Table 5:

MRPE of different models on training and test set

Model	Reported Cumulative Cases		Reported Deaths		Reported Active Cases
	Train	Test	Train	Test	Train	Test
Poisson	0.066	0.098	0.948	1.235	0.357	0.749
Binomial	0.069	0.100	0.961	1.222	0.363	0.737
Multinomial-2-parameter	0.206	0.087	1.248	1.270	0.569	0.705
Multinomial-3-parameter	0.127	0.017	0.396	1.516	0.445	1.096
Multinomial symptoms	0.120	0.019	1.188	1.867	0.437	1.232