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BMJ Open logoLink to BMJ Open
. 2020 Sep 10;10(9):e037674. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2020-037674

Predictors of chronic pain and level of physical function in total knee arthroplasty: a protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis

Unni Olsen 1,2,, Maren Falch Lindberg 1,2, Eva Marie-Louise Denison 3, Christopher James Rose 3, Caryl Lynn Gay 4,5, Arild Aamodt 2, Jens Ivar Brox 6,7, Øystein Skare 2, Ove Furnes 8,9, Kathryn A Lee 4, Anners Lerdal 5,10
PMCID: PMC7485240  PMID: 32912987

Abstract

Introduction

One in five patients undergoing total knee arthroplasty (TKA) experience unchanged or worse pain and physical function 1 year after surgery. Identifying risk factors for unfavourable outcomes is necessary to develop tailored interventions to minimise risk. There is a need to review more current literature with updated methodology that addresses the limitations of earlier systematic reviews and meta-analyses. We present a Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols compliant protocol for a systematic review and meta-analysis of predictors of chronic pain and impaired function after TKA.

Methods and analysis

This review will include prospective longitudinal observational studies, or randomised trials (including cluster and crossover designs) that report arm-wise predictors of chronic postsurgical pain or impaired physical function at 3 months, 6 months or 12 months. A comprehensive literature search of studies published between 2000 and 2019 will be performed in Medline, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Library and PEDro. Blinded assessment with consensus agreement will be applied for inclusion of studies, data extraction and assessment of bias risk (Quality in Prognosis Studies tool). The co-primary outcomes, pain and impaired function, at 12 months after TKA will be analysed separately. Estimates of association between each outcome and any preoperative or intraoperative factor that may predict chronic pain or impaired physical function will be extracted from the included studies, where possible. For randomised studies, results will only be extracted from TKA arms (or the first period of crossover trials). Estimates of association from the primary evidence will be synthesised narratively, and quantitatively using multivariate meta-analysis to provide ‘pooled’ estimates of association. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses will be performed. Certainty of evidence for each predictor will be derived from the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework.

Ethics and dissemination

No ethical issues are associated with this project. The results from this review will be published in peer-reviewed journals and presented at international conferences.

PROSPERO registration number

CRD42018079069.

Keywords: knee, adult orthopaedics, orthopaedic & trauma surgery


Strengths and limitations of this study.

  • The strengths of this review include a transparent protocol with rigorous and updated methodology throughout each phase of the review process, a comprehensive literature search with no limitations on predictors or language, and inclusion of only the strongest observational study designs to avoid excessive heterogeneity and a thorough description of the data analysis plan.

  • Use of consistent methods for assessing the risk of bias (Quality in Prognosis Studies tool) and certainty of evidence (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework) is also a study strength.

  • Since 95% of patients treated with total knee arthroplasty suffer from osteoarthritis, results will have high generalisability within the osteoarthritis population, but results might be less applicable to other populations, such as adults or children with rheumatoid arthritis.

  • The validity of the results of this systematic review and meta-analysis will depend on the quality of the published studies included, the definitions applied for chronic pain or impaired physical function and the possible predictors included.

INTRODUCTION

Total knee arthroplasty (TKA) is a common surgical procedure for patients with osteoarthritis (OA) suffering from pain and impaired function.1 2 In the United Kingdom and the Isle of Man, nearly 100 000 primary TKAs are performed annually,3 while the number for the USA is 700 000.4 Despite advances in anaesthesia and the surgical field, such as implementation of fast track surgery, 20% of TKA patients experience pain and levels of physical function that remains unchanged or worse 1 year after surgery.5–7 Unfavourable outcomes can seriously impact patients through further deterioration in health status8 9 and dissatisfaction with postoperative rehabilitation and surgical outcomes.9–12 Patients who do not benefit from surgery are also more likely to undergo revision surgery,3 13 14 have higher healthcare utilisation and are less likely to return to work.10 15–17 Consequently, poor TKA outcomes represent a significant burden, on a personal level to the individual patient and family level, as well as on a socioeconomic level, with considerable healthcare resources being spent on ineffective TKA procedures.18

One strategy to reduce the burden of poor TKA outcomes, for individual patients and society, is to gain a better understanding of the preoperative and intraoperative predictors of chronic pain and impaired function after TKA. Knowledge of preoperative and intraoperative risk factors is a fundamental first step in the development of screening tools to identify patients at high risk for chronic pain or impaired function after TKA. Identifying such patients would allow targeted and tailored interventions to be developed in order to improve patients’ surgical outcomes.19 20 Early identification of patients at high risk can also provide both patients and clinicians with more personalised information about the risks of surgery during the decision-making process when considering TKA.

During the last decade, a considerable number of hypothesised preoperative predictors of chronic pain and poor function after TKA have been investigated (figure 1). Systematic reviews and meta-analyses exist,21–34 but have yielded contradictory findings. This could be due to the use of methods that deviate from what is now understood to be a good practice, as codified by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) statement,35 and the recently updated Cochrane Handbook.36 The existing reviews are also more than 5 years old,21–27 and several new studies have been published in the interim.

Figure 1.

Figure 1

Hypothesised preoperative and intraoperative predictors of chronic pain and poor function after total knee arthroplasty. ASA score, The American Society of Anesthesiologists score; CAS, computer assisted surgery; OA severity, osteoarthrithis severity; ROM, range of motion.

Thus, a new synthesis of the literature that uses evidence-based methods is warranted to better inform patients, clinicians, researchers and policy-makers about risk factors for patient outcomes of chronic pain and impaired physical function after TKA. The study described in this protocol will investigate outcomes that earlier reviews did not address and use systematic review and meta-analysis tools that were not available when prior reviews were published. This systematic review and meta-analysis will be conducted according to state-of-the-art evidence-based methods (as outlined by Cochrane), and will cover two related, yet distinct outcomes: pain and function. Gaps in knowledge will be addressed, that will be useful for researchers in exploring areas that have previously received little research attention. Thus, the aim of this study is to conduct a systematic review and synthesis of current evidence. The result of this work will include a narrative description of the factors identified, and a statistical meta-analysis that provides point estimates and 95% CIs of the strength of association between each preoperative and intraoperative factor evaluated by the included studies, and the co-primary outcomes of chronic pain and impaired function following TKA at short-term, medium-term and long-term follow-ups (3 months, 6 months and 12 months).

METHODS AND ANALYSISs

This systematic review and meta-analysis will include two key outcomes, chronic pain and impaired physical function, which are moderately to strongly associated, but distinct.37 Thus, chronic pain and impaired function will be assessed and reported as two separate outcomes. Our strategy is consistent with the Cochrane Handbook for Systematic Reviews of Interventions,36 which suggests that a review may start with a broad scope before being divided into more narrow reviews.

This protocol has been developed according to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis Protocols checklist and the review will be reported according to the PRISMA guidelines.35 The described study will be guided by the biopsychosocial framework,38 found suitable for OA39 and TKA patients.40 This model takes into account the complex interplay between biological, psychological and social factors when understanding health condition and outcomes following TKA surgery for OA. The framework is operationalised in figure 1.

Eligibility criteria for considering studies in this review

Prospective longitudinal observational studies or the TKA arm of randomised trials (including cluster and crossover designs) of OA patients undergoing primary TKA and that report at least one preoperative or intraoperative predictor of chronic postsurgical pain or impaired function (measured 3 months, 6 months or 12 months after primary TKA) will be considered for inclusion. The data from non-TKA arms will be excluded because we are only interested in associations between predictors and outcomes in patients treated with TKA (we are not interested in predicting pain or function for other treatments, nor are we interested in the relative effects of TKA vs other interventions). For crossover trials, only the first period of the TKA arm will be included to avoid carryover effects. Studies of unicompartmental surgery, studies without separate outcome data for TKA patients, studies that lack clear pain and physical function outcome measures, retrospective studies and case–control studies will be excluded.

The eligibility criteria are pre-specified by the Population–Exposure–Outcome–Study (PEOS) design, as described below.

Population: patients 18 years or older with OA and scheduled for primary TKA.

Exposures: any preoperative or intraoperative factors that may predict chronic pain and impaired physical function in TKA patients.

Outcome: the two co-primary outcomes are pain and function assessed 12 months after TKA. Where possible, these outcomes will also be analysed at 3 months’s and 6 month’s after TKA.

Study design: a prospective longitudinal observational design, or a randomised trial design (including cluster and crossover designs).

Timeline

The timeline for the study phases is shown in table 1. The research question has been specified, protocol details have been registered and published, the search has been performed and formal screening of the search results against eligibility criteria is in progress. Full-text inclusion is ongoing.

Table 1.

The timeline

Review question Register review Search strategy Study selection Risk of bias Data extraction Analysis Certainty evidence Publication
Eligibility: Population–Exposure–Outcome–Study design PROSPERO Literature search Full text review Quality in Prognosis Studies tool Data collection form Narrative review/meta-analysis Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework Journals, conferences and PhD thesis
Completed
30 May 2018
Completed
31 August 2018
Completed
1 August 2019
Ongoing Ongoing Ongoing Ongoing Planned Planned

Review question

The review question is: ‘which factors predict chronic pain and impaired physical function among patients after TKA?’.

Definitions

Chronic/persistent pain is defined as pain extending 3 months after TKA.41 Physical function refers to all body functions, activities and participation according to the International Classification of Functioning, Disability and Health framework.42

Chronic pain and impaired physical function can be measured in various ways and questionnaires (table 2), including as a continuous variable that represents a continuum of pain (eg, a score on a Visual Analogue Scale) or as a categorical variable (eg, a dichotomous variable with categorical levels of ‘chronic pain’ or ‘no chronic pain’). Similarly, physical function can be assessed on a continuum (eg, as indicated by the Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score) or as different categories of function (eg, ‘no problems walking’, ‘some problems walking’ and ‘confined to bed’, as in EQ 5D 3L).

Table 2.

Outcomes and how they could be measured in the included studies

Measures of the chronic pain outcome Measures of the physical function outcome
Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index
Knee Society Score Knee Society Score
Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score Knee Injury and Osteoarthritis Outcome Score
Short Form 36 Short Form 36
Oxford Knee Score Oxford Knee Score
McGill Pain Questionnaire Timed Up and Go Test
Brief Pain Inventory Sit to Stand Test
Numerical Rating Scale Range of Motion
Visual Analogue Scale Inertial measurement units (Gait pattern)

Literature search strategy

The search strategy was developed by two medical librarians (Gunn Kleven and Hilde Flaaten) in cooperation with the authors (UO and MFL) and with input from the experienced research team. The search strategy was designed by one research librarian (Gunn Kleven) and peer reviewed by the second research librarian (Hilde Flaaten) and first author (UO), as recommended by the Cochrane Handbook.36 A comprehensive systematic search for articles published from 1 January 2000 through 1 August 2019 was conducted (Gunn Kleven) using a combination of text words and database-specific subject headings in Medline (Ovid), Embase (Ovid), CINAHL (EBSCO), Cochrane Library and Physiotherapy Evidence Database. The search strategies were adapted to each database as presented in online supplementary material.

Supplementary data

bmjopen-2020-037674supp001.pdf (130.8KB, pdf)

To capture as many relevant studies as possible, no language restrictions were applied, as recommended in Methodological Expectations of Cochrane Intervention Reviews (MECIR) standards.43 The search was limited to studies published in or after year 2000 in consideration of changes in treatment modalities since year 2000. Duplicates were removed and conference abstracts were excluded. Studies had to be available in full-text format. References were imported to EndNote V.X8 (Clarivate Analytics, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA).

Study selection and data extraction

To avoid missing relevant articles, an overly inclusive approach for screening titles, abstracts and full text will be used. Publication abstracts in non-English and non-Scandinavian languages will be translated and assessed for eligibility. Both screening and selecting studies for full-text review will include independent and blinded screening by two authors (UO and MFL), with consensus discussion to resolve disagreements. If consensus cannot be reached, a third reviewer will adjudicate (EM-LD). Studies that fulfil the eligibility criteria will be retained, fully translated and scrutinised for full-text assessment against eligibility criteria. A standardised data extraction form customised to the research question will be developed for extraction of data and pilot-tested on the first three included studies (table 3). If additional data are needed about a particular study, the corresponding and/or senior authors of the publication will be contacted to obtain more detail.

Table 3.

Data extraction template

Data Extracted data
Publication details First author and senior author, year of publication and country of origin
Study characteristics Study design (prospective longitudinal observational design; intervention arm of a randomised trial; and intervention arm of the first period of a randomised crossover trial), source of patient recruitment, length of follow-up, sample size, statistical method and results
Patients characteristics Age, sex, body mass index, ethnicity, socioeconomics and demographics
Intervention Type of implant and anaesthetic and analgesic factors
Predictors Type of predictors and how they are measured, for example, pain by Brief Pain Inventory, depression by Hospital Anxiety Depression Scale, severity of osteoarthritis by Kellgren Lawrence Scale and direction of effect (reversed or not)
Outcome Type of pain or function outcome, how it is defined and measured (table 2); the unit of analysis used (patient or cluster)
Measure of association
(one per predictor)
Analysis type (eg, linear regression or correlation coefficient), estimate (ie, numerical result) and precision (eg, CI, SE, p value)

It is anticipated that included studies may present multiple results for each predictor (eg, several regression models resulting from stepwise model-building procedures). The data will be extracted for the model or analysis specified as the primary analysis in the study protocol; if no suitable model or analysis is specified, we will extract data for the model or analysis favoured by the study’s authors and presented as the ‘main result’ or ‘full model’ (eg, the model with the best goodness of fit criteria, such as Akaike’s information criterion).44 A consensus-based approach will be used to determine which result is favoured by a study (ie, two authors performing data extraction must agree; in the event of disagreement, a third author will adjudicate). Acquisition and analysis of individual patient-level data (IPD) is not planned. For example, we will not re-analyse IPD with respect to our own definitions of the co-primary outcomes.

Studies may use different names for the same predictor. Predictors will be considered to be the same, if they are measured using the same method (eg, instrument), or if the methods of measurement are judged to assess the same construct (eg, anxiety) by two authors (in the event of disagreement, a third author will adjudicate).

Variables of interest measured before TKA and included in pre-specified or ‘main’ analyses will be extracted and included in meta-analyses. Studies may report estimates adjusted for variables such as age, sex and presurgical pain, as well as unadjusted estimates. Because we are interested in predictors’ independent value over and above other predictors, we will extract estimates from adjusted models (even if some available predictors were excluded from the ‘final’ model, eg, as a result of a model-building approach; estimates for omitted predictors will be treated as missing as described below).

For randomised trials, data will be extracted for the TKA arm and treated in the same way as longitudinal observational data. For crossover trials, data will be extracted from the first period of the TKA arm and will be treated similarly. Because cluster designs will be included, we will extract the unit of analysis used for all studies (patient vs cluster). If studies that use a cluster design report results that do not account for possible cluster effects, we will impute results that adjust for clustering where feasible; if it is not feasible to adjust for clustering, we will judge the study to have a high risk of bias (see below). It is anticipated that publications that report randomised designs may not provide arm-wise results. We will contact authors of such studies and request the required data; studies will be excluded from synthesis if data are not received within 4 weeks of request.

If associations are reported for multiple levels of an ordinal predictor (eg, associations between pain and overweight vs normal weight, and obese vs normal weight), we will extract data for the most extreme comparison (obese vs normal weight, in this example).

Measures of association

Based on a scoping exercise, studies may report estimates of association between categorical or continuous predictors and outcomes. Association may be quantified using odds or risk ratios, linear model coefficients (including differences) and correlation coefficients. Furthermore, base cases of categorical variables may vary, as may directions of association. We will define canonical directions of association and measure association using the correlation coefficient, which is defined to be invariant under linear transformations of predictor and outcome variables and, under reasonable assumptions, can be imputed for all combinations of dichotomous and continuous predictors and outcomes (see online supplementary methods). If it is necessary to impute ORs from risk ratios, we will assume a baseline probability of postsurgical pain and impaired function of 20%. Meta-analysis will be performed by transforming correlation coefficients using Fisher’s z transformation.45 This approach is similar to that used in a previous review on this topic by Lewis et al.27

Supplementary data

bmjopen-2020-037674supp002.pdf (335.5KB, pdf)

Methodological quality

To systematically evaluate study quality and to reach consensus in a transparent manner, the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool will be used to assess risk of bias in the individual studies.46 QUIPS tool addresses six domains where bias may occur in prognostic studies: study participation, attrition, prognostic factor measurement, outcome measurement, confounding and statistical analysis and reporting.36 Two authors (UO and MFL) must agree, otherwise a third reviewer (EM-LD) will adjudicate.

Dealing with missing data

Study authors will be contacted if there is a need for additional details about unpublished data, as recommended by the Cochrane Handbook.36 Requests will be sent to a study’s corresponding author and the first or senior author if the corresponding author cannot be contacted. In addition, critical appraisal will be carried out and reported regarding study participant attrition, losses to follow-up or withdrawal and any issues regarding missing data or imputation methods (eg, last observation carried forward).

It is anticipated that not all included studies will report associations between outcomes and all predictors that have been studied in the literature as a whole (ie, the nature of the research question suggests that estimates for some predictors may be missing for most studies). This form of missing data will be addressed in a meta-analysis, as described in the data synthesis section.

It is assumed that some included studies will report point estimates but not exact statements of uncertainty on those estimates (eg, some studies may report results as ‘statistically significant’ rather than providing an exact p value or CI). A conservative approach will be used in which ‘worst case’ standard errors will be imputed: results reported as ‘statistically significant’ (eg, p≤0.05) will be imputed to have standard errors consistent with p=0.05; results reported as ‘not statistically significant’ (eg, p>0.05) will be imputed to have standard errors consistent with p=0.99.

Data synthesis

A narrative analysis of the results will be conducted for all included studies for the two co-primary outcomes at 12 months. Meta-analyses will be performed for the two co-primary outcomes of chronic pain and impaired physical function assessed 3 months and 6 months after the surgery, if possible.

Where possible, we will perform quantitative data synthesis following the guidance of the most recent version of the Cochrane Handbook available at the time of the analysis.36 If meta-analysis cannot be performed, we will conduct a narrative analysis.

It is anticipated that predictors may be correlated and that there may be important differences in the methods used to quantify associations between outcomes and predictors (ie, while the methods used in the included studies will attempt to measure compatible constructs, they are likely to be sufficiently different that we expect heterogeneity). Multivariate meta-analysis will, therefore, be performed for each outcome using a random-effects model. Analyses will be performed using Stata V.16 (StataCorp LLC, College Station, Texas, USA) and the MVMETA command or R and the metafor package.47–49 Missing point estimates for predictors not included in individual studies will be handled using the standard procedures defined by the software used. For example, the MVMETA command models missing point estimates as zeros and accounts for uncertainty using very large variances (ie, missing point estimates could plausibly take any value). Within-study correlations will be assumed to be unknown and the ‘overall correlation model’ of Riley et al50 will be used. An unstructured between-study covariance matrix will be assumed. If negligible correlations are inferred, we may report univariate meta-analyses by predictor.

Assessment of non-reporting bias and small-study effects

Non-reporting bias and small study effects will be assessed following the approach outlined by Sterne et al.51 For each predictor supported by at least 10 results, contour-enhanced funnel plots will be constructed by plotting Fisher’s Z against its SE. Funnel plot asymmetry will be judged visually and tested using Egger’s regression-based test (at the α=0.05 level) assuming random effects. Predictors for which asymmetry is suspected will be reported with consideration for the possible causes of asymmetry. In particular, asymmetry will not be definitively attributed to non-reporting bias because it may have other explanations. Fixed-effects and random-effects meta-analysis estimates will not be compared because we anticipate heterogeneity and, therefore, judge that the fixed-effects model is inappropriate. Predictors will not be excluded from meta-analysis on the basis of suspected asymmetry but will be downgraded for certainty of evidence (see below).

Assessment of heterogeneity

Clinical and methodological heterogeneity will be evaluated subjectively. We will interpret I2 values following guidelines in the Cochrane Handbook36 and Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation (GRADE) framework.52 Exploratory analyses may be performed to attempt to explain any substantial heterogeneity.

Subgroup analysis

Exploratory subgroup meta-analyses will be performed for the two co-primary outcomes with respect to study design, type of outcome measurement and intervention (eg, type of implant). Subgroup analyses will only be performed if at least 10 studies can be included in each subgroup.

Sensitivity analysis

We will perform exploratory sensitivity analyses for the two co-primary outcomes. For each of the six QUIPS tool’s bias domains, we will perform meta-analyses by excluding studies judged to be at high risk of bias and compare meta-analysis results to those obtained when all studies are included. We will compare meta-analysis results when pain and impaired physical function are modelled as two separate outcomes versus a single multivariate outcome (ie, a single multivariate model of the two co-primary outcomes will also be fitted). We will assess the influence of individual studies on meta-analytical results via leave-one-out analysis.

Certainty of evidence using the GRADE framework

The certainty of evidence for each prognostic factor will be derived using the GRADE framework for prognostic studies.46 53 54 Study limitations, indirectness, inconsistency, imprecision, publication bias, magnitude of association, dose–response gradient and plausible confounding affecting confidence will be evaluated.46 The overall certainty of evidence will be rated as high, moderate, low or very low. GRADE ratings will be assigned by two of the authors (UO and MFL), issues will be discussed to arrive at consensus and if not, a third reviewer (EM-LD) will adjudicate.

Presentation and interpretation of results

Search strategy results will be presented, as well as characteristics of included studies, descriptive data for the eligibility criteria according to the PEOS design template data extraction form, data dictionary document, judgement of risk of bias by QUIPS and the GRADE evidence profile.

Funnel plots will be used for assessing presence of publication bias for the two separate outcomes. The meta-analytical result for each outcome will be presented as forest plots. For example, one forest plot will present meta-analytical point estimates and 95% CI and prediction intervals for the predictors,55 with predictors ordered by probability of being the best predictor (eg, via the ‘pbest’ option of MVMETA); additional forest plots may show results for each predictor, showing the results extracted from the included studies and the meta-analytical point estimates and 95% CI and prediction intervals.

Following MECIR standards,43 meta-analytical results will be re-expressed as correlation coefficients to facilitate interpretation. We will provide layperson interpretations of these in summary of findings’ tables using Cohen’s labels ‘small’ (correlation=0.1), ‘weak’ (0.3) and ‘large’ (0.5).

Meta-analytical results will be presented in a summary of findings table for each outcome56 with columns for: predictor; meta-analytical result (Fisher’s Z and its 95% CI); re-expressed Fisher’s Z and its 95% CI; a layperson interpretation of the magnitude of association; number of participants (and clusters, where appropriate) and number of studies; certainty of evidence (GRADE) and comments.

Subgroup and sensitivity analyses, and meta-analyses of predictors of chronic pain and impaired physical function measured at 3 months and 6 months after TKA, will be narratively summarised from any available reported data. Tables and figures for these analyses will be presented in an appendix.

Factors identified as being associated with the co-primary outcomes will not be interpreted to cause those outcomes because the included study designs and planned analyses do not allow causal inferences to be made.

Deviations from protocol

Deviations from this protocol will be reported and justified.

Patient and public involvement

No patients will be involved in this review.

Strengths and limitations

By following the Cochrane Handbook’s method recommendations36 throughout each phase, we aim to achieve a high-quality review that will be of importance to patients, clinicians, researchers and policy-makers. To provide reliable data to address the review’s aim and to avoid excessive heterogeneity caused by different study designs that might affect robustness of the review’s results or introduce high risk of bias, only prospective longitudinal studies or the intervention arm of randomised trials will be included. No language limitations will be applied so that relevant studies are not excluded, thereby increasing precision of the findings and maximising generalisability. As a result, widespread application of the study results is expected. Although postoperative predictors may be important for non-improvement after TKA surgery, this will not be covered by this study’s aim. QUIPS and GRADE will be used to assess risk of bias for individual studies and assess certainty of evidence of included studies. Since 95% of patients treated with TKA suffer from OA, results will have high generalisability within the OA population, but might be less applicable to other populations, such as patients with rheumatoid arthritis. The strict eligibility criteria exclude studies that only report outcomes after 1 year; most registered studies will be rejected as they are less likely to be prospective. Results must be interpreted based on this study context. We might find that predictors and outcomes are measured quite differently across studies. However, an effect size for a meta-analysis creates a standardised measure so the actual measure scaling is not relevant and thus a meta-analysis is perfect for reviewing studies that use different measures for the same conceptual outcome.

Ethics and dissemination

Primary data will not be collected, thus ethical approval is not required. Results will be presented at international conferences, and findings will be published in peer-reviewed high-impact journals and a doctoral thesis.

User involvement

Members from the user board at Lovisenberg Diaconal Hospital, Jan Otto Veiseth and Richard Madsen, have been contributing to the relevance and significance of the protocol’s content.

Supplementary Material

Reviewer comments
Author's manuscript

Acknowledgments

The authors thank the members from the user board, Richard Madsen and Jan Otto Veiseth, for their contributions. We are thankful for the work of the medical librarians, Gunn Kleven and Hilde Flaaten, and Eira Taksdal for her assistance with the layout of the figure.

Footnotes

Twitter: @AnnersLerdal

Contributors: UO, MFL, EM-LD, CJR, CLG and AL contributed to the development of the protocol. UO and EM-LD were responsible for the methods section, and CJR for the statistical descriptions and the document on supplementary methods. UO wrote the manuscript. All authors, MFL, EM-LD, CJR, CLG, AA, JIB, ØS, UO, OF, KA and AL, provided feedback on the study design and have read and approved the final manuscript. AL is guarantor of the study.

Funding: This work is supported by funding from the Norwegian Research Council of Norway (grant #287816) and the South-Eastern Regional Health Authority (grant #2018060).

Competing interests: CJR reports personal fees from Oncolmmunity AS. He has a patent and patent application with no relevance to this study.

Patient and public involvement: Patients and/or the public were involved in the design, or conduct, or reporting, or dissemination plans of this research. Refer to the Methods section for further details.

Patient consent for publication: Not required.

Provenance and peer review: Not commissioned; externally peer reviewed.

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