Abstract
Aims
Cardiovascular risk factors are used for risk stratification in primary prevention. We sought to determine if simple cardiac risk scores are associated with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-detected subclinical cerebrovascular disease including carotid wall volume (CWV), carotid intraplaque haemorrhage (IPH), and silent brain infarction (SBI).
Methods and results
A total of 7594 adults with no history of cardiovascular disease (CVD) underwent risk factor assessment and a non-contrast enhanced MRI of the carotid arteries and brain using a standardized protocol in a population-based cohort recruited between 2014 and 2018. The non-lab-based INTERHEART risk score (IHRS) was calculated in all participants; the Framingham Risk Score was calculated in a subset who provided blood samples (n = 3889). The association between these risk scores and MRI measures of CWV, carotid IPH, and SBI was determined. The mean age of the cohort was 58 (8.9) years, 55% were women. Each 5-point increase (∼1 SD) in the IHRS was associated with a 9 mm3 increase in CWV, adjusted for sex (P < 0.0001), a 23% increase in IPH [95% confidence interval (CI) 9–38%], and a 32% (95% CI 20–45%) increase in SBI. These associations were consistent for lacunar and non-lacunar brain infarction. The Framingham Risk Score was also significantly associated with CWV, IPH, and SBI. CWV was additive and independent to the risk scores in its association with IPH and SBI.
Conclusion
Simple cardiovascular risk scores are significantly associated with the presence of MRI-detected subclinical cerebrovascular disease, including CWV, IPH, and SBI in an adult population without known clinical CVD.
Keywords: magnetic resonance imaging, atherosclerosis, silent brain infarction, risk factors
Introduction
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is one of the leading causes of death in high-income countries.1 Risk factors for the two common manifestations of CVD, myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke, have been extensively studied.2,3 Over 80% of the risk of these conditions is explained by modifiable risk factors including smoking, abdominal obesity, diabetes, hypertension, and abnormal lipids.4 Several simple well-validated cardiovascular scores including non-lab-based risk scores have been proposed to evaluate the risk of developing clinical CVD.5–7
Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can accurately measure subclinical manifestations of vascular injury and has been used to identify individuals who have a higher risk of clinical vascular events in several studies in different populations.8–13 MRI is superior to computed tomography for diagnosis of silent cerebrovascular disease and does not expose participants to radiation.11 Most prior MRI cohort studies have been conducted in older populations,14 in which participants were selected for MRI based on increased subclinical carotid disease on ultrasound,14–17 and few large population-based studies have evaluated whether simple cardiac risk scores are associated with MRI-detected subclinical cerebrovascular disease including carotid wall volume (CWV), intraplaque haemorrhage (IPH), and silent brain infarction (SBI), subdivided by lacunar and non-lacunar types.18
In the Canadian Alliance for Healthy Hearts and Minds Cohort Study (CAHHM), we sought to determine if simple cardiac risk scores are associated with MRI-detected carotid artery disease and SBI.
Methods
Research ethics board approval was obtained from each participating centre. All participants signed consent forms prior to beginning in the study. CAHHM is a ‘cohort of cohorts’ as the majority of participants (>80%) were recruited through existing cohorts as previously described.19 Participants were eligible for CAHHM if they were between ages 35 and 69 years at the time of screening, and willing to complete questionnaires, and have physical measurements taken, and undergo an MRI scan of the brain and carotid arteries. Participants were excluded if they had any contraindications to undergoing an MRI scan.19 Details of the CAHHM MRI protocol have been previously published.19 Participant recruitment by cohort and magnet strength are provided in Supplementary data online, Appendix S1. Participants of the First Nations cohort also conducted in parallel are not included.20
In order to quantify the cardiovascular risk factor burden, we calculated the non-lab-based INTERHEART risk score (IHRS) using the version that did not include data on lipid levels.6,21 The non-lab-based IHRS is a validated score that includes data on age, sex, status with respect to smoking, exposure to second-hand smoke, diabetes, high blood pressure, and family history of MI, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR); home or work social stress, depression; simple dietary questions, and physical activity. Scores range from 0 to 48, with higher scores indicating a greater risk-factor burden. Cardiovascular risk tertiles corresponding to a score of 9 or less were classified as low risk, a score of 10 to 15 classified as medium risk, whereas a score of 16 and higher defined higher-risk subjects.6,22 Details concerning the development and validation of the IHRS have been published previously.6,7 The questions and scoring system are found in Supplementary data online, Appendix S2. In a subset of participants in whom blood was collected (n = 3889) Apolipoprotein A1 and B were measured which allowed calculation of the Framingham Risk Score using age and sex-specific prediction equations; high-density lipoprotein, and total cholesterol were estimated using measured Apolipoprotein B and A1 values.23 Participants were scored and then categorized into sex-specific risk categories as per the published Framingham Risk Score5 (Supplementary data online, Appendix S2).
Key MRI outcomes
The MRI protocol was previously published.19 Briefly, participants underwent a short non-contrast enhanced scan using a 1.5 or 3 T magnet. Each centre underwent a test scan for quality assurance which was evaluated and validated by the two MRI core labs (brain and carotid) prior to proceeding with recruitment. Details of each MRI outcome assessment and measurements are found in Supplementary data online, Appendix S3.
Brain
Brain infarcts identified on MRI were subcategorized based on location and size as small (≤15 mm axial diameter) subcortical lacunes,24 which are primarily related to small vessel disease, versus larger (>15 mm axial diameter) or cortical infarcts, which may be caused by embolism.25
Carotid arteries
Carotid artery vessel wall volume (mm3) (left, right, and combined) within a 32-mm vessel length centred on each carotid bifurcation (to include distal common and proximal internal carotid arteries) was measured by subtracting lumen volume from total vessel volume. Carotid vessel wall volume was defined as the maximum of the left and right carotid vessel wall volumes and was used as a measure of atherosclerosis.13 IPH was determined by the presence of increased signal intensity within the carotid artery wall at least one voxel in size with a signal intensity at least a one and a half times higher than the adjacent sternocleidomastoid muscle. Calcification or necrotic lipid cores were not assessed in the MRI protocol.
Statistical considerations
The CAHHM cohort study has high statistical power for the testing of associations between cardiovascular risk factors and subclinical MRI outcomes.19 Proportions or means with standard deviations are provided for baseline characteristics, cardiac risk scores, and baseline MRI findings. The trend tests for MRI outcomes between low, moderate, and high-risk categories of risk scores were made using one-way analysis of variance with linear contrasts for continuous outcomes and the Cochran Armitage Trend for bivariate outcomes. Overall and sex-stratified logistic regression models were used to identify the association between a 5-point increase in the IHRS (approximately equal to 1 SD) and each categorical MRI finding (i.e. SBI and IPH) and the continuous measure of CWV. These analyses were then repeated in the subset of participants with the Framingham Risk Score. Neither adjustment for centre nor social disadvantage, defined using a scoring system including employment, income, and marital status,26 altered the results, and therefore, crude odds ratios are presented. The addition of CWV to the risk scores association with each of the MRI outcomes and the MRI-cerebrovascular composite was performed using multivariate logistic regression.
Results
Between January 2014 and March 2018, 7594 participants free of clinical cardiovascular disease completed a non-enhanced MRI scan and had complete risk factor information collected (Supplementary data online, Figure S1).
Demographic characteristics
The demographic characteristics of the cohort participants are found in Table 1. Briefly, the cohort consisted of 55% women, the average age of participants was 58 years; and 19.6% were non-white. Participants were well educated, and social disadvantage was low (Table 1).
Table 1.
Demographic characteristics
| Overall | Women | Men | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Number | 7594 | 4195 | 3399 |
| Age (years) | 57.8 (8.9) | 57.3 (8.7) | 58.4 (9.1) |
| Non-White (%) | 19.6 | 19.6 | 19.7 |
| Urban region (%) | 97.5 | 97.3 | 97.8 |
| Family history of MI (%) | 33.1 | 34.8 | 31.0 |
| Elevated cholesterol (%) | 36.7 | 29.8 | 45.2 |
| Self-reported history of diabetes (%) | 4.9 | 3.5 | 6.6 |
| Hypertension (%) | 38.4 | 29.9 | 48.8 |
| Blood pressure (mmHg) | |||
| Systolic | 129 (17) | 125 (17) | 134 (15) |
| Diastolic | 79 (10) | 78 (10) | 82 (10) |
| Smoking status | |||
| Current smoker (in past year) (%) | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.6 |
| Former smoker (quit >1 year ago) (%) | 34.0 | 33.3 | 35.0 |
| Never smoked (%) | 60.6 | 61.5 | 59.4 |
| Second hand smoke exposure (1+ h/week) (%) | 4.6 | 4.7 | 4.4 |
| Abdominal obesity (WHR) % | 50.5 | 37.7 | 66.4 |
| Leisure physical inactivity (%) | 39.5 | 43.4 | 34.7 |
| Poor diet quality (%) | 16.8 | 13.2 | 21.2 |
| Eat salty foods or snacks one or more times a day (%) | 28.5 | 27.4 | 29.8 |
| Eat deep fried foods or snacks or fast foods three or more times a week (%) | 11.2 | 8.8 | 14.2 |
| Eat less than one serving of fruit a day (%) | 14.1 | 11.8 | 16.8 |
| Eat less than one serving of vegetables a day (%) | 6.4 | 5.0 | 8.2 |
| Eat meat and/or poultry two or more times a day (%) | 29.5 | 26.2 | 33.5 |
| No alcohol intake (%) | 5.8 | 6.8 | 4.5 |
| Depression (%) | 16.8 | 21.7 | 10.9 |
| Home or work stress (%) | 30.7 | 36.8 | 23.2 |
| Married or common law (%) | 75.4 | 69.8 | 82.4 |
| Employed or retired (%) | 92.7 | 90.1 | 95.9 |
| Post-secondary education (%) | 86.8 | 85.8 | 88.1 |
| Social disadvantage scorea | 1.2 (1.3) | 1.3 (1.4) | 1.1 (1.3) |
| High social disadvantage (%) | 6.3 | 8.1 | 4.0 |
| Prevalent cancer (%) | 6.6 | 7.7 | 5.2 |
| Prevalent non-atherosclerotic CVD (%) | 7.0 | 6.6 | 7.4 |
| INTERHEART risk score | 10.1 (5.8) | 8.8 (5.4) | 11.7 (5.8) |
| Framingham Risk Score (N = 3889) | 11.7 (4.1) | 11.0 (4.1) | 12.5 (3.9) |
Data are presented as mean (SD) or proportions. Family history of MI indicates if either biological parent has had a MI. Elevated cholesterol is defined by self-reported high cholesterol or those taking cholesterol-lowering statin medication daily. Self-reported diabetes is defined by those with any type of diabetes and on treatment. Hypertension is defined by those on medication for hypertension or those with a baseline SBP >140 mmHg or DBP >90 mmHg. Abdominal obesity is defined for women as a WHR >0.85 and for men as a WHR >0.90. Leisure physical inactivity is a self-reported measure of being mainly sedentary or doing minimal effort exercise during leisure time. Poor diet quality is defined, based on the diet portion of the IHRS, as those with a sub-score greater than two of the possible six demerit points. Depression is self-reported as those who felt sad, blue, or depressed for two consecutive weeks or longer, in the past year. Home or work stress is self-reported as those who had several or permanent stress at work or home in the past year.
aSocial disadvantage score was calculated by: income less than $25 000/year assigned a score of 2, income between 25 and 75 000 dollars per year a score of 1, unemployment (including retirement) was assigned a score of 2, and living without a partner was assigned a score of 1. The maximum social disadvantage score was 5, and the lowest possible score was 0, reflecting the least social disadvantage.
INTERHEART risk score
The mean non-lab-based IHRS was 10.1 (5.8). The frequency of component factors of the IHRS is depicted in Table 1. The proportion of participants who reported current smoking (5.4%) or a diagnosis of diabetes (4.9%) was low, whereas the proportion of participants with hypertension (38.4%), elevated blood cholesterol including those using a cholesterol-lowering statin (36.7%), or abdominal obesity (50.5%: 37.7% female, 66.4% male) was high. Half of the participants (3814/7594) were classified as low risk (score of 0–9, mean 5.5), 32.2% (2445/7594) as moderate risk (score 10–15, mean 12.2), and 17.6% (1335/7594) were classified as high risk (score ≥16, mean 19.4).
Framingham Risk Score
In the subset of the participants who provided blood samples, the Framingham Risk Score was calculated. The mean score was 11.7 (4.1); and 49.1% (1912/3889) of participants were classified as low risk, 32.9% (1278/3889) as intermediate, and 18.0% (699/3889) as high risk.
Association between risk scores and subclinical MRI outcomes
The overall frequency of IPH was 2.4% (179/7488) and SBI was 4.0% (301/7523) (lacunar: 2.3%; non-lacunar 1.7%). The proportion of participants with subclinical cerebrovascular disease including IPH or SBI increases progressively from low to moderate, to high risk by the IHRS, as does the mean CWV, with a strongly significant trend statistic for each outcome (Table 2). The proportion of participants with any MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease in the low-risk strata was 4.5%, in moderate risk was 7.5%, and in high risk was 8.9%, P < 0.0001 for the IHRS categories. Similar associations were observed for the Framingham Risk Scores (Table 3) (Figure 1A and 1B).
Table 2.
MRI outcomes by INTERHEART risk score category
| INTERHEART risk score category |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Low risk | Moderate risk | High risk | P-trenda | |
| Number | 7594 | 3814 | 2445 | 1335 | |
| INTERHEART risk score | 10.1 (5.8) | 5.5 (2.6) | 12.2 (1.7) | 19.4 (3.3) | |
| Framingham Risk Score | 11.7 (4.1) | 9.9 (3.3) | 12.6 (3.8) | 15.3 (3.6) | |
| Carotid vessel wall volume (mm3) | 902.6 (167.5) | 881.5 (163.1) | 915.4 (166.6) | 940.9 (172.9) | <0.0001 |
| Intraplaque haemorrhage | 2.4% (179/7488) | 1.8% (67/3783) | 3.0% (72/2405) | 3.1% (40/1300) | 0.001 |
| Silent brain infarction | 4.0% (301/7523) | 2.8% (106/3798) | 4.8% (116/2413) | 6.0% (79/1312) | <0.0001 |
| Lacunar | 2.3% (172/7523) | 1.6% (60/3798) | 2.6% (62/2413) | 3.8% (50/1312) | <0.0001 |
| Non-Lacunar | 1.7% (129/7523) | 1.2% (46/3798) | 2.2% (54/2413) | 2.2% (29/1312) | 0.003 |
| MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease | 6.2% (462/7449) | 4.5% (168/3770) | 7.5% (179/2388) | 8.9% (115/1291) | <0.0001 |
Data are presented as mean (SD) or proportions (counts).
IHRS, INTERHEART risk score.
P-trend calculate using linear contrasts for continuous data and Cochran Armitage Test for bivariate outcomes.
Table 3.
MRI outcomes by Framingham Risk Score category
| Framingham Risk Score category |
|||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | Low risk | Moderate risk | High risk | P-trenda | |
| Number | 3889 | 1912 | 1278 | 699 | |
| INTERHEART risk score | 10.0 (5.7) | 7.1 (4.3) | 11.4 (5.0) | 15.4 (5.2) | |
| Framingham Risk Score | 11.7 (4.1) | 8.4 (2.4) | 13.4 (1.5) | 17.5 (2.1) | |
| Carotid vessel wall volume (mm3) | 904.4 (167.4) | 869.2 (152.9) | 924.8 (170.9) | 963.5 (175.9) | <0.0001 |
| Intraplaque haemorrhage | 2.1% (82/3825) | 1.2% (23/1891) | 2.2% (27/1254) | 4.7% (32/680) | <0.0001 |
| Silent brain infarction | 3.6% (138/3860) | 2.1% (39/1902) | 3.5% (44/1264) | 7.9% (55/694) | <0.0001 |
| Lacunar | 2.2% (86/3860) | 1.3% (24/1902) | 2.1% (26/1264) | 5.2% (36/694) | <0.0001 |
| Non-Lacunar | 1.3% (52/3860) | 0.8% (15/1902) | 1.4% (18/1264) | 2.7% (19/694) | <0.001 |
| MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease | 5.6% (212/3814) | 3.2% (61/1887) | 5.5% (69/1247) | 12.1% (82/680) | <0.0001 |
Data are presented as mean (SD) or proportions (counts).
FRS, Framingham Risk Score (modified).
P-trend calculate using linear contrasts for continuous data and Cochran Armitage Test for bivariate outcomes.
Figure 1.

(A) Proportion of cohort with combined MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease within INTERHEART risk score category by sex. (B) Proportion of cohort with combined MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease within Framingham Risk Score category by sex. IHRS, INTERHEART risk score.
Each 5-point increase (about 1 SD) in the IHRS was associated with a 23% increase in carotid IPH [95% confidence interval (CI) 9–38%], and a 32% increase in SBI (95% CI 20–45%). A 5-point increase in IHRS has also associated a 29% (20–39%) increase in the odds of MRI-cerebrovascular composite of carotid IPH or SBI (Figure 2A). The Framingham Risk Score which incorporates the lipid measures was also significantly associated with MRI-cerebrovascular disease, including IPH and SBI (Figure 2B). These associations were also consistent by age, sex, racial-ethnic group, and social disadvantage strata (Figure 3).
Figure 2.
(A) Risk of MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease per 5-point increase in the non-lab-based INTERHEART risk score. (B) Risk of MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease per 5-point increase in the Framingham Risk Score. (A) The odds ratio and 95% confidence interval for each MRI outcome per 5-point increase in the non-lab-based INTERHEART risk score; (B) the odds ratio and 95% confidence interval for each MRI outcome per 5-point increase in the Framingham Risk Score. MRI-detected cerebrovascular outcome defined as intraplaque haemorrhage or silent brain infarction.
Figure 3.
Risk of combined MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease per 5-point increase in the non-lab-based INTERHEART risk score in various sub-groups. The risk of MRI-detected CVD per 5-point increase in INTERHEART risk score is shown overall, and within selected subgroups showing consistency of the effect by sex, age group, race, and social disadvantage category (moderate to high defined as points >/=3, low score <3).
A 5-point change in IHRS and Framingham Risk Score increases the CWV, a continuous measure of subclinical atherosclerosis, by 9 mm3 (P < 0.0001) and 11 mm3 (P = 0.0002), respectively, adjusting for sex. We also tested if the CWV remained significantly associated with MRI-cerebrovascular disease when added to the cardiac risk score. Added to the IHRS, the CWV association with MRI-cerebrovascular disease was independent and additive as was the case for the addition of CWV to the IHRS association with SBI (Table 4). The CWV reduces the magnitude and significance of the IHRS association with IPH (P = 0.07). Added to the Framingham Risk Score, CWV was independently and significantly associated with MRI-cerebrovascular disease, for IPH and SBI (Table 5).
Table 4.
Independent association of carotid wall volume measure of atherosclerosis in addition to INTERHEART risk score on MRI cerebrovascular disease
| MRI outcome | N Scans | Odds (95% CI) | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease | 7304 | ||
| IHRS (5-point increase) | 1.22 (1.13–1.32) | <0.0001 | |
| Carotid wall volume (100 mm3 increase) | 1.30 (1.23–1.37) | <0.0001 | |
| Intraplaque haemorrhage | 7337 | ||
| IHRS (5-point increase) | 1.12 (0.99–1.27) | 0.07 | |
| Carotid wall volume (100 mm3 increase) | 1.54 (1.43–1.65) | <0.0001 | |
| Overall silent brain infarction | 7304 | ||
| IHRS (5-point increase) | 1.28 (1.16–1.41) | <0.0001 | |
| Carotid wall volume (100 mm3 increase) | 1.15 (1.07–1.22) | <0.0001 |
Table 5.
Independent association of carotid wall volume measure of atherosclerosis in addition to Framingham Risk Score on MRI cerebrovascular disease
| MRI outcome | N scans | Odds (95% CI) | P-value |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease | 3734 | ||
| FRS (5-point increase) | 1.78 (1.49–2.12) | <0.0001 | |
| Carotid wall volume (100 mm3 increase) | 1.26 (1.16–1.36) | <0.0001 | |
| Intraplaque haemorrhage | 3742 | ||
| FRS (5-point increase) | 1.47 (1.12–1.94) | 0.006 | |
| Carotid wall volume (100 mm3 increase) | 1.46 (1.31–1.63) | <0.0001 | |
| Overall silent brain infarction | 3734 | ||
| FRS (5-point increase) | 1.98 (1.60–2.46) | <0.0001 | |
| Carotid wall volume (100 mm3 increase) | 1.15 (1.04–1.27) | 0.004 |
Discussion
We demonstrate in this large population-based cohort of adult men and women that traditional cardiovascular risk factors as measured by simple cardiac risk scores were associated with MRI-detected subclinical cerebrovascular injury including carotid IPH and SBI (both lacunar and non-lacunar). These associations are consistent across the lifespan, in both sexes, in White and non-White individuals, and low- and high-socioeconomic groups. Furthermore, CWV, a measure of positive remodelling and an index of atherosclerosis was independently associated with MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease, demonstrating the potential utility of this imaging biomarker.
Assessment of subclinical vascular injury is a useful adjunct to identify individuals who require risk factor control to prevent the development of clinical events. Our findings add significantly to the body of literature which shows that subclinical vascular disease begins far earlier in life than at the time of clinical presentation of first MI, stroke or death,27 and that pre-clinical measures of carotid atherosclerosis predict the development of severe cerebrovascular injury.28
Three-dimensional MRI to determine CWV and IPH offer a direct and precise measure of the normal and diseased wall and is superior to carotid ultrasound because of its ability to accurately characterize vessel wall plaque biomarkers, including plaque components, plaque burden, and luminal stenosis.13 MRI is currently the only available clinical imaging technique for the detection of plaque haemorrhage—one marker of a vulnerable plaque in the carotid artery. Other imaging biomarkers which can indicate plaque vulnerability include lipid-rich necrotic core, calcification core,29 and calcification30 which were not studied as part of our MRI protocol. CAHHM shows that cardiac risk scores are significantly associated with subclinical atherosclerosis measured by CWV and IPH. Most prior studies using MRI of the carotid arteries have been smaller in size and conducted among higher risk individuals. The Rotterdam cohort study evaluated older individuals (average age 77 years) known to have increased carotid intimal medial thickness by ultrasound, and reported that increasing age, cigarette smoking, and hypertension were associated with the presence of IPH,12,31 and that lipid measures were associated with CWV.32 Furthermore in the Rotterdam cohort increased luminal stenosis of the carotid artery was strongly associated with IPH,32 and CAHHM shows that a continuous measure of atherosclerosis—carotid vessel wall volume is significantly associated with IPH.
Regarding carotid disease and clinical outcomes, IPH is associated with an increased risk of clinical events including stroke or transient ischaemic attack (TIA) in patients with known carotid stenosis,31,33 although studies in asymptomatic individuals are very limited in size.34 The MESA study in 946 participants with increased carotid intimal medial thickness by ultrasound, showed that an MRI-based vascular remodelling index of the internal carotid artery was associated with incident cardiovascular events over 5 years, and was superior to carotid intimal medial thickness as measured by ultrasound.12 Our data in a middle-aged population without a history of CVD show that MRI-measured CWV is significantly associated with IPH, and SBI, over and above cardiac risk factors. Prospective follow-up of CAHHM is ongoing in order to quantify the risk of each of these MRI biomarkers to clinical cardiovascular outcomes and mortality.
CAHHM to our knowledge is the first report of a strong association between multicomponent but simple cardiac risk scores and the presence of SBI in a large population-based study. Prior cohort studies which used MRI evaluation of SBI were smaller35 and were conducted in older populations.17 These studies showed that increasing age, hypertension, and carotid intimal thickness are risk factors for SBI. In our study, a 5-point increase in the IHRS was associated with a 32% increase in the relative prevalence of SBI (95% CI 20–45%). Furthermore, this association was consistent for lacunar and non-lacunar infarctions, which are approximately equal in frequency in our study. Compared to the non-lab-based IHRS, the Framingham Risk Score was more strongly associated with SBI [odds ratio 2.02 (95% CI 1.64–2.50 per 5-point increase)] which may reflect the inclusion of lipid measures, together with the other traditional cardiovascular risk factors. We also show that subclinical atherosclerosis measured by CWV was significantly associated with SBI over and above cardiovascular risk factors. While CAHHM does not yet have follow-up data regarding the risk of clinical stroke, prior studies indicate that persons with silent brain infarcts are at three-fold increased risk of future stroke and 1.5-fold increased risk for dementia.10,35
Our data emphasize that simple cardiac risk scores are useful to risk stratify the population, and clinical trial strategies have directed the use of statins and blood pressure lowering in moderate to high-risk individuals in primary prevention.22 Recent guidelines highlight additional risk stratification markers beyond risk scores may be needed in cases of clinical uncertainty or patient indecision regarding treatment, and endorse additional measures of subclinical atherosclerosis over the use of serum biomarkers.36 While it is impractical to consider MRI for population-based screening, our data reaffirm that non-invasive imaging with MRI is highly informative. In addition to simple cardiac risk scoring, MRI-detected CWV adds additional information regarding subclinical vascular injury of the carotid arteries and brain.
The strengths of our analyses include CAHHM’s large sample size, the use of standard imaging protocols and core lab readings (Supplementary data online, Appendix S3), and the concurrent scanning of multiple vascular territories. Limitations include the cross-sectional nature of our current analysis of the cardiac risk score and MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease, although the chance of reverse causation is low having used subclinical outcomes. Measures of cognitive function have been collected and analysis is underway to determine the relationship between subclinical cerebrovascular disease and cognitive function. The prediction of the cardiac risk scores and MRI-detected cerebrovascular disease on incident clinical events will be reported after prospective follow-up is completed.
Summary
Cardiovascular risk factors summarized as simple risk scores are significantly associated with the presence of MRI-detected subclinical cerebrovascular disease, including CWV, IPH, and SBI in an adult population without known clinical CVD.
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgements
The authors thank the participants in all of the cohorts who generously donated their time, information, and biological samples.
Funding
CAHHM was funded by the Canadian Partnership Against Cancer (CPAC), Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada (HSF-Canada), and the Canadian Institutes of Health Research (CIHR). Financial contributions were aslo received from the Population Health Research Institute and CIHR Foundation Grant no. FDN-143255 to S.S.A.; FDN-143313 to J.V.T.; and FDN 154317 to E.E.S. In-kind contributions from A.R.M. and S.E.B. from Sunnybrook Hospital, Toronto for MRI reading costs, and Bayer AG for provision of IV contrast. The Canadian Partnership for Tomorrow Project is funded by the Canadian Partnership Against Cancer, BC Cancer Foundation, Genome Quebec, Ontario Institute for Cancer Research and Alberta Health and the Alberta Cancer Prevention Legacy Fund, Alberta Cancer Foundation. The PURE Study was funded by multiple sources.21 The Montreal Heart Institute Biobank is funded by Mr André Desmarais and Mrs France Chrétien-Desmarais and the Montreal Heart Institute Foundation. S.S.A. was supported by a Tier 1 Canada Research Chair in Ethnicity and Cardiovascular Disease and Heart and Stroke Foundation Chair in Population Health. P.A. was supported by a Ministry of Research and Innovation of Ontario Investigator Award. S.E.B. was supported by the Hurvitz Brain Sciences Research Program, Sunnybrook Research Institute, and the Department of Medicine, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, University of Toronto. J.P.D. is the scientific director of the International Chair on Cardiometabolic Risk supported by the Foundation of Université Laval. E.L. was supported by the Laval University Chair of Research & Innovation in Cardiovascular Imaging and the Fonds de recherche du Québec—Santé. G.P. holds a Tier 1 Canada Research Chair in Lung Imaging to Transform Outcomes. J.L. holds a Canada Research Chair Tier 2 in Advanced Cardiopulmonary Imaging at University of British Columbia. L.P. holds the Canadian Cancer Society Chair in Population Cancer Research at Dalhousie University. G.P. was supported by a Western Faculty Scholar Award. J.-C.T. holds the Tier 1 Canada Research Chair in translational and personalized medicine and the Université de Montréal Pfizer endowed research chair in atherosclerosis. J.V.T. was supported by a Tier 1 Canada Research Chair in Health Services Research and an Eaton Scholar award. S.Y. was supported by the Heart & Stroke Foundation/Marion W. Burke Chair in Cardiovascular Disease. Some of the data used in this research were made available by the Canadian Partnership for Tomorrow Project along with BC Generations Project, Alberta’s tomorrow Project, Ontario Health Study, CARTaGENE, and the Atlantic PATH. Data were harmonized by Maelstrom and access policies and procedures were developed by the Centre of Genomics and Policy in collaboration with the Cohorts.
Conflict of interest: none declared.
Appendix: CAHHM Investigators and Study Personnel
Steering Committee: S. Anand (Chair)*, M. Friedrich (Co-Chair), J. Tu (Co-Chair), P. Awadalla (OHS), T. Dummer (BCGP), N. Le (BCGP), P. Robson, J. Vena (ATP), S. Jacquemont (CaG), L. Parker (APATH), J.-C. Tardif (MHI Biobank), K. Teo (PURE-Central), and B.-M. Knoppers (ELSI).
Project Office Staff at Population Health Research Institute (PHRI): D. Desai, S. Nandakumar (Ex), M. Thomas (Ex), and S. Zafar.
Statistics/Biometrics Programmers Team at PHRI: K. Schulze, L. Dyal, A. Casanova, S. Bangdiwala, C. Ramasundarahettige, K. Ramakrishnana, and Q. Ibrahim.
Central Operations Leads: D. Desai (PHRI), H. Truchon (Montreal Heart Institute), and N. Tusevljak (Institute for Clinical Evaluative Sciences).
Cohort Operations Research Personnel: K. McDonald (OHS), N. Noisel (CaG), J. Chu (BCGP), J. Hicks (APATH), H. Whelan (ATP), S. Rangarajan (PURE), and D. Busseuil (MHI Biobank).
Site Investigators and Staff: (112) J. Leipsic, S. Lear, and V. de Jong; (306) M. Noseworthy, K. Teo, E. Ramezani, and N. Konyer; (402) P. Poirier, A.-S. Bourlaud, E. Larose, and K. Bibeau; (512) J. Leipsic, S. Lear, and V. de Jong; (609) E. Smith, R. Frayne, A. Charlton, and R. Sekhon; (703) A. Moody, V. Thayalasuthan; (704) A. Kirpalani, and G. Leung; (706) M. Noseworthy, S. Anand, R. de Souza,
N. Konyer, and S. Zafar; (707) G. Paraga and L. Reid; (714) A. Dick and F. Ahmad; (799) D. Kelton and H. Shah; (801) F. Marcotte and H. Poiffaut; (817) M. Friedrich and J. Lebel; (802) E. Larose and K. Bibeau; (913) R. Miller, L. Parker, D. Thompson, and J. Hicks; (1001) J.-C. Tardif and H. Poiffaut; (1103) J. Tu, K. Chan, A. Moody, and V. Thayalasuthan.
MRI Working Group and Core Lab Investigators/Staff:
Chair: M. Friedrich; Brain Core Lab: E. Smith, C. McCreary, S. E. Black, C. Scott, S. Batool, and F. Gao; Carotid Core Lab: A. Moody and V. Thayalasuthan; Abdomen: E. Larose and K. Bibeau; Cardiac: F. Marcotte and F. Henriques.
Contextual Working Group: R. de Souza, S. Anand, G. Booth, J. Brook, D. Corsi, L. Gauvin, S. Lear, F. Razak, S.V. Subramanian, and J. Tu.
CAHHM Founding Advisory Group: Jean Rouleau, Pierre Boyle, Caroline Wong, and Eldon Smith.
CAHHM Scientific Review Board: Bob Reid, Ian Janssen, Amy Subar, and Rhian Touyz.
References
- 1. Joseph P, Leong D, McKee M, Anand SS, Schwalm JD, Teo K. et al. Reducing the global burden of cardiovascular disease, part 1: the epidemiology and risk factors. Circ Res 2017;121:677–94. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 2. O'Donnell MJ, Chin SL, Rangarajan S, Xavier D, Liu L, Zhang H. et al. Global and regional effects of potentially modifiable risk factors associated with acute stroke in 32 countries (INTERSTROKE): a case-control study. Lancet 2016;388:761–75. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3. Yusuf S, Hawken S, Ounpuu S, Dans T, Avezum A, Lanas F. et al. Effect of potentially modifiable risk factors associated with myocardial infarction in 52 countries (the INTERHEART study): case-control study. Lancet 2004;364:937–52. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 4. Mente A, Yusuf S, Islam S, McQueen MJ, Tanomsup S, Onen CL. et al. Metabolic syndrome and risk of acute myocardial infarction a case-control study of 26,903 subjects from 52 countries. J Am Coll Cardiol 2010;55:2390–8. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5. Lloyd-Jones DM, Wilson PWF, Larson MG, Beiser A, Leip EP, D'Agostino RB. et al. Framingham Risk Score and prediction of lifetime risk for coronary heart disease. Am J Cardiol 2004;94:20–4. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 6. McGorrian C, Yusuf S, Islam S, Jung H, Rangarajan S, Avezum A. et al. Estimating modifiable coronary heart disease risk in multiple regions of the world: the INTERHEART Modifiable Risk Score. Eur Heart J 2011;32:581–9. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7. Joseph P, Yusuf S, Lee SF, Ibrahim Q, Teo K, Rangarajan S. et al. Prognostic validation of a non-laboratory and a laboratory based cardiovascular disease risk score in multiple regions of the world. Heart 2018;104:581–7. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8. Fanning JP, Wong AA, Fraser JF.. The epidemiology of silent brain infarction: a systematic review of population-based cohorts. BMC Med 2014;12:119.. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9. Vermeer SE, Prins ND, den Heijer T, Hofman A, Koudstaal PJ, Breteler MM.. Silent brain infarcts and the risk of dementia and cognitive decline. N Engl J Med 2003;348:1215–22. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 10. Debette S, Schilling S, Duperron M-G, Larsson SC, Markus HS.. Clinical significance of magnetic resonance imaging markers of vascular brain injury: a systematic review and meta-analysis. JAMA Neurol 2019;76:81–94. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 11. Smith EE, Saposnik G, Biessels GJ, Doubal FN, Fornage M, Gorelick PB. et al. Prevention of stroke in patients with silent cerebrovascular disease: a scientific statement for healthcare professionals from the American Heart Association/American Stroke Association. Stroke 2017;48:e44–71. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 12. Zavodni AE, Wasserman BA, McClelland RL, Gomes AS, Folsom AR, Polak JF. et al. Carotid artery plaque morphology and composition in relation to incident cardiovascular events: the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Radiology 2014;271:381–9. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13. Singh N, Moody AR, Roifman I, Bluemke DA, Zavodni AE.. Advanced MRI for carotid plaque imaging. Int J Cardiovasc Imaging 2016;32:83–9. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14. van den Bouwhuijsen QJ, Vernooij MW, Hofman A, Krestin GP, van der Lugt A, Witteman JC.. Determinants of magnetic resonance imaging detected carotid plaque components: the Rotterdam Study. Eur Heart J 2012;33:221–9. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 15. Wasserman BA, Sharrett AR, Lai S, Gomes AS, Cushman M, Folsom AR. et al. Risk factor associations with the presence of a lipid core in carotid plaque of asymptomatic individuals using high-resolution MRI: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA). Stroke 2008;39:329–35. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 16. Wagenknecht L, Wasserman B, Chambless L, Coresh J, Folsom A, Mosley T. et al. Correlates of carotid plaque presence and composition as measured by MRI: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging 2009;2:314–22. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 17. Vermeer SE, Den Heijer T, Koudstaal PJ, Oudkerk M, Hofman A, Breteler MM. et al. Incidence and risk factors of silent brain infarcts in the population-based Rotterdam Scan Study. Stroke 2003;34:392–6. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18. Li Y, Cai Y, Zhao M, Sun J.. Risk factors between intracranial-extracranial atherosclerosis and anterior-posterior circulation stroke in ischaemic stroke. Neurol Res 2017;39:30–5. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19. Anand SS, Tu JV, Awadalla P, Black S, Boileau C, Busseuil D. et al. Rationale, design, and methods for Canadian Alliance for Healthy Hearts and Minds Cohort Study (CAHHM)—a Pan Canadian cohort study. BMC Public Health 2016;16:650.. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20. Anand SS, Abonyi S, Arbour L, Brook J, Bruce S, Castleden H. et al. Canadian alliance for healthy hearts and minds: first Nations Cohort Study Rationale and Design. Prog Community Health Partnersh 2018;12:55–64. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 21. Yusuf S, Rangarajan S, Teo K, Islam S, Li W, Liu L. et al. Cardiovascular risk and events in 17 low-, middle-, and high-income countries. N Engl J Med 2014;371:818–27. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 22. Yusuf S, Lonn E, Pais P, Bosch J, Lopez-Jaramillo P, Zhu J. et al. Blood-pressure and cholesterol lowering in persons without cardiovascular disease. N Engl J Med 2016;374:2032–43. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23. Anand SS, Yusuf S, Vuksan V, Devanesen S, Teo KK, Montague PA. et al. Differences in risk factors, atherosclerosis, and cardiovascular disease between ethnic groups in Canada: the Study of Health Assessment and Risk in Ethnic groups (SHARE). Lancet 2000;356:279–84. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24. Wardlaw JM, Smith EE, Biessels GJ, Cordonnier C, Fazekas F, Frayne R. et al. Neuroimaging standards for research into small vessel disease and its contribution to ageing and neurodegeneration. Lancet Neurol 2013;12:822–38. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25. Hart RG, Diener HC, Coutts SB, Easton JD, Granger CB, O'Donnell MJ. et al. Embolic strokes of undetermined source: the case for a new clinical construct. Lancet Neurol 2014;13:429–38. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 26. Anand SS, Razak F, Davis AD, Jacobs R, Vuksan V, Teo K. et al. Social disadvantage and cardiovascular disease: development of an index and analysis of age, sex, and ethnicity effects. Int J Epidemiol 2006;35:1239–45. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 27. Spring B, Moller AC, Colangelo LA, Siddique J, Roehrig M, Daviglus ML. et al. Healthy lifestyle change and subclinical atherosclerosis in young adults: Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study. Circulation 2014;130:10–17. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 28. Polak JF, Szklo M, O'Leary DH.. Carotid intima-media thickness score, positive coronary artery calcium score, and incident coronary heart disease: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis. J Am Heart Assoc 2017;6: e004612 DOI: 10.1161/JAHA.116.004612. https://ahajournals.org/doi/10.1161/JAHA.116.004612. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 29. van den Bouwhuijsen QJA, Vernooij MW, Verhaaren BFJ, Vrooman HA, Niessen WJ, Krestin GP. et al. Carotid plaque morphology and ischemic vascular brain disease on MRI. Am J Neuroradiol 2017;38:1776–82. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 30. Lin R, Chen S, Liu G, Xue Y, Zhao X.. Association between carotid atherosclerotic plaque calcification and intraplaque hemorrhage: a Magnetic Resonance Imaging Study. Arterioscler Thromb Vasc Biol 2017;37:1228–33. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 31. Lu M, Peng P, Cui Y, Qiao H, Li D, Cai J. et al. Association of progression of carotid artery wall volume and recurrent transient ischemic attack or stroke: a Magnetic Resonance Imaging Study. Stroke 2018;49:614–20. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 32. Selwaness M, Hameeteman R, Van 't Klooster R, Van den Bouwhuijsen Q, Hofman A, Franco OH. et al. Determinants of carotid atherosclerotic plaque burden in a stroke-free population. Atherosclerosis 2016;255:186–92. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 33. Hosseini AA, Simpson RJ, Altaf N, Bath PM, MacSweeney ST, Auer DP.. Magnetic resonance imaging plaque hemorrhage for risk stratification in carotid artery disease with moderate risk under current medical therapy. Stroke 2017;48:678–85. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 34. Gupta A, Baradaran H, Schweitzer AD, Kamel H, Pandya A, Delgado D. et al. Carotid plaque MRI and stroke risk: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Stroke 2013;44:3071–7. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 35. Das RR, Seshadri S, Beiser AS, Kelly-Hayes M, Au R, Himali JJ. et al. Prevalence and correlates of silent cerebral infarcts in the Framingham offspring study. Stroke 2008;39:2929–35. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 36. Lloyd-Jones D, Braun LT, Ndumele CE, Smith SC Jr, Sperling LS, Virani SS. et al. Use of risk assessment tools to guide decision-making in the primary prevention of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: a special report from the American Heart Association and American College of Cardiology. Circulation 2018;139:e1162–77. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.


