Abstract
Objectives
We investigated relationships between subclinical COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) and background factors.
Methods
We determined SARS-CoV-2 antibody (IgG) prevalence in 1603 patients, doctors, and nurses in 65 medical institutions in Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan and investigated their background factors. Antibodies (IgG) against SARS-CoV-2 were analyzed by Immunochromatographic test.
Results
The 39 subjects (2.4%) were found to be IgG antibody-positive: 29 in the patient group (2.9%), 10 in the doctor/nurse group (2.0%), and 0 in the control group. After adjustment for age, sex, and the antibody prevalence in the control group, antibody prevalence was 2.7% in the patient group and 2.1% in the doctor/nurse group. There was no significant difference between the antibody-positive subjects and the antibody-negative subjects in any background factors investigated including overseas travel, contact with overseas travelers, presence/absence of infected individuals in the living area, use of trains 5 times a week or more, BCG vaccination, and use of ACE inhibitor and ARB.
Conclusions
Antibody prevalence in the present survey at medical institution is higher than that in Tokyo and in Osaka measured by the government suggesting that subclinical infections are occurring more frequently than expected. No background factor that influenced antibody-positive status due to subclinical infection was identified.
Keywords: SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody, Immunochromatography, COVID-19, Subclinical infection, Epidemiological survey
1. Introduction
The COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) pandemic caused by SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2) has spread worldwide [1]. Although serious COVID-19 can be a fatal disease, asymptomatic or mild cases of SARS-CoV-2 infections have been found [[2], [3], [4], [5]]. It has also been reported that individuals with asymptomatic COVID-19 and those before developing symptoms can be infectious [6,7], suggesting that those with subclinical infection can contribute to the spread of infection.
In reports from Japan, the antibody prevalence ranged from 0.03% to 3.3% [[8], [9], [10], [11]]. The reported range in survey results of other countries was wider, from approximately 1% to over 10% [[12], [13], [14], [15], [16]].
In previous reports, however, relationships between background information such as behavior and concomitant diseases of subjects and antibody prevalence are not clear [2,17]. There was also a report suggesting that BCG vaccination protects vaccinees against viral infections [18].
2. Material and methods
2.1. Study design
This is a multicenter epidemiological study in 65 medical institutions in Kanagawa Prefecture. Patients were enrolled from May 18 to June 24, 2020.
The subjects in this study were those who met all inclusion criteria below and did not violate any exclusion criterion. (rationale for each criterion is shown in parentheses).
2.2. Inclusion criteria
-
1)
Patients who regularly visit medical institutions that belong to the Kanagawa Physicians Association, or doctors or nurses who work in medical institutions that belong to the Kanagawa Physicians Association (because this is a study in Kanagawa Prefecture and in order to know the current status of subclinical infections among doctors and nurses)
-
2)
Any age (to collect data from a wide range of age groups)
-
3)
Those who live in Japan and can be followed up continuously (positive patients may be followed up continuously)
-
4)
Those who gave consent to participate in the study (including consent from legal guardians for minors)
2.3. Exclusion criteria
-
1)
Those who had confirmed COVID-19 (because this study investigates the current status of subclinical infections)
-
2)
Those who had common cold-like symptoms such as fever within 21 days (to prevent transmission to healthcare workers. It has been reported that IgG antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 increase 2–3 weeks after the onset of COVID-19 [19])
-
3)
Those who had symptoms of common cold or fever 37.5 °C or higher that continued for at least 4 days in 2020 (these individuals may have been infected with the novel coronavirus and are not suitable for the investigation of subclinical infection)
-
4)
Those who experienced strong lassitude or feeling of dyspnea in 2020 (the same as above)
∗When this study was started, the government was ordering that those who have symptoms described in exclusion criteria 3) and 4) should go to specialized medical institutions because infection with the novel coronavirus is suspected.
2.4. Method
The study was explained to subjects using written documents, and their consent was obtained in writing. Their answers to a questionnaire were collected. The blood was drawn, and antibody testing was performed. If the result of antibody testing was positive, the subject was contacted immediately after the result was obtained, and if necessary, a Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) test was performed.
2.5. Assay kit
Cica Immuno-test SARS-CoV-2 IgG was used [20]. This is a reagent developed through collaborative research by Professor Akihide Ryo of the Department of Microbiology, Yokohama City University Graduate School of Medicine and Kanto Chemical Co., Inc., which detects human anti- SARS-CoV-2 antibodies (IgG) contained in the serum of individuals infected with the novel coronavirus (supplementary material 1). The sensitivity of the assay kit was as follows: 89% (8/9) for 9 positive-control specimens (9–12 days after onset) and 100% (8/8) for 8 positive-control specimens (13 days after onset or later). Regarding specificity/cross reactivity, all negative controls (20 specimens of human derived sera before the epidemic) were negative. In terms of reproducibility, all positive controls (triplicate measurements) were positive and all negative controls (triplicate measurements) were negative. The positive controls were sera from PCR-positive patients and the negative controls were sera collected before the endemic.
2.6. Survey items
Age; sex; body height; body weight; smoking habit; drinking habit; presence/absence of underlying disease (hypertension, dyslipidemia, diabetes, hyperuricemia, cerebrovascular disease, heart disease, thromboembolism, obesity, lung disease, liver disease, kidney disease, and immunological disease); use of angiotensin-receptor blocker (ARB) or angiotensin-converting-enzyme inhibitor (ACEI); history of BCG vaccination; overseas travel in 2020; presence/absence of symptoms of common cold in 2020; presence/absence of symptoms that can be due to COVID-19; presence/absence of individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2 among family members, in the workplace, school, and other places; history of influenza in 2020, contact with overseas travelers or travelers who visited Japan in 2020; use of air purifiers; average sleep time; and use of trains 5 times a week or more. (for doctors and nurses, occupation, specialty, hospital/clinic, and outpatient/general ward/ICU were additionally surveyed).
2.7. Endpoints
The primary endpoint was the proportion of SARS-CoV-2 antibody (IgG)-positive subjects in the entire study population. Of all participants, those who were not doctors or nurses and who had no underlying disease were categorized into the control group, and antibody prevalence in the control group, the patient group (with underlying disease), and the doctor/nurse group was calculated. Moreover, antibody prevalence in the patient group and the doctor/nurse group adjusted for age, sex, and the antibody prevalence in the control group was calculated. The SARS-CoV-2 antibody (IgG)-positive group and the negative group were compared in terms of each survey item. Moreover, factors for antibody-positive status were analyzed. ∗control group: The subjects in this group have undergone medical examinations or vaccinations.
2.8. Statistical analyses
The data were analyzed using R version 3.5.2 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria [https://www.R-project.org/]). When comparing patient background, the Fisher's exact test was used for nominal variables and ANOVA or the Student's t-test was used for continuous variables. If the answer to a questionnaire survey item was unknown, the datum corresponding to it was excluded from statistical test. The significance level was 5% on either side. Demographic characteristics are presented as the mean ± standard deviation or the number of cases (%).
When antibody prevalence in the patient group and the doctor/nurse group adjusted for age, sex, and the antibody prevalence in the control group was calculated, the analytical procedure was as supplementary material 2.
Factors for antibody-positive status were also analyzed exploratively using the multiple logistic regression analysis. The response variable was antibody test results. Explanatory variables were age, sex, BMI, current smoker, current drinker, average sleep time, BCG vaccination, contact with overseas travelers or travelers who visited Japan in 2020, presence/absence of individuals infected with the novel coronavirus in the living area, use of air purifiers at home, use of trains 5 times a week or more, lung disease, and subject group (doctor/nurse or not), which were analyzed as combinations.
3. Results
There were 1603 subjects who met the inclusion criteria and did not violate any exclusion criterion: 988 patients, 217 doctors, 287 nurses, and 111 control subjects (no underlying disease) (Fig. 1 , Supplementary material 3). The number of subjects positive for anti-novel coronavirus antibodies were 39 in the entire study population (2.4%), 29 in the patient group (2.9%), 10 in the doctor/nurse group (2.0%), and 0 in the control group. After adjustment for age, sex, and the antibody prevalence in the control group, antibody prevalence was 2.7% in the patient group and 2.1% in the doctor/nurse group (Supplementary material 4).
Fig. 1.
Participant flow.
There was no significant difference between the antibody-positive subjects and the antibody-negative subjects in subject background (Table 1 ). Multiple logistic regression analyses were performed with multiple patterns to investigate factors for antibody-positive status. However, none of the combinations tested led to the identification of factors that influenced antibody-positive status.
Table 1.
Participant characteristics (positive/negative).
positive (n = 39) | negative (n = 1564) | p | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Sex | Male | 16 (41.0%) | 694 (44.4%) | 0.746 |
Female | 23 (59.0%) | 870 (55.6%) | ||
Age (y) | 59.1 ± 18.9 | 54.2 ± 15.8 | 0.061 | |
Body height (cm) | 161.1 ± 8.8 | 162.6 ± 9.3 | 0.331 | |
Body weight (kg) | 61.2 ± 10.6 | 61.5 ± 13.3 | 0.876 | |
Body Mass Index (kg/m2) | 23.5 ± 3.3 | 23.3 ± 7.5 | 0.869 | |
Sleep duration (h) | 6.6 ± 1.0 | 6.3 ± 1.1 | 0.127 | |
Smoking habit | Smoker | 1 (2.6%) | 186 (11.9%) | 0.186 |
Previous smoker | 9 (23.1%) | 339 (21.7%) | ||
Non-smoker | 29 (74.4%) | 1036 (66.2%) | ||
Drinking habit | Drinker | 16 (41.0%) | 730 (46.7%) | 0.593 |
Previous drinker | 3 (7.7%) | 89 (5.7%) | ||
Non-drinker | 20 (51.3%) | 742 (47.4%) | ||
BCG vaccination | 35 (89.7%) | 1424 (91.0%) | 0.741 | |
Overseas travel in 2020 | 0 (0%) | 85 (5.4%) | 0.265 | |
Contact with overseas travelers or travelers who visited Japan in 2020 | 3 (7.7%) | 263 (16.8%) | 0.186 | |
Individuals infected with the novel coronavirus in the living environments such as home, workplace, school, and other places | 1 (2.6%) | 101 (6.5%) | 0.511 | |
History of influenza in 2020 | 0 (0%) | 34 (2.2%) | 1.000 | |
Use of air purifiers at home | 11 (28.2%) | 634 (40.5%) | 0.181 | |
Use of trains 5 times a week or more | 8 (20.5%) | 326 (20.8%) | 1.000 | |
Development of symptoms listed below in 2020 | ||||
Cough | 1 (2.6%) | 99 (6.3%) | 0.510 | |
Runny nose | 4 (10.3%) | 135 (8.6%) | 0.770 | |
Sputum | 2 (5.1%) | 45 (2.9%) | 0.318 | |
Headache | 1 (2.6%) | 66 (4.2%) | 1.000 | |
Fever | 0 (0%) | 78 (5.0%) | 0.257 | |
Dysosmia | 1 (2.6%) | 4 (0.3%) | 0.116 | |
Dysgeusia | 1 (2.6%) | 6 (0.4%) | 0.159 | |
Vomiting | 0 (0%) | 15 (1.0%) | 1.000 | |
Diarrhea | 2 (5.1%) | 52 (3.3%) | 0.381 | |
Others | 3 (7.7%) | 38 (2.4%) | 0.075 | |
Underlying disease | ||||
Hypertension | 13 (33.3%) | 471 (30.1%) | 0.724 | |
Use of ARB | 7 (17.9%) | 280 (17.9%) | 1.000 | |
Use of ACEI | 1 (2.6%) | 31 (2.0%) | 0.549 | |
Dyslipidemia | 11 (28.2%) | 423 (27.0%) | 0.856 | |
Diabetes | 10 (25.6%) | 296 (18.9%) | 0.302 | |
Type 1 diabetes | 0 (0%) | 22 (1.4%) | 1.000 | |
Type 2 diabetes | 10 (25.6%) | 274 (17.5%) | 0.203 | |
Hyperuricemia | 1 (2.6%) | 106 (6.8%) | 0.513 | |
Cerebrovascular disease | 1 (2.6%) | 26 (1.7%) | 0.489 | |
Heart disease | 4 (10.3%) | 129 (8.2%) | 0.559 | |
Thromboembolism | 1 (2.6%) | 18 (1.2%) | 0.375 | |
Lung disease | 5 (12.8%) | 84 (5.4%) | 0.061 | |
Liver disease | 2 (5.1%) | 37 (2.4%) | 0.245 | |
Kidney disease | 1 (2.6%) | 58 (3.7%) | 1.000 | |
Immunological disease | 2 (5.1%) | 87 (5.6%) | 1.000 | |
Group | Patient | 29 (74.4%) | 959 (61.3%) | 0.113 |
Doctor/nurse | 10 (25.6%) | 494 (31.6%) | ||
Control | 0 (0%) | 111 (7.1%) | ||
Site | Clinic | 32 (82.1%) | 1253 (80.1%) | 0.130 |
Hospital | 6 (15.4%) | 306 (19.6%) | ||
Clinic/hospital | 1 (2.6%) | 5 (0.3%) | ||
Medical institutions designated for COVID-19 |
Applicable | 1 (2.6%) | 116 (7.4%) | 0.358 |
Not applicable |
38 (97.4%) |
1448 (92.6%) |
||
positive (n = 10) |
negative (n = 494) |
P |
||
Occupation | Doctor | 2 (20.0%) | 215 (43.5%) | 0.200 |
Nurse | 8 (80.0%) | 279 (56.5%) | ||
In charge of | Outpatient | 7 (70.0%) | 373 (75.5%) | 0.473 |
General ward | 1 (10.0%) | 68 (13.8%) | ||
Others | 2 (20.0%) | 53 (10.7%) |
Data are mean ± SD or n(%).
Data on the nominal scale were tested using the Fisher's exact test, and continuous variables were tested using the Student's test.
Although there were 85 subjects who traveled abroad including travel to where the novel coronavirus epidemic occurred, their antibody test results were all negative.
Subjects who were found to be antibody-positive underwent a PCR test if their physicians judged it necessary. 7 out of 39 antibody-positive individuals underwent PCR testing. However, all of them were PCR-negative. Even if the antibody test was positive, the possibility of current infection/onset could not be ruled out. So, in some cases, PCR tests were performed. In some cases, the tests were refused by public health centers/medical associations. Some patients did not receive a PCR test because he did not have any symptoms and did not want to get the check.
4. Discussion
The present study found that the proportion of subclinical infections was 2.4% in Kanagawa Prefecture.
A survey of 7950 subjects by the Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan revealed that anti-novel coronavirus antibody prevalence was 0.10% in Tokyo, 0.17% in Osaka, and 0.03% in Miyagi [9]. According to a survey by SoftBank Group, antibody prevalence was 1.79% among 5850 healthcare workers and 0.23% among 38,216 non-healthcare workers [10]. It was 1.0% in a survey using sera from 312 subjects in Osaka [11]. Antibody prevalence in the present survey is higher than these results. It is the second highest after 3.3% in a survey of serum samples from 1000 residents in Kobe City [8]. In this survey, the following subjects were excluded; those who had symptoms of the common cold or fever 37.5 °C or higher that continued for at least four days in 2020, or those who experienced strong lassitude or feeling of dyspnea in 2020. The actual subclinical infection rate seems to be higher. That's because some people are not aware of SARS-CoV-2 infection, although they have the symptoms listed above.
There are 3 factors described below that may have contributed to the high antibody prevalence in the present study.
First, specimens used were different: whole blood vs. serum. In the present study, the serum was used. Because the whole blood sample contains a less amount of serum component that is involved in antigen-antibody reaction, antibodies can conceivably be detected more accurately when the serum is used. Second, there are many kits the specificity and sensitivity of which have not been clarified. The Japanese Association for Infectious Diseases evaluated the performance of 4 foreign-made assay kits using the plasma/whole blood of 10 patients and reported the results: the sensitivity of the assay kits from 4 companies was 2/5, 0/5, 3/5, and 4/5 [21]. The sensitivity and other characteristics of the kit used in the present survey are clear, as described in the method section. Third, antigens used are different. Grifoni et al. and Thiel et al. reported that cross-reactivity in subjects who were not infected with SARS-CoV-2 [22,23]. Developing an assay in which cross-reactivity is suppressed is an issue. Besides SARS-CoV-2, there are 6 coronaviruses that are known to infect humans (OC43, 229E, SARS-CoV, NL63, HKU1, and MERS-CoV) [[24], [25], [26], [27], [28]]. Antibodies can be cross-reactive to any combination of these human coronaviruses (hCoV). Main viral antigens most frequently used in antibody tests for coronavirus infection are nucleocapsid protein (N) and spike protein (S), 2 of the 4 main structural proteins [29]. Chia et al. investigated the performance of N, S1, and receptor-binding domain (RBD) proteins from SARS-CoV-2 and SARS-CoV using 4 different test platforms and reported that although RBD protein showed the highest specificity, N proteins of both viruses had very high cross-reactivity and are unsuitable for the detection of virus-specific antibodies [30]. An N-terminal region that is highly homologous to other viruses was deleted from the N protein used as the antigen in the immunochromatographic kit used in the present study. Therefore, conceivably, our kit will produce fewer false positive results than other kits [31].
In the present survey, antibody prevalence in the control group was 0%, and that in the doctor/nurse group and in the patient group was approximately 2%. In the survey by SoftBank Group, antibody prevalence was higher among healthcare workers although presence/absence of underlying disease was unknown. These results suggest that the infection is spreading in medical institutions among both doctors and patients.
Regarding other countries, antibody prevalence in the United States was 1.5% in Santa Clara County [12] and 4.06% in Los Angeles County of California state [13] and 14.9% in New York State [14]. In 90 Brazilian cities the sample size of which was 200 or more, overall antibody prevalence was 1.4% [15]. In Germany, antibody prevalence rate of 14% has been reported [16]. Although antibody prevalence was exceptionally high in Germany and New York State, it was similar in other cities, ranging from 1.4% to 4.06%. As of June 30, the infection rate was 194,259/83,517,000 (0.2%) in Germany [32,33] and 393,454/19,453,561 (2.0%) in New York [34,35]. It was 1502/9,222,162 (0.02%) in Kanagawa Prefecture [36,37], indicating the epidemic there is smaller compared to Germany and New York. This may explain why there are fewer antibody-positive individuals due to subclinical infections. There is also a 10-fold difference between Germany and New York in infection rate. However, subclinical infections are similar. Factors for this are not clear.
In the present survey, we conducted a questionnaire survey about possible factors for subclinical infections. However, none of them was found to be a significant factor for antibody-positive status.
We thought that overseas travel and contact with overseas travelers might be factors for subclinical infections. However, these were not found to be significant factors. None of the antibody-positive subjects had a history of overseas travel in 2020, while there were 85 overseas travelers in the negative group including those who traveled to countries where the novel coronavirus epidemic occurred. Regarding contact with overseas travelers or travelers who visited Japan in 2020, the positive group tended to have fewer contacts.
In terms of crowded places/close-contact settings/closed spaces, we thought that frequent use of trains might be a factor for subclinical infections. However, in both groups, the same proportion (approximately 20%) of the subjects used trains 5 times a week or more. During rush hour, trains have passengers more than 140% of their capacity in 15 of 23 train lines in Kanagawa, which adjoins Tokyo [38]. The government has issued an alert to avoid crowded places/close-contact settings/closed spaces. On the basis of the results from the present survey, however, it is unlikely that packed trains have any influence.
No influence of the presence/absence of individuals infected with the novel coronavirus in the living area was also detected. Combined with the fact that the use of trains had no influence on subclinical infection, it is conceivable that the use of a mask to prevent droplet infection was effective [39].
BCG vaccination was not a factor for antibody-positive status, either. High vaccination coverage in Japan might have made it difficult to see difference. It was confirmed that none of the antibody-positive subjects was diagnosed with influenza, that COVID-19 and influenza were distinguished, and that no one had influenza and COVID-19 concurrently.
Regarding underlying disease, 5 subjects in the positive group (12.8%) and 84 subjects in the negative group (5.4%) had lung disease. The difference was not significant. Lung disease was not a significant factor in multivariate analysis, either. However, it is a risk factor for severe disease once infection is established. Therefore, caution will be needed. Since SARS-CoV-2 binds to ACE2 (angiotensin-converting enzyme 2) receptor on the cell surface and then enters the cell [40], we analyzed relationships to the use of ACEI and ARB. However, no specific tendency was observed. There was a report that ACEI or ARB does not pose a risk for severe disease [41]. We also think that they have no effect on subclinical infection. The positive rate of SARS-CoV-2 antibodies in medical institutions designated for COVID-19 was 0.90% (1/117), and other medical institutions, 2.6% (38/1486). There was no significant difference. COVID-19 patients with no symptoms are more likely to have brought the virus into hospitals than patients with COVID-19 positive transmit the virus to ordinary patients in hospitals. Besides, some patients were found in an elementary school and nursery school near two medical institutions with high positive rates of antibodies (6 out of 20 cases, 3 out of 20 cases), and these schools were closed. This result seems to have clinical significance in estimating the transmission status of infection in the area.
There was a report with data from 149 patients demonstrating that neutralizing antibody titers in convalescent plasma vary widely and most of them are low [42]. A study conducted in China confirmed that antibody levels decline dramatically after 2–3 months in approximately 90% of individuals [43]. If the same is true for Japanese, it would be difficult to know the current status of subclinical infections. As a follow-up to the present study, we started following up antibody-positive subjects and will report the results.
4.1. Limitation
The present study has several limitations. One of them is that the population consisted of doctors, nurses, and individuals who regularly visit medical institutions. It is also undeniable that 111 subjects in the control group who had no underlying disease were different from other groups in terms of age, gender, and other characteristics. The present study was biased because it was a survey conducted with outpatients of medical institutions. Therefore, the subclinical infection rate in the entire population of Kanagawa Prefecture cannot be deduced from the results of the present study. There were only 12 minors. Therefore, the current status of the younger generation is still unknown. Also, in this study, the subjects were limited to patients with asymptomatic. The same result may not be obtained when targeting symptomatic people. In addition, it's difficult to simply compare the research results with other reports since many different test kits have been widely distributed now. The study will enhance more accuracy in the future if multiple assay kits to detect antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 are used at the same time to verify the results.
5. Conclusions
In Kanagawa Prefecture, Japan, antibody prevalence in the present survey at medical institution was 2.4%. After adjustment for age, sex, and the antibody prevalence in the control group, antibody prevalence was 2.7% in the patient group and 2.1% in the doctor/nurse group. These are higher than those in Tokyo and in Osaka measured by the government suggesting that subclinical infections are occurring more frequently than expected. No background factor that influenced antibody-positive status due to subclinical infection was identified.
Author contribution
Conceived and designed the experiments: IM, NH, HD, MN, AK. Enrolled patients: IM, NH, NK, YW, FE, YM, TN, TK, YO, AK. Analyzed the data: IM. Wrote the first draft of the manuscript: IM, AK. Contributed to the writing of the manuscript: IM, AK. All authors agreed with the manuscript's results and conclusions. All authors have read, and confirm that they meet, ICMJE criteria for authorship.
Funding
This research was financially supported by the Kanagawa Physicians Association, Japan.
Ethic approval and consent to participate
This study was registered with the Clinical Trials Registry (https://www.umin.ac.jp/; UMIN000040333) and was undertaken in accordance with the study protocol, the Declaration of Helsinki and the Ethical Guidelines for Clinical Studies of the Japanese Ministry of Health, Labor, and Welfare. This study was approved by the Ethics Review Board of the Kanagawa Physicians Association (April 27, 2020). The all participants provided written informed consent before participation.
Availability of data and material
The biochemical data used to support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request.
Declaration of competing interest
The authors declare no conflicts of interest.
Acknowledgments
We would like to thank the physicians and staff of the Kanagawa Physicians Association involved in the research and the patients participating in this study. We thank Dr.Masaaki Miyakawa from Director of Kanagawa Prefecture Medical Association, Dr.Masakazu Kikuoka from Chairman of Kanagawa Prefecture Medical Association, Dr.Yutaka Hatori from Director of Japan medical Association for his great cooperation. We also thank Professor Akihide Ryo from Department of Microbiology, Yokohama City University School of Medicine for his advice with the testing device. We also thank Professor Ung-il Chung, Professor Hiroto Narimatsu, Junior Associate Professor Sho Nakamura and Junior Associate Professor Xuemin Fang all from School of Health Innovation, Kanagawa University of Human Services for their advice with protocol. We thank Yoshiyuki Makino from Healthcare New Frontier Promotion Headquarters Office, Policy Bureau, Kanagawa Prefectural Government for his support.
Footnotes
Supplementary data to this article can be found online at https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jiac.2020.09.005.
Appendix A. Supplementary data
The following are the Supplementary data to this article:
References
- 1.World Health Organization Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic. https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019
- 2.Wu Z., McGoogan J.M. Characteristics of and important lessons from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak in China: summary of a report of 72314 cases from the Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention. J Am Med Assoc. 2020;323(13):1239–1242. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.2648. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 3.Dong Y., Mo X., Hu Y., Qi X., Jiang F., Jiang Z., et al. Epidemiological characteristics of 2143 pediatric patients with 2019 coronavirus disease in China. Pediatrics. 2020;145(6) doi: 10.1016/j.jemermed.2020.04.006. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- 4.Wang E., Brar K. COVID-19 in children: an epidemiology study from China. J Allergy Clin Immunol Pract. 2020;8(6):2118–2120. doi: 10.1016/j.jaip.2020.04.024. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 5.Centers for Disease Control and Prevention COVID-19 pandemic planning scenarios. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html
- 6.Bai Y., Yao L., Wei T., Tian F., Jin D.Y., Chen L., et al. Presumed asymptomatic carrier transmission of COVID-19. J Am Med Assoc. 2020;323(14):1406–1407. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.2565. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 7.He X., Lau E.H.Y., Wu P., Deng X., Wang J., Hao X., et al. Temporal dynamics in viral shedding and transmissibility of COVID-19. Nat Med. 2020 May;26(5):672–675. doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0869-5. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 8.Doi A., Iwata K., Kuroda H., Hasuike T., Nasu S., Kanda A., et al. Estimation of seroprevalence of novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using preserved serum at an outpatient setting in Kobe, Japan: a cross-sectional study. MedRxiv. 2020 doi: 10.1101/2020.04.26.20079822. 2020.04.26.20079822. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 9.Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare of Japan About antibody prevalence survey. https://www.mhlw.go.jp/content/10906000/000640184.pdf (in Japanese)
- 10.SoftBank Group Corp About preliminary estimates of antibody test results. https://group.softbank/system/files/pdf/antibodytest.pdf (in Japanese)
- 11.Osaka City University A new antibody titer measuring system determines antibody-positive status with high accuracy!—according to an epidemiological survey, approximately 1% of residents in Osaka have antibodies. https://www.osaka-cu.ac.jp/ja/about/pr/press/2020/200501 (in Japanese)
- 12.Bendavid E., Mulaney B., Sood N., Shah S., Ling E., Bromley-Dulfano R., et al. COVID-19 antibody seroprevalence in Santa Clara county, California. MedRxiv. 2020 doi: 10.1101/2020.04.14.20062463. 2020.04.14.20062463. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 13.Sood N., Simon P., Ebner P., Eichner D., Reynolds J., Bendavid E., et al. Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies among adults in Los Angeles county, California, on April 10-11, 2020. J Am Med Assoc. 2020;323(23):2425–2427. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.8279. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 14.New York State Information on novel coronavirus, video, audio, photos & rush transcript: amid ongoing Covid-19 pandemic, governor Cuomo announces phase II results of antibody testing study show 14.9% of population has Covid-19 antibodies. https://www.governor.ny.gov/news/video-audio-photos-rush-transcript-amid-ongoing-covid-19-pandemic-governor-cuomo-announces-14
- 15.Hallal P.C., Hartwig F.P., Horta B.L., Victora G.D., Silveira M.F., Struchiner C.J., et al. Remarkable variability in SARS-CoV-2 antibodies across Brazilian regions: nationwide serological household survey in 27 states. MedRxiv. 2020 doi: 10.1101/2020.05.30.20117531. 2020.05.30.20117531. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
- 16.Streeck H., Hartmann G., Exner M., Schmid M. Vorläufiges Ergebnis und Schlussfolgerungen der COVID-19 Case-ClusterStudy. https://www.land.nrw/sites/default/files/asset/document/zwischenergebnis_covid19_case_study_gangelt_0.pdf (Gemeinde Gangelt) (in Germany)
- 17.Chow N., Fleming-Dutra K., Gierke R., Hall A., Hughes M., Pilishvili T., et al. Preliminary estimates of the prevalence of selected underlying health conditions among patients with coronavirus disease 2019 - United States, February 12-March 28, 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep. 2020;69(13):382–386. doi: 10.15585/mmwr.mm6913e2. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 18.Arts R.J.W., Moorlag S.J.C.F.M., Novakovic B., Li Y., Wang S.-Y., Oosting M., et al. BCG vaccination protects against experimental viral infection in humans through the induction of cytokines associated with trained immunity. Cell Host Microbe. 2018;23(1):89–100. doi: 10.1016/j.chom.2017.12.010. e5. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 19.Sethuraman N., Jeremiah S.S., Ryo A. Interpreting diagnostic tests for SARS-CoV-2. J Am Med Assoc. 2020;323(22):2249–2251. doi: 10.1001/jama.2020.8259. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 20.Yokohama City University Research team led by YCU professor successfully develops a rapid diagnostic test for COVID-19 that can detect antiviral antibodies in patient serum. https://www-user.yokohama-cu.ac.jp/∼english/index.php/2020/03/27/research-team-led-by-ycu-professor-successfully-develops-a-rapid-diagnostic-test-for-covid-19-that-can-detect-antiviral-antibodies-in-patient-serum/
- 21.The Japanese Association for Infectious Diseases A preliminary study of the performance of 4 assay kits founded on the detection of anti-novel coronavirus antibodies. http://www.kansensho.or.jp/uploads/files/news/gakkai/covid19_kensakit_0423.pdf (in Japanese)
- 22.Grifoni A., Weiskopf D., Ramirez S.I., Meteus J., Dan J.M., Carolyn R.M., et al. Targets of T cell responses to SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus in humans with COVID-19 disease and unexposed individuals. Cell. 2020;181(7):1489–1501. doi: 10.1016/j.cell.2020.05.015. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 23.Braun J., Loyal L., Frentsch M., Wendisch D., Georg P., Kurth F., et al. Presence of SARS-CoV-2 reactive T cells in COVID-19 patients and healthy donors. MedRxiv. 2020 doi: 10.1101/2020.04.17.20061440. 2020.04.17.20061440. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 24.van der Hoek L., Pyrc K., Berkhout B. Human coronavirus NL63, a new respiratory virus. FEMS Microbiol Rev. 2006;30(5):760–773. doi: 10.1111/j.1574-6976.2006.00032.x. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 25.Lau S.K.P., Woo P.C.Y., Yip C.C.Y., Tse H., Tsoi H.W., Cheng V.C.C. Coronavirus HKU1 and other coronavirus infections in Hong Kong. J Clin Microbiol. 2006;44(6):2063–2071. doi: 10.1128/JCM.02614-05. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 26.Zaki A.M., van Boheemen S., Bestebroer T.M., Osterhaus A.D.M.E., Fouchier R.A.M. Isolation of a novel coronavirus from a man with pneumonia in Saudi Arabia. N Engl J Med. 2012;367(19):1814–1820. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa1211721. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 27.Peiris J.S.M. Severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) J Clin Virol. 2003;28(3):245–247. doi: 10.1016/j.jcv.2003.08.005. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 28.Zhang X.M., Kousoulas K.G., Storz J. The hemagglutinin/esterase gene of human coronavirus strain OC43: phylogenetic relationships to bovine and murine coronaviruses and influenza C virus. Virology. 1992;186(1):318–323. doi: 10.1016/0042-6822(92)90089-8. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 29.Masters P.S., Palmen S. sixth ed. Lippincott Williams & Wilkins; Philadelphia: 2013. Coronaviridae, fields virology. [Google Scholar]
- 30.Chia W.N., Tan C.W., Foo R., Kang A.E.Z., Peng Y., Sivalingam V., et al. Serological differentiation between COVID-19 and SARS infections. Emerg Microb Infect. 2020 June 12:1–23. doi: 10.1080/22221751.2020.1780951. Online ahead of print. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 31.Yamaoka Y., Jeremiah S.S., Miyakawa K., Saji R., Nishii M., Takeuchi I., et al. Whole nucleocapsid protein of SARS-CoV-2 may cause false positive results in serological assays. Clin Infect Dis. 2020:ciaa637. doi: 10.1093/cid/ciaa637. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 32.Koch Institute Robert. Coronavirus disease 2019(COVID-19) daily situation report of the Robert Koch institute. 30/06/2020 - UPDATED status for Germany. https://www.rki.de/DE/Content/InfAZ/N/Neuartiges_Coronavirus/Situationsberichte/2020-06-30-en.pdf?__blob=publicationFile
- 33.United Nations Statistics Division UNdata:A world of information. https://data.un.org/en/iso/de.html
- 34.New York State Department of Health NYSDOH COVID-19 tracker. https://covid19tracker.health.ny.gov/views/NYS-COVID19-Tracker/NYSDOHCOVID-19Tracker-Map?:isGuestRedirectFromVizportal=y&:embed=y
- 35.U.S. Department of Commerce United State Census Bureau. https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/NY
- 36.Kanagawa Prefectural Government The latest infection trend in the prefecture. http://www.pref.kanagawa.jp/osirase/1369/?pk_campaign=top&pk_kwd=sc19 (in Japanese)
- 37.Kanagawa Prefectural Government Kanagawa prefecture population and households. https://www.pref.kanagawa.jp/docs/x6z/tc30/jinko/jimkotosetai.html (in Japanese)
- 38.Kanagawa Prefectural Government Transport capacity, transport volume, and congestion rate in congested sections during morning rush hour (1 hour) by train line (fiscal year of 2018) https://www.pref.kanagawa.jp/documents/11252/8senkubetsukonnzatsukukanasaraxtusyuji.pdf (in Japanese)
- 39.Wang Y., Tian H., Zhang L., Zhang Man, Guo D., Wu W., et al. Reduction of secondary transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in households by face mask use, disinfection and social distancing: a cohort study in Beijing, China. BMJ Glob Health. 2020;5(5) doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-002794. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 40.Simmons G., Reeves J.D., Rennekamp A.J., Amberg S.M., Piefer A.J., Bates P. Characterization of severe acute respiratory syndrome-associated coronavirus (SARS-CoV) spike glycoprotein-mediated viral entry. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2004;101(12):4240–4245. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0306446101. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 41.Mancia G., Rea F., Ludergnani M., Apolone G., Corrao G. Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system blockers and the risk of covid-19. N Engl J Med. 2020;382(25):2431–2440. doi: 10.1056/NEJMoa2006923. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 42.Robbiani D.F., Gaebler C., Muecksch F., Lorenzi J.C.C., Wang Z., Cho A., et al. Convergent antibody responses to SARS-CoV-2 in convalescent individuals. Nature. 2020 June 18 doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2456-9. Online ahead of print. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
- 43.Long Q.X., Tang X.J., Shi Q.L., Li Q., Deng H.J., Yuan J., et al. Clinical and immunological assessment of asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infections. Nat Med. 2020 Jun 18 doi: 10.1038/s41591-020-0965-6. Online ahead of print. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
Associated Data
This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.
Supplementary Materials
Data Availability Statement
The biochemical data used to support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon request.