Skip to main content
UKPMC Funders Author Manuscripts logoLink to UKPMC Funders Author Manuscripts
. Author manuscript; available in PMC: 2025 Dec 26.
Published before final editing as: Lancet. 2025 Apr 25:S0140-6736(25)00813-X. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(25)00813-X

Charting a path to health for all at net-zero emissions

Judith Rodin 1, Jennifer R Bratburd 2, Noah Duff 3, Jonathan A Patz 4, Howard Frumkin 5, Catherine E Woteki 6, Sarah Whitmee 7, Michele Toplitz 8,, Victor J Dzau 8, Andy Haines 9
PMCID: PMC7618538  EMSID: EMS211165  PMID: 40294615

Climate change is the defining health challenge of the 21st century, with record-breaking temperatures and extreme weather events already exacting an unprecedented toll on human health and wellbeing. Scientific consensus is clear: rapid and deep reductions in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions by 2050 are needed not only to reduce the risks of exceeding climate tipping points beyond which irreversible damage occurs to natural systems, but also to safeguard human health, wellbeing, and equity.1,2 Despite growing awareness of the climate–health nexus, climate interventions often fail to consider opportunities to maximise co-benefits.

Yet, health fundamentally depends on determinants that extend far beyond biomedical interventions—social, economic, and environmental factors shaped by decisions across energy, agriculture, heavy industry, transportation, and building sectors. These sectors are responsible for the overwhelming majority of global GHG emissions and hold the greatest mitigation potential to achieve 2035 emissions targets,3 underscoring the need for an integrated systems approach that explicitly accounts for the public health benefits of climate action. Unlike abstract emissions targets or distant ecological concerns, tangible health outcomes from climate mitigation offer immediate, compelling, and widely shared benefits while simultaneously reducing the health risks of climate change.4

For example, air pollution linked to burning of fossil fuels contributes to approximately 5 million premature deaths annually and costs the global economy an estimated $8·1 trillion in premature mortality, lost productivity, and higher health-care expenditures.5,6 Resource-intensive food systems—driven by high consumption of GHG-intensive red meat and processed foods—are major contributors to GHG emissions, chronic disease, water pollution, land degradation, and biodiversity loss, imposing annual economic costs exceeding US$8 trillion.7 Addressing these health and economic impacts in tandem can yield immediate and long-term benefits: transitioning to clean energy mitigates both emissions and pollution-related illness; shifting urban infrastructure away from car-centric design towards active transportation (eg, walking, cycling, and public transit) fosters physical activity while reducing fossil fuel use; and shifting towards plant-based diets enhances nutrition and sustainability.4

These economic impacts underscore that climate-induced health costs directly and indirectly affect productivity, labour markets, health-care expenditures, insurance markets, and economic stability. Consequently, businesses, finance institutions, governments, and other non-health sectors increasingly recognise health as intrinsically linked to their operational sustainability, profitability, and resilience.8 Articulating these shared economic interests and climate–health co-benefits can forge broader coalitions across divergent economic and political constituencies, thereby accelerating integrated climate–health action.9

Fully realising such co-benefits, however, requires more than piecemeal, sector-specific measures. Achieving health for all at net-zero emissions demands a comprehensive systems-level approach encompassing environmental, social, economic, and political dimensions. Narrowly framed climate policies that overlook structural economic inequalities, political inertia, societal inequities, and intergenerational injustices quickly lose effectiveness, durability, and equity by failing to account for the complex interactions among these interconnected systems.10 Truly transformative climate–health strategies must incorporate broader systemic determinants—policies, fiscal incentives, governance frameworks, societal norms, power dynamics, and economic structures. For example, relying solely on traditional metrics such as gross domestic product obscures long-term wellbeing by prioritising near-term economic gains over health, equity, and ecological sustainability.11 Realising this shift demands rethinking incentives, regulations, urban planning, food systems, technologies, and economic models that explicitly prioritise holistic human health and wellbeing outcomes as well as actions to stabilise the climate and other crucial Earth systems on which our future depends.12

graphic file with name EMS211165-f001.jpg

Recognising both the urgency and the opportunity, the US National Academy of Medicine (NAM) is launching a Commission to develop the Roadmap for Transformative Action to Achieve Health for All at Net-Zero Emissions (the Roadmap),13 a global initiative designed to position health explicitly at the heart of climate responses. The Roadmap initiative aims to systematically identify high-impact strategies and actionable pathways capable of simultaneously reducing emissions, delivering health gains, promoting equity, and fostering economic resilience and societal wellbeing.

NAM has convened a diverse international Commission representing multiple geographies, sectors, and areas of expertise. The Commission’s approach is purposely cross-sectoral and systems-oriented, recognising the interconnectedness of environmental, social, economic, and political systems in driving sustainable transformations. Throughout 2025, the Commission will assemble rigorous evidence syntheses; conduct policy dialogues, consultations, and expert-led workshops to explore promising strategies; identify key implementation barriers; and understand enabling conditions required for successful action. Insights gathered during these activities will directly inform the final Roadmap report (to be published in 2026), which will detail strategies, priorities for action, implementation pathways, and critical leverage points for systemic transformation.

This process will be grounded in an understanding of socioeconomic and historical context. Low-income and middle-income countries (LMICs), which bear minimal historical responsibility for emissions yet experience disproportionate climate–health impacts,14 represent some of the fastest-growing populations and economies.15 Targeted investments in sustainable infrastructure and resilient communities can leapfrog carbon-intensive development pathways—accelerating progress towards improved health outcomes, equitable economic growth, and significant reductions in global emissions.16 The Roadmap will prioritise learning from and identifying equitable solutions for LMICs, engaging international actors and financing institutions to advance transformative climate–health investments in these contexts.

By explicitly harnessing the motivational power of health—linking it systematically to economic sufficiency, wellbeing, environmental sustainability, societal cohesion, and political resilience—the Roadmap seeks to galvanise broad-based global action towards achieving health for all at net-zero emissions. NAM invites diverse constituencies—including policy makers, industry leaders, researchers, and civil society worldwide—to actively contribute perspectives, evidence, and solutions to inform this global effort.

Charting a successful path towards health for all at net-zero emissions necessitates moving beyond incremental progress and sectoral silos by adopting a holistic, integrated systems approach. The NAM’s forthcoming Roadmap provides a unique opportunity to operationalise this transformative vision, offering actionable guidance, proven strategies, and integrated system-level priorities for decision makers worldwide. By centring health within comprehensive climate strategies—explicitly addressing environmental, economic, social, and political determinants—we aim to catalyse sustained, equitable, and meaningful climate action, protecting human health and fostering resilience and prosperity for all.

Footnotes

JR, AH, JAP, CEW, and VJD were involved in the conceptualisation of the Comment. JRB and SW conducted investigation to inform the Comment, and JRB and ND wrote the original draft. JR, AH, JRB, ND, JAP, HF, CEW, MT, and VJD contributed to the review and editing stage of the writing. MT and ND administered the project, and VJD and MT conducted the funding acquisition related to the Comment. JRB reports support from the National Academy of Medicine for the present manuscript in the form of consulting fees and also contracts from NASA Health and Air Quality Applied Sciences Team. JRB is a co-chair of the American Geophyiscal Union GeoHealth Policy Committee. HF reports support for travel expenses for speaking engagements at the following convenings: Texas Children in Nature Network, Hagle Distinguished Lecture at Texas A&M University, World Conference on Forests for Public Health, Society of General Internal Medicine, Park Pride (Atlanta), and Washington State Medical Association. HF reports serving as an unpaid member of the following advisory boards: Planetary Health Alliance; Harvard Center for Climate, Health, and the Global Environment; Medical Society Consortium on Climate Change and Health; European Centre for Environment & Human Health at the University of Exeter; Global Consortium on Climate and Health Education; Yale Center on Climate Change and Health; and EcoAmerica’s Climate for Health. HF also reports serving as a member of the Board of the Nature & Health Alliance and as a member of the Executive Committee of the Tyler Prize, both unpaid positions. JAP reports royalties for the second edition of his textbook, Climate Change and Public Health, B Levy and J Patz (eds), Oxford University Press, 2024. JAP has received travel support for the Regional World Health Summit from Monash University. JAP also serves on the following committees: Healthy Climate Wisconsin, Medical Society Consortium on Climate and Health; and Environmental Law and Policy Center. JR reports support from The Rockefeller Foundation for the present manuscript. SW reports receiving support from the Wellcome Trust for the Pathfinder Initiative and for the Policy and Implementation for Climate & Health Equity (PAICE) project. CEW reports serving as the Chair, Division of Earth and Life Sciences, at the National Academy of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine; Director, Neogen Corporation; and Director, CRDF Global, all for which CEW receives payment. CEW also reports serving as a Trustee for the American Society for Nutrition Foundation in an unpaid capacity. CEW reports owning stock in Neogen Corporation. All other authors declare no competing interests. The National Academy of Medicine’s Roadmap for Transformative Action to Achieve Health for All at Net-Zero Emissions initiative is supported by grants from The Novo Nordisk Foundation, The Rockefeller Foundation, and Wellcome Trust. AH is a principal investigator of the Pathfinder Initiative (2020–25) and was a co-investigator of the Sustainable Healthy Food Systems research programme (2017–23) and the Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health (2017–23). AH reports support from the Wellcome Trust and the Oak Foundation for the Pathfinder Initiative. AH also reports support from the Wellcome Trust for Sustainable Healthy Food Systems research programme and for Complex Urban Systems for Sustainability and Health. AH reports receiving royalties from Cambridge University Press and travel support from WHO and the Human Frontiers Science Program (2022–24). AH reports serving as a member of the Cool Roofs trial steering committee of the Nouna Research Centre, Burkina Faso/University of Heidelberg; co-chair of the International Advisory Committee, NIHR Clean-Air (Africa) Global Health Research Unit; member of the advisory group of the Collaboration for the Establishment of an African Population Cohort Consortium (CE-APCC; 2023–24); co-chair of the InterAcademy Partnership, Climate Change and Health Working Group (2019–22); co-director of the WHO Collaborating Centre on Climate Change, Health and Sustainable Development (2020–24); chair of the SOSCHI Expert Advisory Group, Office of National Statistics (2022–present); and member of the National Academy of Medicine Climate Grand Challenge Steering Committee (2023–present).

Contributor Information

Judith Rodin, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, PA, USA.

Jennifer R Bratburd, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA.

Noah Duff, National Academy of Medicine, Washington, DC 20001, USA.

Jonathan A Patz, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI, USA.

Howard Frumkin, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA.

Catherine E Woteki, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, USA.

Sarah Whitmee, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

Andy Haines, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

References

  • 1.Lenton TM, Rockström J, Gaffney O, et al. Climate tipping points - too risky to bet against. Nature. 2019;575:592–95. doi: 10.1038/d41586-019-03595-0. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 2.Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) In: Core Writing Team; Lee H, Romero J, editors. Summary for policymakers; Climate change 2023: synthesis report Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change; 2023. pp. 1–34. [Google Scholar]
  • 3.United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP) Emissions gap report 2024: No more hot air … please! With a massive gap between rhetoric and reality, countries draft new climate commitments. UNEP; 2024. pp. 41–62. [Google Scholar]
  • 4.Whitmee S, Green R, Belesova K, et al. Pathways to a healthy net-zero future: report of the Lancet Pathfinder Commission. Lancet. 2024;403:67–110. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(23)02466-2. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 5.Lelieveld J, Haines A, Burnett R, et al. Air pollution deaths attributable to fossil fuels: observational and modelling study. BMJ. 2023;383:e077784. doi: 10.1136/bmj-2023-077784. [DOI] [PMC free article] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 6.World Bank. International development in focus. World Bank; 2022. [accessed April 9, 2025]. The global health cost of PM2.5 air pollution: a case for action beyond 2021. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 7.FAO. The state of food and agriculture 2024 – value-driven transformation of agrifood systems. FAO; 2024. [accessed April 9, 2025]. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 8.Alliance of CEO Climate Leaders. Every fraction of a degree counts: time for governments and business to double down on climate action. World Economic Forum; 2024. Oct 10, [accessed April 9, 2025]. https://www.weforum.org/stories/2024/10/alliance-of-ceo-climate-leaders-cop29/ [Google Scholar]
  • 9.Dasandi N, Graham H, Hudson D, Jankin S, vanHeerde-Hudson J, Watts N. Positive, global, and health or environment framing bolsters public support for climate policies. Commun Earth Environ. 2022;3:239. [Google Scholar]
  • 10.Zeitfogel C, Daw T, Collste D. What do you mean ‘Climate Change’? An analysis of climate change framings in three climate assemblies. Environ Sci Policy. 2024;162:103936 [Google Scholar]
  • 11.Creutzig F, Niamir L, Bai X, et al. Demand-side solutions to climate change mitigation consistent with high levels of well-being. Nat Clim Chang. 2022;12:36–46. [Google Scholar]
  • 12.Gupta J, Bai X, Liverman DM, et al. A just world on a safe planet: a Lancet Planetary Health-Earth Commission report on Earth-system boundaries, translations, and transformations. Lancet Planet Health. 2024;8:e813–73. doi: 10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00042-1. [DOI] [PubMed] [Google Scholar]
  • 13.National Academy of Medicine (NAM) Roadmap for transformative action to achieve health for all at net-zero emissions. NAM; [accessed April 14, 2025]. https://nam.edu/our-work/programs/climate-change-and-human-health/roadmap-for-transformative-action-to-achieve-health-for-all-at-net-zero-emissions/ [Google Scholar]
  • 14.Patz JA, Gibbs HK, Foley JA, Rogers JV, Smith KR. Climate change and global health: quantifying a growing ethical crisis. EcoHealth. 2007;4:397–405. [Google Scholar]
  • 15.World Bank. Global economic prospects, January 2025. World Bank; 2025. [accessed April 9, 2025]. [DOI] [Google Scholar]
  • 16.Sokona Y, Mulugetta Y, Kaboub F, et al. The Independent Expert Group on Just Transition and Development. 2023. [accessed April 9, 2025]. Just transition: a climate, energy and development vision for Africa. https://justtransitionafrica.org/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Just-Transition-Africareport-ENG_single-pages.pdf . [Google Scholar]

RESOURCES