b0
|
Core transmission rate |
Calibrated |
See section on model calibration |
bh
|
Relative contact rate during weekends |
Calibrated |
0 to 0.5, comparable to school closure in [18] |
bc
|
Relative contact rate during closures, holidays or vacations |
Calibrated |
Generally lying around 0 to 0.5 comparable to school closure in [18] |
bs
|
Relative seasonal amplitude of contact |
Calibrated |
|
ci, j
|
Relative contact rate for cohorts i and j
|
Input data or calibrated |
Sometimes estimated from locations of cohorts in a building |
L |
Symptomatic rate |
Input data |
0.88 [59], 0.5 and 0.88 for COVID-19 |
p |
Fraction of persons complying with policy |
Calibrated |
Quantifies compliance with the policy |
rd
|
Fraction of persons return to cohort on day d after infection |
Based on symptom data |
See table below |
sd
|
Shedding at day d (relative) |
Input data or estimates |
Proportional to log 10 titers [14] |
tstart
|
Day of first infected case |
Input data or calibration |
Often reported approximately in post-outbreak investigations |
v |
Vaccination rate (seasonal virus) |
Set during scenarios |
Season flu: 60% [0.5, 0.7] [60], 0% in novel infections |
ve
|
Vaccine efficacy (seasonal vims) |
67% [0.65, 0.95] |
[61,62] For novel infections with no immune response, 0% |
Xi
|
Persons in cohort i
|
Set by scenario |
Cohort is partitioned into fraction vve with vaccine protection and the rest |
y |
Fever attention |
Calibrated |
Fraction of persons who would return from home, of those having symptoms on the previous day |