Dementia is a predictor for mortality outcome from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection

Dear Editor,

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), a pandemic disease, has caused a significant impact on the economic, health, and social aspect. The disease has caused over 500,000 deaths around the world. Therefore, identification of the contributing factors to the development of mortality is very important to enable stratification of risk factors, optimize the reallocation of hospital resources, and guide public health recommendations and interventions. Before this pandemic, individuals with dementia are one of the most vulnerable persons whose day-to-day survival depends on other people. In the previous meta-analysis, it has been shown that patients with dementia have a two-fold risk of pneumonia-associated death [1]. However, until recently, no study provides clear evidence regarding the link between dementia and COVID-19. The aim of this article is to explore the potential association between dementia and the mortality of COVID-19 infection.

A search of the literature was conducted on PubMed and PubMed Central (PMC) using the keywords “dementia” OR “clinical characteristics” OR “comorbidities” OR “risk factors” AND “coronavirus disease 2019” OR “COVID-19”, between 2019 and present time (July 14th, 2020) with language restricted to English only. The title, abstract, and full text of all articles identified that matched the search criteria were assessed, and those reporting the rate of dementia in COVID-19 patients with a clinically validated definition of "mortality" were included in this meta-analysis. The references of all identified studies were also analyzed (forward and backward citation tracking) to identify other potentially eligible articles.

A meta-analysis was performed using Review Manager 5.4 (Cochrane Collaboration) software. Dichotomous variables were calculated using the Mantel–Haenszel formula with random-effects models regardless of its heterogeneity. The effect estimate was reported as risk ratio (RR) along with its 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dichotomous variables, respectively. P value was two-tailed, and the statistical significance set at ≤ 0.05.

A total of 32,509 records were obtained through systematic electronic searches and other ways. After screening titles, abstracts, and full texts, 5 studies [2–6] with a total of 881 COVID-19 patients were included in the meta-analysis. The essential characteristics of included studies are summarized in Table 1, whilst the individual and pooled RRs for dementia predicting severe COVID-19 is shown in Fig. 1. Our pooled analysis showed that dementia significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality from COVID-19 [RR 2.60 (95% CI 1.86–3.65), p < 0.00001, I² = 44%, random-effect modelling].

Table 1.

Characteristics of included studies

Study	Sample size	Design	Survivor patients		Non-survivor patients
			n (%)	Age (years)	n (%)	Age (years)
Bianchetti et al. [2]	627	Retrospective cohort	433 (69.1%)	N/A	194 (30.9%)	N/A
Covino et al. [3]	69	Retrospective cohort	46 (66.7%)	84.6 ± 5.9	23 (33.3%)	84.6 ± 2.2
Hwang et al. [4]	103	Retrospective cohort	77 (75%)	64.6 ± 15.8	26 (25%)	76.5 ± 9.2
Wan et al. [5]	30	Retrospective cohort	25 (83.3%)	62.7 ± 13.6	5 (16.7%)	66.8 ± 5.1
Yan et al. [6]	52	Retrospective cohort	20 (38.4%)	51.9 ± 12.9	32 (61.6%)	64.6 ± 11.2

Fig. 1.

Forest plot that demonstrates the association of dementia with mortality from COVID-19 disease

Based on our meta-analysis of available data, dementia seems to be associated with an enhanced risk of mortality from COVID-19 infection. Several reasons can be proposed to explain this result. First, most of the patients with dementia were old in age and have other comorbid medical conditions that could increase the severity and mortality of infections. Older patients with COVID-19 infection may present with atypical symptoms of infections. They may be afebrile with non-respiratory symptoms, such as delirium or isolated functional decline without any obvious physical symptoms [7]. These atypical presentations of COVID-19 may impede the early recognition of the disease, increase COVID-19 spread, and mortality. Moreover, meta-analysis has also shown that older age (≥ 65 years old) and the presence of comorbid diseases were associated with a higher risk of mortality from COVID-19 infections [8]. Second, there is an ApoE e4 genotype which was associated with dementia. This genotype has a role to modulate the pro/anti-inflammatory phenotypes of macrophage. Besides expressing ACE2, the receptor for SARS-CoV-2, many cell types in the lung, such as macrophages, type I and type II alveolar epithelial cells, also express the ApoE e4 genotype [9]. Therefore, it is possible that having one or two copies of ApoE4 can make the robust innate immune response and cytokine storm which contribute to the development of COVID-19 complications, such as acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and lead to mortality. A study by Kuo et al. [10] have also demonstrated that patients with ApoE e4e4 were more likely to have severe COVID-19 infections that increase the risk of mortality.

Hence, patients with dementia should be given extra care and monitoring to minimize exposure to the virus. Physicians can use the telemedicine-based practice to provide care and evaluations for dementia patients to minimize their visit to the hospitals. Physicians and caregivers should also be engaged in close monitoring of dementia patients with suspected COVID-19, for early diagnosis and treatment to avoid mortality from infections. The hospitals can provide a Special Care Geriatric COVID-19 units for dementia and elderly patients who contract with COVID-19, which is filled with a team of mental health professionals (doctors, nurses, and psychological counselors), to give better care, more strict monitoring, and enable the healthcare providers in that units to focus only on the management of dementia patients so that the morbidity and mortality from COVID-19 can be reduced. Finally, dementia should be regarded as an important factor in future risk stratification models for COVID-19.

The limitation of this study is that the presence of confounding factors, such as patients’ nutritional status and daily medication, that can affect the relationship between dementia and mortality from COVID-19 should still be considered. Moreover, this study only includes a small number of patients due to most studies still did not consider dementia as an important comorbidity in COVID-19 patients. However, with this study, we hope that dementia can further be considered as important factor and comorbidity in COVID-19 patients.

Author contributions

TIH: Conceptualization; Data curation; Methodology; Investigation; Validation; Visualization; Writing–original draft; Writing–review and editing. CP: Conceptualization; Data curation; Methodology; Investigation; Validation; Visualization; Writing–original draft; Writing–review & editing. RFVS: Conceptualization; Validation; Resources; Writing–original draft; Writing–review and editing; Supervision. AK: Conceptualization; Validation; Resources; Writing–original draft; Writing–review and editing; Supervision.

Funding

None.

Data availability

Not applicable.

Compliance with ethical standards

Conflict of interest

The authors declare that they have no conflict of interest.