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. 2020 Apr 22;93(2):200–209. doi: 10.15386/mpr-1458

Financial efficiency estimation for a dental radiology laboratory

Maria Marcu 1, Mihaela Hedesiu 1,, Loredana Bogdan 1, Gabriel Armencea 2, Avram Manea 2, Raluca Roman 1, Sergiu Vacaras 2, Danisia Haba 3, Anca Porumb 4, Mihaela Baciut 2, Sorana Crisan 5
PMCID: PMC7243887  PMID: 32478328

Abstract

Background and aims

Considering nowadays trend among dentists to install a radiology laboratory beside their current practice, we proposed to investigate the aspect of financial efficiency related to such investment.

Methods

We evaluate two existing options: simple investment, consisting of intra-oral equipment and accessories, or investment in a radiology center that includes panoramic and CBCT equipment. The initial investment includes equipment acquisition, fitting out of the location, radiology accreditation and other miscellaneous expenses. Costs were estimated based on current quotations on the specific market available in Romania. We also described a financial model to estimate the financial risk.

Results

The analysis was made under the assumptions that the laboratory is operated by the dentist who made the investment in the form of a legal person and paying corporate tax like all Romanian entities. The analysis took into account current fees for different types of X-rays, usual expenses of such a laboratory, and describes the approach to this analysis, starting with the initial investment estimation and forecast of revenues and expenses. Based on these projections and assessment of the working capital, we have built the cash flows forecast. Following a risk analysis we could assess the financial efficiency of the two investment alternatives.

Conclusions

Our study reveals that the radiology center represents a more profitable investment due to the higher economic return rate.

Keywords: finances, financial risk, cash flow, oral radiology, cost, investments

Background and aims

Radiological examinations are indispensable for the diagnosis and represent one of the main treatment planning methods used in all fields of medicine. Together with the benefits of X-rays, comes also one important issue represented by the fact that a certain amount of radiation is inevitably delivered to patients. Nowadays, the use of digital radiographs offers a potential dose reduction [1].

In dentistry, 2D X-rays (intraoral, panoramic and cephalometric X-rays) and 3D Cone-Beam Computer Tomography (CBCT) are considered the starting point for endodontic, dental anomalies, malocclusions and maxillofacial traumatic emergencies. The increasing use of CBCT in dental medicine is a sensitive point considering the radiation doses involved, especially for pediatric patients. Thus, for some specific pathological conditions, the 3D imaging for children is justified. The use of CBCT plays an important role in the planning and treatment for impacted and supplementary teeth, orofacial cleft, dentoalveolar trauma and dental anomalies [2].

According to the UNSCEAR Report [1], dental examinations are the most frequent type of radiological procedures. The number of dental X-rays in Romania is increasing on a yearly basis. In 2008, the total number of dental examinations was 342.943 per year, while in 2014 it doubled, to 750.445 [3].

There is increased interest in the field of dental radiology in Romania [4].

Like dental practice, the oral radiological center is a private field. The current trend is that beside the private clinic, the dentist must also have a radiological center. Benefits do not only improve diagnosis, save time and increase the prestige of the clinic, but also increase the practice’s profit. Investments in such devices are still complex, costly and even risky if they are not well documented and phased.

Considering the current interest and trend that dentists would install a radiology laboratory beside their current practice, this study investigates the issue of financial efficiency related to such investment in order to estimate the break-even-point of such investment, the financial efficiency to be expected and describe a financial model for assessing the financial risk of investment in an oral radiology laboratory that could be extended to others regions in Europe.

Methods

Our analysis took into consideration two alternatives: (A) investment in a simple radiology laboratory beside a current dental practice, consisting only of intraoral equipment, hereinafter referred to as “Intraoral Radiology” and (B) investment in a complex radiology center, comprising intraoral equipment and panoramic-CBCT equipment, referred to as “Radiology Center”.

The feasibility of an investment was analyzed by means of the return that may be obtained on that investment. The return on investment (ROI) was studied by means of the internal rate of return (IRR) and the net present value of the investment (NPV). NPV represents the present value of present and future cash flows. The investment is the sum to be paid for the achievement of the investment plan and represents a present negative cash flow. Future cash flows to be derived from operating such investment were discounted using a discount rate in order to reflect the money value over time. The sum of all these discounted cash flows represents the net present value of the investment. IRR represents the discount rate for which an investment is equal to the present value of the future expected benefits (cash flows) or the discount rate at which the present value of expected future benefits is equal to the investment (at break-even point). The investment was considered attractive if the IRR was higher than the discount rate.

The analysis of the financial feasibility considered the following steps, for each aforementioned alternative: (1) Estimation of the necessary investment; (2) Revenues forecast; (3) Expenses forecast; (4) Budget, working capital and capital investment forecast; (5) Cash flow forecast.

The analysis was made on a forecast period of 10 years, taking into account that this represents the minimum period of life of the acquired equipment. An average investment level was considered for the Intraoral Radiology, while in the case of the Radiology Centre, the analysis took into account a maximum investment level.

The Intraoral Radiology is operated by a dentist, hence the investment must be made in the form of a legal person paying corporate tax as all Romanian entities. In Romania, the corporate taxes amount to 16%. In terms of location, the Intraoral Radiology is supposed to be a space ancillary to the dental practice.

In the present study the considered costs, fees and prices do not include VAT, and all the prices are estimated in euro (EUR).

Revenues forecast

The revenue forecast was estimated based on the following: the mean number of X-rays to be made and fees per X-ray. The mean number of X-rays to be made was estimated by months for the first year, when a monthly increase is considered. The monthly increase is based on the expectancy to increase the number of clients as the Radiology center is better known, achieving at the end of the year a number of X-rays per day aligned to the current market expectations. For year two, the monthly number of X-rays is considered to remain constant, at the level of Month 12 from Year 1. Starting with Year 3, a small 1% year by year increase was taken into account. The fees per X-ray are based on current market fees. Starting with Year 2, a small yearly 1% fee increase was taken into account.

Expenses forecast

Expenses forecast relied on the issues summarised in table I for the Oral Radiology center and table II for the Radiology Center. Expenses related to equipment, certifications, medical staff and location were considered.

Table I.

Estimation of investment for Intraoral Radiology.

Investment estimate - Intraoral Radiology

No Investment item Estimated cost

EUR Min Max Average

1 Equipment
 Intraoral equipment 1,800 2,300 2,050
 Digital detector for intra-oral 3,000 4,000 3,500
 Printer dry film 5,000 6,000 5,500
 Radiosafety equipment 320 370 345
 Computer 700 1,200 950
Total equipment 10,820 13,870 12,345

2 Location related costs

 Rent for the set-up duration 400 600 250
 Radiolology cabinet fitting 1,500 2,000 1,750
Total location related costs 1,900 2,600 2,000

3 X-ray Laboratory Accreditation

 Radiological expertise 200 300 250
 Public Health Authority 100 100 100
 National Authority for Radioprotection 600 600 600
Total Accreditation costs 900 1,000 950

4 Staff training costs

 Health certificate 20 30 25
 Individual dosimetry 25 35 30
Total staff training costs 45 65 55

5 Marketing 100 150 125

6 Miscelleanous 693 1,769 774

Total 14,458 19,454 16,249

Total investment (rounded) 14,500 19,500 16,200

Table II.

Estimation of investment for a Radiology Center.

Investment estimate – Radiology Center

No Investment item Estimated cost

EUR Min Max

1 Equipment
 Intraoral equipment 2,300 2,300
 Digital detector for intra-oral 10,000 10,000
 CBCT + Panoramic 120,000 200,000
 Printer dry film 5,000 6,000
 Radiosafety equipment 320 370
 Computer 700 1,200
Total equipment 138,320 219,870

2 Location related costs

 Rent for the set-up duration 600 1,000
 Radiolology cabinet fitting 2,000 3,000
Total location related costs 2,600 4,000

3 X-ray Laboratory Accreditation

 Radiological expertise 400 600
 Public Health Authority 200 200
 National Authority for Radioprotection 1,000 1,000
Total Accreditation costs 1,600 1,800

4 Staff training costs

 Health certificate 20 30
 Individual dosimetry 25 35

Total staff training costs 45 65

5 Marketing 100 150

6 Miscelleanous 7,148 11,274

Total investment 149,813 237,159

Grand Total 150,000 237,000

Consumable costs per type of X-ray were estimated based on the numbers of X-rays to be made, for each type of radiological equipment and practice. Maintenance and certification costs include necessary costs with equipment accreditation and service and disinfection materials. For Year 1 these expenses, apart from the disinfection materials, were included in the initial investment.

Other expenses are estimated as 10% of total revenue. These include unplanned expenses, mainly administrative (cleaning, materials, telephone costs, promotion materials etc.).

Staff expenses are related to wages and wages costs and are based on the number of personnel, the average net wage of a radiologist and the expenses to be paid on wages. The staff includes only radiologists and the number increases to two subsequent to the number increase of daily X-rays. Medical training costs: are based on necessary certificates and are calculated based on the personnel number, certification costs and frequency.

The rent is estimated according to the area believed necessary (Intraoral Radiology: 20 sqm; Radiology Center: 40 sqm). Rent level is estimated based on current market quotations and location assumptions. Utilities (electricity, water, heating) cost is estimated based on the area and current market prices and are presented by a monthly average level.

Depreciation is estimated based on investment costs and depreciation duration taken into account (5 years for computers and 10 years for radiology equipment). Costs are supposed to increase with a 1% per year moderate increase, while utilities are estimated to grow by 5% yearly.

Budget, working capital and capital investment forecast

Budgets are estimated on the basis of expenses and revenues presented above. No financial revenues and expenses were considered.

Cash flow forecast

The cash flow for both alternatives was constructed based on the cash flow of equity model. Considering that no financing flows were taken into account, the cash flow includes cash flow from operations and cash flows from investment. The elements used are presented in tables XIII and XIV. Operational flows include net profit and working capital change. The net profit was taken from tables XI and XII. The working capital for each year was estimated based on a 30 days period rotation for inventory and payables. For receivables, a 1 to 5 days rotation period was considered (usually these services are paid upfront). Investment flows include depreciation as input and capital investment expenses (CAPEX) as expense. Depreciation was taken from tables XI and XII. Capex was estimated at a level of 10 to 25%, beginning with the Third year, considering that only accidental replacements might be needed. In year Five, a new computer acquisition is scheduled.

Table XIII.

Cash flows for Intraoral Radiology.

Estimated Cash Flows – Intraoral Radiology
EUR Year
Description Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Net profit 2,242 2,364 3,269 2,699 3,601 2,971 1,088 3,208 4,101 3,293
Depreciation 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330
WACC change (71) (124) (103) (6) (6) (6) (6) (6) (7) (7)
CAPEX - - (130) (130) (130) (680) (330) (330) (330) (330)
Total cash flow (16,200) 3,500 3,570 4,365 3,893 4,794 3,614 2,082 4,201 5,094 4,286
Discount rate 8.25%
Investment 16,200
NPV 8,949
IRR 20.0%

Table XIV.

Cash flows for Radiology Center.

Estimated Cash Flows –Radiology Center
EUR Year
Description Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Net profit 53,839 76,154 79,710 80,977 84,521 85,919 89,712 91,005 94,989 96,091
Depreciation 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107
WACC change (860) (762) (584) (607) (56) (57) (59) (60) (61) (62)
CAPEX - - (2,210) (2,210) (2,210) (3,410) (2,210) (2,210) (2,210) (22,107)
Total cash flow (237,000) 75,086 97,499 99,023 100,267 104,361 104,559 109,551 110,842 114,825 96,028
Discount rate 9.25%
Investment 237,000
NPV 360,014
IRR 38.0%

Table XI.

Yearly estimated budgets for Intraoral Radiology.

Estimated Budget – Intraoral Radiology
EUR Year
Description Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Total Revenues 25,415 34,978 35,683 36,401 37,134 37,881 38,643 39,419 40,211 41,019
Total costs (21,417) (30,835) (30,462) (31,858) (31,517) (33,014) (32,638) (34,271) (33,999) (35,768)
 Consumables (8,016) (11,032) (11,251) (11,475) (11,703) (11,936) (12,173) (12,415) (12,661) (12,913)
 Maintenance and certification costs (600) (2,465) (1,638) (2,572) (1,714) (2,731) (1,912) (3,047) (2,220) (3,518)
 Other expenses (2,542) (3,498) (3,568) (3,640) (3,713) (3,788) (3,864) (3,942) (4,021) (4,102)
 Staff expenses (8,415) (11,999) (12,119) (12,240) (12,362) (12,486) (12,611) (12,737) (12,864) (12,993)
 Medical training costs (45) - - - (47) (47) - - (47) -
 Rent (1,200) (1,212) (1,224) (1,236) (1,249) (1,261) (1,274) (1,287) (1,299) (1,312)
 Utilities (600) (630) (662) (695) (729) (766) (804) (844) (886) (931)
EBITDA 3,998 4,144 5,221 4,543 5,616 4,867 6,005 5,148 6,212 5,250
 Depreciation (1,330) (1,330) (1,330) (1,330) (1,330) (1,330) (1,330) (1,330) (1,330) (1,330)
EBIT 2,669 2,814 3,891 3,213 4,287 3,537 4,675 3,819 4,883 3,921
Corporate tax (427) (450) (623) (514) (686) (566) (3,587) (611) (781) (627)
Net profit 2,242 2,364 3,269 2,699 3,601 2,971 1,088 3,208 4,101 3,293

Table XII.

Yearly estimated budgets for Radiology Center.

Estimated Budget –Radiology Center
EUR Year
Description Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Total Revenues 154,787 194,628 198,549 202,540 206,604 210,744 214,957 219,295 223,713 228,209
Total costs (68,587) (81,862) (81,549) (84,032) (83,877) (86,352) (86,049) (88,849) (88,524) (91,708)
 Consumable price (20,388) (27,955) (28,235) (28,517) (28,803) (29,091) (29,382) (29,676) (29,973) (30,272)
 Maintenance and certification costs (3,200) (4,596) (3,277) (4,739) (3,407) (4,972) (3,602) (5,313) (3,883) (5,796)
 Other expenses (15,479) (19,463) (19,855) (20,254) (20,660) (21,074) (21,496) (21,929) (22,371) (22,821)
 Staff expenses (22,680) (22,907) (23,136) (23,367) (23,601) (23,837) (24,075) (24,316) (24,559) (24,805)
 Medical training costs - - - - (142) - - - - (149)
 Rent (6,000) (6,060) (6,121) (6,182) (6,244) (6,306) (6,369) (6,433) (6,497) (6,562)
 Utilities (840) (882) (926) (972) (1,021) (1,072) (1,126) (1,182) (1,241) (1,303)
EBITDA 86,201 112,766 117,000 118,508 122,727 124,392 128,907 130,446 135,189 136,501
 Depreciation (22,107) (22,107) (22,107) (22,107) (22,107) (22,107) (22,107) (22,107) (22,107) (22,107)
EBIT 64,094 90,659 94,893 96,401 100,620 102,285 106,800 108,339 113,082 114,394
Corporate tax (10,255) (14,505) (15,183) (15,424) (16,099) (16,366) (17,088) (17,334) (18,093) (18,303)
Net profit 53,839 76,154 79,710 80,977 84,521 85,919 89,712 91,005 94,989 96,091

Also, for estimating the net present value of the investments and the internal rate of return, a discount rate was estimated as measure of perceived risk, used to discount future expected benefits to a present value, thus reflecting the time value of money. The discount rate estimation was made based on the CAPM model.

Results

The estimated investment is presented in table I for Intraoral Radiology, respectively table II for Radiology Centre. Table 1 presents the minimum and maximum estimates and an average, which is the selected scenario. Table II presents only the minimum and maximum estimated investment, the selected scenario being the maximum investment.

Revenue forecasts for both practice types are presented monthly for the First year (table III and table V) and yearly for the entire forecast period (table IV and table VI). Estimated costs are presented monthly for the First year (table VII and table VIII) and yearly for the entire forecast period (table IX and table X).

Table III.

Revenues estimated monthly for the first year for Intraoral Radiology.

Estimated revenues for the first year - Intraoral Radiology
Description MU Month Total
Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month 7 Month 8 Month 9 Month 10 Month 11 Month 12 Year 1
Number of radiographies Pcs/month 400 440 484 532 585 644 696 731 768 806 846 888 7,820
No increase factor 0% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Unit free EUR/Pcs 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25 3.25
Revenue intraoral radiography EUR 1,300 1,430 1,573 1,729 1,901 2,093 2,262 2,376 2,496 2,620 2,750 2,886 25,415

Table V.

Revenues estimated monthly for the first years for Radiology Center.

Estimated revenues for the first year - Radiology Center
Description MU Month Total
Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month 7 Month 8 Month 9 Month 10 Month 11 Month 12 Year 1
Number of intraoral radiographies Pcs/month 600 660 726 799 879 967 1,044 1,096 1,151 1,209 1,269 1,332 11,732
No increase factor 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Unit free EUR/Pcs 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20 3.20
Revenue intraoral radiography EUR 1,920 2,112 2,323 2,557 2,813 3,094 3,341 3,507 3,683 3.869 4,061 4,262 37,542
Number of panoramic radiographies Pcs/month 400 440 484 532 585 644 696 731 768 806 846 888 7,820
No increase factor 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 5% 5% 5% 5%
Unit free EUR/Pcs 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00 7.00
Revenue panoramic radiography EUR 2,800 3,080 3,388 3,724 4,095 4,508 4,872 5,117 5,376 5,642 5,922 6,216 54,740
Number of CBCT Pcs/month 100 104 109 113 116 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 1,389
No increase factor 4% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Unit free EUR/Pcs 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00 45.00
Revenue CBCT EUR 4,500 4,680 4,905 5,085 5,220 5,310 5,355 5,400 5,445 5,490 5,535 5,580 62,505
Total revenue EUR 9,220 9,872 10,616 11,366 12,128 12,912 13,568 14,024 14,504 15,001 15,518 16,058 154,787

Table IV.

Revenues estimated yearly for Intraoral Radiology.

Estimated revenues for the first year - Intraoral Radiology
Description MU Year
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Number of radiographies Pcs/year 7,820 10,656 10,763 10,871 10,980 11,090 11,201 11,313 11,426 11,540
No increase factor 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Unit free EUR/Pcs 3.25 3.28 3.32 3.35 3.38 3.42 3.45 3.48 3.52 3.55
Fee increase factor 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1%
Revenue intraoral radiography EUR 25,415 34,978 35,683 36,401 37,134 37,881 38,643 39,419 40,211 41,019

Table VI.

Revenues estimated yearly for Radiology Center.

Estimated revenues - Radiology Center
Description MU Year
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10
Number of intraoral radiographies Pcs/year 11,732 15,984 16,144 16,305 16,468 16,633 16,799 16,967 17,137 17,308
No increase factor 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Unit free EUR/Pcs 3.20 3.23 3.26 3.30 3.33 3.36 3.40 3.43 3.47 3.50
Fee increase factor 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Revenue intraoral radiography EUR 37,542 51,660 52,699 53,757 54,837 55,941 57,064 58,211 59,382 60,574
Number of panoramic radiographies Pcs/year 7,820 10,656 10,763 10,871 10,980 11,090 11,201 11,313 11,426 11,540
No increase factor 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Unit free EUR/Pcs 7.00 7.07 7.14 7.21 7.28 7.36 7.43 7.50 7.58 7.66
Fee increase factor 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Revenue panoramic radiography EUR 54,740 75,338 76,855 78,403 79,981 81,590 83,231 84,903 86,609 88,348
Number of CBCT Pcs/year 1,389 1,488 1,503 1,518 1,533 1,548 1,563 1,579 1,595 1,611
No increase factor 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Unit free EUR/Pcs 45.00 45.45 45.90 46.36 46.83 47.30 47.77 48.25 48.73 49.22
Fee increase factor 0% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1%
Revenue CBCT EUR 62,505 67,630 68,994 70,380 71,786 73,213 74,662 76,181 77,722 79,287
Total revenue EUR 154,787 194,628 198,549 202,540 206,604 210,744 214,957 219,295 223,713 228,209

Table VII.

Estimated costs presented monthly for the first year for Intraoral Radiology.

Estimated costs for the first year – Intraoral Radiology

Description MU Unit Cost Month Total

Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month 7 Month 8 Month 9 Month 10 Month 11 Month 12 Year 1

Number of radiographies Pcs/month 400 440 484 532 585 644 696 731 768 806 846 888 7,820

Consumables Eur 410 451 496 545 600 660 713 749 787 826 867 910 8,016

 Consumable price EUR/pcs 1.00 400 440 484 532 585 644 696 731 768 806 846 888 7,820
 Tonner EUR/pcs 0.025 10 11 12 13 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 196

Maintenance and certification costs EUR - - - - - - - - - - - - 600

 Annual technical certificate and service EUR/year 1000 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 OTDM X-ray equipments certificate EUR/2 years 500 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 Radiosafety equipments certificate EUR/2 years 350 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 Disinfection materials EUR/year 600 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 600

Other expenses EUR 130 143 157 173 190 209 226 238 250 262 275 289 2,542

Staff expenses EUR 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 990 990 990 990 990 8,415

 Number of persons EUR 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
 Wages and wages expenses EUR/person 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 495 5,940

Medical training costs EUR - - - - - - - 45 - - - - 45

 Health certificate EUR/5 years 20 - - - - - - - 20 - - - - 20
 Individual dosimetry EUR/5 years 25 - - - - - - - 25 - - - - 25

Rent EUR/month 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1,200

Utilities EUR/month 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 600

Depreciation EUR 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 111 1,330

 Radiology equipment EUR 1139.5 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 95 1,140
 Computer EUR 190.0 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16 190

Total costs EUR 1,166 1,207 1,252 1,301 1,355 1,416 1,469 2,045 2,038 2,077 2,118 2,161 22,747

Table VIII.

Estimated costs presented monthly for the first year for Radiology Center.

Estimated costs for the first year – Radiology Center

Description MU Unit Cost Month Total

Month 1 Month 2 Month 3 Month 4 Month 5 Month 6 Month 7 Month 8 Month 9 Month 10 Month 11 Month 12 Year 1

Total number of radiographies; of which Pcs/month 1,100 1,204 1,319 1,444 1,580 1,729 1,859 1,947 2,040 2,137 2,238 2,344 20,941

Intraoral Pcs/month 600 660 726 799 879 967 1,044 1,096 1,151 1,209 1,269 1,332 11,732
Panoramic Pcs/month 400 440 484 532 585 644 696 731 768 806 846 888 7,820
CBCT Pcs/month 100 104 109 113 116 118 119 120 121 122 123 124 1,389

Consumables EUR 1,050 1,154 1,268 1,393 1,530 1,681 1,813 1,903 1,997 2,096 2,199 2,307 20,388

 Consumable price EUR/pcs 1.000 1.000 1,100 1,210 1,331 1,464 1,611 1,740 1,827 1,919 2,015 2,115 2,220 19,552
 Tonner EUR/pcs 0.025 25 28 30 33 37 40 44 46 48 50 53 56 489
 CD price (for CBCT) EUR/pcs 0.250 25 26 27 28 29 30 30 30 30 31 31 31 347

Maintenance and certification costs EUR 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 2,100 3,200

 Annual technical certificate and service EUR/year 2,000 - - - - - - - - - - - 2,000 2,000
 OTDM X-ray equipments certificate EUR/2 years 1,000 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 Radiosafety equipments certificate EUR/2 years 350 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 Disinfection materials EUR/year 1,200 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 1,200

Other expenses EUR 922 987 1,062 1,137 1,213 1,291 1,357 1,402 1,450 1,500 1,552 1,606 15,479

Staff expenses EUR 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 1,890 22,680

 Number of persons 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
 Wages and wages expenses EUR/person 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 630 7,560

Medical training costs EUR - - - - - - - - - - - - -

 Health certificate EUR/5 years 20 - - - - - - - - - - - - -
 Individual dosimetry EUR/5 years 25 - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Rent EUR/month 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 6,000

Utilities EUR/month 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 70 840

Depreciation EUR 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 1,842 22,107

 Radiology equipment EUR 21,867 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 1,822 21,867
 Computer EUR 240 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 240

Total costs EUR 6,374 6,543 6,731 6,931 7,145 7,374 7,572 7,707 7,850 7,998 8,153 10,315 90,694

Table IX.

Estimated costs presented yearly for Intraoral Radiology.

Estimated costs – Intraoral Radiology

Description MU Year

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10

Number of radiographies Pcs/month 7,820 10,656 10,763 10,871 10,980 11,090 11,201 11,313 11,426 11,540

Consumables EUR 8,016 11,032 11,251 11,475 11,703 11,936 12,173 12,415 12,661 12,913

Consumable price EUR/pcs 7,820 10,763 10,979 11,200 11,426 11,656 11,890 12,129 12,373 12,621
Tonner EUR/pcs 196 269 272 274 277 280 283 286 289 291

Maintenance and certification costs EUR 600 1,859 1,020 1,936 1,051 2,034 1,173 2,254 1,361 2,579

Annual technical certificate and service EUR/year - 1,000 1,020 1,051 1,051 1,105 1,173 1,257 1,361 1,489
OTDM X-ray equipments certificate EUR/2 years - 505 - 520 - 547 - 586 - 641
Radiosafety equipments certificate EUR/2 years - 354 - 364 - 383 - 410 - 449

Disinfection materials EUR/year 600 606 618 637 663 697 739 793 858 939

Other expenses EUR 2,542 3,498 3,568 3,640 3,713 3,788 3,864 3,942 4,021 4,102

Staff expenses EUR 8,415 11,999 12,119 12,240 12,362 12,486 12,611 12,737 12,864 12,993

Number of persons EUR 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
Wages and wages expenses EUR/person 5,940 5,999 6,059 6,120 6,181 6,243 6,305 6,368 6,432 6,496

Medical training costs EUR 45 - - - 47 47 - - 48 -

Health certificate EUR/5 years 20 - - - 21 21 - - 21 -
Individual dosimetry EUR/5 years 25 - - - 26 26 - - 27 -

Rent EUR/month 1,200 1,212 1,224 1,236 1,249 1,261 1,274 1,287 1,299 1,312

Utilities EUR/month 600 630 662 695 729 766 804 844 886 931

Depreciation EUR 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330 1,330

Radiology equipment EUR 1,140 1,140 1,140 1,140 1,140 1,140 1,140 1,140 1,140 1,140
Computer EUR 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190 190

Total costs EUR 22,747 32,164 31,792 33,188 32,847 34,344 33,967 35,601 35,330 37,098

Table X.

Estimated costs presented yearly for Radiology Center.

Estimated costs –Radiology Center

Description MU Year

Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Year 6 Year 7 Year 8 Year 9 Year 10

Total number of radiographies; of which Pcs/month 20,941 28,128 28,410 28,694 28,981 29,271 29,563 29,859 30,158 30,459

Intraoral Pcs/month 11,732 15,984 16,144 16,305 16,468 16,633 16,799 16,967 17,137 17,308
Panoramic Pcs/month 7,820 10,656 10,763 10,871 10,980 11,090 11,201 11,313 11,426 11,540
CBCT Pcs/month 1,389 1,488 1,503 1,518 1,533 1,548 1,563 1,579 1,595 1,611

Consumables EUR 20,388 27,955 28,235 28,517 28,803 29,091 29,382 29,676 29,973 30,272

Consumable price EUR/pcs 19,552 26,906 27,176 27,448 27,722 28,000 28,280 28,563 28,849 29,136
Tonner EUR/pcs 489 673 679 686 693 700 707 714 721 728
CD price (for CBCT) EUR/pcs 347 376 380 383 387 391 395 399 403 407

Maintenance and certification costs EUR 3,200 3,384 2,040 3,465 2,081 3,578 2,123 3,727 2,166 3,919

Annual technical certificate and service EUR/year 2,000 2,020 2,040 2,061 2,081 2,102 2,123 2,144 2,166 2,187
OTDM X-ray equipments certificate EUR/2 years - 1,010 - 1,041 - 1,094 - 1,173 - 1,282
Radiosafety equipments certificate EUR/2 years - 354 - 364 - 383 - 410 - 449

Disinfection materials EUR/year 1,200 1,212 1,236 1,274 1,326 1,393 1,479 1,586 1,717 1,878

Other expenses EUR 15,479 19,463 19,855 20,254 20,660 21,074 21,496 21,929 22,371 22,821

Staff expenses EUR 22,680 22,907 23,136 23,367 23,601 23,837 24,075 24,316 24,559 24,805

Number of persons - 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
Wages and wages expenses EUR/person 7,560 7,636 7,712 7,789 7,867 7,946 8,025 8,105 8,186 8,268

Medical training costs EUR - - - - 142 - - - - 149

Health certificate EUR/5 years - - - - 21 - - - - 22
Individual dosimetry EUR/5 years - - - - 26 - - - - 28

Rent EUR/month 6,000 6,060 6,121 6,182 6,244 6,306 6,369 6,433 6,497 6,562

Utilities EUR/month 840 882 926 972 1,021 1,072 1,126 1,182 1,241 1,303

Depreciation EUR 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107 22,107

Radiology equipment EUR 21,867 21,867 21,867 21,867 21,867 21,867 21,867 21,867 21,867 21,867
Computer EUR 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240 240

Total costs EUR 90,694 103,969 103,656 106,139 105,984 108,459 108,156 110,956 110,631 113,815

The yearly budgets for the Intraoral Radiology Laboratory and the Radiology center are presented in table XI and table XII, respectively.

Tables XIII and XIV present the cash flows, discount rate, NPV and IRR for each alternative considered. In both alternatives, the net present values (NPV) and the internal rate of return (IRR) show that the investment is feasible and that, in a 10 year term, there is a positive substantial return.

Discussion

Nowadays, a number of intraoral and extra-oral imaging modalities are available to assist the radiological examination in dental medicine, one important reason for dentists to also have a Radiology Center. Commonly used two-dimensional (2D) modalities, which include bitewing, periapical and panoramic X-ray are suitable because they are easily acquired, inexpensive and provide high-resolution images, however none without limitations: overlapping anatomical structures, difficulty in standardization, underestimating size and bone defect [5].

The 3D imaging technique, such as the Cone Beam Computed Tomography (CBCT) images, started to be used more often by the dentists as it carries highly informative value. The use of CBCT in clinical practice offers a number of potential advantages over conventional tomography and 2D techniques, including easier image acquisition, high image accuracy, reduced artefacts and lower effective radiation doses [6].

Therefore, for dental practice, we took into account two investment types, the first being an Intraoral Radiological center and, owing to the benefits provided by the CBCT imaging, the second investment type proposed in the current study was a Radiology Center.

Regarding the estimated cost of the two investment types, they vary substantially. The estimated cost for the Radiology Center is about ten times higher than for the Intraoral Center. This difference arises from the price of the CBCT machine, which is six time higher than the price of the intraoral equipment. Another important difference is represented by the fact that in the case of the Radiology Center, beside the CBCT equipment it also requires intraoral and panoramic radiological equipment [7].

The risk model used in the current study, the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) offers the possibility to compare different versions of placement in the financial markets. On the other hand, it justifies the estimation made on scientific basis of the expected future value of profits generated by a financial instrument. Thus, CAMP model approximated with accuracy the differences between the two models of investment proposed in this paper [7].

The current study anticipated that the cost difference between CBCT and conventional imaging methods may vary both within and also among different clinical conditions. Hence, a certain clinical condition of the patient may require a varying number of CBCT volumes or the use of different sizes of the field of view.

Higher volumes may represent a wider range of conditions for which CBCT is used, larger populations, different thresholds for referral, different catchment populations or a combination of these factors [8].

Thus, in many clinical conditions as dental anomalies, implantology, orthognathic surgery, endodontic assessments, CBCT examination is required even if it is more expensive, almost two times higher than the price of an intraoral X-ray [9].

This study examines a financial model to estimate financial risk, which could be extended at European level. Financial risk appears due to the instability and loss in the financial market caused by movements in stock prices and currencies, and is inherent in any investment, its proper manager being key in running a successful business [10]. The risk model used for the two investment types presented here, namely the CAMP model is widely used to estimate financial risk.

CAPM is designed to establish a link between the risk of an asset and its expected return and it is frequently used due to the simplicity of the method and also because it offers the possibility of easy comparisons of investment alternatives [11].

Regarding the estimation of financial risk, there are several factors that should be taken into consideration: increased volatility of financial markets; developments in technology; increased number and model of radiology equipment, government regularization, liquidity and cash flow [12].

Starting from the idea that financial risk influenced directly and indirectly the profits of a business nowadays, certain companies from Europe introduced risk committees, whose main task is to identify, monitor and manage the company’s risks [12].

The Radiology Center and the Intraoral Radiology presented in the current study are managed by the dentist. The major focus of the dentist should be to reduce harm and injury to both the patients and the radiological technician and to improve outcomes from the Radiology Center [13].

Hence, certain risks may be directly controlled, while others depend on factors unrelated to the dentist’s managerial skills. The best thing a manager can do is to try to anticipate potential controllable risks, assess the potential impact on the business and be prepared with a second plan to react [14].

As regards the Intraoral Radiology investment, it is noticeably a more sensitive case. The return, if the maximum investment level is chosen, is much smaller than in the average case and twice as small in NPV terms. Also, investment is recovered in a period of 5 to 6 years.

Therefore, an investment in a Radiology Center is much more profitable and the return is much higher. The investment may be recovered in a 3 to 4 years’ time and the IRR is much higher. With an internal rate of return much higher, the Radiology Center provides a much better chance of strong development. Nevertheless, we have to take into account that the magnitude of the initial investment is quite large. This would usually involve a quota of borrowed capital, meaning interest payment, hence a more reduced IRR.

The current study has some limitations. Those limits concern the fact that the CAMP model consists in determining a linear relationship between profitability and the financial market risk assumed by an investor, in this case the dentist. In reality, there are some external factors that influence the financial model estimation, such as interest rate changes, inflation, recession and changes in the market demand [12].

Conclusions

This study reveals an important input for economic evaluation in comparing costs and profits for two types of investments, Intraoral Radiology and Radiology Center. According to our findings, the Radiological center represents a more profitable investment due to a higher economic rate of return, even if the initial estimated budget is substantially larger than the budget for Intraoral Radiology.

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