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[Preprint]. 2020 Jul 24:arXiv:2007.03645v3. [Version 3]

Risk assessment of airborne transmission of COVID-19 by asymptomatic individuals under different practical settings

Siyao Shao, Dezhi Zhou, Ruichen He, Jiaqi Li, Shufan Zou, Kevin Mallery, Santosh Kumar, Suo Yang, Jiarong Hong
PMCID: PMC7359532  PMID: 32676520

Abstract

The lack of quantitative risk assessment of airborne transmission of COVID-19 under practical settings leads to large uncertainties and inconsistencies in our preventive measures. Combining in situ measurements and numerical simulations, we quantify the exhaled particles from normal respiratory behaviors and their transport under elevator, small classroom and supermarket settings to evaluate the risk of inhaling potentially virus-containing particles. Our results show that the design of ventilation is critical for reducing the risk of particle encounters. Inappropriate design can significantly limit the efficiency of particle removal, create local hot spots with orders of magnitude higher risks, and enhance particle deposition causing surface contamination. Additionally, our measurements reveal the presence of substantial fraction of crystalline particles from normal breathing and its strong correlation with breathing depth.

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The license terms selected by the author(s) for this preprint version do not permit archiving in PMC. The full text is available from the preprint server.

29 pages, 3 main figures, 18 supplementary figures, submitted to Journal of Aerosol Science


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