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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2020 Aug 25.
Published in final edited form as: Mon Not R Astron Soc. 2016 Feb 27;457(4):4089–4113. doi: 10.1093/mnras/stw191

The frequency of snowline-region planets from four-years of OGLE-MOA-Wise second-generation microlensing

Y Shvartzvald 1,w,*, D Maoz 1,w, A Udalski 2,o, T Sumi 3,m, M Friedmann 1,w, S Kaspi 1,w, R Poleski 4,o, M K Szymański 2,o, J Skowron 2,o, S Kozłowski 2,o, L Wyrzykowski 2,o, P Mróz 2,o, P Pietrukowicz 2,o, G Pietrzyński 2,o, I Soszyński 2,o, K Ulaczyk 5,o, F Abe 6,m, R K Barry 7,m, D P Bennett 8,m, A Bhattacharya 8,m, IA Bond 9,m, M Freeman 10,m, K Inayama 11,m, Y Itow 6,m, N Koshimoto 3,m, CH Ling 9,m, K Masuda 6,m, A Fukui 12,m, Y Matsubara 6,m, Y Muraki 6,m, K Ohnishi 13,m, N J Rattenbury 10,m, To Saito 14,m, DJ Sullivan 15,m, D Suzuki 8,m, P J Tristram 16,m, Y Wakiyama 6,m, A Yonehara 11,m
PMCID: PMC7447140  NIHMSID: NIHMS931286  PMID: 32848283

Abstract

We present a statistical analysis of the first four seasons from a “second-generation” microlensing survey for extrasolar planets, consisting of near-continuous time coverage of 8 deg2 of the Galactic bulge by the OGLE, MOA, and Wise microlensing surveys. During this period, 224 microlensing events were observed by all three groups. Over 12% of the events showed a deviation from single-lens microlensing, and for ~1/3 of those the anomaly is likely caused by a planetary companion. For each of the 224 events we have performed numerical ray-tracing simulations to calculate the detection efficiency of possible companions as a function of companion-to-host mass ratio and separation. Accounting for the detection efficiency, we find that 5522+34% of microlensed stars host a snowline planet. Moreover, we find that Neptunes-mass planets are ~ 10 times more common than Jupiter-mass planets. The companion-to-host mass ratio distribution shows a deficit at q ~ 10−2, separating the distribution into two companion populations, analogous to the stellar-companion and planet populations, seen in radial-velocity surveys around solar-like stars. Our survey, however, which probes mainly lower-mass stars, suggests a minimum in the distribution in the super-Jupiter mass range, and a relatively high occurrence of brown-dwarf companions.

Keywords: surveys, gravitational lensing: micro, binaries: general, planetary systems, Galaxy: stellar content

1. INTRODUCTION

Over the last 20 years, our knowledge about planetary systems has increased dramatically, from one example with eight planets (our own Solar system) to over 1100 planetary systems hosting more than 1800 planets1. The various planet-detection techniques are sensitive to different regions of the planetary parameter space, but the overall emerging picture from combining their results is that planetary systems are very common. The occurrence rate found by radial velocity and transits surveys, which have detected the majority of the known exoplanets, and are most sensitive to close-in planets, shows that, on average, about half of Sun-like stars host small planets (Earth to Neptune) within 1 AU, 10% have giant planets within a few AU, and about 10% among those giants are within a few hundredths of an AU (Winn & Fabrycky 2015). Moreover, systems with multiple close-in planets are not rare. The existence of close-in massive planets (“hot Jupiters”) requires a migration mechanism for those planets from beyond the ”snowline“, where they likely form according to planet formation scenarios (Ida & Lin 2005).

Complementing these discovery methods, gravitational microlensing, while having detected only tens of planets, offers a number of unique advantages. Microlensing is sensitive to planets at projected host separations of 1 to 10 AU, orbiting stars throughout a large volume of the Galaxy, among both the bulge and the disk populations (Gaudi 2012). Initial statistical analyses of microlensing surveys have suggested that, on average, every star in the Galaxy hosts at least one snowline planet (Cassan et al. 2012), and that the majority of them might be multiple-planet systems (Han et al. 2013). Microlensing surveys are also the only technique sensitive, in principle, to unbound planets. Sumi et al. (2011) argue that such free-floating planets are at least as common as main-sequence stars. However, due to the current small total number of microlensing-detected planets and the difficulties in turning these numbers into a statistical occurrence rate, the abundance of Solar-like planetary systems is still poorly known.

The traditional “first generation” strategy for exoplanet searches by the microlensing community has been to focus on specific microlensing events discovered by the OGLE (Udalski 2009) and the MOA (Sumi et al. 2003) microlensing surveys. These events have generally been bright and of high-magnification. Following alerts announced by the surveys, events that promised to be of high magnification (A ≳ 100) were monitored quasi-continuously by global follow-up networks, in order to search for planetary anomalies. The light curve of a bright and highly magnified event has a high signal-to-noise ratio (SNR), permitting observations with small (and even amateur) telescopes, which are a significant part of the follow up networks. The motivation for this strategy was that high-magnification events have the highest sensitivity to planets, since the source star image is distorted into a nearly full Einstein ring, and hence a planet anywhere in the Einstein ring vicinity will perturb the light curve and will be detected (Gould & Loeb 1992; Griest & Safizadeh 1998). Although this strategy was important for discovering the first microlensing planets, it also led to the main limitations of the first generation: (a) high-magnification events are rare (~1%) and hence overall a small number of microlensing planets have been discovered with this approach; (b) the alert and follow up process involves a complex social decision and communication process, sometimes after an event has already hinted at the possibility of an anomaly. This process is difficult to account for in a statistical analysis.

Exploiting the full planet discovery potential of microlensing requires a “second generation” (hereafter - genII) microlensing survey (Gaudi et al. 2009), in which a large fraction of all ongoing microlensing events toward the Galactic bulge - of both low and high magnification - are monitored continuously with a cadence that is high enough to detect planetary perturbations in the light curves. Apart from the larger number of expected planet discoveries, the “controlled experiment” nature of a genII survey allows for safer statistical inferences on the planet population. The requirements are straightforward - a network of 1m-class telescopes situated so as to allow 24-hour coverage of the bulge, equipped with degree-scale imagers.

There have been three main works to constrain snowline planet properties and frequencies based on first-generation surveys. Sumi et al. (2010) used the first ten microlensing-discovered planets to constrain the mass-ratio distribution of snowline region exoplanets and their hosts, and concluded that Neptune-mass planets are at least three times as common as Jupiters in this region. Gould et al. (2010) analyzed six planets discovered in high-magnification microlensing events that were intensively followed-up by the μFUN network (Gould 2008), and found that ~ 1/3 of microlensed stars host a snowline planet in the planet-to-star mass-ratio interval −4.5 < log q < −2, corresponding to the range of ice to gas giants. Moreover, since one of the systems had two planets with the same mass and distance ratios as Jupiter and Saturn to the Sun, they argued that the frequency of Solar-like systems around lens stars is about 1/6. Gould et al. (2010) argued that the chaotic nature of the “alert and follow-up” process results, in the end, in a randomization that minimizes selection effects and although it cannot be claimed to be a controlled experiment, it gives a high level of completeness. Finally, Cassan et al. (2012) combined the previous results and three additional planets that were discovered by the PLANET follow-up network (Albrow et al. 1998), and deduced a frequency of more than unity for snowline-region planets.

In June-July 2010, we carried out a 6-week pilot of a genII experiment. In 2011, we initiated the first full genII microlensing experiment, involving OGLE, MOA and the Wise Observatory microlensing group (Shvartzvald & Maoz 2012). During four observing seasons, we have monitored all events in a specific, 8 deg2, field toward the Galactic bulge. In this paper we present a statistical analysis of these first four observing seasons (2011–2014) of our genII survey. The sample includes 224 microlensing events, monitored by all three groups. Over 12% of the events show clear anomalies in their light curves indicating a companion to the lens star. To assess the nature of the companions we perform a coarse grid-based search of the microlensing model parameter space for each event. Comparing the actual number of light curves having planetary anomalies to the total number of events, after accounting for the detection efficiency of each event, allows to estimate, for the first time, the frequency of planetary systems from a controlled microlensing experiment.

The paper is arranged as follows. In Section 2, we describe the observations and reductions of our sample of lensing events. In Section 3, we model each light curve in our sample with a single-lens model, describe our anomaly detection filter, and present the anomalous events among our sample. In Section 4 we derive the frequency and the mass-ratio distribution of snowline planets implied by our survey, and discuss the results in the context of current knowledge in Section 5.

2. OBSERVATIONS

2.1. Observational data and reduction

Our genII survey network is a collaboration between three groups: OGLE, MOA, and Wise. The OGLE and MOA groups regularly monitor a large region of the Galactic bulge, and routinely identify and monitor microlensing events. The Wise group monitors a field of 8 deg2, within the observational footprints of both OGLE and MOA, having the highest event rates based on previous years’ observations (see Shvartzvald & Maoz 2012).

The OGLE group operates the 1.3m Warsaw University telescope at Las Campanas Observatory in Chile, with the 1.4 deg2 field of view OGLE-IV camera. The genII survey’s 8 deg2 footprint includes three extremely high-cadence OGLE-IV fields observed every ~15 minutes and five high-cadence OGLE-IV fields observed once per ~45 minutes. Standard OGLE observations are through an I filter. OGLE photometry used here was extracted by their standard difference image analysis (DIA) procedure (Udalski 2003). These OGLE data are the preliminary measurements posted on the Early Warning System website2, which are not suitable for detailed modeling of the events, but sufficient for the anomaly-detection search and rough modeling that we perform here.

The MOA group operates the 1.8m MOA-II telescope in New Zealand with the MOA-cam3 camera, with a 2.2 deg2 field of view (Sako et al. 2008). MOA-II monitors six extremely high-cadence fields (every ~15 minutes) which cover most of the genII 8 deg2 field, and an additional six high-cadence fields (every ~45 minutes) which complement the network’s footprint. MOA uses a wide R/I filter (“MOA-Red”). The MOA data were reduced using their routine DIA procedure (Bond et al. 2001).

The Wise group’s main setup is the 1m telescope at Wise Observatory in Israel equipped with the LAIWO camera, with a 1 deg2 field of view. The cadence for each of the eight Wise pointings (which define the survey footprint) is ~30 minutes. Observations are in the I band. In the first half of the 2012 season, the LAIWO camera had readout electronics problems and the Wise group used, as an alternative, the Wise C18 0.46m telescope with an I filter, with a 1 deg2 field of view. The cadence for the eight C18 fields (which overlap with, but differ from the eight LAIWO fields) was ~1 hour. All Wise data were reduced using the pySis DIA software (Albrow et al. 2009).

2.2. Sample of lensing events

The sample of microlensing events analysed here consists of 224 events from the 2011–2014 bulge seasons, observed by all three groups, and with each group having data near the peak of the event. Without the last criterion, events with a long timescale that peak before the beginning of a season might enter the sample, while such events with a short timescale would not. Being the northernmost node of the network, with the shortest bulge observing season, Wise sets the time limits for the genII survey, from mid-April to mid-September of each season.

With the above criteria, and considering the limiting magnitudes of the various groups (see definition in Section 3.1), the initial sample has a relatively small number of events (230). After identifying anomalous events in our sample (see Section 3.3), we noted six events that passed the limiting magnitude criteria only because of the anomaly itself (due to a caustic crossing), and otherwise would not meet the criteria. Including these events would introduce a bias toward anomalous events, and therefore we exclude them from the sample. Table 2 lists the final sample of 224 events. For completeness, the excluded six events are listed separately at the end of the Table.

3. COMPANION DETECTIONS

3.1. Single-lens modeling of all events

As a first stage in our analysis, we model each of the 224 events with a single point-lens model, including the possibility of parallax and finite source effects. Such a model is necessary in order to subsequently detect those events that have lensing anomalies (Section 3.3), as well as to gauge the planet detection efficiency of each event (Section 3.2.2). Both of these elements of the analysis then enter our planet frequency calculation (Section 4).

The characteristic angular scale of a lensing phenomenon is the angular Einstein radius,

θE2=κMπrel,κ=4Gc2AU8.14masM, (1)

where M is the mass of the lens star, and the relative parallax is πrel=AU(DL1DL1), where DS and DL are the distances to the source and lens stars, respectively. A standard point-source, point-lens, microlensing model requires three “Paczyński parameters”: tE—the event time scale, over which the source crosses one angular Einstein radius; u0—the impact parameter, the minimal separation between the source star and lens star in angular Einstein radius units; and t0—the time of minimal separation between the source star and the lens star. There are two higher-order effects, which can change the light curve even in the absence of a companion to the lens. First, the finite source size needs to be taken into account when the scale in the source plane over which the magnification varies is of the order of the source size. This effect is parametrized by the ratio between the angular size of the source, θ*, and the angular Einstein radius, ρ = θ*/θE. Second, the orbital microlens parallax, πE, changes the relative proper motion between the source star and the lens during an event, due to the Earth’s orbit. The effect is parametrized by the size of the angular Einstein radius, projected onto the observer plane in astronomical units (AU), and can be represented by: πE = (πrel/θE)(μ/μ), where μ is the relative proper motion between the source and the lens. The microlens parallax is divided into a north and east component with respect to the Galactic coordinate system, πE,N and πE,E. The orbital parallax involves a well known u0 ↔ −u0 ecliptic degeneracy for sources near the ecliptic (Jiang et al. 2004; Poindexter et al. 2005), and we explore both options in our modeling.

During a microlensing event, an additional constant flux from stars along the line of sight to the source, that do not get magnified due to the lens (in particular, the lens star itself), contributes to the light curve. Thus the total flux, f(t), is the sum of the source flux, fs, times the magnification, A(t), and the background flux, fb. Due to the different filters and seeing conditions of each survey group, this is calculated separately for each dataset, i,

fi(t)=fs,iA(t)+fb,i (2)

When exploring the lens-model parameter space, we limit the ranges of some of the parameters, to avoid biases and unphysical solutions. First, we include only events with |u0| < 1, i.e. with peak magnifications A > 1.34. In addition, we limit the crossing time scale to values tE < 500 days. Finally, we limit each component of πE to be less than 1.5. Events that exceed these limits on tE and πE can, in principle, occur for extreme configurations. However, their probability is negligible given the number of events in our sample.

The MOA and Wise fluxes were aligned to the OGLE I-band magnitude scale, and inter-calibrated to the single-lens microlensing model. In order to obtain the different photometric precision for each group, we construct an observed distribution of the residuals from the model for the entire dataset (from all events), and calculate its root mean square (RMS) as a function of OGLE I-band magnitude. This accounts for differences in telescope aperture, the different seeing conditions at each site, and overall systematics in the reduction pipelines. Figure 1 shows the RMS of the residuals for each group.

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Top: root mean square (RMS) of residuals of best fits of single-lens microlensing models to all observed light curves, including all data (dashed line) and after excluding outliers and anomalies (solid line), for each group as a function of OGLE I-band magnitude at a given point in the light curve (OGLE - blue circles, MOA - green diamonds, Wise - red squares). The differences between groups reflect both the instrumental and site quality (collecting area, seeing conditions, CCD sensitivity) and the DIA pipeline for extracting the photometry. Bottom: error-scaling factor distributions for the 224 events, and for each group. Most of the pipeline-reported errors underestimate the real uncertainties. The tails shown by each distribution at large factors reflect events with long-duration anomalies.

Yee et al. (2012) have studied the effect of faint sources on microlens parameters for the lensing event MOA-2011-BLG-293, and found that when the measured flux errors are comparable to, or larger than the source flux, particularly near baseline, this leads to biases in the measured Einstein timescale. Based on their conclusions and by analyzing the precision at each site, found above, we exclude from each light curve in our sample data points for which the observed residual distribution corresponding to the underlying event’s I-magnitude (as suggested by the single lens model) has a root-mean square (RMS) greater than 0.33 mag (SNR~3, below that the microlensing signal cannot be reliably detected). This corresponds to events with Wise points with baseline magnitudes fainter than 18.5 mag, and MOA baseline points fainter than 19.5 mag. For OGLE we include all points.

Each microlensing event in our sample is modeled with the three Paczyński parameters, the two flux intercalibration parameters for each dataset, the finite source effects, and the orbital parallax (testing for both u0 > 0 and u0 < 0). We explore this parameter space and find the best model parameters, and their uncertainties, using a Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm. Outlier data points and real microlensing anomalies will obviously draw our solution away from the true one. We therefore use an iterative algorithm for the exclusion of outliers (which naturally also applies to intervals in the light curve that include anomalies). The photometric errors reported by DIA programs are usually underestimates. Therefore, for each dataset we scale these errors to set χ2 per degree of freedom (DOF) equal unity, without the outliers and anomalies which will bias the distributions, allowing to estimate the real precision of each dataset. Figure 1 shows the distribution of error scaling factors for each group. The median factors for OGLE, MOA and Wise are 1.74, 1.32 and 1.21, respectively. Finally, we initiate the entire modeling process again without the excluded outliers and with the rescaled errors. Figure 2 shows an example of the results of our outlier detection and exclusion algorithm, for an event with a strong parallax signal, where the single-lens model fits well the light curve after outlier points are excluded.

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Example of detection and exclusion of outlier points from the single-lens model in event OGLE-11–0022/MOA-11–025, which has a strong microlens parallax signal (but no detected anomaly from a companion). The detected outlier points are circled. The solid line is the best-fit microlensing model including parallax, and the dash-dot line is one without parallax. The light curve is clearly asymmetric, and thus without including parallax it would have been flagged as anomalous.

Table 2 in Appendix A lists the best single-lens model parameters for each event in our sample, and their uncertainties, which were extracted from the MCMC estimation of the covariance matrix. Microlens parallax is significantly detected (Δχ2 > 100 with respect to a model without parallax) in 10% of the non-anomalous events, while finite source effects are found in 3% of the non-anomalous events. The values for the microlens parallax and finite source parameters for those events are marked in boldface in the table. We do not mark the values for anomalous events, since the anomaly might affect those parameters, and they can be reliably detected only with a full binary-lens model.

Figure 3 shows, for the entire sample of events, the distributions of the best-fit values of the event timescale, tE, and the impact parameter, u0. The tE distribution is shown fitted with a log-normal function, Nexp((log(tE)μ)22σ2), with median timescale of 19.5 days. u0 should, in principle, follow a uniform probability. However, faint sources that undergo high magnification will be detected, while similar sources undergoing a lower magnification event will be missed, due to the limiting magnitudes of the surveys, introducing a bias towards high magnification (low u0) events. The tE and u0 distributions of our sample are almost identical to the distributions of those parameters from previous years’ OGLE and MOA microlensing seasons (see Shvartzvald & Maoz 2012). This shows that our sample has no obvious biases, and thus represents a typical population of lenses and sources.

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

Best-fit single-lens parameters for the sample of 224 lensing events: (a) Distribution of event timescale, tE. The solid curve is a lognormal fit,), Nexp((log(tE)μ)22σ2), with μ = 1.29 (corresponding to 19.5 days) and σ = 0.54; (b) Distribution of impact parameter, u0 (light-gray). Due to selection favoring the detection of highly magnified faint events over weakly magnified faint events, there are more events at smaller impact parameters. The dark-gray histogram shows the distribution only for unblended (i.e. relatively bright) events, which are distributed more uniformly, as expected.

3.2. Anomaly detection filter

A companion (or multiple companions) to the lens star can break the symmetry of the microlensing light curve, introducing an anomaly with respect to the single-lens model. In order to identify microlensing anomalies in the light curves in our sample, we follow Shvartzvald & Maoz (2012) and define an anomaly detection filter using a ”running” χ2 estimator,

χlocal2=i=1N(fifPl)2σi2, (3)

where fi and σi are the observed flux and the re-scaled error of each epoch, respectively, and fpl is the point-lens model flux at that time. The local χ2 is repeatedly calculated by advancing the center of the filter one observed epoch at a time. Since the relative duration of an anomaly is roughly proportional to the square root of the lens-companion mass ratio, we would like the time interval of each summation to be as short as possible, in order to be sensitive to low-mass planets. However, in order to avoid false-positive detections in short timescale events, N cannot be too small, and we study the sensitivity of our filter to N below (see Section 3.2.1 for more details). An anomaly is considered detected if:

  1. χlocal2 divided by the number of summed points, N, is larger than some threshold value, Pthresh.

  2. at least three consecutive data points have at least a 3σ deviation from the point-lens model.

This latter criterion deals with the possibility that photometric outlier points will affect the local χ2 test and can lead to false detections.

3.2.1. False-positive optimization

In order to optimize the number of false-positive detections (i.e. to reduce their numbers without overly sacrificing true detections), we have studied the sensitivity of our anomaly detection filter to its two parameters (N, Pthresh). For each of the 224 events in our sample, we use the fitted point-lens parameters to construct a magnification curve. We then sample the light curve at the exact epochs on which the event was observed by each group. With this we account for all gaps due to weather or technical failures, and for the different sampling cadence by each group and for each field. The theoretical magnification curve is then randomly noised, using the observed residual distribution that we have found for each group (see Section 2.1), and assigned the scaled-errors from the real data, to create 500 simulated point-lens light curves for each event. We then search for a false-positive anomaly in the simulated light curve (which has no real anomalies), varying the filter parameters.

We find that the fraction of simulated light curves that trigger the photometric outlier filter (i.e. three consecutive points with > 3σ) is 0.65%. Examining those triggers, we find that 92% of them have χlocal2/N<Pthresh, where Pthresh is in the range 7.5 to 8. The optimal Pthresh varies from event to event, and depends linearly on the maximum amplification (Dmag), which is the difference between the observed baseline magnitude of the event and its peak magnitude, with also a weak dependence on N. The optimal value of N is N = 40. For much smaller N, the χlocal2 can be dominated by a single outlier point, while for much larger values, the anomalous region can be smoothed out and not detected. Using this N and the Dmag-dependent value of Pthresh, 8% of the 0.65% of the outlier-triggered events trigger an anomaly detection, and thus the resultant false-positive rate is at a low level of 0.05%. These high-threshold criteria help to reduce false-positive detections in the real data, but do not completely avoid them, due to the presence of red noise (i.e. correlated deviant points), a noise that is not included in these randomly noised simulations.

3.2.2. Detection efficiency

In order to estimate the sensitivity of our microlensing survey to planets and stellar binaries, we have constructed a large sample of simulated microlensing light curves for point-mass lenses with point-mass companions, which were calculated with an adaptive-mesh inverse ray-shooting microlensing light curve generator (see Shvartzvald & Maoz 2012 for details). Specifically, for each of the 224 events in the real sample, we created a model with the same best-fit point-lens parameters, as described above, plus a companion to the lens star. The companion introduces three additional parameters: q—the mass ratio between the companion and the lens star; and the two-dimensional projected position of the companion in the lens plane, relative to the host star position, given by means of a projected angular separation, s, in units of the angular Einstein radius, and an angle, α, measured counter-clockwise from the source trajectory in the lens plane. We explore a mass-ratio distribution, uniform in log q, in the range −6 < log q < 0, a uniform distribution in the scaled projected separation of 0.3 < s < 3 (which encompasses the region microlensing is sensitive to), and all possible angles α. Our working assumption is that the probability for a companion is independent of an event’s single-lens parameter probabilities, which incorporate the host-star properties of mass, proper motion, and distance. For every real event, 3000 simulated light curves, with a variety of companions, were generated.

The simulated magnification curves of each event are then sampled exactly like the real event and randomly noised, as described for the point-lens models used for the false-positive optimization procedure. We then search for anomalies in the simulated light curves with the same procedure and detection criteria that were used for the real data. Explicitly, each light curve is modeled with a point-lens and higher order effects (including error-scaling for each observatory), and we search for an anomaly with our detection filter, using the parameters we found for minimizing the false-positive rate.

The “lensing zone” is the range of separations, s, in which microlensing is sensitive to anomalies caused by a given mass ratio. For stellar binaries (i.e. q ⩾ 10−2), the lensing zone can extend over a factor of a few in s. For small companions, q ⩽ 10−3 (likely planets), we find that the range 0.5 ⩽ s ⩽ 2 covers over 95% of the detections, and therefore we calculate our detection efficiency for that range. The companion detection efficiency for each event as a function of mass ratio q was found by marginalizing over s and α:

η(q)=Θ(q,s,α)sdsdαsdsdα,Θ(q,s,α)={1,anomalous0,noanomaly. (4)

Figure 4 shows the results of our detection efficiency simulation. The sensitivity varies by over an order of magnitude among different events, due to the brightness of the event, its magnification and its timescale, as shown by the 90th and 10th percentile efficiency curves (dashed) in Figure 4. We find that our experiment is ~ 6 times more sensitive to q = 10−3 (corresponding to a ~Jupiter/Sun mass ratio) than to q = 10−4 (“super-Neptunes”).

Figure 4.

Figure 4.

Detection efficiency for a single companion as a function of mass ratio, q. The event with median efficieny is shown as the solid line. The dashed curves represent events with 10th and 90th percentile sensitivities.

3.3. Anomalous events

3.3.1. Heuristic detections

Before applying to the sample our objective automated anomaly detection filter, we have identified “by eye” 26 anomalous events among the sample in which deviations from the best-fit point-lens models are clear. Figures 511 show the inter-calibrated light curves of these 26 events and their best-fit single-lens models, obtained after excluding the anomalous regions from the fit (i.e., points detected by the anomaly detection filter). Eight of those anomalous events have already been modeled and published, as follows.

Figure 5.

Figure 5.

Inter-calibrated light curves of events with a clear anomaly that we identify by-eye: OGLE - blue circles, MOA - green diamonds, Wise - red squares. Magenta lines are the best-fit model, either published or from the grid search. The residuals from the point-lens model are shown in the lower panel of each event. The identifying number from Appendix A is marked in the upper-left corner.

Figure 11.

Figure 11.

Inter-calibrated light curves of events with a clear anomaly that we identify by-eye: OGLE - blue circles, MOA - green diamonds, Wise - red squares. Magenta lines are the best-fit model, either published or from the grid search. The residuals from the point-lens model are shown in the lower panel of each event. The identifying number from Appendix A is marked in the upper-left corner.

  1. MOA-2011-BLG-293 (Yee et al. 2012) was the first planet discovered by our genII survey. The event was highly magnified, and so was also followed up by several groups. However, Yee et al. (2012) showed that the survey data alone were sufficient to fully constrain the planetary model. Batista et al. (2014) used Keck adaptive optics observations to further constrain the system’s parameters by isolating the light from the lens star, and found that this ~ 5MJ planet is actually the first microlensing planet discovered in the habitable zone of its host star (a G-type main sequence star).

  2. MOA-2011-BLG-322 (Shvartzvald et al. 2014), a moderate-magnification event that did not trigger alerts and follow up efforts, was the first planetary microlensing event that was detected and analyzed based solely on the genII survey data. Using a Bayesian analysis that incorporates a Galactic structure model, Shvartzvald et al. (2014) estimated that it is a ~ 12MJ planet orbiting an M-type dwarf.

  3. OGLE-2011-BLG-0265 (Skowron et al. 2015) is a Jupiter-mass planet (with two degenerate solutions of ~ 1MJ and ~ 0.6MJ) orbiting an M dwarf. After the main anomaly was realized from the genII data, the event was alerted. Several follow-up groups monitored the event, allowing a better characterization of the secondary anomaly. This is an example of the problematic, in terms of an eventual statistical interpretation, process of the “first-generation” mode of surveys. The survey data alone were, again, sufficient to fully constrain the planetary model.

  4. OGLE-2013-BLG-0341 (Gould et al. 2014) is a ~ 2M planet in a ~1 AU orbit around one member of a ~15 AU separation binary M-dwarf system. The event was alerted and followed up since it was highly magnified, but the genII survey data cover all three anomaly regions. Moreover, the two lower-amplitude features, which are the ones that revealed the presence of a planet, were covered only by the genII survey data.

  5. OGLE-2014-BLG-0124 (Udalski et al. 2015) is a ~ 0.5MJ planet orbiting a K-type dwarf. This was the first microlensing planet co-observed with the Spitzer space mission, and used to measure the microlens parallax from simultaneous observations from Earth and space. Udalski et al. (2015) use data only from OGLE and Spitzer, but the anomaly and the parallax signal are obvious also from the genII survey data alone.

  6. The physical parameters of the companions in three additional published events have not been fully determined, but all of them are likely to be binary-star systems. MOA-2011-BLG-104 (Shin et al. 2012) is a binary with a candidate brown-dwarf companion (q ~ 0.09). OGLE-2012-BLG-0456 and MOA-2012-BLG-532 (Henderson et al. 2014) have mass ratios of q ~ 0.9 and q ~ 0.5, respectively.

We note that the anomalies seen in OGLE-2011-BLG-0481/MOA-2011-BLG-217, which appear only in MOA data, are possibly not real, and if not are an example of the type of false positives that can enter our sample after all. In line with our methodology, we include this event in our sample.

3.3.2. Objective detections

We next apply our automated detection filter to search for anomalies in each event in our sample, with the optimized false-positive filter parameters that we found. The 26 anomalous events, identified by eye in Section 3.3.1 are all easily re-detected by the automated filter. In addition, the automated filter detects three more anomalous events. The light curves of those events, and the residuals from their best-fit point-lens models, are shown in Figure 12.

Figure 12.

Figure 12.

Inter-calibrated light curves of three anomalous events detected by our detection filter, in addition to those detected both by eye and by the filter, and shown in Figures 511. The residuals from the point-lens model are shown in the lower panel of each event, revealing the anomalous region.

Table 1 summarises all anomalous events and their estimated mass ratios. The mass ratios are either from the full binary-lens published models (eight events, see Section 3.3.1) or from a grid search of binary-lens models from a library we constructed, similar to the one used in Section 3.2.2 for the detection efficiency estimates, with 36,000 combination of s, q and α (20, 50 and 36 grid points respectively). We present the best-fit model, either published or from the grid search, as magenta lines in figures 512. From the χ2 confidence interval of the grid-based fits, we estimate a precision of ~ 0.2 dex for the mass ratios. A full binary-lens model will obviously set stronger constraints on the mass ratio in each system. However, for the purpose of our present statistical analysis, the above precision is sufficient.

Table 1.

Anomalous events. The first 26 events display a clear anomaly and are detected both by eye and by the filter, while the last three, separated by double horizontal lines, are found only by our detection filter.

# OGLE No. MOA No. q mass from model model reference
8 11–0172 11–104 0.121 ±0.005 0.02 ± 0.01Mʘ Shin et al. (2012)
10 11–0235 11–107 ~ 0.77
13 11–0265 11–197 (3.95 ± 0.06) × 10−3 0.6 ± 0.2MJ Skowron et al. (2015)
27 11–0481 11–217 ~ 0.014
36 11–0974 11–275 ~ 0.24
46 11–1127 11–322 0.028 ± 0.001 Shvartzvald et al. (2014)
47 11–1132 11–358 ~ 0.77
54 11–9293 11–293 (5.3 ± 0.2) × 10−3 Yee et al. (2012)
4.8 ± 0.3MJ Batista et al. (2014)
60 12–0442 12–245 ~ 0.093
63 12–0456 12–189 0.944 ± 0.004 Henderson et al. (2014)
96 12–1442 12–532 0.47 ± 0.04 Henderson et al. (2014)
109 13–0341 13–260 (4.8 ± 0.3) × 10−5 2.3 ± 0.2M Gould et al. (2014)
1.21 ±0.03 0.17 d= 0.01Mʘ
112 13–0506 13–494 ~ 0.50
122 13–0668 13–343 ~ 0.61
137 13–1033 13–472 ~ 0.4
161 13–1721 13–618 ~ 1.1 × 10−3
167 14–0124 14–307 (6.9 ± 0.4) × 10−4 0.5 ± 0.1MJ Udalski et al. (2015)
168 14–0257 14–148 ~ 0.24
175 14–0572 14–165 ~ 0.15
178 14–0676 14–175 ~ 1.4 × 10−3
182 14–0727 14–281 ~ 0.77
188 14–0900 14–305 ~ 0.77
191 14–0962 14–285 ~ 0.98
195 14–1109 14–328 ~ 0.83
198 14–1255 14–367 ~ 0.19
222 14–1720 14–507 ~ 0.093
90 12–1211 12–514 ~ 0.19
134 13–0911 13–551 ~ 2.6 × 10−4
205 14–1406 14–409 ~ 0.19

4. PLANET OCCURRENCE FREQUENCY AND MASS-RATIO DISTRIBUTION

The overall abundance of planets near the snowline (0.5 < s < 2) can be estimated by integrating over the frequencies of companions up to a certain mass ratio, even without the need to fully constrain the absolute masses of the companions. The population of lenses in our monitored genII field is dominated by old bulge stars. The mass function of lenses toward the Galactic bulge, as modeled by Dominik (2006), is a narrow distribution, with the most probable lens mass of ~0.3M. If we define the planet mass limit at 13MJ (the limiting mass for thermonuclear fusion of deuterium, assuming Solar metallicity, e.g. Perryman 2011), then the corresponding planetary mass ratio limit is q = 4.1 × 10−2. For the present analysis, we will therefore define planets as companions with log q < −1.4.

The underlying distribution of mass ratios between companions and primary stars in the population of stars that produce microlensing events can be inferred by correcting the observed distribution of our sample for the detection efficiencies that we derive from the simulations above. The frequency of companions for a given range of mass ratios is simply the number of detected companions within that range, N, divided by the sum of the detection efficiencies for that range, η, over all events in the sample,

f(q)=N(q)η(q) (5)

Figure 13 shows the observed distribution of mass ratios for our sample in bins of 0.7 dex, and the recovered distribution after accounting for our detection efficiency. The right-hand vertical axis shows the frequencies as a function of mass ratio. We divide the planetary regime into two ranges of mass ratios, 10−2.8 < q < 10−1.4 and 10−4.9 < q < 10−2.8, which correspond to Jupiters and Neptunes, respectively. By choosing these ranges of 1.4 dex and 2.1 dex, we slightly reduce the Poisson uncertainties, though they still dominate over the detection efficiency uncertainties in each bin. The frequency of snowline Jupiters is

f(102.8<q<101.4)=5.02.4+4.0%, (6)

and the frequency of Neptunes is

f(104.9<q<102.8)=5022+34% (7)

Thus, the total frequency of snowline planets of these masses is

f(104.9<q<101.4)=5522+34% (8)

For the binary regime we find that the frequency of brown dwarf companions is

f(101.4<q<100.7)=4.71.8+2.6% (9)

and the frequency of stellar companions is

f(100.7<q<1)=7.84.6+4.9% (10)

Figure 13.

Figure 13.

The distribution of estimated mass ratios of our sample, before (dark gray) and after (light gray) correcting for detection efficiency. The right-hand vertical axis shows the corresponding frequency. The top horizontal axis indicates the masses of Earth, Neptune, Jupiter and the brown dwarf range, for a typical host mass of 0.3M. The distribution hints at the existence of two populations, stellar binaries and planets, separated by a minimum that is analogous to the brown dwarf desert found by radial velocity surveys, although here the division appears to be in the super-Jupiter range. Solid lines are power laws d(log f)/d(log q) = −0.50 ± 0.17 (in the planetary regime) and d(log f)/d(log q) = 0.32 ± 0.38 (in the stellar binary regime).

For a flat intrinsic distribution in log q, we expect to find a monotonically rising number of detected companions as a function of log q, simply because of the larger cross section of the more massive planets, and the longer anomaly duration. The recovered mass ratio distribution in Figure 13 shows a deficit around q ⋍ 10−2, and the corrected distribution can be fit with a broken—falling and rising—power law. This result echoes previous findings, by radial velocity surveys, that have shown two distinct populations of stellar companions at orbital periods shorter than a few years—planets and stellar binaries—likely produced via two different formation mechanisms (protoplanetary disks, and fragmentation in proto-stellar clouds, respectively). In those surveys, the two populations are separated by a gap at 13 – 80MJ, the “brown-dwarf desert” (e.g. Grether & Lineweaver 2006). (A recent analysis by Ranc et al. (2015) compiling current knowledge of brown-dwarf companions from various discovery techniques suggests a more complex brown-dwarf “landscape”, with a possible period dependence of brown-dwarf occurrence frequency). Our detection-efficiency-corrected mass-ratio distribution, assuming our typical primary has a mass of 0.3M, is suggestive of a similar picture, now possibly seen via microlensing. However, the gap between the two distributions appears to occur at a lower mass, ~ 3–13MJ, corresponding to “super Jupiters”. This difference, if real, could be the result of the fact that microlensing probes the companions of M stars (as opposed to FGK stars by other techniques), that microlensing probes larger separations than other techniques, or both. Due to the small number of total events in our survey, we cannot claim a significant detection of two populations. Furthermore, our mass bins are large, and thus we cannot resolve the region between the putative two populations. Finally, full modeling of the anomalous events, together with additional data (e.g. post-event detection of the lenses) that will help break possible degeneracies in those models, are required in order to give absolute masses rather than only mass ratios. For example, if the hosts of some of the companions in the brown-dwarf bin are in reality more massive than 0.3M, then their companions will be low-mass M stars. With all of these caveats in mind, the suggestion of a super-Jupiter gap in the M-star companion distribution is nevertheless intriguing. The overall slope we find for the planetary regime (10−4.9 < q < 10−1.4) is d(log f)/d(log q) = −0.50 ± 0.17, and for the binary regime (10−1.4 < q < 1) we find d(log f)/d(log q) = 0.32 ± 0.38.

5. SUMMARY AND COMPARISON TO PREVIOUS WORK

We have presented a statistical analysis of the results, to date, of the first genII microlensing survey. This is the first controlled microlensing experiment for the abundance of snowline planets. Among the 224 events in our sample, 29 are anomalous, revealing the presence of a companion to the lens star. Our results show that about half of the stars have snowline planets with mass ratios in the range −4.9 < log(q) < −1.4, with Neptunes being ~ 10 times more common than Jupiters, consistent with previous microlensing findings (e.g. Sumi et al. 2010).

The absolute frequency we find is consistent with previous estimates from first generation microlensing surveys by Gould et al. (2010), who analyzed a sample of six detected planets from the follow-up of 13 high magnification events, and found that the frequency for the range −4.5 < log(q) < −2 is 36 ± 15%. The frequency we find is somewhat lower than, but consistent with, the estimates by Cassan et al. (2012), who used a control sample of 196 events from the PLANET collaboration with three detected planets (one Jupiter, one Neptune and one super-Earth), and derived a frequency of 179+6% of Jupiters (in the range of 0.3 – 10MJ) and 5229+22% Neptunes (in the range of 10 – 30M). Our derived planet frequency is also consistent with results from other methods. Radial velocity surveys find that 10.5% of Sun-like stars host giant planets (in the range of 0.3 – 10MJ) with periods < 5.5 years (Cumming et al. 2008). Direct imaging surveys (Brandt et al. 2014), which are currently sensitive only to massive planets (> 5MJ), find that 1.0%–3.1% of stars host substellar companions.

For the binary regime, we have estimated from our survey that ~ 8% of lens stars have stellar companions with separations in the range 0.5 < s < 2. This is consistent with direct imaging estimates from the M-dwarfs in Multiples (MINMS) survey, of 8 ± 2% for companions to M stars with separations of 3–10 AU (Ward-Duong et al. 2015), and with radial-velocity surveys estimates of ~ 10% for companions to FGK stars with periods < 5 years (Grether & Lineweaver 2006; Raghavan et al. 2010). Although we cannot clearly identify the brown dwarf regime, we can estimate the frequency of brown-dwarf companions at ~ 5%. This is significantly higher than the estimates based on radial-velocity surveys of FGK stars, of < 1%, by Grether & Lineweaver (2006) for companions with periods < 5 years. Similarly, the frequency of brown-dwarf companions to white dwarfs found by Steele et al. (2011) is also low, fWD+BD = 0.5% ± 0.3%. Typical white dwarfs, with masses of 0.6M, are descended from ~ 2M stars. It is presently unclear whether brown-dwarf companions become more common with increasing separation. For example, Metchev & Hillenbrand (2009) estimate a frequency of 3.22.7+3.1% of brown-dwarf companions in 28–1590 AU orbits around Sun-like stars. This fraction is consistent with all the various brown-dwarf companion estimates above.

The companion mass ratio distribution in our sample shows a decline from companions with similar masses (q ⋍ 1) towards companions with q ⋍ 10−2. After accounting for the detection efficiency for different mass ratios, the distribution is suggestive of a rise in the planetary regime from massive planets towards less massive planets. As discussed above, the minimum in the distribution may be the microlensing manifestation of the bimodal companion distribution found by other techniques, but with the minimum shifted from the brown-dwarf mass range to the super-Jupiter range.

The slope we find for the planetary regime is consistent with what has been found for planetary companions to FGK stars from radial velocity surveys. For example, Cumming et al. (2008) find a a logarithmic slope of d(log f)/d(log M) = −0.31 ± 0.2 for companions in the mass range 0.3–10 MJ and with orbital periods of 2–2000 days. It is also consistent with direct-imaging exoplanet survey results, e.g., Brandt et al. (2014), who find a slope of d(log f)/d(log M) = −0.65±0.60 for the distribution of substellar companions with masses of 5–70MJ between 10 and 100 AU. For the binary regime our slope is shalower but, again, consistent with the d(log f)/d(log M) = 0.68 ± 0.21 found by radial velocity surveys (Grether & Lineweaver 2006) for companions with masses of 0.1 < (M/M) < 1, and with the d(log f)/d(log M) ~ 0.5 shown by Mazeh et al. (2003) for the companion distribution in that mass range.

Full binary-lens modeling of the anomalous events in our sample is required in order to confirm these estimates. For some of the events, the light curves show the signatures of high order effects, and thus the mass of the host star and its companion can be measured. For the rest of the sample, high resolution imaging in the coming years could refine estimates of the masses, by isolating the light from the lens. Together with increasing numbers of planetary detections from our ongoing genII survey, this will give a progressively clearer picture of the planetary mass distribution near the snowlines of low-mass stars in the Galaxy.

Figure 6.

Figure 6.

Inter-calibrated light curves of events with a clear anomaly that we identify by-eye: OGLE - blue circles, MOA - green diamonds, Wise - red squares. Magenta lines are the best-fit model, either published or from the grid search. The residuals from the point-lens model are shown in the lower panel of each event. The identifying number from Appendix A is marked in the upper-left corner.

Figure 7.

Figure 7.

Inter-calibrated light curves of events with a clear anomaly that we identify by-eye: OGLE - blue circles, MOA - green diamonds, Wise - red squares. Magenta lines are the best-fit model, either published or from the grid search. The residuals from the point-lens model are shown in the lower panel of each event. The identifying number from Appendix A is marked in the upper-left corner.

Figure 8.

Figure 8.

Inter-calibrated light curves of events with a clear anomaly that we identify by-eye: OGLE - blue circles, MOA - green diamonds, Wise - red squares. Magenta lines are the best-fit model, either published or from the grid search. The residuals from the point-lens model are shown in the lower panel of each event. The identifying number from Appendix A is marked in the upper-left corner.

Figure 9.

Figure 9.

Inter-calibrated light curves of events with a clear anomaly that we identify by-eye: OGLE - blue circles, MOA - green diamonds, Wise - red squares. Magenta lines are the best-fit model, either published or from the grid search. The residuals from the point-lens model are shown in the lower panel of each event. The identifying number from Appendix A is marked in the upper-left corner.

Figure 10.

Figure 10.

Inter-calibrated light curves of events with a clear anomaly that we identify by-eye: OGLE - blue circles, MOA - green diamonds, Wise - red squares. Magenta lines are the best-fit model, either published or from the grid search. The residuals from the point-lens model are shown in the lower panel of each event. The identifying number from Appendix A is marked in the upper-left corner.

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

We thank T. Mazeh and the anonymous referee for useful comments and discussions. This research was supported by the I-CORE program of the Planning and Budgeting Committee and the Israel Science Foundation, Grant 1829/12. DM acknowledges support by the US-Israel Binational Science Foundation. The OGLE project has received funding from the National Science Centre, Poland, grant MAESTRO 2014/14/A/ST9/00121 to AU. TS acknowledges the financial support from the JSPS, JSPS23103002,JSPS24253004 and JSPS26247023. The MOA project is supported by the grant JSPS25103508 and 23340064.

APPENDIX A

Microlens event sample: best-fit point-lens model parameters. Significant detections of finite source effects and parallax are marked in bold.

At the end of the table, separated by double horizontal lines, we list the six anomalous events which passed the limiting magnitude criteria only because of the anomaly, and are therefore excluded from the sample (see Section 2.2 for details).

Table 2:

Event summary

# OGLE no. MOA no. u0 t0 – 2450000 [HJD] tE [Days] ρ10−3 πE,E πE,N Ibl fbl
1 11–0022 11–025 0.867 5690.508 56.584 0.000 −0.379 0.021 15.614 0.000
(0.002) (0.041) (0.150) (38.685) (0.003) (0.007) (0.000) (0.000)
2 11–0037 11–039 0.173 5807.481 128.572 2.284 0.263 −0.243 16.155 0.245
(0.001) (0.025) (0.565) (14.211) (0.001) (0.002) (0.000) (0.001)
3 11–0081 11–064 0.207 5658.523 106.779 223.877 0.437 0.457 16.460 0.952
(0.003) (0.128) (1.568) (3.383) (0.014) (0.011) (0.000) (0.000)
4 11–0082 11–103 0.295 5702.214 63.944 169.666 −0.205 −0.464 18.191 0.057
(0.009) (0.037) (1.186) (49.256) (0.030) (0.058) (0.001) (0.002)
5 11–0120 11–114 0.846 5670.592 26.837 0.000 0.015 1.496 16.964 0.003
(0.031) (0.109) (0.698) (71.112) (0.040) (0.044) (0.001) (0.004)
6 11–0138 11–082 0.042 5666.781 52.366 6.039 0.206 −0.203 19.672 0.251
(0.001) (0.008) (0.920) (5.511) (0.027) (0.143) (0.002) (0.002)
7 11–0168 11–091 0.351 5690.133 24.810 0.000 0.158 1.498 16.550 0.215
(0.004) (0.014) (0.160) (45.810) (0.025) (0.104) (0.000) (0.001)
8 11–0172 11–104 −0.050 5670.367 49.263 51.767 −0.046 −1.493 19.497 0.113
(0.001) (0.010) (0.918) (1.179) (0.030) (0.068) (0.003) (0.003)
9 11–0173 11–133 −0.696 5689.328 30.654 0.000 −0.160 −1.315 15.828 0.438
(0.052) (0.059) (1.142) (147.475) (0.029) (0.201) (0.000) (0.001)
10 11–0235 11–107 −0.669 5673.096 14.184 0.000 0.220 1.208 18.155 0.000
(0.050) (0.172) (0.664) (143.850) (0.418) (0.811) (0.002) (0.016)
11 11–0240 11–109 0.035 5659.760 9.381 44.823 1.424 −1.084 19.000 0.939
(0.018) (0.023) (1.604) (24.768) (0.802) (0.793) (0.004) (0.001)
12 11–0243 11–151 0.700 5714.091 26.304 0.000 0.461 1.499 16.707 0.000
(0.011) (0.057) (0.243) (98.704) (0.068) (0.068) (0.000) (0.000)
13 11–0265 11–197 −0.136 5760.259 51.582 0.000 0.061 0.628 17.287 0.000
(0.000) (0.009) (0.152) (10.814) (0.017) (0.110) (0.000) (0.000)
14 11–0266 11–115 0.664 5694.409 14.482 0.000 0.489 0.858 15.559 0.000
(0.007) (0.012) (0.117) (71.339) (0.088) (0.373) (0.000) (0.001)
15 11–0286 11–124 0.109 5680.101 12.338 76.999 1.494 −0.978 18.636 0.620
(0.032) (0.012) (0.496) (28.270) (0.340) (0.788) (0.003) (0.002)
16 11–0293 11–190 −0.476 5714.295 32.685 414.080 −0.037 1.483 18.501 0.033
(0.026) (0.052) (1.163) (119.996) (0.151) (0.941) (0.002) (0.004)
17 11–0297 11–166 0.015 5700.670 136.964 19.059 −0.605 −1.446 18.794 0.907
(0.002) (0.021) (14.527) (4.812) (0.057) (0.096) (0.004) (0.001)
18 11–0318 11–132 0.503 5682.097 1.055 356.525 1.312 −1.171 16.002 0.006
(0.106) (0.002) (0.023) (131.754) (0.804) (0.817) (0.001) (0.003)
19 11–0329 11–147 −0.005 5691.899 11.928 5.400 −0.663 −0.720 19.194 0.255
(0.000) (0.000) (0.231) (0.297) (0.541) (0.797) (0.004) (0.003)
20 11–0348 11–189 0.443 5713.657 19.410 85.249 0.674 1.484 18.349 0.073
(0.038) (0.041) (0.423) (111.233) (0.446) (0.828) (0.001) (0.004)
21 11–0364 11–154 0.019 5703.622 74.999 17.449 −0.798 −0.242 16.101 0.986
(0.006) (0.009) (6.046) (5.385) (0.068) (0.061) (0.000) (0.000)
22 11–0421 11–160 0.050 5705.967 7.771 0.583 −1.490 1.465 16.247 0.940
(0.003) (0.004) (0.262) (12.883) (0.802) (0.813) (0.000) (0.000)
23 11–0422 11–171 0.207 5709.443 17.937 218.483 1.490 −1.496 18.477 0.537
(0.013) (0.026) (0.848) (14.174) (0.099) (0.336) (0.002) (0.002)
24 11–0424 11–204 0.314 5732.063 16.901 193.531 −1.480 0.330 16.299 0.124
(0.053) (0.011) (0.125) (73.532) (0.270) (0.300) (0.001) (0.002)
25 11–0462 11–191 0.004 5763.322 179.829 2.950 −0.068 0.098 16.406 0.935
(0.000) (0.000) (0.618) (0.143) (0.004) (0.012) (0.000) (0.000)
26 11–0465 11–211 0.562 5781.460 35.139 109.840 −0.127 0.582 14.944 0.000
(0.005) (0.016) (0.158) (68.034) (0.016) (0.054) (0.000) (0.001)
27 11–0481 11–217 −0.018 5725.269 5.607 2.650 0.873 0.515 19.111 0.601
(0.016) (0.003) (0.389) (17.413) (0.808) (0.792) (0.003) (0.002)
28 11–0507 11–287 0.252 5750.747 35.440 0.000 −0.974 1.482 17.153 0.867
(0.021) (0.055) (2.027) (57.304) (0.362) (0.670) (0.001) (0.001)
29 11–0510 11–247 0.664 5741.451 8.633 270.825 −1.433 −1.496 16.884 0.000
(0.013) (0.010) (0.101) (104.230) (0.541) (0.568) (0.000) (0.000)
30 11–0519 11–273 0.257 5741.040 10.927 0.000 1.479 1.499 15.615 0.943
(0.027) (0.019) (0.560) (76.924) (0.718) (0.799) (0.000) (0.000)
31 11–0521 11–270 1.025 5746.899 7.426 38.738 −1.498 −1.491 14.231 0.001
(0.033) (0.016) (0.173) (52.255) (0.106) (0.178) (0.000) (0.002)
32 11–0535 11–354 −0.083 5768.233 73.757 82.167 −0.038 0.084 18.321 0.914
(0.008) (0.040) (5.729) (23.369) (0.045) (0.250) (0.001) (0.000)
33 11–0545 11–290 0.238 5751.104 17.559 0.000 −0.205 −1.447 19.099 0.001
(0.064) (0.045) (0.360) (60.034) (0.564) (0.795) (0.004) (0.008)
34 11–0944 11–297 −0.046 5767.394 12.273 1.624 0.288 −1.499 16.983 0.000
(0.000) (0.001) (0.013) (5.479) (0.144) (0.654) (0.000) (0.000)
35 11–0966 11–302 0.077 5758.121 16.523 17.351 0.128 −1.427 19.114 0.137
(0.020) (0.016) (0.347) (21.583) (0.419) (0.836) (0.002) (0.004)
36 11–0974 11–275 0.004 5743.417 267.266 4.783 −0.981 −1.404 19.485 0.995
(18.946) (0.092) (122.304) (16117.873) (0.802) (0.795) (0.455) (0.006)
37 11–0990 11–300 −0.012 5758.680 6.788 16.325 −0.975 −0.991 18.480 0.044
(0.003) (0.004) (0.108) (4.291) (0.736) (0.797) (0.002) (0.005)
38 11–0991 11–312 0.810 5801.829 25.457 192.278 0.320 −1.500 16.018 0.174
(0.033) (0.049) (0.595) (116.572) (0.026) (0.083) (0.000) (0.001)
39 11–0999 11–306 0.109 5760.856 5.487 44.185 1.419 1.178 19.616 0.197
(0.021) (0.006) (0.255) (33.615) (0.802) (0.800) (0.003) (0.005)
40 11–1003 11–298 0.071 5757.933 5.957 161.260 −1.142 −0.224 17.404 0.759
(0.039) (0.075) (0.384) (47.824) (0.811) (0.818) (0.001) (0.005)
41 11–1007 11–370 −0.273 5789.990 34.525 121.625 −0.045 −1.435 18.798 0.003
(0.008) (0.053) (0.836) (56.154) (0.053) (0.269) (0.002) (0.005)
42 11–1009 11–335 0.022 5774.069 180.284 6.455 0.029 −0.025 16.259 0.994
(0.006) (0.058) (35.620) (6.526) (0.103) (0.641) (0.002) (0.000)
43 11–1035 11–337 −0.052 5776.564 32.138 34.412 −0.343 0.032 19.026 0.796
(0.005) (0.010) (1.419) (17.005) (0.159) (0.521) (0.002) (0.001)
44 11–1036 11–372 −0.198 5791.009 34.887 2.241 0.027 0.025 18.932 0.230
(0.018) (0.048) (1.452) (69.196) (0.066) (0.671) (0.003) (0.005)
45 11–1072 11–346 0.006 5775.398 15.875 5.552 −1.496 −0.263 18.143 0.536
(0.000) (0.001) (0.293) (0.458) (0.140) (0.715) (0.002) (0.001)
46 11–1127 11–322 −0.005 5775.101 23.687 90.657 1.494 1.495 16.699 0.945
(0.010) (0.010) (2.041) (7.448) (0.124) (0.737) (0.001) (0.001)
47 11–1132 11–358 0.018 5753.381 298.017 17.452 0.721 −0.529 18.800 0.970
(0.003) (0.073) (73.846) (5.238) (0.154) (0.224) (0.003) (0.000)
48 11–1162 11–379 0.693 5799.155 10.703 1.114 −0.380 −1.497 17.437 0.089
(0.035) (0.037) (0.349) (128.940) (0.286) (0.808) (0.001) (0.004)
49 11–1195 11–389 −0.481 5804.265 23.892 459.210 0.055 1.376 18.218 0.150
(0.092) (0.110) (2.200) (132.287) (0.141) (0.832) (0.009) (0.015)
50 11–1200 11–381 −0.081 5799.188 13.837 83.545 −0.061 0.207 17.687 0.740
(0.006) (0.006) (0.497) (8.546) (0.364) (0.780) (0.001) (0.002)
51 11–1254 11–388 −0.006 5801.312 29.373 10.393 0.737 1.372 15.934 0.996
(0.002) (0.003) (4.858) (1.660) (0.482) (0.803) (0.000) (0.000)
52 11–9112 11–112 −0.310 5686.106 20.708 0.000 0.427 1.494 16.368 0.000
(0.012) (0.050) (0.469) (63.919) (0.097) (0.749) (0.002) (0.000)
53 11–9291 11–291 0.003 5747.950 58.011 1.766 −1.494 −1.490 17.420 0.988
(0.001) (0.001) (2.370) (0.749) (0.100) (0.250) (0.001) (0.000)
54 11–9293 11–293 0.001 5747.502 79.317 1.498 −1.457 −1.462 19.935 0.973
(0.000) (0.002) (6.984) (0.174) (0.389) (0.689) (0.016) (0.000)
55 11–9313 11–313 −0.189 5766.639 5.284 211.722 1.497 0.798 18.121 0.640
(0.017) (0.008) (0.357) (18.439) (0.735) (0.789) (0.007) (0.013)
56 11–9367 11–367 0.052 5787.101 9.833 3.286 1.452 1.316 18.770 0.314
(0.003) (0.002) (0.202) (16.151) (0.399) (0.804) (0.002) (0.002)
57 11–9393 11–393 0.001 5803.567 20.698 5.645 0.414 0.341 19.005 0.878
(0.002) (0.002) (1.499) (1.537) (0.457) (0.767) (0.004) (0.001)
58 12–0305 12–182 −0.685 6046.970 20.933 402.896 −0.356 0.217 16.333 0.207
(0.025) (0.046) (0.611) (123.591) (0.057) (0.575) (0.001) (0.002)
59 12–0325 12–166 0.972 6039.774 15.785 2.207 0.609 1.485 16.651 0.000
(0.041) (0.092) (0.808) (113.530) (0.175) (0.886) (0.001) (0.000)
60 12–0442 12–245 0.174 6078.680 31.894 105.718 −0.344 1.499 18.214 0.164
(0.005) (0.017) (0.541) (32.295) (0.051) (0.026) (0.002) (0.003)
61 12–0443 12–211 0.058 6046.093 24.627 41.639 −0.342 −0.109 19.515 0.215
(0.002) (0.011) (0.705) (14.238) (0.164) (0.667) (0.005) (0.005)
62 12–0449 12–216 −0.725 6058.735 35.066 706.358 −0.336 1.497 16.646 0.812
(0.105) (0.089) (2.285) (222.866) (0.074) (0.965) (0.000) (0.001)
63 12–0456 12–189 −0.169 6047.058 7.031 9.316 −1.494 1.422 15.179 0.000
(0.008) (0.013) (0.019) (35.654) (0.070) (0.573) (0.000) (0.000)
64 12–0462 12–271 0.055 6064.302 37.484 0.000 −0.014 1.499 19.046 0.000
(0.000) (0.006) (0.186) (6.292) (0.049) (0.083) (0.001) (0.000)
65 12–0591 12–430 0.175 6170.359 63.396 78.360 −0.013 −0.245 17.075 0.247
(0.003) (0.012) (0.491) (24.395) (0.006) (0.080) (0.001) (0.001)
66 12–0615 12–277 0.507 6060.504 4.098 1.809 −1.492 1.438 14.411 0.753
(0.021) (0.007) (0.090) (77.143) (0.412) (0.772) (0.000) (0.001)
67 12–0694 12–308 0.042 6070.255 12.163 11.372 1.372 −0.673 19.593 0.744
(0.014) (0.007) (1.535) (11.920) (0.761) (0.773) (0.006) (0.003)
68 12–0722 12–397 −0.173 6122.064 58.003 9.264 −0.067 −1.303 18.345 0.501
(0.011) (0.066) (2.921) (46.579) (0.115) (0.997) (0.005) (0.005)
69 12–0724 12–323 0.009 6071.042 15.176 11.708 −1.385 1.047 19.821 0.880
(0.001) (0.002) (2.544) (1.885) (0.756) (0.749) (0.005) (0.001)
70 12–0726 12–351 −0.204 6072.873 11.110 1.535 1.489 −1.473 18.183 0.503
(0.075) (0.030) (0.644) (71.483) (0.478) (0.806) (0.003) (0.004)
71 12–0784 12–337 −0.029 6085.181 88.027 27.140 −0.061 −0.027 16.176 0.988
(0.005) (0.018) (24.624) (6.748) (0.084) (0.252) (0.000) (0.000)
72 12–0825 12–451 0.352 6171.507 45.769 8.244 0.073 0.314 17.399 0.002
(0.010) (0.036) (2.222) (48.109) (0.021) (0.204) (0.001) (0.002)
73 12–0867 12–352 0.202 6110.261 13.949 0.000 0.128 −1.358 14.260 0.045
(0.001) (0.002) (0.035) (18.564) (0.242) (0.420) (0.000) (0.001)
74 12–1414 12–205 −0.043 6040.895 36.153 0.000 −0.195 −0.186 20.257 0.280
(0.003) (0.011) (1.728) (11.665) (0.127) (0.667) (0.007) (0.006)
75 12–1430 12–278 −0.002 6062.104 18.807 4.130 0.525 0.941 20.217 0.001
(0.001) (0.001) (0.268) (1.150) (0.345) (0.835) (0.006) (0.006)
76 12–0941 12–446 0.245 6126.169 36.883 0.000 −0.537 1.499 19.133 0.113
(0.011) (0.031) (1.256) (50.847) (0.238) (0.726) (0.003) (0.004)
77 12–0974 12–424 −0.069 6110.120 86.425 91.769 −1.477 −0.031 18.802 0.939
(0.019) (0.079) (11.899) (9.884) (0.143) (0.209) (0.005) (0.001)
78 12–0998 12–447 −0.518 6136.857 24.356 0.000 0.125 −1.439 16.957 0.482
(0.036) (0.033) (0.513) (179.737) (0.069) (0.881) (0.000) (0.001)
79 12–1013 12–449 0.643 6126.889 21.525 630.572 −0.858 0.248 18.599 0.209
(0.108) (0.078) (2.017) (197.902) (0.286) (0.627) (0.002) (0.006)
80 12–1049 12–438 −0.338 6117.274 7.192 152.796 −1.486 −1.069 18.302 0.371
(0.098) (0.017) (0.309) (95.418) (0.732) (0.802) (0.002) (0.003)
81 12–1051 12–477 0.200 6132.237 21.209 0.000 0.025 −0.565 18.494 0.017
(0.026) (0.014) (0.273) (37.963) (0.115) (0.741) (0.002) (0.004)
82 12–1418 12–435 0.018 6119.272 55.686 0.000 0.280 −0.016 20.142 0.539
(0.001) (0.003) (3.094) (3.930) (0.209) (0.518) (0.006) (0.003)
83 12–1067 12–444 −0.011 6116.566 7.158 0.396 −1.486 −1.430 18.966 0.848
(0.001) (0.000) (0.470) (2.402) (0.797) (0.816) (0.003) (0.001)
84 12–1069 12–452 −0.220 6129.142 22.575 0.913 0.281 −1.495 19.044 0.000
(0.006) (0.020) (0.199) (51.679) (0.173) (0.765) (0.002) (0.000)
85 12–1066 12–476 −0.132 6148.598 17.562 80.624 −0.086 0.405 16.670 0.048
(0.002) (0.004) (0.096) (19.811) (0.050) (0.548) (0.001) (0.001)
86 12–1074 12–519 −0.259 6154.066 40.088 183.433 0.215 0.052 19.280 0.001
(0.013) (0.050) (1.301) (60.351) (0.050) (0.579) (0.003) (0.005)
87 12–1183 12–478 −0.107 6130.447 7.131 128.561 0.926 1.082 19.427 0.593
(0.015) (0.028) (0.611) (38.220) (0.807) (0.818) (0.008) (0.008)
88 12–1193 12–498 0.106 6136.399 14.384 118.142 1.295 1.381 18.296 0.801
(0.008) (0.026) (0.884) (9.552) (0.527) (0.780) (0.002) (0.002)
89 12–1210 12–511 −0.368 6143.702 1.881 1.844 1.499 1.498 16.507 0.000
(0.010) (0.006) (0.015) (82.426) (0.796) (0.812) (0.000) (0.000)
90 12–1211 12–514 −0.614 6151.519 6.542 621.011 1.489 1.070 15.699 0.332
(0.010) (0.011) (0.086) (10.763) (0.081) (0.799) (0.000) (0.003)
91 12–1213 12–512 0.290 6144.519 18.487 327.066 −1.476 −1.420 19.538 0.000
(0.045) (0.057) (0.570) (111.028) (0.175) (0.744) (0.005) (0.000)
92 12–1250 12–515 0.060 6145.218 6.409 96.900 1.285 0.452 18.184 0.862
(0.013) (0.022) (0.897) (29.045) (0.792) (0.793) (0.002) (0.004)
93 12–1242 12–552 −0.059 6160.797 25.921 1.650 −0.380 0.219 19.306 0.581
(0.003) (0.009) (0.863) (13.699) (0.130) (0.724) (0.002) (0.002)
94 12–1244 12–555 0.214 6154.529 38.326 231.692 0.227 −0.978 19.626 0.534
(0.066) (0.093) (6.447) (86.241) (0.165) (0.871) (0.006) (0.006)
95 12–1245 12–575 −0.229 6173.239 41.186 0.000 0.056 0.125 19.264 0.320
(0.028) (0.137) (4.094) (63.580) (0.101) (0.660) (0.005) (0.007)
96 12–1442 12–532 0.025 6151.813 11.310 6.815 −0.388 −0.053 20.194 0.242
(0.035) (0.017) (1.859) (27.043) (0.770) (0.800) (0.018) (0.018)
97 12–1268 12–574 0.204 6171.071 21.705 0.311 0.259 −1.498 18.668 0.000
(0.004) (0.021) (0.294) (43.168) (0.086) (0.805) (0.002) (0.003)
98 12–1269 12–560 0.217 6160.201 12.653 202.708 −1.066 0.733 18.311 0.733
(0.021) (0.026) (0.757) (48.311) (0.468) (0.816) (0.002) (0.002)
99 12–1292 12–570 0.214 6165.816 5.658 89.066 −0.262 0.688 16.986 0.082
(0.054) (0.003) (0.067) (44.433) (0.500) (0.795) (0.000) (0.002)
100 12–1581 12–577 −0.149 6169.822 35.435 118.073 −0.091 −1.424 20.100 0.027
(0.007) (0.043) (1.747) (36.750) (0.087) (0.986) (0.005) (0.007)
101 12–1311 12–594 0.588 6170.085 20.773 0.000 1.056 0.782 17.841 0.646
(0.127) (0.172) (2.486) (216.333) (0.260) (0.811) (0.001) (0.004)
102 12–1364 12–580 −0.015 6164.630 16.616 0.000 1.399 1.491 18.465 0.739
(0.005) (0.003) (0.987) (3.781) (0.314) (0.815) (0.003) (0.001)
103 12–9582 12–582 −0.015 6162.944 1.920 30.483 −0.189 −0.202 18.060 0.929
(0.012) (0.002) (4.803) (15.692) (0.794) (0.798) (0.011) (0.027)
104 12–9591 12–591 0.006 6166.857 18.228 6.773 0.702 −0.735 18.644 0.991
(0.003) (0.009) (5.984) (3.041) (0.785) (0.788) (0.012) (0.001)
105 12–1350 12–603 −0.134 6175.036 10.578 136.409 −1.241 0.313 18.846 0.084
(0.011) (0.018) (0.474) (37.325) (0.534) (0.820) (0.006) (0.009)
106 13–0036 13–399 0.617 6406.163 47.908 0.000 0.040 0.141 15.971 0.038
(0.011) (0.036) (0.393) (101.668) (0.010) (0.041) (0.000) (0.001)
107 13–0145 13–110 0.467 6405.939 29.063 0.065 −0.009 0.562 16.310 0.000
(0.007) (0.019) (0.226) (54.737) (0.024) (0.233) (0.000) (0.002)
108 13–0183 13–332 −0.652 6495.203 103.843 15.347 −0.076 0.035 16.888 0.403
(0.023) (0.135) (2.225) (91.360) (0.006) (0.009) (0.000) (0.001)
109 13–0341 13–260 0.000 6406.313 28.880 13.446 1.063 −0.909 18.368 0.066
(0.005) (0.005) (0.335) (5.332) (0.063) (0.493) (0.002) (0.002)
110 13–0486 13–294 −0.154 6420.492 28.978 0.456 −0.171 −0.062 18.247 0.480
(0.004) (0.015) (0.389) (33.668) (0.055) (0.367) (0.001) (0.001)
111 13–0488 13–355 −0.011 6439.171 93.899 0.720 −0.173 −0.448 19.738 0.517
(0.004) (0.005) (4.458) (2.988) (0.121) (0.372) (0.007) (0.004)
112 13–0506 13–494 −0.089 6501.345 154.414 177.820 −0.057 −0.011 17.570 0.898
(0.036) (0.246) (13.158) (39.844) (0.015) (0.099) (0.001) (0.001)
113 13–0513 13–272 0.136 6407.452 28.801 0.000 0.502 1.481 19.766 0.202
(0.010) (0.038) (1.433) (37.790) (0.145) (0.854) (0.005) (0.006)
114 13–0601 13–292 −0.060 6414.867 17.778 80.207 −1.158 0.987 18.756 0.810
(0.015) (0.016) (1.414) (22.563) (0.390) (0.828) (0.003) (0.002)
115 13–0607 13–376 −0.956 6455.457 22.750 0.000 −0.189 1.492 16.383 0.001
(0.024) (0.044) (0.434) (141.951) (0.171) (0.885) (0.000) (0.002)
116 13–0608 13–308 −0.438 6426.720 14.260 378.693 0.559 0.521 17.388 0.023
(0.088) (0.023) (0.310) (102.202) (0.224) (0.736) (0.001) (0.003)
117 13–0610 13–401 0.253 6455.122 22.810 0.000 1.084 1.499 16.059 0.071
(0.002) (0.004) (0.077) (28.019) (0.087) (0.106) (0.000) (0.001)
118 13–0615 13–389 −0.349 6448.248 46.213 0.484 0.248 1.500 18.110 0.484
(0.036) (0.117) (2.467) (113.663) (0.129) (0.828) (0.002) (0.004)
119 13–0616 13–331 −0.355 6424.294 10.334 0.000 −0.841 1.490 17.882 0.381
(0.084) (0.019) (0.377) (97.568) (0.430) (0.775) (0.001) (0.002)
120 13–0619 13–351 −0.055 6427.437 21.427 0.000 0.571 1.497 20.215 0.169
(0.003) (0.007) (0.708) (14.559) (0.330) (0.839) (0.006) (0.006)
121 13–0621 13–344 −0.101 6425.046 30.293 85.822 −0.290 1.496 19.606 0.610
(0.010) (0.019) (1.718) (32.894) (0.188) (0.848) (0.003) (0.002)
122 13–0668 13–343 0.246 6422.307 22.570 266.126 0.806 0.020 19.287 0.693
(0.068) (0.058) (2.768) (82.594) (0.348) (0.771) (0.003) (0.004)
123 13–0674 13–346 −0.002 6426.021 57.315 0.000 −0.194 −1.473 20.105 0.738
(0.000) (0.000) (1.205) (0.251) (0.194) (0.880) (0.006) (0.002)
124 13–0682 13–388 0.727 6453.990 21.275 78.987 1.159 1.488 16.880 0.002
(0.013) (0.045) (0.231) (103.167) (0.281) (0.256) (0.001) (0.003)
125 13–0689 13–379 0.237 6434.013 21.510 8.974 −0.162 1.494 17.949 0.814
(0.031) (0.099) (1.625) (76.931) (0.477) (0.841) (0.002) (0.002)
126 13–0703 13–349 −0.151 6429.186 25.032 81.227 0.129 −0.119 19.014 0.146
(0.044) (0.019) (0.740) (28.229) (0.170) (0.650) (0.003) (0.004)
127 13–0731 13–377 −0.292 6437.552 18.103 0.000 −0.247 0.149 17.346 0.804
(0.073) (0.058) (1.011) (90.446) (0.463) (0.774) (0.001) (0.001)
128 13–0770 13–462 0.238 6471.819 26.446 98.029 −1.499 −0.862 17.449 0.342
(0.008) (0.023) (0.508) (49.735) (0.026) (0.178) (0.001) (0.002)
129 13–0801 13–386 0.047 6436.617 11.463 56.062 −1.473 1.028 18.103 0.949
(0.008) (0.007) (1.440) (9.493) (0.769) (0.780) (0.003) (0.001)
130 13–0835 13–400 −0.056 6449.971 9.743 0.000 −1.489 −0.011 18.184 0.204
(0.001) (0.001) (0.092) (9.652) (0.692) (0.781) (0.002) (0.002)
131 13–0850 13–470 0.959 6479.565 22.525 0.486 0.078 −0.607 17.165 0.007
(0.070) (0.072) (1.258) (152.823) (0.280) (0.352) (0.001) (0.003)
132 13–0861 13–502 0.363 6516.004 65.655 0.000 0.037 −0.502 17.402 0.324
(0.017) (0.101) (1.497) (87.172) (0.020) (0.079) (0.001) (0.002)
133 13–0891 13–433 −0.609 6476.835 18.930 0.000 0.322 −0.737 15.512 0.000
(0.003) (0.011) (0.092) (54.934) (0.105) (0.473) (0.000) (0.000)
134 13–0911 13–551 −0.003 6537.299 126.734 0.533 −0.131 0.218 19.362 0.444
(0.000) (0.000) (1.934) (0.720) (0.004) (0.077) (0.003) (0.002)
135 13–0925 13–493 −0.358 6501.455 43.130 171.945 −0.194 1.494 18.051 0.169
(0.015) (0.055) (0.977) (81.057) (0.027) (0.081) (0.001) (0.003)
136 13–0968 13–452 −0.168 6460.311 7.046 21.913 −1.489 1.279 17.675 0.049
(0.004) (0.002) (0.056) (32.723) (0.783) (0.750) (0.001) (0.001)
137 13–1033 13–472 −0.139 6468.808 21.183 196.985 −0.371 1.377 19.571 0.550
(0.098) (0.050) (3.002) (82.722) (0.777) (0.760) (0.005) (0.007)
138 13–1037 13–483 0.048 6473.098 36.512 1.531 −1.500 −0.754 20.185 0.437
(0.015) (0.019) (3.706) (16.175) (0.511) (0.697) (0.013) (0.009)
139 13–1078 13–460 0.000 6462.061 27.261 0.990 −1.210 1.338 20.259 0.929
(0.000) (0.000) (1.700) (0.072) (0.798) (0.806) (0.015) (0.002)
140 13–1080 13–456 0.004 6462.038 22.224 0.697 1.380 −1.492 20.388 0.904
(0.002) (0.001) (4.915) (1.221) (0.808) (0.818) (0.007) (0.001)
141 13–9455 13–455 0.058 6456.795 7.492 110.370 0.588 −1.359 18.519 0.684
(0.030) (0.023) (1.567) (32.662) (0.811) (0.812) (0.012) (0.019)
142 13–1114 13–485 0.008 6474.942 68.566 0.000 −0.707 −0.383 20.374 0.292
(0.001) (0.003) (5.160) (2.113) (0.147) (0.300) (0.018) (0.012)
143 13–1124 13–500 0.269 6489.987 22.335 0.727 0.671 −1.478 18.292 0.593
(0.047) (0.045) (1.035) (96.262) (0.263) (0.806) (0.001) (0.002)
144 13–1145 13–523 −0.053 6503.507 36.562 8.814 −0.173 1.443 18.536 0.654
(0.011) (0.009) (1.204) (13.386) (0.131) (0.886) (0.002) (0.001)
145 13–1157 13–490 −0.287 6504.274 13.587 140.112 0.116 −1.493 15.260 0.005
(0.003) (0.004) (0.049) (39.911) (0.065) (0.581) (0.000) (0.001)
146 13–1227 13–545 −0.052 6515.517 93.445 13.861 −0.165 0.803 17.576 0.924
(0.003) (0.027) (3.798) (10.893) (0.022) (0.121) (0.001) (0.000)
147 13–1250 13–516 0.552 6491.580 2.588 582.467 −0.264 0.240 15.668 0.925
(0.117) (0.019) (0.302) (208.685) (0.801) (0.789) (0.000) (0.001)
148 13–1253 13–519 −0.110 6497.594 7.984 18.925 1.469 1.476 17.138 0.786
(0.006) (0.008) (0.260) (27.287) (0.593) (0.803) (0.001) (0.001)
149 13–1257 13–556 0.253 6514.259 23.877 128.485 0.994 −1.475 18.625 0.513
(0.068) (0.038) (0.839) (85.036) (0.157) (0.771) (0.001) (0.002)
150 13–1279 13–518 0.082 6499.373 3.808 139.541 0.000 0.000 15.799 0.000
(0.001) (0.001) (0.010) (0.859) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000) (0.000)
151 13–1287 13–537 0.576 6503.415 13.465 0.000 0.163 −1.446 17.502 0.314
(0.051) (0.046) (0.710) (155.043) (0.314) (0.839) (0.001) (0.003)
152 13–1492 13–548 −0.243 6504.597 13.462 254.502 −1.064 0.286 17.274 0.911
(0.074) (0.054) (2.230) (111.644) (0.757) (0.795) (0.002) (0.002)
153 13–1498 13–568 −0.232 6517.917 18.762 184.671 0.737 −1.410 18.842 0.000
(0.010) (0.031) (0.403) (59.591) (0.178) (0.873) (0.002) (0.000)
154 13–1506 13–541 −0.110 6512.931 12.343 105.627 −0.742 0.612 16.009 0.017
(0.004) (0.002) (0.125) (8.549) (0.135) (0.816) (0.001) (0.002)
155 13–1551 13–572 −0.155 6517.452 15.373 163.872 −0.963 −0.276 19.404 0.506
(0.022) (0.024) (1.063) (53.582) (0.505) (0.833) (0.005) (0.005)
156 13–1598 13–570 −0.754 6532.931 10.952 4.218 −1.500 −1.461 15.584 0.133
(0.035) (0.024) (0.325) (69.121) (0.019) (0.858) (0.000) (0.003)
157 13–1617 13–560 −0.200 6515.385 11.019 163.536 −0.865 −0.955 17.642 0.152
(0.007) (0.007) (0.225) (41.817) (0.296) (0.777) (0.001) (0.003)
158 13–1669 13–585 −0.007 6527.163 52.476 9.301 0.163 1.496 20.463 0.013
(0.000) (0.003) (2.138) (0.471) (0.111) (1.054) (0.019) (0.019)
159 13–1678 13–595 −0.204 6531.602 7.545 0.000 1.494 1.379 18.312 0.413
(0.028) (0.018) (0.479) (77.941) (0.469) (0.811) (0.003) (0.006)
160 13–1689 13–593 −0.081 6534.384 5.177 47.757 0.931 −0.432 17.420 0.086
(0.003) (0.001) (0.062) (20.507) (0.646) (0.794) (0.001) (0.003)
161 13–1721 13–618 −0.086 6535.020 22.085 92.966 −0.336 −1.119 20.502 0.254
(0.009) (0.042) (2.239) (26.987) (0.447) (0.825) (0.010) (0.011)
162 13–1730 13–602 −0.214 6538.838 17.116 3.528 −0.216 −0.140 18.848 0.330
(0.021) (0.041) (0.940) (64.806) (0.414) (0.803) (0.004) (0.007)
163 13–1738 13–628 0.286 6542.673 12.642 8.011 −1.265 0.079 18.951 0.328
(0.075) (0.042) (0.809) (87.152) (0.427) (0.776) (0.002) (0.005)
164 13–1775 13–614 −0.008 6538.850 46.183 7.671 −0.060 −0.392 20.126 0.750
(0.001) (0.004) (7.734) (1.873) (0.300) (0.750) (0.012) (0.003)
165 14–0099 14–109 −0.343 6876.998 123.255 263.093 0.194 0.291 16.683 0.338
(0.005) (0.087) (1.073) (71.902) (0.004) (0.020) (0.000) (0.001)
166 14–0115 14–273 −0.348 6859.582 97.229 307.209 0.110 0.039 17.117 0.010
(0.009) (0.040) (0.858) (21.747) (0.005) (0.030) (0.001) (0.001)
167 14–0124 14–307 −0.160 6836.531 167.579 89.568 0.129 −0.074 17.382 0.712
(0.004) (0.047) (5.816) (38.330) (0.014) (0.027) (0.001) (0.001)
168 14–0257 14–148 0.001 6772.704 61.720 139.227 −0.140 −0.078 19.027 0.333
(0.006) (0.028) (1.309) (2.858) (0.015) (0.153) (0.003) (0.003)
169 14–0337 14–194 −0.543 6822.955 45.276 207.333 0.146 1.416 16.768 0.000
(0.006) (0.023) (0.187) (78.241) (0.042) (0.075) (0.000) (0.000)
170 14–0383 14–147 0.013 6761.393 15.139 10.691 −0.041 −0.549 18.032 0.583
(0.004) (0.001) (0.293) (3.899) (0.171) (0.753) (0.002) (0.001)
171 14–0419 14–283 −0.248 6822.954 47.010 0.000 −0.551 −0.861 17.918 0.194
(0.012) (0.024) (1.166) (57.567) (0.175) (0.333) (0.002) (0.002)
172 14–0512 14–157 0.675 6782.126 11.354 0.000 0.914 1.492 15.679 0.000
(0.003) (0.010) (0.038) (40.879) (0.078) (0.259) (0.000) (0.000)
173 14–0530 14–220 −0.117 6791.737 20.530 51.944 −0.034 −0.372 17.684 0.093
(0.002) (0.005) (0.162) (18.433) (0.103) (0.650) (0.001) (0.001)
174 14–0531 14–229 0.186 6784.771 41.753 1.559 0.151 −1.499 18.045 0.802
(0.029) (0.071) (3.073) (56.852) (0.173) (0.792) (0.001) (0.001)
175 14–0572 14–165 −0.561 6775.903 9.009 3.733 1.498 −1.480 17.445 0.000
(0.007) (0.036) (0.083) (65.306) (0.052) (0.555) (0.001) (0.000)
176 14–0582 14–151 0.005 6766.182 2.074 84.547 −1.127 0.463 19.220 0.453
(0.028) (0.026) (0.245) (32.638) (0.793) (0.805) (0.004) (0.006)
177 14–0617 14–215 0.141 6771.464 1.565 236.811 0.469 −0.516 18.756 0.718
(0.085) (0.007) (0.162) (67.919) (0.802) (0.778) (0.003) (0.004)
178 14–0676 14–175 0.004 6778.228 8.015 110.012 −0.910 0.487 19.537 0.456
(0.077) (0.226) (5.435) (50.335) (0.828) (0.789) (0.016) (0.026)
179 14–0692 14–214 0.255 6778.824 7.763 274.031 1.199 −0.476 18.853 0.762
(0.057) (0.037) (0.737) (74.266) (0.738) (0.769) (0.002) (0.004)
180 14–0696 14–199 0.405 6788.774 6.832 3.167 −1.393 1.496 14.183 0.000
(0.001) (0.003) (0.011) (24.469) (0.098) (0.512) (0.000) (0.000)
181 14–0734 14–243 −0.753 6791.432 5.851 424.005 1.483 −0.740 17.725 0.019
(0.046) (0.027) (0.240) (176.220) (0.707) (0.813) (0.001) (0.005)
182 14–0727 14–281 1.043 6842.546 38.110 0.000 −0.819 −0.075 16.607 0.056
(0.162) (2.346) (4.552) (306.481) (0.142) (0.127) (0.001) (0.013)
183 14–0729 14–262 −0.663 6799.616 6.557 4.023 −1.226 1.430 16.463 0.000
(0.008) (0.017) (0.045) (85.907) (0.486) (0.778) (0.000) (0.000)
184 14–0783 14–253 −0.017 6791.411 21.003 19.919 0.072 1.187 20.117 0.532
(0.001) (0.002) (1.410) (1.993) (0.488) (0.794) (0.005) (0.003)
185 14–0874 14–302 −0.199 6845.679 24.877 130.938 −0.030 1.482 15.887 0.000
(0.004) (0.006) (0.096) (41.271) (0.083) (0.351) (0.000) (0.000)
186 14–0893 14–296 −0.024 6809.366 74.901 0.000 0.000 0.000 19.660 0.857
(0.007) (0.014) (8.718) (6.110) (0.243) (0.551) (0.007) (0.002)
187 14–0894 14–333 −0.458 6846.403 28.577 0.000 0.213 −1.499 17.530 0.031
(0.010) (0.026) (0.491) (71.085) (0.074) (0.870) (0.001) (0.003)
188 14–0900 14–305 0.280 6862.267 33.421 0.000 −0.202 −1.499 16.060 0.000
(0.010) (0.041) (0.238) (73.755) (0.022) (0.017) (0.001) (0.000)
189 14–0928 14–361 −0.387 6877.343 55.656 106.812 −0.076 −1.402 16.570 0.181
(0.014) (0.043) (1.576) (66.610) (0.023) (0.068) (0.000) (0.001)
190 14–9958 14–275 0.090 6817.268 79.072 34.569 0.120 0.884 19.074 0.000
(0.001) (0.031) (0.290) (13.950) (0.022) (0.049) (0.002) (0.000)
191 14–0962 14–285 −0.002 6817.988 6.540 199.230 −1.476 1.493 16.171 0.524
(0.027) (0.014) (0.085) (10.398) (0.237) (0.622) (0.000) (0.002)
192 14–0996 14–310 −0.064 6812.742 16.899 1.083 1.257 1.409 20.275 0.000
(0.002) (0.007) (0.150) (15.487) (0.650) (0.812) (0.003) (0.000)
193 14–1029 14–312 0.002 6811.241 125.789 0.950 −1.425 0.101 20.353 0.984
(0.001) (0.005) (53.289) (0.855) (0.282) (0.381) (0.006) (0.000)
194 14–1101 14–362 0.713 6855.431 20.393 358.065 −0.897 1.372 16.892 0.000
(0.035) (0.045) (0.499) (167.500) (0.319) (0.745) (0.000) (0.000)
195 14–1109 14–328 0.785 6826.141 7.855 608.533 −1.414 1.499 18.304 0.044
(0.085) (0.076) (0.681) (205.985) (0.805) (0.747) (0.002) (0.011)
196 14–1111 14–401 −0.181 6861.902 32.831 2.518 0.077 0.676 18.740 0.006
(0.005) (0.026) (0.587) (36.410) (0.089) (0.706) (0.003) (0.004)
197 14–1153 14–389 −0.366 6853.536 16.342 0.000 0.081 −1.485 17.928 0.001
(0.008) (0.018) (0.174) (68.999) (0.216) (0.837) (0.001) (0.002)
198 14–1255 14–367 0.011 6844.289 25.208 0.000 0.050 1.400 18.551 0.636
(0.013) (0.006) (1.188) (11.132) (0.589) (0.770) (0.004) (0.002)
199 14–1284 14–392 0.037 6852.991 40.898 0.000 0.551 −0.992 19.230 0.687
(0.009) (0.010) (1.745) (7.153) (0.217) (0.785) (0.003) (0.001)
200 14–1285 14–370 −0.567 6848.987 6.316 0.000 1.500 1.180 16.076 0.000
(0.007) (0.008) (0.033) (72.928) (0.464) (0.812) (0.000) (0.000)
201 14–1308 14–357 0.493 6846.555 10.199 0.000 −0.894 −1.372 17.794 0.061
(0.103) (0.040) (0.233) (142.274) (0.707) (0.792) (0.003) (0.014)
202 14–1317 14–364 −0.045 6840.933 40.873 0.000 −1.484 −0.200 20.254 0.651
(0.007) (0.032) (4.059) (16.625) (0.708) (0.744) (0.014) (0.006)
203 14–1340 14–372 −0.084 6845.154 6.697 0.085 1.491 1.497 19.393 0.000
(0.003) (0.004) (0.173) (18.720) (0.811) (0.819) (0.004) (0.000)
204 14–1392 14–398 0.097 6854.863 13.448 97.901 −0.434 −0.910 20.017 0.191
(0.007) (0.010) (0.571) (22.785) (0.593) (0.795) (0.004) (0.005)
205 14–1406 14–409 −0.344 6873.449 12.544 0.000 0.100 −1.497 15.840 0.000
(0.003) (0.026) (0.065) (49.425) (0.195) (0.827) (0.001) (0.000)
206 14–1409 14–393 −0.029 6853.793 11.255 14.686 −1.192 0.144 18.945 0.890
(0.006) (0.010) (1.519) (12.319) (0.794) (0.810) (0.002) (0.001)
207 14–1410 14–424 0.199 6868.477 21.526 195.626 −0.268 −1.486 18.435 0.434
(0.023) (0.027) (0.883) (71.835) (0.230) (0.844) (0.002) (0.004)
208 14–1437 14–407 −0.056 6858.442 7.216 0.000 1.463 1.132 18.466 0.426
(0.020) (0.006) (0.354) (15.973) (0.819) (0.793) (0.005) (0.004)
209 14–1472 14–433 0.147 6864.195 12.511 40.003 0.426 0.926 19.705 0.007
(0.006) (0.022) (0.413) (34.658) (0.705) (0.814) (0.006) (0.009)
210 14–1483 14–506 0.063 6895.944 54.295 57.645 −0.009 0.261 18.862 0.762
(0.003) (0.029) (2.656) (14.109) (0.060) (0.394) (0.002) (0.001)
211 14–1486 14–423 −0.107 6864.709 5.525 82.538 1.428 1.499 16.596 0.565
(0.004) (0.001) (0.055) (26.708) (0.535) (0.813) (0.000) (0.000)
212 14–1498 14–456 −0.150 6881.422 25.862 0.000 0.000 0.037 19.411 0.336
(0.006) (0.032) (0.753) (33.263) (0.112) (0.659) (0.002) (0.003)
213 14–1501 14–426 0.007 6859.360 43.698 0.000 0.004 0.093 20.328 0.099
(0.001) (0.002) (2.755) (2.010) (0.215) (0.701) (0.012) (0.011)
214 14–1570 14–451 −0.697 6887.094 12.102 451.023 0.236 0.752 16.121 0.169
(0.025) (0.017) (0.303) (130.543) (0.110) (0.737) (0.000) (0.001)
215 14–1812 14–444 0.017 6873.149 68.707 26.821 1.459 1.003 21.368 0.243
(0.002) (0.017) (14.538) (3.729) (0.187) (0.797) (0.072) (0.053)
216 14–1596 14–445 −0.206 6874.945 16.352 210.268 −1.476 −0.359 18.457 0.575
(0.014) (0.057) (0.760) (53.485) (0.343) (0.771) (0.003) (0.005)
217 14–1598 14–448 −0.096 6874.447 3.484 0.844 −1.488 −1.155 19.253 0.121
(0.031) (0.008) (0.238) (28.613) (0.823) (0.801) (0.004) (0.008)
218 14–1600 14–494 −0.285 6889.198 27.047 0.000 −0.198 1.486 19.070 0.277
(0.039) (0.058) (1.592) (113.552) (0.115) (0.812) (0.003) (0.005)
219 14–1647 14–489 0.164 6892.046 16.237 0.000 −0.086 −1.482 17.716 0.840
(0.012) (0.018) (0.580) (49.741) (0.310) (0.842) (0.001) (0.001)
220 14–1701 14–488 −0.124 6891.664 6.797 122.430 −1.459 −1.397 17.559 0.668
(0.005) (0.005) (0.162) (9.349) (0.652) (0.790) (0.001) (0.001)
221 14–1706 14–502 −0.807 6892.816 3.298 0.000 −1.500 −0.994 17.221 0.000
(0.038) (0.024) (0.104) (141.679) (0.729) (0.815) (0.001) (0.010)
222 14–1720 14–507 −0.045 6894.912 13.556 75.223 −1.370 −0.662 19.072 0.718
(0.004) (0.006) (0.817) (5.115) (0.631) (0.788) (0.005) (0.004)
223 14–1748 14–496 −0.001 6891.179 6.973 0.000 −1.349 −1.282 19.827 0.664
(0.002) (0.001) (0.976) (1.931) (0.796) (0.834) (0.011) (0.006)
224 14–1816 14–498 0.065 6893.400 13.480 18.307 −1.496 −1.411 19.947 0.000
(0.003) (0.008) (0.293) (15.881) (0.140) (0.765) (0.005) (0.000)
X1 11–0975 11–305 0.408 5760.427 14.646 1145.523 −0.473 0.120 19.344 0.009
(0.252) (0.238) (2.751) (162.081) (0.738) (0.795) (0.007) (0.043)
X2 12–0937 12–405 −0.063 6102.288 9.248 725.970 1.226 1.221 20.328 0.071
(0.131) (0.099) (0.523) (37.411) (0.806) (0.800) (0.008) (0.019)
X3 12–1502 12–567 0.064 6138.430 393.584 71.659 −0.810 0.053 20.365 0.933
(0.041) (2.725) (79.223) (80.405) (0.310) (0.229) (0.012) (0.002)
X4 13–0966 13–428 −0.352 6450.141 8.388 223.542 1.180 −0.863 20.108 0.404
(0.236) (0.143) (11.326) (221.974) (0.796) (0.788) (0.013) (0.026)
X5 14–0289 14–092 0.572 6852.483 230.254 837.450 −0.260 1.061 18.813 0.243
(0.170) (28.456) (113.809) (395.201) (0.456) (0.200) (0.031) (0.082)
X6 14–0921 14–270 −0.003 6803.854 374.898 3.852 0.490 0.229 19.724 0.996
(0.234) (0.145) (90.046) (151.397) (0.788) (0.819) (0.021) (0.000)

Footnotes

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