Abstract
Introduction:
Burns are one of the most common injuries sustained globally. Low- and middle-income countries (LMIC) are disproportionately affected by burn injury morbidity and mortality; African children have the highest burn mortality globally. In high-income countries, early surgical intervention has shown to improve survival. However, when applied to burn victims in LMIC, improved survival in the early excision cohort (≤5 days) was not seen. Therefore, we aimed to determine the magnitude of the effect of surgical intervention on burn injury survival.
Methods:
A retrospective analysis of a prospectively collected data, utilizing the Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) Burn Database from May 2011 to July 2019, was performed. Pediatric patients (≤ 12 years) were included. Patients were excluded if they underwent surgical intervention for non-acute burn care management. Bivariate analyses stratifying by type of surgical intervention was performed, comparing demographics, burn characteristics, surgical intervention, and patient mortality. Standardized estimates were adjusted using the inverse-probability of treatment weights to account for confounding. Weighted logistic regression modeling was performed to determine the odds of mortality based on if a patient underwent surgical intervention.
Results:
During the study, 2,364 patients were seen at KCH, 1785 (75.5%) were children ≤12 years who met inclusion criteria. In the overall cohort, 342 (19.2%) underwent operations, including split-thickness skin graft (n=196, 57.3%), debridement (n=116, 33.9%), escharotomy (n=19, 5.6%), and amputation (n=1, 0.3%). The surgery cohort was older (4.2 ± 3.1 versus 3.1 ± 2.6 years, p<0.001) with larger percent total body surface area burns (16%, IQR: 10–24 versus 13%, IQR: 8–20, p<0.001) than those who did not have surgery. In the propensity score weighted logistic regression predicting survival, patients undergoing surgery after burn injury had an increased odds of survival (OR 5.24, 95% CI 2.40–11.44, p=0.003) when compared to patients not undergoing surgery.
Conclusion:
In this propensity-weighted analysis, surgical intervention following burn injury increases the odds of survival by a factor of 5.24 when compared to patients not undergoing surgical intervention. Efforts to enhance burn infrastructure to deliver surgical care is imperative to attenuate burn mortality in resource-poor settings.
Introduction
Burn injury is the fourth most common type of trauma worldwide, after traffic injuries, falls, and interpersonal violence.1 Burn injury disproportionally affects people in low- and middle-income countries (LMIC).2 Mortality from pediatric burns is most pronounced in LMIC, where over 90% of burn-related pediatric deaths occur.3 This equates to 3.4 burn-related deaths per 100,000 children in LMIC compared to 0.5 deaths per 100,000 children in high-income countries (HIC).4 The disparity is particularly prominent in Africa, which has the highest pediatric burn mortality in the world.5
Pediatric burn mortality is usually attributable to burn shock in the first hours after injury, respiratory failure in the following days, and septic complications and organ failure during the subsequent weeks.6 In resource-poor settings, burn care is complicated by numerous factors such as delays in patient presentation, financial constraints, and poor health system infrastructure, including a paucity of specialty-trained health care personnel, scarcity of well-developed burn units, and insufficient access to the operating room. Furthermore, the lack of standardized burn care protocols has a detrimental impact on burn care and outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa.
After effective fluid resuscitation and stabilization of the critically ill burn injured child, attention is directed toward burn wound management. The key elements of non-operative burn wound management include cleansing, topical antimicrobial agents, and dressing changes.7 Definitive surgical management of the wound in a resource-poor setting is usually limited to debridement, excision, and split-thickness skin grafting (STSG). Burned children in resource-poor settings are primarily managed non-operatively.8,9,10
We, therefore, aimed to evaluate the effect of surgical intervention following acute burn injury in a pediatric cohort treated at a dedicated burn unit in Malawi. Specifically, we were interested in the magnitude of the effect of surgical intervention on burn injury survival.
Methods
A retrospective review of prospectively collected data was performed utilizing the Kamuzu Central Hospital (KCH) Burn Registry from May 2011 until July 2019. All patients who are admitted to the KCH burn unit are included in the registry. KCH, a public hospital primarily supported by the Malawi Ministry of Health, is a 900-bed tertiary hospital located in Lilongwe, Malawi. It serves the capital city and the 6 million persons who live in central Malawi. The KCH burn unit is a 31-bed unit, staffed by a consultant Malawian plastic surgeon, two specialized Malawian burn clinical officers, and a burn-trained nursing staff. Visiting surgeons from partner institutions in high-income countries were not involved in the surgical care of burn injured patients during the time of the study.
Inclusion criteria for this study were pediatric patients ≤ 12 years who were admitted and underwent burn operations in the acute period, including wound debridement, split-thickness skin grafts, escharotomies and fasciotomies, and amputations. Decision to undergo surgical care was determined clinically by the surgeon and clinical officers. As early excision and grafting has not proven to have a survival benefit in our pediatric population, the general approach of the burn unit is to delay operative intervention, specifically split-thickness skin graft until post burn day five.11 Patients were excluded if they were adults or undergoing operations for function or cosmesis, including contracture release.
Univariate analysis was performed to evaluate missing data and data distribution. Surgery was collapsed into groups that did or did not receive an operative intervention. All types of operative intervention were not able to be meaningfully analyzed independently due to cohort size, specifically amputations and escharotomies. Bivariate analysis was completed, stratifying over whether a patient underwent a surgical intervention during hospital admission. The central tendency of normally distributed covariates was described with means and standard deviations, while non-normally distributed covariates were reported with medians and interquartile ranges. During bivariate analysis, χ2 for categorical variables, Student’s T-Test for normally distributed continuous variables, and Kruskal-Wallis for not normally distributed continuous variables were used to compare exposure distribution.
A propensity score analysis was performed in order to reduce bias of patient and injury characteristics to better determine survival based on surgical intervention. The propensity score was performed with a logistic regression using surgery as the dependent variable. Independent variables included age, sex, time to presentation, percent total body surface area of burn (%TBSA), mechanism of burn injury, pre-hospital treatment by a traditional healer, and receiving a transfusion or antibiotics. The propensity score was inversed to calculate the inverse probability of treatment weight (IPTW), to weight the groups based on surgical intervention. After weighting, we confirmed balance as there was no statistical difference between the cohorts who did or did not undergo operative intervention in the logistic regression as previously described (p> 0.05), Table 2.
Table 2:
Unweighted Logistic Regression | Weighted Logistic Regression | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Odds Ratio | 95% CI | p-value | Odds Ratio | 95% CI | p-value | |
Age | 1.08 | 0.98 – 1.19 | 0.1 | 1.03 | 0.93 – 1.15 | 0.6 |
Sex | 0.97 | 0.56 – 1.66 | 0.9 | 1.06 | 0.58 – 1.95 | 0.9 |
Time to Presentation | ||||||
0–6 hrs | Ref | *** | *** | Ref | *** | *** |
7–12 hrs | 2.15 | 0.95 – 4.86 | 0.07 | 0.94 | 0.40 – 2.21 | 0.9 |
12–24 hrs | 2.65 | 1.09 – 6.42 | 0.03 | 0.89 | 0.36 – 2.20 | 0.8 |
24–48 hrs | 5.44 | 1.35 – 21.96 | 0.02 | 0.95 | 0.21 – 4.25 | 1.0 |
>48 hrs | 2.51 | 1.20 – 5.28 | 0.02 | 0.83 | 0.37 – 1.90 | 0.7 |
Percent TBSA | 0.96 | 0.94 – 0.98 | 0.001 | 1.02 | 0.99 – 1.05 | 0.2 |
Mechanism | ||||||
Scald – Water | Ref | *** | *** | Ref | *** | *** |
Scald – Grease | 1.30 | 0.59 – 2.84 | 0.5 | 0.81 | 0.34 – 1.93 | 0.6 |
Flame | 3.57 | 1.89 – 6.72 | <0.001 | 0.78 | 0.41 – 1.50 | 0.5 |
Traditional Medicine | 0.75 | 0.38 – 1.50 | 0.4 | 1.94 | 0.89 – 4.20 | 0.09 |
Antibiotics Prescribed | 0.72 | 7.27 – 25.19 | 0.3 | 1.26 | 0.65 – 2.43 | 0.5 |
Transfused | 13.53 | 0.04 – 0.25 | <0.001 | 0.97 | 0.52 – 1.80 | 0.9 |
To determine the influence of the operative intervention on survival after burn injury, we performed a propensity score-weighted logistic regression. Covariates included a priori in the logistic regression model were age, sex, time to presentation, %TBSA, mechanism of burn, and pre-admission treatment by a traditional health practitioner. On bivariate analysis, treatment with antibiotics and receiving a transfusion were statistically significant and included in the model. A backward elimination approach was performed to reduce error in the model with the removal of covariates from the model based on p-value (p<0.05). Based on this criterion, treatment with antibiotics and sex were removed from the final model as they were not statistically significant in the multiple logistic regression. There was a reduction of bias and improved precision as there was a narrowing of confidence intervals and <10% change seen in coefficients, respectively. A receiver operating characteristic analysis, to calculate a c-statistic, Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were performed for the final and full model to determine the model fit.
This analysis was performed using StataCorp v16.0, College Station, Texas. Confidence intervals are reported at 95%, and alpha was set at 0.05 for this study. An approved waiver for informed consent was obtained. The Malawi National Health Science Research Committee and the University of North Carolina Institutional Review Boards approved this study.
Results
From May 2011 to August 2019, 2,364 patients were captured in the KCH Burn Registry, which included 1794 (75.9%) children ≤ 12 years. Of the children, 1785 (99.5%) met inclusion criteria. In the overall cohort, 342 (19.2%) underwent operations, including STSG (n=196, 57.3%), debridement (n=116, 33.9%), escharotomy (n=19, 5.6%), and amputation (n=1, 0.3%). The median time to operation was 16 days (IQR 7 – 32). The overall cohort had a median age of 3.0 years (IQR: 1 – 4 years), was predominately male (n=993, 55.8%), with a median %TBSA of 14% (IQR: 8 – 21%). The surgery cohort was older (4.2 ± 3.1 versus 3.1 ± 2.6 years, p<0.001) with larger %TBSA burns (16%, IQR: 10 – 24 versus 13%, IQR: 8 – 20, p<0.001) than those who did not have surgery. The primary mechanism of burn in the surgical cohort was flame (n=202, 59.4%) versus scald (n=896, 62.3%) in the no surgery cohort (p<0.001). A higher proportion of patients presented later than 48 hours after burn in the surgical cohort, compared to the non-surgical cohort who had the highest proportion (n=557, 39.4%) present 12–24 hours after burn, (p<0.001). The overall mortality in the cohort was 279 (15.9%), with a mortality of 35 (10.5 %) and 244 (17.2 %) from the surgical and non-surgical cohorts, respectively (p<0.001), Table 1.
Table 1:
Overall n=1785 | No Surgery n= 1443 | Surgery n=342 | p-value | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Age: μ (SD) | 3.3 (2.7) | 3.1 (2.6) | 4.2 (3.1) | <0.001 |
Male Sex: n (%) | 993 (55.8) | 823 (57.2) | 170 (49.9) | 0.01 |
Burn Total Body Surface Area: median (IQR) | 14 (8 – 21) | 13 (8 – 20) | 16 (10 – 24) | <0.001 |
Mechanism of Burn: n (%) | <0.001 | |||
Scald - Water | 986 (55.5) | 896 (62.3) | 90 (26.5) | |
Scald - Grease | 290(16.3) | 244 (17.0) | 46 (13.5) | |
Flame | 484 (27.2) | 282 (19.6) | 202 (59.4) | |
Contact | 6 (0.3) | 5 (0.4) | 1 (0.3) | |
Electrical/ | 12 (0.7) | 11 (0.8) | 1 (0.3) | |
Lightening | ||||
Traditional Medicine Used: n (%) | 185 (10.9) | 142 (10.3) | 43 (13.2) | 0.1 |
Time to Presentation: n (%) | <0.001 | |||
0–6 hrs | 209 (11.9) | 168 (11.9) | 41 (12.2) | |
7–12 hrs | 392 (22.4) | 332 (23.5) | 71 (21.1) | |
12–24 hrs | 628 (35.8) | 557 (39.4) | 71 (21.1) | |
24–48 hrs | 67 (3.9) | 54 (3.8) | 13 (3.9) | |
>48 hrs | 456 (26.0) | 304 (21.5) | 152 (45.1) | |
Antibiotics Prescribed: n (%) | 938 (53.2) | 718 (50.4) | 220 (65.3) | <0.001 |
Transfused: n (%) | 242 (43.8) | 85 (23.6) | 157 (81.4) | <0.001 |
Mean Upper Arm Circumference: n (%) | 0.6 | |||
Severe Acute Malnutrition | 6 (0.9) | 5 (0.9) | 1 (0.6) | |
Moderate Acute Malnutrition | 8 (1.2) | 6 (1.1) | 2 (1.3) | |
Risk for Acute Malnutrition | 50 (7.2) | 35 (6.5) | 15 (9.6) | |
Well-nourished | 631 (90.8) | 492 (91.5) | 139 (88.5) | |
Hospital Length of Stay: median (IQR) | 11 (6 – 24) | 9(5 – 16) | 39 (24 – 61) | <0.001 |
Mortality: n (%) | 279 (15.9) | 244 (17.2) | 35 (10.5) | 0.002 |
The final model’s ROC curve had a c-statistic of 0.806. There was no difference in AIC between the full (0.827) and final models (0.831), as the difference was less than two. The Bayesian Information Criterion (BIC) was calculated to be −1930.5 and −1979.7 in the full and final model, respectively. The BIC absolute difference between the two models was 49.2, indicating there is very strong evidence towards using the final compared to the full model.
In the final propensity score weighted logistic regression model predicting survival, undergoing surgery after burn injury had an increased odds of survival (OR 5.24, 95% CI 2.40 – 11.44, p<0.001) when compared to patients not undergoing surgery. Increasing %TBSA (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.91 – 0.97, p<0.001) and receiving a transfusion (OR 0.30, 95% CI 0.12 – 0.76, p=0.01) had lower odds of survival, Table 3.
Table 3:
Weighted Logistic Regression | |||
---|---|---|---|
Odds Ratio | 95% CI | p-value | |
Surgery | 2.40 – 11.44 | <0.001 | |
Age | 1.09 | 0.93 – 1.26 | 0.3 |
Percent TBSA | 0.94 | 0.91 – 0.97 | <0.001 |
Time to Presentation | |||
0–6 hrs | Ref | *** | *** |
7–12 hrs | 0.59 | 0.19 – 1.89 | 0.4 |
12–24 hrs | 0.68 | 0.18 – 2.56 | 0.6 |
24–48 hrs | 0.69 | 0.10 – 4.66 | 0.7 |
>48 hrs | 0.51 | 0.16 – 1.66 | 0.3 |
Mechanism | |||
Scald – Water | Ref | *** | *** |
Scald – Grease | 0.43 | 0.17 – 1.13 | 0.09 |
Flame | 0.39 | 0.15 – 1.01 | 0.05 |
Transfused | 0.30 | 0.12 – 0.76 | 0.01 |
C-statistic: 0.806, p=0.7
Akaike Information Criterion:
Full Model: 0.827
Final Model: 0.831
Bayesian Information Criterion:
Full Model: −1930.5
Final Model: −1979.7
Difference: 49.2
Discussion
Surgical intervention remains the cornerstone of burn wound management. In this study, we show surgical intervention following burn injury increases the odds of burn injury survival by a factor of 5.24 when compared to patients not undergoing surgical intervention, after controlling for pertinent covariates in a propensity weighted analysis.
In developed countries, surgical management such as early excision and skin grafting leads to decreased hospital lengths of stay, a reduced cost of hospital care, and a significant reduction in mortality.12,13,14,15 During early, aggressive surgical debridement, non-viable tissue is removed. As the nidus for infection is removed, the wound bed is less likely to become infected. Further, the removal of necrotic tissue has the potential to reduce the production of chemical mediators which stimulate the inflammatory cascade leading to multisystem organ failure.16
However, we have previously shown early operative intervention (prior to post-burn day 5) increases mortality in the pediatric burn cohort in Malawi.17 In addition to an increased risk of mortality, early excision and grafting is not routinely employed in resource-poor settings for several reasons.18 In most centers, access to the operating room is limited due to resource and staffing limitations. Operative intervention for burn patients may be postponed as their surgical care is not regarded as emergent compared to other patients with acute care general surgery conditions or pre-existing malnutrition may be prohibitive to optimal wound healing.19 There are also increased blood transfusion requirements following tangential wound excision performed in burn surgery.20 With limited availability of blood and blood products, surgical intervention for burns may be regarded as prohibitive.21
The overall mortality within the pediatric burn cohort in this study was 15.9%. This is comparable to mortality from other burn centers in the region. Hyder et al. reported a case-fatality of 6 – 10% and between 18,000 and 30,000 burn deaths annually amongst African children.22 This is contrasted by reports from Cameron, which reveal pediatric burn mortality rates of up to 41%.23 These mortality rates indicate the need for increasing surgical intervention to further attenuate mortality.
There is a paucity of data on the use of traditional medicine in LMIC.24,25 Traditional medicine is commonly used among our patient population in Malawi due to the proximity of traditional medicine providers compared to local health centers and district hospitals. In nearby Mozambique, nearly two-thirds of guardians take pediatric patients to traditional healers prior to reaching a health care center.26 Some traditional medicine therapies commonly used in Malawi include cattle manure, papaya leaves, tomato leaves, honey, raw eggs, and aloe vera.
The surest way to reduce burn mortality is a comprehensive burn prevention strategy. Education for parents and children about the burn risks with hot objects and fluid, open fires, as well as the safe storage of flammable and toxic substances is needed.27 This includes a robust education program on preventing cooking-related fires, safety surrounding the use of paraffin lamps for heating, and adequate oversight of children within the family unit. Important burn prevention interventions that can be implemented are to raise cooking fires on bricks or stones and guard of open fires from children by using fire grids.28
Most governments and public health initiatives in sub-Saharan Africa have failed to invest in surgical infrastructure as a whole. There is a persistent emphasis from well-funded foreign aid initiatives on the prevention and treatment of malnutrition, obstetric disorders, and communicable diseases, such as HIV, malaria, and tuberculosis. This has perpetuated the misperception that surgical intervention is not a cost-effective endeavor and has shaped local health care policy to the detriment of patients with surgical diseases. A deliberate policy of investing in the surgical ecosystem: increasing the surgical workforce, allocating space for the delivery of surgical care, and providing the necessary supplies to achieve surgical care is imperative.29 Importantly, burn care is an integral part of essential surgical care.
This study is limited by its retrospective methodology and that the data is from a single burn center. Furthermore, the surgical intervention we considered was not limited to early excision and grafting but included escharotomy, amputation, and debridement. In addition, we did not differentiate between early versus late surgical intervention. However, in this propensity weighted analysis, we balanced the surgical and non-surgical cohorts for all well-established predictors of mortality, specifically age and percent total body surface area burns.
Conclusions
In this study we show that surgical intervention in pediatric burn patients may result in a survival benefit. Attenuating burn mortality on resource-poor settings is still dependent on primary burn prevention. Increased efforts to enhance the delivery of operative burn care in resource-poor settings are imperative.
Funding:
This study was supported in part by the NIH Fogarty International Center Postdoctoral Research Fellowship to Dr. Purcell.
Footnotes
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