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. 2020 Apr 14;15(4):e0230970. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0230970

Predicting death by the loss of intestinal function

Kathreen Bitner 1,*, Parvin Shahrestani 2, Evan Pardue 1, Laurence D Mueller 1
Editor: Efthimios M C Skoulakis3
PMCID: PMC7156097  PMID: 32287318

Abstract

The ability to predict when an individual will die can be extremely useful for many research problems in aging. A technique for predicting death in the model organism, Drosophila melanogaster, has been proposed which relies on an increase in the permeability of the fly intestinal system, allowing dyes from the diet to permeate the body of the fly shortly before death. In this study we sought to verify this claim in a large cohort study using different populations of D. melanogaster and different dyes. We found that only about 50% of the individuals showed a visible distribution of dye before death. This number did not vary substantially with the dye used. Most flies that did turn a blue color before death did so within 24 hours of death. There was also a measurable effect of the dye on the fly mean longevity. These results would tend to limit the utility of this method depending on the application the method was intended for.

Introduction

Evolutionary biologists recognize three phases of adult life in organisms that reproduce multiple times. The first phase occurs prior to reproduction and can be called development. During this phase we expect natural selection to oppose any genetically based reductions in survival since death at these ages means zero fitness. In the second phase, called aging, the strength of natural selection declines with age as first outlined by Hamilton [1]. Under protected conditions, we typically see an age-dependent increase in mortality and a decline in fertility [2]. Finally, at advanced ages organisms enter late-life [36]. Again, under protected conditions late-life is characterized by a plateau in age-specific mortality [35, 7] female fecundity [6, 8], male virility [9], and age related motor performance decline and specific late-life motor disabilities [10].

Recently we have suggested there is a fourth stage of adult life called the death spiral [6, 8, 11]. The death spiral is a short period prior to death that is marked by a dramatic decline in physiological health. There is evidence of this decline in fecundity [8, 12, 13], supine behavior [14], activity and desiccation resistance [15], and male virility [9]. We have previously shown that the decline in fecundity can be used to predict death [11]. We are looking for a better and faster way to predict death as current phenotypic methods are cumbersome.

Additional study of the death spiral and a more detailed understanding of the physiological systems that are under decline could be done if there was a reliable and easy way to identify individuals that were about to die. This would permit one to do destructive assays on individuals in the death spiral such as gene expression studies and compare them to similarly aged individuals who are not about to die. Rera et al. [16] describes such a process for Drosophila melanogaster. According to [16] and [17] individuals fed food with a blue dye (FD&C blue dye #1) will maintain their ability to prevent the dye from permeating the intestinal barrier until a few days before death. At that time the entire body of the fly will become blue, leading [16] to identify the individuals so colored as “Smurfs” [1823]

This technique, in principle, offers exactly the assay needed for more detailed analysis of the death spiral. Unfortunately, prior work with the technique has not laid out any detailed analysis of the demographic features of the Smurf phenotype. For instance, what is the average and distribution of the time interval between becoming a Smurf and death? Do these properties change with chronological age? In large samples what fraction of flies become Smurfs prior to death? How does the appearance of the Smurf phenotype vary with other dyes and different populations of D. melanogaster? The goal of this study is to answer these questions.

Methods

Populations

Five large independent populations of Drosophila melanogaster were used in this experiment. Two of these populations, ACO and CO, are large, outbred populations that have been maintained on different age-at-reproduction schedules for hundreds of generations. The ACO population was maintained on 9 day discrete generation cycles. The CO population was kept on 28 day discrete generation cycles. The remaining populations, S93, A4 3852 and Canton S (CAS), were inbred lines raised on three week cycles in the Long lab at the University of California, Irvine. All populations were raised in identical conditions of temperature, food, cultures and density for three generations prior to these experiments.

Mortality assay

Adult, 14 day old (from egg) flies were knocked out with CO2 gas and placed into individual plastic straws about 4 inches in length and capped with plastic pipette tips on both ends (Fig 1). During anesthetization, a steady supply of CO2 was flowing through a semi-porous plate. The flies were placed on the plate and separated by gender and each fly was gently swept into the plastic straw using a fine painters brush. An equal number of females and males were used per population. Food was provided to each fly at one end of the straw. Each fly was transferred to a new straw with new food and new pipette tips every 3 days to maintain a clean environment. The straw length and girth permitted individuals to fly from one end to the other.

Fig 1.

Fig 1

A. Adult, 14 day old (from egg) flies were placed into individual plastic straws about 4 inches in length and capped with plastic pipette tips on both ends. Each straw was labeled with a number that allowed us to keep track of each fly, B. Blue male Smurf at the time of death, C. Blue female Smurf at time of death. The head, thorax and abdomen have all visibly become blue for both the male and female D. melanogaster flies.

The process of transferring the flies, as well as daily checking of the flies, required a light tapping of the fly into the pipette tip. Cohorts of about 56 adult flies, equal numbers of males and females from each of the five populations were exposed to either control food or food with one of six dyes (Table 1) added to their food. Substantial replication was used. Thus, the original dye, SPS Alfachem, was replicated in 5 different populations, and each population was replicated in 6 different dye environments. The use of different FDA FD&C Blue dye #1’s permitted us to determine if the development of the SMURF phenotype was sensitive to the particular dye used. By using a combination of different populations of D. melanogaster, which varied in levels of inbreeding, we could determine if the development of the SMURF phenotype was limited to inbred populations.

Table 1. The number of flies used in the experiment per population of D. melanogaster as well as the total number and sex (M = Male, F = Female) of flies exposed to each dye.

The left column has the five populations used: ACO, CO, S93, A4 3852 and Canton S, and the top row has the medium that the flies were fed: either the control banana molasses food or the banana molasses food with the indicated dye. This table excludes one CO individual in dye 1 whose sex was unknown.

Population Control Dye 1 Dye 2 Dye 3 Dye 4 Dye 5 Dye 6 Total Flies per Population
Regular Banana Molasses Food Food & SPS Alfachem Blue Food & Sigma Aldrich Food & Spectrum Blue Food & Flavors & Color Blue Food & Chemistry Connection Food & Electric Blue
1: ACO Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies 382
57 56 52 54 55 55 53
M F M F M F M F M F M F M F
30 27 28 28 27 25 27 27 29 26 27 28 28 25
2: CO Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies 395
54 54 56 56 57 61 57
M F M F M F M F M F M F M F
27 27 25 29 29 27 27 29 29 28 29 32 28 29
3: S93 Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies 410
57 58 59 58 59 60 59
M F M F M F M F M F M F M F
27 30 29 29 30 29 27 31 30 29 30 30 31 28
4: A4 3852 Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies 396
57 57 56 57 58 56 55
M F M F M F M F M F M F M F
28 29 30 27 27 29 29 28 29 29 27 29 27 28
5: Canton S (CAS) Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies Total Flies 398
55 58 58 55 56 57 59
M F M F M F M F M F M F M F
27 28 29 29 29 29 24 31 28 28 28 29 29 30
Total Flies per dye 280 283 281 280 285 289 283 1982

The flies were exposed to the blue dyes from day 14 (from egg) continuously to their death. Each fly was individually checked underneath a microscope and light to see if it had become a ‘smurf’. Smurf status required that the entire body changed to any variation of a blue color. This was an important distinction as all the Drosophila flies fed food with a blue dye would have visible blue coloring in only the gut portion when they weren’t a Smurf. Some of the dyes resulted in a slight variation in blue color in the Smurfs. Every day under a microscope with a light we looked for any change of color in the fly thorax, head and abdomen. If the fly was any shade of blue in all three sections, it was marked as a Smurf and was then checked daily to see when it died. We did not limit our observations to individual sections of the fly, such as only the thorax, for our evaluation of when a fly became a Smurf.

Tapping

We did the tapping experiment to see if the physical disruption, the process of tapping the fly into the pipette tip, affected the mean longevity and lifespan of the fly. A total of 164 ACO flies were chosen for this assay– 83 males and 81 females. The 164 flies were placed into regular food straws with no dye. A total of 84 flies (42 male and 42 female) were tapped 5 times daily, mimicking the checking that occurred in the original experiment, and the other 81 (41 males and 39 females) flies were not tapped. The flies were transferred to new straws, with fresh food and new pipette tips every 3 days. Each fly was checked daily for movement and if no movement was detected, the fly was classified as deceased on that day. Only ACO flies were used as the purpose of the Tapping experiment was to see if our methods for checking for Smurf flies would affect the mean longevity of the fly.

Food & dyes

Flies were provided with banana-molasses food with one of the dyes added. The control flies received only banana molasses food in their respective straws. The recipe for the banana molasses food used in the lab, as well as the experiment, can be found in the Supplemental Portion. Food with dye was prepared by mixing 2.5 grams of each dye to create a 100 ml solution of the banana molasses food mixed with the dye (2.5% wt/vol). Food was always prepared the day before it was needed and stored in a refrigerator until it was used. The dyes were kept separate and carefully handled so no cross-contamination occurred during the preparation and food blending process.

Statistical analysis

To analyze the effects of dye, sex and population on longevity we let yijkl be the age at death of the lth individual of sex-i (i = 1 (female), 2 (male)), treatment-j (j = 1,,..,7 (see Table 1, 7 = control)), and population-k (k = 1,..,5 (see Table 1)). Then a linear model for longevity is,

yijkl=α+δiβ+δjγj+δkπk+δjδkθjk+εijkl, (1)

where δs = 0 if s = 1, and 1 otherwise, εijkl is an error term assumed to have normal distribution with mean 0 and variance σ2. An initial test showed no significant differences between sexes so the final model tested did not include the β parameter. These tests were run with R (version 3.4.3, R Core team, 2017) and the lm function. Pairwise tests with Bonferroni corrections for simultaneous tests were conducted with the R emmeans function.

At the time of death each fly was classified according to their sex, population, treatment, and Smurf status (blue: yes or no). Using hierarchical log-linear models (loglm function in the R MASS package) we tested in succession whether sex, treatment, and population would have an effect on Smurf status at the time of death.

A t-test was performed on the Tapping Experiment results, comparing the mean longevity of the tapped flies versus the non-tapped flies to see if the mechanical disruption would affect their mean longevity.

Results

We tested the difference in mean longevity for each population in the control environment vs. each of six dyes yielding a total of 30 hypothesis tests (S1 Table, S1 Fig). We found the control populations lived longer in all cases and 7 out of 30 of these tests were significantly different (using a Bonferroni correction for multiple testing). The log-rank tests detected 9 significant differences (S2 Table). Median longevity and maximum longevity were also calculated for each population-dye combination (S3 and S4 Tables). Averaged over the six dye- treatments there were significant differences in mean longevity between all populations and their controls except CO and s93 (p = 0.16, Bonferroni corrected for 5 different tests). Averaged over the five different populations, the control treatments lived significantly longer than every other dye treatment. The controls lived from 4.9 to 9.8 days longer, depending on which dye they were compared to, or about 8% to 17% of the control fly mean longevity (Fig 2).

Fig 2. The mean longevity of five populations of D. melanogaster in the control and six different dye treatments.

Fig 2

Bars are 95% confidence intervals calculated from a pooled variance estimate by the emmeans R function. Each dye treatment resulted in a significant reduction in mean longevity compared to the control treatment. Treatment 2: SPS Alfachem Blue, 3: Sigma Aldrich, 4: Spectrum Blue, 5: Flavors and Color Blue, 6: Chemistry Connection Blue, 7: Electric Blue.

All FD&C blue dyes did show a Smurf phenotype, though the fraction of flies becoming Smurfs varied considerably from dye to dye, as well as among populations (Fig 3 and S5 Table). These results are consistent with a preliminary study we conducted on 172 ACO flies (S1 Fig).

Fig 3. Percentage of flies that became Smurfs for each population and dye.

Fig 3

Bars are standard errors.

The null loglinear model with no interactions was compared to a model with an interaction between sex and Smurf status and showed that sex has a significant effect on whether a fly becomes a Smurf (χ12=30, p<10−5). Averaged over all blue dye treatment populations, 22% of the males became Smurfs and 34% of the females became Smurfs. If we add an interaction between dye treatment and Smurf status to the previous model with the sex interaction there is a significant effect of dye treatment (χ52=13.0, p< 0.022). Finally, adding an interaction between population and Smurf status to the previous model with interactions between sex, treatment and Smurf status there is a significant effect of population (χ42=28, p = 0.00001). Thus, achieving the Smurf phenotype before death is significantly affected by sex, dye, and population. However, the majority of flies never showed the Smurf phenotype prior to death.

The flies became a distinct Blue color in their abdomen, thorax and head when they became a ‘Smurf’ (Fig 1). This could be seen in some flies as much as 3 or 4 days before their death. However, of the flies that became a Smurf, the majority did so on the day of their death or one day before death (Fig 4).

Fig 4. Timing of SMURF appearance using only flies that satisfied our criteria for being a Smurf.

Fig 4

Most flies appeared to be Smurfs on the day they are found dead or 1 day before death. Of the D. melanogaster that became a Smurf, a majority of them did so on the day of their death or one day before. Bars are simultaneous 95% confidence intervals. Dye 1: SPS Alfachem Blue, Dye 2: Sigma Aldrich, Dye 3: Spectrum Blue, Dye 4: Flavors and Color Blue, Dye 5: Chemistry Connection Blue, and Dye 6: Electric Blue.

A t-test was run on the tapping experiment, comparing the mean longevity of the tapped flies versus the non-tapped flies to see if the mechanical disruption would affect their mean longevity. The males were not affected by tapping, with a mean longevity of 53.2 days for those tapped and 53.9 days for those not tapped (p = 0.83, Table 2). Likewise females were not affected due to the tapping mechanism either, with a mean longevity of 54.5 days for the tapped females and 54.4 days for the untapped females (p = 0.99, Table 2).

Table 2. Mean longevity from the tapping experiment.

The p-value is for a t-test for different mean longevities of same sex treatments. There is no discernible difference in the mean longevity of the flies that were tapped versus those that were not tapped.

Sex Tapping Mean Longevity (Days) 95% Confidence Interval p value
Male Yes 53.2 (47.8, 58.5) 0.83
Male No 53.9 (49.4, 58.5)
Female Yes 54.5 (49.0, 60) 0.88
Female No 54.4 (49.0, 59.8)

Conclusions

This study has established a number of important conclusions. (1) All dyes used have significant negative effects on mean longevity, with decreases ranging from 5 to almost 10 days. (2) Only a small fraction of the flies show the Smurf phenotype prior to death. Over all populations and dyes 22% of males and 34% of females became Smurfs. (3) Among the small fraction that do become Smurfs most (40–60%) become blue during their last 24 hours of life. Thus, even with daily checks most of the Smurf flies will be dead when initially identified as Smurf making their utility for gene expression studies useless. As can be seen from Table 1, there was substantial replication, with each population undergoing 6 different dyes and a control. The original dye used in Rera et al. [16], SPS Alfachem, was replicated in 5 different populations, and each population was replicated in 6 different dye environments, allowing for substantial replication across the whole experiment. The three results cited above were consistently seen across all the replicates suggesting that these findings are robust.

These results certainly contradict prior claims [16]. Rera et al [16] suggested that essentially all flies become Smurfs prior to death and that the dyes do not affect survival. Certainly, one can claim there were differences in handling or techniques used in these studies [16]. This is challenging to evaluate. We note that the food used in our study has 2.5 grams of dye per 100 mL of food (2.5% wt/vol), which is the same dye concentration that Rera et al [16] put in their food [17]. Thus, our observations of increased mortality due to dye cannot be attributed to overdosing. We also tested whether the tapping employed in our experimental technique could explain the mean longevity differences. That experiment showed no detectable effects of tapping on either male or female longevity. We only tested one population, ACO, for an effect of tapping on mean longevity. Thus, for the ACO population it is clear that dyes are responsible for their reduced longevity not tapping. While it is theoretically possible that the other populations are not affected by the dyes but are affected by tapping, we believe this is an unlikely possibility.

There might be variation in how much food a fly consumes, but since each fly was in their own environment with only the dyed food, the flies had no other option but to consume the food or die from starvation. The purpose of this assay technique is to identify flies about to die under normal husbandry protocols. Future experiments can focus on whether the dead ‘non-Smurfed’ flies consumed food before death or not. But if the majority of the flies are dying without the distinguishing blue body color, then the technique is of little practical use. Lastly, most flies which did turn blue did so during their last 24 hours of life. This also renders the technique less useful for collecting live flies shortly before their death.

Many experiments have used the Smurf Assay technique [1823]. However, the widespread use of the Smurf assay to differentiate between aging flies and young flies is not justified. At older ages, less flies Smurfed than flies that were younger. Prior research has demonstrated that the technique will differentiate between individuals that loose intestinal integrity and become Smurfs and those that don’t, but they fail to provide exact details on how many individuals become Smurfs prior to death.

Our results also demonstrate significant effects of fly population of origin and dye on both mean longevity and frequency of Smurfs. However, these effects are essentially background noise to the major observations that only about 28% of flies ever become Smurfs and those that do only do so on their day of death or one day before death.

Supporting information

S1 File. Standard rose and Mueller lab banana food recipe.

(DOCX)

S1 Fig. Mean longevity in days of flies in the control environment and dyes across all 5 populations.

Standard error bars. When pooling the dyes against the control, the control flies lived significantly longer than the flies in an environment with dye in the food. The dyes used: Dye 1: SPS Alfachem Blue, Dye 2: Sigma Aldrich, Dye 3: Spectrum Blue, Dye 4: Flavors and Color Blue, Dye 5: Chemistry Connection Blue, and Dye 6: Electric Blue.

(TIF)

S2 Fig. Results of the preliminary study of 172 ACO1 adults.

The percent of first appearance of all 81 Smurfs as a function of the days before death when raised on food with dye 1. The bars are simultaneous 95% confidence intervals. The majority became Smurfs on the day they were found dead (day 0) or 1 day before death. A total of 47% (95% confidence interval, (39%, 54%)) eventually became Smurfs. The mean longevity (from egg) of all flies in this experiment was 32.9 days (95% confidence interval ±1.4 days). These results are consistent with those in the full experiment. Specifically, less than 50% of all flies became Smurfs prior to death and those that did become Smurfs most frequently did so on the day or day before they died.

(TIF)

S1 Table. Average longevity for every population and every dye used in the experiment.

Also provided the average day of Smurfing.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. Log-rank p-values comparing the control treatment to each of the other populations at each of the dye treatments.

These results are from the R survdiff function in the survival package. The significant results are shown in bold (using the Bonferroni correction for 30 tests).

(DOCX)

S3 Table. The median longevity for each population at every dye treatment.

The median longevity for each population was greater in the control treatment in than every other dye except for A4 3852 and dye 1.

(DOCX)

S4 Table. The maximum longevity for each population, dye combination.

(DOCX)

S5 Table. The number of flies that Smurfed per population and per dye, as well as the number of total flies per population and dye.

(DOCX)

Acknowledgments

A big thank you to the undergraduates in the lab who helped with the experiment.

Data Availability

Data are available via DRYAD: https://doi.org/10.7280/D1RQ4W.

Funding Statement

All the funding for this study came from the University of California Regents. The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.

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Decision Letter 0

Efthimios M C Skoulakis

5 Nov 2019

PONE-D-19-29500

The Efficacy of Predicting Death by the Loss of Intestinal Function

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr Bitner,

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PLoS One. 2020 Apr 14;15(4):e0230970. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0230970.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


12 Nov 2019

Thank you for your time to review our paper. Please see below for the original points mentioned in the review, as well as our responses to each.

1. Although short, the manuscript reports on issues that impact a good number of labs in the field. However as it stands it is difficult to send for review because of formatting issues.

-We have addressed all of the issues and concerns below regarding formatting issues and we are submitting a Revised Manuscript.

2. Please remove the figure legend text from within teh Results section and add it to the end after the references.

-The figure legend text from within the Results section was moved and placed at the end of the references in a section called Supporting Material.

3. Same for the tables and their legends. Please move them to the respective figure and legend sections.

-All of the Tables and legends were moved from their current positions to the respective Supporting Material section at the end of the paper after the References, which now contains the tables, their legends, and figure legends.

4. It is useful if a photo of the "food straw" used was provided.

-A straw photo was inputted into the Revised Manuscript as Figure 1. All other figures were numerically renamed – Figure 1 became Figure 2, Figure 2 became Figure 3, etc.

Journal Requirements:

1. When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements.

 Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at

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-We made sure our paper meets your requirements. All citations were fixed, as well as some minor formatting issues throughout the manuscript. The only part of the paper that is set up differently than your requirements is that our tables, table legends, and figure legends were moved to the end of the paper as was addressed and requested in the original concerns (please see above, points 2 and 3).

2. We note that you have stated that you will provide repository information for your data at acceptance. Should your manuscript be accepted for publication, we will hold it until you provide the relevant accession numbers or DOIs necessary to access your data. If you wish to make changes to your Data Availability statement, please describe these changes in your cover letter and we will update your Data Availability statement to reflect the information you provide.

-We will upload the data and have it ready at acceptance.

3. Thank you for stating the following financial disclosure:

"No -The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.".

a. Please provide an amended Funding Statement that declares *all* the funding or sources of support received during this specific study (whether external or internal to your organization) as detailed online in our guide for authors at http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submit-now.  

b. Please state what role the funders took in the study.  If any authors received a salary from any of your funders, please state which authors and which funder. If the funders had no role, please state: "The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript."

* Please include your amended statements within your cover letter; we will change the online submission form on your behalf.

-Regarding the financial disclosure, we will include the amended statements in the cover letter.

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Reviewers' comments:

-There were no reviewers comments in this section, therefore we didn’t have anything to address and change other than the original comments above.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

Decision Letter 1

Efthimios M C Skoulakis

2 Dec 2019

PONE-D-19-29500R1

The Efficacy of Predicting Death by the Loss of Intestinal Function

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr Bitner,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

==============================

There are a few technical issues that need to be thoroughly addressed as suggested by both reviewers. In fact the experimental protocol and methodological questions of reviewer 2 and the issues raised regarding replication have to be addressed thoroughly with new experiments if necessary.

==============================

We would appreciate receiving your revised manuscript by Jan 16 2020 11:59PM. When you are ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter.

To enhance the reproducibility of your results, we recommend that if applicable you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io, where a protocol can be assigned its own identifier (DOI) such that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

  • A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewer(s). This letter should be uploaded as separate file and labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.

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Please note while forming your response, if your article is accepted, you may have the opportunity to make the peer review history publicly available. The record will include editor decision letters (with reviews) and your responses to reviewer comments. If eligible, we will contact you to opt in or out.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Efthimios M. C. Skoulakis, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

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Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

**********

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: I Don't Know

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: This is a manuscript reporting on the reliability of using dyes as food supplements to predict death in Drosophila. In the original paper: Rera M, Clarck RI, Walker DW.M. 2012. Intestinal barrier dysfunction links metabolic and inflammatory markers of aging to death in Drosophila. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Dec 26;109(52):21528-33, has been suggested that intestinal barrier dysfunction predicts impending death in individual flies. The underlying hypothesis here is that when the intestine epithelium brakes down during aging then the dye, consumed with the food, diffuses from the gut to the rest of the body via circulation and thus the fly exhibits full coloration; it becomes smurf.

In contrast, the results of the present manuscript clearly demonstrate that this is not the case. By using different dyes at similar to the Rera et al, 2012 paper concentration the authors demonstrate that only a minor percentage of flies exhibit full body dye coloration (smurfs) and mostly one day prior to death or even the day of death. This suggests that the smurf phenotype is not a useful biomarker of death.

The findings of this manuscript, previously published papers by the group and a recent paper Gaitanidis et al, 2019 (Gaitanidis A., Dimitriadou A., Dowse H., Sanyal S. Duch C., Consoulas C. (2019). Pre-death morbidity in Drosophila and its compression. Aging, 11:1850-1873) demonstrate that apart from the gradual decay during aging, fit flies may collapse and die within a very short time (sudden death). The process has been termed the death spiral or sudden death and can be fast. This is exactly demonstrated in the present manuscript. Few flies become smurf several days prior to death whereas others (the majority) only the day of death.

That said, I firmly believe that this manuscript should be published.

Minor comments

203 We

204 do note that the food used in our study has only 2.5 grams of dye per 100 mL of food whereas

205 Rera put 3.12 grams of dye in 100 mL of food [16].

-Please refer to the paper `Rera et al, 2012` than to one author. All authors worked for this publication. Furthermore, in the materials and methods section of the aforementioned paper is clearly mentioned that the dye concentration is 2.5% (wt/vol). Thus, remove or modify your claim.

154 the control treatments lived significantly longer then every other treatment.

-Please correct.

213 integrity and become Smurfs andthose that don’t, but they fail to provide exact details on how

214 many individuals become s Smurfs prior to death.

-Please correct

-Add and refer to the Gaitanidis et al, 2019 paper (Gaitanidis A., Dimitriadou A., Dowse H., Sanyal S. Duch C., Consoulas C. (2019). Pre-death morbidity in Drosophila and its compression. Aging, 11:1850-1873).

-The manuscript needs proof reading.

Reviewer #2: This is a very (too) short manuscript that reports an interesting observation but it is lacking a lot of critical information. It is unclear how the experiments were done and it is impossible to replicate the experiments with the information provided.

The authors do not indicate what is actually measured, stating only longevity. Is it the average, mean, max longevity? It is standard in the field of aging to provide all the data in separate tables (in supplemental data), like for instance Table S1 in PNAS 111(22):8137,2014. It is IMPERATIVE that the authors provide tables containing each experimental replicate for each dye and control with the corresponding sample size, average, median and max longevity, and logrank P values (% smurfs included but a second table would be better to be able to include all daily scorings done). Table 1 and 2 are very confusing and strongly suggest that the experiment have been done only once. The material and methods indicates that cohorts of about 56 flies were used but table 1 indicates for example that ~280 flies were exposed per Dye/Control which means that 56 flies from each population was used and based on the number used for each population in table 2 (for instance ACO) 383 flies is the number of flies needed for one experiment (control + 6 dyes: 56*7=392). It is also suspicious that figure 2 has error bars (no explanation in legend, is it SD, SE?) that are all exactly identical. This article cannot be published and I cannot properly evaluate it until the authors provide complete experimental details and data, and that the experiment has been replicated.

The gender of the animals tested is also not provided but the statistical analysis section of the material and method does indicate that males and females were used.

The authors performed an important control experiment to see if tapping affect longevity yet do not provide any data/figure from these experiments nor it is mentioned in the result, yet the discussion states on line 177 that the experiment show no detectable effects of taping. There is no justification to why the authors perform this test only with ACO females while the subsequent experiments use both gender and 4 additional genotypes.

The authors do not report how the flies were collected (anesthesia or not, kind of anesthesia, duration of anesthesia and time window/age interval).

The authors do not indicate how and if they ensure that each fly has actually consumed the food. From the material and method, I guess that the authors did check coloring of the gut but should clearly indicates that all flies did show a blue gut. It remains possible that the proportion of flies that are not “smurfing” consumed less food and consequently not enough dye is ingested to display color outside of the gut.

The composition of the fly food used is not provided.

Figure 1 and 4 should be combined together (method of delivery/monitoring, example of smurf flies).

**********

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes: Laurent Seroude

[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files to be viewed.]

While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email us at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.

PLoS One. 2020 Apr 14;15(4):e0230970. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0230970.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


8 Jan 2020

Reviewer’s comments will be in standard font and our reply will be in red italic font in the attached word document. Here, our response is simply below the the reviewer's comments.

REVIEWER #1

This is a manuscript reporting on the reliability of using dyes as food supplements to predict death in Drosophila. In the original paper: Rera M, Clarck RI, Walker DW.M. 2012. Intestinal barrier dysfunction links metabolic and inflammatory markers of aging to death in Drosophila. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2012 Dec 26;109(52):21528-33, has been suggested that intestinal barrier dysfunction predicts impending death in individual flies. The underlying hypothesis here is that when the intestine epithelium brakes down during aging then the dye, consumed with the food, diffuses from the gut to the rest of the body via circulation and thus the fly exhibits full coloration; it becomes smurf.

In contrast, the results of the present manuscript clearly demonstrate that this is not the case. By using different dyes at similar to the Rera et al, 2012 paper concentration the authors demonstrate that only a minor percentage of flies exhibit full body dye coloration (smurfs) and mostly one day prior to death or even the day of death. This suggests that the smurf phenotype is not a useful biomarker of death.

The findings of this manuscript, previously published papers by the group and a recent paper Gaitanidis et al, 2019 (Gaitanidis A., Dimitriadou A., Dowse H., Sanyal S. Duch C., Consoulas C. (2019). Pre-death morbidity in Drosophila and its compression. Aging, 11:1850-1873) demonstrate that apart from the gradual decay during aging, fit flies may collapse and die within a very short time (sudden death). The process has been termed the death spiral or sudden death and can be fast. This is exactly demonstrated in the present manuscript. Few flies become smurf several days prior to death whereas others (the majority) only the day of death.

That said, I firmly believe that this manuscript should be published.

This is a succinct and accurate summary of the paper.

203 We

204 do note that the food used in our study has only 2.5 grams of dye per 100 mL of food whereas

205 Rera put 3.12 grams of dye in 100 mL of food [16].

-Please refer to the paper `Rera et al, 2012` than to one author. All authors worked for this publication. Furthermore, in the materials and methods section of the aforementioned paper is clearly mentioned that the dye concentration is 2.5% (wt/vol). Thus, remove or modify your claim.

We changed the reference throughout the paper to Rera et al 2012 and removed any reference to only “Rera”. We revised the text to reflect that Rera et al. 2012 used food with a 2.5% dye concentration.

154 the control treatments lived significantly longer then every other treatment.

-Please correct.

English corrected.

213 integrity and become Smurfs andthose that don’t, but they fail to provide exact details on how

214 many individuals become s Smurfs prior to death.

This typo has been corrected.

-Add and refer to the Gaitanidis et al, 2019 paper (Gaitanidis A., Dimitriadou A., Dowse H., Sanyal S. Duch C., Consoulas C. (2019). Pre-death morbidity in Drosophila and its compression. Aging, 11:1850-1873).

This reference was added. Thank you very much for the recommendation

-The manuscript needs proof reading.

We have done more careful proof reading and consequently made numerous additional corrections to the manuscript.

REVIEWER #2

This is a very (too) short manuscript that reports an interesting observation but it is lacking a lot of critical information. It is unclear how the experiments were done and it is impossible to replicate the experiments with the information provided.

We have added expanded discussion of the experimental methods including a detailed recipe for our standard fly food which is included in the appendix.

[as well as the graphs that were requested have been created and are provided in the supplemental section of the paper. A new table was created that clarifies the number of flies used per population and per dye, showing that the experiment had replication. The original dye used, SPS Alfachem, was replicated in 5 different populations, and each population was replicated in 6 different dye environments, allowing for substantial replication across the whole experiment.]

The authors do not indicate what is actually measured, stating only longevity. Is it the average, mean, max longevity?

We are measuring mean longevity and this has been clarified in the paper.

It is standard in the field of aging to provide all the data in separate tables (in supplemental data), like for instance Table S1 in PNAS 111(22):8137,2014.

As indicated on the cover page we will deposit the raw data in DRYAD upon acceptance of the paper.

It is IMPERATIVE that the authors provide tables containing each experimental replicate for each dye and control with the corresponding sample size, average, median and max longevity, and logrank P values (% smurfs included but a second table would be better to be able to include all daily scorings done).

We now have tables in the main part of the paper or in a supplement which give details for each population and dye combination, sample sizes and mean longevities. We have not included the median, maximum longevity or logrank p-values. We did no analyses of the median or maximum longevity. Likewise, since we do not have censored data, we can explore the effects of population and dye more effectively with a standard linear model which we have done. Certainly, with our raw data available any interested scientist can do additional analyses of our data.

Table 1 and 2 are very confusing and strongly suggest that the experiment have been done only once. The material and methods indicates that cohorts of about 56 flies were used but table 1 indicates for example that ~280 flies were exposed per Dye/Control which means that 56 flies from each population was used and based on the number used for each population in table 2 (for instance ACO) 383 flies is the number of flies needed for one experiment (control + 6 dyes: 56*7=392).

We created a new table (Table 1) that clarifies the number of flies used per population and per dye in the experiment, as well as the number of males and females used. As can be seen from the table, there was substantial replication, with each population undergoing 6 different dyes and a control. The original dye used, SPS Alfachem, was replicated in 5 different populations, and each population was replicated in 6 different dye environments, allowing for substantial replication across the whole experiment. Most importantly the major results we reach are consistent across the five different populations and six different dyes. It is likely that repeating these experiments in a different month or year would not yield the exact results. However, the variation in this experiment due to fly populations that vary tremendously in levels of inbreeding and evolutionary history and the use of many different provides a robust testing regime.

It is also suspicious that figure 2 has error bars (no explanation in legend, is it SD, SE?) that are all exactly identical. This article cannot be published and I cannot properly evaluate it until the authors provide complete experimental details and data, and that the experiment has been replicated.

The figure legend now clarifies that the bars are 95% confidence intervals that were estimated by the R function emmeans. This function uses a pooled estimate of variance. Since the degrees of freedom are similar for each dye the confidence intervals look similar in size. This pooling is not unreasonable given the similarity in longevities.

The gender of the animals tested is also not provided but the statistical analysis section of the material and method does indicate that males and females were used.

This has been clarified in multiple places in the paper most prominently in Table 1. There were roughly equal numbers of males and females used in the experiment.

The authors performed an important control experiment to see if tapping affect longevity yet do not provide any data/figure from these experiments nor it is mentioned in the result, yet the discussion states on line 177 that the experiment show no detectable effects of taping. There is no justification to why the authors perform this test only with ACO females while the subsequent experiments use both gender and 4 additional genotypes.

We have clarified that both males and females were used in this experiment. The exact numbers of flies used for the Tapping experiment are now described in the Materials and Methods. The results of the tapping experiment are summarized in a new Table 2 and discussed in the Results section.

The authors do not report how the flies were collected (anesthesia or not, kind of anesthesia, duration of anesthesia and time window/age interval).

This has been clarified in detail in the methods. The flies were knocked out using CO2, separated by gender and placed into the individual straw containers.

The authors do not indicate how and if they ensure that each fly has actually consumed the food. From the material and method, I guess that the authors did check coloring of the gut but should clearly indicates that all flies did show a blue gut. It remains possible that the proportion of flies that are not “smurfing” consumed less food and consequently not enough dye is ingested to display color outside of the gut.

While it is true we have no way knowing exactly if the flies consumed the food, this technique consisted of putting dye in the food and following body color changes. There might be variation in how much food a fly consumes, but since each fly was in their own environment with only the dyed food, the flies had no other option but to consume the food or die from starvation. This was already clarified in the materials and methods section regarding the fact that all flies did have a blue gut: “Smurf status required that the entire body changed to any variation of a blue color. This was an important distinction as Drosophila flies fed food with a blue dye would have visible blue coloring in only the gut portion when they weren’t a Smurf.” In this paper we do not try to assess why the technique fails, uneven food consumption is one possibility. But at the present time the method relies on the flies consuming the food with dye.

The composition of the fly food used is not provided.

The food used is a banana molasses recipe that has been used in our lab for over 3 decades. The detailed recipe is given in the supplementary material

Figure 1 and 4 should be combined together (method of delivery/monitoring, example of smurf flies).

The two figures are now combined together as requested.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

Decision Letter 2

Efthimios M C Skoulakis

23 Jan 2020

PONE-D-19-29500R2

Predicting Death by the Loss of Intestinal Function

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr Bitner,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

==============================

Although improved, the manuscript needs addition careful attention and thorough response to the comments and suggestions raised by reviewer #2 and pertain to the methodology and reproducibility of the data, both cardinally critical issues for publication. It is essential that they are thoroughly addressed as this would be the third revision of the manuscript! 

==============================

We would appreciate receiving your revised manuscript by Mar 08 2020 11:59PM. When you are ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter.

To enhance the reproducibility of your results, we recommend that if applicable you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io, where a protocol can be assigned its own identifier (DOI) such that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

  • A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewer(s). This letter should be uploaded as separate file and labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.

  • A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. This file should be uploaded as separate file and labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.

  • An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. This file should be uploaded as separate file and labeled 'Manuscript'.

Please note while forming your response, if your article is accepted, you may have the opportunity to make the peer review history publicly available. The record will include editor decision letters (with reviews) and your responses to reviewer comments. If eligible, we will contact you to opt in or out.

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Efthimios M. C. Skoulakis, PhD

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: (No Response)

**********

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: No

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: All questions were addressed by the authors. This is a useful manuscript uncovering limitations of a technique used to predict death in flies. Conceptually, intestinal integrity decay during aging may not be the most common pathway to death in flies.

Reviewer #2: The authors have largely addressed the comments of the reviewers and provided the technical details required for one to replicate the experiments, however, it remains very concerning that the authors still do not provide critical information to properly review this manuscript (max longevity and log rank p values). It is especially troubling that the authors still do not provide access to the data and respond with “we will deposit the raw data in DRYAD upon acceptance of the paper”. The review of scientific data must be done before an article is published and should not be provided upon acceptance of the paper.

It is now clear that none of the experiments have been experimentally replicated and although the statistical analysis allows for “substantial replicate” it is not sufficient to ensure that the results presented are reproducible. The authors responded that “We did no analyses of the median or maximum longevity” yet states in the article: ”there were significant differences in mean longevity between all populations and their controls except CO and s93 (p=0.16”. For a given population, only one measurement (only one experimental replicate) is made with less than 30 individuals (per gender). The statistical validation of the experiment does not mean that the experiment is reproducible and certainly does not warrant that the resulting interpretation is biologically correct. The need for independent experimental replicate of those experiments is especially needed when the ACO longevity is obviously different between the tapping experiment (53-55 days) and the dye experiment (40 days). The lack of experimental replicate also applies to the tapping experiment that the authors have now clearly stated that they did it “to see if our methods for checking for Smurf flies would affect the mean longevity of the fly”. In this case the authors also uses an inappropriate method (t test). The authors still do not justify why they only tested the effect of taping only on the ACO population when the data show obvious differences in longevity of controls (and differences between control and dye treatments are not always significant). It cannot be concluded that the absence of effect on longevity by tapping of the ACO individuals would show that the taping has no effect on the longevity of the other populations.

In the absence of experimental replicates, I am not confident that the data presented are reproducible and that the biological conclusions are scientifically valid and therefore I cannot recommend to accept this manuscript for publication.

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: Yes: Laurent Seroude

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PLoS One. 2020 Apr 14;15(4):e0230970. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0230970.r006

Author response to Decision Letter 2


3 Mar 2020

Below we reproduce the comments of each referee in normal font and our responses are shown in italic font in the attached document.

Reviewer #1

All questions were addressed by the authors. This is a useful manuscript uncovering limitations of a technique used to predict death in flies. Conceptually, intestinal integrity decay during aging may not be the most common pathway to death in flies.

We appreciate the referee’s comments and would not anticipate that any of our new edits and material would change his/her mind.

Reviewer #2

The authors have largely addressed the comments of the reviewers and provided the technical details required for one to replicate the experiments, however, it remains very concerning that the authors still do not provide critical information to properly review this manuscript (max longevity and log rank p values). It is especially troubling that the authors still do not provide access to the data and respond with “we will deposit the raw data in DRYAD upon acceptance of the paper”. The review of scientific data must be done before an article is published and should not be provided upon acceptance of the paper.

We have now provided in the supplementary section of the manuscript, the maximum longevity by populations and dye treatment, the median longevity by population and dye treatment and the log rank p values by population and dye treatment. The log rank p values actually reveal more significant differences than do the comparisons of mean longevity. In addition, with these revisions we have submitted a separate file with the raw data from the main experiment and from a preliminary experiment. When the paper is accepted for publication, we still intend to place the raw data on the Dryad website.

It is now clear that none of the experiments have been experimentally replicated and although the statistical analysis allows for “substantial replicate” it is not sufficient to ensure that the results presented are reproducible.

In this revision we have included the results from a preliminary study of the ACO population and dye #1. This preliminary study supports our most important conclusions, (i) the majority of flies never become Smurfs, (ii) those that do become Smurfs typically do so just before death.

The authors responded that “We did no analyses of the median or maximum longevity” yet states in the article: ”there were significant differences in mean longevity between all populations and their controls except CO and s93 (p=0.16”. For a given population, only one measurement (only one experimental replicate) is made with less than 30 individuals (per gender).

While it is the case that our experiment consisted of only one experiment with a particular population and dye this observation ignores the results of each population that was tested multiple times with six different dyes. This is important since each dye has the same general effect, (i) a minority of flies becoming Smurfs, (ii) those that do become Smurfs do so shortly before death, (iii) longevity is reduced. So, in our assessment, and we think for many others, the broad consistency and replication of results (i-iii) over different specific dyes and different populations is the important and robust message. These conclusions draw their strength precisely because they have been replicated in so many different situations.

The statistical validation of the experiment does not mean that the experiment is reproducible and certainly does not warrant that the resulting interpretation is biologically correct. The need for independent experimental replicate of those experiments is especially needed when the ACO longevity is obviously different between the tapping experiment (53-55 days) and the dye experiment (40 days).

By these comments it is apparent the referee is most concerned with replication at different calendar times. We have already alluded to the fact that our main conclusions are supported by replication of different populations and dyes. We also have alluded that the preliminary study, while not replicating the entire experiment, was done at a different calendar date and did give results consistent with the main experiment. The referee points to the different absolute longevities for ACO flies in the tapping experiment and the main experiment. Firstly, for assessing whether tapping effects longevity, the absolute longevity differences do not interfere with our ability to draw conclusions. Secondly, we suspect the referee is making a more subtle suggestion that measurement can change in unpredictable ways in our lab when done at different times. Although I don’t think it is important to understand why longevity might change from one experiment to another, these block effects are observed often in populations we do repeated longevity assays on, and there are several explanations. One that is specific to this experiment is the fact that flies were kept individually in straws until death. However, prior to being placed in straws they were in cultures with many flies of both sexes and some were old enough to mate. However, once placed in straws they could no longer mate and would thus eventually experience a reduction in mortality from the absence of mating (Partridge et al., 1986, J. Insect Physio. 32:925). The relative impact of this reduction in mating would certainly be a function of how many of the flies had mated prior to their isolation in the straws and this could have certainly varied from one experiment to another.

The lack of experimental replicate also applies to the tapping experiment that the authors have now clearly stated that they did it “to see if our methods for checking for Smurf flies would affect the mean longevity of the fly”. In this case the authors also uses an inappropriate method (t test). The authors still do not justify why they only tested the effect of taping only on the ACO population when the data show obvious differences in longevity of controls (and differences between control and dye treatments are not always significant). It cannot be concluded that the absence of effect on longevity by tapping of the ACO individuals would show that the taping has no effect on the longevity of the other populations.

The referee states that a t-test on the means of two large samples of independent observations is inappropriate although the referee provides no justification for that conclusion. I will add our justification. It is the central limit theorem which can be used to show the asymptotic normal distribution of the sample mean, which is independent of the underlying random variables distribution. Since our concern was with the mean longevity decline observed when flies were cultured with dyes testing the effect of tapping on the mean longevity is precisely what should have been done. We understand that by not conducting a tapping experiment under all conditions there is the possibility of alternative outcomes. Thus, we have added the following statement to our “Conclusions” section: “We only tested one population, ACO, for an effect of tapping on mean longevity. Thus, for the ACO population it is clear that dyes are responsible for their reduced longevity not tapping. While it is theoretically possible that the other populations are not affected by the dyes but are affected by tapping, we believe this is an unlikely possibility.”

In the absence of experimental replicates, I am not confident that the data presented are reproducible and that the biological conclusions are scientifically valid and therefore I cannot recommend to accept this manuscript for publication.

As stated, before we believe that there is in fact replication that provides a consistent picture of the effect of dyes on producing the Smurf phenotype. We believe this is an important contribution since there has been no published study with this level of detail about this potentially important technique.

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

Decision Letter 3

Efthimios M C Skoulakis

13 Mar 2020

Predicting Death by the Loss of Intestinal Function

PONE-D-19-29500R3

Dear Dr. Bitner,

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Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

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2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

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Reviewer #1: Yes

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3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

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Reviewer #1: Yes

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Reviewer #1: The authors have provided additional analysis of their data that confirm the main findings. Therefore I believe that the manuscript should be accepted for publication.

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Reviewer #1: No

Acceptance letter

Efthimios M C Skoulakis

31 Mar 2020

PONE-D-19-29500R3

Predicting Death by the Loss of Intestinal Function

Dear Dr. Bitner:

I am pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper at this point, to enable them to help maximize its impact. If they will be preparing press materials for this manuscript, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

For any other questions or concerns, please email plosone@plos.org.

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With kind regards,

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on behalf of

Dr. Efthimios M. C. Skoulakis

Academic Editor

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Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 File. Standard rose and Mueller lab banana food recipe.

    (DOCX)

    S1 Fig. Mean longevity in days of flies in the control environment and dyes across all 5 populations.

    Standard error bars. When pooling the dyes against the control, the control flies lived significantly longer than the flies in an environment with dye in the food. The dyes used: Dye 1: SPS Alfachem Blue, Dye 2: Sigma Aldrich, Dye 3: Spectrum Blue, Dye 4: Flavors and Color Blue, Dye 5: Chemistry Connection Blue, and Dye 6: Electric Blue.

    (TIF)

    S2 Fig. Results of the preliminary study of 172 ACO1 adults.

    The percent of first appearance of all 81 Smurfs as a function of the days before death when raised on food with dye 1. The bars are simultaneous 95% confidence intervals. The majority became Smurfs on the day they were found dead (day 0) or 1 day before death. A total of 47% (95% confidence interval, (39%, 54%)) eventually became Smurfs. The mean longevity (from egg) of all flies in this experiment was 32.9 days (95% confidence interval ±1.4 days). These results are consistent with those in the full experiment. Specifically, less than 50% of all flies became Smurfs prior to death and those that did become Smurfs most frequently did so on the day or day before they died.

    (TIF)

    S1 Table. Average longevity for every population and every dye used in the experiment.

    Also provided the average day of Smurfing.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Table. Log-rank p-values comparing the control treatment to each of the other populations at each of the dye treatments.

    These results are from the R survdiff function in the survival package. The significant results are shown in bold (using the Bonferroni correction for 30 tests).

    (DOCX)

    S3 Table. The median longevity for each population at every dye treatment.

    The median longevity for each population was greater in the control treatment in than every other dye except for A4 3852 and dye 1.

    (DOCX)

    S4 Table. The maximum longevity for each population, dye combination.

    (DOCX)

    S5 Table. The number of flies that Smurfed per population and per dye, as well as the number of total flies per population and dye.

    (DOCX)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to Reviewers.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    Data are available via DRYAD: https://doi.org/10.7280/D1RQ4W.


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