Skip to main content
Elsevier - PMC COVID-19 Collection logoLink to Elsevier - PMC COVID-19 Collection
letter
. 2020 May 8;35(10):3059. doi: 10.1016/j.arth.2020.05.005

Response to Letter to the Editor Titled “Risk Modeling for Unplanned Intensive Care Unit (ICU) Admission”

Kamolsak Sukhonthamarn 1,2, Matthew J Grosso 3, Javad Parvizi 4,
PMCID: PMC7205677  PMID: 32665153

To the Editor in reply

We are grateful to the letter authors for their interest in our study regarding risk factors for unplanned intensive care unit (ICU) admission after elective total joint arthroplasty (TJA), which was recently published in the Journal of Arthroplasty [1].

We agreed with the authors that in this arduous situation of the COVID-19 pandemic nationwide and around the world, issues related to medical resource utilization have become paramount for health care providers. Therefore, the American College of Surgeons and the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services have recommended postponing or canceling elective procedures, including TJA [2,3]. The questions from the letter writers are timely and appropriate regarding triage of urgent procedures related to TJA, including periprosthetic joint infection, periprosthetic fracture, and prosthetic dislocation. Our ultimate goal is to have an arthroplasty procedure based calculator that can cover these urgent procedures, similar to the current American College of Surgeons NSQIP risk calculator [4].

As we hopefully return to normalization during this critical period and restart elective cases, we hope our findings in the published study can help surgeons reduce the risk of ICU admission. We report significantly increased risks with bilateral versus unilateral hip [OR 13.2 (95% confidence interval, 4.9-31.4)] and knee arthroplasty [OR 10.8 (5.8-19.9)]. Moreover, we demonstrated cutoff values for age, BMI, estimated blood loss, and surgical duration, which are clinically relevant factors for ICU admission for both hip and knee arthroplasty, which may help orthopedics surgeons for preoperative decision-making and management.

There is previously published work on predictors and risk-stratified model development, which was created from stratified preoperative and intraoperative factors to predict unplanned ICU admission after total hip arthroplasty [[5], [6], [7]]. We think this model is interesting and important for clinical use. Therefore, as suggested by the letter writers, we are developing a risk calculator tool from our database and extending it to evaluate multiple preoperative factors that influence and weight the risk for ICU admission.

We want to thank the authors for their invaluable comments and suggestions. We hope that our future work can further help plan appropriately for health care resource management, especially in this time of crisis for both surgeons and patients.

Footnotes

One or more of the authors of this paper have disclosed potential or pertinent conflicts of interest, which may include receipt of payment, either direct or indirect, institutional support, or association with an entity in the biomedical field which may be perceived to have potential conflict of interest with this work. For full disclosure statements refer to https://doi.org/10.1016/j.arth.2020.05.005.

Appendix A. Supplementary Data

Conflict of Interest Statement for Sukhonthamarn
mmc1.docx (17.1KB, docx)
Conflict of Interest Statement for Grosso
mmc2.docx (17.1KB, docx)
Conflict of Interest Statement for Parvizi
mmc3.doc (29.5KB, doc)

References

  • 1.Sukhonthamarn K., Grosso M.J., Sherman M.B., Restrepo C., Parvizi J. Risk factors for unplanned admission to the intensive care unit after elective total joint arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty. 2020 doi: 10.1016/j.arth.2020.03.003. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.COVID-19: recommendations for management of elective surgical procedures. American College of Surgeons; 2020. https://www.facs.org/covid-19/clinical-guidance/elective-surgery [accessed 24.04.20] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. Non-Emergent, Elective Medical Services, and Treatment Recommendations. https://www.cms.gov/files/document/cms-non-emergent-elective-medical-recommendations.pdf [accessed 24.04.2020].
  • 4.American College of Surgeons Surgical risk calculator. ACS NSQIP. https://riskcalculator.facs.org/RiskCalculator/ [accessed 25.04.20]
  • 5.Kamath A.F., McAuliffe C.L., Baldwin K.D., Lucas J.B., Kosseim L.M., Israelite C.L. Unplanned admission to the intensive care unit after total hip arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty. 2012;27:1027–1032.e2. doi: 10.1016/j.arth.2012.01.004. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 6.Kamath A.F., Gutsche J.T., Kornfield Z.N., Baldwin K.D., Kosseim L.M., Israelite C.L. Prospective study of unplanned admission to the intensive care unit after total hip arthroplasty. J Arthroplasty. 2013;28:1345–1348. doi: 10.1016/j.arth.2013.01.011. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 7.Courtney P.M., Melnic C.M., Gutsche J., Hume E.L., Lee G.-C. Which patients need critical care intervention after total joint arthroplasty?: a prospective study of factors associated with the need for intensive care following surgery. Bone Joint J. 2015;97-B:1512–1518. doi: 10.1302/0301-620X.97B11.35813. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Associated Data

This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

Supplementary Materials

Conflict of Interest Statement for Sukhonthamarn
mmc1.docx (17.1KB, docx)
Conflict of Interest Statement for Grosso
mmc2.docx (17.1KB, docx)
Conflict of Interest Statement for Parvizi
mmc3.doc (29.5KB, doc)

Articles from The Journal of Arthroplasty are provided here courtesy of Elsevier

RESOURCES