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PLOS One logoLink to PLOS One
. 2020 May 13;15(5):e0223698. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0223698

The fast and the frugal: Divergent locomotory strategies drive limb lengthening in theropod dinosaurs

T Alexander Dececchi 1,*, Aleksandra M Mloszewska 2,#, Thomas R Holtz Jr 3,4,#, Michael B Habib 5,#, Hans C E Larsson 6,#
Editor: Andrew Cuff7
PMCID: PMC7220109  PMID: 32401793

Abstract

Limb length, cursoriality and speed have long been areas of significant interest in theropod paleobiology, since locomotory capacity, especially running ability, is critical in the pursuit of prey and to avoid becoming prey. The impact of allometry on running ability, and the limiting effect of large body size, are aspects that are traditionally overlooked. Since several different non-avian theropod lineages have each independently evolved body sizes greater than any known terrestrial carnivorous mammal, ~1000kg or more, the effect that such large mass has on movement ability and energetics is an area with significant implications for Mesozoic paleoecology. Here, using expansive datasets that incorporate several different metrics to estimate body size, limb length and running speed, we calculate the effects of allometry on running ability. We test traditional metrics used to evaluate cursoriality in non-avian theropods such as distal limb length, relative hindlimb length, and compare the energetic cost savings of relative hindlimb elongation between members of the Tyrannosauridae and more basal megacarnivores such as Allosauroidea or Ceratosauridae. We find that once the limiting effects of body size increase is incorporated there is no significant correlation to top speed between any of the commonly used metrics, including the newly suggested distal limb index (Tibia + Metatarsus/ Femur length). The data also shows a significant split between large and small bodied theropods in terms of maximizing running potential suggesting two distinct strategies for promoting limb elongation based on the organisms’ size. For small and medium sized theropods increased leg length seems to correlate with a desire to increase top speed while amongst larger taxa it corresponds more closely to energetic efficiency and reducing foraging costs. We also find, using 3D volumetric mass estimates, that the Tyrannosauridae show significant cost of transport savings compared to more basal clades, indicating reduced energy expenditures during foraging and likely reduced need for hunting forays. This suggests that amongst theropods, hindlimb evolution was not dictated by one particular strategy. Amongst smaller bodied taxa the competing pressures of being both a predator and a prey item dominant while larger ones, freed from predation pressure, seek to maximize foraging ability. We also discuss the implications both for interactions amongst specific clades and Mesozoic paleobiology and paleoecological reconstructions as a whole.

Introduction

Non-avian theropod dinosaurs were the dominant terrestrial carnivores during much of the Mesozoic. They occupied much of the available niche space [13], and ranged in size from <200g to approximately 9000kg [4, 5]. While no single adaptation is likely to explain such widespread dominance and diversity of form, the bipedal locomotory system employed by theropods is invoked as an important reason for the success of this lineage [6]. For animals, the speed at which they travel is a critical factor in their survival strategy as it impacts all aspects of food collection, dispersal, migration and predator avoidance [7]. Because of this, much work has been done to model locomotion and how it affects different aspects of theropod life history and behavior, such as movement efficiency, turning radius, balance [814]. Additionally, studies of the growth across the clade, both ontogenetically and allometrically [1518], have shown marked difference in traditional markers for cursorial potential [14, 19], such as intralimb ratios, lower limb length and relative total limb length. This includes comparisons of derived coelurosaurian theropods at all body sizes to more basal clades, and have been suggested to be linked to a refinement of running ability in this group [8, 15, 19].

Recent work by Persons and Currie [14] attempted to further this by quantifying relative cursoriality amongst non-avian theropods through the use of the distal hind limb indices (tibia + metatarsal length/ femur). They argued that the application of this metric could identify those taxa with the highest top speed and attempted to establish that it had significant impact on the ecological role and the diversification of theropods. Yet the challenge is that much of an organisms locomotory repertoire, both in terms of percentage of behaviours and duration, is at lower speeds [20]. This is especially true in carnivores who often spend hours searching for or pursuing prey and low to moderate speeds between bursts of high speed running [21, 22]. We suggest that the importance of top speed may have been overestimated in Persons and Currie. In this study, we show that this estimate changes after considering that much of the energy budget and life history of a predator is spent at lower gears, the relative speed of predators compared to suspected prey items, locomotor energetics role in shaping the evolutionary landscape for theropods, and the effect of other factors such as body size in their analysis.

Here we re-examine locomotion in non-avian theropods, applying indices based on estimates of top speed and energetic expenditures to get a more complete sense of how differences in relative limb lengths, and components within the limb itself, reflect the paleobiology and paleoecology of these creatures. In extant vertebrates the walk to run transitions occurs at a Froude number > 1 [23], and a similar value is expected to hold for non-avian theropods with even the largest being suspected to achieve this feat [10, 11]. Following these parameters we define running ability here as the ability to achieve speeds corresponding to Froude numbers significantly higher than 1, as opposed to running capacity which is the ability to generate values of 1. We hypothesize that allometry will have significant consequences for running ability and that the selective weighting of top speed versus reducing energetic expenditures will vary across Theropoda concordant with changes in body size. We also hypothesize that amongst the largest theropods, > 1000kg, running ability, as assessed by top speed potential, will not be a significant factor in the influencing the relative level of elongation of the distal hindlimb, including in tyrannosaurs. Our goal is to more accurately understand the selective pressures that shaped limb length and intralimb proportion evolution across theropods, and to compare how the evolution of extremely body size, greater than 1000 kg, may have altered the drivers for distal limb indices. Through this we seek to more accurately reconstruct patterns of cursoriality and foraging strategies amongst theropods and understand better how they shaped the ecosystems in which they lived.

Materials

Relative leg length and max speed

Measurements of snout to vent length along with hindlimb lengths for 93 specimens for 71 different genera of avian and non-avian theropods were collected from the literature and personal measurements (S1 Table) that had at least one hindlimb element recorded. This included 82 specimens with a complete hindlimb preserved such that leg length and hip height could be estimated and from that speed calculated (S2 Table). Sampling includes members form all major clades and multiple specimens per species, often from different ontogenetic stages, where possible to capture the maximum diversity of Mesozoic theropod hindlimb disparity. These taxa range in SVL size from 70 to over 5000 mm. A subset of this data, 22 non-avian theropods where femoral circumferences were available, were selected to examine how body mass relates to various metrics of leg elongation (S3 Table). We only included non-avian theropods as previous work has suggested significant allometric and functional shifts in the limbs of early avians compared to their non-avian ancestors [15]. This dataset was then expanded to 77 specimens by including multiple taxa without SVL measurements to capture more non-avian theropod diversity (S4 Table). We chose several different metrics to evaluate the connection between hindlimb length and speed including total hindlimb length, distal hindlimb index and hindlimb/ SVL, hindlimb length / m1/3 and metatarsal length m1/3.

To calculate maximal running speed, we used several estimators to be able to compare values across proxies. The first is Froude number, which is a dimensionless number that allows for relative size to be removed from velocity calculations [24]. The second is locomotor velocity, which is calculated as [10]

V=Fr2÷h×g.

Where v is the velocity in m/s, Fr = Froude number, h = hip height taken here as hindlimb length and g is gravity. For hip height we chose to estimate it as 0.8 x total limb length, which corresponds to the level of crouch seen in large terrestrial modern birds [25] and mimics the values seen in other similar studies [10]. For taxa with a body mass of less than 1000kg we calculated a range of Froude values from 0.25 to 15 to document behaviors from slow walk to top speed while being within the range possible for both non-avian and avian theropods [11, 2630]. For larger taxa a maximum Froude number of 5 was used as this is suspected to be the limit that they could achieve [10]. In addition to using Froude number we also calculated maximum speed based on another methodology: the stride length based on either Alexander [31]

V=0.25g0.5λ1.67h1.17

Or the correction by Ruiz [32]

V=0.226g0.5λ1.67h1.17

Where λ is the relative stride length (RSL). We took for RSL values of 2 and 4.5 corresponding to a slow and a fast burst run and within the range seen in theropod trackways [27, 33]. Finally, we used either published 3-D volumetric estimates of body mass,[9, 34, 35] or generated estimates based on femoral circumference [36] to calculate top speed based on mass limiting factor [7]. This last value is grounded on extant taxa and suggests mass specific limitations on acceleration and top speed, something seen in the modern realm but not factored in by our other metrics.

Postural considerations

Our selection of a constant postural position raises the possibility that allometric changes in crouch level could have effects on some of our calculations. Allometric changes in posture are known to occur in mammals, with the most upright stance occurring between 100-300kg depending on the clade [3739] and birds [25, 40], especially during running. Small bodied modern avians display a highly “crouched” body plan and thus a “groucho walk” style of locomotion that is fundamentally different than seen in non-avian theropods [41]. While the exact location of this postural shift is unknown, it is suspected to be not a distinct shift from “hip based” to “knee based” but a more gradual transition [42]. Recent work suggests that, based on the center of mass, this shift may have started as early as with basal theropods [34], though this study does not see a significant dorsoventral shift occurring until Neornithes (crown-group birds). As such, we also ran a permutation using a variable hip height based on the differences between leg length (including the phalanges) and hip height seen across a sample of extant ground birds while running at moderate speeds [40]. This data overlaps with that of [25], producing similar values. Based on this dataset, all extant birds greater than 5kg in mass relative hip height is at least 74% of total leg length [40] and regression analysis suggests that, for fossil theropod taxa greater than 40 kg in mass, values are minimally 80%. If we used only the length of the femur, tibia and metatarsus this this value is 80% or above for all species except the smallest (painted quail) whose mass is smaller than non-avian theropod investigated here at only 31g. This is similar to more recent findings by Bishop et al. [43], which found degree of crouching (the difference between hip height and leg length as defined by them to only include the femur, tibia and metatarsus) at less than 20% in species with masses above 0.6kg. Given that the level of crouch is suspected to be higher in neornithines than in non-avian theropods due to changes in running style, these should be considered lower bound estimates in terms of effective hip height, meaning our 0.8HL estimate is similar to what would be expected even in small bodied theropods and after accounting for allometric shifts in posture. Furthermore, as the allometric effects when including foot length into leg length, converge with our previous estimate at ~40kg using [40] and less than 1kg using [43] as well as the fact that mammalian work across groups indicates that upright postures are present in all taxa greater than 300kg [38], any postural effects would not be expected to alter our energetic analysis of large bodied (>600kg) theropods.

Energy consumption in large theropods

Estimates of energetic expenditure during foraging amongst the largest bodied theropods were calculated from mass estimates based on several published 3-D body volume reconstructions, one of the most a reliable and comparable method to estimate body mass [9, 10, 34, 35] (Table 1, S6 Table). The advantages of using 3D volumetric mass estimates to compare between taxa is that it is an estimate generated using the an internally consistent, replicated and validated methodology tailored for individual specimens and does not rely on hindlimb dimension, which we are using in other aspects, thus preventing circularity in our arguments. This allows us to compare relative elongation levels with an outside proxy and one that reduces the potential issue that even in the most constrained size reconstruction from femoral length or circumference has the confidence intervals that can span orders of magnitude in mass, thus making it extremely difficult to determine if two taxa, even if they show similar values for said estimator, are actually similar in body mass [36]. Since this is critical for this type of analysis, using more generalized body mass figures obtained through femoral circumference as used in our previous section (S3S5 Tables) would be inadequate for the purposes used here. We attempted, whenever possible, to confine our analysis to looking at taxa only with volumetric mass estimates taken from within the same study to ensure that differences in volumetric estimations methods do not cause spurious results. When multiple masses were presented we chose to run our analysis using the “best estimate” model as defined in the original papers for all specimens as opposed to the heaviest or lightest. This was done so that we could get direct comparative data using the same variables and not bias the results by artificially inflating or reducing the body mass volumes a priori. This model often produces very similar mass estimates for these two specimens, such as between Tyrannosaurus and Acrocanthosaurus using which differs only by 1.7% [35].

Table 1. Mass, hindlimb and hip height and cost of transport for 3D volumetric specimens examined here.

Source Taxon Specimen Mass (kg) HL (mm) HH (cm) CoT
Bates et al. 2009 Struthiomimus BHI 1266 423 1800 144.0 1.97
Bates et al. 2009 Allosaurus MOR 693. 1500 1699 135.9 2.06
Bates et al. 2009 Tyrannosaurus MOR 555/USNM 555000 6072 3036 242.9 1.31
Bates et al. 2009 Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 6177 2675 214.0 1.45
Bates et al. 2012 Tyrannosaurus BHI 3303 7655 3196 255.7 1.26
Pontzer et al. 2009 Archaeopteryx MB.Av.101 0.25 158 12.6 12.80
Pontzer et al. 2009 Marasuchus Composite 1.00 170 13.6 12.10
Pontzer et al. 2009 Microraptor IVPP V13352 1.20 291 23.3 8.00
Pontzer et al. 2009 Compsognathus BSP AS I563 3.00 209 16.7 10.32
Snively et al. 2018 "Raptorex" LH PV18 47 998 79.8 3.10
Snively et al. 2018 Eustreptospondylus OUM J13558 206 1245 99.6 2.61
Snively et al. 2018 Dilophosaurus UCMP 37302 372 1412 113.0 2.37
Snively et al. 2018 Gorgosaurus TMP 91.36.500 496 1825 146.0 1.95
Snively et al. 2018 Tyrannosaurus BMRP 2002.4.1 660 2120 169.6 1.73
Snively et al. 2018 Ceratosaurus USNM 4735 678 1429 114.3 2.35
Snively et al. 2018 Gorgosaurus AMNH 5664 688 1928 154.2 1.87
Snively et al. 2018 Tarbosaurus ZPAL MgD-I/3 727 1845 147.6 1.93
Snively et al. 2018 Allosaurus USNM 4734, UUVP 6000 1512 1985 158.8 1.82
Snively et al. 2018 Allosaurus MOR 693 1683 1795 143.6 1.97
Snively et al. 2018 Yangchuanosaurus CV 00215 2176 1988 159.0 1.82
Snively et al. 2018 Sinraptor ZDM 0024 2374 2340 187.2 1.61
Snively et al. 2018 Gorgosaurus AMNH 5458 2427 2640 211.2 1.46
Snively et al. 2018 Gorgosaurus NMC 2120 2427 2634 210.7 1.47
Snively et al. 2018 Tarbosaurus PIN 552–1 2816 2415 193.2 1.57
Snively et al. 2018 Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 5474 2676 214.1 1.45
Snively et al. 2018 Giganotosaurus MUCPv-CH-1 6908 3020 241.6 1.32
Snively et al. 2018 Tyrannosaurus CM 9380 6987 3124 249.9 1.29
Snively et al. 2018 Tyrannosaurus FMNH PR 2081 9131 3261 260.9 1.24
Persons and Currie 2014 Khaan MPC-D 100/1127 5 391 31.3 6.37
Persons and Currie 2014 Velociraptor MPC1—/986 15 592 47.4 4.63
Persons and Currie 2014 Ajancingenia MPC-D 100/30 17 634 50.7 4.39
Persons and Currie 2014 Ornithomimus TMP 95.11.001 150 1220 97.6 2.65
Persons and Currie 2014 Gorgosaurus TMP 91.36.500 400 1815 145.2 1.95
Persons and Currie 2014 Tyrannosaurus BHI 3303 5622 3196 255.7 1.26

Specimens used for costs of transport analysis based on published 3D volumetric data. HL stands for hindlimb length which here is taken as femur + tibia + central metatarsal lengths. HH is hip height, calculated as 0.8*HL. CoT is cost of transport, see text for details.

As a significant proportion of a predator’s daily activity budget is occupied by foraging [21, 22, 44, 45] we chose to reconstruct the energetics values based on cost of foraging [10] using an absolute speed of 2 m/s to simulate a slow walk (Froude number <0.25). This is similar to the estimate used by [45] and well within the walking range estimated from known trackways for large theropods [32, 4651]. We then combined cost of transport (CoT) with a speed of transport to calculated the costs to forage to both cover a set distance (18 km, the daily expected foraging range of a large theropod [44] and 6570km which is the yearly total) as well as over a series of time intervals (12 hours/ day foraging per [45] and 1 year) to examine the difference in expenditures across comparable sized taxa.

Finally, to compare proportional expenditures we performed two different analyses. First we transformed the difference calculated in kilojoules (kj) into kilograms (kg) of meat by using the energetic conversion values from [52] for large mammalian carnivores. While we understand that the digestive and excretory methods of theropods make it difficult to estimate of the amount of meat required, especially if they excreted uric acid like modern avians which leads to greater energy loss [52], regardless these parameters are similar to previous studies [45] and defendable based on suspected aerobic capability [10]. In addition, previous work has suggested that the largest theropods would have a metabolic rate equivalent of a 1000 kg carnivorous mammal [53], which is approaching the theoretical maximum size for a terrestrial carnivore [21]. We also compared expenditure values to estimates of Basal metabolic rate based on the equations of McNab [54] and Grady et al. [55]. This allows us to remove the effect of potential digestive absorptive differences between macrocarnivourous mammals and theropods from our data. Regardless of whether these taxa were true truly endotherms or mesotherms, these values should produce reasonable estimates of relative disparities in expenditures to compare between specimens.

Results

Relative leg length

We observe a correlation between the relative hindlimb versus distal hindlimb indices, except in in small to medium sized theropods less than 1200 mm SVL, where we observe a disconnect between these variables (S1 Table). This is especially clear when comparing some contemporaneous taxa, such as compsognathids and microraptorines (Fig 1). The former has been suggested to be highly cursorial while the latter were not based on evaluation of the hindlimb index alone [14]. Our results dispute this finding, as well as previous work that ignored allometric effects in comparing smaller compsognathids to mid-sized and larger dromaeosaurs such as Velociraptor or Deinonychus [14]. Focusing on non-avian theropods, as avian theropods have different hindlimb scaling factors compared to non-avian theropods [15], we also see negative allometric scaling in intralimb ratios which alone could influence comparison between these two clades. Even at similar sizes the divergence between relative hindlimb versus distal limb metrics is clearly illustrated by comparing the Yixian biota contemporaries Changyuraptor and Sinosauropteyrx, both of which are suspected small carnivores that differ in length by 10mm (~ 2% total SVL). Changyuraptor show a relative hindlimb index of 0.96, which is significantly higher than that is seen in Sinosauropteyrx (0.57) while showing a distal limb index value 8% lower. This pattern of high hindlimb indices whiles showing relatively mild distal limb values is seen across all small bodied microraptorines and basal troodontids, with the opposite trend seen in small bodied compsognathids and basal birds. Interestingly, amongst anchiornithids (a clade of small bodied paravians who have recently been suggested to be more closely related to birds than either dromaeosaurids or troodontids [56, 57]) we see a diverse pattern of values ranging from Anchiornis at the high end (92–95%) to Caihong (78%) at the lower end, though the latter is still similar to what is seen in the cursorial oviraptorosaur Caudipteryx (0.75–0.79). We calculated maximum speed potential, using our derived hip heights and calculating stride length based on 4 times hip height as well as at Fr of 15, with the larger hindlimb indices in many microraptorines allowing them to achieve higher top end speed suggesting a sharp demarcation between burst speed potential between microraptorines, contemporaneous small bodied compsognathids and basal birds (Fig 2, S2 Table). Depending on the speed estimator used Changyuraptor shows top speed between 5.13–7.98 m/s which is 1.2–1.9 m/s (4.9–6.9 km/hr) higher than Sinosauropteryx using the same metric. Adjustments in hip height produced lower absolute speeds but the relative differences between these taxa remains unaffected. While there is much variation between speed estimators, for each one we see Changyuraptor display a top speed that is 130+% higher than Sinosauropteyrx. Similar results are seen between other parings (Fig 2, S2 Table). We also find that the juvenile tyrannosaur “Raptorex” (a suspected young Tarbosaurus specimen [58]), shows significant burst speed potential, even higher than similar sized ornithomimids, oviraptorosaurs or basal tyrannosauroids (S2 Table). This supports the idea that juvenile tyrannosaurids were highly cursorial [9, 13, 14].

Fig 1. Hindlimb index comparisons between compsognathids and dromaeosaurids.

Fig 1

Comparison of two small bodied theropod clades, the compsognathids and dromaeosaurids, using different hindlimb indices purported to be associated with cursorial ability. Note the significant difference in how the running ability and top speed would be reconstructed depending on the metric selected. Using relative hindlimb length (A) we find a significant difference between the two groups (unequal variance t-test 5.1471, p = 0.001) and would reconstruct dromaeosaurids as significantly faster than compsognathids. Using distal limb index (B) we see no difference between clades (unequal variance t-test 0.7713, p = 0.45). Silhouette modified from those in Phylopic image repository (Phylopic.org) created by Joh Conway and Brad McFeeters.

Fig 2. Comparisons of maximum speed potential between small coelurosaur clades.

Fig 2

Top speed comparison between clades using speed calculated from equations in [28], though all reconstruction methods show similar patterns. The blue start represents Halszkaraptor, whose position is likely based on its proposed unique semi aquatic lifestyle. Of note, at lower speeds the dromaeosaurs, more specifically microraptorines, show distinctly higher top speed than comparably size compsognathids, Archaeopteryx specimens or basal birds and similar values to troodontids. Silhouette modified from those in Phylopic image repository (Phylopic.org) created by Joh Conway, Matt Martynuik, Gareth Monger and Brad McFeeters.

To evaluate the general applicability of these various hindlimb ratios across Theropoda as a good proxy for top speed, we compared distal limb index, hindlimb index as well as metatarsal and whole leg length compared to body size using top speeds at FR = 5 and under the mass limiting top speed equation of [7]. Using the primary dataset (S3 Table) we find that all proxies have relatively low correlation value, with distal limb index (r2 = 0.55) as the only metric showing a significant correlation when using speed based on Froude number. When we take into account the limiting factor of increasing body mass, all metrics show precipitous decrease in correlation value with none of them showing a significant relationship to speed (Fig 3, S3 Table). To confirm that this was not due to the taxon sampling we used our larger dataset (S4 Table), which though it did not allow us to evaluate HL/SVL, did allow for testing the other three metrics. Using just Froude number all three metrics showed significant correlations to top speed, with distal limb index showing the highest correlation (r2 = 0.48) (Fig 4, S5 Table). Once again, when correcting for mass all three metric correlations drop to insignificant levels, with distal limb index showing a correlation coefficient of less than 0.04.

Fig 3. Comparing proxies to running speed estimates using SVL only database.

Fig 3

Evaluation of the fit of hindlimb index proxies to estimated top speed at Froude = 5 (A) and (B) using the mass induced limitation as proposed in [7] using the primary dataset of taxa with SVL data. HL/SVL = total hindlimb length/ snout to vent length, T+Mt/F = tibia+ longest metatarsal length / femoral length, Legginess = hindlimb length/ body mass (kg)^1/3, MTmass^1/3 = metatarsal length/ mass body mass (kg) ^1/3. Skeletal image of Microraptor modified from the illustrations of S. Hartman.

Fig 4. Comparing proxies to running speed estimates using larger hindlimb database.

Fig 4

Evaluation of the fit of the distal limb index proxy to estimated top speed at Froude = 5 (A) and using the mass induced limitation as proposed in [7] in the larger hindlimb dataset (S4 Table). Skeletal image of Microraptor modified from the illustrations of S. Hartman.

Energy consumption in theropods

To determine whether the greatest selection pressure for hindlimb elongation was a savings in terms of transport costs or maximizing top speed, we compared top speeds calculated using Fr = 5 or 15 to that accounting for body mass in our expanded limb dataset (Fig 4, S4 Table). Across all speed estimates we find that at lower size classes the estimated top speed is lower than the theoretical maximum generated through [7]. However, this changes in mid to large size theropods. Depending on the speed estimator used the body mass limiting top speed drops below the others at around 500 kg using a Fr of 15 and 2000kg using a Fr = 5. This corresponds to a hip height of ~ 1.5–2.1 m.

Using existing volumetric derived masses, we calculated the cost of transport [10] across a range of theropods and dinosauriforms from 0.25 kg to greater than 9000kg (Table 1). Our results show that, among the large bodied theropods, tyrannosauroids show a significantly lower cost of transport than comparable size more basal taxa, with differences most exacerbated in juvenile and sub-adult size classes (Tables 1 and 2). If we hold velocity constant at 2 m/s, we see significant differences in energetic values between tyrannosauroids and other large taxa (Table 2), based on the relative elongation of their hindlimbs. In order to assess what level of difference in foraging efficacy in terms of CoT make in terms of overall energy expenditure we reconstructed daily energy expenditure budgets for tyrannosaurids and more basal theropods that differed from each other by less than 3% of total body mass. While the differences in the cost of transport values between tyrannosauroids and other large theropods may appear minimal, ranging from only 0.03–0.62 j/kgm, when they are evaluated for taxa at these large sizes and over longer temporal durations they produce significant differences (Table 3A and 3B, S1 and S2 Figs). In looking simply at how CoT values differ between comparable medium and large theropods (Table 2) vs the differences in maximum running speed implied by [7] we find the former range from 2.4–8+% while the later are less than 0.5% (S6 Table, S1 and S2 Figs). This suggests that the variation due to differences in absolute leg length are more impactful in CoT calculations than speed estimates. To further explore this we chose to look at both basal metabolic rate (BMR) and BMR + foraging costs to gain a baseline to compare relative differences in energy use. This was done to ensure we would not produce an exaggeration of the differences between taxa as, for example, the estimated dally caloric intake according to BMR using [55] for the 660 kg juvenile tyrannosaurid “Jane” is only 2400 calories or about the same as the lead author.

Table 2. Foraging costs for theropod dinosaurs.
A)
Foraging 12 hrs/ day
Taxon specimen Mass (kg) HH (cm) CoT hr day year
Tyrannosaurus MOR 555 6072 242.9 1.31 5.75E+04 6.90E+05 2.52*10^8
Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 6177 214.0 1.45 6.45E+04 7.74E+05 2.82E+08
Tyrannosaurus BHI 3303 7655 255.7 1.26 6.97E+04 8.36E+05 3.05E+08
Tyrannosaurus BMRP 2002.4.1 660.23 169.6 1.73 8.24E+03 9.89E+04 3.61E+07
Sinraptor ZDM 0024 2373.5 187.2 1.61 2.75E+04 3.29E+05 1.20E+08
Gorgosaurus AMNH 5458 2427.3 211.2 1.46 2.56E+04 3.07E+05 1.12E+08
Gorgosaurus NMC 2120 2427.3 210.7 1.47 2.56E+04 3.08E+05 1.12E+08
Tarbosaurus PIN 552–1 2816.3 193.2 1.57 3.18E+04 3.82E+05 1.39E+08
Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 5474.1 214.1 1.45 5.71E+04 6.85E+05 2.50E+08
Giganotosaurus MUCPv-CH-1 6907.6 241.6 1.32 6.57E+04 7.88E+05 2.88E+08
Tyrannosaurus CM 9380 6986.6 249.9 1.29 6.47E+04 7.76E+05 2.83E+08
Tyrannosaurus FMNH PR 2081 9130.87 260.9 1.24 8.18E+04 9.82E+05 3.58E+08
Tyrannosaurus BHI 3303 5622 255.7 1.26 5.12E+04 6.14E+05 2.24E+08
B)
Taxon specimen mass (kg) per km 18 km 6570 km
Tyrannosaurus MOR 555 6072 7983 1.44E+05 5.25E+07
Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 6177 8953 1.61E+05 5.88E+07
Tyrannosaurus BHI 3303 7655 9675 1.74E+05 6.36E+07
Tyrannosaurus BMRP 2002.4.1 660.23 1145 2.06E+04 7.52E+06
Sinraptor ZDM 0024 2373.5 3814 6.86E+04 2.51E+07
Gorgosaurus AMNH 5458 2427.3 3554 6.40E+04 2.33E+07
Gorgosaurus NMC 2120 2427.3 3560 6.41E+04 2.34E+07
Tarbosaurus PIN 552–1 2816.3 4416 7.95E+04 2.90E+07
Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 5474.1 7932 1.43E+05 5.21E+07
Giganotosaurus MUCPv-CH-1 6907.6 9119 1.64E+05 5.99E+07
Tyrannosaurus CM 9380 6986.6 8986 1.62E+05 5.90E+07
Tyrannosaurus FMNH PR 2081 9130.87 11362 2.05E+05 7.46E+07
Tyrannosaurus BHI 3303 5622 7105 1.28E+05 4.67E+07

Foraging coasts amongst large bodied theropods based on volumetric reconstructions. A) costs in Kj on an hourly, daily and yearly basis. B) Costs of foraging in Kj per unit distance assuming a 18km daily foraging distance as per Carbonne et al (2011) for 1Km, 1 day (18 Km) and 1 year (6570Km).

Table 3. Total daily energy expenditure estimates for medium and large theropods.
A)
Taxon specimen mass (kg) CoT Foraging BMR [45] BMR [46]
Tyrannosaurus BMRP 2002.4.1 660 1.73 9.89E+04 2.03E+04 1.02E+04
Ceratosaurus USNM 4735 678 2.35 1.38E+05 2.07E+04 1.05E+04
Gorgosaurus AMNH 5664 688 1.87 1.11E+05 2.09E+04 1.06E+04
Sinraptor ZDM 0024 2374 1.61 3.29E+05 5.19E+04 2.92E+04
Gorgosaurus AMNH 5458 2427 1.46 3.07E+05 5.28E+04 2.97E+04
Gorgosaurus NMC 2120 2427 1.47 3.07E+05 5.28E+04 2.97E+04
Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 5474 1.45 6.85E+05 9.60E+04 5.79E+04
Tyrannosaurus BHI 3303 5622 1.26 6.14E+05 9.78E+04 5.92E+04
Tyrannosaurus MOR 555 6072 1.31 6.90E+05 1.04E+05 6.31E+04
Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 6177 1.45 7.74E+05 1.05E+05 6.40E+04
Giganotosaurus MUCPv-CH-1 6908 1.32 7.88E+05 1.14E+05 7.01E+04
Tyrannosaurus CM 9380 6987 1.29 7.76E+05 1.15E+05 7.08E+04
B)
total daily (basal + 12 hours walking) 18 km + daily BMR
Taxon specimen BMR [45] % diff. BMR [46] % diff. BMR [45] % diff. BMR [46] % diff.
Tyrannosaurus BMRP 2002.4.1 1.19E+05 32.5 1.09E+05 35.5 4.09E+04 19.8 3.08E+04 26.2
Ceratosaurus USNM 4735 1.58E+05 x 1.48E+05 x 4.94E+04 x 3.91E+04 x
Gorgosaurus AMNH 5664 1.32E+05 20.4 1.21E+05 22.1 4.40E+04 12.7 3.37E+04 16.6
Sinraptor ZDM 0024 3.81E+05 x 3.59E+05 x 1.21E+06 x 9.78E+04 x
Gorgosaurus AMNH 5458 3.60E+05 6.2 3.37E+05 6.7 1.17E+05 4.0 9.37E+04 5.0
Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 7.81E+05 x 7.43E+05 x 2.39E+05 x 2.01E+05 x
Tyrannosaurus BHI 3033 7.12E+05 10.0 6.73E+05 10.6 2.26E+05 6.6 1.87E+05 8.0
Tyrannosaurus MOR 555 7.93E+05 x 7.53E+05 x 2.47E+05 x 2.07E+05 x
Acrocanthosaurus NCSM 14345 8.78E+05 9.5 8.38E+05 10.0 2.66E+05 6.6 2.25E+05 7.8
Giganotosaurus MUCPv-CH-1 9.02E+05 x 8.58E+05 x 2.78E+05 x 2.34E+05 x
Tyrannosaurus CM 9380 8.91E+05 1.3 847165 1.4 276543 0.9 232518 1.0

A) Cost of transport during daily foraging during and energy expenditure calculated using basal metabolic rate (BMR) estimates per [45, 46] in Kj. B) Comparison of daily energy expenditure (foraging + BMR) between Tyrannosauridae and similar sized basal large bodied theropods.

We see significant differences between tyrannosaurids and more basal large theropods, using either BMR or BMR + energetic expenditures for both the hourly and distance based foraging ranges. Using a 12 daily hour foraging regime per [45] we find foraging savings between similar sized tyrannosaurids and more basal forms is between 10% of daily to 300% of daily BMR (Tables 2 and 3A). We contend this suggests that this metric may be too low a baseline. Using BMR + energetic expenditure values we find differences drop, but the trends remain similar. Differences in total daily expenditure range from 1.3% in the largest Tyrannosaurus specimens compared to Giganotosaurus up to 35% when comparing the juvenile Tyrannosaurus “Jane” to a Ceratosaurus (Table 3B). This translates to between 2-16kg of extra meat a day. Interestingly, the highest values are seen when comparing Acrocanthosaurus (NCSM 14345) to the “Wankel” Tyrannosaurs specimen (MOR 555 [currently USNM 555000 with the transfer of the specimen to the National Museum of Natural History]), but is lower in the largest specimens examined here.

Given the uncertainty on the percentage of the day spent foraging, using distance traveled may provide us with a more robust comparison. Adult tyrannosaurids have been estimated to travel perhaps 18 km per day in foraging [44] which at 2 m/s would correspond to 2.5 hrs of foraging time, comparable to that seen in modern large terrestrial mammalian carnivores [21]. Over the course of a year this would amount to large bodied theropods traversing over 6500 km. If we examine distance traveled we see lower, but still significant, differences in energy expenditure ranging from 0.9 to 19.8% of total expenditure over that distance (Table 3). While these differences, around 1% in the largest theropods, may seem insignificant of the course of a year they are the equivalent of 3–6 days of total energetic expenditures (BMR + daily foraging of 18km). If we translate that to how many meals over the course of a year’s foraging, it translates to over 170kg of less meat consumed in the largest specimens. This corresponds to the size of a Ornithomimus or subadult Thescelosaurus [44] and up to 1250 kg in the “Wankel” specimen compared to Acrocanthosaurus which is the equivalent of 5 Thescelosaurus.

Discussion

Getting up to speed

We find that using single, simple limb metrics, especially distal limb ratios, directly in judging the “cursoriality” of taxa across Theropoda is not defensible unless supplemented with other means of support. If looking at comparable sized individuals, particularly amongst small theropods less than 500kg, using either HL/SVL or distal limb indices has the potential to allow for accurate assessment of relative level of cursoriality between specimens, but given the low correlation value generated in our analysis, caution is advised on using these as central pillars in paleoecological reconstructions. One major reason for this is that some indices, such as HL/SVL, are highly influenced by allometry. HL/SVL amongst non-avian theropods shows a strongly negative scaling with body size (log HL = 0.85293+/- 0.022505* log SVL+0.26446 +/- 0.063007, r2 = 0.96, p(uncorr)>0.001, n = 77). Thus larger animals, up until they hit the boundary where body size limits speed and acceleration potential [7], will have higher absolute speeds due to their absolutely longer leg length. Thus, at the same Froude number, they will have higher top speed regardless of the proportions of the limb. For example, Eustreptospondylus (Hl = 1209 mm, HL/SVL 0.58, Distal limb index 1.43) has a higher top speed at a Froude of 5 (7.7 m/s) than Changyuraptor (4.6 m/s, Hl = 433 mm, HL/ SVL = 0.96), Distal limb index 1.83. Distal limb index also shows this pattern of negative allometry, though the correlation is weaker (Distal limb index = -0.41125+/- 0. 064192 *log SVL+3.0372 +/- 0.17972, r2 = 0.39, p(uncorr)>0.001, n = 77) which may explain why, without correcting for mass, it shows a significant relationship to top speed.

It is clear that when body mass is taken into account, there is an upper limit on running speed that becomes more influential on the life history and ecology of theropods as one approach’s ~1000 kgs (Fig 5). This pattern fits with what is expected theoretically [59, 60] and shown through empirical studies [7, 20, 61]. In the largest mammalian land animal of today, white rhinos and elephants, top recorded speeds are much lower than those of smaller animals with shorter absolute limb lengths [7, 61] and their limbs are suspected to be adapted more for reducing locomotive costs at these sizes than fast running [61]. This is not to say that running is not possible for taxa of greater than 1000kg, as white rhinos are recorded at speeds exceeding 11m/s for a Froude value of around 11 (though this is speed record is suspect due to the uncertainty in using car chase speed reports [61]) and elephants at over 6m/s, giving the later a maximum Froude value of less than 5 [62, 63]. Both of these values are comparable to what we estimate here based on [7] for similar sized theropods.

Fig 5. Pattern of maximum running speed across non-avian theropods.

Fig 5

Observing the effect of increasing body mass on top speed in non-avian theropods by evaluating the difference between various reconstructive methods, including upper and lower confidence intervals for [7]. Note that at smaller body size, less than 100 kg, there is a large and increasing gap between the top speed limit imposed by [7] and top end estimates from other methods. This gap becomes largest in specimens between 10–100 kg indicating that perhaps these specimens had the highest ceiling to increase running speed by exaggerating hindlimb muscle size, altering insertion location, moment arm length, total leg length or stride frequency. Silhouette modified from those in Phylopic image repository (Phylopic.org) created by Joh Conway, Scott Hartman, Emily Willoughby and Matt Martynuik.

While this size class, greater than 1000 kg, only represent a fraction of theropod diversity [64] it represents crucial mid to top level carnivores for much of the Mesozoic since the Early Jurassic [1, 15, 65]. This raises the questions of why certain groups, most notably the tyrannosaurids, elongate their hindlimbs relative to more basal taxa when this costly addition, in terms of growth, was not aiding in increasing speed as they had already maxed out their potential for that. We suggest as one possibility that the likely selective pressure driving this was related to increasing foraging ability or home range size by decreasing the energy spent during low speed locomotion over long distance, as seen in extant taxa [20, 61]. Alternatively (and not mutually exclusive), they may have simply retained this limb proportions from smaller-bodied ancestors or earlier ontogenetic stages in which these proportions were adaptively significance in terms of increased speed [66, 67].

In many modern hunters, active searching for food does not occupy the entirety of their day [21, 22], though this does increase markedly in scavengers [45]. Of the time spent actively foraging only a fraction of that is accounted for by high speed pursuit. For example, in African wild dogs less than 8% of total hunt distance is traveled at high, yet not top, speed [68] and similar pattern seen in the amount of running stalking time seen in lions [69]. It is probable therefore that larger theropods would likely have not been spent in the active pursuit of prey at top speeds, regardless of the time spent foraging. Furthermore, the total energetic cost of hunting prey (pursuit, capture and killing) in modern larger carnivores is notably higher compared to those who favour small prey [21]. We therefore infer that amongst theropods weighing over 1000kg, given the limitations in top speed performance regardless of limb length due to bodysize [7], selection for energetic efficiency was likely significant regardless of the intralimb proportions.

For smaller (<1000 kg) theropods the opposite conditions apply. Not only are they more likely to be small prey specialist, where pursuits are short and prey easy to subdue, limiting the energy losses during hunting. Yet just as importantly these organisms are themselves potential prey items to larger theropods. This means that they have a strong selective pressure to obtain high top speed, especially with a short acceleration time, to facilitate escape. Including the possibility of a more crouched stance in the smallest theropods (<40kg) only exacerbates the difference between body mass derived limitations and the maximumly speed possible from limb elongation. Thus, we find two opposing selective pressures across theropod hindlimb, one at small size to maximize speed which decreases as you get larger to focus more on energetic savings in mid-sized to large members of the theropod community.

Why tyrannosaurids?

In looking for the origins behind the trend of long leggedness in tyrannosaurids, and the potential ecological and behavioural underpinnings for it, one must first determine if it a plesiomorphic feature of a wider Tyrannosauroidea or even coelurosaurian condition. That the coelurosaur condition is characterized by elongated hindlimbs is unlikely as other basal coelurosaurs such as compsognathids show reduced hindlimbs, among the lower third of the dataset and though the tibia is incomplete Zuolong shows values closer to Deinonychus (59th) than Tanycolagreus. While some basal tyrannosauroids do show elongated hindlimbs compared to femoral circumference (S4 and S5 Tables) such as Guanlong (1st), Tanycolagreus (12th), and Moros (11th), others such as the basal Coelurus (65th) or Dryptosaurus (42nd), the latter of the two is larger (> 1000kg) and closer to tyrannosaurines, ranks in the lower half. Additionally, if one were to reconstruct the femoral circumference of Dilong from its femoral width it would rank in the bottom quartile at around 64th. This combined with significant uncertainty due to the number of partial specimens at the base of the tyrannosauroid tree as well as the potential for the Megaraptora to be basal tyrannosauroids [70], paints an uncertain picture of how to reconstruct the evolution of hindlimb elongation in this clade. What we can say is that all the small long-legged basal members of this clade are well below the inflection point of selective pressures for speed versus efficiency. As such their position as mid-level predators in their ecosystem who were potential prey themselves could lead to species specific selection pressures being confused with clade wide trends. Finally, as we do not have a good understanding of the size of basal members of Tetanurae or Orinoides, though we suspect they were significantly smaller our cross over point [2, 15, 71]. Without these fossils, we cannot assess if derived tyrannosaurs retained the elongated hindlimbs of their small ancestors as they evolved gigantism or if this was a secondary elongation event confined to the later members of Eutyrannosauria.

Despite this the fact that both subadult and mature allosauroids, tyrannosaurids, and other tetanurans were too large to access upper range of speed due to their hindlimb length, raises the question of why they differ so much in relative limb length. One potential explanation is difference in prey choice. Sauropods were rare in those communities where Tyrannosauridae existed [72], with only a single taxon, Alamosaurus, known from North America restricted to the Southernmost part of Tyrannosaurus’ range [73], and two (c.f. [74]) small sauropods from the Nemegt which are minor members of the fauna [75]. For tyrannosaurids the most common larger prey taxa are herds of ceratopsians and hadrosaurs which are on the order of 1/5-1/10 the mass of the sauropod prey available to the larger allosauroids and basal tetanurans [64]. Furthermore, sauropods were a ubiquitous component of the ecosystems of these more basal large theropods [76], presenting a common and calorie dense meal source either through direct predation or carcass scavenging. While it is likely that much of the prey captured for theropods were juvenile and subadult specimens regardless of the prey species [77], sauropods would still provide a much larger meal with many species with over 40% of the population consisted of individuals of 3500kg or more [76]. In addition sauropod trackways indicate they tended to walk at slow speeds [78], and their size alone strongly suggests they would have a limited top speed significantly below that of their contemporaneous larger theropod faunas [7]. Thus, sauropods would provide an abundance of larger, slower and more energy dense food resources for more basal large theropod clades. Conversely we are suggesting that the pressure for obtaining more kills due to the fact that each kill provides less resources, thus necessitating minimizing energy expenditure per hunt and maximizing resource extraction per kill, especially if that kill is shared amongst a group, influenced selection for longer limbs in Tyrannosauridae.

Hunting the relatively smaller and faster hadrosaurs and ceratopsians may also have been facilitated by group behavior in tyrannosaurids, something previously documented by track and body fossils in large theropods [47, 79]. Juveniles, less than 10–15 years of age [80, 81] would still be in the zone where their long legs could be used to maximize top speed, potentially helping run down faster prey items. Beyond this it has been shown that amongst pack hunting animals employing strategy or communication between individuals can allow them to capture prey that is faster than any one individual [82]. Combining these factors we find that pack hunting would only increase the energetic savings differential even more dramatic between tyrannosaurs compared to allosauroids. For example, if we assume a tyrannosaur “pack” consisting of two adults around the size of BHI 3033 or MOR 555 and two subadults with femora approaching 1 m in length and 2500kg in mass and two juveniles the same size as “Jane” the savings versus a similar sized and demographically distributed group of Acrocanthosaurus or Saurophaganax is between 4000-4300kg worth of prey. This corresponds to about the mass of a 1–2 hadrosaurids [44] or 28–30 days of total energetics for the groups. If similar to modern large terrestrial carnivores the majority of hunts end in failure with only a 20–30% success rate [21], such a savings would reduce the necessity for multiple hunts, where during each on beyond the loss of energy in a failed capture this there is the inherent risk from injury either during the pursuit or capture itself. Such a large amounts of savings, corresponding to several large kills per year, would have significant effect on survivorship of the group.

Finally, there is the fact that meat acquisition does not necessarily have to exclusively come from the capture and killing of live prey items. Most modern primary predators and, likely, extinct ones such as large theropods, probably incorporate a significant fraction of carrion into their diet [45]. We know of several occurrences of likely scavenged tyrannosaurid feeding traces [77, 83, 84] indicating some facultative carrion usage did occur. Recent work [45] has estimated that scavenging would have been most important to mid to large, but not extremely large, sized theropods around the range that we find mass induced upper limits on top speed. While we may not agree with the assumptions and assertions of the level of scavenging suggested by [45], we do suggest that this is another line of evidence of the increasing role of energy efficiency over long distances locomotion. Given the data we have presented here saving multiple days’ worth of feeding requirements due to reduced energetic demands by increased leg length in large tyrannosaurids. Any adaptation that helps reduce the costly and potentially hazardous search, capture, killing and defending a kill would be a significant evolutionary advantage for that lineage and may have been one of the keys to their success in the Late Cretaceous c.f. [85].

Conclusions

We find that traditional, simple metrics, notably the distal limb index, fail to reflect true measures of cursorial and especially top speed potential across Mesozoic theropods. When direct comparisons of similar sized individuals are performed, several clades—most notably the compsognathids and basal birds which show high levels of distal limb elongation, do not show comparable total limb relative lengths or top speed to microraptorines or basal troodontids. Without accounting for the allometric influence on any of these limb metrics we remain highly skeptical of their broad application. Additionally, we also show that when we include the fact that there is a parabolic distribution of top speeds, with local maxima between 500-2000kg depending on the Froude number used to estimate speed, there is no significant relationship between distal limb index (or indeed any other commonly used hindlimb index) and top speed across theropods. We argue that selection for intralimb lengths is likely multifaceted, clade specific and unlikely to be captured in a simply, overarching metric.

Factors such as clade history, diet and prey capture methods, for example the role of the hindlimb in subduing prey in eudromaeosaurs [86] likely has implication for why they tend to have short metatarsals, all combine with speed and cost of transport influences to shape the final product. Despite saying this we do propose that, at a first order of magnitude, we can argue that their body size likely has a major role. Body sizes is here postulated to be strongly influential in the shifting the speed versus endurance/ energy savings balance in the paleobiology of theropods. Smaller taxa are more likely to take smaller prey, which reduces foraging and capture costs but conversely are they themselves much more likely to predated upon. For them a fleet foot may be the difference not just in a full or empty belly but in life or death. In larger taxa this balance shifts to be more “waste not, want not” as they are much less likely to be hunted while they are searching for prey.

We also find that amongst the large bodied theropods tyrannosaurids show markedly reduced values of cost of transport due to their elongated limbs. While their body size makes this unlikely to be of much value in increasing running speed, it does significantly save on the cost of daily foraging expenditures. These savings, up to several tones of meat per year per individual, would dramatically reduce the need to engage in the costly, dangerous and time-consuming act of hunting. One thing to keep in mind is that the cost of transport budget are cumulative. Thus even if it is difficult to calculate exact values for daily energy expenditure for a taxon, the accruing of substantial savings per step every day of an organisms existence would results in significant and impactful differences in the energy budget regardless of which method is used to estimate caloric requirements. As top speed is both not significantly different amongst similar sized large bodied theropods, regardless of limb length, nor is it considered a trait that is commonly optimized for during selection due to its rare use [61], these small continually additive savings in CoT are much more impactful for an organism survivorship. In addition other factors, such as hunting strategy, environmental conditions, prey abundance and difficulty in subduing it all likely have a much larger role than upper speed limits in shaping the ecological role of these mid to top level predators.

When coupled with the evidence that tyrannosaurids were, at least on occasion, living in groups as well as the fact their primary prey was on average smaller and more elusive than the sauropods that were a major component of the diet of more basal large theropods, this paints a picture where efficiency would be a major evolutionary advantage. Reducing the energy spent locating, pursing and subduing prey has a myriad of benefits and allows both for a reduction in number of kills needed to sustain a set number of animals but also allows them to devote excess resources to other life history aspects. While we cannot clearly ascertain if the “legginess” of tyrannosaurs was an adaptation itself or the retention of the ancestral condition of elongated hindlimbs as gigantism evolved in this clade, both options present interesting evolutionary scenarios with broader implications for the paleobiology and paleoecology of the Late Jurassic to Late Cretaceous ecosystems of Laurasia. Future work in this area will help elucidate which path this extremely successful clade took as they replaced carcharodontosaurs as the apex predator of the Upper Cretaceous [87].

Interestingly, additional analyses support the hypothesis that tyrannosaurids were more agile (that is, capable of turning more rapidly and with a smaller turning radius) than other comparable-sized large-bodied theropods [9]. This similarly reflects a specialization with Tyrannosauridae for hunting large-bodied ornithischians such as hadrosaurids and ceratopsids themselves likely more mobile and agile than sauropods. When combined these two lines of evidence for an energy efficient, yet still nimble, design of the Tyrannosauridae hindlimb reflect a likely long-distance stalker with a final burst to the kill likely in a pack or family unit, similar to modern wolves. This further reinforces the notion, that beyond being the apex predator of the latest Cretaceous Laurasian ecosystems, the tyrannosaurids were amongst the most accomplished hunters amongst large bodied theropods. We find that their anatomy, at once efficient and elegant, yet also capable of burst of incredible violence and brute force, lives up to their monikers as the tyrant kings and queens, of the dinosaurs.

Supporting information

S1 Table. Snout to vent (SVL) dataset.

Includes measurement data, hindlimb indices and regressions for 93 specimens for 71 different genera of avian and non-avian theropod. SVL = snout to vent length in mm, F = femur length in mm, T = tibia length in mm, MT = maximal metatarsal length in mm, HL = hindlimb (F+T +Mt) length in mm.

(XLSX)

S2 Table. Running speed estimates from hindlimb lengths for SVL dataset.

Note that the transition from walking to running occurs around Fr = 0.5[10]. Fr = Froude number, Alexander = [31], Ruiz and Torres = [88].

(XLSX)

S3 Table. Comparison of running speed from hindlimb lengths to body mass limitations based on [7] for subset of SVL dataset.

Postural scaling based on based on extant ground birds from data in [40]. FC = femoral circumference in mm. Mass = body mass in kg, Leginess = HL/ mass^1/3, MT. mass ^1/3 = Mt/mass^1/3.

(XLSX)

S4 Table. Comparison of running speed from hindlimb lengths to body mass limitations based on [7] for hindlimb only dataset.

(XLSX)

S5 Table. Comparison of femoral circumference vs hindlimb length for hindlimb only dataset.

(XLSX)

S6 Table

(XLSX)

S1 Fig. Comparison of maximum running speed vs CoT for selected tyrannosaurs vs other large theropods.

For all analyses green shaded box plots are basal theropods, red is tyrannosaurs. A) Smaller bodied specimens, mass range between 660-688kg, Ceratosaurs (USNM 4735) vs juvenile Tyrannosaurus rex (BMRP 2002.4.1) and Gorgosaurus (AMNH 5664). B) Midsized specimens, mass range between 2375-2430kg, Sinraptor (ZDM 0024) vs. Gorgosaurus (NMC 2120, AMNH 5458). For data see S6 Table.

(PDF)

S2 Fig. Comparison of maximum running speed vs CoT for selected tyrannosaurs vs other large theropods continued.

For all analyses green shaded box plots are basal theropods, red is tyrannosaurs. C) Large specimens, mass range between 6070-6170kg, Acrocanthosaurus (NCSM 14345) vs adult Tyrannosaurus rex (MOR 555) D) Largest specimens, mass range between 6900-7000kg, Giganotosaurus (MUCPv-CH-1) vs. adult Tyrannosaurus rex (CM 9380, AMNH 5027). For data see S6 Table.

(PDF)

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

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Decision Letter 0

Andrew Cuff

29 Oct 2019

PONE-D-19-26887

The fast and the frugal: Divergent locomotory strategies drive limb lengthening in theropod dinosaurs

PLOS ONE

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Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

I must apologise for the fact this has been on my desk for a week. The reviewers had quite extreme differences of opinion with regards to the manuscript so I have been through it myself. Whilst reviewer 1 suggests rejecting the manuscript, I am hoping that their comments and those of reviewer 2 will help shape this manuscript into something publishable in the future.

There is a lot of work to be done to make the manuscript publishable from its current form. This includes:

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #1: In the present study, the authors predict running speed and cost of transport in theropod dinosaurs. Unfortunately the study is not executed well. The manuscript is poorly constructed, and the narrative is extremely difficult to follow in many places. The grammar and legibility require considerable improvement, and the authors' non-scientific language in the conclusions is inappropriate. The justification for conducting the study is not entirely clear, and there does not seem to be any obvious hypotheses or research questions. The methodology requires the authors to bring in multiple numerical models from existing publications. However many of these predictive models are not explicitly laid out in the text, and the numerous assumptions associated with the models are not discussed. Holding posture as constant, for example, is a massive assumption given the considerable literature studying the postural shift occurring in the theropod lineage (Allen et al, 2013, Nature). Ultimately I was not sure what I was supposed to take away from the study. Is this a methodological study attempting to present a new metric for estimating running speed in fossils? Or rebut an existing one? Or is this a comparative functional morphology study looking at the evolution of running speed and cost of transport in the theropod lineage? If the purpose of the study was to rebut the Person and Currie 'distal hind limb index' by incorporating the parabolic model of Hirt et al, that would be a fine endeavour and would be achievable in 1500 words as a comment or reply to the original study. Unfortunately, in its present form, I do not believe this study is a meaningful contribution to the field of dinosaur palaeobiology.

Reviewer #2: This paper examiness limb proportions and relates them to estimates of speed and cost of transport / foraging costs in non-avian theropod dinosaurs. They argue that limb proportions are not generally reliable for predicting speed (in large part because the equations do not take into account the effect of scaling at large body sizes), and that the long legs of large-bodied tyrannosaurids lowered the energetic cost of foraging compared to other large-bodied theropods.

I agree with the overall conclusions of the article. Limb proportions cannot be sufficient for speed estimates given the restrictions faced by large taxa. I'm not sure that many paleontologists disagree on this point these days, and I'm not sure that other researchers use 'cursoriality' to only mean top speed. It makes sense that proportionately long legs would make for better cost of transport, particularly given that, as far as I can tell, the equation being used is derived form Pontzer 2007 that only uses hip height.

I think the main weakness of the paper is that several of the fundamental equations are based on samples across animals that find overall trends based on log-transformed data. I don't disagree with these papers' conclusions- there is a relationship between size and absolute speed, and metabolic cost and hip height. However, using equations based on these big differences to examine fine-grained within clade differences is less reliable than more specific models. For instance, the Y scale in figure 3 shows that estimates from the mass limitation paper can be up to about double those based on Froude numbers. This combined with other factors, such as log-transformed data tending to produce visually tight clusters of disparate data at large values, and the lack of confidence interval/errors for some of these estimates, can produce precise-looking estimates and trends where it is unclear how confident we should be in these estimates. There may not be an applicable fix currently for this issue, but I do think that it might be worth reminding readers that even though regressions produce point estimates, that there is some confidence interval around that estimate that might blur otherwise clear-looking patterns.

I think that any paper that deals with cursoriality or speed and discusses theropods should include at least a brief discussion concerning gait and grounded running. Unfortunately, there is confusion in the literature about what "running" means even in papers dealing specifically with top speeds, and so it's best not to contribute to this confusion. Any equations derived from mammal data concerning speeds should also be defended given theropods ability to achieve running dynamics while maintaining dual support.

More detailed comments follow:

Line numbers should always be included in manuscripts.

The abstract seems a bit strong in regards to the impact of mass. Is body size really often overlooked when discussing speed in theropods? A few holdouts occasionally opine about Tyrannosaurus galloping but the serious literature hasn't bother with those sorts of ideas for a long while it seems to me. Also is cursoriality the equivalent of speed? It's not clear to me that Persons and Currie mean speed.

The variables in the supplemental tables should be described and explained somewhere.

Throughout the manuscript interlimb is used when I think intralimb is meant. Given that the paper partially seems to be intended as a response to Persons and Currie, it is disheartening that Persons name is consistently misspelled as Parson throughout the text.

Figure 2- B is almost entirely redundant with A. Replot as one panel with Halszkaraptor receiving some unique symbol so that it can be picked out.

"sharp demarcation" p15. The point estimates seems relatively distinct but there's no error on them. How much messier does it look when different estimates for each taxon are plotted? The next sentence reveals that estimates for one taxon can vary almost 3m/s.

Table 3: B is confusing, needs to be explained or laid out better.

Is Figure 5 referenced in the text anywhere?

I have made a few more notes in the attached pdf and have highlighted some obvious grammar errors.

**********

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Attachment

Submitted filename: annotated pdf combined.pdf

PLoS One. 2020 May 13;15(5):e0223698. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0223698.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


9 Dec 2019

Response to reviewers' comments for manuscript PONE-D-19-26887:

“The fast and the frugal: Divergent locomotory strategies drive limb lengthening in theropod dinosaurs”

Reviewer # 1 (Comments to the Author)

In the present study, the authors predict running speed and cost of transport in theropod dinosaurs. Unfortunately the study is not executed well. The manuscript is poorly constructed, and the narrative is extremely difficult to follow in many places. The grammar and legibility require considerable improvement, and the authors' non-scientific language in the conclusions is inappropriate. The justification for conducting the study is not entirely clear, and there does not seem to be any obvious hypotheses or research questions. The methodology requires the authors to bring in multiple numerical models from existing publications. However many of these predictive models are not explicitly laid out in the text, and the numerous assumptions associated with the models are not discussed. Holding posture as constant, for example, is a massive assumption given the considerable literature studying the postural shift occurring in the theropod lineage (Allen et al, 2013, Nature). Ultimately I was not sure what I was supposed to take away from the study. Is this a methodological study attempting to present a new metric for estimating running speed in fossils? Or rebut an existing one? Or is this a comparative functional morphology study looking at the evolution of running speed and cost of transport in the theropod lineage? If the purpose of the study was to rebut the Person and Currie 'distal hind limb index' by incorporating the parabolic model of Hirt et al, that would be a fine endeavour and would be achievable in 1500 words as a comment or reply to the original study. Unfortunately, in its present form, I do not believe this study is a meaningful contribution to the field of dinosaur palaeobiology.

We thank the reviewer for pointing this out. We have now corrected grammar and legibility throughout the manuscript. We have also modified the language and tone of the specific sections identified by the reviewer.

We respectfully disagree with the reviewer with regard to narrative. The various aspects of the multifaceted issue highlighted within the manuscript have been identified and addressed in sequence. The presentation sequence that we use, that is: 1. analyzing previous estimators of cursorial ability, 2. including the limiting factor of body size, and 3. evaluating a possible energetics explanation for the largest theropods as they exceed the size limitation of maximum running speed, is a necessary progression to show the audience why simple metrics alone cannot tell the entire ecological and paleobiological picture. This progression was specifically chosen because it highlights that central fact, that allometry and absolute mass have profound effects on paleoecology and energetics, and makes our arguments in the discussion and conclusions as accurate and clear as possible.

As part of our work, we included a section on examining how various simple metrics reflect these overarching behaviours (i.e., distal limb index of Person and Currie, 2016). This was not the central focus of our research. Nevertheless, our evaluation and rejection of the index proposed by Person and Currie (2016) as an accurate means to estimate highly cursorial and high speed runners amongst non-avian theropods is an important contribution to the overall literature, despite not being the major focus of this study. Its inclusion here is because it and other similar ratios are a central pillar of many studies, functional and phylogenetic , to infer behavioural repertoires . As such we felt if we did not include an analysis section on the reliability of this and similar metrics, which touch upon but is not central to the broader scope of work, our manuscript would be incomplete and less impactful.

With regard to justification and lack of a clearly stated hypothesis, while our justification is clearly stated in the opening lines of the abstract, and in the introduction in the original (lines 30-31 and 96-97 in the clean text) We have now added a hypothesis statement to the newest version of the manuscript to address the reviewer’s concern (lines 90 -93 in the clean text version).

Regarding the use of specific models in our study, we rely on modeling and mathematical estimations when performing any reconstruction. This is necessary in order to gain the prerequisite information to enter into our analysis. In this study, reliable, peer reviewed data sources were selected as a starting point and then modified as necessary to fit with the scope of our study. This strategy has been adopted in countless other peer-reviewed publications, including several by each of the main authors, where input data derived from other published sources is used. In these studies, even simple values such as linear measurements, which often differ slightly between left and right sides or between authors taking them, are constantly used as if they were a single fixed variable with no associated errors, and this is not commonly seen as a major flaw by the scientific community. All of these input equations and variables sourced have been appropriately referenced so that readers can refer to the procedures in the specific peer reviewed publications if required.

Regarding the reviewer’s objection to postural changes based on Allen et al. (2013), we argue that this study’s results do not invalidate or drastically impact our own for several reasons. Our study focuses specifically on running speed relationship with leg length and body mass, as well as how limb elongation alters the long term cost of transport in large theropods. Therefore, our results are not significantly affected by discussions of center of mass shifts within the Neoavian stem. At high speeds, such as what we are testing here since Froude numbers of 5 or greater are a fast run, large animals adopt a more upright stance, as seen in modern mammals at between 100-300kg (Bertram and Biewener, 1990; Biewener, 1990). Although smaller mammals remain proportionally more crouched, the challenge is to determine how significant this shift would be in the Theropods, especially as many small mammals often occupy niche spaces that include behaviours not suspected for non-avian taxa such as burrowing or climbing. We chose our crouching value, 0.8 of total limb length, and set it as a constant. This value was selected as it closely approximated that see in large (10+ kg) modern birds (Gatesy and Biewener 1991; Birn Jeffery et al. 2014; Bishop et al. 2018). While this value does vary somewhat in mid-stance allometrically in modern avians, but in taxa of around 1.0 kg and above this value, when you use just the three limb elements (Femur tibia and metatarsus) we used for non-avian theropods, is greater than 0.6-0.8 times hindlimb length (Gatsey and Biewener 1991; Bir-Jeffery et al. 2014; Bishop et al. 2018) in level running. Given that a) the vast majority of our taxa are above 1.0 kg (18/ 22 in the SVL dataset and 68/77 in the Leg only), and b) that there is a significant shift to a more crouched posture within Neornthines compared to the taxa investigated here (Allen et al. 2013), we defend this value as likely being within the range seen in non-avian theropods running at higher speeds. For our foraging cost calculations, this would be even less of an issue, as all individuals in our comparisons were estimated at minimally 660 kg, well within the range of upright stances using either a mammalian or avian model.

Beyond this, it is unlikely that the data from Allen et al. (2013) would significantly alter our analysis results as Allen et al. (2013) state that the origin of the “crouched’ posture occurs at Tetanurae which, in their phylogeny, is represented by Dilophosaurus and includes all taxa more crownward than the coleophysoids. In contrast, our analysis has only 5 (out of 93) members of the SVL dataset, and 5 (out of 77) in our ‘hindlimb only’ dataset that are more basal than this node. Thus, shifts in COM and posture occurring here should have little effect on the majority of our data. Furthermore, in the supporting information Figure 1 in Allen et al. (2013), they show very little dorsoventral shifting in COM observed between Theropoda and Ornithothoraces (nodes 5-14 in their phylogeny), and any significant alterations happens well beyond our taxonomic sampling. We feel that shifts in this axis, rather than cranial caudally, is much more important in determining hip height, especially during high speed running as examined here.

In addition, there are several other factors that make it unlikely that the COM shifts seen in Allen et al. (2013) are highly influential on the results presented here. First, we have some issues with the data Allen et al. (2013) used, including the fact that their cf. caenagnathus specimen (CM78001) listed by Allen et al. with a mass of between 9-16 kg, a pelvic limb of 0.539 m, and a femur length of 0.17m. This specimen is actually the type of Anzu, a fairly large oviraptorosaur. with a femur measuring 0.505 m, hindlimb length of around 1.2+ m, and a mass estimated at 200-300kg (Lamanna et al. 2014). Because of this discrepancy we suggest this data point is likely suspect, and as it comes directly before Eumaniraptora (and is the only species recorded for the node Maniraptora), that makes suggestions of any shifts that occur between Maniraptora and Eumaniraptora more uncertain. There are other issues, such as the mass estimate for Archaeopteryx being between 0.066-0.13kg while other volumetric methods have it well above 0.2 kg (Yalden 1983; Elzonwski 2002; Pontzer et al. 2009 amongst others), which effects the proposed shift amongst the basal most avians as well. This inaccuracy becomes important because, as stated in the supporting information for Allen et al. (2013), relative COM is related to body size. Proportional Caudofemoralis size also scales allometrically. This helps exaggerate any observed shift (especially if one removes the erroneously reconstructed cf. caenagnathus) from the basal maniraptoriform Struthiomimus between 394-741 kg to the eumaniraptorans Velociraptor at 9.9-18.3 kg. Of note, Microraptor, whose COM would be critical for understanding if this change is purely allometric or has some function significance amongst paravians, does not have a reconstructed caudofemoralis mass. Therefore, no discussion can be made on its behalf. One wonders whether any signals for a significantly different posture amongst derived maniraptorans compared to more basal tetanurans is mostly due to the size of the specimens selected. Allen et al. (2013) also does not include any complete small bodied more basal coelurosaurs such as Compsognathus or Sinosauropteyrx, thus any discussion of how stance amongst small bodied taxa differed , as well as any challenge to our use of metrics to reconstruct hip height and speed, is not possible.

Finally, as small bodied paravians possessed elongated leg feathers that would, if held at a lower angle such as a deep crouch, become damaged on the substrate during locomotion, this argues against them adopting the level of crouching seen in similar sized modern birds. We do have trackways from individuals likely well below 0.5kg in mass (Kim et al. 2018) without evidence of feather drags. While this does not prove that they must have had a more upright posture, it is suggestive that these taxa had proportionally higher stances and hip heights even in small bodied taxa. And even if we assume a crouched position during the run similar to modern birds of ~1 kg for our smaller bodied specimens, this would only reinforce our finding that hindlimb length is the limiting factor for maximum burst speed from them, as it would have further lowered these values below the level estimated using Hirt et al. (2017) mass based equation. This would only strengthen our argument for the selective value of increasing leg length amongst small (not large) theropods in order to become faster to avoid predators and secure prey.

Despite these arguments, we have included a new paragraph and analyses incorporated into Supporting Tables 3 and 4 that adjusts the posture of our specimens based on a regression from modern ground birds from the data of Gatesy and Biewener (1991). We would like to point out that this change offers only minor alteration to specimens below 40kg in body mass if we use their data. This includes the foot as part of the hindlimb (something we did not do for non-avian theropods), at which point the value shifts to 0.8 and thus we maintained that constant for all larger bodied specimens. More recent work by Bishop et al. (2018) using just the three leg elements we did to constitute “leg length” shows even less prevalent crouching levels in modern ground birds, with no specimen at or above 0.6kg having hip levels less than 80% of leg length. While there is an allometric effect it would suggest that, if anything, we are over estimating the level of crouch in larger taxa, something that would again only hasten the intersection point where body size precludes longer limbs having a positive effect on speed. That said, we did perform an adjustment in addition to our original data to incorporate crouching and this adjustment, while it does lower the absolute maximum speed attained, does little to the relative differences between individual specimens or clades discussed. Nor does it alter the overarching finding of a shift from a drive to maximize running potential in small to medium sized theropods, while reducing transportation costs dominate at larger size classes.

In a more general response to this reviewer, we believe that a paper combining the testing of existing estimators for cursoriality with evaluation of the major selective pressures driving increased leg length amongst different theropods clades, and evaluating the energetics of foraging amongst large bodied theropods, does make a substantial contribution to the paleobiological literature. The fact that we decided to combine several different, but related, analyses and datasets in a single manuscript is to us not a drawback, but a strength. We would therefore like to thank the reviewer for their comments, and would be keen to work with them on specific issues and sections that they deem as requiring more work. However, with respect, we do not see the foundation of the reviewer’s argument for rejection as being solid or providing any useful path forward in addressing this problem.

Reviewer #2: This paper examiness limb proportions and relates them to estimates of speed and cost of transport / foraging costs in non-avian theropod dinosaurs. They argue that limb proportions are not generally reliable for predicting speed (in large part because the equations do not take into account the effect of scaling at large body sizes), and that the long legs of large-bodied tyrannosaurids lowered the energetic cost of foraging compared to other large-bodied theropods.

I agree with the overall conclusions of the article. Limb proportions cannot be sufficient for speed estimates given the restrictions faced by large taxa. I'm not sure that many paleontologists disagree on this point these days, and I'm not sure that other researchers use 'cursoriality' to only mean top speed. It makes sense that proportionately long legs would make for better cost of transport, particularly given that, as far as I can tell, the equation being used is derived form Pontzer 2007 that only uses hip height.

I think the main weakness of the paper is that several of the fundamental equations are based on samples across animals that find overall trends based on log-transformed data. I don't disagree with these papers' conclusions- there is a relationship between size and absolute speed, and metabolic cost and hip height. However, using equations based on these big differences to examine fine-grained within clade differences is less reliable than more specific models. For instance, the Y scale in figure 3 shows that estimates from the mass limitation paper can be up to about double those based on Froude numbers. This combined with other factors, such as log-transformed data tending to produce visually tight clusters of disparate data at large values, and the lack of confidence interval/errors for some of these estimates, can produce precise-looking estimates and trends where it is unclear how confident we should be in these estimates. There may not be an applicable fix currently for this issue, but I do think that it might be worth reminding readers that even though regressions produce point estimates, that there is some confidence interval around that estimate that might blur otherwise clear-looking patterns.

I think that any paper that deals with cursoriality or speed and discusses theropods should include at least a brief discussion concerning gait and grounded running. Unfortunately, there is confusion in the literature about what "running" means even in papers dealing specifically with top speeds, and so it's best not to contribute to this confusion. Any equations derived from mammal data concerning speeds should also be defended given theropods ability to achieve running dynamics while maintaining dual support.

More detailed comments follow:

Line numbers should always be included in manuscripts.

We thank the reviewer for point this out, and have now added line numbers to the revised version.

The abstract seems a bit strong in regards to the impact of mass. Is body size really often overlooked when discussing speed in theropods? A few holdouts occasionally opine about Tyrannosaurus galloping but the serious literature hasn't bother with those sorts of ideas for a long while it seems to me. Also is cursoriality the equivalent of speed? It's not clear to me that Persons and Currie mean speed.

Re-reading Persons and Currie’s text, it is clear that they mean to evaluate running ability, and repeatedly reference maximum running speed, while noting that they really can’t test that using their proposed metrics. In addition, having listened to several talks by other members of this research group which all have used CLP score as a proxy for running speed in their taxon of interest. As for Tyrannosaurus top speed, even many serious works have postulated speed as being a major factor in their extended distal limb segments, even if they don’t think they ran at a gallop. Our finding that speed is highly limited by mass, not just in the largest of the large specimens but likely in all specimens over 1000kg, has a broader impact on our reconstruction hunting behaviour and paleoecology for theropods large, medium and small.

The variables in the supplemental tables should be described and explained somewhere.

We agree with the reviewer. These have now been listed in the description of Figure 3 as well as in the supporting tables, where they appear.

Throughout the manuscript interlimb is used when I think intralimb is meant. Given that the paper partially seems to be intended as a response to Persons and Currie, it is disheartening that Persons name is consistently misspelled as Parson throughout the text.

We thank the reviewer for pointing this out. We have now corrected this throughout the manuscript.

Figure 2- B is almost entirely redundant with A. Replot as one panel with Halszkaraptor receiving some unique symbol so that it can be picked out.

We agree with this comment, and have made the suggested modification.

"sharp demarcation" p15. The point estimates seems relatively distinct but there's no error on them. How much messier does it look when different estimates for each taxon are plotted? The next sentence reveals that estimates for one taxon can vary almost 3m/s.

With apologies for the confusion, we would like to clarify that this is the estimated speed across various speed estimator, and not the error. For example the comparison of Changyuraptor compared to Sinosauropteyrx, two species similar in SVL (2% difference) using any individual metric, we find that the former has a 131% higher estimated top speed than the later as show in Supporting Table 2. Thus, while the top speed estimate between metrics for any individual taxon may vary, and these are the different numbers the reviewer alluded to, the differences between individuals under the same estimator remain large. We have now added a sentence in the revised manuscript to clarify this point.

Table 3: B is confusing, needs to be explained or laid out better.

Is Figure 5 referenced in the text anywhere?

We thank the reviewer for pointing out this oversight, we have now added the figure reference in the revised manuscript.

I have made a few more notes in the attached pdf and have highlighted some obvious grammar errors.

We have now addressed these in the revised version where they occur.

Attachment

Submitted filename: PONE reviewer response by Dececchi et al Dec 6th.docx

Decision Letter 1

Andrew Cuff

21 Jan 2020

PONE-D-19-26887R1

The fast and the frugal: Divergent locomotory strategies drive limb lengthening in theropod dinosaurs

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Dececchi,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Both reviewers believe that you have made significant improvements to the first draft of the manuscript and have suggested minor revisions. However, they both have suggested you need to spend time to provide some confidence intervals to your estimates, with reviewer #1 detailing a good method for doing so. Please address this, and the discussion with regards to running. Do not rush this bit to get it done by the default revision due date, as I appreciate providing the confidence intervals for all taxa may take a bit of time.

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Reviewers' comments:

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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Reviewer #2: Yes

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6. Review Comments to the Author

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Reviewer #1: Thank you to the authors for providing detailed and considered responses to our initial concerns. Through their inclusion of a new section on the potential confounding effects of body posture, I do believe the manuscript has been considerably improved. Likewise, the inclusion of a clear hypothesis has improved the framing of the study. Following up from Reviewer 2's previous suggestion, I do think two further additions are necessary in order for the research to be publishable:

1. Include confidence/prediction intervals at every step of the analysis. Although the authors are using volumetric mass estimates, many of those are published with an 'upper' and 'lower' bound solutions. Likewise, for any predictive model derived from empirical data (maximums speed equations of Alexandr or Ruiz and Torres, BMR estimates, CoT estimates from Pontzer), the specific model used should be clearly stated in text (including coefficients, r2 value etc) and 95% prediction intervals calculated. These can be easily calculated when the authors of the model have included their raw data (as is the case with Pontzer 2007, Grady et al etc.). Preferably, the authors should include this uncertainty as they progress through their analysis. This can be achieved through defining the 95% prediction interval and then running a random number generator within those bounds, say 1000 times. Progress those values on and repeat at the next stage of analysis. Ultimately, each species should then be represented by a distribution of values for predicted speed, CoT etc. This is a powerful approach, as it would then allow the authors to statistically test whether one species is different from another.

2. Following on from this, I would like to see the authors run their analysis on a few modern taxa to check the protocol produces sensible values. There are several volumetric models of extant animals available in the literature. Falkingham 2011 has a photogrammetry model of an elephant in the supplementary data, for example. I think the authors could have far more confidence in their results if they could demonstrate that they are capable of producing ballpark reasonable values for modern taxa for which we have the in vivo data.

Reviewer #2: Considering the revision and the authors' response, the authors do not seem to have addressed my largest two concerns.

The first is about the nature of the values calculated from the regressions. Consider, for example, the data from Table 2, where the authors argue for a clear difference between large bodied tyrannosauroids and other similarly sized theropods. Sinraptor and Giganotosaurus appear close to Tyrannosaur values, while Tarbosaurus is close to the Tyrannosaur values. Yes, the point estimates produce a pattern where Tyrannosaurs are generally below similarly-sized theropods but without an idea of the variance/error involved in estimation, it is unclear how strongly to interpret these results. I continue to believe that presenting point estimates for fossil taxa without any discussion or attempt to quantify variance, error, or confidence about these estimates is not nearly as helpful as if these were at included or at least considered. For instance, many of the large theropods exceed the largest taxon sampled in Pontzer's data (Obviously, since elephant is the largest available taxon with measured cost of transport data). Extrapolating beyond the sample set used to generate the regression is an issue that should be discussed in the paper. I think at least some discussion of these sorts of issues, even if the authors do not quantify them, is appropriate.

The second is that in a paper dealing with theropods and using the word "running" the authors should make explicit what they mean by the term. This is not a kinematics or energetics paper, but it is very easy for other researchers and the public to misinterpret any results that deal with running speed without things being made clear.

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PLoS One. 2020 May 13;15(5):e0223698. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0223698.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


10 Mar 2020

Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: Thank you to the authors for providing detailed and considered responses to our initial concerns. Through their inclusion of a new section on the potential confounding effects of body posture, I do believe the manuscript has been considerably improved. Likewise, the inclusion of a clear hypothesis has improved the framing of the study. Following up from Reviewer 2's previous suggestion, I do think two further additions are necessary in order for the research to be publishable:

1. Include confidence/prediction intervals at every step of the analysis. Although the authors are using volumetric mass estimates, many of those are published with an 'upper' and 'lower' bound solutions. Likewise, for any predictive model derived from empirical data (maximums speed equations of Alexandr or Ruiz and Torres, BMR estimates, CoT estimates from Pontzer), the specific model used should be clearly stated in text (including coefficients, r2 value etc) and 95% prediction intervals calculated. These can be easily calculated when the authors of the model have included their raw data (as is the case with Pontzer 2007, Grady et al etc.). Preferably, the authors should include this uncertainty as they progress through their analysis. This can be achieved through defining the 95% prediction interval and then running a random number generator within those bounds, say 1000 times. Progress those values on and repeat at the next stage of analysis. Ultimately, each species should then be represented by a distribution of values for predicted speed, CoT etc. This is a powerful approach, as it would then allow the authors to statistically test whether one species is different from another.

We agree with this suggestion, and in trying to accommodate it we have provided confidence intervals based on running speed estimates derived from Hirt et al. (2017) (based on 1.96x the standard error values provided in Supplemental Table 4) as well as cost of transport based on Pontzer 2007 which provides the equation used in Pontzer et al. 2009 (which does not provide data to determine error bars). It should be noted that neither Alexander 1976 nor Ruiz 2018 (this was an error on our part, for while Ruiz and Torices 2013 does talk about running and does correct the error in Alexander 1976 Ruiz 2018 directly address the application of this error to a theropod trackway and thus is more applicable for use on line 143. This has been corrected in the text) include confidence intervals nor standard error values. Furthermore papers that use these speed estimates such as Thulborn 1982, Mazetta and Blanco 2001, McCrea et al. 2014, Smith et al. 2016 (amongst others) calculate them without confidence intervals. Thus we estimated speeds from those equations based both on the data presented and in the way that is acceptable and commonly used in the field.

As for calculations from Froude numbers we do not include confidence intervals on those as the Froude number is a dimensionless parameter not a derived coefficient from a regression analysis and thus does not permit upper and lower bound estimates. For mass values, amongst the studies using volumetric reconstruction to estimate dinosaur size used in our analysis only those from Bates et al. (2009) include upper and lower bound estimates, the rest all include only a single value for calculated mass. Given that this represents only 2 data points in our analysis we do not believe that including them provides much added clarity or changes our results in any meaningful way. We have modified Figure 5 (include here as well) to document upper and lower bounds for the Hirt et al. 2017 speed values. We also calculated upper and lower bounds for CoT for the taxa included in Table 1and included these values as Sup. Table 6.

Besides the inability to gain the data to perform the analysis this reviewer request, another challenge is that we do not believe that their suggested approach is a) informative and b) impactful on our results. While it may appear to enhance the reliability of the data (though as we pointed out it is not possible to do given the sources that we used) its true value is limited. Biologically speaking those “randomly” selected points are not actually equal probabilistically. For example, without any prior knowledge of suspected phylogenetic signal in differences in metabolic costs (which for the tyrannosaurs and the more basal theropods used in this part of the analysis we have no evidence nor suggestion that there would be any) assuming that it is equally likely that one clade occupies the upper bounds while the other the lower is not justified. In order to show that our data suggests that there are genuinely marked CoT differences, but not speed differences we have included comparisons of the Upper and lower bounds estimates for similar sized taxa between these different groups included here and as Supporting Figures 1 and 2 in the manuscript. What is of note is that the for similar sized taxa the difference in speed values are minute, but CoT are much larger, often by close to an order of magnitude. For example the difference between top speed ( all data based on mass reconstructions from Snively et al. 2019, using the Hirt et al. 2017 speed limitation upper bounds) between Giganotosaurus (MUCPv-CH-1) and Tyrannosaur rex (either CM 9380 or AMNH 5027) is 0.02m/s or about 0.29% of top speed values (~8.9m/s) while the CoT differences are 2.4 and 3.1% higher for the basal theropods. We see similar values in smaller exemplars such as Sinraptor vs Gorgosaurs (both individuals at ~2400kg) where a speed difference of 0.05 m/s (0.5% of top speed) is met with a 8.3% difference in CoT. This pattern persists if one looks at the lower bounds or mean values across comparisons. We believe by including this data we can clearly show a distinct pattern of markedly higher savings in CoT compared to minor differences in top speed values across the comparisons. Given that CoT is also a cumulative value which effects the energy budget every step that animal takes during its lifetime, this is likely a much more impactful value for selection.

2. Following on from this, I would like to see the authors run their analysis on a few modern taxa to check the protocol produces sensible values. There are several volumetric models of extant animals available in the literature. Falkingham 2011 has a photogrammetry model of an elephant in the supplementary data, for example. I think the authors could have far more confidence in their results if they could demonstrate that they are capable of producing ballpark reasonable values for modern taxa for which we have the in vivo data.

We are slightly puzzled by this request as both the volumetric estimates we present as well as all speed and CoT equations used were derived from studies and protocols tested first on extant animals. Thus the reason we can have some confidence in these protocols is because they have been derived from living creatures. What we can say is that perhaps that our Froude estimated speed potential for the largest taxa (mass >6000kg) may be too high as the fastest a living elephant has reliably been documented to run is Fr=3.4 (Hutchinson et al. 2003). This may be a moot point as using Hirt et al.’s upper bounds speed values we find that these correspond to Froude values at around 2.5 for these extremely large theropods. This is similar too (but higher than) values seen in modern African elephants on level tracks (Hutchinson et al. 2003), conditions that are unlikely to occur in the environments these animals existed in. Thus again we are confident that these values to likely represent upper estimates of speed for these creatures.

Reviewer #2: Considering the revision and the authors' response, the authors do not seem to have addressed my largest two concerns.

The first is about the nature of the values calculated from the regressions. Consider, for example, the data from Table 2, where the authors argue for a clear difference between large bodied tyrannosauroids and other similarly sized theropods. Sinraptor and Giganotosaurus appear close to Tyrannosaur values, while Tarbosaurus is close to the Tyrannosaur values. Yes, the point estimates produce a pattern where Tyrannosaurs are generally below similarly-sized theropods but without an idea of the variance/error involved in estimation, it is unclear how strongly to interpret these results. I continue to believe that presenting point estimates for fossil taxa without any discussion or attempt to quantify variance, error, or confidence about these estimates is not nearly as helpful as if these were at included or at least considered. For instance, many of the large theropods exceed the largest taxon sampled in Pontzer's data (Obviously, since elephant is the largest available taxon with measured cost of transport data). Extrapolating beyond the sample set used to generate the regression is an issue that should be discussed in the paper. I think at least some discussion of these sorts of issues, even if the authors do not quantify them, is appropriate.

We addressed this issue above with the additions of new supporting tables and figures documenting more thoroughly the tyrannosaur values difference from other theropods of similar size. While we could include a small note about how the largest of our specimens extend beyond the modern taxa used to derived CoT equations unless there is reason to believe that one clade had a fundamentally different relationship between CoT and size than other how this would change our values. Even if our estimates for the largest theropods are off by 20% or more they should be off for all specimens by similar amounts, therefore not biasing our results one way or another and giving us the same overall conclusion (long legs are energetic savers in larger taxa) even if the caloric values we estimated are inaccurate.

The second is that in a paper dealing with theropods and using the word "running" the authors should make explicit what they mean by the term. This is not a kinematics or energetics paper, but it is very easy for other researchers and the public to misinterpret any results that deal with running speed without things being made clear.

The authors are confused as to why this is an issue for the reviewer, and what implications it has for this publications. Nevertheless we have included the following section in the text to make it clear that we are using “running ability” to mean more than overcoming the walk to run transition barrier.

“In extant vertebrates the walk to run transitions occurs at a Froude number > 1 [23], and a similar value is expected to hold for non-avian theropods with even the largest being suspected to achieve this feat [10, 11]. Following these parameters we define running ability here as the ability to achieve speeds corresponding to Froude numbers significantly higher than 1, as opposed to running capacity which is the ability to generate values of 1. We hypothesize that allometry will have significant consequences for running ability and that the selective weighting of top speed versus reducing energetic expenditures will vary across Theropoda concordant with changes in body size. We also hypothesize that amongst the largest theropods, > 1000kg, running ability, as assessed by top speed potential, will not be a significant factor in the influencing the relative level of elongation of the distal hindlimb, including in tyrannosaurs. “

Attachment

Submitted filename: Response to reviewers March 2020.docx

Decision Letter 2

Andrew Cuff

15 Apr 2020

The fast and the frugal: Divergent locomotory strategies drive limb lengthening in theropod dinosaurs

PONE-D-19-26887R2

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Reviewer #1: Thank you for taking the time to consider my comments. I believe the manuscript has been improved in the process. My concern throughout has always been that it felt like the reviewers were attempting to prove an already favoured hypothesis, rather than trying to disprove a null hypothesis. Hence my preference for identifying and incorporating as many possible sources of error through the workflow, and the notion of taking an extant species and walking it through the entire protocol as if it were a fossil taxon. I don't agree with the authors that there is nothing to be learned from this approach. Whilst these equations have indeed been derived from extant datasets, it is still valuable to reapply them to a few modern taxa, just to understand how the errors and uncertainty are compounded at each step. A volumetric mass estimate applied to a elephant skeleton will NOT correctly predict the mass of that animal, there will be error. Likewise, the CoT and speed equations will NOT exactly predict those of the elephant. The errors will mount up.

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Acceptance letter

Andrew Cuff

22 Apr 2020

PONE-D-19-26887R2

The fast and the frugal: Divergent locomotory strategies drive limb lengthening in theropod dinosaurs

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Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Table. Snout to vent (SVL) dataset.

    Includes measurement data, hindlimb indices and regressions for 93 specimens for 71 different genera of avian and non-avian theropod. SVL = snout to vent length in mm, F = femur length in mm, T = tibia length in mm, MT = maximal metatarsal length in mm, HL = hindlimb (F+T +Mt) length in mm.

    (XLSX)

    S2 Table. Running speed estimates from hindlimb lengths for SVL dataset.

    Note that the transition from walking to running occurs around Fr = 0.5[10]. Fr = Froude number, Alexander = [31], Ruiz and Torres = [88].

    (XLSX)

    S3 Table. Comparison of running speed from hindlimb lengths to body mass limitations based on [7] for subset of SVL dataset.

    Postural scaling based on based on extant ground birds from data in [40]. FC = femoral circumference in mm. Mass = body mass in kg, Leginess = HL/ mass^1/3, MT. mass ^1/3 = Mt/mass^1/3.

    (XLSX)

    S4 Table. Comparison of running speed from hindlimb lengths to body mass limitations based on [7] for hindlimb only dataset.

    (XLSX)

    S5 Table. Comparison of femoral circumference vs hindlimb length for hindlimb only dataset.

    (XLSX)

    S6 Table

    (XLSX)

    S1 Fig. Comparison of maximum running speed vs CoT for selected tyrannosaurs vs other large theropods.

    For all analyses green shaded box plots are basal theropods, red is tyrannosaurs. A) Smaller bodied specimens, mass range between 660-688kg, Ceratosaurs (USNM 4735) vs juvenile Tyrannosaurus rex (BMRP 2002.4.1) and Gorgosaurus (AMNH 5664). B) Midsized specimens, mass range between 2375-2430kg, Sinraptor (ZDM 0024) vs. Gorgosaurus (NMC 2120, AMNH 5458). For data see S6 Table.

    (PDF)

    S2 Fig. Comparison of maximum running speed vs CoT for selected tyrannosaurs vs other large theropods continued.

    For all analyses green shaded box plots are basal theropods, red is tyrannosaurs. C) Large specimens, mass range between 6070-6170kg, Acrocanthosaurus (NCSM 14345) vs adult Tyrannosaurus rex (MOR 555) D) Largest specimens, mass range between 6900-7000kg, Giganotosaurus (MUCPv-CH-1) vs. adult Tyrannosaurus rex (CM 9380, AMNH 5027). For data see S6 Table.

    (PDF)

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: annotated pdf combined.pdf

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: PONE reviewer response by Dececchi et al Dec 6th.docx

    Attachment

    Submitted filename: Response to reviewers March 2020.docx

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.


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