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PLOS ONE logoLink to PLOS ONE
. 2020 Aug 10;15(8):e0237105. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0237105

Assessing geographic controls of hair isotopic variability in human populations: A case-study in Canada

Clement P Bataille 1,*, Michelle M G Chartrand 1, Francis Raposo 1, Gilles St-Jean 1
Editor: Dorothée Drucker2
PMCID: PMC7416927  PMID: 32776947

Abstract

Studying the isotope variability in fast-growing human tissues (e.g., hair, nails) is a powerful tool to investigate human nutrition. However, interpreting the controls of this isotopic variability at the population scale is often challenging as multiple factors can superimpose on the isotopic signals of a current population. Here, we analyse carbon, nitrogen, and sulphur isotopes in hair from 590 Canadian resident volunteers along with demographics, dietary and geographic information about each participant. We use a series of machine-learning regressions to demonstrate that the isotopic values in Canadian residents’ hair are not only influenced by dietary choices but by geographic controls. First, we show that isotopic values in Canadian residents’ hair have a limited range of variability consistent with the homogenization of Canadian dietary habits (as in other industrialized countries). As expected, some of the isotopic variability within the population correlates with recorded individual dietary choices. More interestingly, some regional spatial patterns emerge from carbon and sulphur isotope variations. The high carbon isotope composition of the hair of eastern Canadians relative to that of western Canadians correlates with the dominance of corn in the eastern Canadian food-industry. The gradient of sulphur isotope composition in Canadian hair from coast to inland regions correlates with the increasing soil pH and decreasing deposition of marine-derived sulphate aerosols in local food systems. We conclude that part of the isotopic variability found in the hair of Canadian residents reflects the isotopic signature associated with specific environmental conditions and agricultural practices of regional food systems transmitted to humans through the high consumption rate of intra-provincial food in Canada. Our study also underscores the strong potential of sulphur isotopes as tracers of human and food provenance.

Introduction

Isotopes of elements inherited from dietary sources such as carbon (C), nitrogen (N), and sulphur (S) have emerged as powerful tools to study human nutrition [1,2]. In recent years, several studies have used the C, N and S isotope composition in human tissues (δ13C, δ15N, and δ34S) to investigate differences in human nutrition and dietary choices at the population scale [Reviewed in 3]. Keratinized tissues, hairs and nails, are an ideal substrate for analyzing δ13C, δ15N and δ34S values in dietary studies, as these elements are abundant in keratin and record dietary isotopic values chronologically as they grow [47]. Isotope data from hair can thus provide snapshots of the diet from an individual or population at a monthly temporal resolution [812]. Stable isotope variations in hair have been particularly successful in demonstrating dietary transition in human populations by tracing, for example, the progressive increase in processed food products in certain indigenous community diets [1318]. The comparison of isotope hair compositions between countries also gives some information about dietary homogenization at the global scale [5,1923]. In many countries, δ13C, δ15N and δ34S composition in human hair or nails are becoming increasingly homogeneous due to the globalisation of food trade and the homogenization of dietary habits, particularly in urban regions [20]. On the other hand, regional dietary traditions (e.g., high rate of seafood consumption) contribute to a higher isotopic variability within and between populations in less industrialized regions [13].

However, even when food products are chemically identical, their isotopic composition can differ depending on the environmental, agricultural or manufacturing conditions during their production [24]. As global food items are often produced using local agricultural products (i.e., “glocalization”), food systems can inherit distinct isotopic values depending on their geographic origin [24]. Consequently, the preferential consumption of glocal food by certain populations could add some isotopic variability at regional to global scales that not only reflect individual dietary choices but vary geographically with the local food isotopic baselines [19]. For example, δ13C values in human hair increase in populations living closer to the equator, correlating the higher proportion of isotopically heavy C4 crops in those regions [25]. Even with identical diets, individuals from Brazil and from Europe will display distinct δ13C values in their tissues because isotopically heavy C4 crop by-products are used throughout the food industry in Brazil (e.g., cattle feed, sugar) whereas isotopically light C3 plants are dominant in Europe [26]. Many other agricultural or environmental factors can influence the isotopic baselines of food consumed by human populations at the regional scale, overprinting the influence of individual dietary choices and complicating interpretations.

δ13C, δ15N, and δ34S in human populations can vary with multiple processes, including metabolic fractionation, mixture of isotopically distinct food items, and variability in local food isotopic baselines. However, disentangling these factors for each isotopic system is often challenging. δ15N values increase moving up the trophic chain because N isotopes fractionate during N excretion [22,2731]. Consequently, humans eating more animal protein, particularly seafood, tend to have higher δ15N values than vegetarians [29]. Conversely, humans eating more legumes tend to have lower δ15N values [32]. δ15N values can also transiently be affected by metabolic fractionation associated with physiological stress (e.g. anorexia, bulimia, pregnancy or certain diseases) [33]. However, δ15N baselines in food can also vary with environmental and agricultural practices at the site of food production, including climate [34,35], soil properties [36], or fertilization practices [37]. Metabolism and trophic level play only minor roles in determining δ13C values in human tissues [30,38]. Most of δ13C variability in modern humans usually reflect the proportion of C4 vs. C3 in the food consumed [3,29,39] because C3 plants (e.g., wheat, rice, sugar beets) have much lower δ13C values ~-25‰ than C4 plants (e.g., corn, sugar cane) ~-12‰ [40]. Livestock fed on a C4 diet (e.g., corn) has higher δ13C values than cattle fed a C3 diet (e.g., barley) and those isotopic differences are further propagated to human tissues based on their dietary sources (e.g., meat, sugar) [24,27]. Seafood has also a distinct δ13C value generally between -17‰ and -20‰, which can influence the δ13C value of population with high seafood consumption [15]. Additionally, δ13C baselines in food can also vary with environmental and agricultural practices at the site of food production including climate [41], soil properties [41], fertilization practices [42], elevation [43], or even CO2 levels and aerosol deposition [42]. δ34S values in human tissues reflect in part the amount of seafood consumed [44] because the oceans have a high and isotopically uniform δ34S transmitted to marine food chains [45]. Though results remain ambiguous, δ34S values are potentially influenced by trophic level [30,46,47] and internal metabolism [48]. δ34S baselines in food systems also display spatial patterns related to the local environmental conditions at the site of production [49] including bedrock geology [50,51], climate [52], soil properties [52], aerosol deposition [50] and fertilization practices [53,54].

We attempt to disentangle the controls of isotopic variability in human hair at the population scale through a case study in Canada. We focus particularly on assessing the variability of isotopic baselines in food systems. Canada is known to be a strong agricultural nation, with major agricultural centers throughout the country. Those agricultural centers produce the majority (>70%) of the food that Canadians consume [55]. The Canadian agrifood business is well-integrated at the provincial level and favors strong intra-provincial consumption of the produced food [56]. Besides direct retailing by producers, Canadian glocal food includes retailing of processed food generated from locally produced and distributed agricultural goods [56]. Canada’s large size also favors strong intra-provincial agricultural markets because it is often less economical to transport agricultural goods between provinces [55]. Consequently, a large portion of the Canadian residents’ diet is glocal [55]. Because Canada is a large country with vastly different environmental conditions and crop distribution throughout its territories, this diversity of environmental and climatic conditions of agricultural zones should lead to distinct isotopic baselines in glocal food produced throughout the country. We hypothesize that if the food consumed by Canadians is dominantly glocal in origin, tissues of Canadian residents should have distinct isotopic values between provinces/regions across Canada reflecting the isotopic baseline of regional food systems. One possible method to assess these geographic controls on isotopic variability in hair of Canadian residents would have been to collect common food items (e.g., meat, eggs, milk, cereals) from different Canadian regions to explore possible spatial trends. However, we would have had to collect many different food items to represent properly the integrated Canadian diet. To limit cost and time, we explored the presence of spatial trends directly from the isotopic variability in hair of Canadian volunteers using multivariate regression. We collected δ13C, δ15N and δ34S values in human hair from local volunteers across Canada including resampling of several volunteers through a 4-year period. We combined those isotopic data with demographics, and dietary habits of volunteers as well as environmental/agricultural conditions at their residence location. We then used a series of random forest regressions to sequentially assess how dietary choices, demographics and geography influence isotopic variability.

Materials and methods

Ethical statement and data availability

The research procedure was approved by the Office of Research Ethics and Integrity of the University of Ottawa (Ethics File number: H10-17-10). Specifically, all sampling and analytical methods used were in accordance with relevant guidelines from the Office of Research Ethics and Integrity of the University of Ottawa. Written consents were obtained from all participants in accordance with and maintained under regulations from the Office of Research Ethics and Integrity of the University of Ottawa. The isotope data, sample locations and compiled responses to FFQ are available in S1 and S2 Data.

Participant recruitment, questionnaire and hair collection procedure

Between 2008 and 2012, poster announcements and mailings were sent to the Royal Canadian Mounted Police across the country and to personal contacts in target locations across Canada to recruit volunteers for an isotope and dietary survey. Among the respondents, 590 participants aged over 18 years old were selected for the study based on two criteria: 1) limited travel within the last year, and 2) coverage of the most populous regions across Canada. Except for age restrictions, we did not select participants based on demographics or socio-economic status. However, based on the study design and announcements, it is likely that some biases exist in the selected population. At entry into the study, participants answered a dietary, travel, and demographic questionnaire (S1 Table). Hair samples were then collected in two manners: haircuts (for those who have short hair), and cuts from the scalp (for those who had longer hair). For participants with long hair, only the hair part grown in the last year (i.e. the top 12 cm of hair from the scalp) was used in the analysis. Based on the travel questions, confidence is high that for most participants, the collected hairs were grown at the location of residence of the volunteer. However, about 15% of the participants traveled to a distant location within 1 year of hair collection. For those who had traveled, the length of hair associated to the time the participant travelled was estimated (assuming a constant hair growth rate of 1 cm/month), and a 3 cm segment of hair above the estimated length was removed from the sample, and not used in the analysis. This assumption adds some uncertainty to our analysis, as at any given moment at least 10% of hairs are not growing (resting phase) and hairs of different participant do not grow at the same rate [57]. Out of the 590 participants, 25 participants were resampled every 4 to 6 months (157 samples) for a period of 4 years. At each sampling period, they filled an additional questionnaire to assess any change in their dietary inputs and travel history. For logistical reasons, these resampling activities were performed in only 3 urban regions: Montreal (n = 4), Ottawa (n = 10) and Sudbury (n = 11).

Isotopic analysis

Human hair is a particularly interesting substrate to investigate human nutrition, as the great majority of C, N, and S in hair keratin is derived from the food consumed by the consumer[3]. Hair is also rich in C, N and S, and is easily collected, is resistant, and does not undergo elemental turnover [4]. All hair for isotope analysis was prepared by first washing the hair in a 2:1 solution of chloroform:methanol (CHCl3:MeOH), drying the hair, then grinding the hairs into a powder using a Retsch ball mill and stainless steel grinding jars. The hair was then stored in glass vials until analyzed. Hair samples were analyzed for δ2H, δ13C, δ15N, δ34S, δ18O, and 87Sr/86Sr values. However, in some cases, there was not enough hair for all isotopic analyses. In this work, only the δ13C, δ15N, and δ34S data are reported. For δ13C and δ15N analysis, the samples and isotope standards were weighted into tin capsules and loaded onto an Elemental Analyser (Vario EL cube, Elementar, Germany) interfaced (Conflow III, Thermo, Germany) to an isotope ratio mass spectrometer (IRMS, DeltaPlus Advantage, Thermo, Germany). Internal standards used for calibration were a mix of ammonium sulfate and sucrose (δ13CVPDB, -11.94‰; δ15NAIR, 16.58‰), nicotinamide (δ13CVPDB, -22.95‰; δ15NAIR, 0.07‰), and caffeine (δ13CVPDB, -28.53‰; δ15NAIR, -3.98‰). All δ15N and δ13C values are reported versus AIR and VPDB, respectively. Analytical precision was based on an internal quality check reference sample (glutamic acid, which is not used for normalization) and was better than ± 0.2 ‰ for both δ13C and δ15N. For δ34S analyses, the samples and standards were weighted into tin capsules, loaded onto an Isotope cube Elemental Analyser, and flash combusted at 1800°C. The EA method was optimized for SO2; N2 and CO2 were not retained. SO2 was trapped and released to the Conflo IV (Thermo, Germany) interfaced to the IRMS (DeltaPlus XP, with special 6 collector sulphur cups (SO-SO2), Thermo, Germany). Standards used for calibration were silver sulphides: IAEA-S-1 (δ34S, -0.3‰), IAEA-S-2 (δ34S, 22.7‰), and an internal standard S-6 (δ34S, -0.7‰). All δ34S values were reported to the international scale VCDT. Four ground human hair samples were used as quality check [58]. Analytical precision is based on the reproducibility of the in-house hair standards AND (G737), COL (G738), CAL-CAN (G739) and CAL-SAL (G740) which was better than ± 0.3‰.

Predictors and machine-learning regression

All statistical analyses and figures from this manuscript were conducted in R programming language version Rx64 3 4.2. (https://www.r-project.org/). An example of R-script is available in S4 R Script. We incrementally tested if dietary choices and demographics of volunteers (Step 1), location of residence (Step 2) and environmental conditions at the site of residence (Step 3) were important predictors of isotopic variability in hair of Canadian residents. For each step, we first used the Pearson correlation coefficient and anova, independent t-test and Levene’s test to assess if significant relationships existed between isotope data and continuous and categorical predictors, respectively.

We then integrated categorical and continuous predictors into a random forest multivariate regression. We choose random forest over generalized linear model and other machine-learning algorithms (e.g., support vector machine) because it requires very little pre-processing and can integrate the categorical (e.g., province, sex, age) and numerical variables (e.g., latitude, longitude, mean annual temperature) of our dataset into the same regression framework [59]. Random forest is a flexible and interpretable tree-based machine-learning algorithm trained by bootstrap sampling and random feature selection. Random forest creates multiple decision trees on different data samples where sampling is done with replacement to prevent overfitting. To make fair use of all potential predictors, the number of features split at each node of a tree is limited to some user-defined threshold. Ultimately, random forest aggregatesthe results of these decision trees to predict the mean value of the response variable, in our case the isotopic composition of hair. To maximize model performance while minimizing the number of predictors included, we used the Variable Selection Under Random Forest (VSURF) package, which helps eliminate irrelevant and redundant variables [60]. VSURF uses a two step-process, first ranking variables and then selectively adding variables into a model to minimize out-of-bag error. A series of random forest regression models were developed for each isotopic system incrementally testing the potential of different predictors to explain isotopic variability (Fig 1). We compared the performance of each of these models to determine which of the variables could explain most of the variance for each isotopic system.

Fig 1. Multiple machine-learning regression workflow (see Materials and methods).

Fig 1

Regression 1 includes only isotope data, dietary choices, demographic variables (S1 Table); regression 2 includes isotope data, dietary choices, demographic variables, and latitude/longitude; and regression 3 includes isotope data, dietary choices, demographic variables, and environmental covariates (Table 1).

  • In step 1, we tested the predictive power of dietary choices and demographic using data from the questionnaire (S1 Table). The dietary variables included consumption amount of different beverages in milliliters per week (i.e., bottled water, milk, soda, wine, beer, coffee, and other beverages), presence of meat in the diet (grouped in 2 categories—ovo-lacto vegetarian and meat consumer), and the amount and type of seafood consumed (S1 Data). The demographic variables included sex (male and female), age (grouped in 6 categories), and smoking habits (smoker and non-smoker) (S1 Data). We tested if significant relationships existed between these dietary choices and demographic variables and each isotopic system. We then used the selected significant predictors and VSURF to develop a random forest regression model for each isotopic system (Regression 1 in Fig 1).

  • In step 2, we tested the predictive power of geographic predictors including latitude, longitude and province of residence of the volunteers obtained during field collection (S1 Data). Prior to testing correlations, we tested the presence of spatial autocorrelation in each isotopic dataset by calculating semivariograms (Fig 4). Semivariograms represent how semivariance changes as the distance between observations changes. A constant semivariance indicates not spatial autocorrelation, whereas an increasing semivariance indicates some spatial autocorrelation. We then tested if significant relationships existed between these geographic variables and each isotopic system. Last, we used the selected significant geographic, dietary choices and demographics predictors within VSURF to develop a random forest regression model for each isotopic system (Regression 2 in Fig 1).

  • In step 3, we tested the predictive power of environmental conditions at the site of residence. We used the latitude and longitude of each collection site to extract local environmental conditions at the site of residence using open-access geospatial data (Table 1). We assumed that the local environmental conditions at the site of residence were a good approximation of the local environmental conditions of local food systems. To assess these local environmental conditions of food systems, we selected geospatial data representing known factors of isotopic variability (Table 1). We resampled and reprojected all the selected environmental geospatial products into WGS84-Eckert IV 1km2 resolution and used latitude and longitude to extract the local values for each raster. For nitrogen isotopes, the selected auxiliary variables include climates (e.g., temperature and mean annual precipitation) [34,35], soil properties (e.g., clay content and organic matter content) [36], and fertilization practices (e.g., synthetic vs. manure fertilizers) [37]. For carbon isotopes, the selected auxiliary variables include C3 vs. C4 crop distribution (e.g., distance and type of grain mill, distance, and type of sugar refineries) [40], climate (e.g., temperature and mean annual precipitation) [41], soil properties (e.g., pH, clay content, organic matter content) [41], elevation [43], CO2 levels and anthropogenic aerosol deposition [42], and fertilization practices [42]. For sulphur isotopes, the variables include bedrock geology (e.g., rock type) [50], climate (e.g., precipitation, temperature) [52], soil properties (e.g., pH, clay content, organic matter) [52] aerosol deposition (e.g., sea salt, anthropogenic) [50] and fertilization practices [53]. We then tested if significant relationships existed between these environmental variables and each isotopic system (Fig 3). Last, we used the selected significant environmental, geographic, dietary choice and demographics predictors within VSURF to develop a random forest regression model for each isotopic system (Regression 3 in Fig 1).

Fig 4. Semivariograms.

Fig 4

A. δ15Nhair variations; B. δ13Chair variations; C. δ34Shair variations. The x-axis distance represents the distance between pairs of observations. The blue points represents the average value of semivariance between point pairs for each 500km distance bin. The red lines represent theoretical semivariograms. Note the nugget value is approximately equal to the analytical precision of 0.2‰, 0.2‰, and 0.4‰ for δ15Nhair, δ13Chair, and δ34Shair values, respectively.

Table 1. Auxiliary variables.

List of geological, climatic, environmental and topographic variables used for the regression.

Variables Initial resolution Source
Variable Elevation 90 m [61]
Clay Surficial Soil Clay (Weight%) 250 m [62]
Ph Soil pH in H2O solution 250 m [62]
MAT Mean Annual Temperature (WorldClim) 30-arc sec [63]
MAP Mean Annual Precipitation (WorldClim) 30-arc sec [63]
PET Global potential evapotranspiration 30-arc sec [64]
Elevation Global elevation dataset 30-arc sec [65]
SUL Sulphur Deposition (CMIP3 NINT simulation) 2.5-degrees [66]
BCB Biomass Black Carbon (CMIP3 NINT simulation) 2.5-degrees [66]
BCA Industrial Black Carbon (CMIP3 NINTsimulation) 2.5-degrees [66]
AOD Aerosol Optical Depth (Particles < 2.5microns) 0.1-degrees [67]
Salt Sea Salt Deposition (CCSM.3 Simulation) 1.4-degrees [68]
Dust Dust deposition (Multi-model average) 1.0-degrees [68]
Nfert Global Fertilizer, Version 1 0.5 degrees [69]
Nman Global Manure, Version 1 0.5 degrees [69]
Corn Distance to major corn producing center in Canada* 1 km This study
sugar Distance and type of sugar refineries** 1 km This study

** Calculated using the distance tool in ArcGIS and centroids from the two major corn producing centers in Canada: Southern Ontario and Saint Lawrence River valley

** Calculated using the Inverse Distance Weighing tool in ArcGIS and locations of the 5 Canadian sugar refineries with 0 = beat sugar refinery and 1 = sugarcane refiner

Fig 3. Pearson correlation coefficient between isotopic data in hair and the continuous dietary choice, geographic and environmental variables.

Fig 3

Red and blue squares indicate significant positive or negative correlation (p-value<0.01) whereas crosses indicate no significant correlation (p-value>0.01).

Results

Isotopic data in Canadian hair

We analyzed a total of 577 hair samples for δ13C and δ15N values and 549 hair samples for δ34S values from participants across Canada (S1 Data and Fig 2).

Fig 2. Distribution of sample locations and isotopic values in hair across Canada.

Fig 2

A. Nitrogen isotope variations (n = 577). B. Carbon isotope variations (n = 577). C. Sulphur isotope variations (n = 549). Administrative boundaries are from http://www.naturalearthdata.com/. This map was generated in Rx64 3 4.2 (https://www.r-project.org/).

The δ15N, δ13C and δ34S values in Canadian hair (δ15Nhair, δ13Chair and δ34Shair) range from 7.6 to 10.8 ‰, -20.3 to -16.7 ‰, and -1.4 to 4.8 ‰, respectively (Fig 2). δ15Nhair, δ13Chair, and δ34Shair distribution are normally distributed (Shapiro test, p-value>0.05 for all three variables) (S2 Table). There is a weak but significant correlation between all isotope data (Pearson correlation; p-value<0.01).

Isotopic data in Canadian hair compared to other countries

We compared isotopic data from Canadian hair to those collected from other studies (Table 2). We find that Canada has isotopic variability similar to other industrialized nations (e.g., Europe, USA) but lower than less industrialized countries. The average δ15Nhair value is very similar to those observed in Europe, or the USA (Table 2). The average δ13Chair value falls between that of Europe and the USA (Table 2). The average δ34Shair value is lower than in other regions of the world (Table 2).

Table 2. Comparison of δ15Nhair, δ13Chair and δ34Shair values between administrative regions or countries.

Data of δ15Nhair and δ13Chair values exist for other countries but do not include δ34Shair values or only include a few individuals (for a summary or country level details about those isotopic data see [25] and [70]).

δ15Nhair δ 13Chair δ 34Shair Sample size Reference
Canada 9.2 ± 0.5
8.3 ± 0.5
-18.5 ± 0.6
-18.2 ± 0.5
1.7 ± 1.0
4.6 ± 1.3
590
15
This study
[70]
USA 8.9 ± 0.4 -17.2 ± 0.8 3.4 ± 1.1 234 [20]
Europe 9.2 ± 0.5
8.6 ± 0.6
-20.3 ± 0.8
-20.9± 0.5
6.9 ± 0.9
6.7 ± 1.1
129
420
[19]
[70]
Asia 8.5 ± 1.3
8.3± 1.3
-20.0 ± 0.9
-20.1 ± 1.3
7.1 ± 1.5
7.3± 1.7
137
144
[70]
[21]
South America 9.0 ± 0.7 -17.8 ± 1.6 7.2 ± 2.5 76 [70]

Predictors and machine-learning regression models

Dietary choices and demographic covariates

δ15Nhair values correlate positively with the amount of seafood consumed by volunteers (Table 3). δ15Nhair values are significantly higher in participants eating meat than in ovo-lacto vegetarians and pescatarians (Table 4). Our most accurate random forest regression model to predict δ15Nhair variations using dietary choices selects seafood consumption and presence of meat in the diet as predictors but can only explain 5% of the variance (Table 6).

Table 3. Anova between isotopic data in hair and the categorical predictors.

Grey indicates significant differences in the mean isotopic values between groups of that variable (p-value<0.01). For those significant variables relation between groups and isotopic values are further tested through a t-test.

Variables δ15Nhair δ13Chair δ34Shair
F value p-value F-value p-value F-value p-value
Province 0.7 0.4 6.8 0.009 39.2 1.5e-9
Sex 2.0 0.2 13.3 0.0003 4.1 0.04
Age 0.03 0.9 22.8 2.9e-6 0.1 0.7
Hair dye 2.3 0.1 9.5 0.002 1.3 0.3
Water type 2.8 0.1 1.5 0.2 1.3 0.3
Vegetarian 18.6 2.3e-6 8.5 0.004 0.6 0.4
Smoker 2.1 0.2 0.7 0.4 2.8 0.09
Table 4. δ13Chair, δ15Nhair and δ34Shair values relative to meat consumption. p-values from t-tests comparing δ13Chair, δ15Nhair and δ34Shair values between omnivores vs. pescatarians and ovo-lacto vegetarians.

Pescatarians and ovo-lacto vegetarians were combined for the t-test because of the limited number of participants reporting this diet style.

Group Average
δ13C ± SD (‰)
Average
δ15N ± SD (‰)
Average
δ34S ± SD (‰)
Meat eater
(n = 565)
-18.5 ± 0.6 9.2 ± 0.5 1.7 ± 1.0
Pescatarian
(n = 5)
-18.9 ± 0.9 8.9 ± 0.2 2.7 ± 1.3
Ovo-lacto vegetarian
(n = 7)
-19.2 ± 0.3 8.2 ± 0.5 1.8 ± 0.9
t-test p-value 0.004 1.5e-6 0.1
Table 6. Summary of multivariate random forest regression modeling for each isotopic system.

Variables are ranked by importance in the regression model. The predictors have either a significant positive (italics) or negative (underline) correlation with isotope data (Pearson correlation; p-value<0.01). R2 = Coefficient of Determination.

δ15Nhair δ13Chair δ34Shair
Best model Perf.
Metrics
Variables
Imp.
Perf.
Metrics
Variables
Imp.
Perf.
Metrics
Variables
Imp.
Diet
Demographic data
R2
0.05
Vegetarian
Seafood
R2
0.18
Soda
Age
Sex
R2
0.05
Seafood
Diet
Demographic data Longitude Latitude
R2
0.12
Vegetarian
Longitude
Seafood
R2
0.26
Longitude
Latitude
Soda
Sex
R2
0.53
Longitude
Seafood
Latitude
Diet
Demographic data Longitude Latitude Environnemental variables
R2
0.12
Vegetarian
Longitude
Seafood
R2
0.32
Corn
Province
Soda
Sex
R2
0.62
Precipitation Salt aerosol
Seafood
Soil pH

δ13Chair variations correlate positively with multiple dietary choices and demographic variables including the amount of beer, soda and mineral water consumed, and negatively with the amount of coffee consumed (Fig 3). The δ13Chair values from males (-18.42 ‰ ± 0.60) were also significantly higher than those of females (-18.61 ‰ ± 0.60; t-test p-value = 2.0e-4). The δ13Chair values from the younger age group 18–29 years (-18.39 ‰ ± 0.48) were significantly higher than those of the 40–49–18.65 ‰ ± 0.60; t-test p-value = 0.00025) and 60–69 age groups (-18.63 ‰ ± 0.61; t-test p-value = 0.037). δ13Chair values are significantly higher in participants eating meat than in ovo-lacto vegetarians (Table 4). Our most accurate random forest regression model to predict δ13Chair variability using dietary choices selects seafood consumption and presence of meat in the diet as predictors but can only explain 18% of the variance (Table 6).

δ34Shair variations are positively correlated with the amount of seafood consumed (Fig 3). Our most accurate random forest regression model to predict δ34Shair variations using dietary choices selects seafood consumption as a predictor but can only explain 5% of the variance (Table 6).

Geographic covariates

We did not identify any spatial autocorrelation for δ15Nhair values suggesting no spatial trends in δ15Nhair variations (Fig 4A). However, when looking at the data by provinces, we show that Maritimes, Ontario and Quebec have significantly lower δ15Nhair values than other provinces (Table 5 and paired t-test results in S3 Table). Including geographic covariate (longitude) in the random forest regression model improve δ15Nhair predictions though the amount of variance explained remains very small (Table 6).

Table 5. δ13Chair, δ15Nhair and δ34Shair values from participants residing in different provinces.
Province n Average
δ13C ± SD (‰)
Average
δ15N ± SD (‰)
Average
δ34S ± SD (‰)
British Columbia (BC) 129 -19.0 ± 0.4 9.2 ± 0.4 1.6 ± 0.7
Alberta (AB) 83 -18.8 ± 0.5 9.1 ± 0.4 1.4 ± 0.7
Saskatchewan (SK) 42 -18.7 ± 0.4 9.1 ± 0.6 0.7 ± 0.7
Manitoba (MB) 43 -18.5 ± 0.5 9.3 ± 0.4 0.3 ± 0.7
Ontario (ON) 77 -18.0 ± 0.5 9.1 ± 0.5 2.0 ± 0.9
Quebec (QC) 83 -18.3 ± 0.5 9.0 ± 0.4 2.2 ± 0.6
New Brunswick (NB) 30 -18.3 ± 0.7 9.3 ± 0.4 2.6 ± 0.7
Nova Scotia (NS) 58 -18.3 ± 0.6 9.5 ± 0.3 2.6 ± 0.8
Prince Edward Island (PE) 4 -18.5 ± 0.7 9.4 ± 0.6 2.7 ± 0.3
Newfoundland Labrador (NL) 16 -18.1 ± 0.4 9.4 ± 0.4 2.7 ± 0.6

We identified a spatial autocorrelation for δ13Chair values with a broad spatial range of ~3,500km (Fig 4B). The δ13Chair values showed higher values in eastern Canada than in western Canada. δ13Chair values differed significantly between most Canadian provinces (Table 5 and paired t-test results in S4 Table). Including geographic covariates (longitude and latitude) in the random forest regression model significantly improves the δ13Chair predictions (Table 6).

We identified a strong spatial autocorrelation for δ34Shair values with a range shorter than that of δ13Chair values ~1,500km (Fig 4C). The δ34Shair values showed a decreasing gradient from the coast to more inland locations (Fig 2C). The δ34Shair values differed significantly between all Canadian provinces (Table 5 and paired t-test results in S4 Table). Including geographic covariates (longitude and latitude) in the regression model strongly improves δ34Shair predictions (Table 6).

Dietary choices, demographic and environmental covariates

δ15Nhair values correlate weakly to sea salt deposition and dust deposition (Fig 3), but including those variables in the regression does not improve the accuracy of δ15Nhair predictions (Table 6).

δ13Chair and δ34Shair values are both strongly correlated to multiple environmental variables (Fig 3) and including environmental covariates in the regression improves the accuracy of predictions (Table 6). However several of those environmental variables are collinear. Using the VSURF algorithm [60], we removed collinear covariates to produce the most accurate δ13Chair and δ34Shair predictions with the least variables (Table 6). For δ13Chair values, the only selected environmental predictor is the distance between volunteer residence and corn agricultural belts (Table 6). For δ34Shair values, the selected environmental predictors include sea salt aerosol deposition rate, mean annual precipitation, and soil pH (R2, Table 3).

Isotopic data in resampled participants

In our study, we sampled the volunteers once and their isotopic values represent a snapshot of their last few months of life. We analyzed δ13C, δ15N, and δ34S values in hair of 25 participants resampled every 6 months over a 4 year period to verify the stability of isotopic values in a given participant and location (S2 Data). Most of the resampled participants show constant δ15Nhair, δ13Chair, and δ34Shair values throughout the sampling period within the range of analytical precision (Table 7). However, a few participants show a higher range of isotopic variability through the resampling period. Three participants for δ15Nhair and δ13Chair, as well as four participants for δ34Shair, have standard deviation through the sampling period higher than twice the analytical precision (Fig 5).

Table 7. Comparison of means and standard deviations of δ15Nhair, δ13Chair and δ34Shair values for the 25 participants resampled every 6 months across a four-year period (S2 Data).

Numbers highlighted in red correspond to isotopic profiles with a high variance and described in the discussion section. Analytical precision is 0.2‰ for δ15Nhair and δ13Chair and 0.4‰ δ34Shair.

δ15Nhair δ13Chair δ34Shair
Participant Mean Sd Mean Sd mean Sd
2 8.87 0.26 -17.74 0.21 2.11 0.21
3 9.37 0.17 -18.26 0.47 1.82 0.25
4 8.24 0.43 -18.75 0.34 1.84 0.15
5 8.86 0.22 -17.60 0.12 2.07 0.33
6 9.28 0.36 -17.83 0.17 2.26 0.16
7 9.95 0.20 -17.42 0.16 2.82 0.31
8 8.58 0.10 -18.30 0.30 1.26 0.17
9 8.83 0.50 -17.19 0.26 3.22 0.74
10 9.96 0.27 -18.69 0.09 4.79 0.19
11 9.58 0.27 -17.77 0.15 3.56 0.26
12 9.44 0.43 -18.37 0.06 3.91 0.98
13 9.59 0.13 -16.63 0.16 3.04 0.49
17 9.04 0.18 -17.78 0.36 3.62 0.55
18 9.17 0.11 -17.98 0.11 1.80 0.45
23 9.52 0.17 -17.76 0.14 2.38 0.11
24 9.50 0.15 -18.46 0.19 3.47 0.40
25 9.45 0.25 -17.62 0.44 2.12 0.12
29 9.47 0.17 -16.94 0.20 2.29 0.64
32 9.44 0.14 -16.59 0.08 3.18 0.25
35 9.29 0.35 -17.23 0.56 2.26 0.36
38 9.36 0.11 -18.32 0.01 3.20 0.23
41 9.62 0.13 -17.78 0.22 2.79 0.42
45 8.88 0.17 -18.27 0.17 2.81 0.43
49 9.12 0.23 -18.14 0.26 2.27 0.78

Fig 5. Isotopic profiles for participants with the most variable isotopic values (Table 7) for A. δ15Nhair values; B. δ13Chair values and C. δ34Shair values.

Fig 5

Discussion

Isotopic values in Canadian hair compared to other countries

Prior to interpreting the regional isotopic variability within the Canadian dataset, to tease out the influence of dietary choices and geographic controls, we first compared Canadian residents’ isotopic signatures to those of other countries (Table 2). The sampled Canadian population shows a limited range of isotopic variability for all isotopic systems (Table 2). In this regard, Canada shows a similar trend to that observed in some other industrialized countries where supermarkets have diminished dietary diversity. This low variability reflects the homogenization of the diet across many industrialized nations as well as the consumption of food products from multiple provenances, which blur the local isotopic baseline. The δ15Nhair distribution of Canadians overlaps those found in the USA, and Europe (Table 2). The overlap in these continental distributions suggests in average the same amount of animal protein in diet between these countries. δ13Chair values in Canada are intermediate between those of Europe and the USA [19,20]. Canadians have lower δ13Chair values than Americans but higher δ13Chair values than Europeans (Table 2). Despite similar types of protein sources in the diet of Canadians relative to other industrialized countries, δ13Chair values in Canadians are distinct, suggesting a different proportion of C3 to C4 plants. Canadian food systems likely have a higher influence of C4 plant by-products than European ones but a lower than American. The δ34Shair variability is similar to that observed in other industrial countries but the average δ34Shair values of Canadians is much lower than other countries or regions (Table 2). The lower absolute δ34Shair values in Canadians suggests that, at least part of the food consumed by Canadian has a distinct δ34S value relative to other countries. The lower δ34Shair values found in Canadians are consistent with previous studies in Canadians’ hair [51,70], food [51], plants [71] or river water [72]. For example, in a previous study, a self-sustaining human community from Alberta (Hutterite community) had δ34Shair values close to 0‰ [51] reflecting that of their locally-grown food [51]. In our study, we find similar low δ34Shair values for Albertan volunteers 1.7±0.7‰ suggesting that locally grown food has a strong influence on Canadian residents’ δ34Shair values. The reasons for the low δ34S values in food-systems and human in Canada are likely related to specific geological, climatological and/or anthropogenic controls [73]. Canadian soils receive low amount of isotopically heavy marine sulphates but large amount of isotopically light anthropogenic S from the eastern USA [71]. Canadian farmers use fertilizers produced with ammonium sulphates and ammonium nitrates, which are manufactured using isotopically low crude oils and ore sulfides [54]. Microbially or plant mediated isotopic fractionation amplified by climate conditions could also explain the low δ34S values in Canadian food systems [52]. In any case, we argue that the low δ34S values found in Canadian residents’ hair reflect the unique isotopic signature of Canadian food products transmitted to human tissues, because more than 70% of the food consumed by Canadian is produced within the country [55,56].

Dietary choices and demographic controls of isotopic variability

We observed some significant correlations between isotopic variability and several dietary choices. However, these correlations remain weak and are of limited use when trying to predict the isotopic variability at the population scale (Table 6). We underline that this low accuracy is typical of population studies using self-reported food frequency questionnaire (FFQ). These FFQ are not always valid to represent dietary inputs in volunteers because of the inability of volunteer to fully and accurately recall their intakes [74] and the possibility that individual physiology in metabolizing of food may affect the isotopic values of hair [3]. Self-reported FFQ are also difficult to compare between participants because of intentional misreporting or biased reporting about certain food consumption due to personal characteristics or living conditions [74]. Even in studies using detailed FFQ, the relationship between dietary habits and high-quality dietary biomarkers are often low (R2<0.1) [3]. In our study, the FFQ lacks some important details which have all been shown to influence isotopic variability in human tissues, such as the type of fish or meat consumed, the source of food (e.g., organic vs. conventional), or the amount of legumes consumed. [e.g., 76]. Hence, our approach likely underestimates the role of dietary choices in controlling isotopic variability. Recognizing these limitations and biases, we use our questionnaire as the basis to assess how the reported dietary choices and demographic information relate to isotopic variability.

δ15Nhair values vary with the rate and type of animal-protein consumed, with significantly higher values for Canadians who frequently eat seafood (Fig 3) and significantly lower values in ovo-lacto vegetarians relative to the rest of the population (Table 4). This finding reinforces previous studies that showed the importance of seafood consumption on δ15Nhair variability at the individual [32] and at the population scale [see review in 10]. However, when including seafood and meat consumption as predictors in a multivariate regression model, those variables explain only a negligible portion of the δ15Nhair variance in the Canadian population (Table 6). As mentioned above, better explaining δ15Nhair variability would require more detailed FFQ with information about meat consumption type and rate, the type of fish and seafood consumed, the amount of legumes in the diet, the source of additional protein intakes, or the rate of consumption of organic food.

Canadian ovo-lacto vegetarians have significantly lower δ13Chair values than meat-eaters (Table 4). Most of the dietary carbon in Canadians likely comes from animal proteins and cereal consumption. As part of the Canadian livestock is corn fed, Canadian meat-eaters have a higher proportion of C4 plants in their diet relative to non-meat eaters [75]. Canadians who consume more soda and beer have higher δ13Chair values (Fig 3). Soda and sweet consumption can make up a significant part of dietary carbon sources [76]. As most sugar and sweeteners in Canada are based on C4 plants, increased sugar consumption contributes to increased δ13Chair values [1]. Some demographic variables, specifically sex and age of Canadians, also show significant relationships with δ13Chair values (Table 3). These variables likely reflect the preferential consumption of meat and sugar by young Canadian males relative to the rest of the population [77]. However, taken together, these dietary choices and demographic variables explain less than 20% of the δ13Chair variance in the population. While this is higher than for δ15Nhair variations, this low predictive power likely underestimates the role of dietary choices in controlling δ13Chair variability due to the limitations of the FFQ.

As expected, δ34Shair values increase with seafood consumption rate (Fig 3). The δ34S values in seafood products are much higher than terrestrial food as it reflects that of seawater (~20‰). However, even in coastal localities and for participants with high seafood consumption, the δ34Shair values of Canadians remain quite lower than that of the ocean (Fig 2C). This is a bit surprising because in other regions of the world, δ34S of participants consuming a high amount of seafood tend to be much higher [19]. In hair, most of the sulphur comes from cysteine, a non-essential amino acid that can be biosynthesised from methionine and serine or assimilated directly from diet [78]. Many food items other than seafood can contribute to cysteine assimilation in the human body, including meat, eggs, dairy products, or cereals [79]. This relatively low sulphur contribution of seafood consumption in the modern human diet probably explains why the δ34Shair of Canadian living on the coast is low. As mentioned above (Table 2), Canadians probably consume a large amount of glocal food with low δ34S values buffering the δ34Shair values of heavy seafood consumers. We conclude that while several dietary choices are significantly related to Canadian’ isotopic variability, particularly for δ13Chair values, more detailed FFQ are required to fully capture this variability at the population scale.

Geographic and environmental controls of isotopic variability

We show that in the Canadian population, geographic and environmental variables have an influence on all isotopic systems. The influence of these geographic variables is weakest for δ15Nhair variations. The only observed geographic trend in δ15Nhair variations is that Canadians from the Maritimes have significantly higher δ15Nhair values than those from other provinces (Table 5). This trend likely reflects the higher production and consumption of seafood in regions close to the coast. The remaining distribution of δ15Nhair values is spatially random as evidenced by the absence of spatial autocorrelation (Fig 4A). The lack of spatial trend is surprising because food systems in Canada should show a broad range of δ15N values reflecting the large range of climatic conditions, soil type and agricultural practises across the country [34,36,37]. In particular, different agricultural centers in Canada use different fertilizers (e.g., manure vs. manufactured fertilizers) and different amount of legumes in livestock feed (e.g., soybean and corn vs. barley) (http://open.canada.ca/data). If Canadians ate dominantly glocal food, this isotopic variability should be propagated into Canadian consumers. Interestingly, δ15Nhair values correlate best with the distance to major corn production zones (Southeast Ontario and Saint Lawrence River Valley) (Fig 3). Ontario and Quebec have slightly lower δ15Nhair than other provinces (Table 5). Both provinces produce the great majority of soybean crops in Canada (http://open.canada.ca/data). The low δ15N of soybean (i.e., a legume) is potentially transmitted in livestock raised in these provinces, and ultimately in human food products. Our data shows that δ15Nhair values have a very limited relationship with environmental conditions across Canada (Table 6). Most of the δ15Nhair variance of this Canadian population remains unexplained. As suggested in a previous study [70], δ15Nhair values have almost no relationship with geography and a very low potential at discriminating the geographic origin of participants.

The geographic location of residence influences the δ13Chair signatures of hair donors, suggesting a link between humans and local agri-food systems in Canada (Table 6). The spatial autocorrelation for δ13Chair data is regional in scale, as evidenced by the large range of the semi-variogram (Fig 4B). Canadians from eastern provinces have significantly higher δ13Chair values than those from western provinces (Figs 1B and 6). δ13Chair values correlate with the distance to major corn production zones (Southeast Ontario and Saint Lawrence River Valley) (Table 6). Eastern Canada produces the great majority of Canadian corn (a C4 plant with high δ13C values). This corn is the primary source of feed for livestock in eastern Canada, particularly in Ontario (https://www.anacan.org/). As for soybean, this corn and its by-products (e.g., cornstarch, syrup, sweeteners, or oil) are also used throughout the food processing industry of eastern Canada. Food products such as corn-fed livestock (e.g., meat, milk), and corn-rich processed food (e.g., sodas) have a high δ13C value [27]. Conversely, western Canada grows little corn but grows most of the wheat and barley of Canada (both C3 plants with low δ13C values). This wheat and barley are the dominant source of feed for livestock(https://www.anacan.org/). This regional δ13Chair pattern is not extremely surprising considering that the supply-managed commodities (eggs, meat, milk) are usually produced within the province and contribute to a large portion of the dietary carbon [56]. Ultimately, the isotopic signatures of human tissues across Canada reflect the type of major crops grown in food systems within their province (Fig 6). This observation is consistent with the high consumption of food produced using local agricultural goods in Canada [56]. Our multivariate regression could explain 32% of the total δ13Chair variations in the Canadian population. While this is better than for δ15Nhair values, the majority of the δ13Chair variance remains unexplained. As mentioned earlier, the main reason for this lack of predictive power is likely the limitations of our FFQ which does not report for some key dietary choices.

Fig 6. Distribution of carbon isotope variations in hair of donors and density of corn production across Canada.

Fig 6

Color scale represents the spatial density of corn crops on agricultural land relative to other C3 crops for the year 2011 (http://open.canada.ca/data). This map contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence–Canada. Administrative boundaries are from http://www.naturalearthdata.com/. This map was generated in Rx64 3 4.2 (https://www.r-project.org/).

δ34Shair values vary at higher spatial resolution than δ13Chair values with a spatial autocorrelation range of 1,500km (Fig 4C). The δ34Shair values differ significantly between each Canadian province (t-test; p-value<0.01). δ34Shair values decrease progressively from coastal to more inland regions (Fig 2C). As for other isotopic systems, the reported dietary choices explain only a very limited amount of δ34Shair variance (Table 6; Fig 7A). However, when integrating geographic and environmental covariates, our random forest regression can explain the majority of the δ34Shair variance. A model including latitude and longitude along with seafood consumption rate explains 53% of the variance (Table 6; Fig 7B). The model explains 62% of the variance when including sea salt deposition, soil pH, seafood consumption, and precipitation as predictors (Table 6; Fig 7D). When only including environmental variables and removing all dietary choice variables, we found that the model still explained 55% of the δ34Shair variance (Table 6; Fig 7C). In contrast to other isotopic systems, δ34Shair variability in Canadians is strongly correlated with geographic and environmental predictors. Interestingly, the trend observed in the δ34Shair values across Canada correlates with the expected spatial δ34S variability in local food systems. δ34S in Canadian crops should reflect the mixture of several isotopically-distinct S sources: 1) isotopically light sulphates from the soil solution [73], 2) isotopically heavy marine aerosols [71,80] and 3) isotopically light sulphates from atmospheric pollutants and fertilizers [71]. As these isotopically distinct sources are mixed in soils, isotopic fractionation by microbial processes and plant metabolism might further modify their isotopic composition [52]. In several locations of the world, δ34S in soils, plants or even livestocks exhibit a distinct spatial pattern of decreasing values towards more inland locations [49,71,80,81]. In Canadian coastal provinces, food systems should have high δ34S values because acid and saline soils are dominated by marine sulphates [80]. As Canadian food systems become more distant from the coast, bedrock S or anthropogenic sources dominate decreasing δ34S values [71]. In alkaline soils of the Prairies, food systems should uptake most of their S from geological sources or from anthropogenic fertilizers with low δ34S values [73]. The δ34Shair variability in Canadians closely follows this expected isotopic pattern in food systems (Fig 8). We hypothesize that this spatial isotopic trend in the hair of Canadian residents is consistent with a high percentage of intra-provincial food consumption in Canadian markets [55]. Canadian customers likely obtain a large part of their cysteine S from locally sourced high-protein food items (e.g., meat, yogurt, cheese, eggs, farmed fish). As observed in other countries [49], these animal products inherit their δ34S from that of regionally-grown crops at the base of food systems. Even though humans have complex dietary habits, this regional δ34S is transmitted to human hair due to the dominance of local to regional food in retailing stores [56].

Fig 7. Observed δ34Shair against modeled δ34Shair.

Fig 7

A. Dietary and demographic data regression model including seafood, wine, and water consumption; B. Dietary, demographic and geographic data regression model including longitude, seafood, wine, and water consumption; C. Environmental variables data regression model including sea salt aerosol deposition and soil pH; D. Dietary, demographic, geographic and environmental variable regression model including sea salt aerosol, soil pH, precipitation and seafood consumption. The red dashed line is the best fit linear model.

Fig 8. Predicted spatial δ34Shair variability using rainfall, salt aerosol, and soil pH as predictors (resampled at 10,000km2).

Fig 8

Colored points represent the associated residuals (modeled δ34Shairvalues–observed δ34Shair values). Administrative boundaries are from http://www.naturalearthdata.com/. This map was generated in Rx64 3 4.2 (https://www.r-project.org/).

This strong geographic/environmental dependence of δ34Shair values across Canada reinforces the idea that δ34S values could be very useful in geological applications in archeology and forensic sciences [44]. To illustrate these applications, we calculate the residuals between observed and predicted δ34Shair variability (Fig 8). We demonstrate that high δ34Shair residuals are associated with participants with very high consumption of seafood products or with participants who traveled to a distant location in the recent past. For example, several of the positive residuals in Fig 8 are from participants who traveled to Europe, Florida, or the Caribbean within the last 3 months before collection (S2 Data). Despite our careful sampling procedure (Materials and Methods), the hair from these participants likely contains some S from non-Canadian food sources with higher δ34S values as hair does not grow at the same rate and time [57] (Table 7). Identifying participants or local populations deviating from the expected δ34Shair trends could become useful in a range of applications from tracing the proportion of local food consumed to reconstructing the travel history of participants. On a global scale, δ34Shair values might also become useful to track the amount of imported food consumed. In countries with little agricultural production (e.g., Middle East), δ34Shair values should be inherited from imported food. Other countries, such as Costa Rica, Bolivia, Peru, and Japan also show low δ34Shair values [70]. The food δ34S baseline in these countries is likely influenced by the high contribution of isotopically low geological S from volcaniclastic sediments and ashes [82]. While traditionally δ34Shair values had been primarily used as a proxy for seafood consumption [19,20], the results from this study indicate a strong potential of δ34Shair for geolocation and food traceability studies.

Isotope variability in hair through time

Despite the rapid growth rate of human hair, we show that for most of the resampled volunteers, there is little isotopic variability over a period of 4 years (Table 7). This stability of isotopic signals in Canadian human tissues is encouraging and suggest that the spatial patterns observed in our study are stable. The lack of temporal isotopic variability in volunteers probably reflect the stability of dietary habits, physiology and isotopic baselines of the food consumed in the hair donors. The few participants that showed a higher isotopic variability reported either a recent trip or a dietary change over the period of sampling (S2 Data). Out of the 3 participants with highly variable δ15Nhair values (Fig 5A), participant 4 stopped eating dairy products for a prolonged period between month 25 and 35, while the other two (participants 9 and 12) were frequent but variable seafood consumers. Participants 9 and 12 also showed variable δ34Shair values, reinforcing the link between seafood consumption and δ15Nhair34Shair variability (Fig 5C). Two other participants (29 and 49) with variable δ34Shair values lived together throughout the resampling experiment and traveled together within Canada (Fig 5C). Interestingly, these two participants show identical δ34Shair variability, further reinforcing the idea that δ34Shair values may be dominantly controlled by the geographic origin of the diet and not by physiology or diet choices. For the three participants with more variable δ13Chair values, two of those (participants 2, 25) reported a recent trip within the sampling period. Participant 2 shows a high δ13Chair value within its profile, likely denoting a 2 weeks long trip to Florida; whereas participant 25 shows a low δ13Chair value within its profile, likely corresponding to a multi-weeks long trip to Alberta. The last participant with more variable δ13Chair values did not report its traveling history, which complicates interpretation.

Conclusions

As expected, dietary choices can influence δ15Nhair, δ13Chair, and δ34Shair variability at the population scale. However, more accurate and detailed FFQ’s are required to capture the full influence of dietary choices on each isotopic system. More interestingly, we found that for δ34Shair and to a lesser degree δ13Chair values, a large portion of the isotopic variability is explained by the location of residence of volunteers. In particular, δ34Shair values display predictable patterns across Canada that follows that of local food systems. We hypothesize that these patterns reflect the specific isotopic signatures of regional food systems across Canada transmitted to human tissues through the consumption of glocal food. Our study underlines the importance of local isotopic food baselines in controlling some of the isotopic variability across a population. Our work also paves the way for promising applications of S isotopes in food and forensic science.

Supporting information

S1 Data. Excel data table with C, N and S isotopes data in hair of 590 participants.

(XLS)

S2 Data. Excel data table with C, N and S isotopes data in hair of 25 resampled participants.

(XLSX)

S1 Script. R code detailing the statistical analysis conducted in this study.

(R)

S1 Table. Demographics and dietary questions answered by the volunteers to the collection scientist.

Note: samples were collected across several years and some dietary questions were only added post year 1 of the collection efforts.

(DOCX)

S2 Table. p-values from Shapiro tests assessing the normality of δ13Chair, δ15Nhair and δ34Shair distribution.

p-value>0.05 indicates the distribution is not significantly different from normality.

(DOCX)

S3 Table. p-values from t-tests comparing hair δ15Nhair values from different provinces.

p-values less than 0.05 are highlighted in grey. Values in italics represent provinces with unequal variance (Levene’s test).

(DOCX)

S4 Table. p-values from t-tests comparing δ13Chair values from different provinces.

p-values less than 0.05 are highlighted in grey. Values in italics represent provinces with unequal variance (Levene’s test).

(DOCX)

S5 Table. p-values from t-tests comparing hair δ34Shair values from different provinces.

p-values less than 0.05 are highlighted in grey. Values in italics represent provinces with unequal variance (Levene’s test).

(DOCX)

Acknowledgments

We thank J. Ehleringer for helpful discussions. We thank Dorothée Drucker and two anonymous reviewers for their help in improving this manuscript.

Data Availability

The isotope data, food frequency questionnaire and R script required for this paper are available in supplementary material.

Funding Statement

Funding: C.P.B. and F.R. acknowledge funding from Canadian Security and Safety Program Targeted Investment (CSSP-2018-TI-2385). G.S.J and M.M.G.C. acknowledge funding from the Chemical, Biological, Radiological and Nuclear Research & Technology Initiative (CRTI 08-0116RD). Author contributions: C.P.B. G.S.J and M.M.G.C designed the project and analyzed the data sets. C.P.B. and F.R. performed the statistical analysis and model development steps. All authors contributed to the interpretation of the results and writing of the manuscript. Competing interests: The authors declare that they have no competing interests. Data and materials availability: All data needed to evaluate the conclusions in the paper are present in the paper and/or the Supplementary Materials. Additional data related to this paper may be requested from the authors.

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Decision Letter 0

Dorothée Drucker

27 May 2020

PONE-D-20-08053

Disentangling Dietary and Non-Dietary Controls of Hair Isotopic Variability in Human Populations: A case-study in Canada

PLOS ONE

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Additional Editor Comments:

Both reviewers underlined the importance of the data set presented in this paper. However, several points need to be thoroughly examined. The reliability and pertinence of the questionnaire should be further discussed and evaluated. Some improvement about information category may be suggested in regard to the results and difficulties in the interpretation. The reviewer 1 raised an important point with the normalization of the isotopic results that has to be addressed by the authors, especially for the evaluation of possible inter-comparison with other studies on human hair. The authors are also invited to consider additional bibliographic resources about human hair growth and isotopic recording. Discussion on the dietary vs non-dietary control on the 13C and 15N abundances in hair needs to be improved. The hypothesis relating to physiological stress seems to be unlikely over a large period of time and geographical range. Elements are missing: data in Table 2 (see reviewer 2), information in the R script, (see reviewer 1), Pearson correlation coefficients in supplementary tables.

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Reviewer #1: This paper delivers data of δ13C, δ15N and δ34S values in hair samples from Canadian volunteers from all over the country. It contains isotopic information about self-reported composition of diet, different climates, soils and food components over Canada. At the periods of hair sampling the volunteers answered different questions, mainly about their dietary habits. Based on individual dietary and additional non-dietary information, the authors present all data. The data were statistically evaluated by machine-learning regression systems.

The author present important data, which were evaluated very well, and they present well-researched information. Furthermore, the authors developed excellent spatial distributions of hair isotope values.

After major revisions of the manuscript this paper should be published in PlosOne.

INTRODUCTION

Page 2, line 42:

In addition, δ15N values in diet and consequently in human tissues are influenced by the intake of legumes and the kind of fertilizer (organic vs. synthetic) used for food production, these factors should also be mentioned at that point.

In Principle: How is the situation in Canada regarding soya? What’s about its consumption by the Canadians - directly from Soya products or via meat from animals, which were fed by soya?

Page 2, line 46:

The statement could be that δ34S values may also be influenced by trophic level. As I understood from the mentioned references, shifts of δ34S within the food web often are within the analytical uncertainties and the results are not always comprehensible (see also Tanz, N., & Schmidt, H. L. (2010). δ34S-value measurements in food origin assignments and sulfur isotope fractionations in plants and animals. Journal of agricultural and food chemistry, 58(5), 3139-3146.)

Page 3, line 62: The paper from Arneson and McAvoy 2005 deals with isotope fractionation from diet to mouse tissues. These results are not directly comparable with the dietary situation and metabolism of modern human adults. I my opinion it is not necessary to mention isotope fractionation from diet to humans at this point, therefore you may delete the sentence in the text.

Page 3, line 64: There are some more references dealing with time-resolved incorporation of several isotopes into hair, which are worth mentioning:

• Huelsemann, F., Flenker, U., Koehler, K., & Schaenzer, W. (2009). Effect of a controlled dietary change on carbon and nitrogen stable isotope ratios of human hair. Rapid Communications in Mass Spectrometry: An International Journal Devoted to the Rapid Dissemination of Up‐to‐the‐Minute Research in Mass Spectrometry, 23(16), 2448-2454.

• Lehn, C., Lihl, C., & Roßmann, A. (2015). Change of geographical location from Germany (Bavaria) to USA (Arizona) and its effect on H–C–N–S stable isotopes in human hair. Isotopes in environmental and health studies, 51(1), 68-79.

• Lehn, C., Kalbhenn, E. M., Rossmann, A., & Graw, M. (2019). Revealing details of stays abroad by sequential stable isotope analyses along human hair strands. International journal of legal medicine, 133(3), 935-947.

Page 3, line 71-73: Both references “33” and “35” are identical.

Page 3, line 73 and page 4, line 75: Reference “35” is wrong at these points.

Page 5, line 101: Please check if citation “48” is right at that point.

The following sentence: As mentioned above, for clarification all the “dietary” factors should be presented in a table.

Page 5 line 99ff: You may shorten the text by deletion of the whole part “Regions like Brazil ... .... not unique”.

Line 105ff: As mentioned above, if you want to utilize the terms “dietary” and “non-dietary”, there is a need for an exact definition. For example, “dietary”: depending on the composition of diet, and “non-dietary”: depending on agricultural production methods (and environmental/ climatic conditions?)

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Page 8, line 173: As mentioned below, you may delete the sentence “C, N and S ...... isotopic fractionation [14].”

Page 8, line 182ff: It seems that for calibration of hair δ13C, δ15N, and δ34S values only inorganic standards were used. However, for analyzing hair samples keratin standards should be used for calibration. The authors mentioned they used in-house hair standards, but no isotope values are given. Why have you not taken USGS42 and USGS43 standards for calibration or at least for comparison with the results of your in house standards? In general, isotope values of hair samples analyzed by different groups or laboratories should be comparable, and this can only be achieved by the use of international isotope standards being of the same material (hair, at least keratin).

Page 9, Supplementary data:

In my download of the Plosone_SI.docx file, the Pearson correlation coefficients of Tables S3, S10 and S15 are not pictured.

Unfortunately I am not familiar with “R”, because I am using another statistical program (SPSS). I asked a colleague to open the R script. She found that “supl data called Data S1 does not include a sheet required for the script to run (‘Dietary’).”

RESULTS

Table S6, S8 and S11 should be presented in the manuscript. Provinces in Table S11 should be named.

Chapter “Isotopic data in Canadian hair compared to other countries”

Page 15, line 292: The reference of Lehn et al. 2015 should be considered as well. It contains many δ13C, δ15N and δ34S data of worldwide collected human hair samples

• Lehn, C., Rossmann, A., & Graw, M. (2015). Provenancing of unidentified corpses by stable isotope techniques–presentation of case studies. Science & Justice, 55(1), 72-88).

Page 16, line 323: incorrect spelling of δ34S

For data evaluation the authors differentiate between “dietary” and “non-dietary” factors, but I could not find an exact definition thereof. It seems that “dietary” factors are based on individual information the volunteers replied to the questionnaires. However, the answers of the volunteers contain information about the composition of their diet, but also e.g. about smoking habits and possible hair dying. The authors should clarify the content or meaning of “dietary” factors used for data evaluations. This may avoid misunderstandings. For example, the proportion of C3 or C4 plants in diet could be considered as a “dietary” factor, but in the paper the proportion of C3 or C4 plants belongs to the “non-dietary” factors.

DISCUSSION

Page 23, line 401: “The overlapping of δ15N hair distribution between Canada, Europe and USA suggests a similar diet...” I do not agree to this statement, because “diet” or composition of diet in these regions is different. My suggestion: ... suggests in average the same amount of animal protein in diet and similar agricultural production methods for terrestrial food products between these countries.

Page 23, line 416: Change the sentence as follows: “The reasons for the low δ34S values in food-systems and human in Canada are likely related to...”

Furthermore, the kind of fertilizer may lead to low δ34S values. Which was the mostly applied fertilizer in Canada, and where did it come from?

Page 23, line 419: My suggestion: “... isotopically light S of anthropogenic sources (do you mean coal combustion?) from the eastern USA ...” Please check if this statement actually exists in the mentioned reference [45].

Page 24, line 433: It is very important to mention that self-reported diet is difficult to compare between the individuals. The personal specifications are not objective, but mostly relative. For example, I have the experience that people from the coast often underestimate their consumption of sea products, whereas people from regions in the inland, where it is rather unusual to eat plenty of sea products, overestimate its consumption.

In The FFQ some more personal details of diet are lacking: preference of organic or conventional food, amount of legumes in diet, preference of sea fish or freshwater fish.

Page 25, line 40: Please add some non-dietary factors that may explain δ15N hair variability, e.g. kind of fertilizer, agricultural production methods, amount of legumes in diet, intake of additional protein, health status.

Page 25, line 449: What is about the intake of animal protein from dairy products in non-meat eaters?

Page 27, line 493: You may delete this sentence “Most .... unexplained.”

Just a brief comment: In accordance with your results relating to δ15N hair values, the results in Lehn et al. 2015 (Table 2) indicate that δ15N values in hair samples have the lowest potential (among C-N-S-H stable isotope values) for geographical discrimination into the different groups of origin. The statistical evaluations of the C-N-S-H stable isotopes in human hair samples were performed by canonical discriminant analyses.

Page 27, line 497: Please exchange “disease” by “certain diseases”.

Page 27, line 498ff: The following statement “the broad range of metabolism and health conditions between the individuals ... drive most of the δ15N hair variations” should be modified. Changes in metabolism affecting (increasing) δ15N values in hair samples could only happen for a short period of time (weeks or several months, e.g. during pregnancy, starvation, tumor cachexia). It is not possible to maintain high δ15N levels due to health problems over a long time. The metabolic situation will come towards a steady state very soon that results in a “normal” or low δ15N level. I doubt that many Canadians are in a phase of bad health conditions. More likely, the most important factors for the variation of δ15N hair values are the different amounts and sources of dietary protein consumed by the individuals, and the kind of fertilizer used in agriculture. In general, δ15N values of poultry, beef or pigs are different because they receive feed based on specific components.

Page 28, line 523ff: Please consider my above mentioned comment about the influence of health situation on the δ15N hair values. δ13C values may be affected by certain diseases, e.g. diabetes or starvation, but to my knowledge, mostly the shift is low (< 1‰). I doubt that health and physiological conditions in the Canadian population are likely factors that strongly influence δ13C hair variation.

Page 30, line 563f: Examples for high-protein food items are all sources of animal protein: meat, fish, dairy products, eggs. Is there any reason to exclude fish, beef or pigs as a high-protein source for Cys? If I understood Nimni et al. 2007 [71] correctly, the ratio of Cys/Met in fish is lower than in meat from terrestrial sources, but fish and meat contain similar amounts of total S (from Met and Cys). Cys may also result from the breakdown of Met.

Page 31, line 584ff: Please add a reference supporting the argument that Mongolia imports a large proportion of its food from China that may have an influence on the δ34S hair values.

It may be possible that the extreme arid conditions and perhaps the occurrence of high δ34S values from evaporites or coal combustion may affect δ34S hair values at Mongolia. However, it is just an assumption.

CONCLUSION

Bases on my arguments above, there are some doubts about your statement that “Most of the non-dietary δ15N hair and δ13C hair probably relate to individual physiological and health variations within a population”. Individual physiology in metabolizing of food may affect the δ15N and δ13C hair values, but also the influence of individual features of food composition, which have the volunteers not been asked for in the FFQ, must not be neglected.

REFERENCES

Reference 33 is the same as reference 35.

Reference 64: the name of the first author (Nriagu NO) is written incorrectly.

Reviewer #2: I respect authors' substantial effort to collect the data including FFQ and isotopic compositions of scalp hairs, but find several issues regarding their interpretation of the results and mathematical modelings. Below I will point out my concerns one by one.

-major concerns-

Though I agree with authors on the potential utility of delta34S value for forensic applications, this is not the case for C and N isotopes. After all, the observed hair isotopic variation, particularly in delta15N, was not well-explained by the models in this study. Most of their discussions of possible factors that contributed the variation were just speculations without any scientific evidence. If authors want to discuss possible physiological/pathological controls on the hair delta15N variation, they should have designed the FFQ more suitably to meet their purpose from the beginning. Authors’ arguments to combine dietary surveys in several parts in the text (e.g., in abstract) and another argument in later sections (e.g., line426-435) that refer to the notorious inaccuracy of FFQ appears self-contradiction.

The statistical sections obviously need more explanation on the model selection processes, how authors overcame the multicollinearity, why they chose random forest out of many other machine learning procedures like SVM, etc.

-minor concerns-

Line 40: What about refereeing to the updated discussion for the delta15N discrimination inside animal bodies? (O’Connell, 2017)

Line 54-56: In regions like east Asia, peoples may have access to large amounts of sea foods regularly in supermarkets.

Line70: there are other studies that authors may as well refer to (e.g., Yoshinaga et al., 1996; Umezaki et al., 2016). Plus, they are encouraged to mention isotope studies dealing with finger nails too, though this is different body tissue (but same type protein, keratin) (e.g., Buchardt et al., 2007).

Line145-: this section ignores possible difference in the human hair growth phases, namely anagen/catagen/telogen.

Line214: authors should more explain the package VSURF to enable readers to understand what was going on during the data process on the variable selection.

Line 367: latitude/longitude data did not correlate with any environmental variables like MAP in Canada, though such environmental variables were not selected during model selections?

Line 400: there is no data for Japanese in Table 2.

Line400-402: I feel that the observed hair isotopic homogeneity for industrialized countries were caused by the mixing of isotopically distinct food items (vege, animal meat, dairy, fish, etc.) that might blind heterogeneity among local isotopic-baselines, rather than by a similarity in dietary habits.

Line426-: The credibility of FFQ depends on situations and how researchers design it (e.g., Hülsemann et al., 2017). I know that FFQ can be inaccurate because this approach relies on human memory and recording practices. Yet, saying just “noisy” sounds unprofessional.

Line 479-: In this section authors should mention that human scalp hairs are rapidly-growing body tissue.

Line 493: Is the authors’ argument here statistically correct?

Line 498-502: This part lacks scientific evidence.

Line 551: Is there no data for delta34S of agricultural crops in Canada?

Related papers

Buchardt, B., Bunch, V., Helin, P., 2007. Fingernails and diet: Stable isotope signatures of a marine hunting community from modern Uummannaq, North Greenland. Chemical Geology. 244, 316–329.

Hülsemann, F., Koehler, K., Wittsiepe, J., Wilhelm, M., Hilbig, A., Kersting, M., Braun, H., Flenker, U., Schänzer, W., 2017. Prediction of human dietary δ15N intake from standardised food records: validity and precision of single meal and 24-h diet data. Isotopes in Environmental and Health Studies. 53, 356–367.

O’Connell, T.C., 2017. ‘Trophic’ and ‘source’ amino acids in trophic estimation: a likely metabolic explanation. Oecologia. 184, 317–326.

Umezaki, M., Naito, Y.I., Tsutaya, T., Baba, J., Tadokoro, K., Odani, S., Morita, A., Natsuhara, K., Phuanukoonnon, S., Vengiau, G., Siba, P.M., Yoneda, M., 2016. Association between sex inequality in animal protein intake and economic development in the Papua New Guinea highlands: The carbon and nitrogen isotopic composition of scalp hair and fingernail. American Journal of Physical Anthropology. 159, 164–173.

Yoshinaga, J., Minagawa, M., Suzuki, T., Ohtsuka, R., Kawabe, T., Inaoka, T., Akimichi, T., 1996. Stable carbon and nitrogen isotopic composition of diet and hair of Gidra-speaking Papuans. American Journal of Physical Anthropology. 100, 23–34.

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PLoS One. 2020 Aug 10;15(8):e0237105. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0237105.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


17 Jun 2020

PONE-D-20-08053

Disentangling Dietary and Non-Dietary Controls of Hair Isotopic Variability in Human Populations: A case-study in Canada

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Bataille,

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Additional Editor Comments:

Both reviewers underlined the importance of the data set presented in this paper. However, several points need to be thoroughly examined. The reliability and pertinence of the questionnaire should be further discussed and evaluated.

We agree with the reviewer that our questionnaire had some issues. We have largely rewritten the discussion part on dietary choices to underline these limitations. We have refocus the main point of our manuscript on geographic variables by changing the title, abstract, introduction, and discussion. We have kept a section in the discussion on dietary choices but we now underline more clearly the limitations of our FFQ.

Some improvement about information category may be suggested in regard to the results and difficulties in the interpretation.

We have abandoned the dietary vs. non dietary categories. We now speak of dietary choices, demographic variables and geographic/environmental variables. We also rewrote most of the introduction to clarify the different factor leading to isotopic variability.

The reviewer 1 raised an important point with the normalization of the isotopic results that has to be addressed by the authors, especially for the evaluation of possible inter-comparison with other studies on human hair.

We appreciate the comment by reviewer 1. We have given a detailed response to this comment below (see reviewer 1) and by adding one reference in our text. We do not believe there is any normalization or comparison issues between our data and other labs. In fact, the Veizer Lab analyze more than 50,000 samples per year and regularly take part in inter-comparison lab procedures.

The authors are also invited to consider additional bibliographic resources about human hair growth and isotopic recording.

We have added all the suggested references

Discussion on the dietary vs non-dietary control on the 13C and 15N abundances in hair needs to be improved.

We have largerly rewritten the discussion on dietary choices.

The hypothesis relating to physiological stress seems to be unlikely over a large period of time and geographical range.

We have removed most of the discussion on physiological stress.

Elements are missing: data in Table 2 (see reviewer 2), information in the R script, (see reviewer 1). Pearson correlation coefficients in supplementary tables.

We have added new tables (table 3, 4 and 5) and figures (Fig. 3) in the main manuscript, we have updated the R script

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Reviewer #1: This paper delivers data of δ13C, δ15N and δ34S values in hair samples from Canadian volunteers from all over the country. It contains isotopic information about self-reported composition of diet, different climates, soils and food components over Canada. At the periods of hair sampling the volunteers answered different questions, mainly about their dietary habits. Based on individual dietary and additional non-dietary information, the authors present all data. The data were statistically evaluated by machine-learning regression systems.

The author present important data, which were evaluated very well, and they present well-researched information. Furthermore, the authors developed excellent spatial distributions of hair isotope values.

After major revisions of the manuscript this paper should be published in PlosOne.

INTRODUCTION

Page 2, line 42:

In addition, δ15N values in diet and consequently in human tissues are influenced by the intake of legumes and the kind of fertilizer (organic vs. synthetic) used for food production, these factors should also be mentioned at that point.

We have rewritten this paragraph lines 71-78.

In Principle: How is the situation in Canada regarding soya? What’s about its consumption by the Canadians - directly from Soya products or via meat from animals, which were fed by soya?

We thank the reviewer for this idea, we have incorporated this point in the discussion lines 498-503.

Page 2, line 46:

The statement could be that δ34S values may also be influenced by trophic level. As I understood from the mentioned references, shifts of δ34S within the food web often are within the analytical uncertainties and the results are not always comprehensible (see also Tanz, N., & Schmidt, H. L. (2010). δ34S-value measurements in food origin assignments and sulfur isotope fractionations in plants and animals. Journal of agricultural and food chemistry, 58(5), 3139-3146.)

We modified the text and added the suggested reference lines 90-91

Page 3, line 62: The paper from Arneson and McAvoy 2005 deals with isotope fractionation from diet to mouse tissues. These results are not directly comparable with the dietary situation and metabolism of modern human adults. I my opinion it is not necessary to mention isotope fractionation from diet to humans at this point, therefore you may delete the sentence in the text.

We removed the sentence and citation as suggested

Page 3, line 64: There are some more references dealing with time-resolved incorporation of several isotopes into hair, which are worth mentioning:

• Huelsemann, F., Flenker, U., Koehler, K., & Schaenzer, W. (2009). Effect of a controlled dietary change on carbon and nitrogen stable isotope ratios of human hair. Rapid Communications in Mass Spectrometry: An International Journal Devoted to the Rapid Dissemination of Up‐to‐the‐Minute Research in Mass Spectrometry, 23(16), 2448-2454.

• Lehn, C., Lihl, C., & Roßmann, A. (2015). Change of geographical location from Germany (Bavaria) to USA (Arizona) and its effect on H–C–N–S stable isotopes in human hair. Isotopes in environmental and health studies, 51(1), 68-79.

• Lehn, C., Kalbhenn, E. M., Rossmann, A., & Graw, M. (2019). Revealing details of stays abroad by sequential stable isotope analyses along human hair strands. International journal of legal medicine, 133(3), 935-947.

We thank the reviewer for suggesting these references. We have added them where suggested, they were all very appropriate and useful to this paper.

Page 3, line 71-73: Both references “33” and “35” are identical.

We corrected as suggested.

Page 3, line 73 and page 4, line 75: Reference “35” is wrong at these points.

We replaced the citation line 75 and line 73 by more appropriate citation.

Page 5, line 101: Please check if citation “48” is right at that point.

We changed this reference as suggested.

The following sentence: As mentioned above, for clarification all the “dietary” factors should be presented in a table.

We are not clear as to what the reviewer is referring to but we modified the entire manuscript removing the nomenclature of dietary vs. non dietary controls. We now speak about dietary choices, demographic and geographic/environmental controls on food isotopic baselines. This new wording should clarifiy the issues with dietary vs. non dietary.

Page 5 line 99ff: You may shorten the text by deletion of the whole part “Regions like Brazil ... .... not unique”.

We deleted as suggested.

Line 105ff: As mentioned above, if you want to utilize the terms “dietary” and “non-dietary”, there is a need for an exact definition. For example, “dietary”: depending on the composition of diet, and “non-dietary”: depending on agricultural production methods (and environmental/ climatic conditions?)

As mentioned by the reviewer, we removed the term dietary and non-dietary as they were confusing. We rewrote most of the introduction to account for these changes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Page 8, line 173: As mentioned below, you may delete the sentence “C, N and S ...... isotopic fractionation [14].”

We deleted as suggested.

Page 8, line 182ff: It seems that for calibration of hair δ13C, δ15N, and δ34S values only inorganic standards were used. However, for analyzing hair samples keratin standards should be used for calibration. The authors mentioned they used in-house hair standards, but no isotope values are given. Why have you not taken USGS42 and USGS43 standards for calibration or at least for comparison with the results of your in house standards? In general, isotope values of hair samples analyzed by different groups or laboratories should be comparable, and this can only be achieved by the use of international isotope standards being of the same material (hair, at least keratin).

We thank the reviewer for this comment and we agree that data harmonization between laboratories is a key issue. Data harmonization is critical to the more than 50,000 samples analyzed every year in the Veizer Laboratory (https://isotope.uottawa.ca/en/about-us).

We agree with the reviewer that comparing isotope data with standards of the same substrate is important, hence our comparison with the in-house hair internal standards. However, the only international standards for 13C are NBS-19 and LSVEC, (and LSVEC 13C value is now uncertain), all other materials are labelled as reference material (RM) and they do not define the vpdb scale. The USGS42-43 hair standards were created to fix the exchangeable issues with hair for d2H determination and the Veizer Lab contributed to that effort (see Meier-Augenstein W, Chartrand MM, Kemp HF, St-Jean G. An inter-laboratory comparative study into sample preparation for both reproducible and repeatable forensic 2H isotope analysis of human hair by continuous flow isotope ratio mass spectrometry. Rapid Commun Mass Spectrom. 2011;25(21):3331‐3338. doi:10.1002/rcm.5235). Unfortunately the spread of the two USGS hair standards is not great for d2H. In the case of N,C and S isotopes, the spread is even smaller and therefore cannot be used to normalized the data. In general for C and N, there are very little differences (if any) between inorganic and organic for the EA-IRMS. In our case, 3 out the 4 standards are organics caffeine(complex organic), L-glutamic acid (amino acid), Nicotiamide (vitamin)) calibrated versus USGS 40 and 41 (L-glutamic acids). The hair in-house stds have been defined years ago, before the USGS-42-43 came out. They have a much broader range of isotopic values for C, N, S and H and where compared to the USGS standards (see reference above).

Now sulfur isotope analysis is always a problem. Using similar matrix in this case can definitely result is better data mainly due to the oxygen issue. However, the spread of USGS42 vs 43 is only 2.7 permil. Additionally the RM USGS42 and 43 were calibrated using a normalized curve such as IAEA-S-1 gives a value of -0.3 permil (see USGS42 certificate). This is exactly what we do to our sequence, hence they are comparable to any data set. One can use IAEA-S-1 and S-2 directly with the sample runs like we did. In short, everything always comes back to S-1 (and S-2) normalized, regardless if one uses USGS42-43 since those two have also been defined with S-1 (and S-2).

Page 9, Supplementary data:

In my download of the Plosone_SI.docx file, the Pearson correlation coefficients of Tables S3, S10 and S15 are not pictured.

We apologize about this. We have provided a file with updated figures. We have moved Table S3, S10 and S15 into the main manuscript.

Unfortunately I am not familiar with “R”, because I am using another statistical program (SPSS). I asked a colleague to open the R script. She found that “supl data called Data S1 does not include a sheet required for the script to run (‘Dietary’).”

The script was modified to run properly. We had modified the name of the excel sheet in S1 Data.

RESULTS

Table S6, S8 and S11 should be presented in the manuscript. Provinces in Table S11 should be named.

We re-added and combined most of the tables from the supplementary material back into the main manuscript and modified as suggested by the reviewer.

Chapter “Isotopic data in Canadian hair compared to other countries”

Page 15, line 292: The reference of Lehn et al. 2015 should be considered as well. It contains many δ13C, δ15N and δ34S data of worldwide collected human hair samples

• Lehn, C., Rossmann, A., & Graw, M. (2015). Provenancing of unidentified corpses by stable isotope techniques–presentation of case studies. Science & Justice, 55(1), 72-88).

We thank the reviewer for this suggestion. We have modified Table 2 to include this reference.

Page 16, line 323: incorrect spelling of δ34S

Corrected as suggested

For data evaluation the authors differentiate between “dietary” and “non-dietary” factors, but I could not find an exact definition thereof. It seems that “dietary” factors are based on individual information the volunteers replied to the questionnaires. However, the answers of the volunteers contain information about the composition of their diet, but also e.g. about smoking habits and possible hair dying. The authors should clarify the content or meaning of “dietary” factors used for data evaluations. This may avoid misunderstandings. For example, the proportion of C3 or C4 plants in diet could be considered as a “dietary” factor, but in the paper the proportion of C3 or C4 plants belongs to the “non-dietary” factors.

As mentioned above, we have clarified the vocabulary. We rewrote the title, abstract, introduction, and discussion separating dietary choices, demographic factors and geographic and environmental controls of isotopic variability in food systems.

DISCUSSION

Page 23, line 401: “The overlapping of δ15N hair distribution between Canada, Europe and USA suggests a similar diet...” I do not agree to this statement, because “diet” or composition of diet in these regions is different. My suggestion: ... suggests in average the same amount of animal protein in diet and similar agricultural production methods for terrestrial food products between these countries.

We modified as suggested

Page 23, line 416: Change the sentence as follows: “The reasons for the low δ34S values in food-systems and human in Canada are likely related to...”

Furthermore, the kind of fertilizer may lead to low δ34S values. Which was the mostly applied fertilizer in Canada, and where did it come from?

The most common fertilizer is ammonium sulphates and come from the USA. It is likely that this fertilizer has a low d34S which reflect sulfur sources from crude oils and ore sulfides. We added a citation and a sentence l.424-425

Page 23, line 419: My suggestion: “... isotopically light S of anthropogenic sources (do you mean coal combustion?) from the eastern USA ...” Please check if this statement actually exists in the mentioned reference [45].

We modified the reference as suggested by the reviewer.

Page 24, line 433: It is very important to mention that self-reported diet is difficult to compare between the individuals. The personal specifications are not objective, but mostly relative. For example, I have the experience that people from the coast often underestimate their consumption of sea products, whereas people from regions in the inland, where it is rather unusual to eat plenty of sea products, overestimate its consumption.

In The FFQ some more personal details of diet are lacking: preference of organic or conventional food, amount of legumes in diet, preference of sea fish or freshwater fish.

We have added a new paragraph on FFQ and citation lines 434-444 citation and incorporated the reviewer comments.

Page 25, line 40: Please add some non-dietary factors that may explain δ15N hair variability, e.g. kind of fertilizer, agricultural production methods, amount of legumes in diet, intake of additional protein, health status.

We have tried to organize the paper to explain isotopic variability sequentially from active dietary choices (e.g., meat vs. no meat) to isotopic variability associated with local food isotopic baselines (e.g., dominant crop, fertilizer, climate). So we prefer to keep fertilizer and production methods for the later section of the discussion.

Page 25, line 449: What is about the intake of animal protein from dairy products in non-meat eaters?

We replaced animal protein by meat consumption.

Page 27, line 493: You may delete this sentence “Most .... unexplained.”

We removed as suggested

Just a brief comment: In accordance with your results relating to δ15N hair values, the results in Lehn et al. 2015 (Table 2) indicate that δ15N values in hair samples have the lowest potential (among C-N-S-H stable isotope values) for geographical discrimination into the different groups of origin. The statistical evaluations of the C-N-S-H stable isotopes in human hair samples were performed by canonical discriminant analyses.

We included this remark at the end of our d15N discussion (l.509-511)

Page 27, line 497: Please exchange “disease” by “certain diseases”.

We modified as suggested

Page 27, line 498ff: The following statement “the broad range of metabolism and health conditions between the individuals ... drive most of the δ15N hair variations” should be modified. Changes in metabolism affecting (increasing) δ15N values in hair samples could only happen for a short period of time (weeks or several months, e.g. during pregnancy, starvation, tumor cachexia). It is not possible to maintain high δ15N levels due to health problems over a long time. The metabolic situation will come towards a steady state very soon that results in a “normal” or low δ15N level. I doubt that many Canadians are in a phase of bad health conditions. More likely, the most important factors for the variation of δ15N hair values are the different amounts and sources of dietary protein consumed by the individuals, and the kind of fertilizer used in agriculture. In general, δ15N values of poultry, beef or pigs are different because they receive feed based on specific components.

We have removed most of the text concerning the transitional metabolic fractionation due to heath or catabolism throughout the manuscript.

Page 28, line 523ff: Please consider my above mentioned comment about the influence of health situation on the δ15N hair values. δ13C values may be affected by certain diseases, e.g. diabetes or starvation, but to my knowledge, mostly the shift is low (< 1‰). I doubt that health and physiological conditions in the Canadian population are likely factors that strongly influence δ13C hair variation.

We have removed most of the text concerning the transitional metabolic fractionation due to heath or catabolism throughout the manuscript.

Page 30, line 563f: Examples for high-protein food items are all sources of animal protein: meat, fish, dairy products, eggs. Is there any reason to exclude fish, beef or pigs as a high-protein source for Cys? If I understood Nimni et al. 2007 [71] correctly, the ratio of Cys/Met in fish is lower than in meat from terrestrial sources, but fish and meat contain similar amounts of total S (from Met and Cys). Cys may also result from the breakdown of Met.

We have modified this sentence as suggested.

Page 31, line 584ff: Please add a reference supporting the argument that Mongolia imports a large proportion of its food from China that may have an influence on the δ34S hair values.

It may be possible that the extreme arid conditions and perhaps the occurrence of high δ34S values from evaporites or coal combustion may affect δ34S hair values at Mongolia. However, it is just an assumption.

We have modified this sentence to avoid confusion but we added a statement about other countries with low d34S in human hair l.592.

CONCLUSION

Bases on my arguments above, there are some doubts about your statement that “Most of the non-dietary δ15N hair and δ13C hair probably relate to individual physiological and health variations within a population”. Individual physiology in metabolizing of food may affect the δ15N and δ13C hair values, but also the influence of individual features of food composition, which have the volunteers not been asked for in the FFQ, must not be neglected.

We have modified our conclusion to take into account the reviewer’s comments.

REFERENCES

Reference 33 is the same as reference 35.

Reference 64: the name of the first author (Nriagu NO) is written incorrectly.

We corrected both references. We also cleaned all other references adding volume, issues and correcting typos when necessary.

Reviewer #2: I respect authors' substantial effort to collect the data including FFQ and isotopic compositions of scalp hairs, but find several issues regarding their interpretation of the results and mathematical modelings. Below I will point out my concerns one by one.

-major concerns-

Though I agree with authors on the potential utility of delta34S value for forensic applications, this is not the case for C and N isotopes. After all, the observed hair isotopic variation, particularly in delta15N, was not well-explained by the models in this study. Most of their discussions of possible factors that contributed the variation were just speculations without any scientific evidence. If authors want to discuss possible physiological/pathological controls on the hair delta15N variation, they should have designed the FFQ more suitably to meet their purpose from the beginning. Authors’ arguments to combine dietary surveys in several parts in the text (e.g., in abstract) and another argument in later sections (e.g., line426-435) that refer to the notorious inaccuracy of FFQ appears self-contradiction.

We agree with the reviewer. We agree that the main novelty of our paper are the d34S intepretations. We also agree that the FFQ data has some important limitations. We initially debated about writing a paper only about d34S variability. However, we felt that the d15N, d13C and FFQ data had some value and should be published along with their limited interpretations. As the reviewer can see, we have rewritten a large portion of the title, abstract, introduction, result and discussion sections to put more emphasis on the geographic and environmental controls. In the section discussing the influence of dietary choices on isotopic variability, we emphasized the limitations of the FFQ. We believe that refocusing the manuscript towards geographic and environmental controls of local food isotopic baselines will help underline the value of this work.

The statistical sections obviously need more explanation on the model selection processes, how authors overcame the multicollinearity, why they chose random forest out of many other machine learning procedures like SVM, etc.

We have rewritten and added a new paragraph to explain: 1) What is random forest (l.203-211), 2) why we choose random forest against other algorithms (l.199-203) and 3) how we overcame multicolinearity using the VSURF (l.211- 214)

-minor concerns-

Line 40: What about refereeing to the updated discussion for the delta15N discrimination inside animal bodies? (O’Connell, 2017)

We added as suggested.

Line 54-56: In regions like east Asia, peoples may have access to large amounts of sea foods regularly in supermarkets.

We modified the sentence.

Line70: there are other studies that authors may as well refer to (e.g., Yoshinaga et al., 1996; Umezaki et al., 2016). Plus, they are encouraged to mention isotope studies dealing with finger nails too, though this is different body tissue (but same type protein, keratin) (e.g., Buchardt et al., 2007).

We added both of the indicated references.

Line145-: this section ignores possible difference in the human hair growth phases, namely anagen/catagen/telogen.

We added a sentence and a citation to underline this uncertainty l.150-154

Line214: authors should more explain the package VSURF to enable readers to understand what was going on during the data process on the variable selection.

We added more details about the VSURF algorithm (l.211- 214)

Line 367: latitude/longitude data did not correlate with any environmental variables like MAP in Canada, though such environmental variables were not selected during model selections?

We are not sure what the reviewer is asking with this comment. Only non-redundant predictors are selected within the model. Latitude and longitude do correlate with MAP but in the final model only a variable that adds to the predictive power (reducing out-of-bag error of the model) is selected by VSURF. Table 6 presents only the significant predictors selected by VSURF for each isotopic system and each series of variables. We have also added Fig. 3 that summarizes the correlations between isotope data and other covariates.

Line 400: there is no data for Japanese in Table 2.

We have modified table 2 to follow advices from reviewer 1 and 2. We removed Japan from that sentence.

Line400-402: I feel that the observed hair isotopic homogeneity for industrialized countries were caused by the mixing of isotopically distinct food items (vege, animal meat, dairy, fish, etc.) that might blind heterogeneity among local isotopic-baselines, rather than by a similarity in dietary habits.

We modified the sentence to take the reviewer comment into account.

Line426-: The credibility of FFQ depends on situations and how researchers design it (e.g., Hülsemann et al., 2017). I know that FFQ can be inaccurate because this approach relies on human memory and recording practices. Yet, saying just “noisy” sounds unprofessional.

We thank the reviewer for this comment we rewrote this section (l.434-444)

Line 479-: In this section authors should mention that human scalp hairs are rapidly-growing body tissue.

We added the sentence line 613

Line 493: Is the authors’ argument here statistically correct?

We removed that sentence.

Line 498-502: This part lacks scientific evidence.

As suggested by reviewer 1 and 2, we have removed all our mention of health and metabolic fractionation as we have no evidences for these claims.

Line 551: Is there no data for delta34S of agricultural crops in Canada?

To our knowledge we have cited all the papers that discuss soil and plant d34S in Canada.

Related papers

Buchardt, B., Bunch, V., Helin, P., 2007. Fingernails and diet: Stable isotope signatures of a marine hunting community from modern Uummannaq, North Greenland. Chemical Geology. 244, 316–329.

Hülsemann, F., Koehler, K., Wittsiepe, J., Wilhelm, M., Hilbig, A., Kersting, M., Braun, H., Flenker, U., Schänzer, W., 2017. Prediction of human dietary δ15N intake from standardised food records: validity and precision of single meal and 24-h diet data. Isotopes in Environmental and Health Studies. 53, 356–367.

O’Connell, T.C., 2017. ‘Trophic’ and ‘source’ amino acids in trophic estimation: a likely metabolic explanation. Oecologia. 184, 317–326.

Umezaki, M., Naito, Y.I., Tsutaya, T., Baba, J., Tadokoro, K., Odani, S., Morita, A., Natsuhara, K., Phuanukoonnon, S., Vengiau, G., Siba, P.M., Yoneda, M., 2016. Association between sex inequality in animal protein intake and economic development in the Papua New Guinea highlands: The carbon and nitrogen isotopic composition of scalp hair and fingernail. American Journal of Physical Anthropology. 159, 164–173.

Yoshinaga, J., Minagawa, M., Suzuki, T., Ohtsuka, R., Kawabe, T., Inaoka, T., Akimichi, T., 1996. Stable carbon and nitrogen isotopic composition of diet and hair of Gidra-speaking Papuans. American Journal of Physical Anthropology. 100, 23–34.

We have added all these references in our manuscript.

________________________________________

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Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

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Decision Letter 1

Dorothée Drucker

7 Jul 2020

PONE-D-20-08053R1

Assessing Geographic Controls of Hair Isotopic Variability in Human Populations: A case-study in Canada

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Bataille,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Both reviewers and myself agree that you responded to the critics in a satisfactory way. As a result, the manuscript has been thoroughly revised and the structure wisely re-organised. Only minor revisions are necessary to make the paper ready for publication.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Aug 21 2020 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

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If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Dorothée Drucker

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

**********

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

**********

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: First of all, my compliments to the authors for the highly improved quality of the revised manuscript!

From my point of view, there are only some minor changes or corrections needed:

ABSTRACT

Line 14: At the end of the sentence, I would add „of a current population“, because bones and teeth are also useful to investigate human nutrition, but not on living humans.

INTRODUCTION

Line 48: My suggestion for a change: “In many countries … becoming increasingly homogeneous due to the globalization….”, and “On the other hand, regional dietary traditions….. may contribute to a higher isotopic variability….” For example, also in less industrialized regions of India, Central America, Southern America or Africa available foods are influenced by globalization, particular in urban regions, but in more rural regions, traditional diets are still common.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

I am still convinced that stable isotope analyses of the international hair standards USGS 42/USGS 43 would have been useful to make sure that the values in your hair samples (especially for d34S) are comparable with those of the other laboratories.

Line 164: Please correct the sentence: “of” is missing at a certain position of the sentence, and “consumer”

RESULTS

TABLE 2: The isotope values given in all the tables should be consistent (two decimal places). Please add a negative sign to all d13C values, and correct the sample size of Asian hair samples of [70], it should be 137.

Line 332: Please correct “d34N”.

Line 345: Please check your statement regarding the countries with “higher d15N hair values”.

DISCUSSION

Line 400ff: As I have already mentioned before, I do not completely agree with your statement that “Canada shows a similar trend to that observed in other industrialized countries such as Europe and the USA” due to homogenization of diet. Different to US or Canada, Europa consists of a lot of small countries with different historical and cultural realities that are also reflected in diet; therefore a relatively high variability of stable isotope values in hair samples from the different countries exists (see Hülsemann et al. 2015, Valenzuela et al. 2012).

Line 416: I assume that you mean reference [70] instead of [6].

Line 616ff: To get an easier understanding of your statements, the term “individuals” should be exchanges by “Participant + its number”. Do you mean that Participant 4 “stopped eating dairy products for a prolonged period” in the near past? You may add that timeframe to clarify that this is visible in the most recent hair samples. Furthermore, I do not like the term “anomalously” in that context. In my opinion, “variable” is sufficient.

Line 623: I would say that “d34S hair values may be dominantly controlled by the geography (or geographical origin) of the diet”.

CONCLUSION

Line 636: What do you mean by “temporary stable patterns”? I would suggest to delete the two words and add “food systems across modern (or contemporary) Canada transmitted to……

Line 639: My suggestion would be: “Our work also paves the way for (several) promising applications of S isotopes in food and forensic science.” d34S values in food as well as in human hair or collagen samples are already being used for food traceability and for provenancing of unknown individuals in forensics.

Reviewer #2: The ms has been improved. There are now only a few trivial concerns I can raise.

-line154 and some other places: "proprieties" should be "properties"?

-line866: "fractionation microbial processes" should be "fractionation by microbial processes"?

-There are two Acknowledgment sections in the revised text.

-several tables and figures; is it necessary to show hundredths-place digits?

**********

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]

While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.

PLoS One. 2020 Aug 10;15(8):e0237105. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0237105.r004

Author response to Decision Letter 1


17 Jul 2020

PONE-D-20-08053R1

Assessing Geographic Controls of Hair Isotopic Variability in Human Populations: A case-study in Canada

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Bataille,

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

Both reviewers and myself agree that you responded to the critics in a satisfactory way. As a result, the manuscript has been thoroughly revised and the structure wisely re-organised. Only minor revisions are necessary to make the paper ready for publication.

Thank you for your suggestions. We greatly appreciated this review process.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Aug 21 2020 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

• A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.

• A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.

• An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.

If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Dorothée Drucker

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. If the authors have adequately addressed your comments raised in a previous round of review and you feel that this manuscript is now acceptable for publication, you may indicate that here to bypass the “Comments to the Author” section, enter your conflict of interest statement in the “Confidential to Editor” section, and submit your "Accept" recommendation.

Reviewer #1: All comments have been addressed

Reviewer #2: All comments have been addressed

________________________________________

2. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

________________________________________

3. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

________________________________________

4. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

________________________________________

5. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: Yes

Reviewer #2: Yes

________________________________________

6. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: First of all, my compliments to the authors for the highly improved quality of the revised manuscript!

From my point of view, there are only some minor changes or corrections needed:

We wanted to thank the reviewer for the thorough and details comments that have greatly improved this manuscript

ABSTRACT

Line 14: At the end of the sentence, I would add „of a current population“, because bones and teeth are also useful to investigate human nutrition, but not on living humans.

We corrected as suggested

INTRODUCTION

Line 48: My suggestion for a change: “In many countries … becoming increasingly homogeneous due to the globalization….”, and “On the other hand, regional dietary traditions….. may contribute to a higher isotopic variability….” For example, also in less industrialized regions of India, Central America, Southern America or Africa available foods are influenced by globalization, particular in urban regions, but in more rural regions, traditional diets are still common.

We corrected as suggested

MATERIAL AND METHODS

I am still convinced that stable isotope analyses of the international hair standards USGS 42/USGS 43 would have been useful to make sure that the values in your hair samples (especially for d34S) are comparable with those of the other laboratories.

This is a good point. We have placed an order for these standards but they are not cheap…

Line 164: Please correct the sentence: “of” is missing at a certain position of the sentence, and “consumer”

We modified the sentence

RESULTS

TABLE 2: The isotope values given in all the tables should be consistent (two decimal places). Please add a negative sign to all d13C values, and correct the sample size of Asian hair samples of [70], it should be 137.

We corrected as suggested

Line 332: Please correct “d34N”.

We corrected as suggested

Line 345: Please check your statement regarding the countries with “higher d15N hair values”.

We corrected the statement

DISCUSSION

Line 400ff: As I have already mentioned before, I do not completely agree with your statement that “Canada shows a similar trend to that observed in other industrialized countries such as Europe and the USA” due to homogenization of diet. Different to US or Canada, Europa consists of a lot of small countries with different historical and cultural realities that are also reflected in diet; therefore a relatively high variability of stable isotope values in hair samples from the different countries exists (see Hülsemann et al. 2015, Valenzuela et al. 2012).

We modified the language to account for this comment

Line 416: I assume that you mean reference [70] instead of [6].

Yes we modified as suggested.

Line 616ff: To get an easier understanding of your statements, the term “individuals” should be exchanges by “Participant + its number”. Do you mean that Participant 4 “stopped eating dairy products for a prolonged period” in the near past? You may add that timeframe to clarify that this is visible in the most recent hair samples. Furthermore, I do not like the term “anomalously” in that context. In my opinion, “variable” is sufficient.

We replaced the term individual by participant throughout the manuscript. We also specified participant number for each individual in this section.

Line 623: I would say that “d34S hair values may be dominantly controlled by the geography (or geographical origin) of the diet”.

We changed as suggested.

CONCLUSION

Line 636: What do you mean by “temporary stable patterns”? I would suggest to delete the two words and add “food systems across modern (or contemporary) Canada transmitted to……

We changed as suggested.

Line 639: My suggestion would be: “Our work also paves the way for (several) promising applications of S isotopes in food and forensic science.” d34S values in food as well as in human hair or collagen samples are already being used for food traceability and for provenancing of unknown individuals in forensics.

Reviewer #2: The ms has been improved. There are now only a few trivial concerns I can raise.

-line154 and some other places: "proprieties" should be "properties"?

We changed as suggested throughout the manuscript.

-line866: "fractionation microbial processes" should be "fractionation by microbial processes"?

We added “by”

-There are two Acknowledgment sections in the revised text.

We corrected as suggested.

-several tables and figures; is it necessary to show hundredths-place digits?

We changed most tables to 1 significant digit except for table 7 for which the second significant digit is important particularly in the standard deviation.

________________________________________

7. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: No

Reviewer #2: No

[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]

While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.

Decision Letter 2

Dorothée Drucker

21 Jul 2020

Assessing Geographic Controls of Hair Isotopic Variability in Human Populations: A case-study in Canada

PONE-D-20-08053R2

Dear Dr. Bataille,

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Dorothée Drucker

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Acceptance letter

Dorothée Drucker

24 Jul 2020

PONE-D-20-08053R2

Assessing Geographic Controls of Hair Isotopic Variability in Human Populations: A case-study in Canada

Dear Dr. Bataille:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Dorothée Drucker

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Data. Excel data table with C, N and S isotopes data in hair of 590 participants.

    (XLS)

    S2 Data. Excel data table with C, N and S isotopes data in hair of 25 resampled participants.

    (XLSX)

    S1 Script. R code detailing the statistical analysis conducted in this study.

    (R)

    S1 Table. Demographics and dietary questions answered by the volunteers to the collection scientist.

    Note: samples were collected across several years and some dietary questions were only added post year 1 of the collection efforts.

    (DOCX)

    S2 Table. p-values from Shapiro tests assessing the normality of δ13Chair, δ15Nhair and δ34Shair distribution.

    p-value>0.05 indicates the distribution is not significantly different from normality.

    (DOCX)

    S3 Table. p-values from t-tests comparing hair δ15Nhair values from different provinces.

    p-values less than 0.05 are highlighted in grey. Values in italics represent provinces with unequal variance (Levene’s test).

    (DOCX)

    S4 Table. p-values from t-tests comparing δ13Chair values from different provinces.

    p-values less than 0.05 are highlighted in grey. Values in italics represent provinces with unequal variance (Levene’s test).

    (DOCX)

    S5 Table. p-values from t-tests comparing hair δ34Shair values from different provinces.

    p-values less than 0.05 are highlighted in grey. Values in italics represent provinces with unequal variance (Levene’s test).

    (DOCX)

    Data Availability Statement

    The isotope data, food frequency questionnaire and R script required for this paper are available in supplementary material.


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