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[Preprint]. 2020 Mar 30:2020.03.26.20044750. [Version 1] doi: 10.1101/2020.03.26.20044750

Table A.2.

Summary of parameters and their interpretation. All time rate constants are in units of day − 1. Parameters are known from previous studies, set for each scenario, or calibrated to match the model to past outbreaks.

Parameter Interpretation Type Range and Sources, if available
b0 Core transmission rate Calibrated See section on model calibration
bh Relative contact rate during weekends Calibrated 0 to 0.5, comparable to school closure in [18]
bc Relative contact rate during closures, holidays or vacations Calibrated Generally lying around 0 to 0.5 comparable to school closure in [18]
bs Relative seasonal amplitude of contact Calibrated
ci, j Relative contact rate for cohorts i and j Input data or calibrated Sometimes estimated from locations of cohorts in a building
L Symptomatic rate Input data 0.88 [59], 0.5 and 0.88 for COVID-19
p Fraction of persons complying with policy Calibrated Quantifies compliance with the policy
rd Fraction of persons return to cohort on day d after infection Based on symptom data See table below
sd Shedding at day d (relative) Input data or estimates Proportional to log 10 titers [14]
tstart Day of first infected case Input data or calibration Often reported approximately in post-outbreak investigations
v Vaccination rate (seasonal virus) Set during scenarios Season flu: 60% [0.5, 0.7] [60], 0% in novel infections
ve Vaccine efficacy (seasonal vims) 67% [0.65, 0.95] [61,62] For novel infections with no immune response, 0%
Xi Persons in cohort i Set by scenario Cohort is partitioned into fraction vve with vaccine protection and the rest
y Fever attention Calibrated Fraction of persons who would return from home, of those having symptoms on the previous day