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. 2020 Apr 15;30(4):519–530. doi: 10.1089/thy.2019.0426

Breast Cancer Risk in Postmenopausal Women with Medical History of Thyroid Disorder in the Women's Health Initiative

Chien-Hsiang Weng 1,2,, Erin R Okawa 3, Mary B Roberts 4, Sue K Park 5, Christopher B Umbricht 6,7,8, JoAnn E Manson 9,10, Charles B Eaton 1,4,11
PMCID: PMC7187984  PMID: 31918623

Abstract

Background: The association between thyroid disorders and breast cancer remains controversial, in part, due to small cohort sizes and inconsistent findings. We investigated this association in postmenopausal women to determine whether hyper- or hypothyroidism is associated with the risk of developing breast cancer and to determine whether menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) further modifies the risk.

Methods: We conducted a prospective cohort study of multiethnic U.S. postmenopausal women aged 50 to 79 years enrolled in both clinical trial and observational study arms between 1993 and 1998 and followed up through February 28, 2017. Development of invasive breast cancer after enrollment was recorded and a history of hyper- or hypothyroidism before the diagnosis of breast cancer was identified. The effect modification by MHT in both study arms was analyzed. All statistical tests were two sided.

Results: Among a total of 134,122 women who were included in our study, 8137 participants developed invasive breast cancer during the follow-up period. There was a significant inverse association of invasive breast cancer among women with a history of hypothyroidism (hazard ratio [HR] 0.91, confidence interval [95% CI] 0.86–0.97) and among women who had taken levothyroxine [HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.82–0.96]. Evaluating effect modification by MHT use, the inverse association between hypothyroidism treated with thyroid replacement medications and breast cancer risk was strongest in non-MHT users [HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69–0.93]. The results did not significantly differ by race/ethnicity. Although a history of hyperthyroidism was associated with an increased risk of invasive breast cancer [HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.91–1.35], this finding did not reach statistical significance. We did not see significant differences in the breast cancer Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results stages, histologic types, morphologic grades, or receptor status (estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2) according to thyroid disorder status.

Conclusions: Compared with women with no history of thyroid disorder, hypothyroidism was associated with a lower risk of breast cancer. This was mainly seen among those who received thyroid replacement therapy and had never used MHT. Among the treatment options for hypothyroidism, levothyroxine had the strongest inverse association with breast cancer risk.

Keywords: thyroid disorder, hypothyroidism, hyperthyroidism, breast cancer, postmenopausal

Introduction

One in eight women will develop breast cancer in their lifetime, making it the most commonly diagnosed cancer in this population (1,2). Estrogens are believed to play a key role in the development of breast cancer (3). In vitro, high levels of thyroid hormone are found to have estrogen-like effects on breast carcinoma cells and may promote the development of breast cancer by binding to the estrogen receptor (ER) (4–7).

The association between thyroid disorders and breast cancer has been studied in the past with mixed results. Most of the articles published to date have relied on studies of relatively small sample sizes (6,8–17). A recent systematic review and meta-analysis that included 13 population-based studies with 24,808 participants through June 2016 found that neither hypothyroidism nor hyperthyroidism was related to the risk of breast cancer (18). Weng et al., using the Taiwanese national database that included 103,466 Asian women, found that women younger than 55 years with a history of hyperthyroidism had a 16% higher risk of developing breast cancer compared with those without a history of thyroid disorder. A history of hypothyroidism was also found to be associated with a 19% higher risk, without stratification by age (19). A study utilizing the national registry in Denmark by Sogaard et al. also examined this association without age stratification and found a similar result for hyperthyroidism, but not for hypothyroidism (9).

With respect to other hormonal factors associated with breast cancer risk, menopausal hormone therapy (MHT, referring to unopposed estrogen and estrogen combined with progestin) and the risk of breast cancer in postmenopausal women have been investigated for more than a decade. Most of the studies have found some increased risk of breast cancer in women who took estrogen combined with progestins (20,21).

We hypothesized that the association between thyroid disorders and breast cancer risk may be most apparent among nonusers of MHT, since MHT has been shown to increase this risk. Interestingly, there have been no studies examining the role of thyroid disease, MHT, and breast cancer risk. The aim of this study was to assess the association between thyroid disorders and breast cancer risk in postmenopausal women and to evaluate the effect modification of MHT use in a longitudinal cohort of 161,808 postmenopausal women in both the Clinical Trial (CT) and Observational Study (OS) arms of the Women's Health Initiative (WHI), one of the largest prospective studies to date.

Methods

Study population

The WHI consists of an OS cohort (N = 93,676) (OS) and three CTs (N = 68,132) (CT)—which includes MHT, dietary modification (DM), and calcium and vitamin D supplement (CaD) trials (22,23). The WHI enrolled postmenopausal women, ages 50 to 79 years, from major ethnic groups who had a predicted survival of at least 3 years. Participants were recruited from 40 clinical centers in the United States between October 1, 1993, and December 31, 1998; they were initially followed through March 2005. Consent for recontact for follow-up and medical record release was obtained from the participants in two extension studies (2005–2010 and 2010–2020) (24). We included WHI participants (both OS and CT groups) whose medical history was negative for any type of cancer at enrollment; among this group, we excluded participants if they developed another malignancy before the diagnosis of breast cancer. We also excluded those with missing data for specific exposures, those lost to follow-up, those with carcinoma in situ (CIS) or unstaged invasive breast cancer, those who reported that they took thyroid medication but did not have a thyroid disorder diagnosis, and those whose breast cancer diagnosis was derived from death certificates (Fig. 1).

FIG. 1.

FIG. 1.

Flow diagram.

The National Institutes of Health Institutional Review Boards for all participating clinical sites approved the WHI protocols and consent forms. More information can be found at: https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT00000611.

Exposure

Participants were asked the following questions at enrollment to determine whether or not they had a history of a thyroid disorder: “Did a doctor ever say that you had a thyroid gland problem (not including thyroid cancer)?” “Do you have any of the following conditions? (Please mark ‘No’ or ‘Yes' for each condition.)” “overactive thyroid” or “underactive thyroid.”

Data collection and definition

A self-reported medical history of overactive thyroid and/or underactive thyroid during the main study period (1993–2005) at enrollment was used as the exposure variable. Participants who reported having medical histories of both hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism were defined as having mixed thyroid disorder.

Outcome

In brief, women were queried twice each year to determine whether they had been hospitalized or diagnosed with any of the clinical outcomes on a prespecified list, including breast cancer. Self-report of breast cancer was verified by medical record and pathology report review by centrally trained WHI physician adjudicators at each participating clinical center. Central adjudication and coding of histology, extent of disease, and ER and progesterone receptor (PR) status (positive or negative per local pathology report) were performed at the clinical coordinating center using the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) coding system. Invasive breast cancer characteristics, including stages defined by SEER stages, histology types (ductal, lobular, ductal, and lobular), morphology grade (well, moderately, poorly differentiated, and anaplastic), and receptor status (ER; PR; human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, HER2) were compared by thyroid disorder types.

Statistical analyses

To compare the baseline characteristics between the group of 111,740 women with no history of thyroid disorder, the group of 1695 with a history of hyperthyroidism, the group of 19,735 with a history of hypothyroidism, and the group of 952 with a history of mixed thyroid disorder, we used analysis of variance for continuous variables and chi-square statistics for categorical variables. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate the hazard ratios (HRs) of thyroid disorders for invasive breast cancer risk. Two models stratified by MHT arm were applied in the analysis: model 1 was adjusted for age, and model 2 was adjusted for age, race/ethnicity, body mass index (BMI), the use of medications to treat hypothyroidism, smoking, alcohol intake, history of breast feeding, history of bilateral oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, history of obtaining a mammogram, history of diabetes, and history and type of hormone therapy. We further stratified the analysis for invasive breast cancer risk and thyroid disorders by race/ethnicity (Caucasians, African Americans, Hispanics, and Asian or Pacific Islanders). Cox models by MHT type (both age adjusted and fully adjusted) (as model 2) were also examined. Nominal confidence intervals [95% CIs] and p-values were used to reflect statistical significance. The proportional hazard assumption was tested within each model through the use of an interaction term incorporating thyroid disorder and length of follow-up. In addition, a sensitivity analysis was conducted using thyroid medication in place of a self-reported thyroid disorder. The statistical analyses were performed using SAS software, version 9.4 (SAS Institute, Inc., Cary, NC).

Results

Average ages at enrollment were 62.8–63.9 years in the four groups defined by thyroid disorders. Among the 19,735 women who reported having a history of hypothyroidism, 91.9% were Caucasian (not of Hispanic origin), compared with 76.8% among the 1695 women with a history of hyperthyroidism, and 85.4% among the 952 women who reported having a history of mixed thyroid disorder. The hypothyroidism group had the highest average BMI and the hyperthyroidism group had the lowest (28.8 vs. 26.9, respectively). Among those with hypothyroidism, there was no significant difference in BMI between those who received thyroid replacement and those who did not. More women had a history of breastfeeding in the hypothyroidism group. Compared with those who did not have a thyroid disorder, women with any thyroid history were more likely to be current or former smokers and have a history of bilateral oophorectomy, benign breast disease, and diabetes. Those with a history of either hypo- or hyperthyroidism were also more likely to have a family history of breast cancer (Table 1).

Table 1.

Demographic and Physiologic Characteristics

  Without history of thyroid disorder (n = 111,740) With history of hypothyroidism (n = 19,735) With history of hyperthyroidism (n = 1695) With history of mixed thyroid disorder (n = 952) p
WHI cohort
 CT participant 50,463 (45.2) 7814 (39.6) 666 (39.3) 386 (40.6) <0.001
 OS participant 61,277 (54.8) 11,921 (60.4) 1029 (60.7) 566 (59.5)  
Age (years) 62.8 (7.2) 63.9 (7.0) 63.4 (7.1) 63.1 (6.9) <0.001
Race/ethnicity
 White (not of Hispanic origin) 90,589 (81.1) 18,127 (91.9) 1302 (76.8) 813 (85.4) <0.001
 Black or African American 11,175 (10.0) 643 (3.3) 255 (15.0) 67 (7.0)  
 Hispanic/Latino 4924 (4.4) 442 (2.2) 42 (2.5) 24 (2.5)  
 Asian or Pacific Islander 3268 (2.9) 261 (1.3) 63 (3.7) 35 (3.7)  
 Other 1784 (1.6) 262 (1.3) 33 (2.0) 13 (1.4)  
Body mass index 27.9 (6.0) 28.8 (6.4) 26.9 (5.7) 27.8 (5.8) <0.001
Current thyroid medications 0 (0.0) 12,382 (62.7) 55 (3.2) 730 (76.7) <0.001
Hypothyroid medications 0 (0.0) 12,155 (61.6) 0 (0.0) 717 (75.3) <0.001
 T3 hypothyroidism medication 0 (0.0) 46 (0.2) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1) <0.001
 T3/T4 hypothyroidism medication 0 (0.0) 655 (3.3) 10 (0.6) 26 (2.7) <0.001
 T4 hypothyroidism medication 0 (0.0) 11,483 (58.2) 0 (0.0) 692 (72.7) <0.001
Hyperthyroidism medications 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 45 (2.7) 3 (0.3) <0.001
Smoking
 Never 57,478 (51.4) 9415 (47.7) 796 (47.0) 410 (43.1) <0.001
 Past 44,978 (40.3) 8970 (45.5) 711 (42.0) 442 (46.4)  
 Current 7842 (7.0) 1121 (5.7) 174 (10.3) 84 (8.8)  
Alcohol use 2.38 (4.87) 2.40 (5.00) 2.21 (4.76) 2.23 (5.06) 0.333
Any breastfeeding 56,605 (50.7) 10,460 (53.0) 827 (48.8) 438 (46.0) <0.001
Duration of breastfeeding
 Never breastfed 53,894 (48.2) 9097 (46.1) 850 (50.2) 500 (52.5) <0.001
 1–6 Months 28,370 (25.4) 5264 (26.7) 439 (25.9) 220 (23.1)  
 7–12 Months 12,234 (11.0) 2233 (11.3) 171 (10.1) 96 (10.1)  
 13–23 Months 9484 (8.5) 1820 (9.2) 123 (7.3) 75 (7.9)  
 24+ Months 6181 (5.5) 1091 (5.5) 90 (5.3) 45 (4.7)  
Hysterectomy 43,438 (38.9) 8762 (44.4) 735 (43.4) 383 (40.2) <0.001
Bilateral oophorectomy 19,766 (17.7) 4109 (20.8) 343 (20.2) 181 (19.0) <0.001
Parity numbers
 0 13,609 (12.2) 2352 (11.9) 221 (13.0) 131 (13.8) <0.001
 1 9675 (8.7) 1699 (8.6) 157 (9.3) 88 (9.2)  
 2 27,657 (24.8) 5084 (25.8) 448 (26.4) 247 (26.0)  
 3 26,645 (23.9) 5031 (25.5) 383 (22.6) 239 (25.1)  
 4 17,117 (15.3) 2970 (15.1) 235 (13.9) 116 (12.2)  
 5 17,037 (15.3) 2599 (13.2) 251 (14.8) 131 (13.8)  
Age at menarche 12.62 (1.48) 12.48 (1.48) 12.70 (1.60) 12.59 (1.50) <0.001
Age at menopause 48.3 (6.2) 47.8 (6.7) 47.6 (6.6) 48.1 (6.7) <0.001
Family history of breast cancer 18,996 (17.0) 3587 (18.2) 298 (17.6) 161 (16.9) <0.001
Mammogram ever 106,732 (95.5) 19,147 (97.0) 1629 (96.1) 928 (97.5) <0.001
Benign breast disease 21,954 (19.7) 4500 (22.8) 405 (23.9) 210 (22.1) <0.001
History of diabetes 4596 (4.1) 932 (4.7) 89 (5.3) 40 (4.2) 0.001
Duration of unopposed estrogen use
Years (continuous) 3.18 (6.77) 4.88 (8.46) 4.07 (7.70) 4.34 (8.05) <0.001
Time group
 None 74,496 (66.7) 11,372 (57.6) 1073 (63.3) 588 (61.8) <0.001
 <5 years 14,509 (13.0) 2630 (13.3) 204 (12.0) 110 (11.5)  
 5+ years 22,732 (20.3) 5733 (29.1) 418 (24.7) 254 (26.7)  
Duration of estrogen+progestogen use
Years (continuous) 1.53 (3.70) 1.89 (4.28) 1.62 (3.70) 1.94 (4.08) <0.001
Time group
 None 82,101 (73.5) 13,921 (70.5) 1218 (71.9) 646 (67.9) <0.001
 <5 years 15,204 (13.6) 2797 (14.2) 234 (13.8) 151 (15.9)  
 5+ years 14,432 (12.9) 3017 (15.3) 243 (14.3) 155 (16.2)  
Duration of any MHT use
 Years (continuous) 4.57 (7.10) 6.56 (8.55) 5.49 (7.80) 6.03 (8.14) <0.001
Time group
 None 50,560 (45.3) 6934 (35.1) 708 (41.8) 353 (37.1) <0.001
 <5 years 25,248 (22.6) 4357 (22.1) 353 (20.8) 207 (21.7)  
 5+ years 35,927 (32.1) 8444 (42.8) 634 (37.4) 392 (41.2)  
Outcomes
 Any breast cancer 8230 (7.4) 1475 (7.5) 142 (8.4) 75 (7.9) 0.258
 Invasive breast cancer 6769 (6.1) 1190 (6.0) 114 (6.7) 64 (6.7) 0.509
In situ breast cancer 1461 (1.3) 285 (1.4) 28 (1.7) 11 (1.2) 0.156
 ER-positive assay 6090 (5.5) 1095 (5.6) 89 (5.3) 61 (6.4) 0.793
 PR-positive assay 5107 (4.6) 928 (4.7) 69 (4.1) 50 (5.3) 0.428
 HER2/NEU-positive assay 751 (0.7) 137 (0.7) 20 (1.2) 7 (0.7) 0.041
Tumor grade
 Well differentiated 1871 (1.7) 327 (1.7) 31 (1.8) 21 (2.2) 0.270
 Moderately differentiated 3331 (3.0) 574 (2.9) 47 (2.8) 28 (2.9)  
 Poorly differentiated 1894 (1.7) 370 (1.9) 38 (2.2) 13 (1.4)  
 Anaplastic 406 (0.4) 78 (0.4) 11 (0.7) 4 (0.4)  
 Unknown 728 (0.7) 126 (0.6) 15 (0.9) 9 (1.0)  
Tumor stage
 Localized 5103 (4.6) 898 (4.6) 92 (5.4) 50 (5.3) 0.480
 Regional 1563 (1.4) 280 (1.4) 20 (1.2) 14 (1.5)  
 Distant 103 (0.1) 12 (0.1) 2 (0.1) 0 (0.0)  
Histology
 Ductal invasive plus lobular in situ 199 (0.2) 37 (0.2) 2 (0.1) 3 (0.3) 0.690
 Ductal invasive plus lobular invasive 442 (0.4) 82 (0.4) 3 (0.2) 8 (0.8)  
 Lobular invasive plus ductal in situ 118 (0.1) 21 (0.1) 2 (0.1) 1 (0.1)  
 Invasive cancer, ductal, and lobular NOS 155 (0.1) 20 (0.1) 4 (0.2) 1 (0.1)  
 Ductal in situ plus lobular in situ 71 (0.1) 16 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1)  

CT, Clinical Trial; ER, estrogen receptor; HER, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2; MHT, menopausal hormone therapy; NOS, not otherwise specified; OS, Observational Study; PR, progesterone receptor; T3, triiodothyronine; T4, thyroxine; WHI, Women's Health Initiative.

In multiple variable models, hyperthyroidism and mixed thyroid disease both showed a small increased risk of invasive breast cancer, but neither reached statistical significance [HR 1.11, 95% CI 0.91–1.35; HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.88–1.45; respectively]. Hypothyroidism, however, showed an inverse association with invasive breast cancer [HR 0.91, 95% CI 0.86–0.97]; we also found a borderline significant risk reduction when we looked at the use of thyroid replacement medication [HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.78–1.00]. When we separated thyroid replacement medications by type, we found that the use of levothyroxine was the only one inversely associated with the risk of breast cancer in the fully adjusted model [HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.82–0.96] (Table 2).

Table 2.

Hazard Ratios of Hyperthyroidism/Hypothyroidism and Breast Cancer Risk in the Women's Health Initiative Cohorts

Invasive breast cancer (No. of cases = 8137)
  Total No. Cases Model 1a
Model 2b
HR [95% CI] HR [95% CI]
History of hyperthyroidism 1695 114 1.12 [0.93–1.35] 1.11 [0.91–1.35]
History of hypothyroidism 19,735 1190 0.98 [0.92–1.04] 0.91 [0.86–0.97]
History of mixed thyroid disease 952 64 1.14 [0.89–1.46] 1.13 [0.88–1.45]
Use of thyroid replacement medications 12,437 715 0.89 [0.79–0.99] 0.88 [0.78–1.00]
Fully adjusted model using medication types instead of thyroid diagnoses
 
 
 
 
Selected medication frequencies
Effect Wald chi-square p HR [95% CI] With history of hypothyroidism With history of hyperthyroidism With history of mixed thyroid disorder
T3 hypothyroidism medication
0.169
0.68
0.75 [0.19–2.99]
46 (0.2)
0 (0.0)
1 (0.1)
T3/T4 hypothyroidism medication
0.635
0.43
0.88 [0.63–1.22]
655 (3.3)
0 (0.0)
26 (2.7)
T4 hypothyroidism medication
8.394
0.004
0.89 [0.82–0.96]
11,483 (58.2)
0 (0.0)
692 (72.7)
Hyperthyroidism medications 0.178 0.67 0.74 [0.19–2.97] 0 (0.0) 45 (2.7) 3 (0.3)

Fully adjusted model includes age, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, duration and type of MHT, history of bilateral oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, breastfeeding, and hysterectomy.

a

Model 1 is adjusted for age.

b

Model 2 is adjusted for variables in Model 1 and for race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, history and type of MHT, history of oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, and breastfeeding.

CI, confidence interval; HR, hazard ratio.

We next sought to determine whether the risk of invasive breast cancer in women with thyroid disease varied among different races/ethnicities. No significant differences in results were found in the fully adjusted model (Table 3).

Table 3.

Hazard Ratios of Hyperthyroidism/Hypothyroidism and Breast Cancer Risk in the Women's Health Initiative Cohorts by Ethnicity

Invasive breast cancer (No. of cases = 8137)
  Total No. Cases Model 1a
Model 2b
HR [95% CI] HR [95% CI]
Participants with history of hyperthyroidism
 White (not of Hispanic origin) 1302 92 1.11 [0.90–1.36] 1.12 [0.90–1.38]
 Black or African American 255 15 1.37 [0.82–2.29] 1.06 [0.56–1.98]
 Hispanic/Latino 42 2 1.31 [0.32–5.28] 1.36 [0.33–5.54]
 Asian or Pacific Islander 63 2 0.72 [0.18–2.92] 0.71 [0.17–2.86]
 Other 33 3 1.83 [0.58–5.80] 1.67 [0.40–6.96]
Participants with history of hypothyroidism
 White (not of Hispanic origin) 18,127 1107 0.95 [0.89–1.01] 0.89 [0.83–0.95]
 Black or African American 643 32 1.15 [0.80–1.64] 1.13 [0.77–1.66]
 Hispanic/Latino 442 23 1.55 [1.00–2.40] 1.50 [0.95–2.36]
 Asian or Pacific Islander 261 16 1.40 [0.84–2.35] 1.35 [0.80–2.30]
 Other 262 12 0.91 [0.50–1.68] 0.96 [0.51–1.80]
a

Model 1 is adjusted for age, cohort type (OS, CT).

b

Model 2 is adjusted for variables in Model 1 and for race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, history and type of MHT, history of oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, breastfeeding, and breastfeeding duration.

We further compared the characteristics and stages of invasive breast cancer by the type of thyroid disorder. There were no significant differences in the SEER stages, histologic types, morphologic grades, and receptor status (ER, PR, HER2) between women without a thyroid disorder and those with a history of hyperthyroidism or hypothyroidism (Table 4).

Table 4.

Invasive Breast Cancer Characteristics and Stages by Thyroid Disorder

  No thyroid disorder (n = 111,740)
Hyperthyroidism (n = 1695)
Hypothyroidism (n = 19,735)
No. of cases Incidencea No. of cases Incidencea Age-adjusted HR [95% CI] No. of cases Incidencea Age-adjusted HR [95% CI]
SEER stageb
 Localized 5103 31.68 92 38.61 1.03 [0.84–1.27] 898 31.57 1.01 [0.94–1.08]
 Regional 1563 9.70 20 8.39 0.96 [0.61–1.49] 289 10.16 1.03 [0.91–1.18]
 Distant 103 0.64 2 0.84 1.23 [0.29–5.25] 12 0.42 1.15 [0.61–2.15]
Histologyb
 Ductal 199 1.24 2 0.84 0.59 [0.15–2.39] 37 1.30 0.99 [0.70–1.42]
 Lobular 118 0.73 2 0.84 0.96 [0.23–3.94] 21 0.74 1.01 [0.63–1.63]
 Ductal and lobular 442 2.74 3 1.26 0.86 [0.27–2.68] 82 2.88 1.03 [0.81–1.30]
 Missing or unknown 155 0.96 4 1.68 1.23 [0.45–3.35] 20 0.70 1.16 [0.72–1.85]
Morphology, gradeb
 Well differentiated 1761 10.93 28 11.75 1.06 [0.73–1.55] 316 11.11 1.03 [0.91–1.16]
 Moderately differentiated 2858 17.74 40 16.79 1.03 [0.75–1.41] 498 17.51 1.08 [0.98–1.19]
 Poorly differentiated 1500 9.31 33 13.85 0.96 [0.68–1.36] 283 9.95 0.96 [0.84–1.09]
 Anaplastic 119 0.74 3 1.26 0.37 [0.12–1.22] 14 0.49 1.01 [0.58–1.76]
 Missing or unknown 531 3.30 10 4.20 0.74 [0.40–1.39] 79 2.78 0.92 [0.72–1.16]
Receptor statusb
ER
 Positive 5448 33.82 80 33.57 1.01 [0.81–1.27] 977 34.35 1.04 [0.97–1.11]
 Negative 930 5.77 27 11.33 0.89 [0.61–1.30] 151 5.31 0.93 [0.79–1.11]
 Borderline 8 0.05 1 0.42 9.84 [0.31–309.45] 1 0.04 0.39 [0.04–4.22]
 Unknown 271 1.68 5 2.10 0.81 [0.34–1.98] 47 1.65 1.16 [0.85–1.59]
PR
 Positive 4587 28.48 61 25.60 1.01 [0.78–1.30] 831 29.22 1.05 [0.97–1.13]
 Negative 1694 10.52 45 18.88 0.96 [0.71–1.29] 284 9.98 0.96 [0.85–1.09]
 Borderline 36 0.22 0 0.00 5 0.18 0.80 [0.30–2.10]
 Unknown 335 2.08 7 2.94 0.95 [0.45–2.00] 55 1.93 1.10 [0.83–1.47]
HER2
 Positive 703 4.36 19 7.97 0.99 [0.62–1.56] 124 4.36 0.95 [0.79–1.15]
 Negative 4477 27.79 71 29.80 1.02 [0.81–1.29] 776 27.28 1.03 [0.96–1.11]
 Borderline 52 0.32 1 0.42 0.89 [0.12–6.55] 8 0.28 1.33 [0.54–3.30]
 Unknown 437 2.71 6 2.52 0.92 [0.41–2.06] 85 2.99 0.97 [0.77–1.23]
Triple negative
 No 6291 39.05 96 40.29 1.03 [0.84–1.26] 1117 39.27 1.03 [0.97–1.10]
 Yes 478 2.97 18 7.55 0.92 [0.57–1.47] 73 2.57 0.85 [0.66–1.08]

Mixed thyroid disorder excluded.

a

Incidence per 10,000 person-years follow-up.

b

Invasive breast cancer only.

SEER, Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results.

A stratified analysis to examine the effect modification of MHT types and lengths showed that women with a history of hypothyroidism who had taken thyroid medications and had never used MHT had a 20% reduced risk of invasive breast cancer [HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.69–0.93]. Among menopausal women with hypothyroidism who received thyroid replacement therapy, the risk reduction disappeared with the use of MHT for any duration [HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.78–1.09 for MHT <5 years; HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.83–1.03 for MHT ≥5 years]. Women with a history of hyperthyroidism who had taken unopposed estrogen for <5 years had a 62% increased risk of invasive breast cancer [HR 1.62, 95% CI 1.01–2.58]. No significant risk was found for those who had used MHT for 5 years or more (Table 5).

Table 5.

Effect Modification of Menopausal Hormone Therapy TYPE (Stratified Analysis)

Any MHT use duration
  N (%) No. of invasive breast cancer cases Incidencea No. of years used MHT Age-adjusted HR [95% CI] Fully adjusted HR [95% CI]
Full model—all
 No thyroid dx 111,740 6769 41.68 4.57 (7.10) Ref. Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx 1695 114 47.26 5.49 (7.80) 1.11 [0.92–1.34] 1.12 [0.93–1.36]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication 7815 501 43.77 5.81 (7.99) 1.05 [0.96–1.15] 0.97 [0.89–1.07]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 12,872 753 40.47 6.98 (8.81) 0.95 [0.88–1.02] 0.89 [0.83–0.97]
Duration of any MHT use: none
 No thyroid dx 50,560 2746 38.66 0 (0) Ref. Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx 708 40 41.56 0 (0) 1.07 [0.78–1.47] 1.10 [0.79–1.54]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication 2963 180 43.09 0 (0) 1.13 [0.97–1.32] 1.03 [0.88–1.21]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 4324 204 33.50 0 (0) 0.87 [0.75–1.00] 0.80 [0.69–0.93]
Duration of MHT use: <5 years
 No thyroid dx 25,248 1502 39.44 1.93 (1.29) Ref. Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx 353 27 53.45 1.90 (1.27) 1.36 [0.93–2.00] 1.40 [0.96–2.051]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication 1792 115 42.81 1.94 (1.27) 1.08 [0.89–1.31] 1.01 [0.83–1.23]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 2772 156 38.07 1.98 (1.30) 0.96 [0.81–1.14] 0.93 [0.78–1.09]
Duration of MHT use: 5 years or more
 No thyroid dx 35,927 2521 47.32 12.86 (7.25) Ref. Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx 634 47 49.77 13.63 (7.39) 1.00 [0.74–1.35] 1.01 [0.75–1.37]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication 3060 206 44.96 13.71 (7.62) 0.94 [0.81–1.08] 0.90 [0.78–1.05]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 5776 393 46.69 14.61 (8.10) 0.95 [0.85–1.05] 0.93 [0.83–1.03]
Unopposed estrogen (E)
  N (%) No. of invasive breast cancer cases Incidenceb No. of years used E Age-adjusted HR [95% CI] Fully adjusted HR [95% CI]
Full model—all
 No thyroid dx
111,740
6769
41.68
3.18 (6.77)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroidism dx
1695
114
47.26
4.07 (7.70)
1.11 [0.92–1.34]
1.12 [0.93–1.36]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with no meds
7815
501
43.77
4.18 (7.83)
1.05 [0.96–1.15]
0.97 [0.89–1.07]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with meds
12,872
753
40.47
5.27 (8.77)
0.95 [0.88–1.03]
0.89 [0.83–0.97]
Duration of unopposed estrogen use: none
 No thyroid dx
74,496
4599
42.53
0 (0)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroidism dx
1073
69
45.44
0 (0)
1.04 [0.81–1.32]
1.05 [0.82–1.35]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with no meds
4764
319
45.81
0 (0)
1.08 [0.97–1.22]
0.98 [0.87–1.11]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with meds
7196
429
41.15
0 (0)
0.95 [0.86–1.05]
0.87 [0.78–0.96]
Duration of unopposed estrogen use: <5 years
 No thyroid dx
14,509
815
38.61
1.83 (1.26)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroidism dx
204
18
62.52
1.79 (1.27)
1.62 [1.01–2.58]
1.62 [1.01–2.58]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with no meds
1058
60
38.86
1.79 (1.21)
1.01 [0.77–1.31]
0.94 [0.72–1.22]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with meds
1682
95
39.41
1.92 (1.30)
0.99 [0.80–1.23]
0.93 [0.75–1.15]
Duration of unopposed estrogen use: 5 years or more
 No thyroid dx
22,732
1355
40.87
14.47 (7.92)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroidism dx
418
27
44.57
15.64 (7.78)
1.06 [0.72–1.57]
1.07 [0.73–1.58]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with no meds
1993
122
41.53
15.44 (8.24)
0.99 [0.82–1.20]
0.96 [0.79–1.16]
 Any hypothyroidism dx with meds 3994 229 39.69 16.18 (8.58) 0.95 [0.83–1.10] 0.91 [0.79–1.05]
Estrogen+progestogen
  N (%) No. of invasive breast cancer cases Incidencec No. of years used E + P Age-adjusted HR [95% CI] Fully adjusted HR [95% CI]
Full model—all
 No thyroid dx
111,740
6769
41.68
1.43 (3.70)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx
1695
114
47.26
1.62 (3.70)
1.11 [0.92–1.34]
1.12 [0.93–1.36]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication
7815
501
43.77
1.81 (4.06)
1.05 [0.96–1.15]
0.97 [0.89–1.07]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications
12,872
753
40.47
1.94 (4.39)
0.95 [0.88–1.03]
0.89 [0.83–0.97]
Duration of estrogen+progestogen use: none
 No thyroid dx
82,101
4476
38.39
0 (0)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx
1218
69
40.84
0 (0)
1.07 [0.84–1.36]
1.09 [0.85–1.40]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication
5525
330
41.75
0 (0)
1.09 [0.98–1.22]
1.01 [0.90–1.14]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications
9042
459
35.79
0 (0)
0.93 [0.84–1.02]
0.87 [0.79–0.96]
Duration of estrogen+progestogen use: <5 years
 No thyroid dx
15,204
1026
42.98
1.94 (1.28)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx
234
22
63.56
1.93 (1.25)
1.41 [0.92–2.18]
1.51 [0.98–2.34]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication
1126
80
45.41
1.99 (1.27)
1.03 [0.82–1.30]
0.98 [0.78–1.23]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications
1822
113
40.27
1.94 (1.27)
0.93 [0.76–1.13]
0.89 [0.73–1.09]
Duration of estrogen+progestogen use: 5 years or more
 No thyroid dx
14,432
1267
57.75
9.82 (4.72)
Ref.
Ref.
 Hyperthyroid dx
243
23
61.12
9.45 (4.42)
0.99 [0.64–1.53]
0.98 [0.64–1.51]
 Any hypothyroid dx with no medication
1164
91
51.13
10.21 (4.78)
0.88 [0.71–1.09]
0.85 [0.68–1.05]
 Any hypothyroid dx with medications 2008 181 60.86 10.67 (5.38) 0.99 [0.84–1.16] 0.95 [0.81–1.12]
a

Incidence per 10,000 person-years follow-up.

MHT use × thyroid group interaction p = 0.346.

Fully adjusted model includes age, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, duration of menopausal hormone replacement therapy, history of hysterectomy/oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, and breastfeeding.

b

Incidence per 10,000 person-years follow-up.

Unopposed estrogen duration × thyroid group interaction p = 0.747.

Fully adjusted model includes age, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, duration of menopausal hormone replacement therapy, history of hysterectomy/oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, and breastfeeding.

c

Incidence per 10,000 person-years follow-up.

E + P use × thyroid group interaction p = 0.497.

Fully adjusted model includes age, race/ethnicity, body mass index, smoking, alcohol intake, duration of menopausal hormone replacement therapy, history of hysterectomy/oophorectomy, parity history and numbers, age at menarche, age at menopause, family history of breast cancer, mammogram ever, and breastfeeding.

dx, diagnosis.

Discussion

Among a total of 134,122 postmenopausal women in the WHI, we found that women with hypothyroidism had a 9% lower risk of breast cancer than women who did not report a thyroid disorder. In this cohort, the risk reduction was most significant—20%—among those who received thyroid hormone replacement and had never used MHT. The use of levothyroxine was associated with an 11% lower risk of breast cancer. There was no significant difference in breast cancer risk across race/ethnicities by thyroid disease status and no statistically significant differences in breast cancer characteristics.

The association between thyroid hormone and cancers has been investigated in many in vivo and in vitro studies, as early as 1896 when Beaston published on using thyroid extract to treat metastatic breast cancer in the Lancet (4,9,19,25,26). Specific alterations of thyroid hormone receptors (TRs) have been found in many different types of cancers, including breast cancer, and there are associations between TR expression and oncogene regulation (4,5,27,28). Mammary and thyroid glands share some physiological similarities; for one, both thyroid follicular cells and mammary lactating cells utilize the sodium-iodine symporter to facilitate iodine uptake and storage (29–32). The alveolar mammary cells utilize lactoperoxidase to oxidize iodine while the thyroid gland uses thyroperoxidase via a similar mechanism (33). In addition, the activation of TRs in mammary glands may induce differentiation and lobular growth of breast tissues, an effect similar to that seen with estrogen (4,27).

In in vitro studies, high levels of thyroid hormones seem to possess estrogen-like effects, promoting breast cancer proliferation and angiogenesis (4–7,9). In addition, triiodothyronine (T3) was found to increase breast cancer cell proliferation in some breast cancer cell lines (6). Evidence from epidemiological studies on postmenopausal women suggests that an increased T3/E2 ratio may promote breast cancer development (14,34,35). T3 levels have also been shown to have a positive correlation with breast cancer tumor size and the risk of lymph node metastasis in population-based studies (36).

Although several hypotheses have been proposed to explain the association between hypothyroidism and breast cancer, no consensus has been reached. A hypothyroid state reduced the size and proliferation of malignant breast tumors and increased tumor necrosis in vitro, but the tumors exhibited a higher metastatic occurrence (17,37). It has been suggested that hypothyroidism leads to hypersensitization of mammary glandular epithelium to estrogen and prolactin secondary to abnormally low circulating thyroid hormone (38). It has also been hypothesized that there is a genetic predisposition for both hypothyroidism and breast cancer (14).

Clinical studies have found a protective association between hypothyroidism and breast cancer development; this may be due to the biological effect of T3 at the cellular level, the interaction of T3 with TRs, or modulation of the thyrotropin receptor (TSH-R) (39). The antioxidant property of iodine may also play a role, especially considering the capacity of breast tissue to transport and concentrate iodide (40,41). To date, there is still limited epidemiologic evidence for the link between thyroid replacement treatment and the risk of breast cancer.

In this study, we found an inverse association between hypothyroidism and invasive breast cancer development among postmenopausal women; the risk reduction was most significant in women who received thyroid replacement treatment (specifically, levothyroxine) and had never used MHT.

The mechanism by which levothyroxine use is associated with a reduced risk of breast cancer in women with hypothyroidism remains unclear. It may be due to the difference in thyroid hormone and TSH levels among those who took levothyroxine and those who either were not on levothyroxine despite being overtly hypothyroid, or those who had subclinical hypothyroidism and thus had residual thyroid gland function. Interestingly, this relationship was not seen with the use of other thyroid replacement treatments.

The diminished protective effect of hypothyroidism in women who used MHT is consistent with the results from previous WHI trial arm studies that looked at the effects of MHT on the development of invasive breast cancer. In those studies there was a significantly increased risk in the group who received estrogen (conjugated equine estrogens 0.625 mg) plus 2.5 mg medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) after adjusting for confounders [HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.17–3.27] (42,43).

Thyroid disorders were self-reported at enrollment and all prescribed medications were reconciled by trained staff. It is important to note, however, that we did not include CIS of the breast in our study. This is because the prognosis of CIS of the breast is very different from that of invasive breast cancer. Besides, we found no significant associations between different thyroid disorders and CIS of the breast.

The finding that women with a history of hyperthyroidism and unopposed estrogen use for <5 years had a statistically significant 62% increased risk of developing invasive breast cancer should be interpreted with caution due to small sample sizes and multiple comparisons. It is, however, in agreement with the case/control study by Weng et al. (19).

Limitations

In this study, we were unable to determine whether the duration and severity of hyper- or hypothyroidism or treatment compliance played a role in the development of invasive breast cancer. We were not able to adjust for the severity of hypothyroidism since the thyroid disorder diagnosis was self-reported. Because of this, we were unable to determine whether the inverse association with hypothyroidism was directly related to the use of levothyroxine or from hypothyroidism itself. In addition, the total number of participants in other ethnic groups was much smaller compared with the Caucasian group in this cohort, making it difficult to generalize the findings to other ethnicities. Finally, all of our results should be interpreted cautiously due to multiple comparisons and the potential for residual confounding.

Conclusions

Hypothyroidism was associated with a lower risk of breast cancer development, and the relationship was strongest among those who received thyroid hormone replacement and had never used MHT (estrogen or estrogen plus progestin). Further in vitro and clinical studies are needed to elucidate the relevant mechanisms and associations.

Acknowledgments

Short list of WHI Investigators—Program Office: (National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, Bethesda, Maryland) Jacques Rossouw, Shari Ludlam, Joan McGowan, Leslie Ford, and Nancy Geller; Clinical Coordinating Center: (Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, WA) Garnet Anderson, Ross Prentice, Andrea LaCroix, and Charles Kooperberg; Investigators and Academic Centers: (Brigham and Women's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA) JoAnn E. Manson; (MedStar Health Research Institute/Howard University, Washington, DC) Barbara V. Howard; (Stanford Prevention Research Center, Stanford, CA) Marcia L. Stefanick; (The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH) Rebecca Jackson; (University of Arizona, Tucson/Phoenix, AZ) Cynthia A. Thomson; (University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY) Jean Wactawski-Wende; (University of Florida, Gainesville/Jacksonville, FL) Marian Limacher; (University of Iowa, Iowa City/Davenport, IA) Jennifer Robinson; (University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA) Lewis Kuller; (Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC) Sally Shumaker; (University of Nevada, Reno, NV) Robert Brunner Women's Health Initiative Memory Study: (Wake Forest University School of Medicine, Winston-Salem, NC) Mark Espeland.

Author Disclosure Statement

No competing financial interests exist.

Funding Information

The WHI program is funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services through contracts HHSN268201600018C, HHSN268201600001C, HHSN268201600002C, HHSN268201600003C, and HHSN268201600004C. No funding was received for this prospective cohort study within the Women's Health Initiative.

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