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[Preprint]. 2020 Nov 23:2020.03.26.20044750. Originally published 2020 Mar 30. [Version 2] doi: 10.1101/2020.03.26.20044750

Table 1.

Relative effectiveness (%) of isolation policies in schools on the attack rate and outbreak duration compared to the baseline outbreaks without interventions. Median effect (interquartile range). For the policy and baseline scenarios, the effective attack rate and outbreak duration were calculated from the median of a set of 500 simulations for each policy option.

Outbreak Policy option Attack rate (% decrease) Outbreak duration (% decrease)
Flu One day isolation (CDC guideline) 29 (13 – 59)% 1 (−2 – 16)%
Two day post-fever isolation 70 (55 – 85)% 18 (6 – 66)%
Four day school week 73 (64 – 88)% 20 (11 – 55)%
Three day school week 93 (91 – 97)% 99 (82 – 100)%
COVID-19 One day isolation 7 (5 – 14)% 1 (1 – 4)%
Two day post-fever isolation 10 (5 – 17)% 1 (1 – 4)%
14 day post-fever isolation 14 (5 – 26)% 4 (3 – 7)%
Four day school week 57 (52 – 64)% 22 (12 – 26)%
Three day school week 81 (79 – 83)% 46 (33 – 52)%