Abstract
Pediatric mild traumatic brain injury (pmTBI) has received increased public scrutiny over the past decade, especially regarding children who experience persistent post-concussive symptoms (PPCS). However, several methods for defining PPCS exist in clinical and scientific literature, and even healthy children frequently exhibit non-specific, concussive-like symptoms. Inter-method agreement (six PPCS methods), observed misclassification rates, and other psychometric properties were examined in large cohorts of consecutively recruited adolescent patients with pmTBI (n = 162) 1 week and 4 months post-injury and in age/sex-matched healthy controls (HC; n = 117) at equivalent time intervals. Six published PPCS methods were stratified into Simple Change (e.g., International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 10th revision [ICD-10]) and Standardized Change (e.g., reliable change indices) algorithms.
Among HC, test-retest reliability was fair to good across the 4-month assessment window, with evidence of bias (i.e., higher symptom ratings) during retrospective relative to other assessments. Misclassification rates among HC were higher (>30%) for Simple Change algorithms, with poor inter-rater reliability of symptom burden across HC and their parents. A 49% spread existed in terms of the proportion of pmTBI patients “diagnosed” with PPCS at 4 months, with superior inter-method agreement among standardized change algorithms. In conclusion, the self-reporting of symptom burden is only modestly reliable in typically developing adolescents over a 4-month period, with additional evidence for systematic bias in both adolescent and parental ratings. Significant variation existed for identifying pmTBI patients who had “recovered” (i.e., those who did not meet individual criteria for PPCS) from concussion across the six definitions, representing a considerable challenge for estimating the true incidence rate of PPCS in published literature. Although relatively straightforward to obtain, current findings question the utility of the most commonly used Simple Change scores for diagnosis of PPCS in clinical settings.
Keywords: pediatric mild traumatic brain injury, persistent post-concussive symptoms
Introduction
Public concern is growing regarding the increased incidence and potential long-term effects of pediatric mild traumatic brain injury (pmTBI), used synonymously here with concussion.1–3 In 2013, children aged 14 years and younger accounted for 640,000 TBI-related emergency department (ED) visits in the United States, 70–90% of which were classified as pmTBI.4,5 It has been suggested that approximately 30% of patients with pmTBI exhibit persistent post-concussive symptoms (PPCS) 1 month post-injury.6 However, multiple methodologies exist for defining PPCS7 and few studies have directly compared their psychometric properties8 or longitudinally examined the rate of healthy adolescent controls (HC) who would be misdiagnosed with PPCS. The latter is critical given that approximately 20% of HC endorse symptoms consistent with PPCS, with higher proportions among individuals with learning disabilities, attention deficit hyperactive disorder, or mental health disorders.9,10
A large barrier for the field is the lack of a consensus definition on what symptoms (i.e., number and type) and what duration constitute PPCS.7 Most clinical studies rely on Simple Change scores for determining PPCS. Specifically, previous studies have utilized three or more new symptoms at 2 weeks8,11 or 1 month post-injury.6,12 Others13 have defined PPCS as a positive change of at least 2 points in a single symptom after 3 months, or utilized a variant of this method.14 Critically, the specification of “new” or “worsening” symptoms inherently requires the availability of either baseline (typically unavailable) or retrospective, pre-injury ratings. Retrospective ratings are deemed to be more accurate if they are obtained closer to the actual injury date.10 Adults with mTBI exhibit evidence of reporting bias compared with HC in the form of lower pre-injury symptoms.15 More sophisticated statistical methods for measuring clinically meaningful symptom change based on standardization against control sample ratings, such as regression-based (RB)16 or reliable change indices (RCI),17 have also been used to determine PPCS (hereafter referred to as Standardized Change methods).18–20
Basic psychometric properties such as test-retest and inter-rater reliability are also critical for determining clinically meaningful symptom change.21–24 The current study therefore examined agreement between six published Simple Change6,13 or Standardized Change16,17 methods (Supplementary Table S1) for classification of PPCS in pmTBI patients and HC. The a priori prediction was that the Standardized Change methods would minimize misclassification rates in HC and provide greater inter-method agreement. The reliability of symptom reporting at 1 week and 4 months post-injury was also examined. The focus of the test-retest reliability analyses were on HC given that symptoms were expected to change following pmTBI. Parental ratings of symptoms were also assessed given concerns about validity of self-report in pediatric samples,21,24 and the utilization of parent-report rather than self-report ratings for defining PPCS.6 Finally, between group (HC vs. pmTBI patients) comparisons of PPCS and other symptom scales were conducted to statistically characterize each group and determine whether there was significant change over time in the injured group.
Methods
Participants
Children with pmTBI (12–18 years of age) were consecutively recruited from local ED and urgent care settings between July 2016 and April 2019 for this prospective cohort study. Participants were subsequently evaluated in an outpatient setting at subacute (SA; approximately 1 week post-injury) and early chronic (EC; approximately 4 months) injury phases, corresponding to typical follow-up windows for patient care. Inclusion criteria were based on American Congress of Rehabilitation Medicine and Zurich Concussion in Sport Group25 guidelines. Specifically, all pmTBI patients experienced head trauma resulting in Glasgow Coma Scale scores ≥13, an alteration in mental status or at least two new symptoms, loss of consciousness (if present) <30 min, and post-traumatic amnesia (if present) limited to 24 hours. HC were recruited from the local community through fliers and word of mouth, and were evaluated at equivalent time-points.
Exclusion criteria were the same for both pmTBI patients and HC: 1) a history of a) neurological diagnosis, b) previous moderate or severe TBI with >30 min loss of consciousness, c) developmental disorder [autism spectrum disorder or intellectual disability], d) any psychiatric disorders other than adjustment disorder, or e) substance abuse/dependence; or 2) a non-English-speaking child or guardian. HC were also excluded if diagnosed with attention deficit hyperactivity disorder or a learning disability. Urine-based drug screens were conducted for all participants at both visits. Any positive result was exclusionary for HC. Children with pmTBI were not excluded if they tested positive for marijuana use (n = 4) due to concerns about the use of this substance for treatment of symptoms (self-medication or otherwise). With the exception of one measure (see Supplementary Appendix), overall group-wise results were fundamentally unchanged when marijuana users were removed from principal analyses. All participants provided informed consent or assent according to institutional guidelines at the University of New Mexico School of Medicine.
Procedures
Participants rated symptom severity retrospectively (i.e., for the month prior to injury) and at the SA and EC assessments using a modified version of the Post-Concussion Symptom Inventory (PCSI; see Supplementary Appendix S1). The total PCSI score was the primary outcome variable, whereas subscale (Physical, Cognitive, Emotional, and Fatigue) ratings were secondary. Additional secondary self-report symptom inventories included Patient Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) scales for sleep, anxiety, and depression, and the Headache Impact Test (HIT-6). For all symptom inventories, retrospective ratings were collected only at the SA assessment in the current study to minimize reporting bias.10 All participants also completed a semi-structured questionnaire about history of previous head injuries and a self-reported Tanner stage of development to ensure equivalent sexual development across groups.
PPCS definitions
A brief synopsis of the methods used to calculate symptom burden at both the SA and EC assessments is provided in the following section, with full mathematical details in Supplementary Table S1. Symptoms at the SA time-point were operationally defined as post-concussive symptoms (PCS), whereas symptoms still present at the EC phase were operationally defined as PPCS. Simple Change methods included the ICD-10 (i.e., at least 1-point increase in at least three symptoms)6 and algorithms as reported by Smyth and colleagues (i.e., ≥2-point increase in at least one symptom),13 and were based solely on change from retrospective ratings. Four Standardized Change methods utilized HC ratings as a reference in calculating both PCS and PPCS burden in conjunction with a standardized cutoff (z = 1.64). RCI was calculated based on the original Jacobson and Traux formula17 as practice effects were not anticipated.26
For the second method, SA/EC were regressed separately on reported retrospective ratings within HC, with the derived coefficients used to determine significant deviations between observed and predicted SA/EC ratings for both groups.16 Symptom burden was also estimated by summing PCSI ratings, calculating the common logarithm (Log10) to reduce skew, standardizing (z-scores) based on HC ratings (classification cutoff, z ≈ 1.64) and adjusting for distributional bias.27 Finally, the difference between SA/EC and retrospective ratings were also summed, standardized (z-scores), and corrected for distributional bias. Based on cutoffs derived within each of the published methods, every individual from both the pmTBI and HC groups was then operationally classified as being either symptomatic (PCS or PPCS depending on time-point) or normal/“recovered.”
Statistical analysis
Within-subject analyses were performed with generalized estimating equations (GEE) using negative binomial or gamma distributions. Between group comparisons were performed with either generalized estimating equations and/or generalized linear models using the same distributions to better characterize recovery from injury in the pmTBI group. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICC)28 were used to examine both test-retest reliability (ICC[2,1]) and inter-rater reliability (ICC[2,k]; self vs. parent). Gwet's AC1 estimation29 evaluated agreement among non-independent PCS/PPCS classification methods. All reliability estimates were categorized as poor (≤0.39), fair (0.40–0.59), good (0.60–0.74), or excellent (≥0.75) based on previous guidelines.30 Finally, confidence intervals were calculated using the Clopper-Pearson method31 based on an assumed false-positive rate (i.e., misclassification; operationally defined as 5%) within HC.
Results
Participants
A total of 165 pmTBI patients and 120 statistically matched (age/sex) HC were included in the study. Six individuals in total were excluded (see Supplementary Appendix S1), resulting in a final sample of 162 pmTBI patients (77 females; age 14.9 ± 1.9 years; 7.4 ± 2.2 days post-injury) and 117 HC (55 females; age 15.0 ± 2.0 years). For the purposes of the current study, 141 of 162 pmTBI patients and 104 of 117 HC were eligible for the 4-month follow-up visit (i.e., a larger parent study is ongoing). Of these participants, 119 pmTBI patients (84.4% retention; 124.2 ± 12.9 days post-visit) and 94 HC (90.4% retention; 122.7 ± 11.3 days post-visit) completed their 4-month visit.
Group by time comparisons
Groups did not differ in terms of handedness, age, self-reported Tanner stage of development, biological sex, or previous head injuries (all p's > 0.10). See Table 1 for descriptive parameters of primary and secondary measures across all assessment periods and relevant sample sizes. Retrospective self-report (Wald-χ2 = 30.08; p < 0.001) and parent-report (Wald-χ2 = 14.48; p < 0.001) PCSI ratings were greater for pmTBI patients relative to HC, as well as all self-report retrospective ratings of secondary measures (all p's < 0.05).
Table 1.
Symptom measures | R HC | R pmTBI | SA HC (117) | SA pmTBI (162) | EC HC (94) | EC pmTBI (119) | HC stability |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PCSIa | 5(1–12) | 8(1–27) | 2(0–9) | 20(7–50) | 3(1–9) | 9(1–26) | R>SA≈EC |
PCSI (Parent)a | 3(0–9) | 3(1–12) | 1(0–4) | 13.5(6–36.5) | 2(0–6.5) | 6(1–13.5) | R>SA≈EC |
PROMIS Anxietya | 2.5(1–6) | 4(0–8) | 1(0–3) | 4(0–9) | 1(0–4.5) | 3(0–7) | R>SA≈EC |
PROMIS Depressiona | 1(0–5) | 3(0–9) | 0(0–3) | 2(0–11) | 1(0–3) | 2(0–7) | R>SA≈EC |
PROMIS Sleepa | 14(12–17.5) | 18(14–23) | 13(11–17) | 20.5(15–25) | 15(12–18.5) | 20(14–25) | EC>R≈SA |
HIT-6 | 44(38–51) | 51(44–59) | 40(36–47) | 52.5(45–60) | 42(38–47.5) | 48(42–58) | R≈EC>SA |
Denotes significant group differences.
Data are formatted at median (interquartile range).
EC, early chronic; HC, healthy control; HIT-6, Headache Impact Test; PCSI, Post-Concussion Symptom Inventory; pmTBI, pediatric mild traumatic brain injury; PROMIS, Patient Reported Outcomes Measurement Information Systems; R, retrospective; SA, subacute.
A significant Group × Time interaction was observed for both self-report (Wald-χ2 = 16.86; p < 0.001; Fig. 1A) and parent-report (Wald-χ2 = 21.93; p < 0.001; Fig. 1B) PCSI ratings. Elevated symptom load existed at both SA and EC assessments (pmTBI patients > HC; all p's ≤ 0.001), but was of greater magnitude at SA (incidence risk ratio [IRR]: self = 4.21; parent = 6.89) relative to EC (IRR: self = 1.92; parent = 2.42). Secondary analyses indicated that sleep disturbance exhibited a similar interaction with a greater symptom magnitude (pmTBI patients > HC; Fig. 1D) at SA relative to EC (IRR = 1.43 vs. 1.26) assessment. In contrast, Group × Time interactions for anxiety (Fig. 1E) and headaches (Fig. 1C) indicated significant group differences (pmTBI patients > HC) at SA only (p's ≤ 0.001; anxiety IRR = 2.52; headache IRR = 1.14). A main effect of Group was present for depression (p < 0.001; IRR = 1.85; Fig. 1F).
Stability of symptom ratings in healthy controls
Self-report PCSI total (Fig. 1A and Table 1) and subscale ratings (Supplementary Table S2) demonstrated a significant Time effect across retrospective SA and EC periods when limited to HC only. With the exception of the fatigue subscale, significantly higher retrospective ratings were observed relative to SA/EC (R>SA≈EC; all p's < 0.05) assessments, indicating a systematic reporting bias. Secondary measures (Supplementary Table S3) also indicated significant Time effects (all p's < 0.01). Anxiety and depression ratings indicated a similar pattern (R>SA≈EC; all p's < 0.05), whereas headache ratings were significantly elevated at retrospective and EC relative to SA assessments. Finally, sleep disturbances were elevated at EC relative to both retrospective and SA assessments.
For the parent-report PCSI, total score (Fig. 1B and Table 1) and all subscale ratings (Supplementary Table S2) with the exception of cognition (p = 0.30) exhibited main effects of Time (all p's < 0.05). Significantly elevated retrospective ratings were observed relative to SA/EC (R>SA≈EC; all p's < 0.05) for the PCSI total and physical scales. Emotional and fatigue subscales exhibited higher retrospective ratings relative to SA (all p's < 0.05) but not EC (p's > 0.05), with no differences between SA and EC ratings (p's > 0.10).
Inter-rater reliability
Within HC, inter-rater reliability (self vs. parent; Table 2) for PCSI total rating was poor for all (retrospective [ICC = 0.39]; SA [ICC = 0.24]; EC [ICC = 0.38]) assessments. Inter-rater reliability of subscales ranged from poor (majority of subscales) to good (physical subscale) across assessment periods. Within the pmTBI patient group, inter-rater reliability was poor for PCSI total retrospective ratings (ICC = 0.13), with correspondence increasing to good at SA (ICC = 0.70) and fair at EC (ICC = 0.55). A similar pattern of poor to fair reliability was observed for retrospective ratings across all PCSI subscales, with fair to good reliability at SA and EC periods for pmTBI patients.
Table 2.
|
Inter-Rater reliability |
Test-Retest reliability: Child |
Test-Retest reliability: Parent |
|||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Measures | R |
SA |
EC |
R to SA |
R to EC |
SA to EC |
R to SA |
R to EC |
SA to EC |
|||||||||
HC | pmTBI | HC | pmTBI | HC | pmTBI | HC | pmTBI | HC | pmTBI | HC | pmTBI | HC | pmTBI | HC | pmTBI | HC | pmTBI | |
PCSI | ||||||||||||||||||
Total | 0.39 | 0.13 | 0.24 | 0.70 | 0.38 | 0.55 | 0.85 | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.58 | 0.61 | 0.33 | 0.67 | 0.28 | 0.50 | 0.17 | 0.55 | 0.24 |
Physical | 0.64 | 0.13 | 0.36 | 0.75 | 0.50 | 0.46 | 0.75 | 0.54 | 0.28 | 0.49 | 0.52 | 0.23 | 0.78 | 0.21 | 0.62 | 0.23 | 0.64 | 0.23 |
Cognitive | 0.30 | 0.04 | 0.32 | 0.52 | 0.16 | 0.37 | 0.83 | 0.51 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.43 | 0.27 | 0.78 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.21 | 0.43 | 0.24 |
Emotional | 0.33 | 0.42 | 0.06 | 0.65 | 0.39 | 0.61 | 0.82 | 0.72 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 0.66 | 0.57 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.34 | 0.21 | 0.45 | 0.40 |
Fatigue | 0.26 | 0.03 | 0.47 | 0.72 | 0.32 | 0.63 | 0.64 | 0.43 | 0.37 | 0.37 | 0.55 | 0.22 | 0.68 | 0.20 | 0.23 | 0.09 | 0.31 | 0.10 |
EC, early chronic; HC, healthy control; ICC, intraclass correlation coefficient; PCSI, Post-Concussion Symptom Inventory; pmTBI, pediatric mild traumatic brain injury; R, retrospective; SA, subacute.
Test-retest reliability of symptom measures
Within HC, test-retest reliability (Table 2) of self-report PCSI total ratings indicated excellent reliability between retrospective and SA (ICC = 0.85), fair reliability between retrospective and EC (ICC = 0.50), and good reliability between SA and EC (ICC = 0.61) assessments. Subscales of the PCSI demonstrated similar or lower reliability. For the parent-report on PCSI, total ratings demonstrated good reliability (ICC = 0.67) between retrospective and SA and fair reliability between both retrospective and EC (ICC = 0.50) and SA and EC (ICC = 0.55) assessments. Reliability of PCSI subscales was similarly variable between assessment periods, but were generally lower relative to EC.
Test-retest reliability was fair between retrospective and both SA (ICC = 0.56) and EC (ICC = 0.58) assessments for self-report PCSI total ratings in pmTBI patients, but poor between SA and EC (ICC = 0.33) assessments, whereas subscale ratings ranged from poor to good (0.22–0.72). The decrement in reliability was notably greater for parent-reported PCSI relative to self-report, with poor reliability observed across all assessment periods (all ICC's ≤ 0.28), and subscale ratings ranging from poor to fair (0.09–0.50). Test-retest reliability for self-report secondary measures ranged from fair to excellent in HC and fair to good in pmTBI patients (Supplementary Table S2).
False-positive rates and inter-method agreement of classification methods
Simple Change methods significantly misclassified HC as being symptomatic based on self-report at both SA (Fig. 2A; ICD-10: Z = 7.28; p < 0.001; Smyth: Z = 7.70; p < 0.001) and EC (Fig. 2B; ICD-10: Z = 13.40; p < 0.001; Smyth: Z = 12.45; p < 0.001) assessments, whereas the misclassification rate was significantly underestimated with RCI at the SA assessment (Z = 2.48; p = 0.01). For parent-report PCSI ratings, the Simple Change methods exceeded the false-positive misclassification rate only for EC assessment (Fig. 2B; ICD-10: Z = 9.10; p < 0.001; Smyth: Z = 10.57; p < 0.001). In contrast, Standardized Change methods were within expected false-positive rates (all p's > 0.05) for self-report and parental ratings at both assessment periods.
Surprisingly, there was a 49% spread across methods for identifying pmTBI patients who would be diagnosed with PPCS at the EC visit (Fig. 3). Inter-method agreement for self-report was excellent for HC at the SA assessment (0.75–0.96), and excellent within Standardized Change methods at the EC assessment (0.95–0.99). Inter-method agreement across Simple Change and Standardized Change methods was notably lower at EC (0.53–0.65). Agreement across SA and EC assessments was excellent (0.89–0.98) within the Standardized Change methods, whereas poor to excellent agreement was observed for both Simple Change methods (0.38–0.75). A wider range of agreement was observed within self-report pmTBI ratings at SA (0.37–0.84) and EC (0.38–0.88) assessments, with higher agreement occurring within rather than between the two general method types. As expected due to recovery, agreement was poor to fair (0.12–0.59) for all methods across SA and EC assessments in pmTBI patients.
Inter-method agreement for parent-report ratings followed the same overall pattern as self-report ratings for both HC and pmTBI patients. However, inter-method agreement was generally higher for parent-report ratings with the exception of between SA and EC assessments for pmTBI patients (Fig. 3B, lower left quadrant).
Discussion
The primary aim of the current study was to investigate agreement between six different methods for defining significant symptom burden in both pmTBI patients and HC. Standardized PPCS methods greatly reduced misclassification rates within HC relative to Simple Change methods.6,13,14 Importantly, misclassification rates among HC were relatively high (up to 35%) for both self and parental ratings when using the Simple Change methods that are employed in the majority of clinical and some research settings. These findings are not completely unexpected given the non-specific nature of PCS, and the number of typically developing adolescents who experience these symptoms.9 The higher prevalence of misclassification rates at the EC visit may also be related to our use of retrospective ratings obtained at a single time-point closer to injury (i.e., approximately 1 week) to reduce recall error10 rather than repeating retrospective symptom assessment at 4 months post-injury. Importantly, the current study defined misclassification of HC as above 5% and thus was more heavily weighted toward specificity rather than sensitivity of PPCS detection in pmTBI.
Inter-method agreement (e.g., PPCS vs. not PPCS) varied by method category (Standardized > Simple), assessment period (SA > EC), group (HC > pmTBI patients), and rater (parent > self). Excellent agreement was observed for both self-report and parent-report across methods at the SA assessment for HC, likely driven by our acquisition of retrospective and SA ratings on the same day. Similarly, excellent test-retest reliability was observed between retrospective and SA ratings for HC, suggesting the correspondence between various psychometric properties of an instrument. Conversely, test-retest reliability between retrospective/SA and EC ratings was only fair to good for HC. Inter-method agreement was also lower for HC at EC assessment, particularly for Simple Change methods. Previous studies report much higher test-retest reliability across 1–6 week reporting windows,23,24 suggesting that duration between assessment periods is a critical factor for determining various aspects of reliability. Finally, the test-retest reliabilities for more specific symptom inventories (depression, anxiety, pain, etc.) and PCSI subscales were similar or lower among HC relative to total PCS burden, suggesting that the heterogeneous nature of PCSI inventories does not adversely affect reliability relative to more homogenous measures (i.e., all questions about depression).
Inter-method agreement for pmTBI patients across both self-report and parent-report classification was highly variable at both SA (full range across self-report and parent-report = 0.37–0.88) and EC (range = 0.38–0.95) assessments. In general, agreement for pmTBI patients was more variable between Simple versus Standardized Change methods rather than within each method. Importantly, a large spread was observed between methods in terms of the proportion of pmTBI patients “diagnosed” with PPCS at 4 months for both self (48.7% range; Fig. 2B) and parental (42.3% range) ratings. In contrast to current findings, a previous study comparing PPCS classification agreement among Simple Change methods relative to clinician judgement indicated superior performance for the ICD-10 method.8 However, self-reported or parent-reported symptoms are typically the primary source for clinical determination of PPCS, rendering this validation approach somewhat tautological. The large variation in PPCS determination is similar to a recent ED study (n = 11,907) that indicated large variations (7.1%–98.7%) in the number of children who would be diagnosed with pmTBI across 17 different published definitions.32 Although no true gold standard exists, current misclassification rates and classification spread among PPCS definitions suggests that previous studies relying on Simple Change methods may overestimate the prevalence of PPCS among patient groups.
As would be expected due to changing symptoms following injury, both test-retest reliability and inter-method agreement (lower left quadrant, Fig. 3A,B) were generally lower for pmTBI patients across SA and EC assessments. Interestingly, although there was poor inter-rater reliability between self- and parental PCSI ratings across all assessment periods for HC, a noticeable improvement in parent/self-rating agreement occurred from the retrospective to the SA assessment in pmTBI patients, which then decreased again at the EC visit. Thus, increased day-to-day symptoms and/or heightened awareness (increased caregiver/child interactions) may improve inter-rater reliability to an acceptable level for proxy reporting in acutely injured patients. In contrast, parent/child agreement about retrospective, more chronic, or typical symptom (HC) burden is limited, potentially as a result of the statistical properties of limited symptom range. The poor reliability between child and parental estimates of symptom burden is particularly problematic given recent recommendations to use parental ratings in the calculation of risk scores for determining PPCS during more chronic injury stages.6
As alluded to in the previous section, stability of symptom burden ratings was assessed through a variety of different methods. Critically, although test-retest reliability was excellent for SA versus retrospective ratings in HC, retrospective ratings were significantly and consistently increased (i.e., more symptoms) relative to SA/EC ratings across most symptom inventories (PPCS, depression, anxiety, etc.), potentially reflecting a test-retest attenuation effect.33 In contrast to current findings (pmTBI patients > HC), previous adult studies reported decreased retrospective ratings for patients (mTBI < HC), further suggesting this as a contributing factor for “good old days” biases.15 Collectively, current and previous findings suggest multiple potential confounding effects involved in the use of retrospective ratings as a benchmark for estimating symptom burden.
In conclusion, many pre- and peri-injury factors have been associated with PPCS following mTBI, including acute symptom burden, adolescence at time of injury, female sex, history of psychiatric illness, history of prior concussion, and parental distress.6,7,9,34 Both the ICD-10 and recent expert consensus panels35 suggest a 30-day marker for defining prolonged symptoms in children. However, current and previous findings9 question the specificity and utility of Simple Change scores. Given the poor correspondence between self-report and parent-report, as well as the possibility of elevated retrospective ratings in adolescents, current results suggest that the use of Standardized Change methods that either do not utilize retrospective ratings or statistically account for this bias (e.g., regression-based) represents the best available scientific and clinical option.
Previous32 findings suggest large differences in who would be diagnosed with pmTBI, whereas current findings indicate considerable differences in who would be classified as “recovered.” These findings collectively present considerable challenges for increasing the reliability of the pmTBI field as a whole. Although high-level evidence for treatments to shorten PPCS duration is limited,35,36 PPCS can be managed effectively.37 However, prior to the large-scale initiation of treatment trials, the field must first come to a consensus about what constitutes PPCS based on symptom duration and symptom burden. The use of different criteria across studies will continue to result in variable estimates of PPCS incidence, and will provide a large barrier for the care of children with concussion.38,39
Supplementary Material
Acknowledgments
The data that support the findings of this study will be openly available in FITBIR at fitbir.nih.gov upon the conclusion of the study, reference number FITBIR-STUDY0000339.
Funding Information
This research was supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health (https://www.nih.gov), grant numbers NIH 01 R01 NS098494-01A1 and -03S1A1, to Andrew R. Mayer.
Author Disclosure Statement
No competing financial interests exist.
Supplementary Material
References
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