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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Dec 1.
Published in final edited form as: Ann Surg. 2019 Dec;270(6):1161–1169. doi: 10.1097/SLA.0000000000002772

Minimally invasive lobectomy is associated with lower noncancer-specific mortality in elderly patients – A propensity score matched competing risks analysis

Boris Hristov 1,*, Takashi Eguchi 1,2,*, Sarina Bains 1,*, Joe Dycoco 1, Kay See Tan 3, James M Isbell 1, Bernard J Park 1, David R Jones 1, Prasad S Adusumilli 1,4
PMCID: PMC7421837  NIHMSID: NIHMS1608638  PMID: 29672399

Abstract

Objective

To investigate cancer- and noncancer-specific mortality following lobectomy by minimally invasive surgery (MIS) versus open thoracotomy in elderly patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

Background

Two-thirds of patients with NSCLC are ≥65 years of age. As age increases, the risk of competing events, such as noncancer death, also increases.

Methods

Elderly patients (≥65 years of age) who have undergone curative-intent lobectomy for stage I-III NSCLC without induction therapy (2002–2013) were included (n=1 303). Of those, 607 patients had undergone MIS and 696 had undergone thoracotomy. Propensity-score matching was performed to identify pairs of thoracotomy and MIS patients with comparable clinical characteristics (e.g., year of surgery, comorbidities, and pulmonary function). Association between surgical approach (MIS vs. thoracotomy) and lung cancer-specific and noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death (CID) was analyzed using competing risks approach.

Results

Following propensity score matching of patients who had undergone thoracotomy (n=338) versus MIS (n=338), MIS was associated with shorter length of stay (p <0.001), lower noncancer-specific 1-year mortality (p=0.027), and lower noncancer-specific CID (p=0.014) compared with thoracotomy; there was no difference in lung cancer-specific CID between surgical approaches. On multivariable analysis, thoracotomy was a significant risk factor for noncancer-specific death (subhazard ratio 2.45, 95% CI 1.18–5.06, p=0.016) independent of age, sex, and diffusion capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide.

Conclusion

In a propensity score-matched cohort, multivariable analysis has indicated that lobectomy performed by MIS is associated with lower incidence of noncancer-specific mortality compared with lobectomy performed by open thoracotomy in elderly patients with NSCLC.

MINI-ABSTRACT

We investigated cancer- and noncancer-specific mortality following lobectomy by minimally invasive surgery versus open thoracotomy in elderly patients (≥65 years of age) with non-small cell lung cancer using competing risks analysis. In a propensity score-matched cohort, minimally invasive surgery was associated with lower incidence of noncancer-specific mortality compared with thoracotomy.

INTRODUCTION

More than two-thirds of lung cancer patients are ≥65 years of age at time of diagnosis, half of whom are ≥75 years of age.1 With the demonstration of reduced lung cancer mortality with low-dose computed tomography (CT) screenings, the detection of early-stage lung cancer in elderly patients is expected to increase.2 A higher proportion of elderly patients results in an increase in the incidence of diseases that are attributable to aging and frailty, thus making the cohort of elderly patients highly susceptible to competing risk events. For example, noncancer specific deaths prelude or “competes with” the occurrence of cancer-specific deaths and vice versa. In studies with multiple endpoints, such as cancer—specific death and noncancer—specific death, conventional statistical approaches evaluate these endpoints using a separate Kaplan-Meier analysis without cons idering whether these endpoints are competing events for each other. When study populations, such as elderly or critic ally-ill patients, are susceptible to competing events a competing risk approach is recommended.3 Recently, we have demonstrated that noncancer-specific death is a significant competing event against lung cancer-specific death in elderly patients following lung resection for early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) using competing risks analysis.4 The standard treatment of early-stage NSCLC is lobectomy with systematic mediastinal lymph node evaluation.5 However, the treatment distribution of lobectomy decreases as age increases because of its higher postoperative risk compared with other treatments including sub lobar resection, irradiation, or observation.4,6,7

The use of minimally invasive surgery (MIS)—which includes video-assisted thoracic surgery (VATS) and robotic-assisted surgery—for lung lobectomy has been increasing, even though thoracotomy remains the mostly commonly used approach.8, 9 A recent randomized trial that compared postoperative pain and quality of life between VATS and anterolateral thoracotomy demonstrated that VATS was associated with less postoperative pain and better quality of life than thoracotomy.10 Other randomized trials have demonstrated that MIS was associated with lower postoperative morbidity,11 lower C-reactive protein, interleukin 6, and equivalent overall survival12 (OS) compared with thoracotomy. Additionally, various non-randomized studies have demonstrated shorter length of hospital stay, lower postoperative morbidity, and lower perioperative mortality after MIS compared with thoracotomy.8, 1321

We hypothesized that surgical approach for lobectomy will affect postoperative noncancer-specific outcomes in elderly patients and reviewed published studies that have investigated short-and long-term outcomes between MIS and thoracotomy (e-Table 1).8, 1326 No studies performed noncancer-specific mortality analysis using competing risks approach in a cohort of elderly patients. The aim of our study was to investigate lung cancer-specific and noncancer-specific mortality, as well as postoperative morbidity, in elderly patients who had undergone lobectomy via MIS or open thoracotomy for early-stage NSCLC using propensity score (PS) matching competing risks analysis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Study cohort

Our retrospective study was approved by the Institutional Review Board at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSK). The MSK Thoracic Surgery Service’s prospectively maintained lung cancer database was reviewed and we identified consecutive patients who had been treated with surgery for pathologic stage I-III primary lung cancer between January 1, 2002 and December 31, 2013. Pathologic stage was based on the seventh edition of the American Joint Committee on Cancer Staging Manual.27 Our exclusion criteria included: <65 years of age at surgery; diagnosis other than NSCLC; lung resection other than lobectomy; induction therapy; have multiple nodules; lung cancer diagnosis within the past two years; prior lung resection; concurrent other disease progression; a combined resection of the chest wall, pericardium, and/or diaphragm due to disease invasion; sleeve resection; and positive surgical margins (R1 or R2) (Figure 1).

Figure 1. CONSORT diagram.

Figure 1.

Abbreviations: LC, lung cancer; MIS, minimally invasive surgery; NSCLC, non-small cell lung cancer; p-Stage, pathologic stage; yo, year old

In order to focus on possible differences in invasiveness based on different approaches, we did not include patients who had undergone a converted thoracotomy in the MIS group because these patients had ultimately undergone open thoracotomy. We performed PS matching to reduce potential functional and pathologic differences between the groups that can affect both selection bias and outcomes.

Data collection

Data on clinicopathologic variables were obtained by reviewing patient medical records to determine patient characteristics: year of surgery; age at surgery; sex; smoking status; history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD); history of cardiovascular disease (CVD; which includes myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, and peripheral vascular disease); history of diabetes mellitus (DM); body mass index (BMI); serum creatinine levels; predicted postoperative forced expiratory volume in one second (ppoFEV1)4, 28, 29; predicted postoperative diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide (ppoDLCO)4, 28, 29; resected lobe; histologic subtype (e.g., adenocarcinoma); pathologic tumor size; pathologic stage (p-Stage); status of adjuvant chemotherapy after lung resection; and follow-up status. All preoperative variables were evaluated by at most three months prior to surgery. Patient follow-up status was updated as of September 2016.

We also obtained operative data from operation records including type of lobectomy, surgical approach (MIS, thoracotomy, or conversion to thoracotomy from MIS), and reason for conversion. MIS included both VATS and robot-assisted surgery. Our definition of MIS was consistent with the consensus definition used in the Cancer and Leukemia Group B 39802 study.30 Conversion was defined as the use of a rib-spreading thoracotomy at any point after initiation of MIS. The reasons for conversion were classified into following categories: (1) difficulty with single-lung ventilation; (2) bleeding; (3) pleural adhesion; and (4) other technical or anatomic considerations such as lymph nodal anthracosis and vascular anomaly.

Endpoints and cause of death

The endpoints of this study were length of stay, severe morbidity, 1-year lung cancer-specific and noncancer-specific mortality, lung cancer-specific cumulative incidence of death (LC-CID), and noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death (NC-CID). Severe morbidities were defined as those grade ≥3 (in accordance with Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events [CTCAE] guidelines31) within 30 days after surgery. The cause of death was classified as lung cancer-specific, other cancer-specific, noncancer-specific, or unknown.4 Lung cancer—specific mortality was defined as death due to recurrent disease associated with resected lung cancer. Patients who had progressive recurrent disease at the last follow-up and death without a documented specific reason were included in the lung cancer—specific group. Death due to second primary lung cancer or other malignancies was regarded as “other cancer-specific.” Noncancer-specific mortality was defined as death due to specific causes other than malignant disease, including death without a documented specific reason within 6 months of the last follow-up in the absence of lung cancer recurrence or progressive malignant diseases.

Statistical analysis

We presented results from PS-matching analysis between the MIS and thoracotomy groups and recorded their comparable characteristics. Propensity scores were computed as the conditional probability of receiving MIS using a logistic regression model that included baseline demographic and clinical characteristics—year of surgery, age, sex, smoking status, COPD, CVD, DM, serum creatinine, BMI, ppoFEV1, ppoDLCO, resected lobe, histologic subtypes, pathologic tumor size, p-Stage, adjuvant chemotherapy—to achieve balance in covariates between the two groups. The PS-matching procedure selects matched pairs with similar baseline probabilities of being in either the MIS or the thoracotomy group.32, 33 Propensity score matching pairs were identified without replacement using a 1:1 nearest neighbor matching algorithm with caliper width determined by the recommendation from Austin (0.2 of the standard deviation of the logit of the PSs).34 Balance of covariates between the groups was assessed by the absolute standardized mean difference (ASMD) before and after the matching procedure. An ASMD <0.1 indicated balance in the covariate between the two groups.35 After the matching procedure, 338 matched pairs were generated with comparable patient characteristics. Subsequent analyses accounted for the matched pairs of data as clusters.

Length of stay was compared between both groups using linear regression with clustered standard errors after log transformation of the outcome. Comparisons between groups for severe morbidity and 1-year mortality were performed using logistic regression with clustered standard errors.

The associations between factors and the hazard of each cause of death were evaluated using competing risks analysis. Patients were censored if they were alive at the time of last follow-up. The hazard of death was analyzed using competing risks method, grouped by matched pair identifiers after PS matching. Cumulative incidence of death (CID) was estimated from time of surgery using a cumulative incidence function that accounted for death due to lung cancer or noncancer causes as competing events.36 Differences in CID between groups were assessed using Gray’s method for univariable analyses. The association between morbidity (grades 0/1, 2, and 3) and noncancer-specific death was identified by CID curves for each morbidity grade and analyzed separately by surgical approach (MIS or thoracotomy). Fine and Gray’s competing risk regression analysis was used to estimate the subhazard ratio37 in order to evaluate the association between clinicopathologic variables and hazard of noncancer-specific death. Factors that yielded p <0.1 on univariable analysis were considered candidates in the multivariable model. Statistical analyses were conducted using R v3.3.1 (R Development Core Team, Austria, Vienna), including the “survival,” “cmprsk,” “crrSC,” and “rms” packages that were downloaded in January 2017.

RESULTS

Patient characteristics and comparison between MIS and thoracotomy before/after matching

Patient characteristics and comparison between MIS and thoracotomy groups, before and after propensity score matching, are shown in Table 1. Before matching, 12 out of 16 covariates were unbalanced between the MIS and thoracotomy groups (ASMD ≥0.1). Compared with thoracotomy, MIS is associated with a more recent period of surgery, a greater number of female patients, a greater number of never smokers, fewer patients with a history of COPD, lower serum creatinine levels, higher ppoFEV1, higher ppoDLCO, a greater number of upper lobectomies, a greater number of adenocarcinoma diagnoses, smaller tumor size, lower pathologic stage, and less adjuvant chemotherapy.

Table 1:

Patient characteristics and outcomes before and after propensity score matching – MIS vs. Thoracotomy

Before matching (n = 1 303)
After matching (n = 676)
MIS Thoracotomy MIS Thoracotomy
n = 607 (%) n = 696 (%) n = 338 (%) n = 338 (%)
Clinicopathologic variables ASMD ASMD
Period of surgery 0.702 0.091
2002–2005 120 (20) 323 (46) 100 (30) 104 (31)
2006–2009 210 (35) 243 (35) 126 (37) 136 (40)
2010–2013 277 (46) 130 (19) 112 (33) 98 (29)
Age at surgery (year) 73 (69–78) 72 (68–77) 0.079 72 (68–77) 72 (68–78) 0.012
Sex 0.134 0.048
Female 363 (60) 370 (53) 185 (55) 193 (57)
Male 244 (40) 326 (47) 153 (45) 145 (43)
Smoking 0.116 0.040
Never 112 (18) 101 (15) 53 (16) 58 (17)
Former 435 (72) 513 (74) 247 (73) 243 (72)
Current 60 (10) 82 (12) 38 (11) 37 (11)
COPD history 109 (18) 170 (24) 0.156 66 (20) 73 (22) 0.051
CVD history 116 (19) 152 (22) 0.068 75 (22) 71 (21) 0.029
DM history 80 (13) 88 (13) 0.016 49 (14) 42 (12) 0.061
BMI 27 (23–30) 27 (24–30) 0.066 27 (24–30) 27 (24–30) 0.029
Serum creatinine (mg/dL) 1.0 (0.9–1.2) 1.1 (0.9–1.2) 0.107 1.1 (0.9–1.3) 1.1 (0.9–1.2) 0.017
ppoFEV1 (%) (N =1 281) 73 (63–85) 68 (55–80) 0.360 70 (61–82) 72 (59–81) 0.039
ppoDLCO (%) (N=1 240) 65 (55–76) 61 (50–73) 0.268 63 (53–74) 62 (52–77) 0.034
Resected lobe 0.199 0.093
RUL 251 (41) 244 (35) 124 (37) 128 (38)
RML 35 (6) 44 (6) 18 (5) 17 (5)
RLL 92 (15) 139 (20) 56 (17) 64 (19)
LUL 154 (25) 155 (22) 95 (28) 83 (25)
LLL 75 (12) 114 (16) 45 (13) 46 (14)
Histologic subtypes 0.426 0.063
Adenocarcinoma 513 (85) 466 (67) 270 (80) 275 (81)
Squamous 72 (12) 182 (26) 53 (16) 46 (14)
Adenosquamous 12 (2) 18 (3) 8 (2) 9 (3)
Large 8 (1) 23 (3) 7 (2) 8 (2)
Pleomorphic 2 (<1) 7 (1) 0 (0) 0 (0)
Pathologic size (cm) 2.0 (1.5–2.8) 3.0 (2.0–4.2) 0.639 2.2 (1.7–3.0) 2.3 (1.6–3.3) 0.090
p-Stage 0.400 0.034
I 491 (81) 441 (63) 257 (76) 252 (75)
II 77 (13) 162 (23) 53 (16) 56 (17)
III 39 (6) 93 (13) 28 (8) 30 (9)
Adjuvant therapy (N = 1 275) 0.173 0.047
No 521 (87) 549 (81) 283 (84) 277 (82)
Yes 76 (13) 129 (19) 55 (16) 61 (18)

Outcomes P
Length of stay (day) 4 (3–6) 5 (4–8) 4 (3–5) 5 (4–7) <0.001
Postoperative morbidity
None/CTCAE grade 1 481 (79) 468 (67) 271 (80) 242 (72)
CTCAE grade 2 91 (15) 158 (23) 50 (15) 69 (20)
CTCAE grade ≥3 35 (6) 70 (10) 17 (5) 27 (8) 0.12#
30-day mortality 1 (0.2) 10 (1) 0 (0) 2 (0.6)
90-day mortality 3 (0.5) 18 (3) 1 (0.3) 7 (2)
1-year LC mortality 11 (2) 28 (4) 8 (2) 6 (2) 0.8
1-year NC mortality 3 (0) 31 (4) 1 (0.3) 10 (3) 0.027
5-year LC-CID (%)* 11 (8–14) 19 (17–23) 15 (12–20) 14 (10–19) 0.9
5-year NC-CID (%)* 3 (1–5) 8 (6–10) 2 (1–5) 7 (5–11) 0.014

Data are number (%) or median (25th–75th percentile).

*

Data are shown as estimated CID or survival probability (95% CI).

#

Comparison of CTCAE grade ≥3 between MIS vs. thoracotomy.

No statistical comparison due to small number of events.

Abbreviations: ASMD, absolute standardized mean difference; BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; CID, cumulative incidence of death; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CTCAE, Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DLCO, diffusion capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide; DM, diabetes mellitus; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in 1 second; LC, lung cancer; LLL, left lower lobe; LUL, left upper lobe; NC noncancer; MIS, minimally invasive surgery; RLL, right lower lobe; RML, right middle lobe; RUL, right upper lobe; ppo, predictive postoperative; p-Stage, pathologic stage.

The 1:1 matching for MIS versus thoracotomy resulted in 338 matched pairs (n=676) with balanced covariates between the MIS and thoracotomy groups (ASMD <0.1). The distributions of PS before and after matching are shown in e-Figure 1.

Length of stay, postoperative morbidity, 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year mortality

Table 1 reports the outcomes between MIS and thoracotomy after matching. MIS was associated with shorter length of stay than thoracotomy (MIS vs. thoracotomy, 4 vs. 5 days, respectively; p <0.001). There was no significant difference in the incidence of severe postoperative morbidity and 1-year lung cancer-specific mortality between MIS and thoracotomy. However, MIS was associated with lower 1-year noncancer-specific mortality than thoracotomy (0.3% vs. 3%, respectively; p=0.027). We did not evaluate 30-day and 90-day mortalities statistically due to small number of events.

Lung cancer- and noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death analysis

Table 1 reports the estimated 5-year LC-CID and NC-CID, and a comparison between MIS vs. thoracotomy after matching. Figure 2 shows LC-CID and NC-CID curves. The patients in the MIS group were associated with lower NC-CID than patients in the thoracotomy group (5-year NC-CID in MIS vs. thoracotomy, 2% vs. 7%, respectively; p=0.019), whereas there was no statistically significant difference in LC-CID between MIS vs. thoracotomy.

Figure 2. Lung cancer- and noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death curves by surgical approach.

Figure 2.

The patients in the MIS group were associated with lower NC-CID than patients in the thoracotomy group (5-year NC-CID in MIS vs. thoracotomy, 2% vs. 7%, respectively; p=0.019), whereas there was no statistically significant difference in LC-CID between MIS vs. thoracotomy (p=0.946).

Abbreviations: LC-CID, lung cancer-specific cumulative incidence of death; MIS, minimally invasive surgery; NC-CID, noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death

Univariable and multivariable competing risk regression for noncancer-specific death

Table 2 demonstrates the results of univariable and multivariable competing risks regression for noncancer-specific death after PS matching. On univariable analysis, older age, male sex, CVD history, higher serum creatinine levels, thoracotomy (vs. MIS), squamous cell carcinoma (vs. adenocarcinoma), and p-Stage II (vs. I) were significantly associated with higher risk of noncancer-specific death (p <0.05). After consideration of association and collinearity between variables, the final multivariable model included three variables in addition to surgical approach: age, sex, ppoDLCO, and p-Stage. In this model, older age, male sex (vs. female), lower ppoDLCO, p-Stage II (vs. I), and thoracotomy (vs. MIS) were independently associated with higher risk of noncancer-specific death. Variables that are associated with lower ppoDLCO, such as CVD history and ppoFEV1, were not included in the final model; however, the model that included these variables is shown in e-Table 2. Specifically, thoracotomy was a significant risk factor for noncancer-specific death (subhazard 2.43, 95% confidence interval 1.18–5.01, p=0.017).

Table 2:

Univariable and multivariable competing risk regression for noncancer-specific death after propensity score matching

Univariable analysis
Final multivariable model
Variables SHR 95% CI P SHR 95% CI P
Year of surgery (per 1 year increase) 0.97 0.88–1.08 0.6
Age at surgery (per 1 year increase) 1.06 1.00–1.12 0.04 1.07 1.01–1.14 0.030
Male (vs. female) 3.22 1.57–6.60 0.001 3.88 1.78–8.44 <0.001
Smoking history (vs. never)
Former 0.95 0.39–2.33 0.9
Current 1.41 0.45–4.42 0.6
COPD history (vs. none) 1.08 0.50–2.32 0.9
CVD history (vs. none) 2.32 1.2–4.5 0.012
DM history (vs. none) 1.56 0.68–3.55 0.3
BMI (per 1 index increase) 1.04 0.98–1.09 0.2
Serum creatinine (per 1mg/dL increase) 4.35 2.07–9.13 <0.001
ppoFEV1 (per 1% increase) 0.99 0.97–1.01 0.2
ppoDLCO (per 1% increase) 0.98 0.96–0.99 0.013 0.98 0.96–1.00 0.022
Resected lobe (vs. RUL)
RML 1.02 0.23–4.55 1.0
RLL 0.88 0.32–2.42 0.8
LUL 1.37 0.63–3.00 0.4
LLL 1.17 0.42–3.31 0.8
Thoracotomy (vs. MIS) 2.35 1.15–4.81 0.020 2.43 1.18–5.01 0.017
Histologic subtypes (vs. adenocarcinoma)
Squamous 2.15 1.0–4.6 0.049
Adenosquamous 2.7 0.65–11.18 0.17
Large 1.22 0.19–7.71 0.8
p-Stage (vs. I)
II 2.18 1.05–4.53 0.037 2.47 1.16–5.27 0.019
III 1.53 0.53–4.41 0.4 1.55 0.53–4.57 0.4
Adjuvant chemotherapy (vs. none) 0.94 0.39–2.30 0.18

Abbreviations: BMI, body mass index; CI, confidence interval; COPD, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; CVD, cardiovascular disease; DLCO, diffusion capacity of the lungs for carbon monoxide; DM, diabetes mellitus; FEV1, forced expiratory volume in 1 second; LLL, left lower lobe; LUL, left upper lobe; RLL, right lower lobe; RML, right middle lobe; RUL, right upper lobe; ppo, predictive postoperative; p-Stage, pathologic stage; SHR, subhazard ratio

Noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death curves by morbidity status and surgical approach

To assess prognostic impact of the severity of postoperative morbidity on noncancer-specific death in relation to the type of surgical approach received, NC-CID by morbidity status was investigated separately in patients who had undergone MIS and patients who had undergone thoracotomy after matching. When dividing patients into three morbidity grade-based groups (no morbidity or CTCAE grade 1 morbidity; grade 2 morbidity; and grade ≥3 morbidity) for those who have undergone MIS, there was no difference in NC-CID curves between the three groups; however, among patients who had undergone thoracotomy, there were significant difference between the groups (p <0.001), specifically, the grade ≥3 morbidity group had greater risk of non-cancer death.

Cause of postoperative severe morbidity and death

Table 3 shows the cause of postoperative severe morbidity (CTCAE grade ≥3) before and after matching. In both the MIS and thoracotomy groups, the majority of postoperative severe morbidity was categorized in respiratory, thoracic, and mediastinum disorders, followed by cardiac and vascular disorders, according to the CTCAE definition.

Table 3:

Cause of postoperative severe morbidity (CTCAE grade ≥ 3) before/after propensity score matching

Before matching
After matching
MIS Thoracotomy MIS Thoracotomy
System organ class and adverse events n = 607 n = 696 n = 338 n = 338 P
Respiratory, thoracic and mediastinal disorders 20 (3.3) 56 (8.0) 9 (2.7) 20 (5.9) 0.056
 Adult respiratory distress syndrome/respiratory failure 6 (1.0) 24 (3.4) 4 (1.2) 8 (2.4)
 Pneumonitis/lung infectiona 3 (0.5) 8 (11) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6)
 Pneumothorax 4 (0.7) 14 (2.0) 1 (0.3) 6 (18)
 Bronchopleural fistula /pleural infectiona 5 (0.8) 4 (0.6) 3 (0.9) 1 (0.3)
 Chylothorax 2 (0.3) 4 (0.6) 1 (0.3) 2 (0.6)
 Others 0 (0.0) 2 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3)
Cardiac and vascular disorders 5 (0.8) 14 (2.0) 3 (0.9) 8 (2.4) 0.2
 Acute coronary syndrome 2 (0.3) 1 (0.1) 2 (0.6) 0 (0.0)
 Atrial fibrillation 0 (0.0) 6 (0.9) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6)
 Thromboembolic event 3 (0.5) 5 (0.7) 1 (0.3) 5 (1.5)
 Others 0 (0.0) 2 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3)
Nervous system disorders 2 (0.3) 2 (0.3) 2 (0.6) 1 (0.3)
 Stroke 1 (0.2) 2 (0.3) 1 (0.3) 1 (0.3)
 Others 1 (0.2) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3) 0 (0.0)
Renal and urinary disorders 2 (0.3) 6 (0.9) 1 (0.3) 1 (0.3)
 Acute kidney injury 1 (0.2) 5 (0.7) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3)
 Urinary tract infectiona 1 (0.2) 1 (0.1) 1 (0.3) 0 (0.0)
Gastrointestinal and hepatobiliary disorders 1 (0.2) 2 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
 Colitis 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
 Ileus 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
 Others 1 (0.2) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
Postoperative bleeding 2 (0.3) 1 (0.1) 1 (0.3) 0 (0.0)
Other category 7 (1.2) 2 (0.3) 4 (1.2) 0 (0.0)
 Anemia 3 (0.5) 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3)
 Delirium 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3)
 Wound infection 2 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6) 0 (0.0)
 Others 2 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6) 0 (0.0)

Data are number (%)

Abbreviations: CTCAE, Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events

a

Included in “infections and infestations” in the CTCAE category.

No statistical comparison due to small number of events.

Table 4 shows the cause of death at 30 days, 90 days, 1 year, and 5 years after surgery, before and after matching. Before matching, the proportions of patients with lung cancer-specific death and noncancer-specific death were greater among those who had undergone thoracotomy than in those had undergone MIS. However, after matching, the proportion of lung cancer-specific death was similar between MIS and thoracotomy whereas noncancer-specific death, especially death due to respiratory disorders, was still more frequent in the MIS group than in the thoracotomy group.

Table 4:

Cause of death at 30 days, 90 days, 1 year, and 5 years after surgery before/after propensity score matching

At 30 days
At 90 days
At 1 year
At 5 years
MIS Thoracotomy MIS Thoracotomy MIS Thoracotomy MIS Thoracotomy
Before matching n = 607 n = 696 n = 607 n = 696 n = 607 n = 696 n = 607 n = 696
 Any cause of mortality 1 (0.2) 10 (1.4) 3 (0.5) 18 (2.6) 19 (3.1) 69 (9.9) 106 (17.5) 245 (35.2)
Cause-specific mortality
  Lung cancer specific 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 11 (18) 28 (4.0) 56 (9.2) 125 (18.0)
  Other cancer specific 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.3) 3 (0.4) 14 (2.3) 15 (2.2)
  Noncancer specific 1 (0.2) 10 (1.4) 3 (0.5) 18 (2.6) 3 (0.5) 31 (4.5) 12 (2.0) 51 (7.3)
   Respiratory 0 (0.0) 6 (0.9) 0 (0.0) 11 (16) 0 (0.0) 16 (2.3) 2 (0.3) 24 (3.4)
   Cardiovascular 0 (0.0) 2 (0.3) 1 (0.2) 2 (0.3) 1 (0.2) 3 (0.4) 2 (0.3) 3 (0.4)
   Nervous system 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
   Renal/Urinary tract 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
   Gastrointestinal 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.1) 1 (0.2) 1 (0.1)
   Other* 1 (0.2) 2 (0.3) 2 (0.3) 4 (0.6) 2 (0.3) 11 (16) 7 (1.2) 23 (3.3)
  Unknown 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 3 (0.5) 7 (1.0) 24 (4.0) 54 (7.8)

After matching n = 338 n = 338 n = 338 n = 338 n = 338 n = 338 n = 338 n = 338
 Any cause of mortality 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6) 1 (0.3) 7 (2.1) 13 (3.8) 19 (5.6) 77 (22.8) 90 (26.6)
Cause-specific mortality
  Lung cancer specific 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 8 (2.4) 6 (18) 42 (12.4) 46 (13.6)
  Other cancer specific 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6) 2 (0.6) 11 (3.3) 7 (2.1)
  Noncancer specific 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6) 1 (0.3) 7 (2.1) 1 (0.3) 10 (3.0) 6 (18) 21 (6.2)
   Respiratory 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6) 0 (0.0) 4 (1.2) 0 (0.0) 6 (18) 1 (0.3) 11 (3.3)
   Cardiovascular 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
   Nervous system 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
   Renal/Urinary tract 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)
   Gastrointestinal 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3) 1 (0.3) 1 (0.3)
   Other* 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 1 (0.3) 2 (0.6) 1 (0.3) 3 (0.9) 4 (1.2) 9 (2.7)
  Unknown 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 2 (0.6) 1 (0.3) 18 (5.3) 16 (4.7)

Data are number (%)

Abbreviations: MIS, minimally invasive surgery

*

Including unknown death within 6 months after the last follow-up, in the absence of recurrence or other malignant disease. Statistic comparison between MIS and thoracotomy after matching is shown in Table 1.

DISCUSSION

Our study demonstrated that, in elderly patients with early-stage NSCLC, MIS is associated with lower risk of noncancer-specific death compared with open thoracotomy. The novelty and strength of our study are as follows: 1) this is the first study to compare noncancer-specific death between MIS and thoracotomy using competing risks analysis; 2) propensity score matching and subsequent prognostic analysis included factors that are known to contribute to selection of surgical approaches and lung cancer- and noncancer-specific outcomes after surgery, including years of surgery, comorbidity, and ppo lung function, that are more strongly linked to postoperative morbidities28; 3) multivariable analysis demonstrated that thoracotomy is a significant risk factor for noncancer-specific death independent of older age, male sex, and lower ppoDLCO, all of which are risk factors for worse noncancer outcomes after surgery4; and 4) we focused on the elderly patient population where noncancer-specific death is a significant competing event against lung cancer-specific death.4

Previous studies have demonstrated equivalent OS or disease-free survival (DFS) between patients who had undergone MIS and thoracotomy.13, 14, 16, 18, 19, 2225, 38 However, our study has shown that MIS is associated with lower noncancer-specific mortality in elderly patients. This discrepancy can be explained by two reasons—our study only focused on elderly patients and, in addition to noncancer-specific death, OS and DFS can be affected by death due to other malignant diseases that we regarded as competing events in this analysis.4, 39 When comparing causes of death between MIS and thoracotomy, death due to respiratory diseases was a main difference between the cohorts (Table 3 and e-Table 3). Postoperative morbidity can affect patient survival40 and our study demonstrates that differential noncancer-specific survival is impacted by postoperative morbidity status and surgical approach. Interestingly, higher incidence of noncancer-specific death after severe morbidity was observed only in the thoracotomy group (Figure 3). Further studies are warranted to investigate the potential relationship between noncancer-specific death, especially due to respiratory diseases, and patient symptomatic/functional status including pain, quality of life, respiratory physiology, and respiratory morbidity.

Figure 3. Noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death curves by morbidity status and surgical approach.

Figure 3.

When dividing patients into three morbidity grade-based groups (black curve, no morbidity or CTCAE grade 1 morbidity; green curve, grade 2 morbidity; and blue curve, grade ≥3 morbidity) for those who have undergone MIS (left), there was no difference in NC-CID curves between the three groups; however, in patients who had undergone thoracotomy (right), there were significant difference between the groups (p <0.001) where the grade ≥3 morbidity group had higher risk of NC-CID.

Abbreviations: CTCAE, Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events; Grade, CTCAE grade; MIS, minimally invasive surgery; NC-CID, noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death

In this study, we focused on elderly patients (≥65 years of age) based on our recent observation that noncancer-specific mortality was found to be a significant competing event against lung cancer-specific mortality in resected NSCLC patients ≥65 years of age but not in patients <65 years of age.4 However, patient characteristics and outcomes between MIS vs. thoracotomy in 654 patients <65 years of age (used the same inclusion/exclusion criteria as the elderly cohort) are available in Online Only Supplemental Material (e-Table 4 and e-Figure 2). Similar to the elderly cohort before matching, MIS was associated with recent time period, female sex, non-smoker, better pulmonary function, adenocarcinoma history, and lower p-stage. Despite “favorable background” in MIS compared with thoracotomy, there is no difference between the 2 cohorts in terms of postoperative morbidity, short-term mortality, and long-term, noncancer-specific mortality in patients <65 years of age. Although we used 65 years of age as a cut-off,4, 41 with increasing age of cancer patients future analysis may consider an increased age cut-off (70 or 75 years).42 Analysis within our cohort with cut-offs 70 or 75 years did not change the observations.

The limitations of our study include inherent biases in patient selection in a retrospective series. Although we attempted to offset potential bias between MIS and thoracotomy by PS matching, remaining bias might still have affected the results. For example, we used pathologic stage instead of clinical stage for matching. After matching, pathologic stage was well balanced between MIS and thoracotomy; however, clinical stage was not balanced (e-Table 5). Although this might have caused potential remaining bias between the cohorts, LC-CID analysis between MIS and thoracotomy (Figure 2) has no demonstrable difference between both cohorts after matching and, therefore, we believe that our conclusions were not significantly changed. The change in patient population between early and late time periods might have affected our analyses due to MIS learning curve, a potential change in patient selection for MIS, and a potential improvement of perioperative patient care during the study period. Another limitation was that we excluded 113 patients with conversion before PS matching in order to evaluate differences between patients who had successfully undergone MIS and thoracotomy. Patient characteristics and outcomes of the conversion group are shown in e-Table 6 (MIS vs. conversion vs. thoracotomy) and e-Table 7 (by reason for conversion). Compared with the thoracotomy group, the conversion group has similar or higher preoperative noncancer-related risk (higher comorbidity and lower pulmonary function) and similar outcomes. The causes of severe morbidity and death are shown in e-Table 8 and 9, respectively. Similar noncancer-related backgrounds and outcomes between the conversion and thoracotomy groups may suggest that the noncancer-specific prognostic impact from thoracotomy that were converted from MIS would be similar to the impact from intentional thoracotomy. Another limitation of our study is the number of patients with an unknown cause of death. Of the 351 deaths within 5 years after surgery, 78 were due to unknown causes (34 after PS matching). The patient characteristics by cause of death among patients who died within 5 years after surgery, before and after PS matching, are shown in e-Table 10 and e-Table 11. Preoperative and postoperative variables in patients with unknown causes of death are more similar to the total cohort of patients. However, the characteristics of patients in unknown death are not similar to any one subcohort (lung cancer-, other cancer-, and noncancer-specific death). This suggests that it is unlikely that “unknown death” are coming from any one subcohort.43

In conclusion, we demonstrate that, in a PS-matching cohort, multivariable analysis indicates that lobectomy performed successfully by MIS is associated with lower incidence of noncancer-specific death compared with lobectomy performed by open thoracotomy in elderly patients with NSCLC.

Supplementary Material

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ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank Alex Torres of the MSK Thoracic Surgery Service for their editorial assistance.

Funding information: The authors’ laboratory research is supported by grants from the National Institutes of Health (R01 CA217169 to D.R.J., P30 CA008748 to P.S.A.); the U.S. Department of Defense (BC132124 and LC160212 to P.S.A.); the Derfner Foundation; the Joanne and John DallePezze Foundation; Mr. William H. Goodwin and Mrs. Alice Goodwin; the Commonwealth Foundation for Cancer Research; and the Experimental Therapeutics Center of Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center.

Abbreviations

ASMD

absolute standardized mean difference

BMI

body mass index

CID

cumulative incidence of death

COPD

chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

CT

computed tomography

CTCAE

Common Terminology Criteria for Adverse Events

CVD

cardiovascular disease

DFS

disease-free survival

DM

diabetes mellitus

LC-CID

lung cancer—specific cumulative incidence of death

MIS

minimally invasive surgery

MSK

Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center

NC-CID

noncancer-specific cumulative incidence of death

NSCLC

non-small cell lung cancer

OS

overall survival

ppoDLCO

predicted postoperative diffusion capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide

ppoFEV1

predicted postoperative forced expiratory volume in one second

p-Stage

pathologic stage

VATS

video-assisted thoracic surgery

Footnotes

Summary conflict of interest statement: The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose.

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