Abstract
Background
Biliary atresia is a rare paediatric biliary obliteration disease with unknown aetiology, and is the most common indication for paediatric liver transplantation (LT). However, no consensus for predicting Kasai portoenterostomy (KP) outcomes using liver histological findings exists. Ki67 is a popular biomarker for measuring and monitoring cellular proliferation.
Methods
Ki67 (clone, MIB‐1) liver parenchyma expression was measured by immunohistochemical staining of samples from living donors and patients with biliary atresia to assess its value in predicting outcomes after KP.
Results
Of 35 children with biliary atresia, 13 were native liver survivors (NLS), 17 were non‐NLS, and five had primary LT. The median proportion of Ki67 immunostained areas in donors and patients with biliary atresia at KP was 0·06 and 0·99 per cent respectively. Univariable analysis identified a high proportion of Ki67 areas, high Ki67 cell numbers and high Ki67‐positive/leucocyte common antigen‐positive cell numbers at KP as significant predictors of poor native liver survival after KP (hazard ratio 9·29, 3·37 and 12·17 respectively). The proportion of Ki67 areas in the non‐NLS group was significantly higher than that in the NLS group (1·29 versus 0·72 per cent respectively; P = 0·001), and then decreased at LT (0·32 per cent versus 1·29 per cent at KP; P < 0·001).
Conclusion
This study has demonstrated the clinical data and time course of Ki67 expression in patients with biliary atresia. High Ki67 expression at KP may be an important predictor of native liver survival following the procedure.
No consensus exists for predicting outcomes after Kasai portoenterostomy (KP) using liver histological findings. Ki67 (clone, MIB‐1) expression in liver parenchyma was measured by means of immunohistochemical staining of samples from five living donors and 35 patients with biliary atresia to assess its value in predicting KP outcomes. Univariable analysis identified high expression of Ki67 at the time of KP as a significant predictor of poor native liver survival after the procedure.

Ki67 a potential marker for liver survival after Kasai portoenterostomy
Antecedentes
La atresia biliar (biliary atresia, BA) es una enfermedad pediátrica rara que consiste en una obstrucción biliar de etiología desconocida, y es la indicación pediátrica más frecuente de trasplante hepático (liver transplantation, LT). Sin embargo, no existe consenso para predecir los resultados de la portoenterostomía de Kasai (Kasai portoenterostomy, KP) en base a los hallazgos histológicos hepáticos. El Ki67 es un biomarcador conocido para medir y controlar la proliferación celular.
Métodos
Se midieron los niveles de expresión del parénquima hepático de Ki67 (clon, MIB‐1) por tinción inmunohistoquímica de las muestras de cinco donantes vivos y 35 pacientes con BA, para evaluar su valor predictivo de los resultados de la KP.
Resultados
Los pacientes con BA incluían 13 sobrevivientes con hígado nativo (native liver survivors, NLS), 17 no NLS y 5 pacientes que se sometieron inicialmente a LT. La proporción media de las áreas de expresión de Ki67 en donantes y pacientes con BA en KP fue de 0,06% y 0,99%, respectivamente. El análisis univariado identificó una alta proporción de áreas de Ki67, un alto número de células Ki67, un alto número de células Ki67 positivas (+)/leucocitos (LCA/CD45) + en KP como predictores significativos de una peor supervivencia del hígado nativo después de KP (cociente de riesgos instantáneos, hazard ratio, HR 9,29, 3,37 y 12,17, respectivamente). La proporción de las áreas Ki67 fueron significativamente superiores en los pacientes sin NLS que en los pacientes con NLS (P = 0,001). Entre los pacientes sin hígado nativo, los niveles de Ki67 disminuyeron posteriormente de acuerdo con la presencia de una lesión hepática irreparable, tales como son los hígados con BA en LT (en KP versus en LT = 1,29% versus 0.32%; P < 0,001).
Conclusión
Demostramos los datos clínicos y la evolución temporal de la expresión de Ki67 en los pacientes con BA. El alto nivel de expresión de Ki67 en KP puede ser un predictor importante para la supervivencia del hígado nativo después de KP.
Introduction
Biliary atresia is a rare paediatric disease characterized by an obliterative cholangiopathy of unknown pathogenesis 1 . Kasai portoenterostomy (KP) is usually performed during early infancy, but subsequent liver transplantation (LT) is necessary in failed cases. Biliary atresia is the most common indication for paediatric LT, and accounts for up to 50 per cent of paediatric LTs globally 1 . Although studies have tested histological variables to predict outcomes following KP, the results have been contradictory and no consensus exists on the most appropriate histological finding, such as the number or size of biliary ductules in the remnant bile duct 2 , 3 , 4 , 5 , the presence of giant cell transformation 6 , 7 , 8 , the degree of bile duct inflammation 8 , 9 , 10 , 11 , or the amount of liver fibrosis and ductular reaction 6 , 12 , 13 , 14 , 15 . Prediction of outcome after KP would allow patients with a poor prognosis to be sufficiently prepared for upcoming LT. In addition, knowledge of the causes of poor prognosis after KP would enable researchers to develop new treatments for patients with biliary atresia. Thus, finding a good prognostic biomarker is important.
Ki67 has been a popular biomarker for measuring and monitoring tumour proliferation for many years, especially in breast cancer 16 . Expression of Ki67 varies throughout the cell cycle, reaching a peak during mitosis and being absent during the G0 stage of the cell cycle 16 . The present authors hypothesized that advanced liver damage at KP might result in a poor outcome. In view of the regeneration potential of the liver, cellular turnover is expected to be faster than normal when the liver is damaged 17 , 18 , 19 , 20 . Thus, Ki67 may be an objective biomarker with which to predict prognosis after KP. Only one report 21 has been published on the association between Ki67 expression in bile duct cells and clinical outcome in patients with biliary atresia, and there appear to be no reports on the relationship between Ki67 expression in other liver cells and clinical outcome in these patients. There is also a lack of studies reporting on the time course of Ki67 expression according to liver functioning. The aim of this study was to assess Ki67 expression as a histological, prognostic and liver functional marker after KP in patients with biliary atresia.
Methods
This retrospective study used data from patients with biliary atresia who had undergone KP and/or LT in Kumamoto University Hospital, Kumamoto, Japan, and from living LT donors between January 2005 and December 2016. The living LT donors are described as ‘donors’ and those who had primary LT are described as ‘primary patients’ in this article.
All clinical data were obtained from electronic medical charts. Liver specimens collected from the periphery of native livers by wedge resection during surgery were used for liver histological examination in clinical practice; in the present study, the remaining specimens were used for research purposes. The fibrosis score of liver specimens was determined using the new Inuyama classification 22 : F0, no portal fibrosis; F1, fibrous portal expansion; F2, bridging fibrosis; F3, bridging fibrosis with lobular distortion; and F4, cirrhosis.
The institutional review board at Kumamoto University Hospital approved this retrospective study (number 371). Written informed consent was obtained from each patient (if they could understand the study aim) and their parents, or only from parents (when patients were too young to understand the aim).
Immunohistochemical staining
Specimens were fixed at room temperature for at least 72 h in 10 per cent formalin (Wako Pure Chemical Industries, Osaka, Japan) and embedded in paraffin (Sakura Finetek, Tokyo, Japan). Specimens were then sectioned at 3 μm. The immunohistochemical (IHC) staining protocol has been described previously 23 . Sections were immersed in EDTA solution (pH 8·0) for retrieval of the antigens Ki67, cytokeratin (CK) 19 and cluster of differentiation (CD) 163, and in citrate buffer (pH 6·0) (LSI Medience, Tokyo, Japan) for retrieval of hepatocyte paraffin (HepPar) 1, leucocyte common antigen (LCA/CD45) and α‐smooth muscle actin (αSMA). Samples were heated in a pressure cooker (Agilent, Santa Clara, California, USA) at 125°C for 5 min.
The primary antibodies and concentrations used were: mouse anti‐Ki67 (clone MIB‐1) at 1 : 100 (Agilent), mouse anti‐HepPar1 at 1 : 50 (Agilent), mouse anti‐LCA at 1 : 200 (Agilent), mouse anti‐αSMA at 1 : 100 (Agilent), rabbit anti‐CK19 at 1 : 1000 (Abcam, Cambridge, UK) and mouse anti‐CD163 (clone 10D6) at 1 : 300 (Novocastra, Newcastle, UK). The samples were incubated with horseradish peroxidase‐labelled goat antimouse or rabbit secondary antibodies (Nichirei Biosciences, Tokyo, Japan). Immunoreactions were visualized using a diaminobenzidine (DAB) substrate kit (Nichirei Biosciences). For double‐immunostaining, sections visualized with DAB in the first immunostaining were treated twice for 5 min by microwaving them in citrate buffer, and the second immunostaining was then performed, with the reaction visualized using HistoGreen (LINARIS Biologische Produkte, Dossenheim, Germany). Double‐IHC staining was performed using three pairs of markers with anti‐Ki67, including anti‐HepPar1 (for hepatocytes), anti‐LCA (for inflammatory cells, including Kupffer cells) and anti‐αSMA (for hepatic stellate cells) antibodies.
Image processing and cell counting
To quantify the proportion of immunostained areas per field (described in this study as the ‘area proportion’), using ImageJ 1.46 (National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, USA), three non‐overlapping, randomly selected areas (except portal areas) were viewed for each patient; for CK19‐immunostained sections, the portal areas were included. Immunostained sections were photographed with a microscope (BX51; Olympus, Tokyo, Japan) at 40× magnification for CK19 and 200× magnification for the others. Images of the immunostained sections were converted into 8‐bit greyscale images that had only colour intensity. Threshold values for positive signals of the selected images were adjusted (from 0 to 255), and were set at 100 for Ki67 and CK19, and 120 for CD163. This was because compensated images were more reflective of original images. The area proportion was then calculated. To quantify immunostaining by cell counting, six non‐overlapping areas (except portal areas) were selected randomly for the analyses. Immunostained sections were photographed at 400× magnification. Two pathologists, blinded to patient information, evaluated all sections.
Statistical analysis
All data are presented as median (range) values. The Mann–Whitney U test was used for comparisons between groups, and the Wilcoxon test for comparisons between two paired groups. To estimate the predictors of native liver survival after KP, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated for each clinical parameter generally used in clinical practice and for Ki67 values, and the areas under the ROC curves (AUROCs) were compared. Cut‐off values were determined by the Youden index based on the ROC curves, and patients with biliary atresia were divided into two groups on the basis of those values. Kaplan–Meier curves were generated for native liver survival rates, and groups were compared with the log rank test. Spearman's rank test was used to study associations between two variables. All tests were two‐sided, and P < 0·050 was considered statistically significant. Statistical analyses were performed with GraphPad Prism® 7 (GraphPad Software, San Diego, California, USA).
Results
At October 2018, of 35 children with biliary atresia, 13 were native liver survivors (NLS) and 17 were non‐NLS; these 17 patients underwent both KP and the subsequent LT at the authors' institution. The remaining five patients were primary patients.
Table 1 presents basic clinical and biochemical data for patients with biliary atresia, excluding primary patients. Nine patients were boys and 21 were girls. Their median gestational age, birthweight and age at KP were 39 (31–41) weeks, 2877 (940–4250) g and 69 (27–143) days respectively. Twenty‐nine patients had type III biliary obstruction 1 , and one patient had type I. The jaundice clearance rate was 53 per cent (16 of 30). Table 2 presents basic clinical and biochemical data for patients with biliary atresia in the NLS, non‐NLS (at KP), primary patient and non‐NLS (at LT) groups.
Table 1.
Basic clinical and biochemical data for patients with biliary atresia (excluding those who had primary liver transplantation)
| No. of patients (n = 30) | |
|---|---|
| NLS : non‐NLS | 13 : 17 |
| Gestational age (weeks) * | 39 (31–41) |
| Sex ratio (M : F) | 9 : 21 |
| Birthweight (g) * | 2877 (940–4250) |
| Age at KP (days) * | 69 (27–143) |
| Total bilirubin (mg/dl) * | 9·1 (4·8–11·6) |
| Direct bilirubin (mg/dl) * | 6·1 (2·6–8·0) |
| γ‐GTP (units/l) * | 376 (110–1896) |
| Total bile acids (μmol/l) * | 121·9 (68·2–327·4) |
| AST (units/l) * | 155 (54–338) |
| ALT (units/l) * | 90 (21–300) |
| Platelets (× 10 3 /μl) * | 437 (171–763) |
| PT‐INR * | 1·03 (0·82–1·44) |
| APRI * | 1·17 (0·29–4·17) |
| Type of biliary atresia | |
| I | 1 |
| II | 0 |
| III | 29 |
| Duration of surgery (min) * | 282 (216–397) |
| Blood loss (g) * | 23·5 (0–80) |
| Fibrosis score * | 2 (0–4) |
| Jaundice clearance achieved | 16 |
Values are median (range). NLS, native liver survivor; KP, Kasai portoenterostomy; GTP, glutamyl transferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; PT‐INR, prothrombin time international normalized ratio; APRI, AST to platelet ratio index.
Table 2.
Basic clinical and biochemical data for patients with biliary atresia according to group
| NLS (n = 13) | Non‐NLS (at KP) (n = 17) | Primary patients (n = 5) | Non‐NLS (at LT) (n = 17) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Age at KP (days)* | 60 (38–88) | 69 (27–143) | – | 69 (27–143) |
| Age at LT (days)* | – | – | 165 (130–216) | 209 (123–622) |
| Gestational age (weeks)* | 39 (31–41) | 39 (31–41) | 35 (29–41) | 39 (31–41) |
| Sex ratio (M : F) | 4 : 9 | 5 : 12 | 1 : 4 | 5 : 12 |
| Birthweight (g)* | 2876 (2124–3374) | 2982 (940–4250) | 2608 (1200–3272) | 2982 (940–4250) |
| Total bilirubin (mg/dl)* | 9·3 (5·6–11·6) | 9·0 (4·8–10·3) | 19·7 (10·1–32·6) | 13·1 (0·9–42·7) |
| Direct bilirubin (mg/dl)* | 6·3 (2·6–8·0) | 6·0 (3·1–6·8) | 11 (6·4–15·2) | 9·1 (0·4–28) |
| γ‐GTP (units/l)* | 580 (139–1896) | 371 (110–1025) | 99 (19–171) | 170 (24–513) |
| Total bile acids (μmol/l)* | 137·2 (93·8–327·4) | 114·4 (68·2–225·1) | 110·3 (23·1–215·6) | 148·5 (26·5–310·2) |
| AST (units/l)* | 149 (56–338) | 162 (54–303) | 342 (39–585) | 171 (69–1221) |
| ALT (units/l)* | 101 (21–283) | 89 (26–300) | 174 (13–318) | 119 (30–714) |
| Platelets (× 103/μl)* | 490 (274–763) | 327 (171–721) | 190 (1·7–370) | 167 (59–354) |
| PT‐INR* | 1·03 (0·82–1·31) | 1·07 (0·88–1·44) | 1·37 (1·23–2·52) | 1·37 (0·91–1·79) |
| APRI* | 0·82 (0·32–2·67) | 1·27 (0·29–4·17) | 4·86 (2·77–67·47) | 3·90 (0·57–16·1) |
| Total protein (g/dl)* | 5·6 (4·9–6·4) | 5·8 (4·3–6·9) | 6·0 (4·2–8·4) | 5·8 (4·2–7·4) |
| Cholinesterase (units/l)* | 269 (141–359) | 272 (167–397) | 96 (51–383) | 108 (61–212) |
| Total cholesterol (mg/dl)* | 182 (122–448) | 181 (96–292) | 149 (78–270) | 150 (75–215) |
Values are median (range). NLS, native liver survivor; LT, liver transplantation; KP, Kasai portoenterostomy; GTP, glutamyl transferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; PT‐INR, prothrombin time international normalized ratio; APRI, AST to platelet ratio index.
Ki67 immunohistochemical staining in liver specimens
To investigate Ki67 expression in liver specimens, IHC staining was performed using five donor livers and livers from patients with biliary atresia. There were few Ki67‐positive (+) cells in donor livers (Fig. 1a ). In donors, the median Ki67 area proportion and cell numbers were 0·06 (0·01–0·10) per cent and 47 (0–146) per mm2 respectively (Fig. 1b,c ). The respective median values for the 30 patients with biliary atresia (excluding primary patients) were 0·99 (0·40–3·60) per cent and 403 (244–1097) per mm2 respectively (Fig. 1b,c ). Ki67 expression varied among patients with biliary atresia (Fig. 1d ).
Figure 1.

Representative Ki67 expression in liver specimens from living donors and patients with biliary atresia a Representative Ki67 immunohistochemical (IHC) staining from donor liver specimen. Scale bar, 50 μm. b Dot plot of Ki67‐positive (+) areas of donor and patients with biliary atresia at Kasai portoenterostomy (KP). c Dot plot of Ki67 cell numbers in donors and patients with biliary atresia at KP. Horizontal bars indicate median values. d,e Representative low and high Ki67 IHC expression in liver of patients with biliary atresia. Scale bar, 50 μm. f–h Representative IHC staining of Ki67+/hepatocyte paraffin (HepPar) 1+, Ki67+/leucocyte common antigen (LCA)+ and Ki67+/α‐smooth muscle actin (αSMA)+ cells in liver from patients with biliary atresia. Scale bars, 20 μm.
The liver has many types of cell, including hepatocytes, Kupffer cells, hepatic stellate cells and cholangiocytes. To identify which cells in patients with biliary atresia expressed Ki67, double IHC staining was performed. This showed that cells expressing Ki67 included HepPar1, LCA and αSMA cells (Fig. 1e ).
Factors associated with native liver survival after Kasai portoenterostomy
Among the AUROCs of clinical parameters and Ki67 values, large values were found for Ki67 area proportion (AUROC 0·83, P = 0·002), Ki67 cell number (AUROC 0·73, P = 0·036) and platelet count (AUROC 0·74, P = 0·028) (Table 3 ; Fig. S1a–c , supporting information).
Table 3.
Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses for estimating prognostic factors after Kasai portoenterostomy
| AUROC | P | Cut‐off value | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ki67 area proportion (%) | 0·83 (0·69, 0·98) | 0·002 | 0·77 |
| Ki67 cell number (per mm2) | 0·73 (0·54, 0·91) | 0·036 | 382 |
| Ki67+/LCA+ cell number (per mm2) | 0·67 (0·46, 0·89) | 0·126 | 117 |
| Ki67+/HepPar1+ cell number (per mm2) | 0·62 (0·40, 0·83) | 0·297 | 153 |
| Ki67+/αSMA+ cell number (per mm2) | 0·60 (0·37, 0·83) | 0·393 | 88 |
| Age at KP (days) | 0·51 (0·30, 0·72) | 0·933 | 60 |
| Total bilirubin (mg/dl) | 0·53 (0·32, 0·74) | 0·769 | 7·95 |
| Direct bilirubin (mg/dl) | 0·54 (0·32, 0·76) | 0·691 | 6·25 |
| γ‐GTP (units/l) | 0·59 (0·36, 0·82) | 0·414 | 700·5 |
| Total bile acids (μmol/l) | 0·69 (0·49, 0·88) | 0·082 | 124·8 |
| AST (units/l) | 0·51 (0·30, 0·73) | 0·917 | 317 |
| ALT (units/l) | 0·51 (0·29, 0·72) | 0·950 | 118 |
| Platelets (× 103/μl) | 0·74 (0·56, 0·92) | 0·028 | 340 |
| PT‐INR | 0·65 (0·44, 0·85) | 0·174 | 1·07 |
| APRI | 0·65 (0·44, 0·85) | 0·174 | 1·77 |
| Duration of surgery (min) | 0·69 (0·47, 0·92) | 0·075 | 299 |
| Blood loss (g) | 0·50 (0·28, 0·72) | 0·983 | 27·5 |
| Fibrosis score | 0·52 (0·31, 0·73) | 0·867 | 2 |
Values in parentheses are 95 per cent confidence intervals. AUROC, area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; +, positive; LCA, leucocyte common antigen; HepPar, hepatocyte paraffin; αSMA, α‐smooth muscle actin; KP, Kasai portoenterostomy; GTP, glutamyl transferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; PT‐INR, prothrombin time international normalized ratio; APRI, AST to platelet ratio index.
Univariable analysis was performed to explore the risk factors associated with native liver survival after KP. High Ki67 area proportion, high Ki67 cell number, high Ki67+/LCA+ cell number, low platelet count, high PT‐INR and low duration of surgery were significant predictors of poor native liver survival (Table 4 ; Fig. S1d–f, supporting information). No association was found between survival and other clinical parameters, Ki67+/HepPar1+ cell number or Ki67+/αSMA+ cell number. Livers with high Ki67 area proportions had a significantly worse native liver survival rate than those with low Ki67 area proportions (hazard ratio (HR) 9·29, 95 per cent c.i. 3·47 to 24·91; P = 0·008) ( Fig. S1d , supporting information). Livers with a high proportion of Ki67+/LCA+ cells had a significantly worse native liver survival rate than those with a low proportion (HR 12·17, 3·92 to 37·78; P = 0·002) ( Fig. S1f , supporting information).
Table 4.
Univariable analysis of risk factors associated with native liver survival after Kasai portoenterostomy
| Hazard ratio | P * | |
|---|---|---|
| Ki67 area proportion ≥ 0·77% | 9·29 (3·47, 24·91) | 0·008 |
| Ki67 cell number ≥ 382/mm2 | 3·37 (1·28, 8·82) | 0·040 |
| Ki67+/LCA+ cell number ≥ 117/mm2 | 12·17 (3·92, 37·78) | 0·002 |
| Ki67+/HepPar1+ cell number ≥ 153/mm2 | 1·65 (0·58, 4·74) | 0·345 |
| Ki67+/αSMA+ cell number ≥ 88/mm2 | 2·32 (0·84, 6·40) | 0·111 |
| Age at KP ≥ 61 days | 1·23 (0·48, 3·20) | 0·668 |
| Total bilirubin < 7·95 mg/dl | 1·71 (0·56, 5·19) | 0·282 |
| Direct bilirubin < 6·25 mg/dl | 1·49 (0·57, 3·87) | 0·430 |
| γ‐GTP < 700·5 units/l | 3·24 (1·15, 9·12) | 0·100 |
| Total bile acids < 124·8 μmol/l | 2·55 (0·99, 6·61) | 0·065 |
| AST < 317 units/l | 3·06 (0·60, 15·50) | 0·192 |
| ALT ≥ 118 units/l | 1·41 (0·51, 3·86) | 0·483 |
| Platelets < 340 × 103/μl | 3·01 (1·03, 8·76) | 0·015 |
| PT‐INR ≥ 1·07 | 3·04 (1·04, 8·87) | 0·015 |
| APRI ≥ 1·77 | 2·37 (0·81, 6·88) | 0·062 |
| Duration of surgery < 299 min | 6·92 (2·67, 17·93) | 0·002 |
| Blood loss ≥ 27·5 g | 1·72 (0·56, 5·21) | 0·279 |
| Fibrosis score ≥ 2 | 1·11 (0·42, 2·96) | 0·825 |
+, Positive; LCA, leucocyte common antigen; HepPar, hepatocyte paraffin; αSMA, α‐smooth muscle actin; KP, Kasai portoenterostomy; GTP, glutamyl transferase; AST, aspartate aminotransferase; ALT, alanine aminotransferase; PT‐INR, prothrombin time international normalized ratio; APRI, AST to platelet ratio index.
Log rank test.
Comparison of Ki67 expression in native liver survivors and non‐survivors
The Ki67 area proportion, identified as a significant predictor of poor native liver survival in univariable analysis, was compared in NLS and non‐NLS groups. The median Ki67 area proportion was significantly higher in the non‐NLS group (1·29 per cent versus 0·72 per cent in the NLS group; P = 0·001) (Fig. 2a ). The median Ki67 cell number was also significantly higher in the non‐NLS group (489 versus 374 cells/mm2 respectively; P = 0·036) (Fig. 2b ).
Figure 2.

Dot plots of Ki67 expression and cell numbers in native liver survivors and non‐native liver survivors Median values for a Ki67 area proportions, b Ki67 cell number, c Ki67‐positive (+)/leucoctye common antigen (LCA)+ cell numbers, d Ki67+/hepatocyte paraffin (HepPar) 1+ cell numbers, and e Ki67+/α‐smooth muscle actin (αSMA)+ cell numbers in native liver survivors (NLS) and non‐native liver survivors (non‐NLS). a P = 0·001, b P = 0·036, c P = 0·130, d P = 0·307, e P = 0·404 (Mann–Whitney U test).
Numbers of Ki67+/LCA+ cells, also identified in univariable analysis as a significant prognostic predictor in livers with biliary atresia, were then compared. Numbers of Ki67+/LCA+ cells were higher in the non‐NLS than in the NLS group, but the difference was not significant (P = 0·130) (Fig. 2c ). Numbers of Ki67+/HepPar1+ and Ki67+/αSMA+ cells were also higher in the non‐NLS group, but again the differences were not significant (P = 0·307 and P = 0·404 respectively) (Fig. 2d,e ).
Change in Ki67 expression between Kasai portoenterostomy and liver transplantation
To explore the association between Ki67 expression and the time course after KP, Ki67 expression was examined in donor livers (as normal livers) and livers with biliary atresia (Fig. 3a ), obtained at KP (30 livers), primary LT (5) or LT (17). LT specimens were obtained at the time of LT from patients with biliary atresia who had undergone KP in the authors' institution. Median patient age at LT was 209 (123–622) days (Table 2 ). The median Ki67 area proportion in the KP group was higher than that in the donor group (Fig. 3a ). The median Ki67 area proportion in the primary group was significantly lower than that in the KP group (0·12 versus 0·99 per cent respectively; P < 0·001). The Ki67 area proportion in the LT group was significantly lower than that in the KP group (0·32 versus 0·99 per cent respectively; P < 0·001) (Fig. 3a ).
Figure 3.

Ki67 expression changes in liver from patients with biliary atresia a Comparison of Ki67 areas in liver specimens of 30 patients with biliary atresia at the time at Kasai portoenterostomy (KP), five patients who had primary liver transplantation (LT) and 17 patients with biliary atresia at the time at LT. Values for five living LT donors are shown as a control. Horizontal bars indicate median values. b Time course of the proportion of Ki67 areas in liver specimens at KP and LT in non‐native liver survivors with biliary atresia. c,d Representative immunohistochemical (IHC) staining showing Ki67 expression in liver specimens at KP and LT in the same patient with biliary atresia. PV, portal vein area. Scale bars, 200 μm. a P < 0·001 (Mann–Whitney U test).
To ascertain the time course of Ki67 expression in detail, Ki67 expression in livers of patients in the non‐NLS group was compared between the times of KP and LT. Almost all of the Ki67 area proportions decreased with time, and median Ki67 expression at LT was significantly lower than that at KP (0·32 versus 1·29 per cent respectively; P < 0·001, Wilcoxon test) (Fig. 3b ). Fig. 3c,d shows representative images that demonstrate the time course of Ki67 expression at KP and LT in the same patient.
To investigate the association between Ki67 expression and liver function, a dot plot was generated to demonstrate Ki67 expression and the fibrosis score for all patients with biliary atresia. Patients in the NLS group appeared mainly in the left lower part of the plot, those in the non‐NLS group in the upper part, and the primary patients in the right lower part (Fig. 4a ).
Figure 4.

Ki67 area proportion, fibrosis score, and perspective for the clinical use of Ki67 expression a Dot plot of Ki67 area proportion for each fibrosis score for all patients with biliary atresia: native liver survivors (NLS), non‐NLS and primary liver transplantation (LT) groups. b Schematic diagram providing a perspective for the clinical use of Ki67 expression. Patients with biliary atresia are distributed by Ki67 area proportion for each fibrosis score (F0–F4). The grouping corresponds with their prognosis and selects their first treatment, Kasai portoenterostomy (KP) or primary LT.
Discussion
This study found that Ki67 expression in liver parenchyma of patients with biliary atresia might be used as a biomarker for predicting native liver survival after KP, and that high Ki67 expression and Ki67+/LCA+ cell numbers at the time of KP were associated with poor clinical prognosis. In addition, Ki67 expression in livers with biliary atresia decreased as liver function deteriorated.
Immunohistochemical detection of the Ki67 antigen has been used for many years to assess cancer proliferation 16 . However, few reports have focused on Ki67 as a biomarker in non‐tumour diseases such as biliary atresia. Funaki and colleagues 24 demonstrated that the Ki67 labelling index in the biliary ducts of livers with biliary atresia was higher than that in normal control livers, but the differences were not statistically significant. Kinugasa and co‐workers 21 found that the MIB‐1 index in biliary cells did not differ between patients with biliary atresia and poor bile drainage and those with good bile drainage. These results suggested that assessment of Ki67 expression in bile ducts could not be used for prognosis in biliary atresia. However, Hossain et al. 7 reported that the expression in hepatocytes of proliferating cell nuclear antigen, a marker of cellular proliferation, was closely related to the prognosis of patients with biliary atresia. Therefore, measuring Ki67 alone in liver parenchyma may help obtain an accurate prognosis for patients with biliary atresia. This result is reasonable, because an increase in Ki67 cell numbers occurs as a result of active cellular reactions that may be the response to liver injury 17 , 20 . Patients with a high Ki67 area proportion may have more severe liver damage than those with a low Ki67 area proportion. IHC assessment of the Ki67 labelling index is the method used most widely to determine cell proliferation; however, standardization of Ki67 staining and cell counting is problematic, and interlaboratory reproducibility is variable 25 .
Few reports have been published on the preoperative identification of patients with biliary atresia and a poor prognosis following KP. Azarow and colleagues 10 found that the presence of syncytial giant cells, lobular inflammation, focal necrosis, bridging necrosis and cholangitis in preoperative liver biopsy samples was associated with failure of KP, consistent with the present authors' findings that a high number of Ki67+/LCA+ cells at KP was associated with poor prognosis. LCA is a marker of inflammatory cells, including Kupffer cells. Therefore, a high accumulation of inflammatory cells in livers with biliary atresia may be an important factor for assessing prognosis after KP. Liver fibrosis has also been associated with the prognosis of patients with biliary atresia after KP 12 , 15 . High perisinusoidal deposition of type I collagen at KP was associated with poor progression after KP 26 . A high level of αSMA expression was also significantly associated with poor KP outcomes 27 , 28 , 29 . Although the number of Ki67+/αSMA+ cells in the non‐NLS group was higher than that in the NLS group in the present study, this did not appear to have any association with native liver survival. CD163 is a specific marker of activated macrophages associated with liver fibrosis 30 , 31 ; however, little evidence was found in the present study for an association with Ki67 (Fig. S2, supporting information). This may indicate that the activity of inflammatory cells may be more important for the prognosis of patients with biliary atresia than that of liver stellate cells. One report 32 demonstrated that pharmacological inhibition and antibody neutralization of serum matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) 7 suppressed the experimental biliary atresia phenotype in neonatal mice infected by rotavirus. MMP acts on proinflammatory cytokines, chemokines and other proteins to regulate inflammation 33 . Thus, inhibition of inflammation may contribute to improving the prognosis of patients with biliary atresia before or after KP as a future therapeutic possibility.
The Ki67 expression changes between KP and LT were an intriguing finding. Ki67 expression increased at KP and decreased at LT to the same level as that in donors, and Ki67 expression decreased from KP to that at LT among the same patients in the non‐NLS group. Ki67 expression in the primary patients was significantly lower than that in patients with biliary atresia in the KP group. These results suggest that the change in Ki67 expression was due to liver function changes and/or liver damage in patients with biliary atresia.
The combination of Ki67 expression and fibrosis score may be helpful to separate patients with biliary atresia into four types (groups A–D) that predict different prognoses (Fig. 4b ), and initial treatment (KP or primary LT) may be selected according to this grouping. At present, no consensus exists on primary LT indications. Thus, if liver biopsy is used before intraoperative cholangiography to determine Ki67 expression and the fibrosis score, the values of these two histological parameters may be used as an indicator for primary LT (for example, extremely high Ki67 expression or extremely low Ki67 expression with a high fibrosis score).
A limitation of this study is the small number of patients included. In addition, the age of control patients was different to that of patients with biliary atresia, and there was no age‐matching.
As KP procedures have improved, the clinical outcome of patients with biliary atresia has also improved; however, the jaundice clearance rate is only around 60 per cent 1 , 34 . Therefore, many patients already have irreversible liver changes at the time of KP. High‐quality biomarkers that can assess success before surgery are needed. This study compared liver histological findings at the time of surgery, and the findings need to be verified using preoperative biopsy samples. The use of biopsy samples to assess outcomes before surgery would enable the selection of patients for primary LT, although for patients with low expression of Ki67 it would be difficult to decide on the indication for KP or primary LT. This approach should be validated in future studies with more patients.
Supporting information
Appendix S1: Supporting information
Acknowledgements
The authors thank T. Nakagawa for technical assistance with the IHC procedure, and also thank Y. Saito, K. Ohnishi and Y. Fujiwara, from the Department of Cell Pathology, Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Kumamoto University, for their assistance with IHC techniques and useful advice. Enago (www.enago.jp) is thanked for the English‐language review. This work was supported by JSPS KAKENHI (number 16 K11349) and Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development (18ek0109258h0002 and 19ek0109258h0003).
Disclosure: The authors declare no conflict of interest.
Presented in part to the 45th Annual Meeting of the Japanese Biliary Atresia Society, Kurume, Fukuoka, Japan, November 2018; published in abstract form as J Jpn Soc Pediatr Surg 2018; 54: 1441
Funding information
JSPS KAKENHI, 16 K11349
Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, 18ek0109258h0002, 19ek0109258h0003
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Supplementary Materials
Appendix S1: Supporting information
