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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Jun 1.
Published in final edited form as: Br J Haematol. 2020 Feb 23;189(6):1107–1118. doi: 10.1111/bjh.16492

Cause-Specific Mortality in Individuals with Lymphoplasmacytic Lymphoma/Waldenström Macroglobulinemia, 2000–2016

Nicole H Dalal 1,2, Graça M Dores 1,3, Rochelle E Curtis 1, Martha S Linet 1, Lindsay M Morton 1
PMCID: PMC7299735  NIHMSID: NIHMS1066005  PMID: 32090327

Abstract

Data on cause-specific mortality after lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (LPL) and Waldenström macroglobulinemia (WM) are lacking. We identified causes of death among 7,289 adults diagnosed with incident first primary LPL (n=3,108) or WM (n=4,181) during 2000–2016 in 17 US population-based cancer registries. Based on 3,132 deaths, 16-year cumulative mortality was 23.2% for lymphomas, 8.4% for non-lymphoma cancers, and 14.7% for non-cancer causes for patients aged <65 years at diagnosis of LPL/WM, versus 33.4, 11.2%, and 48.7%, respectively, for those aged ≥75 years. Compared with the general population, LPL/WM patients had 20% higher risks of death due to non-cancer causes (n=1,341 deaths, standardized mortality ratio [SMR]=1.2; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.1–1.2), most commonly from infectious (n=188; SMR=1.8; 95%CI, 1.6–2.1), respiratory (n=143; SMR=1.2; 95%CI, 1.0–1.4), and digestive (n=80; SMR=1.8; 95%CI, 1.4–2.2) diseases, but no excess mortality from cardiovascular diseases (n=477, SMR=1.1; 95%CI=1.0–1.1). Risks were highest for non-cancer causes within one year of diagnosis (n=239; SMR<1year=1.3; 95%CI, 1.2–1.5), declining thereafter (n=522; SMR≥5years=1.1; 95%CI, 1.1–1.2). Myelodysplastic syndrome/acute myeloid leukemia deaths were notably increased (n=46; SMR=4.4; 95%CI 3.2–5.9), whereas solid neoplasm deaths were only elevated among ≥5-year survivors (n=145; SMR≥5years=1.3; 95% CI=1.1–1.5). This work identifies new areas for optimizing care and reducing mortality for LPL/WM patients.

Introduction

Lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma (LPL) and Waldenström macroglobulinemia (WM) are rare, indolent, non-Hodgkin lymphomas (NHLs) (World Health Organization, 2017). WM, which is distinguished from LPL by the presence of immunoglobulin M (IgM) gammopathy (Owen RG, 2003, Swerdlow et al., 2008), can manifest with hyperviscosity syndrome (e.g., visual changes, bleeding, and neurologic dysfunction, including cerebrovascular disease) (Mehta and Singhal, 2003) or symptomatic tissue deposition (e.g., peripheral neuropathy, amyloidosis, renal dysfunction, and gastrointestinal malabsorption) (Dimopoulos et al., 2000). Alternatively, WM/LPL may be asymptomatic or present with findings including cytopenias, B symptoms (i.e., fevers, night sweats, weight loss), or adenopathy. Symptomatic individuals are typically considered for treatment with chemotherapy (Leblond et al., 2016). Evolving treatment approaches with alkylating agents (e.g., chlorambucil), nucleoside analogs (e.g., fludarabine, cladribine), rituximab (alone or in combination), and newer targeted therapies (e.g., ibrutinib, bortezomib) (Gertz, 2015) have substantially improved survival (Olszewski et al., 2017, Castillo et al., 2014). Studying cause-specific mortality can identify high-risk patients, latency patterns, and potentially preventable causes of death, which may inform priority areas for the allocation of healthcare resources.

The current understanding of mortality among LPL/WM patients is limited, based on clinical series with small case numbers (García-Sanz et al., 2001, Kastritis et al., 2015) and/or studies with little detail about cause-specific mortality (Castillo et al., 2015b). While significant mortality is attributed to conditions other than LPL/WM, (Castillo et al., 2015b, García-Sanz et al., 2001) deaths due to non-cancer conditions and cancers other than lymphomas are poorly characterized. Cardiovascular, infectious, and neurologic conditions have been identified as the most common non-cancer causes of death, (Castillo et al., 2015b, García-Sanz et al., 2001, Kastritis et al., 2015) but these risks have not been quantified compared to the general population, and information on more specific and other causes of death is sparse. Data are lacking on mortality patterns for LPL versus WM patients, which could differ due to the presence of IgM gammopathy, and for other factors associated with developing LPL/WM, such as hepatitis C virus (HCV) (Nipp et al., 2014, Giordano et al., 2009), human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (Gibson et al., 2014, Koshiol et al., 2008), or respiratory tract infections (McShane et al., 2014, Kristinsson et al., 2010).

We leveraged United States (US) population-based data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program, identifying 7,289 LPL/WM patients diagnosed during 2000–2016 who had long-term, systematic follow-up, enabling us to conduct the first comprehensive investigation of cause-specific and excess mortality for LPL/WM patients compared to the general US population.

Methods

Study Population and Patient Data

All incident first primary LPL/WM cases diagnosed during 2000–2016 within 17 SEER registry areas were identified based on International Classification of Diseases for Oncology, Third Edition (ICD-O-3) morphology codes (LPL: 9671; WM: 9761) (Fritz et al., 2013). The study period is coincident with the expansion of SEER to include 17 SEER registry areas covering over one-quarter of the US population (Howlader et al., 2019) and the introduction of the World Health Organization (WHO) Classification of Tumors of Hematopoietic and Lymphoid Tissues, which classifies WM and LPL jointly as mature B-cell neoplasms versus earlier designation of WM as a non-malignant entity (Jaffe et al., 2001). SEER data include patient demographic characteristics, date and type of cancer diagnoses, and type of initial therapy (chemotherapy, radiotherapy). Detailed clinical data, names of specific chemotherapeutic agents, and receipt of subsequent therapy administered at disease progression/relapse are not available from SEER registries.

In the US, cause of death is compiled by the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) using an algorithm that identifies the underlying cause of death (the disease or injury that initiated the train of events leading directly to death, or the circumstances of the accident or violence which produced the fatal injury) according to World Health Organization (WHO) regulations (https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/). SEER reports this underlying cause of death information, which has been classified according to the WHO’s International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) since 1999. Guided by ICD-10 codes (http://apps.who.int/classifications/apps/icd/icd10online2004/fr-icd.htm?kf00.htm) and the SEER Cause of Death Recode (https://seer.cancer.gov/codrecode/1969_d03012018/index.html), we categorized deaths broadly as due to lymphomas, non-lymphoma cancers, non-cancer conditions, or unknown causes if no cause of death was reported on the death certificate (Table S1). Due to possible misclassification of lymphoma-related deaths on death certificates (Mieno et al., 2016, Deckert, 2016), we broadly defined lymphoma deaths to include all lymphomas (Hodgkin and non-Hodgkin), paraproteinemias (e.g., monoclonal gammopathy of unknown significance, amyloidosis, and plasma cell malignancies), and lymphocytic leukemias. We further subdivided non-lymphoma cancer causes of death (hereafter referred to as “non-lymphoma cancers”) into solid cancers, classified by organ system, or non-lymphoma hematologic cancers. Non-cancer causes of death (hereafter referred to as “non-cancer conditions”) were defined by organ system.

Statistical Analysis

Patients were followed from the time of LPL/WM diagnosis until death, loss to follow-up, or end of study (December 31, 2016), whichever occurred first. As an absolute measure of mortality, we estimated cumulative mortality for lymphomas, non-lymphoma cancers, and non-cancer conditions, accounting for competing risks of death for up to 16 years following LPL/WM diagnosis (SAS version 9.4, SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC) (Gooley et al., 1999). We then estimated risks of death overall and due to specific causes compared with the general population. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs), calculated as the ratio of observed versus expected (O/E) number of cases for a given cause of death category, estimated the relative risk of death compared with the general population. The expected number of cases for specific causes of death were calculated using US mortality rates (Howlader et al., 2019) for the general population stratified by age (5-year groups), race (white/unknown, black, other), sex (male, female) and year of death (5-year groups), multiplied by the appropriate person-years at risk. Corresponding exact 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the SMRs were calculated assuming a Poisson distribution (Breslow and Day, 1987). We estimated excess absolute risk (EAR) of death per 10,000 person-years [EAR=10,000 × (observed - expected)/person-years)]. SMRs, 95%CIs, and EARs were calculated using SEER*Stat software version 8.3.5 (Surveillance Research Program).

Since LPL and WM have similar survival (Castillo et al., 2014), are often studied together, and are considered highly-related neoplasms by the WHO classification (Harris et al., 1994, Jaffe et al., 2001, Owen RG, 2003, Treon et al., 2003, Swerdlow et al., 2008), our primary analyses focused on the overall combined cohort of LPL/WM patients, with further analyses by patient subgroups defined by age at diagnosis, time since diagnosis, and receipt of initial chemotherapy. We conducted a secondary analysis comparing SMRs for LPL and WM separately to assess for potential differences in mortality patterns. For cause of death categories with ≥25 observed deaths in the total population, we constructed multivariable Poisson regression models stratified by sex, lymphoma subtype (LPL versus WM), receipt of initial chemotherapy, age at diagnosis, and time since diagnosis to test for statistically significant (P<0.05) heterogeneity of the SMRs between patient subgroups using the AMFIT module of Epicure (Preston et al., 2015), software version 2.0. P values were calculated using likelihood ratio tests, comparing model fit with and without the variable of interest.

Results

The study cohort of 7,289 patients with first primary LPL/WM (3,108 LPL; 4,181 WM) was predominantly male (58.5%) and white/unknown (89.4%) (Table 1), with a mean age at LPL/WM diagnosis of 69.7 years. Slightly fewer than half (44.0%) of LPL/WM patients were reported to SEER as having received initial chemotherapy, and only 2.3% of patients received any initial radiotherapy. In total, 43.0% (n=3,132) LPL/WM patients died during the study period (mean follow-up=5.2 years). Patient cases and deaths were distributed disproportionately by age, with patients ≥75 years at diagnosis accounting for 36.8% of cases but 54.8% of deaths. Most (64.5%) deaths occurred <5 years following LPL/WM diagnosis, with 23.1% occurring within one year of diagnosis.

Table 1.

Patient characteristics for 7,289 individuals diagnosed with LPL/WM, 17 SEER registry areas, 2000 – 2016*

LPL and WM Combined
Persons Person-Years Deaths
Patient Characteristics (n=7,289) N % N N %
Total 7,289 100.0 38,032 3,132 100.0
 LPL 3,108 42.6 15,543 1,346 43.0
 WM 4,181 57.4 22,489 1,786 57.0
Sex
 Male 4,266 58.5 21,936 1,892 60.4
 Female 3,023 41.5 16,096 1,240 39.6
Race
 White/Unknown 6,518 89.4 34,337 2,807 89.6
 Black 385 5.3 1,888 174 5.6
 Other 386 5.3 1,807 151 4.8
Initial chemotherapy
 No known chemotherapy 4,079 56.0 21,233 1,692 54.0
 Known chemotherapy 3,210 44.0 16,799 1,440 46.0
Age at diagnosis
 < 65 years 2,498 34.3 16,554 629 20.1
 65 to 74 years 2,111 29.0 11,012 788 25.2
 ≥ 75 years 2,680 36.8 10,466 1,715 54.8
Time since LPL/WM diagnosis
 < 1 year 7,289 100.0 6,497 725 23.1
  1 to < 5 years 5,960 81.8 17,784 1,297 41.4
 ≥ 5 years 3,206 44.0 13,751 1,110 35.4
*

Abbreviations: LPL: lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma N: Number; SEER 17: 17 cancer registry areas of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program (Los Angeles, San Francisco-Oakland, San Jose-Monterey, and Greater California; Connecticut; Detroit, Michigan; Atlanta, Greater Georgia, and Rural Georgia; Hawaii; Iowa; Kentucky; Louisiana; New Mexico; New Jersey; Seattle-Puget Sound, Washington; and Utah); WM: Waldenström macroglobulinemia; %: percentage.

Whites account for 87.6% (n=6,388) of persons, 33,699 person-years, and 89.4% (n=2,799) of deaths, whereas people of unknown race account for 1.8% (n=130) of persons, 638 person-years, and 0.3% (n=8) of deaths.

The number of individuals entering a specified period includes only those who are alive and have survived the required amount of time. Individuals are censored at the time of death (dead), or at the time when follow-up ends (alive). For example, individuals entering the <1-year interval who are alive and have survived 8 months since LPL/WM diagnosis, enter the <1-year interval but are censored at 8 months (alive), and do not enter the 1- to <5-year interval. An analogous situation occurs in the ≥5-year interval, and individuals who survive 1-year but have not yet survived 5-years, are censored (alive) within the 1- to <5-year interval and do not enter the ≥5-year interval.

Cumulative Mortality

Most deaths were attributable to lymphomas (n=1,342, 42.8%) or non-cancer conditions (n=1,341, 42.8%), with many fewer deaths attributable to non-lymphoma cancers (n=397, 12.7%) or unknown causes (n=52, 1.7%). Patterns of cumulative mortality varied by age at diagnosis, particularly for non-cancer conditions (Figure 1). In those aged <65 years at LPL/WM diagnosis, lymphoma deaths predominated, reaching 23.2% (95%CI, 20.3%−26.0%) at 16 years after LPL/WM, compared to 14.7% (95%CI, 12.3%−17.0%) for non-cancer conditions and 8.4% (95%CI, 6.5%−10.3%) and for non-lymphoma cancers. In patients aged 65–74 at diagnosis, cumulative mortality was of comparable magnitude for lymphomas and non-cancer conditions. However, among the oldest patients (≥75 years at diagnosis), lymphoma deaths rose quickly within one year after diagnosis, while non-cancer deaths surpassed lymphoma deaths at 4.7 years after LPL/WM. By 16 years after LPL/WM, cumulative mortality for patients aged ≥75 years at diagnosis reached 33.4% (95%CI, 30.9%−35.8%) for lymphomas and 48.7% (95%CI, 45.8%−51.7%) for non-cancer conditions, whereas deaths due to non-lymphoma cancers remained relatively low, similar to other age groups. The most common non-cancer causes of death were cardiovascular (n=477), neurologic (n=238), infectious (n=188), respiratory (n=143), and digestive (n=80) diseases, with slight differences in the distribution by age at LPL/WM diagnosis. The most common non-lymphoma cancers were lung (n=92) and colorectal (n=32) cancers and myelodysplastic syndrome/acute myeloid leukemia (MDS/AML) (n=46).

Figure 1:

Figure 1:

Cumulative mortality for LPL/WM patients by time since diagnosis and distribution of non-cancer deaths, stratified by age

Cause-Specific Mortality Risks

Overall, LPL/WM patients had a 20% higher risk of death due to non-cancer causes compared to the general population (n=1,341, SMR=1.2; 95%CI, 1.1–1.2; EAR 46.8) (Table 2). Among the most common non-cancer causes of death, only infectious (SMR=1.8; 95%CI, 1.6–2.1), respiratory (SMR=1.2; 95%CI, 1.0–1.4), and digestive (SMR=1.8; 95%CI, 1.4–2.2) diseases occurred at a higher rate than expected in the general population, with infections accounting for the greatest excess risk of death (EAR=22.6). In contrast, neurologic deaths occurred statistically significantly less often than expected (SMR=0.9; 95%CI, 0.8–1.0), and mortality due to all types of cardiovascular disease combined was comparable with the general population (n=477; SMR=1.1; 95%CI=1.0–1.1), although risk was elevated for atherosclerosis specifically (n=15; SMR=2.5; 95%CI, 1.4–4.2). Other less common conditions with statistically significantly increased risks included benign hematologic (n=39; SMR=7.4; 95%CI, 5.2–10.1) and rheumatologic (n=8; SMR=2.5; 95%CI, 1.1–5.0) diseases, the former accounting for a higher excess absolute risk (EAR=8.9) than for respiratory diseases (EAR=6.1).

Table 2.

Cause-specific risks of death among LPL/WM patients, 17 SEER registry areas, 2000 – 2016*

LPL and WM Combined
Cause of Death N SMR (95% CI) EAR
Non-cancer conditions 1,341 1.2 (1.1, 1.2) 46.8
Cardiovascular diseases 477 1.1 (1.0, 1.1) 5.5
  Heart diseases 430 1.0 (0.9, 1.1) 3.3
  Hypertension without heart disease 21 1.2 (0.8, 1.9) 1.0
  Atherosclerosis 15 2.5 (1.4, 4.2) 2.4
Neurologic diseases 238 0.9 (0.8, 1.0) −10.2
  Dementia 105 0.7 (0.6, 0.9) −10.3
   Alzheimer disease 50 0.8 (0.6, 1.0) −3.9
   Vascular dementia 6 0.8 (0.3, 1.7) −0.5
  Cerebrovascular diseases 85 0.9 (0.7, 1.2) −1.7
Infectious diseases 188 1.8 (1.6, 2.1) 22.6
  Septicemia 30 1.4 (0.9, 2.0) 2.3
  HIV 11 11.3 (5.7, 20.3) 2.6
  Mycoses and protozoal infections 5 9.3 (3.0, 21.7) 1.2
  Respiratory infections 88 1.6 (1.3, 2.0) 8.7
   Pneumonia and influenza 61 1.5 (1.2, 2.0) 5.6
   Pneumonitis and aspiration 22 1.5 (0.9, 2.3) 1.9
  Gastrointestinal infections 36 3.6 (2.5, 5.0) 6.8
   Viral hepatitis 14 6.9 (3.8, 11.7) 3.2
   Intestinal infections 22 2.8 (1.7, 4.2) 3.7
    Clostridium difficile enterocolitis 15 3.2 (1.8, 5.2) 2.7
Respiratory diseases 143 1.2 (1.0, 1.4) 6.1
  COPD and associated pulmonary diseases 115 1.2 (1.0, 1.4) 4.5
  Interstitial lung diseases 18 1.4 (0.8, 2.2) 1.3
Digestive diseases 80 1.8 (1.4, 2.2) 9.2
  Gastrointestinal bleeding 14 1.9 (1.0, 3.2) 1.7
   Stomach and duodenal ulcers 5 2.5 (0.8, 5.9) 0.8
  Liver diseases 32 2.1 (1.4, 2.9) 4.4
   Chronic liver diseases 26 2.3 (1.5, 3.4) 3.9
  Diseases of intestine or colon 22 1.6 (1.0, 2.4) 2.2
   Vascular diseases of intestine or colon 12 2.4 (1.2, 4.1) 1.8
   Nonvascular diseases of intestine or colon 10 1.2 (0.6, 2.1) 0.4
Accidents, falls, and adverse events 51 1.2 (0.9, 1.6) 2.3
Endocrine diseases 50 0.8 (0.6, 1.1) −2.5
  Diabetes 31 0.7 (0.5, 1.1) −2.8
Renal diseases 42 1.3 (0.9, 1.7) 2.3
  Nephritic/nephrotic diseases 40 1.3 (0.9, 1.8) 2.3
Benign hematologic diseases 39 7.4 (5.2, 10.1) 8.9
  Non-immune cytopenias 22 6.5 (4.1, 9.8) 4.9
  Immune cytopenias 5 21.7 (7.1, 50.7) 1.3
  Immune dysregulation 8 17.5 (7.6, 34.5) 2.0
Rheumatologic diseases 8 2.5 (1.1, 5.0) 1.3
Non-lymphoma cancers 397 1.3 (1.2, 1.4) 22.8
Solid cancers 313 1.1 (1.0, 1.2) 5.1
  Digestive tract 79 1.0 (0.8, 1.2) −0.4
    Esophagus 11 1.3 (0.7, 2.3) 0.7
    Colorectal 32 1.1 (0.7, 1.5) 0.5
    Liver and intrahepatic bile duct 11 1.0 (0.5, 1.9) 0.1
    Pancreas 16 0.8 (0.4, 1.3) −1.3
   Lung 92 1.0 (0.8, 1.2) 0.2
  Melanoma 6 1.2 (0.4, 2.6) 0.2
  Breast 9 0.6 (0.3, 1.2) −1.5
  Ovary 10 1.8 (0.9, 3.3) 1.2
  Prostate 13 0.5 (0.3, 0.8) −3.6
  Urinary tract 19 0.9 (0.6, 1.5) −0.3
  Brain and central nervous system 15 2.4 (1.3, 4.0) 2.3
MDS/AML 46 4.4 (3.2, 5.9) 9.4
Myeloproliferative neoplasms 6 3.3 (1.2, 7.1) 1.1
*

Inclusion/exclusion criteria: Specific disease categories with at least 5 deaths are included in this table, except “all causes of death” (n=3,132), “lymphomas” (n=1,342), “non-melanoma skin cancers” (n=12), and “unknown causes” (n = 52). Non-specific categories of death are excluded from this table.

Bolded SMRs and 95% CI values indicate statistically significant (P<0.05) values, e.g., unrounded CI excludes 1.00.

Abbreviations: AML: acute myeloid leukemia; COPD: chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; EAR: excess absolute risk; HIV: human immunodeficiency virus; LPL: lymphoplasmacytic lymphoma; MDS: myelodysplastic syndrome; N: observed number of deaths; SEER: Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results; SMR: standardized mortality ratio; WM: Waldenström macroglobulinemia; 95% CI: 95% confidence interval.

Cause of Death Categories are based on SEER Cause of Death Recode 1969+. Available at: https://seer.cancer.gov/codrecode/1969_d03012018/index.html.

Individuals diagnosed with LPL/WM had statistically significantly elevated risks of death due to several infections, with the highest SMRs (>5) for HIV, mycoses/protozoal infections, and viral hepatitis, albeit based on small numbers. Among deaths due to digestive diseases, SMRs were statistically significantly (>1.5) increased for gastrointestinal bleeding, chronic liver diseases, and vascular diseases of intestine/colon. For benign hematologic diseases, SMRs were more than >15-fold increased for immune cytopenias and immune dysregulation, the latter of which includes immunodeficiencies and disorders involving lymphoreticular or reticulohistiocytic tissues.

Overall, non-lymphoma cancer deaths were 30% increased compared to the general population (n=397, SMR=1.3; 95%CI, 1.2–1.4) and primarily driven by >2-fold increased SMRs for MDS/AML, myeloproliferative neoplasms, and brain and central nervous system (brain/CNS) cancers.

Patient Subgroups

Notable differences were observed by age at LPL/WM diagnosis, for which SMRs generally declined with increasing age for non-cancer conditions and non-lymphoma cancers (Table 3, Table S2). Large differences by age were observed for neurologic diseases, particularly cerebrovascular diseases (SMR<65=2.0, SMR65–74=1.2, SMR≥75=0.8), and respiratory infections, specifically pneumonia/influenza (SMR<65=4.2, SMR65–74=1.4, SMR≥75=1.3). A notable exception was for gastrointestinal infections, particularly viral hepatitis, with highest risks for older patients (SMR<65=4.4, SMR65–74=6.4, SMR≥75=14.9).

Table 3.

Cause-specific risks of death among LPL/WM patients by age at diagnosis, 17 SEER registry areas, 2000 – 2016*

< 65 years old 65–74 years old ≥ 75 years old
Cause of Death N SMR (95% CI) N SMR (95% CI) N SMR (95% CI) Pheterogeneity
Non-cancer conditions 200 1.6 (1.4, 1.9) 317 1.3 (1.2, 1.4) 824 1.0 (1.0, 1.1) <0.001
Heart diseases 51 1.2 (0.9, 1.6) 94 1.1 (0.9, 1.3) 285 1.0 (0.9, 1.1) 0.252
Neurologic diseases 29 2.0 (1.3, 2.9) 56 1.2 (0.9, 1.5) 153 0.7 (0.6, 0.8) <0.001
  Dementia 5 1.8 (0.6, 4.1) 18 0.9 (0.6, 1.5) 82 0.7 (0.5, 0.8) 0.316
   Alzheimer disease <3 ~ ~ 8 0.9 (0.4, 1.7) 40 0.7 (0.5, 1.0) 0.645
  Cerebrovascular diseases 14 2.0 (1.1, 3.4) 21 1.2 (0.7, 1.8) 50 0.8 (0.6, 1.0) 0.006
Infectious diseases 41 3.9 (2.8, 5.3) 41 2.0 (1.4, 2.7) 106 1.5 (1.2, 1.8) <0.001
  Septicemia 5 1.8 (0.6, 4.2) 10 1.9 (0.9, 3.4) 15 1.1 (0.6, 1.9) 0.423
  Respiratory infections 15 4.1 (2.3, 6.8) 17 1.8 (1.0, 2.8) 56 1.3 (1.0, 1.7) 0.004
   Pneumonia and influenza 11 4.2 (2.1, 7.5) 10 1.4 (0.7, 2.6) 40 1.3 (1.0, 1.8) 0.021
  Gastrointestinal infections 7 3.7 (1.5, 7.7) 5 2.2 (0.7, 5.1) 24 4.1 (2.7, 6.2) 0.368
COPD and associated pulmonary diseases 13 1.2 (0.6, 2.0) 35 1.3 (0.9, 1.7) 67 1.1 (0.9, 1.5) 0.893
Digestive diseases 22 2.4 (1.5, 3.7) 19 1.7 (1.0, 2.6) 39 1.6 (1.1, 2.2) 0.172
  Liver diseases 14 2.3 (1.3, 3.9) 8 1.7 (0.7, 3.3) 10 2.2 (1.1, 4.1) 0.650
   Chronic liver diseases 12 2.6 (1.3, 4.5) 8 2.3 (1.0, 4.5) 6 2.0 (0.7, 4.3) 0.675
Accidents, falls, and adverse events 12 1.3 (0.7, 2.3) 10 1.1 (0.5, 2.1) 29 1.2 (0.8, 1.7) 0.957
Endocrine diseases 5 0.5 (0.2, 1.3) 15 1.0 (0.6, 1.6) 30 0.9 (0.6, 1.2) 0.474
  Diabetes <3 ~ ~ 9 0.8 (0.4, 1.5) 20 0.9 (0.5, 1.3) 0.327
Nephritic/nephrotic diseases 4 1.3 (0.4, 3.4) 12 1.7 (0.9, 3.0) 24 1.1 (0.7, 1.7) 0.265
Benign hematologic diseases 9 13.0 (6.0, 24.7) 7 5.9 (2.4, 12.1) 23 6.8 (4.3, 10.1) 0.244
Non-lymphoma cancers 94 1.6 (1.3, 1.9) 116 1.2 (1.0, 1.4) 187 1.2 (1.1, 1.4) 0.291
Solid cancers 75 1.3 (1.0, 1.6) 89 1.0 (0.8, 1.2) 149 1.0 (0.9, 1.2) 0.282
  Digestive tract 18 1.1 (0.7, 1.7) 21 0.9 (0.5, 1.3) 40 1.0 (0.7, 1.4) 0.639
   Colorectal 3 0.6 (0.1, 1.7) 8 0.9 (0.4, 1.9) 21 1.3 (0.8, 2.0) 0.168
  Lung 26 1.3 (0.9, 2.0) 28 0.9 (0.6, 1.2) 38 1.0 (0.7, 1.3) 0.337
MDS/AML 10 7.6 (3.7, 14.0) 18 5.9 (3.5, 9.3) 18 3.0 (1.8, 4.7) 0.160
*

Inclusion/exclusion criteria: Specific disease categories with at least 25 deaths among all individuals with LPL/WM are included in this table, except “all causes of death,” “lymphomas,” and “unknown causes.” Non-specific categories of death are excluded. Among non-cancer conditions, if a subcategory comprised >75% of total deaths of its overarching category, only the subcategory is included in this table.

Bolded SMR, 95% CI, and Pheterogeneity values indicate statistically significant (P<0.05) values, e.g., unrounded CI excludes 1.00. Pheterogeneity values are based on a multivariate Poisson regression model, stratified by sex, lymphoma subtype (LPL versus WM), receipt of initial chemotherapy, and time since diagnosis.

Abbreviations are explained in Table 2; ~: SIR and 95% CI not shown for <3 cases to protect patient confidentiality.

Non-cancer mortality risks were highest in the first year after LPL/WM, with 17.8% of non-cancer deaths occurring within one year (SMR<1year=1.3, SMR1–4years=1.1 SMR≥5years=1.1, Phomogeneity=0.015; Table S3). This pattern was most striking for benign hematologic diseases (SMR<1year=17.2, SMR1–4years=5.0, SMR≥5years=6.2) but was consistent among most non-cancer causes of death (Figure 2). The main exception was for dementia deaths, which occurred at lower rates than observed in the population until ≥5 years after diagnosis (SMR≥5years=1.0). SMRs for deaths due to solid cancers increased with time since diagnosis, particularly for lung (SMR<1year=0.3, SMR1–4years=1.2, SMR≥5years=1.2) and colorectal (SMR<1year=0.8, SMR1–4years=0.7, SMR≥5years=1.6) cancers. Notably, the SMR for MDS/AML was highest among ≥5-year survivors (SMR<1year=1.9, SMR1–4years=3.4, SMR≥5years=6.5), although the differences in risk by time since LPL/WM were not statistically significant.

Figure 2:

Figure 2:

Cause-specific risks of death among LPL/WM patients by time since diagnosis, 17 SEER registries, 2000–2016

SMRs generally did not differ based on receipt of initial chemotherapy (Table S4). Exceptions to this finding included higher risks of death due to adverse events/falls/accidents or MDS/AML and lower risks of death due to diabetes or Alzheimer’s disease among those who received initial chemotherapy. Risks of death for LPL and WM patients, compared to the general population, were largely similar (Table S5).

Discussion

In the largest population-based mortality study of LPL/WM to date and the first to compare rates with the US general population, we comprehensively assessed patterns of mortality among patients diagnosed during 2000–2016. LPL/WM patients had notably elevated non-cancer mortality risks, particularly within 1 year of diagnosis. Infectious, respiratory, digestive, and benign and malignant hematologic conditions posed elevated mortality risks, whereas solid cancer and cardiovascular deaths generally occurred at similar rates to the general population during follow-up of 16 years or less. The majority of deaths were attributable to causes other than lymphoma, especially non-cancer conditions and particularly among older patients. Age at and time since diagnosis significantly impacted mortality risks, but patterns were generally similar for LPL and WM.

Prior LPL/WM mortality studies have reported the important contribution of non-lymphoma deaths, particularly among older patients, but have not quantified cause-specific risks (Kastritis et al., 2015, García-Sanz et al., 2001, Castillo et al., 2015b). Our study confirms that cardiovascular diseases, neurologic diseases, and infections were the most common non-cancer deaths in LPL/WM patients, but is the first investigation to report that infectious deaths as well as respiratory, digestive, and benign hematologic disease deaths occurred at an increased rate. However, no elevated risks of death were observed for cardiovascular and neurologic diseases. While lymphomas accounted for a substantial number of deaths, the higher proportion of lymphoma-related deaths (~43% versus ~25%) in our study compared with a previous SEER report (Castillo et al., 2015b) likely reflects our recategorization of the ICD-10 code for WM from the “unknown” category into the category of lymphoma deaths and inclusion of potentially misclassified diseases (e.g., lymphocytic leukemias) within this category.

We observed increased mortality risks for certain infections (Clostridium difficile enterocolitis, mycoses/protozoal infections, viral hepatitis, HIV, and respiratory tract infections) and specific digestive diseases (chronic liver diseases, gastrointestinal bleeding, and vascular diseases of the intestine and colon). Previous studies have reported that viral hepatitis, HIV, and respiratory tract infections are rare but important risk factors for LPL/WM, which could account for increased mortality due to these infections (Koshiol et al., 2008, Vajdic et al., 2014, Giordano et al., 2009, Nipp et al., 2014, Gibson et al., 2014, Kristinsson et al., 2010, McShane et al., 2014). Additional factors that may have contributed to increased risk of infection-related mortality include long-term disease and treatment-related immunosuppression (Karlsson et al., 2011, Olszewski et al., 2017, Caplan et al., 2017, Narum et al., 2014, Hernández-Díaz and García Rodríguez, 2001, Rao and Faso, 2012), recurrent/increased antimicrobial and corticosteroid use and/or exposure to healthcare settings (particularly for Clostridium difficile enterocolitis and mycoses/protozoal infections) (Revolinski and Munoz-Price, 2018, Varughese et al., 2018), and chemotherapy use leading to hepatitis virus reactivation (Yeo et al., 2000, European Association for the Study of the Liver, 2017). Infection-related mortality should continue to be monitored with increasing use of bendamustine and ibrutinib, which are associated with pneumonia, fungal, and other clinically significant infections (Olszewski et al., 2018, Varughese et al., 2018, Fung et al., 2019, Cheng et al., 2019, Fillatre et al., 2014).

In contrast to infections, cardiovascular and neurologic diseases—the other most common non-cancer deaths in LPL/WM patients (Castillo et al., 2015b)—posed no overall increased risk of mortality compared to the general population. The borderline but not significantly elevated mortality risk (SMR=1.1) from cardiovascular diseases after LPL/WM contrasts with strikingly increased cardiovascular mortality risks among patients with other NHLs and solid cancers, (Abuamsha et al., 2019, Sturgeon et al., 2019) possibly reflecting lower use of cardiotoxic agents and radiotherapy in LPL/WM. Decreased risks of neurologic deaths may be due to underreporting of dementia as an underlying cause of death (Macera et al., 1992, Romero et al., 2014, Ganguli and Rodriguez, 1999, Ives et al., 2009), although the novel finding of elevated risk of death due to cerebrovascular diseases exclusively in patients aged <65 at LPL/WM correlates with the higher observed rates of symptomatic hyperviscosity among younger WM patients (Bustoros et al., 2019).

This first report of mortality due to non-lymphoma cancers highlights elevated risks for MDS/AML but no overall elevations due to solid tumors combined. Increased mortality risks due to MDS/AML, particularly in patients who received initial chemotherapy, are consistent with the use of leukemogenic agents for LPL/WM (Leleu et al., 2009, Leblond et al., 2013). Some, but not all, studies evaluating second cancer incidence, including large SEER-based studies, have suggested 20–40% elevated incidence rates for solid cancers overall and specific increases for colorectal, thyroid, urinary tract, melanoma, lung, and brain/CNS cancers (Ojha and Thertulien, 2012, Castillo et al., 2015a, Morra et al., 2013, Varettoni et al., 2012, Castillo and Gertz, 2017). Differences between second cancer incidence and mortality results may reflect the favorable prognosis or early detection associated with some cancers. For example, LPL/WM staging-related imaging and greater patient interaction with the health care system may contribute to early detection and subsequently decreased lung and prostate cancer mortality observed within the first year(s) after LPL/WM diagnosis (Kastritis et al., 2018, Castillo et al., 2015c, Varettoni et al., 2012, Ojha and Thertulien, 2012, Castillo et al., 2015a, Howlader et al., 2019). Notably, deaths due to colorectal cancers were not increased, contrasting with a prior report suggesting LPL/WM patients may develop more aggressive second incident colorectal cancers or be unfit to receive appropriate colorectal cancer therapy (Castillo et al., 2015c). Brain/CNS tumors were the only solid tumors with an overall significantly elevated risk of death, possibly related to their poor prognosis (Howlader et al., 2019), though it is not known why brain/CNS tumors are more common after LPL/WM.

Strengths of our population-based study include the large number of LPL/WM patients diagnosed and treated throughout the US during a recent time period with systematic follow-up. We identified specific causes of death based on death certificates for >98% of patients. Study limitations include the lack of information on patient comorbidities, potential cause of death misclassification, underascertainment of initial chemotherapy, and lack of detailed clinical data on specific chemotherapeutic agents. Additionally, we lacked information to systematically assess mortality due to transformation events in indolent lymphomas because the majority of lymphoma deaths are coded without subtype-specific information (Castillo et al., 2015a, Morra et al., 2013).

Our study substantially furthers the understanding of specific conditions that have the greatest potential to be life-limiting for LPL/WM patients in the current era. These findings provide a framework for optimizing follow-up care strategies based on patient age and time since diagnosis. In particular, non-cancer conditions result in excess mortality, especially within the first year after diagnosis, and should be an area of increased clinical focus. Among older individuals, mortality due to non-cancer conditions and non-lymphoma cancers surpassed mortality due to lymphomas, suggesting that early recognition and interventions with therapeutic and supportive measures may favorably impact mortality risks. Furthermore, despite IgM gammopathy in WM, mortality did not vary significantly between LPL and WM patients, suggesting that interventions to reduce mortality may be implemented similarly for LPL and WM. Future research encompassing information on comorbid conditions, more specific causes of death, detailed clinical and chemotherapy data, and increased follow-up to identify longer-term risks will further our understanding of mortality after LPL/WM.

Supplementary Material

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Acknowledgments

This study was supported by the Intramural Research Program, National Cancer Institute, National Institutes of Health (NIH); the NIH Medical Research Scholars Program, a public-private partnership supported jointly by the NIH and generous contributions to the Foundation for the NIH from the Doris Duke Charitable Foundation (DDCF Grant # 2014194), Genentech, Elsevier, and other private donors. The authors thank Jeremy Miller (Information Management Services (IMS), Inc) for his analytical support and Ruth Pfeiffer, PhD, for helpful discussions on cumulative mortality. This article reflects the views of the authors and should not be construed to represent FDA’s view or policies.

Footnotes

Conflict of Interest Disclosure: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose relevant to this topic.

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