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. 2023 Jan 10;2:49. Originally published 2022 Sep 2. [Version 2] doi: 10.3310/nihropenres.13284.2

Using the AR-V7 biomarker to determine treatment in metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer, a feasibility randomised control trial, conclusions from the VARIANT trial

Paul Gravestock 1, Emma Clark 2, Miranda Morton 3, Shirya Sharma 3, Holly Fisher 4, Jenn Walker 3, Ruth Wood 3, Helen Hancock 3, Nichola Waugh 3, Aislinn Cooper 5, Rebecca Maier 3, John Marshall 6, Robert Chandler 1, Amit Bahl 7, Simon Crabb 8, Suneil Jain 9, Ian Pedley 1, Rob Jones 10, John Staffurth 5,11,#, Rakesh Heer 1,2,a,#
PMCID: PMC7614403  EMSID: EMS164636  PMID: 37035713

Version Changes

Revised. Amendments from Version 1

This revised version includes extra details in areas highlighted by the reviewers.

Abstract

Background

Prostate cancer is the most commonly diagnosed malignancy in the UK. Castrate resistant prostate cancer (CRPC) can be difficult to manage with response to next generation hormonal treatment variable. AR-V7 is a protein biomarker that can be used to predict response to treatment and potentially better inform management in these patients. Our aim was to establish the feasibility of conducting a definitive randomised controlled trial comparing the clinical utility of AR-V7 biomarker assay in personalising treatments for patients with metastatic CRPC within the United Kingdom (UK) National Health Service (NHS). Due to a number of issues the trial was not completed successfully, we aim to discuss and share lessons learned herein.

Methods

We conducted a randomised, open, feasibility trial, which aimed to recruit 70 adult men with metastatic CRPC within three secondary care NHS trusts in the UK to be run over an 18-month period. Participants were randomised to personalised treatment based on AR-V7 status (intervention) or standard care (control). The primary outcome was feasibility, which included: recruitment rate, retention and compliance. Additionally, a baseline prevalence of AR-V7 expression was to be estimated.

Results

Fourteen participants were screened and 12 randomised with six into each arm over a nine-month period. Reliability issues with the AR-V7 assay meant prevalence was not estimated. Due to limited recruitment the study did not complete to target.

Conclusions

Whilst the trial did not complete to target, we have ascertained that men with advanced cancer are willing to take part in trials utilising biomarker guided treatment. A number of issues were identified that serve as important learning points in future clinical trials.

Keywords: prostatic neoplasms, castration-resistant, biomarkers, feasibility studies, male

Plain English summary

In advanced prostate cancer patients are commonly treated with hormone therapy to control the cancer growth. Eventually this treatment stops working, and the next steps involve treatment with either more advanced hormone therapy (abiraterone and enzalutamide) or with chemotherapy/radiotherapy.

The VARIANT trial used a blood test to check for a marker in the blood called the AR-V7 protein which may help predict which treatment option is better in these patients. By doing this trial we wanted to explore if patients and their doctors were willing to use this test to help decide the best treatment. We planned to recruit 70 men for the study.

Patients who agreed to take part were put into one of two groups: (1) treatment guided by the AR-V7 test or (2) treatment as usual, decided by both doctor and patient. Blood samples were collected when the patient agreed to take part in the trial (after signing their consent), at 12 weeks and at 24 weeks after they started treatment. The blood samples were sent to the Newcastle University labs to test for AR-V7 positivity. Extra blood samples that were not used were stored in a biobank to be used in future prostate cancer research. Participants were asked to complete questionnaires throughout the trial. The trial took place across three NHS organisations across the UK, in Newcastle, Cardiff and Glasgow.

The trial was planned to start recruiting participants at all three sites in October 2018. Unfortunately, due to unforeseen delays recruitment did not start until July 2019 and all three sites did not open until February 2020. A total of 12 patients were recruited.

The trial showed patients were willing to be randomised to the trial to allow their treatment to be guided by a blood test. Unfortunately, due to a number of delays and difficulties with recruitment and a change in the standard treatment the study did not fully meet its outcomes.

Introduction

Prostate cancer is the most diagnosed malignancy in the United Kingdom (UK) and the second most common cause of cancer mortality 1 . Whilst overall survival rates are high, metastatic prostate cancer is incurable with poor five-year survival rates 2 . Treatment for metastatic prostate cancer includes medical or surgical castration, the former consists of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) which aims to block production of testosterone and/or block its action on testosterone receptors. In prostatic tissue, testosterone acts on cells to promote growth and proliferation, blocking these signals with ADT leads androgen sensitive cells to undergo apoptosis 3 . When metastatic prostate cancer responds to ADT it is termed metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer (mHSPC). Whilst a good response to ADT is often seen initially, it is inevitable that the disease begins to progress despite treatment to become what is then termed metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer (mCRPC) 3, 4 .

When VARIANT was conceived the standard of care for mHSPC, for most patients, was ADT alone, at the subsequent development of castrate resistance additional treatment would then consist of either next generation androgen receptor targeted agents (ARTAs), non-hormonal treatment with chemotherapy or drug delivered radiotherapy (radium 233) 5 . ARTAs such as abiraterone or enzalutamide are typically the preferred option as they generally have less side effects. However, response is variable with a proportion of patients resistant to the treatment primarily and all patients eventually becoming treatment refractory 3 . Predicting a positive response in individual patients is challenging and failed response, disease progression and uncertainty around treatment can be difficult for patients.

One method to better determine effective therapy for these patients has been proposed in the form of monitoring levels of androgen receptor splice variant 7 (AR-V7). Androgen receptor splice variants are variations of the androgen receptor protein which lack a portion of the normal ligand binding domain and allow signalling despite lack of activation by a binding ligand 69 . AR-V7 is an example of one these variants and has been found to have a higher expression in prostate tissue of patients with mCRPC than in those who are hormone naïve and has a strong association with hormone resistance and metastatic disease 9, 10 . Moreover AR-V7, which can be detected on circulating tumour cells (CTCs) within patients’ blood samples, has been implicated in resistance to abiraterone and enzalutamide 11, 12 .

The VARIANT randomised controlled trial (RCT) was designed to assess the feasibility of utilising the AR-V7 biomarker in order to determine the optimal treatment pathway, treating with ARTAs in those patients likely to benefit and alternative treatment options to optimise disease control in patients in whom further hormonal treatments are likely to be futile. The primary objective was to establish feasibility in conducting a definitive randomised trial comparing AR-V7 biomarker-driven management with the current standard care in patients with mCRPC. The secondary objectives were to (1) estimate AR-V7 biomarker prevalence in the trial population to inform sample size calculations for a definitive randomised control trial; (2) assess recruitment, compliance and retention rates; (3) confirm outcome measures for a future definitive trial and establish trial data response rates, variability, and data quality; and (4) establish a blood biobank to include baseline, 12 and 24-week blood samples for future translational studies.

We aim to report these results and also discuss the reasons why the trial was not successfully completed to target with a view to share lessons learnt from our feasibility study.

Methods

We conducted a randomised, open, feasibility trial, with participants recruited from three secondary care National Health Service (NHS) organisations in the UK: Velindre University NHS Trust, The Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust and NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde. This was registered with the ISRCTN trial registry on 12/08/2019, with the identifier: ISRCTN10246848 available at https://doi.org/10.1186/ISRCTN10246848. Favourable ethical opinion was obtained from the Wales National Research Ethics Service (NRES) Committee, reference: 18/WA/0419.

Patients were identified from urology/oncology clinical services and were approached about the trial during their routine clinic appointments. To be eligible for the study, patients were aged ≥18 years old with mCRPC and high-risk features clinically suitable for ARTA or chemotherapy. The eligibility criteria is published in full in the trial protocol which is available as open access ( https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31857319/) 13 . The criteria includes: disease progression despite medical or surgical castration, suitability for treatment with at least one ARTA and one non-hormonal therapy and at least two high risk features. High risk features were defined as: age <60 years at time of diagnosis of metastatic disease, bone metastases present at time of diagnosis, Gleason score 8–10, presence of visceral metastases, PSA doubling time of less than 3 months, elevated alkaline phosphatase, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) Performance status worse than or equal to 1, previous treatment for CRPC with docetaxal chemotherapy or ARTA 13 .

The trial was designed as a feasibility trial according to the definition of Eldridge et al. (2016) 14 . Feasibility includes the deliverability of the intervention and in this case, assessment of the frequency of the positive assay measurements (predicted at approximately 30%). The target sample size was designed according to external pilot RCT recommendation by Teare et al. (2014) 15 where it is recommended that data is collected on a minimum of 60 patients per arm to estimate an ‘event’ rate in a single treatment arm. We planned to calculate a pooled estimate of overall recruitment rate and overall biomarker prevalence rate with a planned recruitment target of 70 patients in total to allow for dropout.

The target was to recruit 70 patients from the three centres: Newcastle, Glasgow and Cardiff. Participants were randomised using a method of random permuted blocks of concealed variable block size and stratified by site in the ratio 1:1 to receive personalised standard treatment (intervention) or standard care (control). In the personalised standard treatment group, participants’ treatment was guided by the results of the AR-V7 biomarker test. Participants randomised to the control arm received standard care without biomarker guided treatment. Details of the protocol for the blood sampling, processing and analyses are previously published 13 . In brief, 2 x 10ml blood samples using ACD-A Blood Collection Tubes were collected at baseline, 12 and 24 weeks. These samples were sent to Newcastle University on the day of collection using a courier service and shipped at a temperature below 10°C, i.e. on cool packs, but not frozen. These samples were used for CTC and cfDNA analysis and to provide the AR-V7 biomarker result using a validated commercially available kit - AdnaTest ProstateCancerPanel AR-V7 circulating tumour cell (CTC) quantitative RT-PCR (RT-qPCR) assay (Qiagen®) 16 .

Outcome measures were defined as feasibility measures to inform the definitive RCT and clinical measures. Feasibility measures included recruitment rates, proportion of patients who were eligible, the proportion who agreed to be randomised, the baseline prevalence of AR-V7 expression, how assessable blood samples were for the biomarker and timeline involved in processing the samples and whether patients were compliant with the recommended treatment and completing study measures. Clinical measures included time to prostate specific antigen (PSA) progression, clinical progression, cancer specific and overall survival. Clinical progression could be determined as a result of progressive symptomology or radiologically. As VARIANT was a pragmatic trial the latter was as determined by local radiology or multidisciplinary team.

Further to this quality of life (QOL) was assessed at baseline, 12 weeks and 24 weeks using the validated EORTC quality of life cancer questionnaires (QLQ-C30) with additional prostate cancer specific module (QLQ-PR25) ( https://qol.eortc.org/). Additionally, a short non-validated ‘Use of Health Services Questionnaire’, consisting of ten questions assessing how patients utilised health resources during the trial was completed once at the end of the trial, to aid in future health economic evaluation, this is available as extended data 17 .

Further information about the methods including detailed eligibility criteria and outcomes is available in the earlier published protocol 13 .

Results

Recruitment, eligibility, randomisation and baseline demographics

Participant flow is summarised in the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials (CONSORT) diagram in Figure 1, additionally the CONSORT checklist is available as extended data 17, 18 . Of the 14 patients who were assessed against eligibility criteria, two patients were excluded as they were deemed too unfit to participate. Of the remaining 12 patients, all 12 agreed to be randomised with six patients randomised into each arm, four of these patients were randomised to have validation blood samples sent to the Cardiff labs. No participants withdrew or were lost to follow up over the course of the study. Baseline demographics are provided in Table 1.

Figure 1. CONSORT flow diagram.

Figure 1.

Table 1. Clinical demographics and medical history of participants at screening.

Personalised Treatment
(n = 6)
Standard Care
(n = 6)
Disease characteristics (at initial diagnosis)
PSA median (range) (ng/ml) 116.7 (14.1–436) 16.25 (1.7–991)
Gleason score 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 0 | 1 (17%) | 2 (33%) | 3 (50%) | 0 1 (17%) | 0 | 2 (33%) | 3 (50%) | 0
TNM a Stage T1 | T2 | T3 | T4 0 | 0 | 5 (83%) | 1 (17%) 0 | 1(17%) | 0 | 5 (83%)
N0 | N1 3 (50%) | 3 (50%) 4 (67%) | 2 (33%)
M0 | M1 1 (17%) | 5 (83%) 4 (67%) | 1 (33%)
ECOG b PS c 0 | 1 5 (83%) | 1 (17%) 4 (67%) | 2 (33%)
At entry to Variant
Age median (range)
years
70.2 (62.0–76.9) 66.4 (55.4–74.2)
Time since diagnosis median (range) years 1.4 (0.79–11.5) 3.1 (0.95–8.77)
Metastatic disease
location
Bone
Visceral
Lymph Node
4 (67%)
2 (33%)
2 (33%)
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
2 (33%)

aTumour, Nodes and Metastases, bEastern Cooperative Oncology Group cperformance status

AR-V7 analysis

All participants had blood samples taken and results emailed back to respective sites in a timeframe amenable to commence biomarker guided treatment. Median time between blood sample collection and result being received was 6.5 (3–7) days and nine (3–30) days between sample collection and treatment starting respectively. For the six participants in the personalised treatment arm, five participants were reported as AR-V7 negative and one participant was AR-V7 positive.

Following these results, issues were discovered with the AR-V7 assays used at the Newcastle Lab, as there was a failure of reproducibility with discrepancies found with those undergoing validation in the Cardiff lab - although some variation is to be expected since the number of circulating tumour cells can vary between vials of blood. In 9 out of 12 participants, an internal control for the AR-V7 assay (the inhibition control) failed. This meant that the team could not be confident of the reliability of the results for these participants. Further investigation and discussion with the provider suggested that this was an issue with the batch of assays being used. As VARIANT was a pragmatic trial, it was decided by the trial management group (TMG) that a second blood sample would not be sought from the participants. As a result, further investigations, including the impact of varying numbers of circulating tumour cells between vials of bloods were not completed.

Due to these issues and the low number of participants recruited, it was not possible to accurately calculate AR-V7 biomarker prevalence in this trial population. Issues faced with some of the assays withstanding, we were able to demonstrate the effective set up of a bespoke lab that allowed reporting of AR-V7 reads from blood samples in a timeline that could inform treatments for men with mCRPC.

Treatment adherence and disease progression

Within the six participants allocated to the personalised treatment arm the five negative participants were started on next generation hormonal treatment (Enzalutamide or Abiraterone) and the one participant with a positive AR-V7 result started on chemotherapy in the form of Cabazitaxel.

Three patients had evidence of disease progression at 12 weeks, two in the personalised treatment arm and one in the standard care arm, all three had evidence of PSA and clinical progression. Two participants, one from each arm, changed therapy, in both cases from Enzalutamide to Cabazitaxel and in one case with the addition of Denosumab. This is summarised in Table 2. There were no deaths reported during the trial period.

Table 2. Summary of treatment received by participants.

Personalised
Treatment
(n = 6)
Standard Care
(n = 6)
AR-V7 analysis (baseline):
Positive 1 (17%) NA
Negative 5 (83%) NA
Treatment recommendations:
(based on AR-V7 status in the personalised treatment arm or per standard practice in the
standard care arm)
Non-hormonal: 1 (17%) 1 (17%)
Docetaxel chemotherapy 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Cabazitaxel chemotherapy 1 (17%) 1 (17%)
Radium-223 therapy 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Next generation hormonal: 5 (83%) 5 (83%)
Enzalutamide 2 (33%) 2 (33%)
Abiraterone 3 (50%) 3 (50%)
Did the participant start recommended treatment? Yes
No
6 (100%) 6 (100%)
0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Treatment received
Did the participant change anti-cancer therapy over the
course of the trial?
1 (17%)
Enzalutamide
to Cabazitaxel
+ Denosumab
1 (17%)
Enzalutamide to
Cabazitaxel

Quality of life

The majority of participants completed quality of life questionnaires (EORTC QLQ-C30 & PR25) at baseline (n=11) and again (n=10) at 24 weeks. Health Service questionnaires were completed by the nine participants recruited in Newcastle but participants in Cardiff were erroneously not given the questionnaire to complete.

Recruitment issues and trial end

Due to delayed site opening, the recruitment period lasted less than nine-months rather than the full 12-month recruitment period that was planned. The opening of the three sites was projected to complete by the start of October 2018, however the first site started recruiting in July 2019 and all three sites were not fully operational until February 2020. This timeline and associated recruitment rates are shown in Figure 2. Recruitment rates were significantly lower than expected with an average of just over one participant recruited per month over the nine-month recruitment period, in contrast to a target of six participants per month. This was due to multiple reasons including slower timelines for sites opening to recruitment than originally planned and changes in clinical management pathway. The clinical management of metastatic prostate cancer evolved during study set up and early recruitment. This included the up-front use of docetaxel, though off license at the time, recommended in new NICE guidance published in May 2019 19 . As a result the management of men with metastatic prostate cancer now involves treatment with either novel hormonal therapies and/or chemotherapy prior to the onset of castration resistance and the conventional mCRPC stage we were examining is now uncommonly seen.

Figure 2. Recruitment timeline by month and site, whereby green shading indicates open for recruitment.

Figure 2.

In addition to the above, further delays were caused by regulatory approval, this was secondary to the decision by the European Medicines Agency to restrict the use of radium-223, one of the non-hormonal treatment options 20 . The AR-V7 assay being used in the study also changed (non-CE marked). Both of these changes required review of regulatory requirements and a delay in submission of ethics approval, pushing back all subsequent milestones.

The trial management team explored alternative measures to increase the rates of recruitment including the addition of extra sites. Southampton Hospital and University Hospital Bristol had been approached to take part however, the changing clinical management pathways and other competing studies meant that the new sites would face similar, if not the same, issues faced at the initial three recruiting sites. Nevertheless, we were able to demonstrate that some men with advanced cancer were willing to randomise to a study of biomarker-directed therapy

Following a Trial Oversight Committee meeting, recruitment to the trial was halted on 18 th March 2020 at all sites. As a result of the COVID-19 pandemic (also March 2020), the central Newcastle University laboratories were forced to close. No blood samples were collected from participants for their follow up visits; however, participants were asked to complete the questionnaires remotely (sent to them via post or completed with a research nurse over the phone).

Discussion

VARIANT successfully recruited 12 men to be randomised for biomarker guided treatment for prostate cancer and followed them up for 24 months. Though it failed to recruit as planned, this doesn’t appear to be due to a lack of willingness by clinicians or patients, with only two screen failures reported within the study, both secondary to patient fitness. The aforementioned delays impacted negatively with our ability to keep up with the rapidly changing field of prostate cancer management; we were aware of the potential for changes in treatment practice but had expected to fully recruit before these were realised. In the last few years there have been major changes in clinical practice with results from multiple clinical trials. For example, STAMPEDE, GETUG and CHAARTED compared ADT in mHSPC to ADT combined with docetaxel and found the addition of docetaxel up front led to an overall survival advantage 2123 . In time this led to newly diagnosed mHSPC patients being treated with ADT + Docetaxel if fit enough. Multiple trials investigating the role of ADT and ARTA (with or without chemotherapy) have now also published their results leading to further direct changes in both the management of patients with mHSPC and an indirect shift in the care of these men when they develop mCRPC 21, 2427 . These changed the management pathway of the patient cohort selected for this trial, as treatment at the time of development of castrate resistance is dependent on the prior treatment given 28 . Though this issue is not intrinsic to VARIANT, it did influence our ability to recruit participants, and changed the validity of the underlying hypothesis of the trial. Another factor was the assay reproducibility failures that hindered our initial AR-V7 status reporting. This was quickly recognised due to our planned cross-site validation of blood samples and the cause identified. We would highlight the importance of cross site validation for future biomarker trials along with ensuring adequate time and funding is allocated to testing assay reliability prior to commencement.

Clinical trials not meeting their objectives is by no means uncommon, with results often going unpublished. One study reviewing trials of 640 novel therapeutics found that 344 did not continue in clinical development and of these only 40% had their results published in peer reviewed journals 29 . Whilst the most common cause of difficulties experienced in those trials for novel therapeutics was inadequate efficacy, our experience with unsuccessful recruitment was found to be the most common identified within both urology and oncology trials 3032 . Bandari et al. identified 1340 clinical trials in urology over a 10-year period of which 618 were unsuccessful, 41% of there were attributed to poor accrual, other causes included inadequate budget (9%), sponsor cancellation (7%) and poor interim results (7%). Within urology trials a significant association was found between unsuccessful trials and trials within oncology or andrology, device trials and trials funded by a combination of government and industry grants 30 . Furthermore, a study in the UK across all specialities looking at trials funded by the MRC and HTA between 1994–2002 found that only 31% of studies recruited 100% of their original target and 45% achieved <80% of their original target, with 30% of trials reducing their recruitment targets and 54% requesting a trial extension 33 .

Within VARIANT recruitment was well below the estimated level, with one site not recruiting a single patient. Successful recruitment has previously found to be associated with trial sites with prior track record of successful trials and also trial staff enthusiasm 34 . Levitt et al. looked at recruitment levels across a number of sites in a large perinatal trial and identified factors associated with improved recruitment. They found that clearly defined recruitment systems, staff engagement, having a dedicated and experienced trial coordinator and a shorter time taken from ethics approval to first recruit were all associated with above average recruitment 35 . They concluded that it may be better to focus resources on fewer sites with adequate resources and engaged staff 35 . A formal process evaluation, such as the Quintet (Qualitative Research Integrated within Trials) recruitment intervention (QRI), could have helped identify barriers to recruitment, but was not part of the funded protocol. For feasibility studies, where there are predicted concerns about recruitment, a QRI to explore barriers and develop plans to optimise recruitment could be useful 36

Another method to try and improve trial success is the use of adaptive trial design whereby outcomes are assessed at pre-defined points and can be modified based on pre-specified rules. As a result, use of resources can be more efficient and potentially fewer patients may be required 37, 38 . One such example of this in urology is the STAMPEDE trial, briefly mentioned earlier, which examines systematic therapy in advancing or metastatic prostate cancer 21, 39 . Another technique being assessed to improve trial design and increase success rates is artificial intelligence. Proposed applications include machine learning techniques used to enhance patient recruitment through automatic eligibility assessment and trial recommendation 40 .

AR-V7 remains clinically relevant with a recent systematic reviews finding a positive AR-V7 status to be associated with a reduced overall survival (OS) in comparison to AR-V7 negative patients 4143 . This was the case for both ARTA treatment and chemotherapy, although to a lesser extent in the latter. Where treatment response was compared chemotherapy was associated with a superior survival in AR-V7 positive patients than those treated with ARTA, this difference was not observed in those who were AR-V7 negative 42, 43 . Whilst some studies have continued to examine its use as a biomarker and further develop assays other studies are exploring the means to directly target the AR-V7 variants to overcome hormone resistance 4447 .

Conclusions

We present the results of the VARIANT clinical trial looking at the AR-V7 biomarker to guide treatment for patients with mCRPC. We can conclude that some men with prostate cancer are willing to take part in trials utilising biomarker guided treatment. However, due to issues with recruitment secondary to unforeseen delays and change within the management of prostate cancer the trial did not complete as planned. The lessons learned from this pilot trial are applicable to other research particularly in relation to fields where there is a rapid advance in knowledge.

Abbreviations

CRPC: castrate resistant prostate cancer

AR-V7: androgen receptor splice variant 7

NHS: National Health Service

ADT: androgen deprivation therapy

mHSPC: metastatic hormone sensitive prostate cancer

mCRPC: metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer

ARTA: androgen receptor targeted agents

CTCs: circulating tumour cells

RCT: randomised control trial

PSA: prostate specific antigen

QOL: quality of life

CONSORT: Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials

ECOG: Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group

PS: Performance Status

TMG: trial management group

Consent

Written informed consent for publication of the patients’ details was obtained from the patients.

Funding Statement

This work is funded by the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Research under its Research for Patient Benefit (RfPB) Programme (Grant Reference Number PB‐PG‐0816‐20043). The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the NIHR or the Department of Health and Social Care. The VARIANT trial is sponsored by Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals National Health Service Foundation Trust.

[version 2; peer review: 2 approved]

Data availability

Underlying data

Underlying data from this study are available on request from the corresponding author, Rakesh Heer ( rakesh.heer@newcastle.ac.uk). The data is not available publicly due to confidentiality restrictions. Access to de-identified data collected during the trial, may be granted to researchers who submit a methodologically sound proposal. To gain access, data requestors will need to complete forms required as part of the application process.

Extended data

Zenodo: Extended data for ‘Using the AR-V7 biomarker to determine treatment in metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer, a feasibility randomised control trial, conclusions from the VARIANT trial’. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6874339 17

Reporting guidelines

Zenodo: CONSORT checklist for ‘Using the AR-V7 biomarker to determine treatment in metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer, a feasibility randomised control trial, conclusions from the VARIANT trial’. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6874339 17

Data are available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC-BY 4.0)

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NIHR Open Res. 2023 Feb 7. doi: 10.3310/nihropenres.14489.r28945

Reviewer response for version 2

Jonathan J Aning 1,2

No further comments to make.

Is the work clearly and accurately presented and does it cite the current literature?

Yes

If applicable, is the statistical analysis and its interpretation appropriate?

Not applicable

Are all the source data underlying the results available to ensure full reproducibility?

No source data required

Is the study design appropriate and is the work technically sound?

Yes

Are the conclusions drawn adequately supported by the results?

Yes

Are sufficient details of methods and analysis provided to allow replication by others?

Yes

Reviewer Expertise:

NA

I confirm that I have read this submission and believe that I have an appropriate level of expertise to confirm that it is of an acceptable scientific standard.

NIHR Open Res. 2023 Jan 25. doi: 10.3310/nihropenres.14489.r28946

Reviewer response for version 2

Therese M Becker 1

Approved, the authors have addressed my issues.

Is the work clearly and accurately presented and does it cite the current literature?

Partly

If applicable, is the statistical analysis and its interpretation appropriate?

Not applicable

Are all the source data underlying the results available to ensure full reproducibility?

No

Is the study design appropriate and is the work technically sound?

Partly

Are the conclusions drawn adequately supported by the results?

Partly

Are sufficient details of methods and analysis provided to allow replication by others?

No

Reviewer Expertise:

AR-V7 testing in liquid biopsies.

I confirm that I have read this submission and believe that I have an appropriate level of expertise to confirm that it is of an acceptable scientific standard.

NIHR Open Res. 2022 Nov 29. doi: 10.3310/nihropenres.14404.r28873

Reviewer response for version 1

Jonathan J Aning 1,2

The present manuscript describes the outcomes and learning from the VARIANT trial. This feasibility study was designed to find out whether men could be randomised to either receiving a biomarker assay followed by a personalised treatment guided by the assay result or routine standard of care treatment. The study did not meet its planned recruitment target and the reasons for this are outlined in the manuscript. Although the study participant numbers were low, the authors showed that patient retention and compliance with study procedures and protocol for those men recruited was good.

Firstly the authors are to be commended for writing up the VARIANT trial. Their experience and the shared study findings represent important learning for future prostate cancer studies (and biomarker studies in general). Biomarker studies will invariably continue to form part of the future of researching personalised treatment strategies.

Major comments

  • This study highlights the need to have rigorously evaluated the novel biomarker assay prior to commencing the study. In the future similar studies should consider incorporating time and funding for ensuring test reliability in the run in period to starting the study. Could the authors make a definitive comment on this within the discussion section of their manuscript and define in their opinion the optimum validation method?

I have no other major comments regarding the content of the manuscript but I have a number of minor comments that I feel that the authors should address to ensure that readers have both the context and information to fully understand the learning from this study.

Minor comments

In the plain English summary:

  • The timeline of the study should be clearly defined and included to facilitate clear lay reader understanding, i.e.. 'The Variant trial was planned in...', 'The study recruitment commenced in...', 'The study closed in...'.

In the Methodology:

  • Could the authors clarify if all patients included had to have a de-novo diagnosis of metastatic prostate cancer or were men who had had previous prostate cancer treatments who then developed metastatic prostate cancer also included?

In the results section:

  • In the recruitment, eligibility, randomisation and baseline demographic section – please could you include the dates the trial opened for recruitment as this is critical for context of understanding why the recruitment of participants was so low.

  • In the treatment adherence and disease progression section – please define what classed as ‘disease progression’ was it according to RECIST criteria?

  • In the recruitment issues and trial end section – please define and reference the date when the clinical pathway changed – (e.g., NICE guidance for docetaxel chemotherapy / ARTA).

In the discussion section:

  • Consider starting the discussion section with the achievements of the study – i.e. patients were recruited and retained.

  • In the third paragraph of the Discussion – Comment on whether either QuinteT Recruitment strategies or enhanced PPI would have improved recruitment

Is the work clearly and accurately presented and does it cite the current literature?

Yes

If applicable, is the statistical analysis and its interpretation appropriate?

Not applicable

Are all the source data underlying the results available to ensure full reproducibility?

No source data required

Is the study design appropriate and is the work technically sound?

Yes

Are the conclusions drawn adequately supported by the results?

Yes

Are sufficient details of methods and analysis provided to allow replication by others?

Yes

Reviewer Expertise:

NA

I confirm that I have read this submission and believe that I have an appropriate level of expertise to confirm that it is of an acceptable scientific standard, however I have significant reservations, as outlined above.

NIHR Open Res. 2022 Dec 23.
Paul Gravestock 1

Thank you for your comments. We have added additional narrative around the issues faced with the biomarker assay to make things clearer within the result section (page 11). Additionally we have added a comment about validation within the first paragraph in the discussion (page 13).

In terms of the minor comments, we have added more detail about the dates both in the plain english summary (page 6) and results section of the text (page 12) as this was previously only contained within figure 2. With regards to eligibility it was not exclusively de novo disease, the full eligibility criteria is discussed in detail in the published protocol which is refenced (page 7/8). As VARIANT was a pragmatic trial the use of criteria such as RECIST to define radiological progression was not mandated and used radiological progression was defined as per the local radiology/MDT, this has now been stated within the text (page 8). The change in NICE guidance has been reflected in the text (page 13) and changes within the discussion made as kindly suggested with a brief narrative on Quintet (page 15)

NIHR Open Res. 2022 Nov 11. doi: 10.3310/nihropenres.14404.r28838

Reviewer response for version 1

Therese M Becker 1

This is a short report from a small feasibility clinical trial to base therapy decisions for CRPC patients on liquid biopsy testing of AR-V7. The limited conclusion of the early abandoned trial is that in principle patients would be happy to have their treatment guided by liquid biopsy analysis. The other lesson may be that changes in clinical practice may change “standard of care” treatment within a trials period diluting usefulness of data.

While the outcome is limited there are other issues.

Major issue:

  1. It is noted that the nature/type of the AR-V7 detection assay is not detailed in the Methods. This is even though “issues” with this assay are a leading section in the Results part of the manuscript. It is clearly important what type of AR-V7 assay was done and how exactly* the test was conducted if critical "issues" with the assay are considered important and unexpected AR-V7 detection ratios led in part to abandoning the trial. Between the lines one can read that AR-V7 detection was based on CTCs as it is stated (without reference by the way) “…since the number of circulating tumour cells can vary between vials of blood.”

  2.  I would like to see some deeper exploration of why or if in fact they really had issues with AR-V7 testing. Maybe AR-V7 is less prevalent in their patient population? Do they have any longitudinal data for individual patients to present? How exactly did they define “failure of reproducibility”?

Minor issues:

  1. While the originally planned schematic diagram of the trial is interesting, a more relevant one would depict a diagram of the actual patients enrolled.

  2. “….a recent systematic review finding a positive AR-V7 status to be an associated with a reduced overall survival (OS) in comparison to AR-V7 negative patients, though this was not observed in those treated with taxane based chemotherapy38.” Interstingly, our more recent systematic review (Khan et al 2022 1 ) focusing on AR-V7 detected by liquid biopsy found AR-V7 positivity also affected response to taxanes.

*How much blood was taken? What type of collection tubes? How much blood was used for each CTC enrichment? By what technology/method was AR-V7 presence in a CTC sample tested?

Is the work clearly and accurately presented and does it cite the current literature?

Partly

If applicable, is the statistical analysis and its interpretation appropriate?

Not applicable

Are all the source data underlying the results available to ensure full reproducibility?

No

Is the study design appropriate and is the work technically sound?

Partly

Are the conclusions drawn adequately supported by the results?

Partly

Are sufficient details of methods and analysis provided to allow replication by others?

No

Reviewer Expertise:

AR-V7 testing in liquid biopsies.

I confirm that I have read this submission and believe that I have an appropriate level of expertise to confirm that it is of an acceptable scientific standard, however I have significant reservations, as outlined above.

References

  • 1. : Prognostic and Predictive Value of Liquid Biopsy-Derived Androgen Receptor Variant 7 (AR-V7) in Prostate Cancer: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis. Frontiers in Oncology .2022;12: 10.3389/fonc.2022.868031 10.3389/fonc.2022.868031 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
NIHR Open Res. 2022 Dec 23.
Paul Gravestock 1

Thank you for your comments. The full methodology is published and referenced within the text. Though we appreciate that given the nature of the study it would be prudent to include more details about the AR-V7 assay and the issues faced as you have suggested. Additional texts within the methodology and discussion sections have been added to reflect this. (pages 8 and 11 respectively).

In terms of the minor comments, Figure 1 does reflect the actual flow of patients, n=14 screened, n=12 randomised. Additionally we thank you for signposting the recent evidence and we have amended the final paragraph of the discussion to include this novel review (page 15).

Associated Data

    This section collects any data citations, data availability statements, or supplementary materials included in this article.

    Data Citations

    1. Gravestock P, Clark E, Morton M, et al. : Extended data for ’Using the AR-V7 biomarker to determine treatment in metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer, a feasibility randomised control trial, conclusions from the VARIANT’.[Dataset].2022. 10.5281/zenodo.6874339 [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed]

    Data Availability Statement

    Underlying data

    Underlying data from this study are available on request from the corresponding author, Rakesh Heer ( rakesh.heer@newcastle.ac.uk). The data is not available publicly due to confidentiality restrictions. Access to de-identified data collected during the trial, may be granted to researchers who submit a methodologically sound proposal. To gain access, data requestors will need to complete forms required as part of the application process.

    Extended data

    Zenodo: Extended data for ‘Using the AR-V7 biomarker to determine treatment in metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer, a feasibility randomised control trial, conclusions from the VARIANT trial’. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6874339 17

    Reporting guidelines

    Zenodo: CONSORT checklist for ‘Using the AR-V7 biomarker to determine treatment in metastatic castrate resistant prostate cancer, a feasibility randomised control trial, conclusions from the VARIANT trial’. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6874339 17

    Data are available under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International license (CC-BY 4.0)


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