Skip to main content
UKPMC Funders Author Manuscripts logoLink to UKPMC Funders Author Manuscripts
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2025 Mar 14.
Published in final edited form as: Lancet. 2025 Feb 25;405(10480):677–681. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)00336-8

20th anniversary of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control coming into force: time for a step change in ambition

Anna B Gilmore 1,*, Cynthia Callard 2, Deborah Sy 3, Blanca A Llorente 4, Upendra Bhojani 5, Catherine O Egbe 6, Stella Aguinaga Bialous 7
PMCID: PMC7617489  EMSID: EMS203664  PMID: 40020702

Feb 27, 2025, marks the 20th anniversary of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control (FCTC) coming into force. This legally binding international treaty, the first negotiated by WHO, rapidly became one of the most widely embraced in UN history. The 183 parties to the FCTC, covering more than 90% of the world’s population, have committed to “preventing and reducing tobacco consumption, nicotine addiction and exposure to tobacco smoke”1 through implementing the measures in the treaty. As the treaty enters its 21st year, we reflect on its achievements and identify the need for a step change in ambition if the treaty is to continue to effectively address the tobacco epidemic, alongside the emergent nicotine and multiple product use (poly-use) epidemics.

The FCTC’s achievements are impressive: an acceleration of tobacco control policy implementation and declines in the prevalence of tobacco use (including smoked and smokeless tobacco) in every country income group and globally, from 29·3% in 2005 to 20·9% in 2022.2,3 These outcomes reflect the fact that the treaty focuses on population-level approaches to reducing tobacco use and specifically addresses the tobacco industry as the vector of the epidemic through Article 5.3, which requires parties to protect their public health policies from the vested and other commercial interests of the tobacco industry.

While this success should be promoted, there is a need to recognise that 44 parties have yet to implement a single FCTC measure, and many have only achieved partial implementation.2 Insufficient political will and low financial and workforce resources for treaty implementation have been ongoing challenges, but the single greatest barrier to implementation has been the tobacco industry.4

The opposition of transnational tobacco companies (TTCs) initially took the form of immense pressure against the treaty ever coming into existence. This was followed by an ongoing fight—country by country and policy by policy—against implementation, including by threatening expensive legal challenges.5 TTCs now have two additional approaches. First, to filibuster during the biennial Conference of the Parties meetings (COP, the decision-making body of the FCTC) by getting industry actors included on government representations in defiance of treaty rules.6 Second, to claim that, by virtue of now selling e-cigarettes and other new nicotine and tobacco products, they have “transformed” into companies committed to “harm reduction” and therefore deserve a place at the policy table.7,8 These claims, promoted via public-relations campaigns and industry-favourable science, have created confusion over harm reduction and tobacco control more broadly.7 However, TTCs have not transformed.7,8 Instead, with global cigarette sales declining and their financial outlook threatened, TTCs added additional highly addictive products to their portfolio, marketing them to young people to create new epidemics, while continuing to maximise cigarette sales and oppose tobacco control measures.79

This response to the FCTC’s success was inevitable: TTCs remain incentivised to maximise profits and able to externalise the costs of the harm they cause to others, thus making excess profits.10,11 Consequently, individuals, communities, and governments have to meet the costs of the industry’s health, environment, and supply-chain harms, while the TTCs’ excess profits are channelled against public health policies and other efforts to hold them to account.10,11 As with other forms of corporate-driven health and environmental harms, this situation will continue until these underlying system drivers are addressed.1012

Unfortunately, the consequence of these actions by TTCs is that tobacco control is now under serious threat: the previous acceleration of FCTC policy implementation and declines in global cigarette sales and tobacco use prevalence have all slowed, the last in every world region.2,3,7,13 There have been increases in teenage vaping and other forms of nicotine use in many countries, some of which, including England and Ireland, have also seen recent increases in smoking among teenagers and young adults; these increases follow years of decline and can no longer be attributed to lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic.7,14,15 The available clinical and preclinical evidence suggests that exposure to nicotine during crucial periods including adolescence can affect reward-related functions and behaviours, increasing the risk of long-term addictions.16 Alongside tobacco industry diversification, this evidence on the long-term impacts of nicotine suggests that poly-use, with its accompanied health risks, could become the norm.7

At the 20-year mark, the FCTC is therefore at an unavoidable inflection point. If a generation of young people is to be protected and progress restored, parties to the FCTC must step up their ambition. The panel details specific recommendations to accelerate progress across parties at all stages of implementation, address the changing nature of the tobacco and nicotine epidemics, and better counter industry interference.1724 We detail how this can be achieved by harnessing recent COP decisions17,18 and the treaty’s original ambition to address global challenges through cooperation and collective action.

Ultimately, however, sustainable financing needs to be secured for such recommendations and the system drivers of the tobacco and nicotine epidemics need to be addressed—externalities, excess profits, and the consequent resource imbalance between industry and those attempting to hold them to account.1012 By moving towards a polluter pays approach, in which the tobacco industry pays for the harm it causes, both can be achieved. This can be realised at the national level through implementation of FCTC Article 19 (liability) or Article 6 (price and tax measures). For example, in addition to tobacco excise duties, which fall on tobacco users, Article 6 can be used to implement more innovative fiscal tools such as surtaxes, solidarity levies to create tobacco control funds,25 or price caps26 to generate revenue and reduce the profit incentive, which fuels industry behaviour.27

More uniquely, however, FCTC Article 26 provides a mechanism for developing a collaborative multinational approach to achieve these aims through similar approaches. Tobacco companies engage in all forms of profit tax avoidance through intercorporate transactions, such as transfer pricing, and excise tax evasion through involvement in global cigarette smuggling.28,29 TTCs funnel money from resource-poor countries, where their health, environmental, and production supply-chain harms increasingly accrue, to shareholders in richer nations.30 A levy applied to TTC international financial transfers could address these transnational inequities and provide reparation for the damages caused, while simultaneously addressing the drivers that fuel the tobacco epidemic. Funds raised could be administered by the FCTC Convention Secretariat and allocated according to need to build capacity and fund legal support, independent science, and tobacco industry denormalisation campaigns, among other measures detailed in the panel. At the next COP, in November, 2025, a group could be established to propose the best system, drawing on existing work and international financing mechanisms such as the polluter pays systems established for maritime oil spills.27 Only if such a financing system is mandatory can the industry be prevented from evasion or positioning itself as part of the solution.

As preparations for COP 11 begin, parties must harness the leadership and energy necessary to realise the FCTC’s full potential. Addressing the system drivers of the tobacco epidemic is essential to achieving this. Given the enormous societal and health costs of the tobacco epidemic, they cannot afford not to do so.

Panel: Recommendations for change to improve and strengthen FCTC implementation.

Accelerate implementation

Countries that have yet to implement any policies should be supported to move to best practices, skipping incremental approaches. The FCTC 2030 project19 provides a successful model which, with adequate resourcing, could support such countries. For countries that have reached top-level implementation, the Expert Group report on forward-looking measures (Article 2.1) is expected to provide ways to achieve greater gains and to ensure the treaty acts as a floor, not a ceiling.17

Deal rapidly with new products and industry misinformation in this area

There is unlikely to be a single approach to harm reduction or new product regulation suitable to the contexts of all 183 parties, not least because high regulatory capacity will be essential if such approaches, most relevant to countries that have fully implemented FCTC measures, are to work.7 To attempt to achieve a single approach through the FCTC would, therefore, be a distraction from the population-level approaches that characterise its success. Instead, parties should recognise that: genuine harm reduction, not that promoted by industry, involves reducing harm at individual, community, and population level; all FCTC regulations can be applied to new products (Article 5.2), and that countries can also go beyond this through, for example, bans on importation of new products and devices in line with Article 2.1 of the treaty.

Address industry interference

Improve Article 5.3 implementation across the whole of government: the changing tactics of TTCs indicate that Article 5.3 is more important than ever.6,7 Although previous COP decisions highlight the need to protect policies from interests beyond tobacco, future decisions could further clarify and expand this to future-proof Article 5.3 from further industry changes, including investments in pharmaceuticals. There is a need to recognise that conflicts of interest exist independently of the product because the role of industry—to maximise shareholder value—does not align with the role of government—to act in the public interest. This wider conceptualisation of conflict of interest could also enable more effective whole of government implementation of Article 5.3 and reiterate that Article 5.3 is applicable to all aspects of the treaty, including those led by non-health ministries that the tobacco industry targets.5

Steps must be taken to challenge countries that allow industry representation on their delegations. International cooperation, notably within regional groups, must be harnessed to apply pressure against such behaviour. FCTC parties’ declarations of interests, currently voluntary, should be made mandatory and public (allowing external scrutiny). Procedural reforms could establish time limits that restrict the ability to filibuster.

A legal defence fund needs to be resourced. TTCs frequently threaten litigation against tobacco control policies. Even when unfounded, this exerts a chilling effect, particularly in low-income and middle-income countries.5 The successful defence of Uruguayan legislation through philanthropic funding illustrates the important role of an accessible defence fund.20

Fund independent science. The tobacco industry uses science and data as a weapon. With the tobacco industry a dominant funder of research, including on illicit tobacco and new products, and industry-funded work often shown to be poor quality and misleading,21,22 funding for independent science is essential to address industry interference and misinformation.22,23

Article 19 on liability needs to be harnessed to hold the tobacco industry to account for all aspects of tobacco industry-created harms. This can include both preventive and deterrent actions, such as recovering health-care and environmental costs, imposing harmonised steep financial penalties, and establishing compensation funds through mandatory industry contributions.24

Increase intergovernmental cooperation

Articles 20–22 promote scientific and technical cooperation between parties, yet more timely and effective sharing of knowledge between parties could enable greater progress through, for example, sharing of data and regulatory experience to counter tobacco industry misinformation, and collaborating on research on novel approaches to encourage innovation.

FCTC=WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. COP=Conference of the Parties.

TTCs=transnational tobacco companies.

Acknowledgments

ABG reports funding to institution from UK Prevention Research Partnership, UK Research and Innovation (grant no MR/Y030753/1), and Bloomberg Philanthropies, as part of the Bloomberg Initiative to Reduce Tobacco Use; travel support from the Society for Research on Nicotine or Tobacco, El Poder del Consumidor, and the Intersectoral Prevention Laboratory Centre for Clinical Research and Prevention; is an unpaid member of the Royal College of Physicians Tobacco Advisory Group, Council of ASH, WHO International Expert Group on the Commercial Determinants of Health, and Tobacco Control Editorial Board (European Editor). CC is the Executive Director (part-time remuneration) of Physicians for a Smoke-Free Canada. DS reports grants from Bloomberg Philanthropies, as part of the Bloomberg Initiative to Reduce Tobacco Use; support for attending meetings or travel from the Global Center for Good Governance in Tobacco Control (GGTC) and GGTC/ Bloomberg Philanthropies; and is an unpaid member of the European Respiratory Society, Corporate Accountability Steering Committee, WHO-FCTC Expert Group on Article 19 (Liability), and Health Justice Board (Sr Advisor). BAL reports grants from Colombia Beyond FCTC 2030 (Vital Strategies-Bloomberg Tobacco Control Grand Round 33), Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez–Tobaconomía, the National Cancer Institute (Colombia), and CTFK rapid response grant, GGTC partnership with Shakti Comunicaciones and the Medical Research Council (MRC); consulting fees from the World Bank, CREER-IHRB, and the Ford Foundation; speakers and educations fees from Red Papaz, Universidad Javeriana and the Universidad Juan N Corpas; travel support from REMAP, the MRC, RESET Alcohol, and Knowledge to Policy Center (K2P) at the American University of Beirut; and is an unpaid member of the Regional Committee GATC and unpaid member of NATT (Corporate Accountability), Movendi (Coordination Committee), and Red Cancer. UB reports grants to institution from the DBT/Wellcome Trust India Alliance Intermediate Fellowship (IA/CPHI/17/1/503346), the DBT/Wellcome Trust India Alliance Clinical/Public Health Research Centre (IA/CRC/20/1/600007), and the DBT/Wellcome Trust India Alliance Senior Fellowship (IA/CPHS/22/1/506533) and is an unpaid member of the National Tobacco Regulatory Forum and the National Academy of Medical Education Taskforce on Tobacco Control. COE reports grants paid to institution from Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids; consulting fees from the Africa Tobacco Control Alliance and the Center for Tobacco Control in Africa; travel support from the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco (SRNT) and Africa Capacity Building Foundation; and is an unpaid member of South African Tobacco-Free Youth Forum and is a Senior Editor of BMJ Tobacco Control. SAB reports grants to institution from the US National Cancer Institute (CA268491 and 1U01CA261620-01) and the US National Institute on Drug Abuse (R01DA058687); consulting fees from San Diego State University Foundation (work on Article 18 report for the FCTC Secretariat); travel support from WHO FCTC Secretariat, the University of Pretoria, and the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC); and is an unpaid member of the UICC Board of Directors and the Americans for Nonsmokers Rights Board of Directors.

Contributor Information

Anna B Gilmore, Centre for 21st Century Public Health, Department for Health, University of Bath, Bath BA2 7AY, UK.

Cynthia Callard, Physicians for a Smoke-Free Canada, Ottawa, ON, Canada.

Deborah Sy, Global Center for Good Governance in Tobacco Control, Bangkok, Thailand.

Blanca A Llorente, Fundación Anáas, Bogotá, Colombia.

Upendra Bhojani, Institute of Public Health, Bengaluru, Karnataka, India.

Catherine O Egbe, Mental Health, Alcohol, Substance Use and Tobacco Research Unit, South African Medical Research Council, Pretoria, South Africa; Department of Public Health, Sefako Makgatho Health Sciences University, Pretoria, South Africa.

Stella Aguinaga Bialous, School of Nursing, University of California, San Francisco, CA, USA.

References

  • 1.WHO. WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. 2003. [accessed Feb 12, 2025]. https://iris.who.int/bitstream/handle/10665/42811/9241591013.pdf?sequence=1 .
  • 2.WHO. WHO report on the global tobacco epidemic, 2023. World Health Organization; 2023. [Google Scholar]
  • 3.WHO. WHO global report on trends in prevalence of tobacco use 2000–2030. World Health Organization; 2024. [Google Scholar]
  • 4.WHO. Global progress report on implementation of the WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control. World Health Organization; 2023. [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Matthes BK, Lauber K, Zatoński M, Robertson L, Gilmore AB. Developing more detailed taxonomies of tobacco industry political activity in low-income and middle-income countries: qualitative evidence from eight countries. BMJ Global Health. 2021;6:e004096. doi: 10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004096. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 6.Assunta M. Global Tobacco Industry Interference Index 2023. Global Center for Good Governance in Tobacco Control (GGTC); 2023. [Google Scholar]
  • 7.Royal College of Physicians. Chapter 9. Tobacco industry interests, recent conduct and claims around harm reduction. E-cigarettes and harm reduction: an evidence review. Royal College of Physicians; 2024. [Google Scholar]
  • 8.Edwards R, Hoek J, Karreman N, Gilmore A. Evaluating tobacco industry “transformation”: a proposed rubric and analysis. Tob Control. 2022;31:313–21. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2021-056687. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 9.Watts C, Rose S, McGill B, Yazidjoglou A. New image, same tactics: global tobacco and vaping industry strategies to promote youth vaping. Health Promot Int. 2024;39:daae126. doi: 10.1093/heapro/daae126. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 10.Gilmore AB, Dance S. In: The commercial determinants of health. Maani N, Petticrew M, Galea S, editors. Oxford University Press; 2022. Chapter 11: learning from 70 years of tobacco control: winning the war and not just the battles; pp. 98–110. [Google Scholar]
  • 11.Gilmore AB, Fabbri A, Baum F, et al. Defining and conceptualising the commercial determinants of health. Lancet. 2023;401:1194–213. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)00013-2. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 12.Branston JR. Industry profits continue to drive the tobacco epidemic: a new endgame for tobacco control? Tob Prev Cessat. 2021;7:45. doi: 10.18332/tpc/138232. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 13.Reitsma MB, Kendrick PJ, Ababneh E, et al. Spatial, temporal, and demographic patterns in prevalence of smoking tobacco use and attributable disease burden in 204 countries and territories, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Lancet. 2021;397:2337–60. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01169-7. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Sunday S, Hanafin J, Clancy L. Increased smoking and e-cigarette use among Irish teenagers: a new threat to Tobacco Free Ireland 2025. ERJ Open Res. 2021;7:00438-2021. doi: 10.1183/23120541.00438-2021. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 15.Hammond D, Reid JL, Burkhalter R, Hong D. Trends in smoking and vaping among young people: findings from the ITC Youth Survey. University of Waterloo; 2023. [accessed Feb 20, 2025]. https://davidhammond.ca/wp-content/uploads/2023/08/2023-ITC-Youth-Report-Final.pdf . [Google Scholar]
  • 16.Castro EM, Lotfipour S, Leslie FM. Nicotine on the developing brain. Pharmacol Res. 2023;190:106716. doi: 10.1016/j.phrs.2023.106716. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 17.WHO. WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control Conference of the Parties tenth session Panama City, Panama—February. Decision: forward-looking tobacco control measures (in relation to Article 2.1 of the WHO FCTC) World Health Organization; 2024. [Google Scholar]
  • 18.WHO Framework Convention on Tobacco Control Conference of the Parties tenth session Panama City, Panama—February Decision: implementation of Article 19 of the WHO FCTC: liability. World Health Organization; 2024. [Google Scholar]
  • 19.University of York. [accessed Feb 20, 2025];FCTC 2030 evaluation final report. 2022 Oct 11; https://fctc.who.int/resources/publications/m/item/fctc-2030-evaluation-final-report .
  • 20.Crosbie E, Sosa P, Glantz SA. Defending strong tobacco packaging and labelling regulations in Uruguay: transnational tobacco control network versus Philip Morris International. Tob Control. 2018;27:185–94. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2017-053690. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 21.Legg T, Clift B, Gilmore AB. Document analysis of the Foundation for a Smoke-Free World’s scientific outputs and activities: a case study in contemporary tobacco industry agnogenesis. Tob Control. 2024;33:525. doi: 10.1136/tc-2022-057667. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 22.Gallagher AWA, Evans-Reeves KA, Hatchard JL, Gilmore AB. Tobacco industry data on illicit tobacco trade: a systematic review of existing assessments. Tob Control. 2019;28:334. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2018-054295. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 23.Legg T, Legendre M, Gilmore AB. Paying lip service to publication ethics: scientific publishing practices and the Foundation for a Smoke-Free World. Tob Control. 2021;30:e65–e72. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2020-056003. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 24.Sy D, El-Awa F, Al-Lawati JA, et al. Towards health with justice: making the tobacco industry accountable through administrative liability. Tob Control. 2024;33:e254. doi: 10.1136/tc-2023-058289. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 25.France Ministère du Travail dlS, des Solidarités et des Familles. Fonds de lutte contre les addictions. 2023. [accessed Feb 17, 2025]. https://sante.gouv.fr/prevention-en-sante/addictions/article/fonds-de-lutte-contre-les-addictions .
  • 26.Branston JR, Gilmore AB. The case for Ofsmoke: the potential for price cap regulation of tobacco to raise £500 million per year in the UK. Tob Control. 2014;23:45–50. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2011-050385. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 27.Sy DK, Syam N, Velásquez G. Innovative financing mechanisms: potential sources of financing the WHO tobacco convention Research paper 54. South Centre; 2014. [accessed Feb 17, 2025]. https://www.southcentre.int/research-paper-54-september-2014/ [Google Scholar]
  • 28.Gilmore AB, Gallagher AWA, Rowell A. Tobacco industry’s elaborate attempts to control a global track and trace system and fundamentally undermine the Illicit Trade Protocol. Tob Control. 2019;28:127–40. doi: 10.1136/tobaccocontrol-2017-054191. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 29.Vermeulen S, Dillen M, Branston JR, Nieto Solis S, el Khannoussi S, Metze M. Big tobacco, big avoidance: an analysis of the main tax avoidance structures used by British American Tobacco, Imperial Brands, Japan Tobacco International and Philip Morris International, based on annual reports of parent companies and major subsidiaries in 2010-2019. The Investigative Desk; 2020. [Google Scholar]
  • 30.Wood B, McCoy D, Baker P, Williams O, Sacks G. The double burden of maldistribution: a descriptive analysis of corporate wealth and income distribution in four unhealthy commodity industries. Critical Public Health. 2023;33:135–47. [Google Scholar]

RESOURCES