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. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2021 Nov 1.
Published in final edited form as: Am J Clin Oncol. 2020 Nov;43(11):762–769. doi: 10.1097/COC.0000000000000744

Racial Disparities in Time to Treatment Initiation and Outcomes for Early-Stage Anal Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Suleyman Yasin Goksu 1, Muhammet Ozer 2, Syed Mohammad Ali Kazmi 1, Todd Aguilera 3, Chul Ahn 4, David Hsiehchen 1, Aravind Sanjeevaiah 1, Mary Claire Maxwell 1, Muhammad Shaalan Beg 1, Nina Niu Sanford 3
PMCID: PMC7584763  NIHMSID: NIHMS1613632  PMID: 32804778

Abstract

Objectives:

Although cure rates for early stage anal squamous cell cancer (ASCC) are overall high, there may be racial disparities in receipt of treatment and outcome precluding favorable outcomes across all patient demographics. Therefore, we aimed to assess the time to treatment initiation and overall survival (OS) in Black and white patients receiving definitive chemoradiation for early stage ASCC.

Methods:

We identified patients diagnosed with early-stage (stage I-II) ASCC and treated with chemoradiation diagnosed between 2004–2016 in the National Cancer Database. Clinical and treatment variables were compared by race using chi-square, and OS assessed via Cox regression with 1:1 nearest neighbor propensity score matching.

Results:

Among 9,331 patients, 90.6% were white. Black patients had longer median time to treatment initiation as compared to white patients (47 vs. 36 days, p<.001), and on multivariable analysis, the Black race was associated with higher odds of > 6 weeks of time to treatment initiation. (HR 1.78 [1.53–2.08], p<.001). Furthermore, Black patients had worse OS (5-year survival 71% vs. 77%, p<.001), which persisted after propensity score matching (p=.007).

Conclusions:

Black patients had a longer time to treatment initiation and worse OS as compared to white patients with early-stage ASCC treated with chemoradiation. Further research is needed to better elucidate the etiologies of these disparities.

Keywords: Anal Neoplasms, Time to Treatment, Healthcare Disparities, Propensity Score, Race Factors

INTRODUCTION

Although anal cancer is a rare disease, with 8,300 new cases diagnosed annually in the United States, both the incidence and mortality of anal cancer has been increasing over the last two decades, with an annual percentage chance of 1.9% and 3.6%, respectively1. According to the American Cancer Society, there are approximately 1000 deaths attributed to anal cancer annually2. Anal squamous cell cancer (ASCC) is the most common histologic subtype of anal cancer, constituting about 80% of cases3,4. Although the underlying causes of the rising rates are unclear, the most common hypotheses include increased prevalence of human papillomavirus (HPV), changing sexual practices, increasing prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), among other factors that cause immunodeficiency5. In particular, ASCC is strongly associated with HPV, with 90% of cases caused by infection with oncogenic HPV strains6,7. In addition, patients with HIV have a 40 to 80 times greater risk for developing ASCC as compared to the general population8.

The current standard treatment for ASCC is chemoradiotherapy (CRT) with 5-Fluorouracil (5-FU) and mitomycin9. Cure rates for localized ASCC are overall high, with a 5-year survival rate of approximately 81%2. Therefore, early diagnosis and treatment of ASCC are critical for achieving a good prognosis. Disparities based upon sociodemographic characteristics, including race, have been reported for several other malignancies1013, however have not recently been studied for early stage ASCC, despite the high relative prevalence of traditionally medically disadvantaged populations diagnosed with ASCC.

As such, we assessed racial disparities in presentation and overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing definitive CRT for early-stage (stage I and II) ASCC using the National Cancer Database (NCDB).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The NCDB is a hospital-based database, including more than 1,500 Commission on Cancer (CoC)-accredited facilities in the US and provides de-identified data on approximately 70% of cancer cases, including patient demographics, tumor characteristics, the first course of treatments and survival outcomes (https://www.facs.org/quality-programs/cancer/ncdb).

Study Population

We identified 56,426 adult patients (18–90 years) with anal cancer diagnosed between 2004 and 2016. We used the “C21.0-C21.2” ICD-O-3/WHO 2008 site recode and “8070–8078” ICD-O-3 histologic codes to limit to patients with ASCC histology1417. We included early stage (I-II) American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC)18 patients with ASCC who received concurrent CRT (defined as the start date of chemotherapy and radiotherapy within 14 days of each other)17. The staging was defined using the AJCC clinical stage group, which includes the 6th and 7th editions wherein there were no changes19,20. The majority of the patients did not undergo surgery; therefore, the clinical AJCC stage was combined with the pathological AJCC stage to determine the most accurate overall AJCC stage21,22. Patients with other histologies, those who had more than one primary tumor, with unknown follow-up, non-white or Black race, and those who did not receive CRT and the first course of treatment at the reporting facility (N=46,612) were excluded (Figure 1).

Figure 1.

Figure 1.

Flow chart showing patient selection

Statistical analysis

Chi-square test or Fisher’s exact test was used to compare baseline categorical variables by race. We used the two-sample T-test for continuous variables. Overall survival was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared between white and Black patients with the log-rank test. Cox proportional regression method was used for multivariable survival analysis with race (Black vs. white) as the primary independent variable of interest adjusting the effect of other risk factors described below. Patients were censored if still alive at the date of the last follow-up. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was also used to assess the relationship between race and time to treatment initiation (≤ 6 weeks vs. > 6 weeks). We defined time to treatment initiation as days between diagnosis and CRT initiation19, which was stratified as ≤ 6 weeks versus > 6 weeks. Other variables included in the model were demographics, socioeconomic status, and staging [AJCC stage I-II]. Patient demographics include age [< 50, 50–64, ≥ 65 years], sex [male, female], facility type [academic, non-academic, other], Charlson-Deyo Score [0–2+], facility location [New England, Middle Atlantic, South Atlantic, East North Central, East South Central, West North Central, West South Central, Mountain, Pacific]. Comorbid conditions defined as Charlson-Deyo score, which is calculated based on disease severity23. Socioeconomic status contains rurality [metropolitan, non-metropolitan], insurance status [uninsured, private insurance, Medicaid, Medicare, other government insurance], education level [rates of patients without high school level ≥ 17.6%, 10.9% - 17.5%, 6.3% - 10.8%, < 6.3%], travel distance to treatment facility [< 12.5, 12.5–49.9, ≥ 50 miles], and median income quartiles [< $40,227, $40,227–50,353, $50,354–63,332, ≥ $63,333]. Patients with missing data for each variable were categorized as “unknown” and were included in multivariable analyses as such.

We used 1:1 nearest neighbor propensity score matching (PSM) in an attempt to reduce confounding effects24. R software version 3.6.2 with MatchIt package was performed for PSM with sex, age, year of diagnosis, comorbidity score, facility type, facility location, insurance status, income, education, rurality, travel distance, stage, and grade as matching variables25. Survival analyses were reanalyzed after propensity matched using Kaplan Meier and Cox regression methods.

P-values were two-tailed considered statistically significant if <.05. All statistical analyses were performed using SPSS version 25.0. This study was deemed exempt from the Institutional Review Board at the University of Texas Southwestern, given the use of de-identified data.

RESULTS

Baseline Characteristics

Among 9,311 patients who met inclusion criteria, 8,451 (90.6%) were white, and the median age was 58 years. White patients were more likely to be female (67% vs. 51%), older age (≥ 65 years) (31% vs. 17%), of higher education level (25% vs. 7%), have private insurance (50% vs. 39%), and report higher income (35% vs. 16%), as compared to Black patients (all p<.001). In contrast, Black patients were more likely to live in metropolitan areas (92% vs. 81%), have comorbidity scores ≥ 2 (18% vs. 6%), receive treatment at an academic center (46% vs. 28%), live in the Southern Atlantic, (32% vs. 23%), and travel shorter distance for care (80% vs. 61%) (all p<.001) (Table 1). Black patients were more likely to have Medicaid insurance as compared to white patients (19% vs. 8%, p<.001). In addition, black patients had longer median time to treatment initiation (47 vs. 36 days, p<.001) and on multivariable logistic regression, the Black race was associated with higher odds of > 6 weeks of time to treatment initiation (HR 1.78 [1.53–2.08], p<.001) (Figure 2). Other variables positively associated with ≥ 6 weeks until treatment initiation included high comorbidity score (≥ 2) and long travel distance (≥ 50 miles) (Table 2).

Table 1.

Baseline characteristics

Characteristics Unmatched p-value Propensity Matched p-value
White (%) Black (%) White (%) Black (%)
8, 451 (90.6) 880 (9.4) 880 (50.0) 880 (50.0)
Sex <.001 NS
Male 2,789 (33) 428 (48.6) 433 (49.2) 428 (48.6)
Female 5,662 (67) 452 (51.4) 447 (50.8) 452 (51.4)
Age None <.001 NS
< 50 years 1,675 (19.8) 329 (37.4) 290 (33.0) 329 (37.4)
50–64 years 4,125 (48.8) 397 (45.1) 447 (50.8) 397 (45.1)
≥ 65 years 2,651 (31.4) 154 (17.5) 143 (16.3) 154 (17.5)
Year of diagnosis NS NS
2004–2006 1,440 (17.0) 148 (16.8) 145 (16.5) 148 (16.8)
2007–2009 1,863 (22.0) 190 (21.6) 194 (22.0) 190 (21.6)
2010–2012 2,320 (27.5) 241 (27.4) 261 (29.7) 241 (27.4)
2013–2015 2,828 (33.5) 301 (34.2) 280 (31.8) 301 (34.2)
Comorbidity Score <.001 NS
0 6,936 (82.1) 607 (69.0) 612 (69.5) 607 (69.0)
1 1,016 (12.0) 115 (13.1) 125 (14.2) 115 (13.1)
2+ 499 (5.9) 158 (18.0) 143 (16.3) 158 (18.0)
Facility Type <.001 <.001
Academic 2,386 (28.2) 402 (45.7) 354 (40.2) 402 (45.7)
Non-academic 5,822 (68.9) 398 (45.2) 494 (56.1) 398 (45.2)
Others 243 (2.9) 80 (9.1) 32 (3.6) 80 (9.1)
Facility Location <.001 <.001
New England 596 (7.1) 32 (3.6) 53 (6.0) 32 (3.6)
Middle Atlantic 1,057 (12.5) 143 (16.3) 138 (15.7) 143 (16.3)
South Atlantic 1,923 (22.8) 282 (32.0) 210 (23.9) 282 (32.0)
East North Central 1,474 (17.4) 141 (16.0) 183 (20.8) 141 (16.0)
East South Central 641 (7.6) 60 (6.8) 70 (8.0) 60 (6.8)
West North Central 596 (7.1) 37 (4.2) 47 (5.3) 37 (4.2)
West South Central 508 (6.0) 60 (6.8) 59 (6.7) 60 (6.8)
Mountain 410 (4.9) 4 (0.5) 26 (3.0) 4 (0.5)
Pacific 1,003 (11.9) 41 (4.7) 62 (7.0) 41 (4.7)
Unknown 243 (2.9) 80 (9.1) 32 (3.6) 80 (9.1)
Insurance status <.001 .03
Uninsured 417 (4.9) 67 (7.6) 74 (8.4) 67 (7.6)
Private 4,197 (49.7) 346 (39.3) 402 (45.7) 346 (39.3)
Medicaid 645 (7.6) 164 (18.6) 128 (14.5) 164 (18.6)
Medicare 2,892 (34.2) 262 (29.8) 246 (28.0) 262 (29.8)
Other Government 127 (1.5) 17 (1.9) 9 (1.0) 17 (1.9)
Unknown 173 (2.0) 24 (2.7) 21 (2.4) 24 (2.7)
Income <.001 .001
< $40,227 1,432 (16.9) 401 (45.6) 364 (41.4) 401 (45.6)
$40,227 - $50,353 1,977 (23.4) 206 (23.4) 237 (26.9) 206 (23.4)
$50,354 - $63,332 1,977 (23.4) 122 (13.9) 148 (16.8) 122 (13.9)
≥ $63,333 2,939 (34.8) 139 (15.8) 131 (14.9) 139 (15.8)
Unknown 126 (1.5) 12 (1.4) 0 (0) 12 (1.4)
Education¥ <.001 .01
≥17.6% 1,512 (17.9) 355 (40.3) 342 (38.9) 355 (40.3)
10.9% - 17.5% 2,197 (26.0) 269 (30.6) 294 (33.4) 269 (30.6)
6.3% - 10.8% 2,485 (29.4) 179 (20.3) 177 (20.1) 179 (20.3)
<6.3 2,143 (25.4) 65 (7.4) 67 (7.6) 65 (7.4)
Unknown 114 (1.3) 12 (1.4) 0 (0) 12 (1.4)
Rurality <.001 .03
Metropolitan 6,878 (81.4) 811 (92.2) 809 (91.9) 811 (92.2)
Non-metropolitan 1,368 (16.2) 55 (6.3) 67 (7.6) 55 (6.3)
Unknown 205 (2.4) 14 (1.6) 4 (0.5) 14 (1.6)
Travel distance <.001 NS
<12.5 miles 5,143 (60.9) 705 (80.1) 694 (78.8) 705 (80.1)
12.5–49.9 miles 2,654 (31.4) 137 (15.6) 158 (18.0) 137 (15.6)
≥50 miles 630 (7.5) 37 (4.2) 28 (3.2) 37 (4.2)
Unknown 24 (0.3) 1 (0.1) 0 (0) 1 (0.1)
Stage NS NS
I 2,420 (28.6) 227 (25.8) 228 (25.9) 227 (25.8)
II 6,031 (71.4) 653 (74.2) 652 (74.1) 653 (74.2)
Grade .003 NS
I-II 4,253 (50.3) 420 (47.7) 423 (48.1) 420 (47.7)
III-IV 2,106 (24.9) 197 (22.4) 191 (21.7) 197 (22.4)
Unknown 2,092 (24.8) 263 (29.9) 266 (30.2) 263 (29.9)
Overall Survival <.001 .007
5-year survival rate 77 % 71 % 75 % 71 %
¥

Education: percentage of patients without high school level

Figure 2.

Figure 2.

Histogram to display time to treatment initiation (≤ 6 weeks vs. > 6 weeks) in white and Black patients with anal squamous cell carcinoma

Table 2.

Multivariable Logistic regression analysis for time to treatment initiation (≤ 6 weeks vs. > 6 weeks)

Characteristics OR (95% CI) p-value
Race
White Ref
Black 1.78 (1.53–2.08) <.001
Sex
Male Ref
Female 0.72 (0.65–0.79) <.001
Age
<50 years Ref
50–64 years 1.03 (0.91–1.16) NS
≥65 years 1.06 (0.91–1.24) NS
Comorbidity Score
0 Ref
1 1.07 (0.94–1.23) NS
2+ 1.28 (1.08–1.53) .004
Facility Type
Academic Ref
Non-academic 0.62 (0.56–0.68) <.001
Other 0.76 (0.58–0.98) .03
Travel distance
<12.5 miles Ref
12.5–49.9 miles 1.02 (0.92–1.13) NS
≥50 miles 1.25 (1.04–1.51) .02
Unknown 1.08 (0.43–2.71) NS
Income
< $40,227 Ref
$40,227 - $50,353 0.98 (0.85–1.12) NS
$50,354 - $63,332 0.96 (0.84–1.10) NS
≥ $63,333 0.89 (0.78–1.01) NS
Unknown 1.61 (1.08–2.40) .02
Insurance status
Uninsured Ref
Private 0.62 (0.51–0.76) <.001
Medicaid 1.17 (0.93–1.49) NS
Medicare 0.71 (0.57–0.88) .002
Other/Unknown 0.95 (0.71–1.27) NS
Rurality
Metropolitan Ref
Non-metropolitan 0.80 (0.70–0.93) .003
Unknown 0.99 (0.73–1.33) NS
Stage
I Ref
II 0.53 (0.48–0.58) <.001
Grade
I-II Ref
III-IV 0.82 (0.74–0.92) .001
Unknown 1.02 (0.92–1.14) NS

Note: The multivariable logistic regression predicted the probability of time to treatment initiation: > 6 weeks

Survival analyses

Without propensity score matching, Black patients had worse OS compared to white patients (HR 1.18 [1.02–1.36], p=.03), 5-year survival rate 71% vs. 77%, p<.001) (Table 1, Figure 3A). After propensity score matching, the Black race remained associated with worse overall survival (5-year survival rate 71% vs. 75%, p=.007) (Table 1, Figure 3B). After multivariable analysis, this difference has remained as Black patients had decreased overall survival than white patients (HR 1.25 [1.02–1.52], p=.03) (Table 3).

Figure 3.

Figure 3.

Overall survival in white and Black patients with anal squamous cell carcinoma (A) unmatched groups (B) propensity matched groups

Table 3.

Multivariable Cox regression analysis for overall survival

Characteristics Unmatched Propensity matched
HR (95% CI) p-value HR (95% CI) p-value
Race
White Ref Ref
Black 1.18 (1.02–1.36) .03 1.25 (1.02–1.52) .03
Sex
Male Ref Ref
Female 0.64 (0.58–0.70) <.001 0.62 (0.50–0.76) <.001
Age
< 50 years Ref Ref
50–64 years 1.28 (1.12–1.46) <.001 1.16 (0.91–1.47) NS
≥ 65 years 2.00 (1.71–2.35) <.001 1.66 (1.21–2.28) .002
Comorbidity Score
0 Ref Ref
1 1.34 (1.19–1.51) <.001 1.37 (1.04–1.81) .02
2+ 2.27 (1.98–2.59) <.001 2.44 (1.94–3.08) <.001
Facility Type
Academic Ref Ref
Non-academic 1.12 (1.01–1.24) .03 0.97 (0.79–1.20) NS
Unknown 1.69 (1.28–2.24) <.001 1.47 (0.95–2.28) NS
Travel distance
<12.5 miles Ref Ref
12.5–49.9 miles 0.91 (0.82–1.01) NS 0.87 (0.65–1.16) NS
≥50 miles 0.91 (0.76–1.10) NS 0.84 (0.49–1.44) NS
Unknown 1.31 (0.50–3.50) NS N/A
Income
< $40,227 Ref Ref
$40,227 - $50,353 0.86 (0.76–0.98) .02 1.03 (0.81–1.31) NS
$50,354 - $63,332 0.86 (0.76–0.98) .02 1.14 (0.86–1.51) NS
≥ $63,333 0.77 (0.68–0.87) <.001 0.87 (0.64–1.18) NS
Unknown 0.79 (0.53–1.17) NS 0.51 (0.18–1.43) NS
Insurance status
Uninsured Ref Ref
Private 0.63 (0.52–0.78) <.001 0.76 (0.51–1.14) NS
Medicaid 1.10 (0.87–1.38) NS 1.04 (0.68–1.59) NS
Medicare 0.93 (0.76–1.15) NS 1.26 (0.84–1.90) NS
Other/Unknown 0.97 (0.75–1.31) NS 1.45 (0.84–2.53) NS
Rurality
Metropolitan Ref Ref
Non-metropolitan 1.20 (1.05–1.37) .006 1.65 (1.11–2.45) .01
Unknown 1.15 (0.86–1.54) NS 3.18 (1.44–7.01) .004
Stage
I Ref Ref
II 1.66 (1.49–1.85) <.001 1.59 (1.24–2.04) <.001
Grade
I-II Ref Ref
III-IV 0.99 (0.89–1.09) NS 1.00 (0.78–1.29) NS
Unknown 0.89 (0.80–0.99) .03 0.79 (0.63–0.99) .04

DISCUSSION

In this comprehensive nationwide study of patients with early-stage ASCC, we observed socioeconomic and racial disparities in treatment and outcome. In particular, Black patients had a worse OS. The etiologies of this disparity are likely multifactorial, including both patient and systems-level factors such as insurance status, income, education, and access to timely and high quality cancer care2628. Indeed, we also found that the Black race was associated with greater time to treatment initiation. These findings are consistent with prior reports such as by Ramsey et al., showing that among patients with ASCC, Black patients with public insurance and lower education levels experienced greater treatment initiation delays as compared to their white counterparts19. Notably, Black patients were more likely to be treated at academic cancer centers. It is possible that some of the delays in treatment initiation for Black patients could be due to difficulties in obtaining timely work-up and care at academic centers due to longer wait times at such centers, although we controlled for facility type in our analyses. Prior studies have also demonstrated an association between racial disparities and delay to treatment initiation in breast, colorectal, prostate, lung, and head & neck cancers2933. Accordingly, research on cancer outcomes has demonstrated that delays in the initiation of cancer treatment appear to be associated with worse survival29,30,34,35.

Several prior studies have also demonstrated a higher incidence and mortality of ASCC among Black patients14,36,37. In a study using the SEER database, Arora et al. reported that white women and Black men had the highest rate of increase in the incidence of ASCC38. Another study showed that Black patients have higher annual percentage increases in incidence and mortality of ASCC compared to whites and that 5-year relative survival was significantly lower in Black patients (56% vs. 67%)39. Indeed, multiple studies have demonstrated that Black patients with ASCC have higher mortality as compared to whites14,21,38,40. In a large cohort, Fields et al. found that the Black race was significantly associated with unfavorable survival in stage I, II, and III diseases but not for stage IV disease40. Furthermore, a combined analysis of two studies using the SEER database between 1973 to 2005 and 1988 to 2012 showed the Black race as an independent predictor of worse survival41,42. Our study adds to the literature by demonstrating this disparity among early stage ASCC patients, who have the highest chance for disease cure.

Our study has several limitations inherent to large cancer registries, including lack of information on treatment completion, details on radiotherapy fields, treatment toxicities, chemotherapy dosage and regimens, details of staging (endoscopy, biopsy, specific imaging studies, etc.), and missed appointments. In addition, there was no information on HIV status, which would have been helpful to include as a covariable. Also, NCDB only includes overall survival, and there is no information on cancer-specific outcomes.

Black patients with early stage ASCC had greater time to treatment initiation and worse OS as compared to white patients. Further research is needed to elucidate the underpinnings of these disparities.

Research Support:

NCI Cancer Center Support Grant to UT Southwestern Medical Center (5P30CA142543-07) to Muhammad Beg. The research reported in this publication was supported by the National Center for Advancing Translational Sciences of the National Institutes of Health under Award Number UL1TR001105. Muhammad Beg is Designated Dedman Family Scholar in Clinical Care.

Abbreviations:

CRT

Chemoradiation therapy

ASCC

anal squamous cell cancer

NCDB

National Cancer Database

OS

Overall survival

NS

not significant

Footnotes

Conflicts of Interest: None

This manuscript has been presented as an abstract form for the 2020 American Society of Clinical Oncology Annual Meeting.

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