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The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene logoLink to The American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene
. 2020 May 18;103(1):169–174. doi: 10.4269/ajtmh.19-0688

Noninvasive Models for Predicting Liver Fibrosis in Individuals with Hepatitis D Virus/Hepatitis B Virus Coinfection in the Brazilian Amazon Region

Mariana Pinheiro Alves Vasconcelos 1,2,*, Deusilene Vieira DallÁcqua 1,3, Heiner Wedemeyer 4, Steven S Witkin 5,6, Maria Cássia Mendes-Corrêa 2,6, Juan Miguel Villalobos-Salcedo 1,3
PMCID: PMC7356423  PMID: 32431268

Abstract.

Hepatitis D virus (HDV) genotype III is endemic in the western Amazon basin and is considered to cause the most severe form of chronic viral hepatitis. Recently, noninvasive fibrosis scores to determine the stage of liver fibrosis have been evaluated in individuals positive for HDV genotype I, but their utility in HDV genotype III–positive patients is unknown. In this retrospective study conducted in an outpatient viral hepatitis referral clinic in the Brazilian Amazon region, the aspartate aminotransferase (AST) to Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) and Fibrosis Index for Liver Fibrosis (FIB-4) values were calculated and compared with histological fibrosis stages. Among the 50 patients analyzed, the median age at liver biopsy was 35.6 years, 66% were male, and all had compensated liver disease. Histological staging revealed fibrosis stages 0, 1, 2, 3, and 4 in four (8%), eight (16%), 11 (22), 11 (22%), and 16 (32%) patients, respectively. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) of AST-to-alanine aminotransferase (ALT) ratio, APRI, and FIB-4 for detection of significant fibrosis (F ≥ 2) was 0.550 (P = 0.601), 0.853 (P < 0.001), and 0.853 (P < 0.0001), respectively. Lower AUROC values were obtained for cirrhosis: the AST-to-ALT ratio was 0.640 (P = 0.114), APRI was 0.671 (P = 0.053), and FIB-4 was 0.701 (P = 0.023). The optimal cutoff value for significant fibrosis for APRI was 0.708 (sensitivity 84% and specificity 92%) and for FIB-4 was 1.36 (sensitivity 76% and specificity 92%). Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index and FIB-4 were less useful to predict cirrhosis. In contrast to recent reports from Europe and North America, both APRI and FIB-4 may identify significant fibrosis in HDV-III–infected patients from northwestern Brazil.

INTRODUCTION

The WHO estimated that in 2015, 257 million people were living with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. Also according to the WHO, at least 5% of people with chronic HBV infection are coinfected with hepatitis D virus (HDV), resulting in a total of 15–20 million persons infected with HDV worldwide.1 Hepatitis D virus is a capsid-deficient RNA virus which uses the HBV surface antigen (HBsAg) to form infectious particles.2,3

The western Amazon basin, including Brazil, Peru, Ecuador, Venezuela, and Colombia, is considered an endemic area for HBV and HDV infection.4 In Brazil, this area corresponds to the states of Acre, Amazonas, Rondônia, and Roraima, with a high prevalence in the indigenous population.5

Chronic HDV is the most severe form of chronic viral hepatitis with rapid progression to cirrhosis and with limited treatment options. Genotype III HDV is endemic in the western Amazon basin and is associated with rapid progression of liver disease. Pegylated-interferon alpha is currently the only therapy licensed for the treatment of chronic HDV, but only 25% of patients have a sustained antiviral response after 1 year of treatment.68 The gold reference standard for determining hepatic histology is liver biopsy. However, liver biopsy is an invasive procedure that has been associated with complications. In addition, chronic HDV infection has been described mainly in areas with limited resources, which often makes liver biopsy or transient elastography inaccessible. Consequently, there has been considerable interest in identification of noninvasive markers to accurately evaluate the extent of hepatic involvement among chronic HDV–infected patients.

Noninvasive fibrosis assessment using transient elastography acoustic radiation force impulse imaging or shear wave elastography has been applied in HDV infection, but high costs limit its application in settings where HDV is highly prevalent.9 Studies assessing the accuracy of scores derived from standard blood tests, e.g., aspartate transaminase (AST)-to-alanine transaminase (ALT) ratio, aspartate aminotransferase-to-platelet ratio (APRI), and fibrosis index based on four factors (FIB-4) in HDV are limited and predominantly involve individuals infected with HDV genotype I.10 The aim of this study was to evaluate the accuracy of fibrosis stratification by AST-to-ALT ratio, APRI, and FIB-4 compared with liver biopsy in patients with HDV genotype III infections.

METHODS

Study population.

This retrospective cross-sectional study was performed using a cohort of chronic HDV patients followed at a dedicated chronic viral hepatitis ambulatory setting Centro de Pesquisa em Medicina Tropical (CEPEM), in Rondônia state, Brazilian Amazon region. Eligible patients included all those with chronic HDV infection characterized by positive anti-HDV antibody or HDV-RNA in serum and who were evaluated and followed at CEPEM between 1996 and 2015. The analysis included consecutive subjects with chronic HDV infection who underwent a liver biopsy and had concurrent laboratory assessments (blood test results within 6 months of biopsy) that included routine liver tests and blood counts.

Patients were not included in the study if 1) laboratory tests revealed ALT or AST levels more than eight times above the upper limit of normal (ULN) at the time of liver biopsy and laboratory assessments, 2) they presented with any other concomitant liver disease, 3) their liver biopsies were not considered representative (less than 10 portal spaces in the histopathological assessment) by the on-site pathologist, 4) they received any treatment for HBV or HDV before the liver biopsy was performed, and 5) they tested positive for HIV or hepatitis C virus by commercial diagnostic tests.

Liver biopsy and histology.

Liver biopsies.

Transcutaneous liver biopsies were guided by ultrasound and performed only in clinically biopsy-indicated patients. Liver fragments were fixed, embedded in paraffin, and stained with hematoxylin–eosin, Masson’s trichrome, and reticulin (for collagen). Liver biopsy specimens were evaluated and scored by experienced hepatopathologists.

Only biopsies with adequate tissue were scored, which was defined as a minimum of 10 portal tracts visualized. Histological findings were classified according to the Meta-analysis of Histological Data in Viral Hepatitis (METAVIR) classification scoring system (F0: no fibrosis; F1: portal fibrosis without septa; F2: portal fibrosis with rare septa; F3: numerous septa without cirrhosis; and F4: cirrhosis).11 For our study, significant fibrosis was defined as fibrosis stage ≥ 2 (F2, F3, and F4), advanced fibrosis was defined as fibrosis stage ≥ 3 (F3 and F4), and cirrhosis was defined as fibrosis stage F4.

Data collection and laboratory tests.

Medical records were retrospectively reviewed to obtain clinical and demographic characteristics. Laboratory data were also reviewed. Variables described were age, gender, and mode of HBV/HDV transmission. Hepatitis B virus serological testing was performed according to standard procedures and using licensed commercial assays, including HBsAg, total anti-HBc, anti-HBs, HBeAg, and anti-HBe. Hepatitis D virus coinfection was defined by the presence of positive anti-HDV antibodies by ELISA using commercially available kits from DiaSorin.12 Hepatitis D virus infection was confirmed by polymerase chain reaction (PCR) in RNA, and the HDV genotype was determined by sequencing and phylogenetic analysis, as previously reported.13,14 Hepatitis C and HIV serological tests were also performed on all potential study subjects.

Biochemical markers of liver fibrosis.

For all included patients, the AST-to-ALT ratio, APRI [(AST/ULN value:45IU/L)/platelet counts (109/L)] x 100, and FIB-4 [age (year) x AST(UI/L)/platelet counts (109/L) x √ALT (UI/L)] were calculated.1517 The ULN for ALT and AST was considered as follows: 45 IU/L and 38 IU/L, respectively.

Ethics.

The study was conducted after obtaining ethical approval from the Center for Research in Tropical Medicine in Rondônia Ethical Committee (CEP/CEPEM 055063/2015). All patients who returned for follow-up signed the informed consent form. For patients no longer available for follow-up, the Ethics Committee granted a waiver of the need for a signed consent form.

Statistical analysis.

Statistical analysis was performed by IBM® SPSS® Statistics version 24.0 (SPSS, Chicago, IL). The diagnostic performance of the AST-to-ALT ratio, APRI, and FIB-4 for detecting significant fibrosis (F2, F3, and F4), advanced fibrosis (F3 and F4), and cirrhosis (F4) was assessed with receiver operating characteristic curves the and associated area under the curve . Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) were also calculated for significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Among a total of 205 eligible patients, 85 had undergone liver biopsy and only 50 were included in this study. Among the 35 excluded patients, 11 presented with nonrepresentative liver biopsies (less than 10 portal spaces in the histopathological assessment), 22 lacked laboratory data, and two had transaminase levels more than eight times above the ULN.

Patient characteristics.

The characteristics of included patients are shown in Table 1. The median age was 35.6 ± 12.6 years, 33 (66%) were male, 17 (34%) were female, and nine (18%) were of indigenous ethnicity. Intrafamilial contact was the main risk factor observed (50%).

Table 1.

Characteristics of patients in the cohort

Patients characteristic N = 50
Age (years), median 35.6
Male, n (%) 33 (66)
Ethnicity, n (%)
 Caucasian 3 (6)
 Indigenous 9 (18)
 Mixed 31 (62)
 Black 3 (6)
 Missed information 4 (8)
 From Amazon region, n (%) 40 (80)
Interfamily contact, n (%)
 Hepatitis B virus 25 (50)
 Hepatitis D virus 8 (16)
Genotype, n (%)
 Genotype I 2 (4)
 Genotype III 22 (44)
 Missed information 26 (52)
Fibrosis stage (METAVIR), n (%)
 F0 4 (8)
 F1 8 (16)
 F2 11 (22)
 F3 11 (22)
 F4 16 (32)
 HBeAg positive 4 (8)

All patients were HBsAg positive, anti-HBc IgG positive, and anti-HDV positive. Among all patients, only (8%) were HBeAg positive. Only 24 (44%) had their diagnosis confirmed by HDV RNA analysis and genotype identification, two (8.3%) of which were genotype I and 22 (91.7%) were genotype III; all the other patients had only serological diagnosis of HDV.

Biomarker performances.

The AST-to-ALT ratio, APRI, and FIB-4 scores observed in relation to liver fibrosis stage following liver biopsy are shown in Table 2. The area under the receiver operating curve (AUROC) for detecting significant fibrosis was 0.550 for the AST-to-ALT ratio (P = 0.601), 0.853 for APRI (P < 0.001), and 0.853 for FIB-4 (P < 0.001) (Figure 1). For advanced fibrosis, the AUROC was 0.517 for the AST-to-ALT ratio (P = 0.838), 0.839 for APRI (P < 0.001), and 0.781 for FIB-4 (P = 0.001) (Figure 2). Last, for cirrhosis, the AUROC was 0.640 for the AST-to-ALT ratio (P = 0.114), 0.671 for APRI (P = 0.053), and 0.701 for FIB-4 (P = 0.023) (Figure 3).

Table 2.

Laboratory parameters and mean scores of the three biomarkers in increasing stages of liver fibrosis

Parameter Total (n = 50) F0 (n = 4) F1 (n = 8) F2 (n = 11) F3 (n = 11) F4 (n = 16)
Platelets (109/L)
 Mean ± SD 177 ± 95.4 189 ± 20.8 286 ± 118.1 189 ± 95.7 123 ± 49.9 147 ± 76.2
 Range 50–490 178–221 164–490 98–380 50–204 50–320
ALT (IU/L)
 Mean ± SD 80.5 ± 58.3 90.5 ± 93.3 37.2 ± 27.1 61.5 ± 36.5 125.1 ± 54.4 81.8 ± 58.4
 Range 11–257 35–230 11–98 12–130 36–192 26–257
AST (IU/L)
 Mean ± SD 71.3 ± 54.7 78.2 ± 90.5 30.5 ± 15.1 55.2 ± 34.5 101.0 ± 68.4 80.7 ± 47.9
 Range 13–297 30–214 13–58 15–120 45–297 30–214
AST/ALT
 Mean ± SD 0.96 ± 0.4 0.81 ± 0.2 0.91 ± 0.2 0.94 ± 0.2 0.91 ± 0.5 1.08 ± 0.5
 Range 0.42–2.45 0.57–0.93 0.59–1.18 0.66–1.36 0.42–2.17 0.50–2.45
Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index
 Mean ± SD 1.57 ± 1.8 1.16 ± 1.4 0.34 ± 0.2 1.00 ± 0.7 2.61 ± 2.6 1.95 ± 1.7
 Range 0.08–10.03 0.37–3.34 0.08–0.70 0.11–2.36 1.19–10.03 0.44–7.82
FIB-4
 Mean ± SD 2.25 ± 2.3 1.18 ± 0.4 0.63 ± 0.4 1.82 ± 1.3 3.57 ± 3.9 2.71 ± 1.5
 Range 0.16–14.15 0.64–1.51 0.16–1.23 0.23–3.94 0.29–14.15 0.47–6.16

ALT = alanine aminotransferase; AST = aspartate aminotransferase.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Receiver operating curves for aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT), Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), and FIB-4 for detection of significant fibrosis (F2, F3, and F4). This figure appears in color at www.ajtmh.org.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Receiver operating curves for aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT), Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), and FIB-4 for detection of severe fibrosis (F3 and F4). This figure appears in color at www.ajtmh.org.

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

Receiver operating curves for aspartate aminotransferase (AST)/alanine aminotransferase (ALT), Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index (APRI), and FIB-4 for detection of cirrhosis (F4). This figure appears in color at www.ajtmh.org.

Optimal cutoffs were determined which maximized the PPV (Table 3). For significant fibrosis, the cutoff for APRI was 0.708 (84% sensitivity, 92% specificity, 97% PPV, and 65% NPV. The cutoff for FIB-4 was 1.36 (76% sensitivity, 92% specificity, 97% PPV, and 55% NPV). For advanced fibrosis, the APRI cutoff was 0.933 (89% sensitivity, 74% specificity, 80% PPV, and 85% NPV). For FIB-4, the cutoff was 1.36 (81% sensitivity, 65% specificity, 73% PPV, and 75% NPV). Finally, for cirrhosis, the cutoff for FIB-4 was 2.26 (62% sensitivity, 79% specificity, 59% PPV, and 82% NPV).

Table 3.

Diagnostic performance of noninvasive methods for significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis

Score Area P-value Cutoff* Sensitivity Specificity Positive predictive value Negative predictive value Accuracy
Significant fibrosis (F ≥ 2) AST/ALT 0.550 0.601 1.183 34% 92% 93% 31% 48.0
APRI 0.853 < 0.001 0.708 84% 92% 97% 65% 86.0
FIB-4 0.853 < 0.001 1.360 76% 92% 97% 55% 80.0
Advanced fibrosis (F ≥ 3) AST/ALT 0.517 0.838 0.960 52% 65% 64% 54% 58.0
APRI 0.839 < 0.001 0.933 89% 74% 80% 85% 82.0
FIB-4 0.781 0.001 1.360 81% 65% 73% 75% 74.0
Cirrhosis (F = 4) AST/ALT 0.640 0.114 0.960 62% 65% 45% 79% 64.0
APRI 0.671 0.053 0.656 94% 41% 43% 93% 58.0
FIB-4 0.701 0.023 2.265 62% 79% 59% 82% 74.0

ALT = alanine aminotransferase; APRI = aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index; AST = aspartate aminotransferase; NPV = negative predictive value; PPV = positive predictive value.

*

The optimal cutoff point was determined by the point at which the true-positive rate is optimized and the false-positive rate is minimized.

DISCUSSION

Hepatitis D virus diagnosis and assessment in resource-poor endemic settings present major challenges. Identifying infected individuals with significant liver disease who require urgent treatment is hampered by the high cost and availability of biopsy as well as other fibrosis tests such as liver-specific serum markers and liver elastography. The present study was conducted to evaluate the accuracy of fibrosis stratification by the AST-to-ALT ratio, APRI, and FIB-4 as compared with liver biopsy in patients with chronic HDV infection. We demonstrate that the APRI and FIB-4 scores, derived from commonly performed blood tests, identify patients with significant and advanced disease with high PPV and NPV. Our data also confirm, as observed previously, that AST/ALT has a low sensitivity in establishing fibrosis staging among chronic HDV-infected patients.9

Aspartate aminotransferase to Platelet Ratio Index, in particular, was very efficient in identifying F3 patients, with high PPV and NPV. Identification of such individuals by noninvasive methods is certainly more difficult than the documentation of cirrhotic patients. Cirrhotic patients can be identified by a number of clinical and laboratory characteristics that are not usually present in F3 patients. However, similar to those with cirrhosis, F3-positive individuals need continuous follow-up and treatment.

These findings are in contrast to recent reports from Europe and North America which evaluated the utility of APRI and FIB-4 in HDV genotype l–positive individuals. In these studies, the serological tests did not specifically identify patients with significant and advanced fibrosis.9,10 Perhaps, the utility of APRI and FIB-4 ratio analysis, as described in these studies, cannot be extrapolated to other HDV genotypes that typically produce less severe disease. Genotype III HDV infections are known to produce the most aggressive inflammation and unique patterns of liver function test derangement.18 Viral genotyping was available for 24 of the 50 patients in our study, and 91.7% of those tested were positive for HDV genotype III. Because all our subjects were from the same geographical area, it is reasonable to assume that genotype III was also most prevalent among those whose genotyping was not available.

Despite the relatively low median age (35.6 ± 12.6 years) of our patients, 54% already had advanced fibrosis (F ≥ 3) or cirrhosis (F4). We believe that this observation supports our conclusion that HDV 3 is the most prevalent genotype involved in the development of aggressive liver disease.

Our study also indicates that the performance of FIB-4 is superior to that of APRI in detecting liver cirrhosis. This observation is consistent with the data from other studies investigating score performances of APRI and FIB-4 among hepatitis B–infected patients. Bonnard et al. compared noninvasive methods to diagnose significant fibrosis in HBV-positive patients in Burkina Faso and described the AUROC for significant fibrosis (F ≥ 2) as 0.61 for APRI and 0.71 for FIB-4.19 Also, the AUROC for cirrhosis was 0.50 for APRI and 0.74 for FIB-4. Similarly, a recent study by Zhang et al.20 demonstrated that the AUROC for FIB-4 to predict significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis was 0.646, 0.670, and 0.715, respectively. The AUROC for APRI for prediction of significant fibrosis, advanced fibrosis, and cirrhosis, was 0.656, 0.653, and 0.639, respectively.20

Although our results appear to be similar to the those of HBV studies, further research is nevertheless needed to determine the optimal cutoff values to diagnose cirrhosis and the clinical utility of these noninvasive methods in HDV patients. Recently, Takjar et al. analyzed 62 patients with chronic HDV hepatitis and were unable to determine that FIB-4 was of value in identifying cirrhotic patients. However, in their study, only 16% of subjects had stage 4 fibrosis as compared with 32% described in our investigation. Perhaps, differences in the proportion of HDV stage 4 individuals in the two studies may have contributed to the variation in the FIB-4 analysis.

Limitations of our study must be recognized. A main limitation of our study arises from intrinsic characteristics of its retrospective design. Registration bias is an important component of this limitation because data were not collected through a rigid protocol developed for the survey. As a consequence, among the 50 included patients, only 24 (44%) underwent diagnostic confirmation with HDV RNA and HDV genotype analysis and none had HBV genotyping performed. Unfortunately, most of the patients in the Amazon region have a poor follow-up history and, in addition, relevant laboratory tests are sometimes not available. Nevertheless, we believe that our analysis of the available cohort provides informative data to encourage further investigations on larger more divergent populations.

Another limitation of our study is that 35 of the 85 eligible subjects were excluded from the analysis. Eleven were excluded because of nonrepresentative liver biopsies. In general, the most likely reason for underrepresentation of liver tissue is fragmentation of the core biopsies. This tends to occur more commonly in samples from patients with stage 4 fibrotic disease. Therefore, it is possible that the proportion of cirrhotic patients in our study in fact may have been larger than the 32% that we reported. The inability to evaluate these subjects could have impacted the performance of APRI and FIB-4.

Access to rapid staging of liver disease is key to clinical management of HDV infection. The clinical application of noninvasive fibrosis tests to individuals infected with HDV genotype III, the most aggressive form of viral hepatitis that is endemic in the Amazon region and in other resource-limited settings, deserves further study. The results reported here will hopefully contribute to enhanced interest in development of larger studies.

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