Abstract
Development of improved approaches for HIV-1 prevention will likely be required for a durable end to the global AIDS pandemic. Recent advances in preclinical studies and early phase clinical trials offer renewed promise for immunologic strategies for blocking acquisition of infection. Clinical trials are currently underway to evaluate the efficacy of two vaccine candidates and a broadly neutralizing antibody (bNAb) against HIV-1 infection in humans. However, the vast diversity of HIV-1 represents a major challenge for both active and passive immunization. Here we review current immunologic strategies for HIV-1 prevention, with a focus on current and next generation vaccines and bNAbs.
Keywords: vaccine, broadly neutralizing antibodies, HIV-1, viral diversity, prevention, bNAbs
Introduction
The HIV-1 epidemic continues to threaten global health and economic development, with 1.8 million new HIV-1 infections in 2017 alone (1–3). Behavioral and biomedical interventions have reduced HIV-1 incidence since the height of the global epidemic, but the impact of these interventions has plateaued in recent years. For example, global HIV-1 incidence decreased only 5% between 2016 and 2017, despite nearly $10 billion spent on HIV-1 prevention efforts over this same period (1–3).
Until recently, HIV-1 prevention efforts focused on behavioral interventions, male circumcision, and antiretroviral therapy (ART) for preventing mother-to-child-transmission and post-exposure prophylaxis (4–12). Randomized controlled trials have now established that transmission does not occur between serodiscordant couples if the HIV-infected partner has an undetectable viral load, and that uninfected individuals are far less likely to acquire HIV-1 if they take ART, which is termed pre-exposure prophylaxis, or PrEP (13–28). In particular, studies have demonstrated the efficacy of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and emtricitabine (TDF-FTC) based PrEP regimens in reducing HIV-1 transmission in men who have sex with men, transgender women, heterosexual men, and injection drug users (20–28). As a result, PrEP has become a major component of HIV-1 prevention efforts, and clinical trials are currently testing long-acting injectable antiretrovirals, implantable devices, and vaginal rings.
There are a number of limitations to treatment-as-prevention and PrEP strategies. Most importantly, access and compliance are major challenges for widespread implementation of PrEP. For example, women in sub-Saharan Africa at risk for HIV-1 infection may have suboptimal access to medical care and may face stigma for possession of antiretroviral pills. Long-term use of TDF-FTC can also be associated with renal toxicity and osteoporosis, and patients need to be screened for co-infection with hepatitis B and C before receiving TDF-FTC due to antiviral drug interactions (22, 29–31). Alternative PrEP agents, such as long-acting injectable integrase inhibitors, will likely improve compliance challenges but may lead to additional toxicity concerns during pregnancy (32). There is also a risk that PrEP might be started in patients who are already acutely infected with HIV, leading to treatment with a suboptimal regimen and the development of resistance.
Given the limitations of current biomedical options for HIV-1 prevention, there is a critical need for new HIV-1 prevention methods. Recent data has generated renewed enthusiasm for immunologic approaches, including both active immunization with vaccines and passive immunization with bNAbs. Five large clinical efficacy trials are currently underway to evaluate both active and passive immunization strategies for HIV-1 (Table 1). These trials are testing the clade C canarypox ALVAC (Env/Gag/Pro)/gp120 vaccine (HVTN 702), the global mosaic Ad26 (Env/Gag/Pol)/gp140 vaccine (HVTN 705/706; HPX 2008/3002), and the broadly neutralizing antibody VRC01 (HVTN 703/704). In this article, we review active and passive immunization strategies for HIV-1 prevention and discuss the challenge of global HIV-1 diversity for these efforts.
Table 1.
Trial | Phase | Product Type | Product Description | Clinical Trial Number |
---|---|---|---|---|
HVTN 703 | Phase 2b | Antibody | VRC01 in sub-Saharan Africa | NCT02568215 |
HVTN 704 | Phase 2b | Antibody | VRC01 in Americas and Europe | NCT02716675 |
HVTN 705 HPX2008 |
Phase 2b | Vaccine | Trivalent adenovirus 26 vector expressing mosaic Env/Gag/Pol + clade C gp140 with alum in sub-Saharan Africa | NCT03060629 |
HVTN 702 | Phase 2b/3 | Vaccine | Canarypox vector expressing clade C Env/Gag/Pro + bivalent clade C gp120 with MF59 in sub-Saharan Africa | NCT02968849 |
HVTN 706 HPX3002 |
Phase 3 | Vaccine | Tetravalent adenovirus 26 vector expressing mosaic Env/Gag/Pol + bivalent mosaic/clade C gp140 with alum in Americas and Europe | NCT03964415 |
Global HIV-1 Sequence Diversity
The primary target for HIV-specific antibody responses is the surface envelope glycoprotein (Env), which exhibits profound sequence diversity. All HIV-1 proteins are under immune pressure during chronic infection and are highly variable, but the diversity of Env is greater than Gag and Pol, which are good targets for T-cell responses (Fig. 1A). The diversity of HIV-1 results from rapid virus replication, the mutation-prone reverse transcriptase, the propensity for recombination and insertion and deletion events (indels), and serial escape from immune selection pressure over years during chronic infections. During the early expansion of the HIV-1 epidemic in Africa, major clades were established, and based on their phylogenetic relationships, a nomenclature to describe these clades (A-K) was defined (33). These major clades persist, and some clades dominate regionally (e.g. C in southern Africa, B in the United States), while others are very rare; the geographic distribution of these clades in various regions of the world is shown in Fig. 1B.
In a comparison of HIV-1 Env protein sequences (clades A-D) in the HIV-1 sequence compendium alignment, the within-clade median difference between Env amino acid sequences was 22% (quartiles 20–24%, range 15–29%), while between clades the median number of differences was 27% (quartiles 26–29%, range 22–44%). HIV-1 continues to diversify within clades, and on the time scale of decades the within-clade cross-reactive neutralization potency of sera from natural infection significantly diminishes (34, 35), suggesting the diversity challenge for immunologic responses is gradually worsening over time. HIV-1 evolution is further complicated by recombination. Some interclade recombinants (called circulating recombinant forms, or CRFs (33)) have expanded into major epidemic linages in their own right (36), such as CRF01 (an A/E recombinant) that is dominant in southeast Asia, and CRF02 (an A/G recombinant) that is dominant in west Africa (Fig. 1B). Some inter-subtype recombinants are only involved in local transmission chains, and so they are identified as a CRF as they are circulating, even though they are of limited epidemiological importance, and there are also many recombinants that have unique breakpoints, particularly in geographic regions where multiple clades co-circulate, e.g. A and D clade in Uganda (37).
Inter-subtype variability also means that different subtypes and CRFs have distinctive neutralization profiles, which is an important consideration for both active immunization with vaccines and passive delivery of bNAbs, as the phrase “heterologous breadth” does not necessarily imply global applicability (35, 38). For example, CRF01 strains, which are common in Southeast Asia, are highly resistant to antibodies that target Env variable region 3 (V3), whereas clade B strains, which are common in North America and Europe, often have reduced sensitivity to antibodies that target variable region 2 (V2) (38).
HIV-1 Sequence Diversification During Chronic Infection
HIV-1 evolution within infected individuals begins soon after infection, and given that the observed diversity that arises is due to selection from continuing cycles of immune response and escape (39–44), it is directly relevant to how we think about harnessing immunologic strategies to prevent HIV. Structurally, this diversity is manifested as both variable amino acids and glycans on the HIV-1 Env trimer (Fig. 2A–B). Such variable positions are found in virtually all bNAb target epitopes (Fig. 2A), e.g. bNAbs targeting the CD4 receptor binding site (CD4bs) contact positions in the highly variable V5 loop. Thus, we have previously argued that bNAbs do not derive their breadth from primarily recognizing conserved epitopes, rather that bNAbs have been selected in vivo to tolerate much of the natural diversity, likely resulting from antibody-Env co-evolution (40, 45–47) (Fig. 2B). Recombination is also rampant within chronic infections (48) and in viral rebound upon ART interruption (49, 50), and is an effective way to enable rapid escape from immune selection pressure.
Another aspect of Env variability is the immense length and sequence variation of the hypervariable sections of the variable loops V1, V2, V4, and V5 (Fig. 2C). Indels are extremely common in these regions, thus they cannot be readily aligned, even within chronic infections that were initiated by single founding viruses; thus we have advocated for alignment-free characteristics of hypervariable regions, such as their length, net charge and number of glycans when considering the impact of these regions on antibody sensitivity (38). For example, M-group Envs show a median V1 hypervariable loop length of 22 amino acids, though the loop length can actually range from 6 to 58 amino acids. Such hypervariable regions can interact with several bNAbs (e.g. hypervariable V1 with V3 glycan bNAbs, hypervariable V2 with V2 apex bNAbs and hypervariable V5 against CD4bs bNAbs), and they can have a profound impact on bNAb sensitivity (38).
Vaccines that Generate Functional Non-Neutralizing Antibodies
Historically, vaccines have been critical tools for ending viral epidemics (51). The scientific challenges in the development of a prophylactic HIV-1 vaccine, however, are unprecedented, including the vast diversity of global HIV-1 and the inability to induce broadly reactive neutralizing antibodies by vaccination. Accumulating data from clinical and preclinical studies suggest that functional non-neutralizing antibodies may provide at least partial protection against HIV-1 infection (52–54). The RV144 trial of a canarypox vector prime (ALVAC-Env/Gag/Pro), gp120 protein boost strategy in Thailand provided the first clinical evidence of efficacy for any HIV-1 vaccine (55–60). This study demonstrated 31% efficacy, and protection correlated with V1/V2-specific IgG1 and IgG3 responses, antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity activity, and decreased IgA responses (57). Non-neutralizing antibody responses have also been shown to correlate with partial protection in nonhuman primate studies (61–64). Using a comprehensive antibody profiling approach known as systems serology, we showed that reduced risk of infection in this model correlated with functional antibody responses, such as antibody-dependent cellular phagocytosis (ADCP), antibody-dependent cellular cytotoxicity (ADCC), and antibody-dependent complement deposition (ADCD) (65, 66). We also observed that an adenovirus serotype 26 (Ad26)-based vector prime, gp140 protein boost strategy afforded 66% protection against acquisition of infection following SHIV-SF162P3 challenge in NHPs, and both non-neutralizing antibody responses and T-cell responses were immune correlates of protection (67).
Based on clinical data with the ALVAC/gp120 vaccine and preclinical data with the Ad26/gp140 vaccine, two parallel vaccine development programs have led to clinical efficacy trials. RV144 involved ALVAC vectors expressing clade B and CRF01_AE antigens boosted with alum-adjuvanted bivalent clade B/E gp120 (ALVAC + gp120 B/E). The current goal of this program is to confirm and extend the RV144 findings using clade C antigens in South Africa (Fig. 1B), a more potent adjuvant (MF59), and an additional boost immunization. The phase 1/2 study of ALVAC + gp120 C/C showed that it was safe and immunogenic; it elicited binding antibodies in 100% of vaccine recipients, although V1V2-specific responses were lower than those observed in RV144 (68). These responses supported moving this vaccine into a phase 2b/3 efficacy trial of 5,200 men and women in South Africa in the Uhambo study (HVTN 702; Table 1). This study is now fully enrolled, and initial efficacy results are expected in 2021.
The second HIV-1 vaccine program currently in clinical efficacy trials involves an Ad26 vector expressing bioinformatically optimized HIV-1 “mosaic” Env/Gag/Pol antigens and boosted with alum-adjuvanted gp140. A prototype Ad26 vector expressing a single clade A HIV-1 Env immunogen (Ad26.ENVA.01) was shown to be safe, well-tolerated, and immunogenic (69–71). Multivalent Ad26 vectors expressing mosaic HIV-1 Env/Gag/Pol immunogens were manufactued with the goal of enhancing cellular immune breadth and functional antibodies against diverse global viruses (63, 72, 73). In a phase 1/2a clinical trial, we explored the safety and immunogenicity of various regimens involving multivalent Ad26.Mos.HIV vector priming with Ad26.Mos.HIV, MVA.Mos.HIV, and/or Env gp140 boosting in 393 subjects in Rwanda, South Africa, Thailand, Uganda, and the US (67). Humoral and cellular immune responses in humans proved comparable to those in nonhuman primates that afforded partial protection, and the mosaic Gag/Pol/Env Ad26 prime, Ad26 plus high-dose gp140 boost vaccine was selected for a phase 2b clinical efficacy trial in 2,600 women in five countries in sub-Saharan Africa called Imbokodo (HVTN 705; HPX 2008; Table 1). Preliminary efficacy results are expected in 2021. A phase 3 trial is currently being launched with a similar vaccine involving the mosaic Gag/Pol/Env Ad26 prime, Ad26 plus high-dose bivalent C+M gp140 boost vaccine in 3,800 men and transgender individuals who have sex with men/transgender individuals in the Americas and Europe (HVTN 706; HPX 3002; Table 1).
Another vaccine efficacy trial that is being planned involves combining PrEP with active vaccination. This PrEPVac study aims to test the combined efficacy of both modalities of HIV-1 prevention, with PrEP provided for the first 6 months of the study when immune responses are being induced by the vaccine. Multiple other vaccine approaches that induce non-neutralizing antibody responses are also being explored in preclinical studies and in early phase clinical trials that are not reviewed here (see www.avac.org/pxrd for a complete database of ongoing HIV-1 vaccine trials).
Vaccines that Generate T-Cell Responses
Vaccine approaches aimed at inducing broad and potent T-cell responses are also being developed. Two vaccine trials that had no efficacy in terms of preventing HIV-1 infection still showed that T-cell responses exerted immune selection pressure in follow-up analyses. The Step trial tested whether T-cell responses elicited by an Ad5 vector expressing natural B-clade Gag, Pol, and Nef could protect against HIV-1 infection or impact viral control following infection. The Step study did not show decreased infection risk (74, 75); instead there was an increase in HIV-1 acquisition among uncircumcised and/or Ad5-seropositive vaccinated study participants (76). Nevertheless, the vaccine led to immunologic pressure at transmission, as viruses from infected vaccinees were genetically further from the vaccine antigens than viruses from placebo recipients, most strikingly within Gag (77, 78). Furthermore, there was an inverse correlation between plasma viremia and the number of vaccine-induced CD8+ T-cell responses (79). These clinical data are consistent with non-human primate SIV challenge studies that have shown that vaccine-elicited CD8+ T-cell responses, particularly those targeting Gag, correlated with improved viral control and survival following infection (63, 80–86).
A second trial, HVTN505, evaluated a DNA prime, Ad5 boost delivery and included HIV-1 B-clade Gag, Pol, and Nef antigens, as well as three diverse gp145 Envs (87). Again, no overall reduction in HIV-1 acquisition or in viral load upon infection was observed in the HVTN505 vaccine group (88). However a subset analysis identified an association between reduced infection risk and CD8+ T-cell vaccine responses (89), as well as an association between reduced infections and IgG responses among those with low T-cell responses (90). The associations between vaccine-elicited CD8+ T-cell responses and reduced rates of infection (89, 90) or reductions in viral load (77) raise the possibility of a vaccine benefit, but given the lack of overall protection in both the STEP and HVTN505 human trials, this will require further study. Moreover, T-cell responses as well as antibody responses correlated with protection in NHPs in the SHIV challenge study leading up to the Imbokodo clinical trial (67).
There are three basic approaches that have been undertaken to attempt to improve the CD8+ T-cell vaccine responses relative to the vaccines used in the Step and HVTN505 trials (Fig. 1A). The first is used in the Imbokodo trial. This vaccine includes essentially complete protein antigens, as did STEP and HVTN505, but instead of natural proteins, complementary pairs of HIV-1 mosaic immunogens are used. As mentioned above, mosaic proteins are computationally designed to provide nearly optimal coverage of potential epitopes circulating in a target population. In this case, two complementary mosaics of each protein are included (Fig. 1A) (72). Mosaics not only optimize epitope diversity coverage, but also minimize epitope redundancy and the inclusion of rare epitopes that would favor type-specific vaccine responses. In NHP studies, mosaics elicited significantly higher numbers of T-cell responses with greater cross-reactivity (73, 91, 92). Mosaic Env proteins also elicited non-neutralizing antibodies that were associated with protection in SHIV challenge models (63, 67). The second vaccine approach focuses on conserved regions with greater cross-reactive potential, excluding the most variable regions while still retaining substantial regions of the HIV-1 proteins. They include a large number of potential epitopes, and a very broad spectrum of human HLA presenting molecules are represented (93–98). Some conserved region strategies are also enriched for epitopes that have been shown to be associated with low viral loads in natural infection (95, 96, 99). Others use complementary mosaic designs, as even relatively conserved regions of HIV-1 are still quite variable, and complementary mosaic protein designs can be used to maximize epitope coverage in such vaccines (96, 97). The third vaccine approach includes only very short regions that span highly conserved sections of HIV, for example the p24 conserved element vaccine, p24CE (Fig. 1A) (93, 100). A proposed alternative to the conserved element approach is to use similarly short regions that, instead of being conserved, are highly networked at the protein level, so are likely to be functionally critical (101). Both strategies may be particularly advantageous as therapeutic vaccines, by redirecting the immune response to protein locations where immune escape would likely come with a high fitness cost (93, 102–104).
A novel approach in the generation of a T-cell-based vaccine involves the induction of nonclassical MHC-E restricted CD8+ T-cell responses by a modified cytomegalovirus (CMV) vector (105–107). Remarkably, in NHP studies, CMV vector-based vaccines led to exquisite virologic control and clearance in approximately half of vaccinated NHPs (107, 108).
Vaccines that Generate Broadly Neutralizing Antibodies
A major unsolved problem in the HIV-1 vaccine field is the development of immunogens capable of inducing bNAbs. Such antibodies have proven extremely difficult to elicit by vaccination, and despite large research efforts, no such immunogens yet exist. Challenges include the high degree of Env sequence diversity as well as the extensive “glycan shield” that protects the Env trimer surface from antibody attack (109). Monoclonal antibodies have been identified in HIV-infected humans with exceptional potency and breadth, but typically these bNAbs emerge only after years of chronic HIV-1 infection and after multiple rounds of antibody-Env coevolution (45). Germline B-cell receptors of such bNAbs show unusual features, such as long third heavy chain complementary determining regions (CDRH3s) and short third light chain complementary determining regions (CDRL3s), which are able to penetrate or negotiate the glycan shield, respectively (110). The maturation of bNAbs also requires substantial somatic hypermutation, which partially explains the long time for development of bNAbs during chronic HIV-1 infection.
Soluble trimers that mimic the native Env spike have recently been developed. BG505 SOSIP.664 is a soluble protein that links Env gp120 and gp41 subunits with a disulfide bond and is stabilized with an I559P substitution in the pre-fusion state (109, 111–114). The BG505 SOSIP.664 gp140 vaccine has been shown to elicit potent autologous NAb responses to BG505 virus in animal models with very limited breadth (112–116) and that target an immunodominant “hole” in the glycan shield of this virus (110, 113), although other epitopes are also targeted (112). Some differences between SOSIP trimers and virion-expressed Env spikes have also been described (117), and approaches that utilize structural biology to design improved SOSIP immunogens are being actively pursued by multiple laboratories.
It is likely that multiple immunogens will be required to induce bNAbs (41, 118, 119). Studies of B-cell ontogeny leading to the development of bNAbs in HIV-infected humans has led to the concept of sequential immunization to recapitulate antigenic exposure in chronic HIV-1 infection by a sequence of immunogens. This approach involves priming with an immunogen that can stimulate particular germline antibody genes, followed by boosting with a series of intermediate constructs to coax B-cell development along the specific pathways that lead to bNAbs (43, 120). Stimulation of appropriate antibody germline B-cells may be required for vaccine induction of some bNAbs, since such germline B cells have the rare CDR configurations that are likely prerequisites for the development of bNAbs. However, such germline B cells typically show no cross-reactivity with natural Envs, and thus germline-targeting immunogens may be required. For example, eOD-GT8 is a nanoparticle-based engineered immunogen that was designed to stimulate precursor B cells for VRC01, which targets the CD4 binding site (121–123), and is currently being explored in a phase 1 clinical trial. Sequential immunogens have also been designed that aim to induce V3-specific NAbs (124, 125). However, none of these immunogens or combinations of immunogens have yet elicited bNAbs in wildtype animal models or in humans.
Epitope-targeted immunogen design strategies represent an alternative approach for inducing bNAbs. Examples of this approach include fusion peptide (FP) and V3-glycopeptide based immunogens, which present minimal epitope fragments as a means to avoid distracting off-target responses targeting other regions of the full Env spike (126–129). Another approach is the use of signature-based epitope targeted (SET) vaccine. We recently reported the design and testing of V2-SET immunogens that aim to increase induction of V2-specific NAbs using neutralization signatures from large virus panels to optimize exposure and diversity of the V2 epitope on the Env surface (38). Both the FP targeted and V2-SET vaccines have induced NAb responses with moderate breadth in small animals, and also in NHPs for the former (38, 126, 128).
Passive Immunization with bNAbs for HIV-1 Prevention
While passive transfer of monoclonal antibodies for HIV-1 prevention is not a novel concept, there is renewed interest in this approach as a result of the discovery of bNAbs with impressive in vitro neutralization breadth and potency. The Antibody Mediated Prevention (AMP) trials are two phase 2b clinical studies (HVTN 703/704; Table 1) that are assessing the protective efficacy of the CD4bs-specific bNAb VRC01 against HIV-1 acquisition in humans (130). These studies are evaluating VRC01 in heterosexual women in sub-Saharan Africa and in men and transgender persons who have sex with men in the Americas and in Europe. Enrollment in these trials is complete and results are anticipated in 2020.
Studies of bNAbs for HIV-1 prevention have two main goals. First, these studies will help define the neutralization titers required for protection, which will inform the development of next generation vaccines that aim to induce neutralizing antibody responses. Second, passive immunization with bNAbs may also be a clinically relevant HIV-1 prevention strategy. In particular, long-acting bNAbs may provide a viable alternative to antiretroviral drugs as PrEP. It is possible that bNAbs will have fewer adverse effects than antiretroviral drugs (particularly during pregnancy and adolescence), and efforts to extend the half-life of bNAbs could lead to less frequent administration than current long-acting antiretroviral drugs. Antibodies have been engineered for enhanced breadth and potency (131–134), and incorporation of “LS” mutations that improve the affinity between antibody Fc and the neonatal Fc-receptor (FcRn) have been shown to extend in vivo half-life (135).
A critical goal of the AMP trials is to define the degree of neutralization activity that is required to achieve high-level protection in humans. Multiple studies have shown the ability of passively transferred bNAbs to protect against simian-human immunodeficiency virus (SHIV) challenge in NHPs (132, 136–143). Serum neutralization titers required for protection ranged from inhibitory dilution for 50% neutralization (ID50) of approximately 30 to 1000, with most studies finding ID50 titers of approximately 100 to be protective (143); these ID50 values correspond to approximate ID80 titers of 7.5, 250, and 25, respectively (144, 145). Recently, a meta-analysis of bNAb passive transfer studies against high-dose SHIV challenges demonstrated a significant correlation between serum neutralization titer and protection, with ID80 titers of 1.7 (95% CI: 0.1–20) and 170 (95% CI: 15–1889) required for 50% and 95% protection, respectively (Pegu et al., submitted).
We have also analyzed two preclinical studies involving two different biological settings: a vaccine study that used high-dose SHIV challenges, and a passive bNAb infusion study that used low-dose SHIV challenges. The first study involved an adjuvanted BG505 SOSIP.664 gp140 protein vaccine against repeated high-dose SHIV-BG505 challenges (146). The baseline rate of infection in this study was 80% per challenge in control animals (Fig. 3A), which is slightly lower than the 100% per challenge infection rate in the meta-analysis of high-dose SHIV challenge studies by Pegu et al. Nevertheless, the ID80 titer requirements of 33 and 230 for protection levels of 50% and 95%, respectively, were comparable (Fig. 3A).
The second study involved a passive bNAb transfer study with repeated low-dose SHIV-AD8-EO challenges (139). In this study, a single intravenous infusion of 20 mg/kg of various bNAbs was administered, and animals were challenged weekly with low doses of virus that resulted in a 23% per challenge infection rate in controls. It took a median of 3 (range 2–6) challenges to infect the control animals, and thus this low-dose model may be more representative of human HIV-1 exposures than the high-dose challenge models. Of note, HIV-1 acquisition risk in humans has been estimated to be approximately 138 per 10,000 exposures for receptive anal intercourse, and 8 per 10,000 receptive penile-vaginal exposure (147), markedly lower than even the low dose challenge in NHPs. We applied a modified logistic regression model to the serum neutralizing activity at the time of each challenge and whether or not the challenge resulted in infection, similar to the above protective models (148) (Fig. 3B; see Supplemental Methods). This low-dose challenge model predicted that ID80 titers of 6 and 11 were required for 50% and 95% protection, respectively, substantially lower than the ID80 titers required for protection against high-dose SHIV challenge. The high-dose challenge contains more infectious virions than the low-dose challenge, and thus a higher fraction of the inoculum presumably needs to be neutralized to achieve complete protection. Other factors may also contribute to these differences, including different characteristics of the various SHIVs used, differences between monoclonal and polyclonal antibodies, and experimental specifics such as the use of exogenous human bNAbs in the passive transfer studies compared with elicited rhesus NAbs in the active vaccine study.
It remains to be determined which of these NHP models will best predict protection against HIV-1 infection in humans. They may underestimate the impact of a bNAb because the baseline rate of infection, by experimental necessity, is much higher in NHPs. On the other hand, these models may overestimate the impact of a bNAb because NHP studies typically utilize a single SHIV challenge strain, whereas HIV-1 exposure in humans exhibits far greater diversity at both the individual and population levels.
In the AMP trials, VRC01 is infused every 8 weeks, and the decay of serum bNAb concentrations was modeled as a bi-phasic exponential decline (149). For example, an infusion of VRC01 at 30 mg/kg leads to peak serum antibody concentration of ~600 ug/ml, which then declines rapidly over 3 days to ~223 ug/ml (Fig. 3C). This is followed by a slower second phase of decline with a half-life of ~14 days, such that serum antibody concentrations are ~12 ug/ml at the end of each 8-week cycle. In predictive models, this ~170-fold decline in bNAb concentration would be expected to result in decreased levels of protection (Fig. 3D). Using the least stringent of the protective preclinical models (i.e., the low-dose challenge where an ID80 of 10.66 is sufficient for 95% relative protection; Fig. 3B), a serum VRC01 concentration of 500 μg/ml would be predicted to protect against viruses with IC80 < 46.9 μg/ml (=500/10.66), which corresponds to 78% of global circulating viruses. However, towards the end of the infusion cycle, a serum VRC01 concentration of 10 μg/ml would only be predicted to protect against viruses with IC80 < 0.94 μg/ml (=10/10.66), which corresponds to only 34% of global viruses.
The decline in plasma bNAb concentrations highlights the importance of quantifying the decay in protective efficacy with serum neutralizing activity. Quantification of development of bNAb resistance can also be obtained from phase 1 clinical studies of the therapeutic use of bNAbs in HIV-infected individuals who are viremic or undergoing analytical treatment interruptions; in such cases the selection of resistant variants has been clearly demonstrated (150–154). In these studies, most individuals exhibited viral rebound with resistant virus despite high serum bNAb concentrations. For VRC01 and 3BNC117, rebound viruses showed a median increase of 3- to 12-fold in IC80 titers, respectively. For 10–1074, all rebound viruses showed complete neutralization resistance (Fig. 4). Looking at the viral escape pathways, the CD4bs-specific bNAbs appear to select for varied resistance mutations that typically lead to less potent, but not complete loss of, neutralization (150–154). In contrast, the resistance to the V3 glycan bNAb 10–1074 showed two escape pathways that were repeated across hosts: the loss of the glycan at N332 (often a glycan shift from N332 to N334) or a mutation at position 325 in the GDIR motif (HXB2 positions 324–327); both can confer complete 10–1074 resistance (153).
Limitations of bNAbs for Prevention: Clade-specific Neutralization Resistance
A major challenge facing the development of bNAbs for HIV-1 prevention is the prevalence of viral clades that are resistant to any one particular antibody (38, 148). A striking example is the lack of activity of V3 glycan-dependent bNAbs, such as 10–1074 and PGT121, against CRF01 viruses, the major circulating lineage in Southeast Asia. The reason for this is that a critical Env N-linked glycosylation site N332 in V3 is lost in this clade (38). Similarly, V2 glycan-dependent antibodies, such as PGDM1400 and CAP256, have less breadth and potency for clade B viruses than clade C viruses (38, 155). There is also reduced potency of all bNAbs against clade D viruses, although the number of subtype D viruses available for testing is limited (148). Because most geographical regions are enriched for specific clades (Fig. 1B), the subtype-specific resistance profiles of bNAbs should be considered in decisions to test bNAbs in particular regions.
A clear solution to overcome these issues is to use combinations of bNAbs for prevention. We showed preclinical proof-of-concept of the benefit of bNAb combinations against a mixed SHIV challenge in NHPs (141). These data are consistent with in vitro studies that have shown that bNAb combinations have significantly improved potency and breadth compared to individual bNAbs (148, 156, 157).
Limitations of bNAbs for Prevention: Within-Host Minority Resistant Variants
For a bNAb to block HIV-1 infection, two conditions are intuitively critical: (1) sufficient bNAb titers and (2) sensitivity of the challenge virus to the bNAb. With this simple model, the predicted efficacy of an individual bNAb would be a function of how likely an incoming challenge virus is to be sufficiently sensitive to the bNAb. However, it is likely that an individual will not be exposed to a single virus sequence, but rather to a swarm of highly diverse quasi-species from chronically infected individuals. Population-level molecular epidemiology (Fig. 1B) and neutralization of panels of defined pseudoviruses do not address this complexity. Additionally, it is likely that bNAbs do not work exclusively by blocking virions at the mucosal portal of entry. We showed that PGT121 mediated protection against SHIV-SF162P3 challenge in NHPs can include systemic clearance of distal foci of virus for up to 7 days following challenge (158). Thus, it is theoretically possible that the efficacy of bNAb based protection may be reduced by minor resistant variants within a challenge swarm, which could be selected with bNAb pressure, although experimental support for this concern is currently lacking.
Examples of how within-host diversity can impact bNAb sensitivity are shown in Figure 5. Neutralization data for viruses from 3 chronically infected viremic individuals (153) show that for each individual, there are 1–2 virus variants that are resistant to at least one bNAb, despite other virus variants being sensitive (Fig. 5A). Thus, bNAb combinations that neutralize within-host virus variants with at least 2 active bNAbs may be necessary to avoid escape. An analysis of within-host sequences from 6 chronically individuals similarly shows that each individual harbors frequent minor variants that are resistant to bNAbs from each class, even if the bulk population is sensitive (Fig. 5B). Such resistance signatures can be single amino acids or glycans located in key antibody epitope sites (Fig. 5B), or variable loop characteristics that are significantly associated with bNAb sensitivity levels (Fig. 5B–C).
The problem of within-host diversity is driven by the fact that chronically infected individuals can develop NAbs that target similar epitopes as the bNAbs considered for passive transfer and vaccines. bNAb epitopes are in regions of vulnerability, and thus are relatively frequently targeted in natural infection (143, 159). Thus, bNAb-resistant variants naturally arise during in vivo escape either from autologous neutralizing antibodies targeting the bNAb epitope, even if the host’s antibody lineage does not acquire breadth, or as part of the intricate process of antibody-virus co-evolution that gives rise to neutralization breadth. The latter process involves multiple rounds of viral escape followed by antibody evolution to recognize escaped viruses, and ultimately, most within-host viruses escape matured bNAbs in each infection regardless of their neutralization breadth and potency for heterologous viruses (40, 43, 160). Since bNAbs targeting similar epitopes show similar neutralization profiles and resistance mutations (38), chronically infected individuals who develop bNAbs targeting a particular epitope will often harbor viruses that are relatively resistant to clinically used bNAbs of a similar epitope class. For example, individuals who are known to have developed V2 apex, CD4bs, and V3 glycan bNAbs, respectively, also typically show resistance mutations in the corresponding bNAb signature sites. Studies of cross-sectional cohorts have established that ~50% individuals develop ~50% serum breadth (35, 161). In such individuals, 12–14% develop V2 apex, 21–36% develop V3 glycan and 5–26% develop CD4bs bNAbs, depending on the cohort (162, 163).
Extensive characterization of within-host diversity is currently only possible for a handful of individuals. We therefore cannot assess the coverage of bNAbs against the swarm of viral variants that are present in most chronically HIV-infected individuals. Timing of infection may also be important, as transmissions are most common during acute infection when the within-host viruses are more homogeneous (164–167). Nevertheless, data to date raise substantial concern that within-host minor resistant variants may reduce the projected efficacy of bNAbs in preventing HIV-1 infection. The use of combinations of 3 or more bNAbs can alleviate this concern. If most of the within-host viruses are sensitive to at least 2 bNAbs in the combination, the development of minority variants that are simultaneously resistant to all the bNAbs is less likely during within-host evolution. However, if most viruses are sensitive to only one bNAb in the combination, then there is a higher chance of existence of minority variants that are completely resistant to the combination.
How Many bNAbs Are Required for HIV-1 Prevention?
A combination of bNAbs is clearly required for HIV-1 treatment (150, 152, 153, 168, 169). For the reasons discussed above, a combination of bNAbs will also likely be required for high-level HIV-1 prevention, e.g., to prevent breakthroughs of resistant viral variants transmitted from someone with the diverse viruses that are the hallmark of chronic infection (170). A cocktail of bNAbs that target different epitopes may be effective for both prevention and treatment of HIV-1 infection. Here we argue that a combination of at least 3 bNAbs may be needed for optimal protection against HIV-1 acquisition in diverse populations. We compared the neutralization coverage of monotherapy with VRC01, the dual bNAb combination 3BNC117 + 10–1074, and the triple bNAb combination VRC07–523LS + PGT121 + PGDM1400 (Fig. 6). These regimens are all currently being explored in clinical trials. The dual bNAb combination provides significantly higher breadth and potency compared to VRC01 monotherapy, and this was further improved by the triple bNAb combination (Fig. 6A–B). For example, the geometric mean IC80 is 2.64 μg/ml, 0.48 μg/ml and 0.09 μg/ml for VRC01 monotherapy, the dual bNAb combination, and the triple bNAb combination, respectively. Similarly, the breadth of neutralization at IC80 < 10 μg/ml for viruses with at least one antibody active increases from 76% to 88% to 99%, respectively. Moreover, if it proves necessary to have two or more antibodies active for improved coverage of within-host diversity as argued above, then the triple bNAb combination still has 82% coverage compared with only 41% for the dual bNAb combination with 2 or more bNAbs active at single bNAb IC80 < 10 μg/ml (p = 2.2 × 10−31, Fisher’s exact test).
To further highlight the improved performance of the triple bNAb combination, we focused on each of the major HIV-1 subtypes (Fig. 6C). These patterns result in dramatic differences in coverage by the triple compared with the dual bNAb combination. For CRF01 viruses, no viruses are covered by both bNAbs in the dual bNAb combination, because CRF01 viruses are completely resistant to 10–1074. For clade C viruses, only 37% of viruses would be covered by both viruses in the dual bNAb combination. On the other hand, both 3BNC117 and 10–1074 have good coverage of clade B viruses, with 77% of subtype B viruses covered by both bNAbs, suggesting that the combination of 3BNC117 and 10–1074 would likely perform better against clade B viruses than against clade C or CRF01 viruses. In contrast, the triple bNAb combination has high coverage with at least two bNAbs in the cocktail for all subtypes (77–88%) except for subtype D (55%). This high coverage reflects the fact that the V2-specific bNAb PGDM1400 and the V3-specific bNAb PGT121 have complementary neutralization patterns (141), and the CD4bs-specific bNAb VRC07–523LS itself has exceptional breadth.
A parallel strategy to building bNAb cocktails is to generate bi- or tri-specific antibodies. One such example is the 10E8.4-iMab bispecific antibody that targets the membrane proximal external region (MPER) regions of the virus and host CD4 (131). Another example is the VRC01-PGDM1400–10E8.4 trispecific antibody that simultaneously targets three epitopes on the virus (171). Such multi-specific antibodies offer the possibility of extremely robust breadth with a single product and are currently in early phase clinical trials.
Conclusions
We are at a crossroads in HIV-1 prevention research. There are currently five large phase 2b and phase 3 clinical trials that will provide substantial data on the clinical efficacy of two vaccine candidates and a bNAb in preventing HIV-1 acquisition in humans over the next few years. Meanwhile, next generation vaccines aimed at inducing neutralizing antibodies and combinations of bNAbs targeting multiple epitopes are being developed. Active and passive immunization efforts will need to address the challenges of within-host, population-level, and global HIV-1 diversity to achieve optimal efficacy.
Supplementary Material
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