Australia CBT-T Relaxation Training EMDR   General Population Various 64 Unknown Unknown
(Wells et al., 2015) 32 UK PE (CBT-T) CBT without a trauma focus WL   General Population Various 38 6 Unknown
(Wells & Sembi, 2012) 20 UK CBT without a trauma focus WL     General Population Various 55 Unknown Unknown
(Yehuda et al., 2014) 52 USA PE (CBT-T) MC/RA     Military Personnel/Veterans Military Trauma Unclear Unknown Unknown
(Zang, Hunt, & Cox, 2014) 20 China NET (CBT-T) WL     General Population Earthquake 90 Unknown Unknown
(Zang, Hunt, & Cox, 2013) 22 China NET (CBT-T) WL     General Population Earthquake 77 Unknown Unknown
(Zlotnick et al., 1997) 48 USA Group CBT-T WL     General Population Sexual Assault or Rape 100 Unknown 33

BEP =Brief Eclectic Psychotherapy; NET = Narrative Exposure Therapy

CBT =Cognitive Behavioural Therapy; OEI =Observed and Experimental Integration

CBT-T =Cognitive Behavioural Therapy with a Trauma focus; PCT =Present Centred Therapy

CPT =Cognitive Processing Therapy; PE =Prolonged Exposure

CR =Cognitive Restructuring; REM Desensitization =Rapid Eye Movement Desensitization

CT =Cognitive Therapy; RTM =Reconsolidation of Traumatic Memories

DET =Dialogical Exposure Therapy; SC =Supportive Counselling

EFT =Emotional Freedom Technique; TAU =Treatment as Usual

EMDR = Eye Movement Desensitization and ReprocessingVRE =Virtual Reality Exposure

I-CBT = Internet-based Cognitive Behavioural Therapy; WET = Written Emotion Therapy

I-Psychoeducation =Internet-based Psychoeducation; WL =Waiting List

IPT =Interpersonal Psychotherapy

I-SC =Internet-based Supportive Counselling

MC/RA =Medical Checks/Repeated Assessments

The number of randomized participants ranged from 10 to 360. Studies were conducted in Australia (9), Canada (2), China (2), Denmark (1), Germany (5), Iran (2), Israel (1), Italy (2), Japan (1), the Netherlands (5), Norway (1), Portugal (1), Romania (1), Rwanda (1), Spain (1), Sweden (3), Switzerland (1), Thailand (1), Turkey/Syria (1), Uganda (2), UK (10) and USA (62). Participants were traumatized by military trauma (27 studies), sexual assault or rape (11 studies), war/persecution (4 studies), road traffic accidents (6 studies), earthquakes (2 studies), childhood abuse (3 studies), political detainment (1 study), terrorism (2 studies), physical assault (2 studies), domestic abuse (4 studies), medical diagnoses/emergencies (4 studies), genocide (1 study) and organized violence (3 studies). The remainder included individuals traumatized by various different traumatic events. There were 27 studies of females only and 10 of only males; the percentage of females in the remaining studies ranged from 1.75% to 96%. The percentage with a University education ranged from 4% to 90%.

3.2. Risk of bias

Risk of bias assessments for the included studies are summarized in Table 2. Fifty-two studies reported a method of sequence allocation judged to pose a ‘low’ risk of bias; five reported a method with a ‘high’ risk of bias; the remainder reported insufficient details and were, therefore, rated as ‘unclear’. Forty-one studies reported methods of allocation concealment representing a ‘low’ risk of bias; two a method with a ‘high’ risk of bias; with the remainder rated as ‘unclear’. The outcome assessor was aware of the participant’s allocation in 11 of the included studies; it was unclear whether the outcome assessor was aware of group allocation in 20 studies; with the remainder using blind-raters or self-report questionnaires delivered in a way that could not be influenced by members of the research team. Twenty-three studies were judged as posing a ‘high’ risk of bias in terms of incomplete outcome data; 79 studies were felt to have dealt with dropouts appropriately (‘low’ risk of bias); it was unclear in the remaining studies. The majority of studies failed to reference a published protocol, resulting in an ‘unclear’ risk of selective reporting for 75 studies; risk of bias was judged as ‘high’ in five studies and low in the remainder. Seventy of the included studies presented a ‘high’ risk of bias in other areas, for example, in relation to sample size, baseline imbalances between groups, or other methodological shortfalls. We could not rule out potential researcher allegiance, since treatment originators were involved in the evaluation of their own intervention in many of the included studies.

Table 2.

Risk of bias assessments of the included studies.

  Random sequence generation Allocation concealment Incomplete outcome data assessment Blinding of outcome Selective reporting Other sources of bias Total no. high risk
(Acarturk et al., 2016) Low Low Low Low Low Low 0
(Adenauer et al., 2011) Low Low Low Low High High 2
(Ahmadi et al., 2015) Unclear Unclear High Unclear Unclear High 2
(Akbarian et al., 2015) Low High Low Low Unclear High 2
(Asukai et al., 2010) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Beck et al., 2009) Unclear Unclear High Low Unclear High 2
(Bichescu et al., 2007) High Unclear Low Low Unclear High 2
(Blanchard et al., 2003) High Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 1
(Bradshaw et al., 2014) Unclear Unclear Low High Unclear High 2
(Brom et al., 1989) Unclear Unclear High Unclear Unclear High 2
(Bryant et al., 2003) Low Unclear Low Low Low High 1
(Bryant et al., 2011) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Buhmann et al., 2016) Low Low Unclear Low Low Low 0
(Butollo et al., 2016) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Capezzani et al., 2013) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Carletto et al., 2016) Low Low High Low Low Low 1
(Carlson et al., 1998) Unclear Unclear High Unclear Unclear Low 1
(Castillo et al., 2016) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Chard, 2005) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Cloitre et al., 2002b) Unclear Unclear Low Low High Low 1
(Cloitre et al., 2010) Unclear Low Low Low Low Low 0
(Cooper & Conklin, 2015) High High High Unclear Low High 4
(Devilly et al., 1998) Unclear Unclear High Low Unclear Low 1
(Devilly & Spence, 1999) High Unclear High Unclear Unclear High 3
(Dorrepaal et al., 2012) Unclear Low Low Low High High 2
(Duffy et al., 2007) Low Low Low Unclear Low High 1
(Dunne et al., 2012) Unclear Unclear Low Unclear Unclear High 1
(Echeburua et al., 1997) Unclear Unclear Low Unclear Unclear High 1
(Ehlers et al., 2003) Low Low High Low Unclear High 2
(Ehlers et al., 2005) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 2
(Ehlers et al., 2014) Unclear Low Low Low Low Low 0
(Falsetti et al., 2008) Unclear Unclear Low Low High High 2
(Fecteau & Nicki, 1999) Low Unclear High Unclear Unclear High 2
(Feske, 2008) Unclear Unclear Low Unclear Unclear High 1
(Foa et al., 1991) Unclear Unclear High Low Unclear High 2
(Foa et al., 1999) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Foa et al., 2005) Low Low Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Foa et al., 2018) Low Low Low Low Low Low 0
(Fonzo et al., 2017) Low Unclear Low Unclear Low Low 0
(Forbes et al., 2012) Unclear Low Low Unclear Unclear High 1
(Ford et al., 2011) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Ford et al., 2013) Low Low High Low Unclear High 2
(Galovski et al., 2012) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Gamito et al., 2010) Unclear Unclear Unclear Unclear High High 2
(Gersons et al., 2000) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Gray et al., 2017) Low Low Unclear Unclear Unclear Unclear 0
(Hensel-Dittmann et al., 2011) Low Low Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Hinton et al., 2005) Low Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Hinton et al., 2011) Unclear Unclear Low Unclear Unclear High 1
(Hogberg et al., 2007) Low Unclear High Low Unclear High 2
(Hollifield et al., 2007) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Ironson et al., 2002) Unclear Unclear Low High Unclear High 2
(Ivarsson et al., 2014) Low Unclear Low Low Low High 1
(Jacob et al., 2014) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Jensen, 1994) Unclear Unclear High Unclear Unclear High 2
(Johnson et al., 2011) Low Unclear Low High Unclear Low 1
(Johnson et al., 2016) Low Low Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Karatzias et al., 2011) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Keane et al., 1989) Unclear Unclear Unclear High Unclear High 2
(Krupnick et al., 2008) Unclear Unclear Low Unclear Unclear High 1
(Kubany et al., 2003) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Kubany et al., 2004) Unclear Unclear Low Low Low High 1
(Laugharne et al., 2016) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Lee et al., 2002) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Lewis et al., 2017) Low Low Low Low Low High 1
(Lindauer et al., 2005) Low Low Low Low Low High  
(Littleton et al., 2016) Low Unclear Low High Low Low 1
(Litz et al., 2007) Unclear Unclear High Low Low High 2
(Marcus et al., 1997) Unclear Unclear Unclear High Unclear High 2
(Markowitz et al., 2015) Low Low Low Low Low High 1
(Marks et al., 1998) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(McDonagh et al., 2005) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(McLay et al., 2011) Low Low Unclear High Unclear High 2
(McLay et al., 2017) Low Unclear Low Low Low Low 0
(Monson et al., 2012) Low Low Low Low Low Low 0
(Monson et al., 2006) Low Low Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Morath et al., 2014) Low Low Unclear Low Low Low 0
(Mueser et al., 2008) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Nacasch et al., 2011) Low Unclear Low Low Low High 1
(Neuner et al., 2004) Low Unclear Low Low Low High 1
(Neuner et al., 2008) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Neuner et al., 2010) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Nijdam et al., 2012) Unclear Low Low Low Low Low 0
(Pacella et al., 2012) Low Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Paunovic, 2011) Unclear Unclear Low High Unclear High 2
(Power et al., 2002) Low Low High Low Unclear Low 1
(Rauch et al., 2015) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Ready et al., 2010) Unclear Unclear Unclear Low Unclear High 1
(Reger et al., 2016) Low Low Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Resick et al., 2002) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear High 1
(Resick et al., 2015) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Resick et al., 2017) Low Unclear Low Low Low Low 0
(Rothbaum, 1997) Unclear Unclear High Low Unclear High 2
(Rothbaum et al., 2005) Unclear Unclear High Low Unclear Low 1
(Sautter et al., 2015) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Scheck et al., 1998) Low Low High Unclear Unclear High 2
(Schnurr et al., 2003) High Unclear Low Low Low Low 1
(Schnurr et al., 2007) Low Low Low Low Low Low 0
Shemesh Low Low Unclear Unclear Unclear Low 0
(Sloan et al., 2012) Low Low Unclear Low Unclear Low 0
(Sloan et al., 2018) Low Low Low Low Low Low 0
(Spence et al., 2011) Low Unclear High High Low Unclear 2
(Stenmark et al., 2013) Unclear Unclear Low High Low High 2
(Suris et al., 2013) Unclear Unclear Low Low Low High 1
(Taylor et al., 2003) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Tylee et al., 2017) Unclear Unclear Unclear Low Unclear High 1
(Vaughan et al., 1994) Unclear Unclear Low Low Unclear Low 0
(Wells & Sembi, 2012) Low Low Low Low Unclear High 1
(Wells et al., 2015) Low Low High High Unclear High 3
(Yehuda et al., 2014) Unclear Unclear High Unclear Unclear Unclear 1
(Zang et al., 2013) Unclear Unclear Low Low Low High 1
(Zang et al., 2014) Low Unclear Low Low Low High 1
(Zlotnick et al., 1997) Unclear Unclear High Low Low High 2

3.3. Dropout

Across the different modalities of psychological therapy, dropout rates from individual studies ranged from 0%-65%. The pooled dropout rate from psychological therapies for PTSD was 16% (95% CI 14–18; k = 116) with substantial heterogeneity across studies (I2 = 77.3%). The dropout rate for each modality of psychological therapy is presented in Table 3. The heterogeneity in dropout rates indicates differences that may be predicted by the variables entered into meta-regression.

Table 3.

Results of the meta-analyses of dropout.

  Number of studies Mean % drop out (95% CI) I2 (%)
1. CBT-T (not based on a specific model) 25 13 (9–18) 64.41
2. Brief Eclectic Psychotherapy 3 17 (0–51) 90.40
3. Cognitive Processing Therapy (CPT) 8 30 (22–39) 75.15
4. Cognitive Therapy (CT) 6 9 (1–23) 82.72
5. Narrative Exposure Therapy 11 12 (3–26) 85.59
6. Prolonged Exposure (PE) 22 22 (16–28) 72.56
7. Reconsolidation of Traumatic Memories (RTM) 1 1 (0–8) 0.00
8. Virtual Reality Exposure (VRE) 5 18 (3–38) 76.32
9. Eye Movement Desensitization and Reprocessing (EMDR) 21 18 (12–24) 62.13
10. CBT without a trauma focus 9 14 (7–23) 61.96
11. Present Centred Therapy (PCT) 6 20 (13–28) 40.85
12. Supportive Counselling 9 15 (3–32) 87.84
13. Observed and Experiential Integration (OEI) 1 0 Not applicable
14. Interpersonal Psychotherapy (IPT) 1 15 (6–30) Not applicable
15. Psychodynamic Psychotherapy 1 14 Not applicable
16. REM Desensitization 1 38 Not applicable
17. Emotional Freedom Technique (EFT) 1 39 Not applicable
18. Dialogical Exposure Therapy (DET) 1 12 Not applicable
19. Internet-based CBT 3 16 (8–26) 32.12
20. Relaxation Training 8 10 (3–19) 56.80
21. Group CBT with a Trauma Focus (group CBT-T) 9 24 (16–33) 76.29
22. Group Present Centred Therapy (PCT) 3 14 (11–18) 0.00
23. Group and Individual CBT-T 1 22 Not applicable
24. Group Stabilizing Treatment 1 18 Not applicable
25. Group Interpersonal Psychotherapy 1 38 Not applicable
26. Group Supportive Counselling 1 3 Not applicable
27. Couples CBT-T 2 22 (11–36) 0.00
28. Psychoeducation 3 1 (0–7) 0.00
29. Couples Psychoeducation 3 12 (3–25) 64.00
30. Internet-based psychoeducation 1 7 Not applicable
31. Waitlist 53 11 (8–15) 65.43
32. Treatment usual 14 13 (7–19) 61.37
33. Minimal attention/symptom monitoring 8 13 (2–32) 92.30

3.4. Meta-regression

Results of the meta-regressions are presented in Table 4. We found evidence that psychological therapies with a trauma-focus were significantly associated with greater dropout (β = 0.069; CI 0.011–0.127; P = 0.021; dropout rate of 18% (95% CI 15–21%) from those with a trauma focus versus 14% (95% CI 10–18%) from those without a trauma focus). There was no evidence of greater dropout from therapies delivered in a group format; from studies that recruited participants from clinical services rather than via advertisements; that included only military personnel/veterans; that included only participants traumatized by sexual traumas; from studies with a higher proportion of female participants; or from studies with a lower proportion of participants who were University educated.

Table 4.

Meta-regression of study-level variables on dropout from all active psychological therapies.

Variable β (95% confidence intervals) P
Trauma focus 0.069 (0.011–0.127) 0.021
Recruitment from clinical services −0.028 (−0.087–0.030) 0.341
Delivered in a group format −0.022 (−0.096–0.523) 0.564
Sample drawn from military population 0.032 (−0.023–0.087) 0.251
Sexual trauma 0.040 (−0.049–0.130) 0.376
% Female 0.040 (−0.049–0.130) 0.376
% University educated 0.001 (−0.003–0.001) 0.208

Trauma-focus coded as 0 = non-trauma focused, 1 = trauma focused; recruitment method coded as 0 = not recruited from clinical services, 1 = recruited from clinical services; delivered in a group format coded as 0 = not delivered in a group format, 1 = not delivered in a group format; sample drawn from military population coded 0 = not from a military population; 1 = from a military population; sexual trauma coded 0 = not a sexual trauma; 1 = a sexual trauma.

3.5. Publication bias

A funnel plot (see Figure 2), which was constructed using data on dropout from all active therapy groups, did not show evidence of publication bias.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Funnel plot.

4. Discussion

4.1. Main findings

Taking the number of participants that had left the study at the point of post-treatment assessment as a proxy-indicator of dropout, the pooled rate from psychological therapies for PTSD was 16% (95% CI 14–18%). This is of a similar magnitude to a previous meta-analysis of 42 studies, which found an average dropout rate of 18% (Imel et al., 2013) using the definition of dropout given by the included studies. This is also similar to the dropout rate of 17.5% obtained from a meta-analysis of dropout from RCTs of psychotherapy for depression (Cooper & Conklin, 2015) that defined dropout as unexpected attrition among individuals who were randomized to a treatment but failed to complete it. It was considerably lower than the pooled drop-out rate of 36% found by a more recent review of twenty studies of US military veterans (Goetter et al., 2015). This was in comparison to a pooled dropout rate from studies of veterans/military personnel in this review of 18% (95% CI 15–22%). This is likely to reflect the fact that the previous review included a variety of different study designs including naturalistic studies and used the definition of dropout given by the authors of individual studies.

There was no evidence of greater dropout from therapies delivered in a group format. This contradicts the findings of earlier reviews that found group delivery to be associated with a significant increase in dropout (Goetter et al., 2015; Imel et al., 2013). This may be the result of more recent studies evaluating interventions that have been optimized to increase retention or more proactive attempts to retain participants. There was also no evidence of significantly greater dropout from studies that recruited participants from clinical services rather than via advertisements; that included only military personnel/veterans; that included only participants traumatized by sexual traumas; that included only female participants; and from studies with a lower proportion of participants who were University educated. Research looking at factors associated with dropout have yielded inconsistent findings (Bryant et al., 2007; Schottenbauer et al., 2008; Taylor, 2003). Although the findings of the current review contradict some previous studies; they are in agreement with others. Inconsistencies may be the result of difference in study type and design; the types of interventions of interest and the degree to which they are protocolized; or may vary according to the populations of interest.

We found evidence that psychological therapies with a trauma-focus were significantly associated with greater dropout. This challenges the findings of previous, far smaller, meta-analyses, which found no significant differences in dropout rates from therapies with and without a trauma-focus (Goetter et al., 2015; Hembree et al., 2003). However, one of these studies found a significant difference between PCT (a non-trauma-focused intervention) and a group of therapies that had a trauma-focus (Imel et al., 2013). Our findings may be a result of the accumulated data available from a larger number of studies. The results, however, are consistent with the findings of a review of seven studies of treatments specifically targeting child abuse-related or complex PTSD, which found some evidence of greater drop-out from exposure-based therapies (Dorrepaal et al., 2014). Although there are many reasons for dropout from psychological therapies, this finding suggests that difficulties tolerating trauma-focused treatment may be one of these. Adverse events such as the prolonged exacerbation of existing symptoms (for example, an increased frequency of unwanted thoughts or nightmares) or the occurrence of new symptoms (for example, anger or self-blame) may lead to dropout, yet there is a surprising scarcity of research exploring the issue (Berk & Parker, 2009). Psychological therapy is traditionally perceived as safe, presenting a low risk of unwanted effects (Nutt & Sharpe, 2008). In reality, the estimated rate of reported side effects is between 3% and 15%, which is of a similar magnitude to that reported for pharmacotherapy (Linden, 2012). However, it is often difficult to draw a distinction between adverse events and time-limited negative experiences inherent to the process of some psychological therapies. This includes the experience of distress provocation, which is inevitable in the process of trauma-focused work.

A survey of psychologists’ attitudes to trauma-focused intervention found that concerns about tolerability and dropout were among the main reasons that psychologists did not use trauma-focused intervention, despite the compelling evidence supporting its use (Becker, Zayfert, & Anderson, 2004). However, only a small number of studies have acknowledged or explored adverse events such as symptom worsening or its influence on dropout in relation to trauma-focused therapy. This is surprising, given that symptom exacerbation has long since been documented in the treatment of PTSD (Pitman et al., 1991; Tarrier et al., 1999b). It also limits our ability to judge how well various therapies were tolerated by PTSD sufferers. An RCT of imagery rehearsal therapy for trauma-related nightmares found that all four participants who actively withdrew from the treatment group had experienced increased negative imagery effects, suggesting a direct relationship between an inability to tolerate the treatment and subsequent dropout (Krakow et al., 2001; Tarrier, Sommerfield, Pilgrim, & Humphreys, 1999). Conversely, a study of 76 individuals found that only 9–21% of participants showed reliable symptom exacerbation, and these individuals were no more likely to drop out of treatment prematurely (Foa, Zoellner, Hembree, & Alvarez-Conrad, 2002). Similarly, an RCT comparing cognitive therapy (without a trauma focus) to imaginal exposure found that symptom worsening affected 10% of participants, with a significantly greater number of these being in the imaginal exposure group; however, this between-group difference was no longer present at follow-up and rates of dropout were similar from both groups (Tarrier et al., 1999).

The studies included in this review usually failed to provide information on adverse events and contained few explanations for dropout, so it is difficult to ascertain the reasons that participants dropped out. It must be acknowledged that symptom improvement is a possible reason for dropout (Szafranski, Smith, Gros, & Resick, 2017). It follows that termination of treatment for this reason would be highest from the most effective treatments (i.e. those with a trauma-focus (Bisson et al., 2013; Bradley et al., 2005; Jonas et al., 2013)). This said, recent studies have found that those who attend more treatment sessions generally obtain more favourable outcomes (Holmes et al., 2019; Rutt, Oehlert, Krieshok, & Lichtenberg, 2018). More transparent reporting of dropout is required to explore this further. Whatever the cause, dropout is a major health and societal concern, which may result in individuals failing to receive optimal treatment (Craske et al., 2006).

4.2. Strengths and limitations

The review followed Cochrane guidelines for the identification of relevant studies; data extraction; and risk assessment (Higgins & Green, 2011). A wide range of psychological therapies for PTSD were considered, which included participants from different countries and backgrounds, who had been exposed to a variety of different traumatic events. Inevitably, there were some limitations. The majority of studies included in the review excluded individuals with comorbidities of substance dependence, psychosis, and severe depression, who may be more likely to drop out of treatment prematurely, as evidenced by particularly high rates of drop out from studies of participants with co-morbid alcohol dependency (Bothwell, Greene, Podolsky, & Jones, 2016; Roberts, Jones, & Bisson, 2016; Zandberg et al., 2016). All included studies were published, resulting in the possibility of publication bias. However, a funnel plot constructed from the data did not show evidence of this being an issue.

Since there is no agreed conceptualization of dropout, this review extracted and meta-analysed data on the number of participants that had left the study at the point of post-treatment assessment to allow the inclusion of data from a maximal number of studies. There may have been some participants who completed a full course of therapy but failed to attend the post-treatment assessment. Equally, there may have been some participants who failed to complete the course of treatment but attended the post-treatment assessment nonetheless. Although this may bias our findings, there are limitations to all methods that we could have adopted to conceptualize dropout.

The review relied on RCT evidence, which is both a strength and a limitation. The methodology may have excluded some potentially high-quality sources of evidence, such as large observational studies and non-randomized controlled effectiveness studies (Bothwell et al., 2016), which could contribute to a more accurate overall assessment of dropout. It may be the case that dropout from clinical trials underestimates the true extent of dropout in routine clinical care on the basis that study teams are motivated to retain participants and often provide incentives for the completion of treatment. Equally, participants may have been more inclined to drop out on the basis of the additional demands of participation in a trial, such as regular completion of research assessments. However, taking a broader approach would risk diluting higher quality sources of evidence with weaker ones. A major weakness was that reasons for dropout were not reported or were poorly reported by most studies and it was not possible to systematically extract and analyse this information.

4.3. Research implications

Bringing together the available evidence on dropout has always been problematic given that there is no agreed definition and studies have conceptualized the phenomenon differently. Agreeing a definition of dropout would advance the field by encouraging the reporting of data that is comparable across trials. A previous study that compared the application of four operational definitions of dropout (therapist judgement, failure to attend the last scheduled appointment, a median-split procedure, and failure to return to therapy after the intake appointment) found that the rate ranged from 17.6% to 53.1%, depending on the definition that was used (Hatchett & Park, 2003). It follows that a framework to guide the standardized collection and documentation of data related to dropout including information on adverse events is needed. There is currently no theoretical concept to guide the evaluation and reporting of dropout and adverse events that occur during psychological therapy, which is needed and would include a standardized list of reasons for dropout. A first step would be for research ethics committees to mandate that future RCTs of psychological treatments routinely collect and report standardized data on dropout, including the reasons for it. When possible, studies should also report on the severity of symptoms at the point that participants drop out from therapy and whether any adverse events occurred (Hembree et al., 2003). Systematic reviews that analyse individual patient data in relation to dropout enable the application of a standardized definition across studies and would advance the field by moving beyond looking at associations between study-level variables and dropout. As noted by previous reviews, there is also a need for the standardized and consistent measurement of treatment acceptability across trials (Lewis, Roberts, Bethell, Robertson, & Bisson, 2018; Simon et al., 2019). Only when we have sufficient knowledge on the reasons for dropout can we be sure that patients are receiving the best possible intervention.

4.4. Clinical implications

Although we cannot be sure that the reasons for dropout are negative, the findings point to the need for careful assessment of the suitability of patients for trauma-focused work. Since there is evidence for the effect of many different modalities of psychological therapy (American Psychological Association, 2017; International Society of Traumatic Stress Studies (ISTSS), 2018; National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), 2018), a ‘one-size fits all’ approach should be avoided and the evidence-base used to guide shared-decision making between patient and clinician (National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE), 2018, Cloitre, 2015). Enhancing patient choice may improve retention on the basis that individuals are self-selecting treatment approaches that hold personal appeal. Whether or not this ultimately impacts retention and treatment outcomes requires investigation. Since PTSD is a highly heterogeneous condition (Cloitre, 2015; DiMauro, Carter, Folk, & Kashdan, 2014) a greater understanding of dropout has the potential to facilitate the targeted recommendation of existing evidence-based treatments to specific sub-groups of patients. Dropout is clearly a complex phenomenon, which may be best conceptualized as having a multi-faceted aetiology that is likely to vary across different therapies and diagnostic groups. A multi-factorial approach is likely to be required to reduce dropout, such as a stepped care approach that is personalized to include stabilization if necessary and addresses the various barriers to remaining in treatment (Dorrepaal et al., 2013; Zatzick, 2012). Although there is evidence to suggest that trauma-focused therapies can be safely used with a wide range of people with PTSD, including those who may be considered to have contraindications such as psychiatric comorbidities and histories of sexual abuse (Cloitre, Garvert, & Weiss, 2017, van Minnen, Harned, Zoellner, & Mills, 2012, Wagenmans, Van Minnen, Sleijpen, & De Jongh, 2018), further work is needed to determine any possible impact on dropout. Phased therapies have been developed with preparatory work to improve stability before trauma-focused work (Cloitre, Koenen, Cohen, & Han, 2002a). However, there is no consensus as to whether models starting with stabilization are necessary or preferable to directly applying evidence-based trauma-focused interventions (Lahuis, Scholte, Aarts, & Kleber, 2019, Ter Heide, Mooren, & Kleber, 2016; Ter Heide, Mooren, Kleijn, de Jongh, & Kleber, 2011). This approach has been found to result in improved outcomes and greater retention in trauma-focused CBT for PTSD (Bryant et al., 2013). Another option is the introduction of peer support, which has been shown to encourage participants to re-enter treatment and subsequently achieve significant clinical improvement (Hernandez-Tejada, Hamski, & Sánchez-Carracedo, 2017).

Funding Statement

This work was unfunded.

Disclosure statement

No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.

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Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Data Citations

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