Abstract
Though the FilmArray GI Panel has a reported aggregate specificity and reproducibility of >97% and > 99%, respectively, the reproducibility is less understood in clinical practice. We measured the reproducibility of positive results for low-prevalence pathogens. Samples with positive results for selected targets were repeated using a different FilmArray module. Overall, 331 of 373 (89%) results were reproducible. Giardia lamblia (57/57,100%), Cryptosporidium spp. (61/63, 97%), Cyclospora cayetanensis (34/35, 97%), Plesiomonas shigelloides (17/18,94%), and Rotavirus A (76/77,99%) were highly reproducible, while Adenovirus F40/41 (38/54, 70%), Vibrio spp. (8/10, 80%), V. cholerae (3/8, 37.5%), and Yersinia enterocolitica (36/50, 72%) were poorly reproducible. Review of 38 patients with nonreproducible results showed that 19 (50%) had evidence of gastroenteritis and only 6 (16%) had possible infection with the organism that showed a nonreproducible result. Higher false-positive rates with certain targets on FAGP emphasize the need for diagnostic stewardship.
Keywords: FilmArray GI Panel, Molecular diagnostics, Reproducibility, Diagnostic stewardship
1. Introduction
The microbiological assessment of patients with acute gastroenteritis has been revolutionized by the development of syndromic PCR assays with much greater sensitivity and efficiency than classic, culture-and microscopy-based tests. One of the most widely adopted has been the FilmArray GI Panel (FAGP; BioFire Diagnostics, Salt Lake City, UT), which is an on-demand, sample-to-answer, real-time PCR assay that targets 22 pathogens, including 13 bacteria, 5 viruses, and 4 parasites. The reported overall specificity of the assay is >97% per major validation studies by Buss et al. (2015) and Khare et al. (2014), and the overall reproducibility and negative percent agreement per the package insert are >99%. While these studies suggest high specificity and high reproducibility, in clinical practice, positive results in areas of low background prevalence for the specific organism–especially in patients with a nonspecific, atypical presentation where the pretest probability for any infectious etiology may be very low–are of uncertain value as they are highly likely to represent a false-positive, nonreproducible result. This was our anecdotal conclusion for several cases at our institution where the initial FAGP was positive for Y. enterocolitica but both culture and repeat FAGP were negative and the clinical course was not consistent with Y. enterocolitica infection. While false negatives are often considered to be major errors in diagnostic testing, the consequences of a false-positive result are not insignificant and include inappropriate treatment, which may lead to adverse drug effects and the selection of antimicrobial resistance, unnecessary public health investigations, and premature closure of the diagnostic workup (Burman and Reves, 2000; Graber et al., 2005).
At our institution, beginning in October 2016, 14 months after implementing FAGP for patient care and prompted by the cases of nonreproducible results for Y. enterocolitica, positive results for targets rarely positive by FAGP at our institution (Park et al., 2017), including Adenovirus F40/41, Cryptosporidium spp., C. cayetanensis, E. histolytica, G. lamblia, P. shigelloides, Rotavirus A, Vibrio spp., and Y. enterocolitica, were systematically assessed for reproducibility by repeating the assay from the same sample. The results of these repeat tests are reported here along with clinical adjudication to determine the possibility of false positivity in those with nonreproducible results.
2. Methods
2.1. Ethics
Per Stanford Institutional Review Board (IRB), this project constituted a quality improvement project and was exempt from IRB approval.
2.2. FilmArray GI Panel
Stools in Cary-Blair transport media were tested with the FilmArray GI Panel per the package insert. The laboratory began to offer the FAGP for clinical care in August 2015. From October 2016 through June 2018, tests positive for Adenovirus F40/41, Cryptosporidium spp., C. cayetanensis, E. histolytica, G. lamblia, P. shigelloides, Rotavirus A, Vibrio spp., and Y. enterocolitica were systematically retested by repeating the FAGP assay from the same sample on a different FilmArray instrument of the 4 available. No additional confirmatory testing with alternative methods was done. Nonreproducible results were reported as negative in the electronic medical record. Results for Clostridium difficile, enteroaggregative E. coli, enteropathogenic E. coli, and enterotoxigenic E. coli are not reported in the medical records at our institution per laboratory policy, as described previously (Hitchcock et al., 2018).
2.3. Chart review
Chart review was performed retrospectively by M.M.H. and C.A.H. when FAGP results for rare targets were not reproducible. Adjudicators were not blinded to these results. Reviews were performed independently, and a consensus determination between the reviewers was pursued in cases of initial disagreement. The final assessment was made by N.B. if no consensus by the primary reviewers could be reached. Age and sex of the patient and location of testing were collected. A determination of whether the patient had evidence of infectious gastroenteritis using a 4-point scale of definite, probable, possible, and unlikely was made based on evaluation of the available clinical data. This scale incorporates both the presence of a significant diarrheal illness consistent with the 2017 IDSA guidelines and the available diagnostic testing results from the institution (Shane et al., 2017), which included additional FAGP tests from different samples. A case was considered definite only if there was additional diagnostic evidence of infection aside from the nonreproducible target, such as a reproducible target (separate from the nonreproducible target) from the same paired FAGP tests or a positive result for the nonreproducible target by a different test, which could include a reproducibly positive FAGP result performed on a different sample. Example of a definite case would be a nonreproducible Adenovirus F40/41 result in a sample that has a reproducible result for Sapovirus (see patient ID no. 1 in Table 2). A case was considered a probable infection if there were no other test results aside from the nonreproducible target on FAGP suggestive of infection but no alternative cause of diarrhea could be plausibly identified. A case was considered a possible infection if there were no other test results suggestive of infection and an alternative cause of diarrhea was present but considered about as likely as infection with the nonreproducible FAGP target. A case was considered unlikely to be an infection if an alternative cause of diarrhea was considered to be more likely that an infection with the nonreproducible FAGP target. A secondary determination was made as to whether infection could be plausibly attributed to the nonreproducible target using the same scale, with cases considered definite only if there was additional evidence of the nonreproducible organism by an alternative testing method, which could include additional FAGP tests with a different sample collected during the same illness; probable if the case was clinically consistent with infection by the nonreproducible target and no other potential infectious causes were identified; possible if the case was less consistent with typical infection by the nonreproducible target but no other potential infectious causes were identified; and unlikely if the case was considered highly inconsistent with infection by the nonreproducible target or an alternative infectious cause was identified. All cases that were considered unlikely to represent clinical infectious gastroenteritis based on presenting symptoms were considered unlikely to be caused by the nonreproducible target (Shane et al., 2017). Basic descriptive statistics were calculated using SPSS v. 24 (IBM Analytics, Armonk, NY), but no hypothesis testing was performed.
Table 2.
Patient ID no. | Age (yrs) | Sex | Location | Initial FAGP result | Repeat FAGP result | Clinical adjudication for infectious gastroenteritis | Adjudication for infection due to nonreproducible result |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 32 | F | Outpatient | Adenovirus, Sapovirus | Sapovirus | Definite | Possible |
2 | 37 | F | Inpatient (HD 3) | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
3 | 13 | M | Outpatient | Adenovirus | Negative | Probable | Probable |
4 | 90 | M | Inpatient (HD 3) | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
5 | 77 | M | Inpatient (HD 2) | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
6 | 49 | F | Inpatient (HD 1) | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
7 | 2 | M | Outpatient | STEC, Yersinia enterocolitica | STEC | Definite | Unlikely |
8 | 1 | F | Inpatient (HD 2) | Adenovirus | Negative | Possible | Unlikely |
9 | 12 | F | Outpatient | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
10 | 65 | F | Inpatient (HD 7) | Vibrio spp. | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
11 | 3 | F | Outpatient | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
12 | 13 | M | Inpatient (HD 2) | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Possible | Unlikely |
13 | 14 | M | In-patient (HD 11) | Cryptosporidium | Negative | Definite | Definite |
14 | 64 | M | Outpatient | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
15 | 54 | M | Outpatient | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
16 | 68 | M | Outpatient | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Possible | Possible |
17 | 19 | M | Outpatient | STEC, Yersinia enterocolitica | STEC | Definite | Unlikely |
18 | 75 | F | Outpatient | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
19 | 68 | M | Outpatient | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
20 | 19 | F | Outpatient | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Possible | Possible |
21 | 67 | F | Outpatient | Salmonella spp., Yersinia enterocolitica | Salmonella spp. | Definite | Unlikely |
22 | 21 | M | Outpatient | Campylobacter spp., Plesiomonas shigelloides, Salmonella spp., Norovirus | Campylobacter spp., Salmonella spp., Norovirus | Definite | Possible |
23 | 56 | F | Outpatient | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
24 | 36 | F | Outpatient | Shigella spp., Sapovirus, Cryptosporidium | Shigella spp., Sapovirus | Definite | Unlikely |
25 | 28 | M | Outpatient | Cryptosporidium, Yersinia enterocolitica, Adenovirus | Cryptosporidium, Yersinia enterocolitica | Possible | Unlikely |
26 | 26 | F | Outpatient | Vibrio spp. | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
27 | 83 | F | Outpatient | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
28 | 14 | F | Inpatient (HD 1) | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Possible | Unlikely |
29 | 62 | M | Outpatient | Vibrio cholerae | Negative | Probable | Unlikely |
30 | 4 | M | Inpatient (HD 3) | Adenovirus | Negative | Possible | Unlikely |
31 | 35 | F | Outpatient | Astrovirus, Vibrio cholerae | Astrovirus | Definite | Unlikely |
32 | 68 | F | Outpatient | Vibrio cholerae | Negative | Possible | Unlikely |
33 | 58 | F | Outpatient | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
34 | 30 | M | Outpatient | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
35 | 52 | M | In-patient (HD 9) | Vibrio cholerae | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
36 | 73 | F | Outpatient | Yersinia enterocolitica | Negative | Possible | Unlikely |
37 | 63 | F | Outpatient | Vibrio cholerae | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
38 | 48 | M | Inpatient (HD 5) | Adenovirus | Negative | Unlikely | Unlikely |
39 | 44 | M | Outpatient | Adenovirus | Negative | Unknown | Unknown |
40 | 38 | M | Outpatient | Adenovirus | Negative | Unknown | Unknown |
41 | 57 | M | Outpatient | Cyclospora cayetanensis | Negative | Unknown | Unknown |
42 | 1 | M | Outpatient | Rotavirus | Negative | Unknown | Unknown |
STEC = Shiga-like toxin-producing E. coli (non-O157 strain); HD = hospital day number for those tested while inpatient.
Cells labeled “unknown” (patient IDs 39–42) represent cases where no clinical data from the time of testing beyond demographics and location were available for retrospective review and assessment.
The last 2 columns are intended to determine if the patient had an infectious cause of gastroenteritis and, if yes, whether it could be attributed to the nonreproducible FAGP result.
3. Results
Over the study period, a total of 5877 FAGP tests were performed and 1117 (19.0%) were positive for at least 1 target. Of these positive tests, 373 rare pathogens were detected in 367 tests. When these tests were repeated, 331 (89%) of the targets were reproducibly positive. Results by pathogen are shown in Table 1. The 42 (11%) nonreproducible results occurred in 42 (11%) separate tests in 42 unique patients. Thirty-four (81%) of the tests with a nonreproducible result were positive for only a single target on the initial test (Table 2). Reproducibility rates were particularly high for parasitic targets, especially G. lamblia, where 100% (57/57) of positive results were reproducible, but also Cryptosporidium spp. with 97% (61/63) and C. cayetanensis with 97% (34/35), and were also high for Rotavirus A (99%, 76/77) and P. shigelloides (94%, 17/18). There was only a single test positive for E. histolytica, and the repeated test was positive as well. Reproducibility rates were lower for Adenovirus F40/41 (70%, 38/54), Y. enterocolitica (72%, 36/50), and non-cholerae Vibrio spp. (80%, 8/10) and very poor for V. cholerae (37.5%, 3/8). Eight (50%) of the nonreproducible adenovirus results occurred in November 2017. Clinical assessment by retrospective chart review of the nonreproducible results is shown in Table 2, though 4 patients (ID numbers 39–42) had no data from the time of testing available for review. The average age of the patients was 41.4 years (range 1–90 years), and 22 (52%) of the patients were male. Thirty (71%) patients were tested in the outpatient setting, which includes the emergency department. Not including the 4 patients with missing clinical data, 19 of 38 (50%) patients were assessed as having clinical evidence of infectious gastroenteritis, of which 8 (21.1%) were considered definite, 2 (5.3%) were considered probable, and 9 (23.7%) were considered possible (Table 2); however, only 6 (15.4%) of 38 patients were thought to have clinical evidence of infection caused by the nonreproducible target, which was deemed definite in 1 (2.6%) patient, probable in 1 (2.6%) patient, and possible in 4 (10.5%) patients (Table 2). Of the 8 (21.1%) patients thought to have definite gastroenteritis, 7 (87.5%) had additional, reproducibly positive targets on the FAGP that likely explained the patients’ presentations; the only patient judged to have definite gastroenteritis caused by the nonreproducible target had hyper-IgM disorder and known chronic cryptosporidiosis with multiple positive, reproducible results for Cryptosporidium spp. on FAGP both before (50 days before) and after (20 days after) the nonreproducible result (Table 2). The 2 patients with probable gastroenteritis had an acute onset of symptoms consistent with an infectious gastroenteritis and no other testing performed; one was judged to be probably caused by a nonreproducible adenovirus (patient number 3), and the other was completely inconsistent with Vibrio cholerae infection by degree of symptoms and lack of travel history (patient number 29; Table 2). Three (33.3%) of the 9 patients judged to have possible gastroenteritis had organisms detected on other tests that may have caused the diarrheal symptoms, including C. difficile by GeneXpert C. diff./Epi tcdB PCR (Cepheid, Sunnyvale, CA), and plasma adenovirus PCR and HHV-6 PCR (laboratory-developed tests, Stanford Clinical Virology Laboratory), though each with a background of acute and/or chronic illness with a potential noninfectious etiology of diarrhea, including chemotherapy-induced mucositis with febrile neutropenia during therapy for acute lymphoblastic leukemia, gastrointestinal graft-versus-host disease following hematopoietic stem cell transplantation for acute myeloid leukemia, and chronic liver disease (Table 2; patient study numbers 28,12, and 8, respectively), and the remaining 6 (66.7%) had nonspecific symptoms. Of the 19 (50%) patients not thought to have infectious gastroenteritis, 7(18%) had alternative causes of acute diarrhea that were more likely than infection, generally a side effect from broad-spectrum antibiotic use or other medications, and the remaining 12 (32%) had chronic diarrhea that was inconsistent clinically with the nonreproducible target and was likely due to a noninfectious etiology such as irritable bowel syndrome.
Table 1.
Pathogen | Reproducible result | Nonreproducible result | Total | Percent reproducible |
---|---|---|---|---|
Adenovirus F40/41 | 38 | 16 | 54 | 70.3 |
Cryptosporidium spp. | 61 | 2 | 63 | 96.8 |
Cyclospora cayetanensis | 34 | 1 | 35 | 97.1 |
Entamoeba histolytica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 100 |
Giardia lamblia | 57 | 0 | 57 | 100 |
Plesiomonas shigelloides | 17 | 1 | 18 | 94.4 |
Rotavirus A | 76 | 1 | 77 | 98.7 |
Vibrio spp. (non-cholerae) | 8 | 2 | 10 | 80.0 |
Vibrio cholerae | 3 | 5 | 8 | 37.5 |
Yersinia enterocolitica | 36 | 14 | 50 | 72.0 |
Aggregate | 331 | 42 | 373 | 88.7 |
4. Discussion
While multiplex PCR assays such as the FAGP have undoubtedly improved clinicians’ ability to make a rapid, specific diagnosis for patients with acute gastroenteritis and have improved laboratory workflow efficiency, the reproducibility of low-prevalence pathogens in clinical practice remains unknown (Buss et al., 2015; Khare et al., 2014). This study of reproducibility of positive results for these pathogens shows that most are reproducibly positive on repeat testing from the same stool sample, particularly for parasitic organisms, including Cryptosporidium spp., C. cayetanensis, and G. lamblia, as well as those for P. shigelloides and Rotavirus A, increasing confidence that these results are true positives and the test has high analytical specificity for these pathogens. Some results, particularly for Adenovirus F40/41, Vibrio spp., and Y. enterocolitica, were less reproducible, suggesting that there may be lower specificity for these targets. However, as 50% of the nonreproducible adenovirus results occurred in a single month, it is possible that these results are evidence of a deficient batch of FilmArray cartridges rather than systematic error associated with this assay. We reported a similar finding of clustered, unconfirmable Campylobacter spp. cases that resolved with change to a new batch of cartridges in a prior study (Park et al., 2017), so this may be a plausible explanation. When all adenovirus results from November 2017 are removed from the analysis (8 nonreproducible and 3 reproducible), the reproducibility rate rises from 70% to 81% (35/43). The nonreproducible Vibrio spp. and Y. enterocolitica results were distributed throughout the study period, suggesting a higher likelihood of intrinsic issues with detection of these pathogens, most likely related to low prevalence of these organisms. However, recent technical notes from BioFire reported false-positive results for Vibrio spp., including V. cholerae, and Y. enterocolitica, attributed to the presence of nonviable organisms, or nucleic acids derived from these organisms, in agar components of Cary-Blair media thought be due to the use of seaweed obtained from locations with contaminated water supplies (technical notes FLM1-PRT-0239 and FLM1-PRT-0250, BioFire Diagnostics). While false positives in a low prevalence setting is still the most likely explanation for the nonreproducible results for these organisms, the presence of low levels of nonviable organisms or nucleic acids near the limit of detection would also potentially explain nonreproducible results for Vibrio spp. and Y. enterocolitica. Of note, the 3 cases of V. cholerae with reproducible results in this study could have been affected by this phenomenon as well, as none of the cases were clinically consistent with cholera at the time of testing (Table 1). One patient had no travel exposure, suggesting this was an actual false-positive result. The other 2 cases are more difficult to interpret as both patients were returning travelers and both samples also contained other organisms (Campylobacter spp. in the first and both G. lamblia and Shigella spp. in the second), suggesting either true-positive results due to transient colonization with the organism (Weil et al., 2009), contamination with nonviable organisms or nucleic acids in the samples from the Cary-Blair media, or more typical causes of false-positive results due to nonspecific error in low-prevalence settings. It is also possible that other cases with reproducible results for non-cholerae Vibrio spp. and Y. enterocolitica included in this study were also consistently positive due to the presence of nucleic acids in Cary-Blair media. Half of nonreproducible positive results assessed in this study occurred in settings where the patient did not appear to have infectious gastroenteritis by retrospective chart review, reinforcing the importance of using the FAGP only in settings where there is a high pretest probability for an infectious gastroenteritis with at least 2 of the pathogens on the panel (Morgan et al., 2017).
There are several limitations to this study. First, reproducibility of positive FAGP results was used as a proxy for a true positive result. A nonreproducible, positive result could be a true positive if there was a low burden of organism present due to poor sample acquisition or sampling error, although Cary-Blair stool tends to be homogenous. No testing with reference methods was done as a comparison, though given the lower sensitivity of culture-based methods compared to PCR (Cybulski et al., 2018), it is unlikely that these would have helped discriminate between the causes of nonreproducibility. Testing with another molecular method might have helped resolve nonreproducible results. This was a single-center study, so it is possible that reproducibility may vary significantly between institutions. Despite over 18 months of data collection, 2 targets (E. histolytica and V. cholerae) still had <10 results, so studies with larger numbers are needed to investigate reproducibility of positive results for these pathogens. Chart review was done retrospectively and represents an inherently subjective determination of whether an infectious gastroenteritis was present given the often-limited documentation available.
5. Conclusion
In conclusion, positive results for rare pathogens on the FAGP were highly reproducible overall, especially for parasitic targets Cryptosporidium spp., C. cayetanensis, and G. lamblia, as were those for P. shigelloides and Rotavirus A, but poorly reproducible for Adenovirus F40/41, Vibrio spp., and especially V. cholerae and Y. enterocolitica, suggesting that positive results for these latter targets by FAGP require additional scrutiny. Repeat testing would eliminate a portion of these potential false positives. Ultimately, all positive results from any test should be interpreted in the clinical context, and this study suggests that these nonreproducible results may be more likely to occur in settings where there is a low pretest probability of infectious gastroenteritis, especially in patients with nonspecific presentations in low-prevalence settings, providing additional evidence for the need for diagnostic stewardship principles to guide the use of multiplex molecular assays (Hitchcock etal., 2018; Morgan et al., 2017).
Acknowledgments
M.M.H. was supported by the National Institutes of Health (grants NIH T32 AI 052073–11 A1 and T32 AI007502–22).
Footnotes
Conflict of interest
The authors have no conflicts of interest to report.
References
- Burman WJ, Reves RR. Review of false-positive cultures for Mycobacterium tuberculosis and recommendations for avoiding unnecessary treatment. Clin Infect Dis 2000;31: 1390–5. 10.1086/317504. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Buss SN, Leber A, Chapin K, Fey PD, Bankowski MJ, Jones MK, et al. Multicenter evaluation of the BioFire FilmArray gastrointestinal panel for etiologic diagnosis of infectious gastroenteritis. J Clin Microbiol 2015;53:915–25. 10.1128/JCM.02674-14. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Cybulski RJ, Bateman AC, Bourassa L, Bryan A, Beail B, Matsumoto J, et al. Clinical impact of a multiplex gastrointestinal PCR panel in patients with acute gastroenteritis. Clin Infect Dis 2018;67:1688–96. 10.1093/cid/ciy357. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Graber ML, Franklin N, Gordon R. Diagnostic error in internal medicine. Arch Intern Med 2005;165:1493–9. 10.1001/archinte.165.13.1493. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Hitchcock MM, Gomez CA, Banaei N. Low yield of FilmArray GI Panel in hospitalized patients with diarrhea: an opportunity for diagnostic stewardship intervention. J Clin Microbiol 2018;56 10.1128/JCM.01558-17. [e01558–17]. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Khare R, Espy MJ, Cebelinski E, Boxrud D, Sloan LM, Cunningham SA, et al. Comparative evaluation of two commercial multiplex panels for detection of gastrointestinal pathogens by use of clinical stool specimens. J Clin Microbiol 2014;52:3667–73. 10.1128/JCM.01637-14. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Morgan DJ, Malani P, Diekema DJ. Diagnostic stewardship—leveraging the laboratory to improve antimicrobial use. JAMA 2017;318:607–8. 10.1001/jama.2017.8531. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Park S, Hitchcock MM, Gomez CA, Banaei N. Is follow-up testing with the FilmArray gastrointestinal multiplex PCR panel necessary? J Clin Microbiol 2017;55:1154–61. 10.1128/JCM.02354-16. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Shane AL, Mody RK, Crump JA, Tarr PI, Steiner TS, Kotloff K, et al. 2017 Infectious Diseases Society of America clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of infectious diarrhea. Clin Infect Dis 2017;65:e45–80. 10.1093/cid/cix669. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- Weil AA, Khan AI, Chowdhury F, LaRocque RC, Faruque ASG, Ryan ET, et al. Clinical outcomes in household contacts of patients with cholera in Bangladesh. Clin Infect Dis 2009;49:1473–9. 10.1086/644779. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]