Skip to main content
PLOS One logoLink to PLOS One
. 2020 Oct 21;15(10):e0241020. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0241020

Postoperative complications and hospital costs following small bowel resection surgery

Dong-Kyu Lee 1, Ashlee Frye 2, Maleck Louis 2, Anoop Ninan Koshy 3, Shervin Tosif 2, Matthew Yii 2, Ronald Ma 4, Mehrdad Nikfarjam 5, Marcos Vinicius Perini 5, Rinaldo Bellomo 6,7, Laurence Weinberg 2,5,*
Editor: Ehab Farag8
PMCID: PMC7577438  PMID: 33085700

Abstract

Background

Postoperative complications after major gastrointestinal surgery are a major contributor to hospital costs. Thus, reducing postoperative complications is a key target for cost-containment strategies. We aimed to evaluate the relationship between postoperative complications and hospital costs following small bowel resection.

Methods

Postoperative complications were recorded for 284 adult patients undergoing major small bowel resection surgery between January 2013 and June 2018. Complications were defined and graded according to the Clavien–Dindo classification system. In-hospital cost of index admission was calculated using an activity-based costing methodology; it was reported in US dollars at 2019 rates. Regression modeling was used to investigate the relationships among a priori selected perioperative variables, complications, and costs.

Findings

The overall complication prevalence was 81.6% (95% CI: 85.7–77.5). Most complications (69%) were minor, but 22.9% of patients developed a severe complication (Clavien–Dindo grades III or IV). The unadjusted median total hospital cost for patients with any complication was 70% higher than patients without complications (median [IQR] USD 19,659.64 [13,545.81–35,407.14] vs. 11,551.88 [8,849.46–15,329.87], P < 0.001). The development of 1, 2, 3, and ≥ 4 complications increased hospital costs by 11%, 41%, 50%, and 195%, respectively. Similarly, more severe complications incurred higher hospital costs (P < 0.001). After adjustments were made (for the Charlson Comorbidity Index, anemia, surgical urgency and technique, intraoperative fluid administration, blood transfusion, and hospital readmissions), a greater number and increased severity of complications were associated with a higher adjusted median hospital cost. Patients who experienced complications had an adjusted additional median cost of USD 4,187.10 (95% CI: 1,264.89–7,109.31, P = 0.005) compared to those without complications.

Conclusions

Postoperative complications are a key target for cost-containment strategies. Our findings demonstrate a high prevalence of postoperative complications following small bowel resection surgery and quantify their associated increase in hospital costs.

Trial registration

Australian Clinical Trials Registration number: 12620000322932

Introduction

Identifying the major cost drivers associated with surgical procedures can enable clinicians and hospital administrators to make more informed decisions regarding resource allocation. In turn, these decisions can help guide cost-reduction strategies. Although some studies have evaluated the detailed costs of complications associated with abdominal surgery [14], few studies have explored the health costs of complications following small bowel resection surgery. The incidence of small intestine cancer is increasing. In the past 10 years, rates of new small intestine cancer have been rising on average 2.3% each year in the United States of America [5]. In the United Kingdom, the incidence rate has increased by 56% in the last 10 years [6]. In Australia, a similar trend is seen with the age-standardized incidence rate increasing from 0.7 cases per 100,000 persons to 2.2 per 100,000 between 1982 and 2018 [7]. As international healthcare costs are significant and increasing, concerns about government expenditure have been growing. This has resulted in the threat of rapidly increasing surgical costs being moved to the forefront of public debate.

To address the cost of complications in patients undergoing small bowel resection, we conducted a retrospective cost analysis study. The primary aim of this study was to evaluate the relationship between postoperative complications and hospital costs. The secondary aim was to identify the major cost drivers associated with complications. We hypothesized that increasing complication severity and count would be associated with increased hospital costs.

Materials and methods

Study design

The Austin Health Human Research Ethics Committee approved this study and provided a waiver for participant consent (Audit/19/Austin/88). The study protocol was registered in the Australian–New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry (No:12620000322932), which is accessible from http://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?ACTRN=12620000322932.

This study is reported following the Strengthening the Reporting of Cohort Studies in Surgery (STROCSS) guidelines [8]. We conducted a single-center cohort study with retrospective data collection to determine complications and costs associated with postoperative complications following small bowel resection surgery.

Setting

This study was conducted at a public university teaching hospital in Australia, which has a high volume of abdominal surgery. Inclusion criteria included adult patients (age > 18 years) who had undergone primary elective or emergency small bowel resections between January 2013 and June 2018. Patients were identified using the International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems 10th Revision (ICD-10) and codes specific to small bowel resection (S1 Table in S1 Appendix). We included all open and laparoscopic surgical techniques in the sample.

We excluded patients who had undergone primary colonic, rectal, or anal resection. We also excluded those who had small bowel enterectomy for an isolated stoma reversal and small bowel resection that was secondary to another major procedure (e.g., small bowel resection for gut ischemic post-cardiac surgery).

Outcomes

Total hospital cost was defined as the sum of direct and indirect in-hospital costs of index admission for small bowel resection surgery. Raw costing data were obtained from our institution’s clinical informatics and costing center, which included patient-care activities relating to anesthesia, operative theater, the intensive care unit (ICU), ward, medical consults, allied health, pathology, blood products, pharmacy, radiology, medical emergency team calls, and hospital-in-the-home. Costs incurred during the preoperative period were excluded from data analysis to prevent potential confounding due to preoperative cost drivers. In-hospital costs arising from any unplanned readmissions within 30 days of discharge were added to the total cost. Costs were inflated to 31 December 2019 based on the end-of-fiscal-quarter Australian Consumer Price Index [9]. The costs were then converted to United States dollars (USD) based on the market rate on 31 December 2019 [10]. In-hospital costs were calculated according to an activity-based costing methodology that allocated costs based on service volume. Postoperative complications during index admission were coded by the Data Analytics Research and Evaluation Center and were independently cross-checked with a complete chart review by two authors.

Definitions

Postoperative complications were defined as being any deviation from the normal postoperative course during the index admission for small bowel resection surgery, which was guided by the European Perioperative Clinical Outcome definitions [11]. The severity of complications was graded according to the Clavien–Dindo (CVD) system [12], which is a validated classification system that categorizes complication severity based on the level of required treatment. CVD grade I includes any deviation from the normal postoperative course that does not require intervention—excluding antiemetics, antipyretics, analgesia, diuretics, electrolytes, and physiotherapy. CVD grade II requires pharmacological treatment, blood transfusion, or total parenteral nutrition. CVD grade III requires radiological, surgical, or endoscopic intervention. CVD grade IV includes any life-threatening complications that require intensive care management, and CVD grade V is when death occurs. Patients were stratified into groups based on the worst complication severity recorded.

The length of stay was defined as the number of days from completion of surgery to discharge, excluding days on leave or in the hospital-in-the-home unit. Readmissions were defined as any unplanned readmission 30 days post-discharge. Mortality was defined as in-patient mortality according to the definition of CVD grade V classification (i.e., death of a patient).

Data sources

Data collection was undertaken using Cerner® electronic health records (Cerner Millennium, Kansas USA), which contained prospectively recorded perioperative and patient health variables. The collected perioperative data included patient demographics, body mass index, history of smoking within one year of surgery, history of alcohol abuse, the American Society of Anesthesiologists score [13], the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) [14], diagnosis of malignancy, preoperative chemotherapy within three months, history of previous small or large bowel resection, and history of previous abdominal surgery. The collected preoperative laboratory data included hemoglobin concentration, platelet concentration, serum albumin and bilirubin concentrations, serum creatinine level, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

Collected intraoperative data included operation urgency (i.e., emergency or elective), surgical techniques (e.g., open laparotomy or laparoscopic surgery), operative time, intraoperative use of vasoactive medications (e.g., inotropes or vasopressors) and administered crystalloid, and colloid volumes. The collected postoperative data included ICU admission, ICU care duration, length of hospital stay, destination following discharge, 30-day readmission, and postoperative hemoglobin concentration. Data related to blood product transfusions were collected, which included preoperative, intraoperative, and postoperative allogeneic red blood cell transfusion.

Statistical methods

Statistical analysis was performed using IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, version 23 (IBM Corp, Armonk, NY, USA) and R version 4.0.0 (R Development Core Team, Vienna, Austria, 2020). Study patients were classified into two groups: the ‘no complication group’ (NPC) for patients who did not experience postoperative complications and the ‘complication group’ (PC) for patients who experienced one or more postoperative complications.

Before statistical analysis, missing data analysis was performed to detect more than 5% missing values for all variables. For variables with less than 5% of missing values, statistical analysis excluding cases by analysis was planned. The multiple imputation method was performed in cases of missing values of more than 5%. All continuous variables were tested for normality using the Q-Q plot. When the normality assumption was violated, non-parametric statistical methods were considered. Comparative statistics were estimated using Student’s t-test, Mann–Whitney U test, Chi-square test, Cochran–Armitage test, and Fisher’s exact test, depending on the characteristics of the variables and the results of the required assumption tests. Data are presented as mean ± standard deviation (SD) or median [IQR] for continuous variables and number (percentile) for categorical variables. Comparative results are presented with a P-value and corresponding effect size. A two-tailed P-value below 0.050 was considered to be statistically significant.

Total hospital costs in relation to complications were analyzed using unadjusted and adjusted hospital costs. For the adjusted analyses, costs were analyzed according to the occurrence, number, and severity of complications using covariates of both clinical and statistical importance. To evaluate the unadjusted relationship between postoperative complications and hospital costs, the Mann–Whitney U test and the Kruskal–Wallis H test were used. When the Kruskal–Wallis H test revealed significant differences, all multiple pairwise comparisons were performed under a Bonferroni adjusted P-value. Detailed cost items were compared by the groups and the number and severity of complications using the Mann–Whitney U and the Kruskal–Wallis H tests.

For the adjusted hospital cost analysis as the primary outcome, we estimated a bootstrapped quantile regression model. The independent variable was the presence, number, and severity of complications; the dependent variable was hospital cost. The a priori selected covariates were the CCI, preoperative anemia, emergency surgery, surgical technique, the volume of intraoperative fluid administration, and transfusion during admission. Because hospital cost had a severely positively skewed distribution (skewness of 6.45: 95% CI: 6.20–6.71), we used quantile regression modeling to investigate the cost-driving effects of complications according to low (25th quantile), median (50th quantile), and high (75th quantile) cost brackets. Spearman’s correlation analysis was performed to clarify which variables were in a relationship with complications and hospital costs. Based on the correlation analysis results (see S1 Fig in S1 Appendix) and considering the clinical relevance, several variables were then selected for the adjusted regression analysis. Bootstrapped quantile regression was performed using the ‘quantreg’ package in R [15]. For each estimation, three quantile regression models were included: the 25th percentile, the 50th percentile (median), and the 75th percentile. The estimated models were evaluated using pseudo-R2 and the Akaike information criterion. The Wald test was used to compare the estimated parameters from different percentile or linear regressions. Heteroskedasticity was evaluated using the studentized Breusch–Pagan test. To assess multicollinearity, variance inflation factors were used. The estimated values are expressed with a 95% confidence interval (95% CI). To correct for multiple comparisons, the Bonferroni correction was applied.

Results

Baseline patient characteristics

From 383 potentially eligible patients who had undergone small bowel resection at our institution, 35 (9.1%) were excluded. The reasons for exclusion were age less than 18 years (n = 2), small bowel resection aborted (n = 7), and small bowel resection secondary to another major surgical procedure (n = 26). Thus, 348 patients were included in the final statistical analysis.

Among the data of 348 patients, missing data analysis demonstrated fewer than 5% missing values for all variables. The variables with the highest missing data rate were ‘preoperative bilirubin concentration’ (4.3%), ‘intraoperative crystalloid administration volume’ (3.4%), ‘preoperative albumin concentration’ (2.9%), and ‘lowest postoperative hemoglobin concentration’ (0.9%). Statistical analysis was performed as a complete case analysis. Patients in the PC group were older, had greater comorbidities (as reflected by the CCI), and had a higher American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status classification compared to NPC patients (all P < 0.001). Further, patients in the PC group were more likely to be anemic (P = 0.034) and to have reduced renal function (P < 0.001). The proportion of patients with hypoalbuminemia was also higher in the PC group than the NPC group (55.2% vs. 34.4%, respectively, P = 0.004). The baseline characteristics and preoperative variables of patients are presented in Table 1.

Table 1. Preoperative baseline patient characteristics.

Variables NPC group (N = 64) PC group (N = 284) Mean difference P value Effect size
Female gender 28 (43.8) 137 (48.2) - 0.580 0.03
Age (years) 53.7 ± 16.9 64.8 ± 18.1 11.1 (6.2–16.0) <0.001* 0.62
BMI (kg/m2) 27.02 ± 6.30 26.00± 6.35 1.06 (-2.87–0.67) 0.230 0.17
Smoker within 1 year 13 (20.3) 47 (16.5) - 0.583 0.04
Alcohol abuse 1 (1.6) 13 (4.6) - 0.481 0.06
Malignancy 8 (12.5) 50 (17.6) - 0.360 0.05
Preoperative chemotherapy 2 (3.1) 13 (4.6) - >0.999 0.03
Previous small bowel resection 14 (21.9) 78 (27.5) - 0.434 0.05
Previous abdominal surgery 30 (46.9) 165 (58.1) - 0.125 0.09
ASA I 11 (17.2) 10 (3.5) - <0.001* 0.37
II 36 (56.3) 79 (27.8)
III 16 (25) 124 (43.7)
IV 1 (1.6) 68 (23.9)
V 0 (0.0) 3 (1.1)
CCI 3 (1–4), [0:10] 4 (2–6), [0:15] - <0.001* 0.23
Preoperative anemia 18 (28.1) 122 (43.0) - 0.034* 0.12
Preoperative platelet count (× 103/μℓ) 274.3 ± 96.8 271.6 ± 116.4 -2.7 (-33.5–28.1) 0.861 0.02
GFR (ml/min/1.73m2) Over 90 32 (50) 93 (33) - <0.001* 0.22
60–89 29 (45.3) 109 (38.7)
45–59 1 (1.6) 32 (11.3)
30–44 1 (1.6) 21 (7.4)
15–29 1 (1.6) 23 (8.2)
Below 15 0 (0) 4 (1.4)
Hypoalbuminemia 21 (34.4) 153 (55.2) - 0.004* 0.16
Hyperbilirubinemia 2 (3.3) 41 (15.1) - 0.018* 0.14

NPC group: No postoperative complication group, PC group: Postoperative complication group. Data are presented as number (percentile), mean ± SD or median (interquartile range), [Min:Max]. ASA: American Society of Anesthesiologist physical classification system, CCI: Charlson Comorbidity index, eGFR: estimated glomerular filtration rate. Student’s t-test, Mann-Whitney U test, Chi-square or Fisher’s exact test were used and described corresponding effect size as Cohen’s d for Student’s t-test, common language effect size r for U test, Cramér’s V for Chi-square and Fisher’s exact tests.

*: indicates P<0.05

†: Anemia defined as Hb below 130 g/L for men and 120 g/L for women

‡: according to the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes 2012 Clinical Practice Guideline for the Evaluation and Management of Chronic Kidney Diseases.

Complications

Overall, 284 patients experienced one or more postoperative complications (PC group incidence rate of 81.6% [95% CI: 85.7–77.5]), with 64 patients discharged without complications (NPC group). The numbers of patients with 1, 2, 3, and ≥ 4 complications were 59 (20.8%), 49 (17.2%), 56 (19.7%), and 120 (42.3%), respectively. The median [IQR] number of complications per patient in the PC group was 3 [25]. Of the PC patients, 59 (20.8%) were CVD grade I, 137 (48.2%) CVD grade II, 21 (7.4%) CVD grade III, and 44 (15.5%) CVD grade IV. The mortality rate was 8.1% (23 deaths). The correlation coefficient between the number and severity of complications was 0.709 (P < 0.001), indicating a high relationship. Of the patients, 86% who developed a grade IV complication and 81% who developed a grade III complication experienced > 4 complications in total. Of the patients who developed a grade II complication, 64% experienced ≥ 3 complications, 23.7% had 2 complications, and 49.2% had 1 complication. A detailed overview of the specific type and severity of each postoperative complication is presented in S2 Table in S1 Appendix.

Adjusted costs

S1 Fig in S1 Appendix presents the Spearman correlation analysis results among complications, total hospital cost, and other collected variables. Among the collected variables, the following were selected as covariates: the CCI, preoperative anemia, surgical technique, emergency surgery, the volume of intraoperative fluid administration, and transfusion during admission. The CCI is a representative variable for preoperative patients’ status. Preoperative anemia significantly correlated with complications and hospital costs; it was selected as a covariate because of its important clinical relevance. Although its correlation coefficient was weak, the surgical technique consistently correlated with complications and hospital costs.

Emergency surgery was selected as a covariate because it is not included in the CCI classification. Intraoperative fluid volume had a weak relationship with the number of complications and hospital costs; however, as it can be related to postoperative complications, it was selected as a covariate [16]. Transfusion during admission showed a moderate relationship with the severity of complications and hospital costs, and a weak relationship with the number of complications. As transfusion and anemia are associated with the development of postoperative complications, they were selected as covariates [17, 18]. Although age and operative time correlated with complications and hospital costs, they were excluded because of multicollinearity. Other variables were excluded due to a non-significant correlation or clinical irrelevance.

The adjusted hospital costs were independently increased by the presence of complications, their number, and severity (see Fig 1). In PC patients, the median cost after adjusting for covariates was USD 4,187.10 (95% CI: USD 1,264.89–7,109.31, P = 0.005) greater than NPC patients. For the difference in total adjusted hospital cost between PC and NPC patients, the increased severity of complications was more marked in the 75th centile of total cost than in the 25th or 50th centiles (see Fig 1, S3 Table in S1 Appendix).

Fig 1. Complications and adjusted additional hospital cost.

Fig 1

Estimated quantile regression coefficients and 95% confidence intervals for given hospital cost at 25th, 50th, and 75th percentiles. The coefficients of presence, numbers, and severity of complications predicting the driving effects on hospital cost are presented from the left. Severity is measured by the Clavien–Dindo surgical complications classification. *: P < 0.016.

The total number of complications was associated with a higher median hospital cost. Although the adjusted total hospital cost for patients with 2–3 complications was not significantly increased compared to patients with 0–1 complication, patients who experienced ≥ 4 complications had significantly higher adjusted additional hospital costs compared to those with fewer complications. The cost-driving effects of ≥ 4 complications were increased in the 75th centile and almost double that of the 25th centile of the total cost (see Fig 1, S4 Table in S1 Appendix).

Patients who suffered CVD grades III and IV complications had a significantly higher adjusted additional hospital cost (P = 0.003 for the 25th centile of hospital cost in CVD grade III, otherwise P < 0.001). The additional adjusted hospital cost also tended to increase with centiles of hospital cost (P < 0.001). The adjusted additive hospital cost in CVD grade II patients was significant in the 50th and 75th percentiles of hospital cost. The adjusted additive hospital cost of CVD grade V patients (in-hospital mortality) had a significant impact on the 50th centile of hospital cost (P = 0.009 for the 50th percentile) but not on the 25th and 75th centiles (see Fig 1, S5 Table in S1 Appendix).

Unadjusted costs

The unadjusted median total hospital cost of the PC group was 70% higher than the NPC group: median USD 19,659.64 (13,545.81–35,407.14) for the PC group vs. USD 11,551.88 (8,849.46–15,329.87) for the NPC group (P < 0.001) (see Table 2). The development of 1, 2, 3, and ≥ 4 complications increased hospital costs by 11%, 41%, 50%, and 195%, respectively. Similarly, higher grades of complications incurred higher hospital costs (P < 0.001). Compared to NPC patients, those who experienced complications at CVD grades I, II, and III had increased hospital costs of 15%, 60%, and 219%, respectively. The development of a CVD grade IV complication (i.e., organ failure) increased costs by 470%. Patients who died incurred 89% higher costs than NPC patients. The unadjusted median costs according to the number and severity of complications are presented in Table 2 and S2 and S3 Figs in S1 Appendix. A breakdown of the hospital costs according to the cost center where the cost was incurred is presented in S6-S8 Tables in S1 Appendix.

Table 2. Complications and unadjusted hospital cost.

Groups Median (IQR), [Range of data] P value Effect size
NPC group 11,551.88 (8,849.46–15,329.87), [5,182.17:27,363.99] <0.001* 0.40
PC group 19,659.64 (13,545.81–35,407.14), [5,396.18:459,105.19]
No of surgical complications One complication 12,788.65 (9,471.24–17,118.54), [5,396.18:65,176.97] <0.001* 0.45
Two complications 16,306.07 (13,095.21–20,930.34), [5,566.81:105,855.83]
Three complications 17,345.77 (13,445.19–22,158.55), [7,807.11:56,318.26]
≥ Four complications 34,107.54 (22,414.36–61,458.22), [10,014.17:459,105.19] §
CVD Grade I 13,326.53 (10,540.28–16,902.17), [5,396.18:41,051.24] <0.001* 0.42
Grade II 18,558.00 (14,739.34–26,993.63), [6,087.08:105,855.83]
Grade III 36,814.36 (26,090.30–52,233.58), [16,797.46:99,866.35] §
Grade IV 65,900.04 (31,882.87–93,717.97), [5,566.81:459,105.19] §
Grade V 21,815.72 (12,626.47–37,260.71), [7,058.36:92,747.48] **

Hospital cost is presented as USD and a value of inflated to 31 Dec 2019 based on end of fiscal quarter Australian Consumer Price index. Values are presented as median (interquartile range), [Min:Max]. NPC group: No surgical complication group, PC group: Surgical complication group, CVD: Clavien-Dindo surgical complication classification Mann-Whitney U test, Kruskal-Wallis H test were used and described corresponding effect size as common language effect size r for Mann-Whitney U test, ηH2(eta squared estimated using H-statistics) for Kruskal-Wallis test.

*: indicates P <0.016. Multiple comparison results

†: P<0.010 vs. NSC group

‡: P<0.010 vs. one complication or P<0.0083 vs. CVD grade I

§: P<0.010 vs. two complications or P<0.0083 vs. CVD grade II

¶: P<0.010 vs. three complications or P<0.0083 vs. CVD grade III

**: P<0.0083 vs. CVD grade IV.

Intraoperative and postoperative variables

Intraoperative and postoperative variables are presented in Tables 3 and 4. Patients in the PC group were more likely to undergo an open laparotomy and had longer operative times compared to patients in the NPC group. Intraoperatively, patients in the PC group were more likely to require vasoactive medication and receive larger volumes of fluid than the NPC group. Postoperatively, patients in the PC group were more likely to have anemia and a lower hemoglobin concentration than the NPC group. No patient in the NPC group received a blood transfusion during their admission, whereas 25.4% of patients in the PC group received an allogeneic red blood cell transfusion, with a median transfusion volume of 3 units (2–6 units). The PC group had a greater ICU admission rate than the NPC group (45.1% vs. 6.3%, P < 0.001). The median length of hospital stay was 11 days (7–19) in the PC group vs. 5 days (4–6) in the NPC group (P < 0.001).

Table 3. Surgery and postoperative course.

Variables NPC group (N = 64) PC group (N = 284) Mean difference P value Effect size
Emergency operation 40 (62.5) 211 (74.3) - 0.065 0.10
Technique Laparotomy 33 (51.6) 213 (75.0) - <0.001* 0.20
Converted to laparotomy from laparoscopy 13 (20.3) 28 (9.9)
Laparoscopy 18 (28.1) 43 (15.1)
Operation time (min) 195.3 ± 63.3 221.0 ± 87.1 25.7 (7.0–44.4) 0.007* 0.31
Intraoperative: patients receiving vasoactive medications 34 (53.1) 213 (75.0) - 0.001* 0.19
Total intraoperative fluid volume (excluding blood products) 1954.8 ± 898.7 2249.9 ± 1383.7 295.0 (16.9–573.1) 0.038* 0.23
Crystalloid Volume (ml) 1900.8 ± 820.0 2031.0 ± 1084.6 130.2 (-112–372) 0.290 0.13
Colloid No of patients 3 (4.8) 59 (21.5) - 0.002* 0.17
Volume (ml) 600 (100–600), [100:1000] 500 (100–500), [100:2000] - 0.661 0.06
No of patients requiring ICU admission 4 (6.3) 128 (45.1) - <0.001* 0.31
ICU admission duration (hours) 16.50 (8.25–48.75), [6:59] 50.00 (18.00–126.75), [3:106.44] 0.110 0.14
Length of hospital stay in days 5 (4–6), [2:31] 11 (7–19), [1:189] - <0.001* 0.44
30-day readmission: no of patients 8 (12.5) 42 (14.8) - 0.699 0.03

NPC group: No postoperative complication group, PC group: Postoperative complication group. Data are presented as number (percentile), mean ± SD or median (interquartile range), [Min:Max]. Student’s t-test, Mann-Whitney U test, Chi-square or Fisher’s exact test were used and described corresponding effect size as Cohen’s d for Student’s t-test, common language effect size r for U test, Cramér’s V for Chi-square and Fisher’s exact tests.

*: indicates P <0.05

†: summed volume of 4% and 20% albumin.

Table 4. Postoperative hemoglobin concentration and transfusion.

Variables NPC group (N = 64) PC group (N = 284) Mean difference P value Effect size
POD 1: hemoglobin (g/L) 123.4 ± 15.7 111.1 ± 20.0 -12.3 (-16.9 –-7.7) <0.001 0.64
POD 1: patients with anemia 32 (51.6) 212 (74.9) - <0.001 0.2
Lowest hemoglobin: POD 1–7 114.3 ± 16.3 96.0 ± 19.1 -18.3 (-23.5 –-13.2) <0.001 0.98
Patients with anemia: POD 1–7 46 (75.4) 268 (94.4) - <0.001 0.25
POD where Hb was lowest 3 (2–4), [1:7] 3 (2–5), [0:7] - 0.022 0.12
Preoperative transfusion Patients requiring RBC transfusion 0 (0.0) 17 (6.0) - 0.050 0.11
Units of RBC NA† 2 (1–7), [1:12] - NA† NA†
Intraoperative transfusion Patients requiring RBC transfusion 0 (0.0) 24 (8.5) - 0.011 0.13
Units of RBC 0 (0–0), [0:0] 0 (0–0), [0:20] - 0.016 0.13
Postoperative transfusion Patients requiring RBC transfusion 0 (0.0) 66 (23.2) - <0.001 0.23
Units of RBC NA† 2.5 (1–4.25), [1:38] - NA† NA†
Transfusion during admission Patients requiring RBC transfusion 0 (0.0) 72 (25.4) - <0.001 0.24
Units of RBC NA† 3 (2–6), [1:39] - NA† NA†

NPC group: No postoperative complication group, PC group: Postoperative complication group. Data are presented as number (percentile), mean ± SD or median (interquartile range), [Min:Max]. POD: Postoperative day(s). Student’s t-test, Mann-Whitney U test, Chi-square or Fisher’s exact test were used and described corresponding effect size as Cohen’s d for Student’s t-test, common language effect size r for U test, Cramér’s V for Chi-square and Fisher’s exact tests

‡: number of transfused blood products in patients who received the corresponding transfusion.

Discussion

In this retrospective cost analysis of patients undergoing small bowel resection, we found that 4 out of every 5 patients developed a postoperative complication. Most of these complications (69%) were minor (CVD grades I or II), but almost 1 in 4 patients developed a severe complication (CVD grades III or IV). During their index hospital admission, 8% of patients died. The development of a complication increased the median unadjusted hospital costs by 70%. In line with our hypotheses, hospital costs increased significantly as postoperative complication count and severity increased.

We found that hospital costs significantly increased when patients suffered ≥ 4 complications; moreover, higher grades of complications (i.e., CVD grades III and IV) incurred the highest costs. Complications requiring pharmacological treatment or transfusion (i.e., CVD grade II) had an additive effect on hospital cost in the 75th cost centiles. The additive effect of CVD grades II and V were smaller than those of CVD grades III and IV. Minor complications (i.e., CVD grade I) did not have an additive effect on hospital costs.

There is a lack of literature on the relationship between postoperative complications and hospital costs following small bowel resection surgery, limiting the ability for direct comparison of results. The prevalence of complications in our study is higher than that reported in the limited amount of available literature. A study by Scott et al. [19] estimated the complication rate of emergency small bowel resection surgery at 46.9%, which was significantly lower than what we found in our study (81.6%). Wancata et al. [20] reported complication rates following small bowel resection of 32% and 27% for malignant and benign small bowel obstructions, respectively. This is reflective of significant variations in the definitions and reporting of postoperative complications in the literature, which limits the ability to compare the prevalence of complications across studies. The classifications of complications are inconsistent among the studies and do not reflect the full spectrum of complications. Minor complications are often considered clinically and financially trivial, so they have generally been omitted when reporting overall complication prevalence following small bowel resection surgery. This is evident in the study undertaken by Scott et al., which only included 13 complication types, excluded minor complications, and did not grade the complications using a pre-validated classification system. In the current study, we utilized a predetermined, exhaustive, and validated classification system for the capture of both complication type and severity [9, 10].

Our study highlighted the importance of severe postoperative complications (i.e., CVD grades III and IV) as major drivers of hospital costs and suggested that minor postoperative complications (i.e., CVD grade I) do not significantly increase hospital costs. In our study, CVD grade II complications only had an additive effect on hospital costs in the 50th and 75th cost percentiles. Although there are no similar studies on small bowel resection surgery to compare these results, similar studies have been undertaken for other major abdominal surgeries [24]. Our results are similar to what has been found following rectal resection. For example, Johnston et al. [3] found that minor postoperative complications (i.e., CVD grade I) did not significantly increase hospital costs following rectal resection. However, studies investigating the relationship between postoperative complications and hospital costs following colonic and liver resections demonstrated different results [2, 4]. These studies found a significant association between minor complications and hospital costs.

Major complications are a consistent driver of higher hospital costs across studies [24, 21]. Our study further highlighted the importance of targeting complication severity and count. Grades III and IV complications were associated with an exponential increase in costs, particularly in the highest quartile of hospital cost. This highlights that complications requiring procedural intervention or ICU admissions had the greatest cost implications following small bowel resection. Notably, a significant number of patients with minor complications still experienced > 3 complications, suggesting that the cumulative number of minor complications might also contribute significantly to hospital costs. This provides a cost-effective rationale for early recognition of patient deterioration to prevent increases in the number or severity of complications.

Identifying perioperative variables associated with the development of postoperative complications enables risk stratification of patients and the implementation of targeted complication prevention strategies. We have demonstrated an association between postoperative complications following small bowel resection surgery and the CCI, preoperative anemia, hypoalbuminemia, surgical techniques, and the use of intraoperative vasoactive medications. The CCI has been shown to be associated with the development of postoperative complications following colonic resection, and our study has further supported the CCI as an important perioperative predictor of complications following small bowel resections [4].

Further, our study has contributed to the growing body of literature that has identified hypoalbuminemia as a strong predictor of surgical morbidity and mortality. There have been many studies that have established this association following colorectal surgery [4, 2225]. Our research found that this association also exists for small bowel resection surgery. Finally, we demonstrated an association between the volume of intraoperative fluid administration and the number and severity of complications. Our study adds to the growing body of literature that has demonstrated intraoperative fluid administration as a predictor of postoperative complications following major abdominal surgery [16].

There were several strengths to our study. We have provided a comprehensive analysis regarding the impact of postoperative complications on hospital costs following small bowel resection surgery. We used a standardized and validated method of classifying complication severity [10]. Further, we analyzed the relationship of cost against the number and severity of complications using a detailed and comprehensive cost database. Our study focused on all complications, regardless of type and severity.

Our study, however, has several limitations. First, this is a retrospective study, so there may be a degree of selection and information bias. However, the effects of this bias on our study outcomes are likely to be minimal due to extensive cross-checking of data entered into the electronic medical records used at our institution. Second, our study was completed in a single institution, which may limit its external validity. However, our center has essentially the same operative, anesthesia, and postoperative care protocols as other tertiary centers. Third, the effect of complications on hospital costs could not be evaluated simultaneously using the number and severity of complications. They were highly correlated with each other but produced high levels of multicollinearity when treated concurrently in the regression analysis. Their combined effect was, therefore, indirectly evaluated. Finally, our study did not investigate long-term clinical and economic outcomes following small bowel resection surgery. Further, our cost analysis did not consider community-related costs, which is an area for future research in this field.

Conclusion

Small bowel study resection surgery was associated with a high prevalence of complications, which were associated with increased hospital costs. Hospital costs significantly increased when patients suffered ≥ 4 complications, experienced complications requiring surgical, endoscopic, or radiologic intervention, or had a life-threatening complication (i.e., organ failure). Additionally, the CCI, preoperative albumin, preoperative anemia, surgical technique, the use of intraoperative vasoactive medication, and the volume of intraoperative fluid administration were associated with postoperative complications. Further research is required to identify predictors of postoperative complications and thus enable targeted and cost-effective prevention strategies.

Supporting information

S1 Appendix. Supporting figures and tables.

(DOCX)

S1 Data

(XLSX)

Abbreviations

ASA

American Society of Anesthesiologist

CCI

Charlson Comorbidity Index

CI

Confidence Interval

CVD

Clavien Dindo Classification

eGFR

estimated glomerular filtration rate

ICU

Intensive Care Unit

ICD

International Statistical Classification of Diseases

NPC

No postoperative complication

PC

Postoperative complication

POD

postoperative day

RBC

Red blood cell

SD

standard deviation

USD

United Stated Dollar

Data Availability

All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.

Funding Statement

The author(s) received no specific funding for this work.

References

  • 1.Cosic L, Ma R, Churilov L, Debono D, Nikfarjam M, Christophi C, et al. The financial impact of postoperative complications following liver resection. Medicine (Baltimore). 2019; 98(27): e16054. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Louis M, Johnston SA, Churilov L, Ma R, Marhoon N, Burgess A, et al. The hospital costs of complications following colonic resection surgery: A retrospective cohort study. Ann Med Surg (Lond). 2020;54: 37–42. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 3.Wang J, Ma R, Eleftheriou P, Churilov L, Debono D, Robbins R, et al. Health economic implications of complications associated with pancreaticoduodenectomy at a University Hospital: a retrospective cohort cost study. HPB (Oxford). 2018;20: 423–31. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 4.Vonlanthen R, Slankamenac K, Breitenstein S, Puhan MA, Muller MK, Hahnloser D, et al. The impact of complications on costs of major surgical procedures: a cost analysis of 1200 patients. Annals of surgery. 2011;254: 907–13. 10.1097/SLA.0b013e31821d4a43 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Cancer Stat Facts: small intestine cancer: surveillance, epidemiology, and end results program, U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. Available from: https://seer.cancer.gov/statfacts/html/smint.html
  • 6.Small intestine cancer incidence statistics: Cancer Research UK. Available from: https://www.cancerresearchuk.org/health-professional/cancer-statistics/statistics-by-cancer-type/small-intestine-cancer/incidence
  • 7.Health expenditure Australia 2016–17. Available from: https://www.aihw.gov.au/getmedia/e8d37b7d-2b52-4662-a85f-01eb176f6844/aihw-hwe-74.pdf.aspx?inline = true
  • 8.Agha R, Abdall-Razak A, Crossley E, Dowlut N, Iosifidis C, Mathew G, et al. STROCSS 2019 Guideline: Strengthening the reporting of cohort studies in surgery. Int J Surg. 2019;72:156–65. 10.1016/j.ijsu.2019.11.002 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 9.Jammer I, Wickboldt N, Sander M, Smith A, Schultz MJ, Pelosi P, et al. Standards for definitions and use of outcome measures for clinical effectiveness research in perioperative medicine: European Perioperative Clinical Outcome (EPCO) definitions: a statement from the ESA-ESICM joint taskforce on perioperative outcome measures. Eur J Anaesthesiol. 2015;32:88–105. 10.1097/EJA.0000000000000118 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 10.Dindo D, Demartines N, Clavien PA. Classification of surgical complications: a new proposal with evaluation in a cohort of 6336 patients and results of a survey. Ann Surg. 2004;240:205–13. 10.1097/01.sla.0000133083.54934.ae [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 11.Australian Taxation Office, Consumer price index (CPI) rates Available from: https://www.ato.gov.au/Rates/Consumer-price-index/
  • 12.Australian Taxation Office, Daily exchange rates for 2019–20 income year—December 2019. Available from: https://www.ato.gov.au/Tax-professionals/TP/Daily-exchange-rates-for-2019-20-income-year/?anchor = December2019#December2019
  • 13.Owens WD, Felts JA, Spitznagel EL. ASA physical status Classifications A study of consistency of ratings. Anesthesiology.1978;49:239–43. 10.1097/00000542-197810000-00003 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Asa Z, Greenberg R, Ghinea R, Inbar R, Wasserberg N, Avital S. Grading of complications and risk factor evaluation in laparoscopic colorectal surgery. Surg Endosc 2013;27:3748–53. 10.1007/s00464-013-2960-1 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 15.Koenker R. quantreg: Quantile Regression. R package version 5.55. 2020. [Google Scholar]
  • 16.Myles PS, Bellomo R, Corcoran T, Forbes A, Peyton P, Story D, et al. ; Australian and New Zealand College of Anaesthetists Clinical Trials Network and the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Society Clinical Trials Group. Restrictive versus Liberal Fluid Therapy for Major Abdominal Surgery. N Engl J Med. 2018. June 14;378(24):2263–2274. 10.1056/NEJMoa1801601 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 17.Pang QY, An R, Liu HL. Perioperative transfusion and the prognosis of colorectal cancer surgery: a systematic review and meta-analysis. World J Surg Oncol. 2019. January 5;17(1):7 10.1186/s12957-018-1551-y [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 18.Zheng Liu, Jia-Jun Luo, Kevin Y Pei, Sajid A Khan, Xiao-Xu Wang, Zhi-Xun Zhao, et al. , Joint effect of preoperative anemia and perioperative blood transfusion on outcomes of colon-cancer patients undergoing colectomy. Gastroenterol Rep (Oxf). 2019;8:151–157. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 19.Scott JW, Olufajo OA, Brat GA, Rose JA, Zogg CK, Haider AH, et al. Use of national burden to define operative emergency general surgery. JAMA Surgery. 2016;151(6):e160480 10.1001/jamasurg.2016.0480 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 20.Wancata LM, Abdelsattar ZM, Suwanabol PA, Campbell DA, Hendren S. Outcomes After Surgery for benign and malignant small bowel obstruction. J Gastrointest Surg. 2017;21:363–371. 10.1007/s11605-016-3307-8 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 21.Straatman J, Cuesta MA, de Lange-de Klerk ES, van der Peet DL. Hospital cost-analysis of complications after major abdominal surgery. Dig Surg 2015;32:150–6. 10.1159/000371861 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 22.Longo WE, Virgo KS, Johnson FE, Oprian CA, Vernava AM, Wade TP, et al. Risk factors for morbidity and mortality after colectomy for colon cancer. Dis Colon Rectum. 2000;43:83–91. 10.1007/BF02237249 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 23.Alves A, Panis Y, Mathieu P, Mantion G, Kwiatkowski F, Slim K, et al. Postoperative mortality and morbidity in French patients undergoing colorectal surgery: results of a prospective multicenter study. Arch Surg. 2005;140:278–83. 10.1001/archsurg.140.3.278 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 24.Kong CH, Guest GD, Stupart DA, Faragher IG, Chan STF, Watters DA. Colorectal preOperative Surgical Score (CrOSS) for mortality in major colorectal surgery. ANZ J Surg. 2015;85:403–7. 10.1111/ans.13066 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 25.Moghadamyeghaneh Z, Hwang G, Hanna MH, Phelan MJ, Carmichael JC, Mills SD, et al. Even modest hypoalbuminemia affects outcomes of colorectal surgery patients. Am J Surg. 2015;210:276–84. 10.1016/j.amjsurg.2014.12.038 [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]

Decision Letter 0

Ehab Farag

Transfer Alert

This paper was transferred from another journal. As a result, its full editorial history (including decision letters, peer reviews and author responses) may not be present.

3 Sep 2020

PONE-D-20-23870

Postoperative complications and hospital costs following small bowel resections

PLOS ONE

Dear Dr. Laurence Weinberg.

   

Thank you for submitting your manuscript to PLOS ONE. After careful consideration, we feel that it has merit but does not fully meet PLOS ONE’s publication criteria as it currently stands. Therefore, we invite you to submit a revised version of the manuscript that addresses the points raised during the review process.

I would appreciate if you pay careful attention to the reviewer's comments in your response.

Please submit your revised manuscript by Oct 18 2020 11:59PM. If you will need more time than this to complete your revisions, please reply to this message or contact the journal office at plosone@plos.org. When you're ready to submit your revision, log on to https://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/ and select the 'Submissions Needing Revision' folder to locate your manuscript file.

Please include the following items when submitting your revised manuscript:

  • A rebuttal letter that responds to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewer(s). You should upload this letter as a separate file labeled 'Response to Reviewers'.

  • A marked-up copy of your manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.

  • An unmarked version of your revised paper without tracked changes. You should upload this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.

If you would like to make changes to your financial disclosure, please include your updated statement in your cover letter. Guidelines for resubmitting your figure files are available below the reviewer comments at the end of this letter.

If applicable, we recommend that you deposit your laboratory protocols in protocols.io to enhance the reproducibility of your results. Protocols.io assigns your protocol its own identifier (DOI) so that it can be cited independently in the future. For instructions see: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/submission-guidelines#loc-laboratory-protocols

We look forward to receiving your revised manuscript.

Kind regards,

Ehab Farag, MD FRCA FASA

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Journal Requirements:

When submitting your revision, we need you to address these additional requirements.

1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming. The PLOS ONE style templates can be found at

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=wjVg/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_main_body.pdf and

https://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/file?id=ba62/PLOSOne_formatting_sample_title_authors_affiliations.pdf

2. Thank you for providing information in the Ethics Statement about your ethics board approval and their waiver of the requirement for informed patient consent. However, we ask that you also provide this information within your Methods section.

3. Please include captions for your Supporting Information files at the end of your manuscript, and update any in-text citations to match accordingly. Please see our Supporting Information guidelines for more information: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/supporting-information.

[Note: HTML markup is below. Please do not edit.]

Reviewers' comments:

Reviewer's Responses to Questions

Comments to the Author

1. Is the manuscript technically sound, and do the data support the conclusions?

The manuscript must describe a technically sound piece of scientific research with data that supports the conclusions. Experiments must have been conducted rigorously, with appropriate controls, replication, and sample sizes. The conclusions must be drawn appropriately based on the data presented.

Reviewer #1: No

**********

2. Has the statistical analysis been performed appropriately and rigorously?

Reviewer #1: No

**********

3. Have the authors made all data underlying the findings in their manuscript fully available?

The PLOS Data policy requires authors to make all data underlying the findings described in their manuscript fully available without restriction, with rare exception (please refer to the Data Availability Statement in the manuscript PDF file). The data should be provided as part of the manuscript or its supporting information, or deposited to a public repository. For example, in addition to summary statistics, the data points behind means, medians and variance measures should be available. If there are restrictions on publicly sharing data—e.g. participant privacy or use of data from a third party—those must be specified.

Reviewer #1: Yes

**********

4. Is the manuscript presented in an intelligible fashion and written in standard English?

PLOS ONE does not copyedit accepted manuscripts, so the language in submitted articles must be clear, correct, and unambiguous. Any typographical or grammatical errors should be corrected at revision, so please note any specific errors here.

Reviewer #1: No

**********

5. Review Comments to the Author

Please use the space provided to explain your answers to the questions above. You may also include additional comments for the author, including concerns about dual publication, research ethics, or publication ethics. (Please upload your review as an attachment if it exceeds 20,000 characters)

Reviewer #1: I have three major concerns about the study method.

First, for the determination of complication. Authors needs to clarify how the complications were determined and counted, which is crucial to the validity of the study. Especially, authors need to verify that all the complication are postoperative. For example, myocardial infarction and respiratory failure both have counts under Grade I in supplement table 2?

The other concern is about the use of quantile regression model. While authors claim that hospital cost was negatively skewed (left skewed), supplement graphs showed that hospital cost are right skewed. In this case, I would suggest changing to linear regression to compare hospital cost after log-transformation. This will provide more informative and interpretable result than using quantile regression. Also, for the available sample size, bootstrap is not necessary.

For splitting patients into complication/no complication. CVD grade I patients are similar to patients with no complication, and their hospital cost will be similar to those without complication rather than CVD Grade V. Thus, grouping CDV I-II with CVD III-V together and compare them to no complication makes a strange comparison. I understand that authors want to compare complication to no complication at all, but authors should consider splitting complication groups into mild vs. severe groups for the main analysis (rather than secondary).

For the concerns in methods, results are not commented in detail.

Other problems:

LN 41-42. The abstract should provide precise and accurate result. “Almost 1 in 4” should be replaced with an accurate percentage.

LN 43-46. Should report median [IQR] cost for each and report the difference tested.

LN 164. Authors should consider grouping patients differently.

LN 167. Missing data assessment should be in the result section.

LN 182. Bonferroni correction should apply to all tested outcomes rather than just significant difference. Significance criteria should be stated clearly.

LN 185. Spearman correlation is for assessing the monotonic association, not linearity. Correlation does not make sense for binary variable (complication).

LN 188. Need to clarify criteria for variable selection.

LN 208. Authors should report total eligible patients before missing data, and missing data assessment should be reported in the result rather than method.

LN 240. Need to clarify adjusted and unadjusted hospital cost in the method section.

Supplement Table 2. Why reporting percentage across CVD groups?

Gramma. There are multiple grammar errors across the manuscript that adds difficulty to the comprehension of the content. Authors should proofread the submission carefully.

**********

6. PLOS authors have the option to publish the peer review history of their article (what does this mean?). If published, this will include your full peer review and any attached files.

If you choose “no”, your identity will remain anonymous but your review may still be made public.

Do you want your identity to be public for this peer review? For information about this choice, including consent withdrawal, please see our Privacy Policy.

Reviewer #1: No

[NOTE: If reviewer comments were submitted as an attachment file, they will be attached to this email and accessible via the submission site. Please log into your account, locate the manuscript record, and check for the action link "View Attachments". If this link does not appear, there are no attachment files.]

While revising your submission, please upload your figure files to the Preflight Analysis and Conversion Engine (PACE) digital diagnostic tool, https://pacev2.apexcovantage.com/. PACE helps ensure that figures meet PLOS requirements. To use PACE, you must first register as a user. Registration is free. Then, login and navigate to the UPLOAD tab, where you will find detailed instructions on how to use the tool. If you encounter any issues or have any questions when using PACE, please email PLOS at figures@plos.org. Please note that Supporting Information files do not need this step.

PLoS One. 2020 Oct 21;15(10):e0241020. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0241020.r002

Author response to Decision Letter 0


5 Oct 2020

Prof Ehab Farag (MD FRCA FASA)

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

3rd October 2020

KINDLY REFER TO DETAILED COVER LETTER FOR ALL IMAGES.

Re: PONE-D-20-23870: Postoperative complications and hospital costs following small bowel resections

On behalf of my co-authors I would like to sincerely thank you and the expert Reviewers for considering our revised manuscript for publication in PLOS ONE.

We are genuinely appreciative for constructive feedback and we are grateful for the opportunity to further refine the manuscript. As instructed, we provide a detailed rebuttal to each point raised by the academic editor and reviewers. Include our resubmission is:

• A marked-up copy of our manuscript that highlights changes made to the original version. This is uploaded as a separate file labeled 'Revised Manuscript with Track Changes'.

• An unmarked version of our revised paper without tracked changes. This is uploaded this as a separate file labeled 'Manuscript'.

EDITOR 1

1. Please ensure that your manuscript meets PLOS ONE's style requirements, including those for file naming.

Authors’ response: We have ensured that our manuscript conforms to the PLOS ONE style requirements.

2. Thank you for providing information in the Ethics Statement about your ethics board approval and their waiver of the requirement for informed patient consent. However, we ask that you also provide this information within your Methods section.

Authors’ response: The Ethics Statement about our ethics board approval and their waiver of the requirement for informed patient consent is now presented in our Methods section.

3. Please include captions for your Supporting Information files at the end of your manuscript, and update any in-text citations to match accordingly. Please see our Supporting Information guidelines for more information: http://journals.plos.org/plosone/s/supporting-information.

Authors’ response: Thank you for this comment. This has been completed.

REVIEWER 1 COMMENTS

We thank Reviewer #1 for taking the time to review our submission. We are extremely grateful for the comments provided and for giving us the opportunity to further enhance and strengthen our manuscript for publication in PLOS ONE.

Reviewer #1: I have three major concerns about the study method.

1. First, for the determination of complication. Authors needs to clarify how the complications were determined and counted, which is crucial to the validity of the study. Especially, authors need to verify that all the complication are postoperative. For example, myocardial infarction and respiratory failure both have counts under Grade I in supplement table 2?

Authors’ response: Thank you for this important comment. We strongly agree that is imperative to clarify how the complications were determined and counted. Thank you for also correctly pointing out the example of both myocardial infarction and respiratory failure being graded under a Clavien–Dindo (CVD) Grade I complication in the Supplement Table 2.

Postoperative complications were defined as any deviation from the normal postoperative course during the index admission and guided by the European Perioperative Clinical Outcome definitions. Severity of complications were graded according to the Clavien–Dindo classification system, which is a validated classification system that categorises complication severity based on the level of required treatment: CVD Grade I includes any deviation from normal postoperative course that does not require intervention, excluding antiemetics, antipyretics, analgesia, diuretics, electrolytes and physiotherapy; CVD Grade II requires pharmacological treatment, blood transfusion or total parenteral nutrition; CVD Grade III requires radiological, surgical or endoscopic intervention; CVD Grade IV includes any life-threatening complications that require intensive care management; and CVD Grade V is when death occurs. Patients were stratified into groups based on the worst complication severity recorded.

We have carefully reviewed all complications and also reviewed the original clinical medical records to ensure integrity of the data.

Regarding the 2 cases of myocardial infarction that were originally graded as CVD grade I. A detailed review of the medical records showed that both patients fulfilled the definition of myocardial infarction according to the European Perioperative Clinical Outcome definitions. Each patient presented with an incidental finding of raised cardiac troponins with new T-wave ECG changes. Both patients had no symptoms and the diagnosis was picked up after routine cardiac troponins levels were checked by the treating unit. Cardiology advice at the time suggested a diagnosis of myocardial injury after non-cardiac surgery (MINS), and apart from prescribing aspirin, there was no further cardiac intervention. Both patients remained completely asymptomatic. We have also followed both these patients post-discharge. They have both had cardiology outpatient follow up, a negative dobutamine stress echocardiographic stress test. Because both patients were asymptomatic and the findings were incidental, they were graded as CVD grade I in our original submission. On reflection, we have revised this complication grade to a CVD grade II, given that aspirin was started for each patient.

The workup for patients with MINS is still very controversial. Emerging evidence suggests that many patients sustain myocardial injury in the perioperative period which will not satisfy the diagnostic criteria for myocardial infarction. Myocardial injury after noncardiac surgery is common among adults undergoing noncardiac surgery and CVD grade II, as each received either supplementary oxygen therapy, oral or intravenous diuretics, or both. All other complications have been rechecked with the medical records and are correct.

2. The other concern is about the use of quantile regression model. While authors claim that hospital cost was negatively skewed (left skewed), supplement graphs showed that hospital cost are right skewed. In this case, I would suggest changing to linear regression to compare hospital cost after log-transformation. This will provide more informative and interpretable result than using quantile regression. Also, for the available sample size, bootstrap is not necessary.

3. For splitting patients into complication/no complication. CVD grade I patients are similar to patients with no complication, and their hospital cost will be similar to those without complication rather than CVD Grade V. Thus, grouping CDV I-II with CVD III-V together and compare them to no complication makes a strange comparison. I understand that authors want to compare complication to no complication at all, but authors should consider splitting complication groups into mild vs. severe groups for the main analysis (rather than secondary).

Authors’ response: Thank you for these excellent comments that have been discussed in depth amongst the authors. We have addressed these two comments simultaneously.

As the Reviewer has pointed this data is “positively skewed” to the right side - its skewness was 6.45. In the manuscript we have now stated “Because hospital cost had a severely positive skewed distribution with a skewness of 6.45 (95%CI: 6.20 - 6.71), we used quantile regression modelling.”

As the Reviewer has suggested, we did attempt log transformation with base of 10 and natural log. Transformed total hospital cost remained skewed and the normality test (Shapiro-Wilks test) failed to prove a normal distribution of transformed data. The following Figure shows the transformed results.

Overall the performance of linear regression for three measurement methods seems appropriate.

According to linear regression analysis, in patients with complications, hospital cost increases 53.5% (95%CI: 30.6% ‒ 80.7%) compared to patient without complications. The burden of hospital cost increases with the number and severity of complications. Patient with one complication had a 5.4% (95%CI: -12.1% ‒ 26.5%) increase in hospital cost, however patients with more than 4 complications had significantly higher costs [140.4% (95%CI: 103.2% ‒ 185.1%)] compared to patients with no complications.

We have also shown that as the severity of complications increases, the costs increase. Hospital cost increase from 12.7% (95%CI: -5.4% ‒ 34.3%) to 235.0% (95%CI: 171.0% ‒ 313.0%) concordant with increased CVD grades, except for Grade V (representing in-hospital mortality). These patients tended to die early in postoperative period and therefore hospital cost were lower compared to patients with CVD grade IV complications who required extensive tests/interventions/ICU support and had an extended length of hospital stay. We found that patients with a CVD grade V complication incurred a 47.9% (95%CI: 15.9% ‒ 88.4%) higher cost compared to patients without any complication.

We agree with the reviewer that linear regression is an excellent statistical method to prove the relationship between several explanatory variables and a dependent variable. Its main inference process is based on a simple ordinary least square (OLS) method or weighted OLS. Consequently, the relationship is made as linear or proportional according to variable transformation or weighting. The estimated (predicted) distribution of dependent variable has to follow the distribution made by dependent variables, since their relationship is only explained by a linear regression equation. It’s important to note that hospital cost are determined by multidimensional clinical and economic factors. For example, although mortality is graded as CVD grade V (the highest severity of complication), the hospital costs for CVD grade V was lower than that of CVD grade IV. Paradoxically, as we outlined above, when patients experience CVD grade V complications in the early postoperative period, the hospital costs paradoxically decrease.

Our findings also show that CVD grade V complications (in-hospital mortality) account for lower hospital costs than CVD grade IV complications. If we grouped cost into mild and severe groups, the data would be misleading. Accordingly, a conclusion could be made that there is a log-linear relationship between severity of complications and hospital costs, which is of course inaccurate.

Therefore, after considered discussion, we think that quantile regression provides more granular and more accurate information of the data we have presented. Quantile regression is not limited within the traditional one representative mean value and provides several coefficients of interest. Using quantile regression, specific ranked dependent values are selected and analyzed by linear regression.

To further demonstrate our argument, the graph below shows how quantile regression provides detailed information about hospital cost focused on the 25th, 50th and 75th quantile values.

The Figure below further demonstrates graphically the changes in quantile coefficients along with 95%CI. The first figure presents the coefficient changes along with the percentile distribution of hospital cost from the quantile regression, which estimated with the presence of complications as a dependent variable. Red colored lines represent the coefficient and 95%CI estimated by the ordinary least square method.

The quantile regression coefficients throughout the range were confined mostly within 95% CI of the OLS coefficient, which implies that the estimated coefficients by two method could be similar. However, coefficient estimated in the high percentile cost range tends to increase even confined within 95%CI (red colored dashed lines) by OLS coefficient. This trend appears apparently in higher number and severity of complications, especially in the patients with more than 4 complications and CVD grade IV and V.

Quantile regression coefficients plot: Hospital cost vs. presence of complications

Quantile regression coefficients plot: Hospital cost vs. number of complications

Quantile regression coefficients plot: Hospital cost vs. severity of complications

Quantile regression estimators can be computed easily using a linear modelling with proposed characteristics by Koenker. The distribution of variance of quantile regression estimators are generally unknown because they are based on their rank. One reliable method to solve this problem of quantile regression is “resampling methods; bootstrapping” and we applied simple bootstrapping methods for quantile regression with the number of 200 replications recommended as Bilias (2000).

In conclusion, we think that quantile regression delivers more granular and informative results compared to linear regression, especially when trying to accurately understand the characteristics of complications as an important cost driver.

In the revised manuscript we have provided a detailed description explaining our rationale for quantile regression modelling. We state “Because hospital cost had a severely positively skewed distribution (skewness of 6.45: 95% CI: 6.20–6.71), we used quantile regression modeling to investigate the cost-driving effects of complications according to low (25th quantile), median (50th quantile), and high (75th quantile) cost brackets. Spearman’s correlation analysis was performed to clarify which variables were in a relationship with complications and hospital costs. Based on the correlation analysis results (see Supplementary Figure 1) and considering the clinical relevance, several variables were then selected for the adjusted regression analysis”.

References

Koenker R. Quantile regression for longitudinal data. Journal of Multivariate Analysis 91.1 (2004): 74-89.

Koenker R, et al., eds. Handbook of quantile regression. CRC press, 2017.

Koenker R. Quantile Regression. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2005.

Wenz, Sebastian E. "What quantile regression does and doesn't do: A commentary on Petscher and Logan (2014)." Child development 90.4 (2019): 1442-1452.

Bilias, Y. Chen, S. and Z. Ying, (2000) Simple resampling methods for censored quantile regression, J. of Econometrics, 99, 373-386.

Other problems:

5. Line 41-42. The abstract should provide precise and accurate result. “Almost 1 in 4” should be replaced with an accurate percentage.

Authors’ response: Thank you for this important comment. Thank you for this comment. We provided the accurate percentile for the patients with CVD grade III or IV.

We now state “The overall complication prevalence was 81.6% (95% CI: 85.7–77.5). Most complications (69%) were minor, but 22.9% of patients developed a severe complication (Clavien–Dindo grades III or IV).”

6. Line 43-46. Should report median [IQR] cost for each and report the difference tested.

Authors’ response: Thank you for pointing out our error. We apologize for reporting the incorrect numbers, and have corrected appropriate numbers with interquartile range: “(median [IQR] USD 19,659.64 [13,545.81 – 35,407.14] vs 11,551.88 [8,849.46 – 15,329.87], P<0.001)”

7. Line 164. Authors should consider grouping patients differently.

Authors’ response: Thank you for this comment. We hope we have addressed this important point in our comments above.

8. Line 167. Missing data assessment should be in the result section.

Authors’ response: Thank you for this excellent suggestion. We have inserted the following information in methods section “Before statistical analysis, missing data analysis was performed to detect more than 5% missing values for all variables. For variables with less than 5% of missing values, statistical analysis excluding cases by analysis was planned. The multiple imputation method was performed in cases of missing values of more than 5%”.

Further we have moved the missing data analysis into the Results section with the number of eligible patients. We now state “Among the data of 348 patients, missing data analysis demonstrated fewer than 5% missing values for all variables. The variables with the highest missing data rate were ‘preoperative bilirubin concentration’ (4.3%), ‘intraoperative crystalloid administration volume’ (3.4%), ‘preoperative albumin concentration’ (2.9%), and ‘lowest postoperative hemoglobin concentration’ (0.9%). Statistical analysis was performed as a complete case analysis.”

9. Line 182. Bonferroni correction should apply to all tested outcomes rather than just significant difference. Significance criteria should be stated clearly.

Authors’ response: Thank you for raising this very important point. We agree with the Reviewer’s and have now applied the Bonferroni correction to the quantile regression analysis. We measured postoperative complication using three measuring scales: presence (dichromatic), numbers (5 levels ordered categorical), CVD grade (6 level ordered categorical). Accordingly, we have re-evaluated our results by the guide of Bonferroni’s adjusted P value = 0.050/3 = 0.016. Remaining conservative manner, we have limited the P value to 0.016, not as 0.017. We have described this new significance limit in statistical analysis section.

We now state “To correct for multiple comparisons the Bonferroni correction was applied.”

Throughout the manuscript, our statistical results have all been revised to take into consideration the new adjusted P value limit.

10. Line 185. Spearman correlation is for assessing the monotonic association, not linearity. Correlation does not make sense for binary variable (complication).

Authors’ response: We absolutely agree with the Reviewer and thank the Reviewer for pointing out our error. All relevant sentences related to correlation analysis have now been corrected.

11. Line 188. Need to clarify criteria for variable selection.

Authors’ response: Thank you for this insightful comment. We have included a detailed explanation about why we chose the specific variables for adjusting regression modelling.

Authors’ response: In the revised manuscript we state “Supplementary Figure 1 presents the Spearman correlation analysis results among complications, total hospital cost, and other collected variables. Among the collected variables, the following were selected as covariates: the CCI, preoperative anemia, surgical technique, emergency surgery, the volume of intraoperative fluid administration, and transfusion during admission. The CCI is a representative variable for preoperative patients’ status. Preoperative anemia significantly correlated with complications and hospital costs; it was selected as a covariate because of its important clinical relevance. Although its correlation coefficient was weak, the surgical technique consistently correlated with complications and hospital costs.

Emergency surgery was selected as a covariate because it is not included in the CCI classification. Intraoperative fluid volume had a weak relationship with the number of complications and hospital costs; however, as it can be related to postoperative complications, it was selected as a covariate (16). Transfusion during admission showed a moderate relationship with the severity of complications and hospital costs, and a weak relationship with the number of complications. As transfusion and anemia are associated with the development of postoperative complications, they were selected as covariates (17, 18). Although age and operative time correlated with complications and hospital costs, they were excluded because of multicollinearity. Other variables were excluded due to a non-significant correlation or clinical irrelevance.”

We have added 3 additional references to support our statement.

12. Line 208. Authors should report total eligible patients before missing data, and missing data assessment should be reported in the result rather than method.

Authors’ response: Thank you for raising this important point which has now been addressed in the resubmission manuscript. We have also provided a more detailed response to this important comment in the response above.

13. Line 240. Need to clarify adjusted and unadjusted hospital cost in the method

Authors’ response: Thank you for this valuable comment. We have now introduced a detailed explanation about unadjusted and adjusted cost analysis in the method section under the heading statistical analysis. We now state “Total hospital costs in relation to complications were analyzed using unadjusted and adjusted hospital costs. For the adjusted analyses, costs were analyzed according to the occurrence, number, and severity of complications using covariates of both clinical and statistical importance.”

We have also re-arranged the sentences to enhance the presentation of this additional information.

14. Supplement Table 2. Why reporting percentage across CVD groups?

Authors’ response: We agree with the Reviewer’s comment and have removed all the percentages across the CVD groups. Thank you for this excellent suggestion. We hope that the revised Table is easier to read, more informative and less confusing.

15. There are multiple grammar errors across the manuscript that adds difficulty to the comprehension of the content. Authors should proofread the submission carefully.

Authors’ response: Thank you for this comment. The manuscript has undergone a professional edit to ensure that the grammar, syntax and sentence structure is exemplary. All changes have been highlighted as a Tracked change in red.

Once again, we would like to the Editors and expert Reviewers for considering our manuscript for publication in PLOS ONE. The constructive comments and expert advice is genuinely appreciated.

Best,

A/Prof Laurence Weinberg

(BSc, MBBCh,MRCP,DPCritCareEcho,FANZCA,MD)

Chairperson, Austin Health Human Research Ethics Committee;

Director, Department of Anesthesia, Austin Hospital

Associate Professor, Department of Surgery, Austin Health, University of Melbourne

Associate Professor, Perioperative Pain and Medicine Unit, Department of Surgery, University of Melbourne

Decision Letter 1

Ehab Farag

7 Oct 2020

Postoperative complications and hospital costs following small bowel resection surgery

PONE-D-20-23870R1

Dear Dr. Laurence Weinberg

We’re pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been judged scientifically suitable for publication and will be formally accepted for publication once it meets all outstanding technical requirements.

Within one week, you’ll receive an e-mail detailing the required amendments. When these have been addressed, you’ll receive a formal acceptance letter and your manuscript will be scheduled for publication.

An invoice for payment will follow shortly after the formal acceptance. To ensure an efficient process, please log into Editorial Manager at http://www.editorialmanager.com/pone/, click the 'Update My Information' link at the top of the page, and double check that your user information is up-to-date. If you have any billing related questions, please contact our Author Billing department directly at authorbilling@plos.org.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please notify them about your upcoming paper to help maximize its impact. If they’ll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team as soon as possible -- no later than 48 hours after receiving the formal acceptance. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information, please contact onepress@plos.org.

Kind regards,

Ehab Farag, MD FRCA FASA

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Additional Editor Comments (optional):

Reviewers' comments:

Acceptance letter

Ehab Farag

9 Oct 2020

PONE-D-20-23870R1

Postoperative complications and hospital costs following small bowel resection surgery

Dear Dr. Weinberg:

I'm pleased to inform you that your manuscript has been deemed suitable for publication in PLOS ONE. Congratulations! Your manuscript is now with our production department.

If your institution or institutions have a press office, please let them know about your upcoming paper now to help maximize its impact. If they'll be preparing press materials, please inform our press team within the next 48 hours. Your manuscript will remain under strict press embargo until 2 pm Eastern Time on the date of publication. For more information please contact onepress@plos.org.

If we can help with anything else, please email us at plosone@plos.org.

Thank you for submitting your work to PLOS ONE and supporting open access.

Kind regards,

PLOS ONE Editorial Office Staff

on behalf of

Dr. Ehab Farag

Academic Editor

PLOS ONE

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Supplementary Materials

    S1 Appendix. Supporting figures and tables.

    (DOCX)

    S1 Data

    (XLSX)

    Data Availability Statement

    All relevant data are within the manuscript and its Supporting Information files.


    Articles from PLoS ONE are provided here courtesy of PLOS

    RESOURCES