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. 2020 Sep 1;21(9):e408. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(20)30467-8

Risk factors for in-hospital mortality in patients with cancer and COVID-19 – Authors' reply

Kunyu Yang a, Yuhan Sheng a, Bian Wu a, Gang Wu a
PMCID: PMC7462440  PMID: 32888458

We thank Guosen Zhang and colleagues and Kaibo Guo and colleagues for their comments in response to our recent article.1

Guo and colleagues pointed out that the mortality rate of inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China, reported by Zhou and colleagues2 was 28%. However, the enrolled adult inpatients in the study by Zhou and colleagues2 had definite outcomes at the early stage of the COVID-19 outbreak, and the shortage of medical resources and delayed treatment led to a much higher mortality rate at the time than was reported in our article. As a study focusing on patients with cancer, tumour-related indicators were given priority to be included in the multivariate analysis. Patients with cancer are at high risk of venous thromboembolism, which is associated with a high D-dimer concentration.3 Furthermore, D-dimer concentration is influenced by tumour-related factors, such as surgery and cancer progression.4 Information on Sequential Organ Failure Assessment scores was not available in our study.

Zhang and colleagues discussed the predictive value of age on COVID-19 mortality in our analysis. There was no significant difference in age between survivors and non-survivors in patients with solid tumours (odds ratio [OR] 1·02; 95% CI 0·99–1·05; p=0·269) or in patients with haematological malignancies (0·97; 0·93–1·02; p=0·251). As for the association between receiving chemotherapy within 4 weeks before symptom onset and mortality, the OR was 4·42 (95% CI 1·53–12·80; p=0·006) after excluding patients who received additional treatments, and was 4·04 (1·24–13·20; p=0·021) after adjusting by cancer stage.

We definitely agree with the authors' comments about the limitations of our study and we still hope that our results provided some useful information at the early stage of the COVID-19 outbreak for oncologists. Further studies with large sample sizes and long-term follow-up are warranted to better understand the effects of COVID-19 on outcomes in patients with cancer.

Acknowledgments

We declare no competing interests.

References

  • 1.Yang K, Sheng Y, Huang C. Clinical characteristics, outcomes, and risk factors for mortality in patients with cancer and COVID-19 in Hubei, China: a multicentre, retrospective, cohort study. Lancet Oncol. 2020;21:904–913. doi: 10.1016/S1470-2045(20)30310-7. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Zhou F, Yu T, Du R. Clinical course and risk factors for mortality of adult inpatients with COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: a retrospective cohort study. Lancet. 2020;395:1054–1062. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30566-3. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Ay C, Vormittag R, Dunkler D. D-dimer and prothrombin fragment 1 + 2 predict venous thromboembolism in patients with cancer: results from the Vienna Cancer and Thrombosis Study. J Clin Oncol. 2009;27:4124–4129. doi: 10.1200/JCO.2008.21.7752. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4.Dirix LY, Salgado R, Weytjens R. Plasma fibrin D-dimer levels correlate with tumour volume, progression rate and survival in patients with metastatic breast cancer. Br J Cancer. 2002;86:389–395. doi: 10.1038/sj.bjc.6600069. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Articles from The Lancet. Oncology are provided here courtesy of Elsevier

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